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BTCUSDT trade ideas

BTCUSDT SCALP OR INTRADAY IDEA 15M CHARTHello, greetings everyone. First of all, I would like to thank you for taking the time to review my simple analysis as a newbie hehe. For SCALPING or INTRADAY style trades, hmm, personally I always look for where the 200 Moving Average (MA) is. Why 200? The 200 MA can be considered the strongest level for support or resistance, so I tend to enter around the position/area where the 200 MA is located. However, everyone has their own trading style, right? In conclusion, I’m just analyzing the current market condition. Remember, trading carries risks, and the responsibility is yours; do your own analysis. That’s all.
by RCT8
A New Approach to Market Analysis: How IA Simplifies TradingClarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions Approaches to Market Analysis and the Challenges Traders Face When we first start trading and investing, we encounter various methods for predicting price movements. Over time—and with enough persistence, patience, and experience—we find the approach that helps us make profitable trades. Among the most popular are oscillators and channel indicators, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Market Auction Theory, and concepts like Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC). Many traders combine elements from different methods to build a strategy that works best for them. However, the road to consistent profits is rarely easy—most face similar challenges. 🔹 Lack of Knowledge and Experience Complexity of Technical Analysis: Too many tools, conflicting signals on different timeframes, and unclear logic can be overwhelming. No Clear Trading Plan: Many traders rely on intuition or others' advice instead of having a structured strategy. Poor Risk Management: Ignoring capital and risk controls leads to losses. Emotional Decision-Making: Fear and greed get in the way of sound decisions. 🔹 Time Constraints Trading Takes Time: Analyzing charts, scanning assets, and finding entry points all require time and focus. Slow Learning Curve: Gaining consistent results takes years of practice and study. Can Trading Be Made Simpler and More Effective? ________________________________________ A New Perspective: The Concept of Initiative Analysis (IA) Today I’d like to present Initiative Analysis —a concept that: ✅ Simplifies how you understand technical analysis ✅ Speeds up learning through a structured approach ✅ Reduces time spent on daily analysis ✅ Provides elements of a working trading strategy What is IA? Imagine looking at your chart and instead of seeing just candles, you see blocks of directional movement—called initiatives. An initiative is the action of buyers or sellers that causes price movement. It is limited by both price range and time, which helps clearly identify who dominates the market at any given moment. • If buyers dominate, price rises. These phases are shown with blue zones. • If sellers dominate, price falls. These are shown with red zones. This visual method allows you to not just see price movements, but also the underlying battle between buyers and sellers as it unfolds. How IA Differs from Traditional Analysis To understand how IA stands out, think about the classic tools traders use: • Candle patterns (e.g., hammer, doji, engulfing) • Chart figures (e.g., head and shoulders, double top, flag) • Indicators (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, channels) • Elliott Waves, Market Profile, Order Flow • Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC) These tools often focus on outcomes and results. Some attempt to capture the "fight" between buyers and sellers within fixed time intervals (like hourly or daily candles). Elliott Wave Theory, for example, offers a cyclical interpretation through structured wave sequences. IA, by contrast, focuses on identifying and visualizing real-time initiative without forcing a pre-defined structure. Another key distinction: IA allows for initiative shifts within a range—a buyer-to-seller transition can occur without breaking range boundaries, as often happens in sideways markets. This new method offers a fresh lens for viewing market dynamics. Instead of dividing charts by time or volume, candles are grouped by initiative blocks, each with its own duration. Comparing these blocks helps you "read" the market—who is gaining strength and who is losing it. Even more importantly, this approach can help predict shifts in market control and estimate potential price targets. Look at these charts 📉 Trend When one side controls the market strongly, we see a single background color in price ranges. In this case, it makes sense to look for trades in the direction of the move. But it’s important to check the higher timeframe for confirmation (!). In the chart: A blue target line means a bullish target (thin line = 1H, thick = 1D). A red target line means a bearish target (same logic for thickness). Targets are calculated using a custom method that includes the initiative range, candle structure inside the initiative, and traded volumes. Once a candle crosses the target line, the target is considered reached. If a new target appears, it will be shown. If the price leaves the buyer zone, the blue target disappears until the price returns. Same rule for seller zones. 📉 Sideways Market (Range) If the chart background changes between red and blue in one price range, it means the market is in consolidation (sideways) — temporary balance between buyers and sellers. In this case, targets also switch: blue = buy target, red= sell target. 🔀 Transitional Phase Sometimes, two price zones may appear at the same time — one above (buyers), one below (sellers). This is a transition period. It may turn into a sideways range or develop into a trend. During transitions: It’s better to avoid trading. Check who controlled the price before, and who is in control on the higher timeframe (this is always important). For example, if sellers were in control before, and the higher timeframe confirms it, sellers are likely to stay dominant. However, a short-term bounce or trend reversal is possible. With IA You Can: ✅ Identify buyer/seller initiative in real time ✅ Anticipate initiative shifts ✅ Visualize control zones and key levels ✅ Compare strength between buyers and sellers ✅ Forecast potential price targets IA lets you objectively assess market dynamics, identify the dominant side, and estimate the most probable direction. ________________________________________ How IA Helps Solve Key Trading Challenges 📌 Complex Analysis → Simplified visual zones make market context easy to read—even for beginners. 📌 Lack of Strategy → IA covers 3 of the 5 essential trading questions (direction, entry zone, and target), and can be combined with other tools or techniques to answer the remaining two: entry timing and stop-loss placement: Trade direction: Buy in a buyer block, sell in a seller block. Entry zone: Buy below 50% of a buyer block, sell above 50% of a seller block. Profit-taking: Estimate target using visualized zones. While IA gives market context, final decisions still depend on patterns, volume, and risk management. 📌 Time Management → Visual structure saves hours of scanning and comparing charts. “Now I scan for trade setups in 15 minutes, just by checking the visual layout. Before, I’d spend hours deciding if an asset was trending or in a range.” — trader review. 📌 Learning Speed → Think of it like driving: learning on a modern automatic car is much easier than on a 50-year-old manual. You don’t need to know how the transmission works—just how to drive. Same with IA. It’s not an autopilot, but a powerful navigator that helps you orient in the market. IA simplifies analysis, but the trader is still responsible for decisions, risk, and mindset. Fewer tools = faster learning. You don’t need to know how indicators are built—just how to use them. IA focuses your attention on what matters. It reduces noise and highlights structure. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts IA introduces a new way of analyzing markets—not just reading the result, but watching the fight unfold in real time. It helps traders make more confident decisions, simplifies analysis, and adds structure to the chaos of the market. Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions. If this approach speaks to you—share the article, leave a comment, and stay tuned for more insights in upcoming posts!
Education
by AlexeyWolf
BTC/USDT Bearish Breakdown – Short Setup Targeting 73KBitcoin is forming lower highs within a descending wedge pattern, failing to reclaim the key resistance zone around 89K. The price is consistently rejecting from the upper wedge trendline, with weak bullish momentum as shown by flat RSI (~48) and ADX convergence. A breakdown from the current structure could trigger a bearish move. Volume is decreasing on upswings, while red candles dominate near EMA clusters. The 200 EMA and the previous support near 85.3K has now flipped into resistance. Entry: 85,389 Stop Loss: 89,000 (above wedge resistance and last swing high) Target: 73,000 (near key horizontal support + wedge bottom projection) Bearish confirmation increases below 84K with strong volume. Risk management essential as volatility remains high. Watching for confluence from macro and ETF flows.
Short
by MyTradingJournal6th
IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING?IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING? Hello everyone, Yesterday, I provided you all with a detailed and comprehensive analysis of the events BTC will experience in April. After the March candle closed and the April candle opened, things have become quite clear and well-defined. However, in the "BTC April Analysis" post, the monthly candle and the overview mapping for D1 (daily) and W (weekly) timeframes had some broad leaps. It’s not detailed enough for precise actions—it gives us a nearly complete framework, but there are still some rough edges. To make it more polished, we need a highly detailed analysis with a refined level of completion to guide specific actions. That’s why today, I’m bringing you a new analysis with the theme: "The Golden Hour for BTC’s SHORT Point – A 20% Value Drop?" Why 20%, and Is 20% Too Much? As shown in the analysis chart, one thing is very clear: BTC is currently in an upward correction phase. This upward correction started from two zones: Zone 1: From 80,000$ to 88,000$. Zone 2: From 81,600$ to the current level of slightly above 85,300$. In each phase, we’ve been able to catch the turning points and the starts of new waves. Back to the main question: From which zone will BTC drop to which zone, and why would it lose 20% of its value from that point? Right now, BTC hasn’t confirmed a drop, but there are key price zones emerging for us to monitor: Zone 1: 87,600$ Zone 2: 88,800$ Zone 3: 92,000$ Current Situation Analysis Current BTC price: 85,000$. These zones are quite close to the upper peak zones. This is the second upward wave, so we need to be very cautious because an "earthquake and tsunami" could hit soon without prior warning. Think of it like climbing a mountain: At the base, we can’t see the peak. But as we climb closer to the top, the peak gradually comes into view. Right now, it’s clearly visible. From the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, or 92,000$), BTC could drop to a target zone around 70,000$. This is the zone where we identify the drop as approximately 20%. Market Capitalization: If BTC drops 20%, the crypto market cap (currently around 2-3 trillion USD, depending on the time) could lose 15-20%, as BTC accounts for about 50-60% of the total market cap. The exact percentage depends on the broader market’s reaction. Altcoins: Altcoins typically experience stronger volatility than BTC. If BTC drops 20%, altcoins could fall 30-50% or more, especially smaller coins. Stronger altcoins (like ETH) might only drop 20-25%, but most will be hit harder. Conclusion BTC is currently in an upward correction phase, but signs suggest that the "Golden Hour" for a SHORT entry with a 20% drop could be approaching. Keep a close eye on the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, 92,000$) and prepare to act when the price hits these levels. Enjoy the analysis, everyone!
Short
by rainbow_sniper
1
BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis🚀 BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆 🔍 Market Overview: The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) price action on a 15-minute timeframe with key resistance & support levels, along with potential trade triggers. 📌 Key Observations: 📈 Strong Resistance (🚧 85,339.85 USDT) 🔥 Major hurdle for buyers! A breakout above this could ignite a rally. 🚀 If BTC closes above this level with volume, we might see a strong uptrend. 🛑 Important Support (🔵 84,727.22 - 84,912.40 USDT) 🛡️ Holding this zone is crucial for bulls to maintain momentum. ❌ Losing this support could trigger a bearish move. 📊 Moving Averages (7, 25, 99 SMA): 🟡 Short-Term SMA (7): Price is testing this moving average. 🔵 Medium-Term SMA (25): Acting as dynamic support. 🟢 Long-Term SMA (99): Still bullish, showing an uptrend bias. ⚡ Trade Triggers: ✅ Long Trigger (📈💰) - If BTC breaks 85,339.85 USDT with volume → 🚀 BUY Opportunity! ❌ Short Trigger (📉🔻) - If BTC drops below 84,727.22 USDT → 🏴‍☠️ Short setup possible! 📢 Trading Strategy: 💎 Bullish Plan: Watch for a breakout above 85,339.85 USDT with strong volume → 🎯 Targets: 85,500+ USDT. ⚠️ Bearish Plan: If BTC breaks below 84,727.22 USDT, look for a drop to 84,498.52 USDT or lower. 🔥 Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is in a critical decision zone! 🎯 Breakout = Bullish Rally! ❌ Breakdown = Bearish Move! 📢 Stay Alert! Volume Confirmation is Key! 🎯
by Alireza-Abedi
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, # Bearish >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea about Reaching to 85k~85.5k, we have already got it successfully, till now not clear to break this zone, >> I have two scenarios: 1st: Breakout this area 85k~85.5k, we will go to the area around 87.3k~88.3k, maybe to create the wave A in the final Green wave C. 2nd: down from this zone or 85.7 will may lead to create the white micro wave x in the Green wave B, Or the Blue the wave A in the final Green wave C keep like and support me to continue, See you soon! Thanks, Bros
by MASCryptoAna
BTC/USDT Analysis. Watching for Further DeclineYesterday, Bitcoin experienced a local rebound, reaching the sell zone. Our weekly scenario remains unchanged—we still expect further downside movement. Several factors support this view: the reaction in the sell zone and weak price action during the upward move (each high is struggling to break through). All zones remain active. We are monitoring the break of the trendline, and on a pullback, we will look for short entries. Sell Zones: $84,000-$85,300 (pushing volumes) $86,000-$87,200 (absorption of buyer's market aggression) $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500-$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zone: $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Short
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin is so close to falling into a Bear, repeating Aug 2023First off, this maybe the last time I post this chart. Binance are Stopping USDT use from tomorrow morning. I have used this chart since around March 2020 and it is my most trusted,. A sad day for me. This chart saw me through Bulk Run, Deep Bear and now this Recovery and Bull run. ANYWAY, the Arrow points towards a time in 2023 when we were so close to dropping into a Bear market for a number of reasons. Lets just say that Long Red Candle shoiwed a sudden weakening of Sentiment, A Lot of selling and confidence went. It took a number of weeks for confidence to return. And Now, we have a Similar thing. FEAR is high AND I AM BUYING MORE BITCOIN - this is excellent...because when the price rises again, this maybe the last we see this price range. We have Loads of support below. It is that RED 236 Fib circle that is dragging PA down, as I mentioned last week. This and the Fact that the Weekly MACD is still falling Bearish As you can see, the weekly MACD hits Neutral around 21 April, in 3 weeks time. It is from this point forwards that I believe we will see major shift's in Sentiment and PA action. Possibly earlier but maybe not strongly. Also note how the Histogram is levelling out. We need to see a White candle in the coming weeks or we could be facing bigger issues maybe. The Daily version of this same chart shows us very clearly where we are. This is Great News. We have broken through that 236 Red Fib circle. It is now Support. though we are under a line of resistance. But we broke through that in the recent past. I still think we will visit 78K again for a very short period of time. ( Hopefully, nothing is certain) Currently, the shorter term charts show Support found on the 618 Fib retracement line. And we need to see if this holds Over all, We are near the end of the first phase of this pause in Pushes higher. We have that wall at 109K to break through in the longer Term. Once Weekly MACD is on neutral, we will wait fo rthe daily to get there also and then we can push higher with Strength. This push maynot be a single push. the Weight of BTC with its current price holds back the sprints to ATH we once saw. Patience is a Virtue HOLD and BUY MORE
by Orriginal
BTC - Post Weekly Closure UpdateAgain, not an awful lot has changed since last week’s update. We’ve now closed a weekly candle yet again in no man’s land; in fact, one could argue it’s a bearish engulfing candle that closed below the previous week’s level, solidifying further bearish sentiment and likely continuation until key SH has been reclaimed. Like I mentioned in last week’s update - for now, we’re waiting for 65K–72K, a break of ATH, or at least a reclamation of HTF 🗝️ swings (95K minimum) to jump back into HTF trades. Until then, I’m exploiting LTF/MTF moves. Another thing to note: Everyone is so fixated on 72K being the potential bottom (if reached). It makes me wonder: will 72K happen soon (it will eventually), and if it does, will it hold? I personally think we’ll see a deeper pullback into the 2W demand at 68K, or potentially the 1W PHOB at 65K, which I’ve mentioned several times. On LTF/MTF - I’ve been updating every trade, and they’ve been playing out quite well so far. We failed to hold the 23H HOB at 83K, thereby breaking below the MTF SL at 83130, and now the same level is acting as an obstacle to higher prices. If accepted above, I expect 84K, potentially 86K, before a possible downward continuation. For us to see higher prices on MTF, we need to reclaim 88744, SH, to target 96K - potentially the 2D OB at 100K, which is also a psychological level and confluent with the volume drop in VRVP, as shown in the image above. If 88744 is reclaimed, followed by a pullback into newly formed liquidity or BB, I’d then look for a long to the above-mentioned levels. As long as we’re below 88,744, downward pressure remains.
by CryptoVan-HQ