BTCUSDT – Risk of trend break, bearish signs emergingBTCUSDT is trading right at the lower boundary of its ascending channel, around the 108,800 mark. After several bounces from this trendline, price action now appears to be stalling—indicating that buying pressure is weakening. If the price breaks below the 107,500–106,500 support zone (marked by the 34 EMA and recent swing low), the short-term uptrend could be invalidated.
A confirmed break below 106,500 could trigger a further correction toward the 89 EMA around 102,800.
On the news front: Latest data shows Bitcoin’s dominance is slightly decreasing as capital rotates back into altcoins. Additionally, market uncertainty surrounding the Fed's monetary policy outlook is making investors more cautious about riskier assets like crypto.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Chart Analysis – May 28, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
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📈 Bitcoin Breaks 112K — Upward Counting Continues
Bitcoin has now reached 112,000 USDT, continuing to break new highs.
In my May 24, 2025 idea, I had already mentioned that a rebound would occur around the 106K area.
(Click the image to go to the May 24, 2025 idea.)
Since that idea, I have continued with the wave counting.
The basis of the wave counting at the time was as follows:
Wave 1 analysis: Wave 1 ~ Wave 3 × 0.618 = Wave 5
Wave 3 analysis: Wave 1 × 0.618 = Wave 5
Wave 5 analysis: Wave 1 × 1 = Wave 5
Wave C analysis: Wave 1 × 2.618 = Wave 3
(*Some mentioned that Waves 1 and 4 overlapped, but please note that the impulse in question is a terminal type as per Glenn Neely.)
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🧭 Wave Counting Update After May 24
One new point emphasized in this idea is that Wave C formed an impulse wave during the rise.
The wave counting after May 24, 2025, can be seen in the chart below:
In the chart, you can see that Wave C (impulse) moved up, and impulses and corrections continue to alternate.
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📐 Harmonic Pattern Analysis (Bat Pattern Confirmation)
Around the May 27, 2025 low of 107,540 USDT, one of the most well-known harmonic patterns — the Bat pattern — was confirmed.
This area was a very attractive point to enter a long position.
If wave counting and direction were set accurately, it was a position that could have been clearly captured.
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Also, in the chart below, the 1:1 ratio between wave A and wave C in the abc correction strongly indicates a bullish move.
🎯 Entry and Target Strategy — Based on Alt Bat Pattern
The basis for this bet is the 1.13 Alt Bat pattern in harmonic theory.
Point B: 0.382
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): 1.13
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📌 If entering a long position, the targets are as follows:
1st TP: 109,540 USDT
2nd TP: 109,812 USDT
3rd TP: 110,057 USDT
It is not recommended to take profit on all positions when the target price is touched.
Since the current wave count strongly suggests further upside, I recommend holding some positions instead of fully exiting.
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🗺️ Long-Term Wave Counting Reference (Roadmap Presentation)
Lastly, I am reattaching the daily-based long-term wave counting ideas that I previously shared.
They will be very helpful in setting the big direction going forward.
(Click the images to go to the related idea.)
Bitcoin Long Now ! Details chart ! 89% Accuracy VIP Signal !🟢 BTCUSDT Long Setup | 15min (BINANCE)
Entry: ~108840 zone
Stop Loss: Below 108192.82
Take Profits:
TP1: 109488.98
TP2: 110149.67
TP3: 110855.75
Reasoning:
Liquidity grab below support.
Bullish rejection and structure shift.
Potential W pattern forming.
Clean RR and price action setup.
Trade Plan:
Expecting price to break above 109488.98, retest it, and then push toward 110855.75.
📊 Classic support rejection + market structure shift play.
🔔 Not financial advice. Manage your risk!
#BTC #BTCUSDT #Crypto #TradingView #PriceAction #LongSetup #Binance #TA
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart snapshotPrice: $108,745
Recent High: $111,958
Recent Low: $92,810
EMA Cluster (5, 10, 20): ~$109,130–109,280
RSI(6): 38.89 (near oversold)
RSI(12): 47.24
RSI(24): 51.67
MACD: Negative histogram, lines converging but no cross yet
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Technical Analysis
Trend:
BTC is consolidating just below the short-term EMA cluster after a strong rally from ~$92,800 to ~$111,950 over the past weeks. The price is currently testing the support near $108,500–$109,000 zone, which aligns with the EMAs acting as dynamic support.
Momentum:
RSI near 38.9 on the shortest timeframe shows short-term oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce soon. However, RSI(12) and RSI(24) in the 47–51 range show a neutral to mildly bearish momentum overall.
MACD histogram is negative but the signal and MACD lines are converging, indicating momentum may soon shift if a bullish crossover occurs.
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Key Levels
Support Zones:
$108,000 – $109,000 (EMA cluster + recent price consolidation)
$105,000 (psychological support and prior minor consolidation)
$101,000 – $102,000 (CME gap zone, strong institutional interest likely)
Resistance Zones:
$111,900 – $112,000 (recent all-time high zone, major supply zone)
$114,000 – $115,000 (round number resistance, prior supply)
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Upcoming Move & Strategy
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above $108,000 and breaks back above EMA cluster with increasing volume, look for a move back toward $112,000–$115,000. A MACD bullish crossover combined with RSI climbing above 50 would confirm momentum recovery.
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC breaks decisively below $108,000 with strong volume, expect a pullback toward $105,000 and possibly to the CME gap zone near $101,000–$102,000. Confirmation would be MACD continuing downward and RSI dropping below 40.
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Summary
BTC is in a healthy consolidation phase after a strong rally, currently testing key dynamic supports. Watch the EMA cluster ($108k–$109k) closely for a bounce or breakdown. Momentum indicators suggest a potential bounce soon, but confirmation via MACD and RSI is crucial before committing. Next major upside target remains the $112k-$115k zone, while downside risk sits near $105k and $101k.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-27 20:15 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-27 20:15 UTC
24h Change: +0.40% | Key Trend: Neutral to Weak Downtrend
MACD: Bearish crossover but histogram shows minor bullish divergence (recent upticks).
Trend Strength Index: Fluctuating between weak downtrend and recovery attempts.
Momentum:
RSI: 38.9 (approaching oversold, but no strong reversal signal).
Volume: Declining vs. 20-period avg (~0.2x), suggesting low conviction in moves.
Volatility:
ATR: 134.36 moderate volatility; range-bound action likely.
Price Action:
Candlestick Patterns: Recent Inside Bar and Bearish Engulfing, indicating indecision.
Support/Resistance:
Support: $109,500–109,600 (Bollinger Lower Band).
Resistance: $110,200–110,400 (previous highs, 20-period SMA).
Order Book:
Thin liquidity near current price (bid/ask spread: 0.01 USDT).
Large sell orders stacked at $109,881.76+, suggesting overhead supply.
Short-term (1–4h): Neutral/Slightly Bearish
Price may retest $109,500 support. A break below could target $109,000.
Reversal potential if RSI dips below 30 (oversold) and volume picks up.
Scalpers: Watch for rejection at $110,000 or bounce off $109,500.
Swing Traders: Wait for confirmation (close above $110,200 or below $109,300).
Risk Note: Low volume + Doji/Inside Bars = False breakout risk.
Make a strong breakthrough to hit an all-time highTrump’s delay of tariff policies on the EU triggered a sell-off in Asia-Pacific equities, while the ongoing depreciation of the US dollar fueled capital flows. Bitcoin ETFs saw cumulative net inflows surpass $42.7 billion, with BlackRock’s IBIT holding 651,600 BTC (approximately $71.3 billion). However, recent single-day net outflows of $130 million signal a cooling of short-term speculation. Bitcoin needs to break through the $110,000-$112,000 resistance band. A successful breakout and sustained foothold above this level could ignite a new upward trend; conversely, a failure may lead to a pullback below $106,000.
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BTC/USDT Analysis – Still Long
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, Bitcoin bounced off the volume zone at $109,200–$106,500, but then faced resistance in the $110,100–$111,500 area — a zone we previously overlooked due to the strong bullish context.
Currently, the positive trend remains intact, and we are still expecting a new local high. However, before that happens, a decline and a retest of the local low at $106,600 is likely. Supporting the continuation of the overall uptrend are the following factors: absorption on the cumulative delta, an unbroken ascending trendline, and volume distribution.
Buy zones:
$109,200–$106,500 (volume zone)
$103,200–$102,000 (absorption of market sells)
Around $100,000 (aggressive buying volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 level
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTCUSDTPrice action anlysis
The initial phase, likely Phase A, marked the stopping of the previous downtrend. The low reached around the 24th could be identified as a Selling Climax (SC) or a significant low. The subsequent rally to near the 25th then established an Automatic Rally (AR), defining the upper boundary of the initial trading range. A following decline that tested the SC zone, around the 25th, would constitute a Secondary Test (ST). Following this, the price entered Phase B, the "building of the cause," where the "Composite Man" is presumed to be accumulating. From the ST on the 25th until near the 26th, the price moved laterally, repeatedly testing the support and resistance levels established by the SC and AR, with supports around $107K-$107K and resistance evolving from $109K towards $109-$110K The low on the 26th, reaching near $107K, is particularly noteworthy and could be interpreted as a Spring or an ST in Phase C, effectively a shakeout below prior support.
If this low on the 26th is indeed a Spring, then Phase C, the test, is confirmed by the immediate subsequent rally that did not retest this low with any significant force, indicating a lack of supply. This leads us into Phase D, characterized by a developing uptrend within the range and the potential for a breakout. The ascent starting late on the 26th and continuing to the current moment displays clear Signs of Strength (SOS). The price has broken through internal resistance levels within the range and is now challenging the upper boundary of the broader trading range, near $110K. Currently, the price at $109K is situated at a critical resistance zone, which notably coincides with the Point of Control (POC) indicated by the volume profile.
Volume Behavior Analysis:
The behavior of volume provides further context. During Phase A, volume at the SC, while not climactic, was significant compared to its immediate surroundings, and the volume on the AR was moderate. Crucially, volume during the ST on the 25th was markedly lower than at the SC, a positive sign for accumulation, suggesting diminishing selling pressure. Throughout Phase B, volume was somewhat erratic but generally decreased on successful tests of support. Some volume spikes were observed on upward movements testing resistance, indicating absorption of supply. The volume on the potential Spring on the 26th was moderate, which is acceptable if followed by a swift recovery on low-volume retests. In Phase D, the rally from late on the 26th has been accompanied by an increase in volume on bullish candles, especially during the breakout of internal resistance levels, supporting the SOS and indicating demand taking control. Current volume, as the price consolidates at the highs, is moderate.
RSI Behavior Analysis:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) offers additional insights. A clear bullish divergence is evident when comparing the price low of the 25th with the low of the 26th; while the price made an equal or slightly lower low, the RSI formed a distinctly higher low. This classic signal supports the interpretation of a Spring or a final test of supply. During the accumulation phase, the RSI mostly oscillated below the 50-60 levels. With the onset of Phase D and the SOS, the RSI has crossed above and is maintaining itself above 50 (currently at 58.27), indicating a shift towards bullish momentum. It is not yet in overbought territory (above 70), suggesting potential for further upside if demand persists. The volume profile on the right shows the POC, the area of highest traded volume, situated precisely where the price is currently, around $109,7K - $109,8K. This area acts as a strong magnet and a significant potential resistance or support. Below this, a High Volume Node (HVN) around $108K could serve as strong support on pullbacks. Above the current POC, a Low Volume Node (LVN) exists before another minor HVN near $111K; LVNs are often traversed quickly if the price can overcome the current HVN.
Relevant Points to Consider for the Next 24 Hours:
Looking ahead for the next 24 hours, several key elements will be crucial. The immediate focus is on the price's ability to break and sustain above the current resistance and POC zone of $109,7K - $110K USDT. A confirmed breakout above $110K USDT, ideally accompanied by increasing volume, would validate the SOS and signal entry into Phase E, a markup phase, with potential targets around $110,5K and then the HVN near $111K. A pullback to this breakout zone that holds as support, forming a Last Point of Support (LPS), would be a strong bullish indication. Conversely, a failure to overcome this zone, especially with increasing selling volume, could lead to a retracement to test lower supports, initially around $109K-$109,2K, and then potentially the HVN at $108K. Volume during any breakout or rejection will be paramount; a low-volume breakout would be suspect (a potential Upthrust), while increased volume on a breakout would be confirmatory. For the RSI, if new price highs above $110K are achieved, it will be important to see if the RSI confirms with new highs or forms a bearish divergence, which could warn of short-term bullish exhaustion. Sustaining above RSI 50 is positive. From a Wyckoff perspective, if this is indeed Phase D, "Backups" or LPS testing the breakout area are normal. However, a failure of the structure, such as a decisive break below the Spring level (e.g., below 106,800), would invalidate the accumulation scenario and suggest either redistribution or a continuation of the prior downtrend.
#BTCUSDT ( a strong support line )We have the thick green support line which shows strong support and
has prevented a fall several times.
It has touched this line now.
By maintaining and bouncing from this line it can gain new strength for
the next good growth
Hopefully it will play its previous support role again
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 26 May 2025
- Bitcoin reversed from support level 106850,00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 111830.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency pair recently reversed up from the support level 106850,00 (which has been reversing the price during the last few trading sessions), intersecting with the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse from last week.
The support level 106850,00 was further strengthened by the support trendline of the sharp daily up channel from the start of April.
Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 111830.00, which reversed the price earlier this month.
BTCUSDT – Ending Diagonal Nearing Completion? Critical Decision This structure appears to be developing within an ascending channel, potentially completing an ABC correction with a final impulsive move toward the upper trendline. The internal wave count indicates a possible completion of subwave (5) of C near the top.
However, bearish divergence in structure and the sharp nature of the previous impulse suggest caution. Two major outcomes are on the table:
Continuation Scenario: Price breaks above Wave 5, extending the rally in an overthrow move before reversing.
Reversal Scenario: Breakdown from the channel support (~107,000) could drag BTC down toward the broader trendline near 98,000–99,000.
This zone aligns with previous wave B support and could serve as a critical retest area.
Traders should monitor a break below the wave 4 pivot and channel midline as early signs of weakness. A rejection from the current top without higher highs confirms a potential end of the diagonal.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, after which it entered a correction phase. The price tested the key demand zone of $109,200-$106,500 (volume zone), where it encountered buyer activity: sales were absorbed, and a rebound followed.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, we’re still in an uptrend. This is evidenced by the unbroken trendline, the reaction during the test of the mentioned zone, as well as the absorption of sales along the delta within it.
In the opposite scenario and moving below the slope and the buyer's zone, we expect a decline to $103,000 and a change in the current trend, at least to the sideways.
Buy Zones:
$109,200–$106,500 (volume area)
$103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption)
~$100,000 (aggressive buy volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 (support level)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
$74,800 (support level)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• Tuesday, May 27, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer confidence index for May from the Conference Board (CB);
• Wednesday, May 28, 02:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, May 28, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the minutes of the US FOMC meeting;
• Thursday, May 29, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of GDP for the first quarter and the results of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, May 30, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer Price Index for May;
• Friday, May 30, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index of US personal consumption expenditures for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024;
• Saturday, May 31, 1:30 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the Chinese manufacturing sector for May.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSDT to bounce from 4h supportHere is an idea for trade on BTCUSDT. The price is coming close to the 4h support zone 4HS1.
It is likely that it will find support there and bounce from there towards 4h resistance 4HR1 and possibly towards 4HR2.
We will take some profit at 4HR1 level if the price reaches there and look to refill the position on any pullback.
We will also reevaluate if the price is really heading towards 4HR2 or likely to go around 96k-97k before fueling up for upward move.
Bitcoin Update– Complex X Wave Completed, New Pattern in Pla📊 Chart Update | Advanced Structure Analysis
We’ve just completed a multi-layered X wave as part of a larger correction:
🔷 Zigzag (off-screen, higher timeframe)
🔷 X Wave structure included:
🔹 Contracting Triangle
🔹 Small timeframe x wave (thrust)
🔹 Classic Flat correction
This entire sequence forms a validated complex X wave, as per Glenn Neely’s NeoWave guidelines.
Now, a new pattern has begun on the higher timeframe:
🔷 Wave A = :3
🔷 Wave B = :3
Based on this, we are likely entering one of the following:
🔷 Flat Pattern
📈 If Wave C develops as :5, expect a strong, impulsive upward move.
🚀 This would mark the final leg of a classic A–B–C Flat.
🔷 Contracting or Running Triangle
🔁 If Wave C unfolds as :3, the market may form a triangle (C–D–E still pending).
⏳ Expect sideways movement with shrinking volatility.
🔷 Diametric Pattern
📐 If price action develops rhythmically past C, we may be inside a 7-legged Diametric.
🔄 Structure would progress to Waves D–G in a balanced fashion.
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What’s Next?
👁 Watch Wave C closely:
🔹 If it’s emotional and impulsive → 📈 Likely a Flat
🔹 If it’s slow and overlapping → 🔁 Triangle or Diametric
Stay alert — the next move will confirm the dominant pattern!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT