BTC Long Outlook – Grand Supercycle Perspective (2025.05.21)Hello everyone,
This is SeoVereign, the operator of the SeoVereign team.
It's been nearly a month since I returned to TradingView and started posting ideas again.
During that time, I’ve frequently shared short-term ideas based on minute charts.
However, since real-time responses are crucial in short timeframes,
there are practical limitations in explaining all the reasoning behind our analysis in detail each time.
But when it comes to larger timeframes like the daily chart,
we have a bit more flexibility.
So I see this as a valuable opportunity to explain our thought process and key reasoning more thoroughly.
Now, let’s get into the Bitcoin daily chart briefing.
Please refer to the following link first.
This is a post I made on April 18, 2025:
🔗
At the time, I shared the view that the upward wave starting near 75K
had the potential to extend to 88K and even 96K.
However, it was difficult to determine exactly how far the wave would extend at that point.
Now, I want to make one thing very clear.
If someone uses wave theory to say something like
"Bitcoin will definitely go to X price,"
that person is either a scammer or someone who fundamentally misunderstands wave theory.
Elliott Wave Theory can be somewhat useful in anticipating short-term moves,
but it has clear limitations when applied to long-term predictions.
After many years of studying Elliott Wave Theory in depth,
I've come to a simple but important conclusion:
"You cannot predict the distant future with technical analysis alone."
That said, there is one exception:
very short-term movements — the immediate price action right in front of us —
can often be approached with some confidence using technical analysis.
Here’s an example.
If someone bought Bitcoin at 10K and says,
“I’m going to sell at 100K,”
while it hasn’t even broken past 50K,
that’s just reckless optimism.
But if Bitcoin has already approached 100K,
and several bearish signals are starting to emerge and become confirmed,
that’s when we can begin considering short positions.
The key is to make decisions based on the data right now — not based on hopes or assumptions.
That was a long introduction.
Now, let me explain why I believe Bitcoin could break to new all-time highs
and possibly reach as high as 130K.
As I mentioned in the April 18 post,
I believe an Ending Diagonal was completed around the 74K region,
and I anticipated an upward impulse wave to follow.
In my view, the current market structure clearly suggests we are in an uptrend.
Many of you have reached out via private messages asking,
“What kind of wave are we in right now?”
But in this case, that question doesn’t hold much value.
Whether this current move is part of an impulse wave or a corrective structure,
what matters is that the price is going up.
If, for instance, the A-wave has completed — as confirmed by Fibonacci —
then the B-wave would follow, and we can plan accordingly with long positions.
Or, if the ABC correction is already over,
then a new impulse wave could be starting.
Either way, the key takeaway is that we’re likely in an upward phase.
Back to the main point:
A Deep Crab harmonic pattern formed near 74K,
and that zone concluded with an Ending Diagonal,
which is now leading to a bullish reversal.
I've studied harmonic patterns for years,
and in the case of the Deep Crab,
the upper boundary of the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
is typically around the 2.24 Fibonacci extension.
As long as this level is not broken,
the pattern remains valid.
And when a reversal happens near the 1.618 or 1.902 zones,
it’s often a highly reliable bullish signal.
So, what are our targets in this current rally?
🎯 SeoVereign’s Target Strategy
1st Target: 109,000
2nd Target: 118,600
3rd Target: 128,100
Right now, before the market enters a full-scale bullish breakout,
we’re seeing unusually high volatility.
In times like this, staying calm and grounded is more important than ever.
I sincerely wish all of you the best of luck in navigating this volatility,
and may a wave of growth come to your accounts as well.
🍀 I genuinely hope great fortune finds its way to all of you.
See you in the next daily briefing.
Thank you.
— SeoVereign
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC) Price AlertKey Levels
Resistance Zone:
107,071–106,388
Pullback Target: $101,668 (if rejected)
What’s Happening?
Bitcoin is testing a critical resistance zone (
107K–106K). Here’s what to watch:
Breakout Scenario 🟢:
If BTC closes above $107,071:
Next target = Green Zone
Rejection Scenario 🔴:
If BTC drops below $106,388:
Likely pullback to $101,668 (strong support).
Tell me your ideas in comments.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-19 19:30 UTCBTC/USDT – 15-Min Decision Zone
📅 19 May 2025 | Binance Spot
📊 Context
BTC has broken out of a descending wedge but is now testing a major decision area. Price is sitting between high-volume support and resistance zones.
🔄 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation
- Break and close above $105,200
- Watch for volume >2x average
- Possible move to $106,500 (weekly ATH close)
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Failed Breakout
- Rejection below $103,800
- Potential fall toward $102,000 (4H 200-MA + psych level)
🧭 Indicators on Chart:
- RSI > 50 but not overbought
- MACD flattening – watch for bullish flip
- ATR increased → volatility expanding
- Volume Profile shows POC near $104,200
No trade advice – purely observational setup. Chart shows both directional possibilities.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Sideways Range Insights
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from the trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, Bitcoin retested the previously mentioned $105,700 zone (the point of highest absorption of buying volume), where selling activity reappeared. We are still expecting a downward move, but now the primary target is the newly formed local support zone at $103,200–$102,000.
If buyers show no reaction within this zone, we may see Bitcoin drop to $100,000.
Resistance zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Support zones:
$103,200–$102,000 (absorption of market selling)
~$100,000 (pushing volume)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
$74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTCUSDT.P | UpdateHello everyone this is Dark Analysis . My analysis are simple and short.
BTC is in a 4H range , I beleve it will start a short-term-downtrend toward the very support level.
In 15m timeframe has touched a bearish order block and the first tp is the level marked by the red line .
I will wait for a setup to enter in a short position.
Bitcoin on the one-day time frameBitcoin is moving in the form of an ascending channel.
With each time the previous high is broken in the recent upward wave, it has managed to record a new high, but each time the strength of the candles has decreased and the momentum of the candles has weakened.
A negative divergence is seen on the daily and weekly time frames.
Also, in the past two days, we have seen a very volatile market, but Bitcoin has not managed to record a new high.
In my opinion, a correction in Bitcoin at this stage is more likely than an increase.
If Bitcoin can break its previous high in the $109.800 range, it can also grow to the $121.300 range.
However, given the bearish signals, there is also a possibility of a price correction to the $94.500 range, and if this range is broken, the next step is the $86.200 range, which is of course unlikely to reach this price.
Bitcoin is currently forming a rising wedge chart pattern#Bitcoin is currently forming a rising wedge chart pattern — a formation typically considered bearish in technical analysis.
Interestingly, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is surging strongly after retesting the lower support trendline of the wedge. While this momentum suggests a potential breakout to the upside, it's important to note that such breakouts from a rising wedge are rare, as the pattern generally signals a reversal or breakdown.
That said, I firmly believe Bitcoin has the strength to reach around $114,000 in the near term. Once that level is tested, I’ll reassess the chart for its next major move.
BTCUSDT New Analysisthis area, and based on its reaction to this zone, we can look for a buy setup. On the 15-minute timeframe, the price has a bearish order block, which could push it down toward the 4-hour support level. All the key levels and price movements are marked in the chart—you can check them.
BTC 117K?Hello fellow chart enthusiast 👋
This is an idea that i had inside my head 🧠 :
Daily TF
Move down to 95K
Liquidity-rich Zone sat between 113K - 118K.
Connecting the 2 highest wicks you can see a trend line which is where I believe BTC might go to next.
This would absorb all of the short liquidity from the market and give BTC holders a false sense of confidence
Shortly followed by an aggressive move to the downside 📉
Long term target: Dec 2025 @ $125K (ish)
BTC TRADE IDEAS FOR LONG AND SHORT.BTC is ranging between here and there for now and manipulating shorts and longs. Currently its in a range where I have no interest for long or short. I have marked red area for potential short and green area for potential long where is FVG and ssl+trendline liquidty as well.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, bitcoin failed to gain a foothold above the key $105,000 mark. We observed active protection and absorption of market buys by the seller, as a result of which a sell zone of $105,000–$105,700 was formed. After that, the price went sideways again and remained there until the end of the week.
On Monday, there was a surge of liquidity above the previous high — the price tested the zone of volume anomalies of $107,000–$109,000, from where a sharp reaction from the seller immediately followed.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, the local scenario is on the side of the "bears". There is a break in the uptrend on the hourly timeframe. There is an active absorption of buys in key sell areas, both in delta and volume.
When returning to the $105,700 level, it’s worth considering entering a short position if there is a repeat reaction from the seller, with a goal of reducing to $100,000. In the future, we’ll monitor the price behavior in the buyer's zones.
Sell Zones:
~$105,700 (point of strongest absorption of market buys),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
~$100,000 (initiative buying volumes),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes),
$82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes).
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• Tuesday, May 20, 04:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Australian interest rate decision for May;
• Wednesday, May 21, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for April;
• Thursday, May 22, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, May 22, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for May;
• Thursday, May 22, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of sales results on the secondary housing market in the USA for April;
• Friday, May 23, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of German GDP for the first quarter of 2025;
• Friday, May 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of new home sales results in the United States for April.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Singularity Forming RUN! Infinite BTC AccumulationPlanck's constant will cause a gravitational collapse (sum=pi2k4/(60c2Ħ3)sum=pi2k4/(60c2Ħ3)) bringing the price of Bitcoin to $ ∞ . Additionally, Shorts may stretch into Longs due to time dilation and severe gravitational affects near the event horizon. BUT DONT BE FOOLED!!
As for me... I'm going to sell and buy solely based on my emotions.
This could be ruff. Not a financial advisor.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) - Support Trendline & Zone Price Test - DailyBitcoin (BTC/USDT) price recently rejected down from $107000 on May 19th, 2025.
The yellow Support Trendline below is currently being tested ($103000 price level).
Several candle body closes below the Support Trendline could signal weakness in the daily price trend (potential rising wedge pattern).
The April inverse head-and-shoulders price pattern and targets have been completed (+12% and +24%).
note: Breaking news, government law changes, corporate announcements, and crypto crime could affect the Bitcoin price and charts.
Bitcoin Accumulation Opportunity
#Bitcoin is once again testing a strong demand zone around $100,000 – $101,000 after a rejection near $106K.
📌 The purple zone on the chart highlights a previously respected support area — ideal for gradual accumulation (DCA / scale-in strategy).
🚨 Key Levels:
Minor resistance: $102,713
Strong support: $100,718 – $99,000
Watch for potential wick below support before a bounce
💡 Remember the principle: "Buy when there's fear, not when there's hype."
🎯 Strategy:
Light buys near $100K
Add more if price dips to $99K with bullish confirmation
Suggested SL below $96K (for swing traders)
Medium-term targets: $110K – $115K
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk wisely.
#BTC #CryptoTrading #BitcoinUpdate #CryptoStrategy #DCA #AccumulationZone
BTC Bull Flag Failure or UTAD? Apex Retest UnderwayBitcoin’s breakout from the bull flag was swiftly rejected after a wick above 105.8K, suggesting absorption and supply at the highs. Price has now fallen back into the flag apex — a red flag for continuation bulls.
Key Observations:
• Breakout was absorbed and rejected with no follow-through.
• Current price action is compressing inside the apex again.
• RSI dropped to 60.22 with weakening volume momentum.
• Support from mid-Bollinger Band (100.7K) and 55 SMA (100.5K) is now critical.
If price closes below this 100.5K–100.7K cluster with rising volume, the bull flag will be invalidated. This could evolve into a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) if the rejection confirms as a trap above resistance.
Watching for:
• Breakdown from structure (close below 100.5K)
• Rising sell volume
• RSI trending below 50
A close below these levels may mark the transition from re-accumulation to distribution.
⸻
BTC after a series of vicious HH and HL, its time to cool down.As the title says, it's time to take a step back. After a strong rally marked by a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), Bitcoin appears to be entering a cooling-off phase as momentum slows and the market consolidates.
Not Financial Advice, do your research.