Weekly trading plan for BitcoinLast week price action showed a local correction before reaching the first target. This week, we may see a deeper pullback before the next targets are hit and ATH is revisited. In this idea I marked the important levels for this week
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC buying power is gradually increasing💎 Update Plan BTC at the beginning of the week (June 30)
Notable news about BTC:
Anthony Pompliano has merged Procap BTC with Columbus Circle Capital I, established Procap Financial - a Bitcoin warehouse company up to $ 1 billion. The company will deploy lending activities, derivatives ... in order to create a collection line from BTC, according to the similar model
Bitcoin price is stable at about $ 107.4K on June 27, before the expiry date of options worth up to US $ 40 billion, capable of causing strong fluctuations. At the same time, on June 29, BTC exceeded $ 108k, up ~ 0.68% compared to the previous day
In the past 7 days, BTC maintained around $ 104–107K despite tensions in the Middle East and the US economic data is not heterogeneous. Reduce slightly but receive support from organized cash flow and global trade progress.
Technical analysis angle
Overview of trends - many signs of increasing
Looking at the candle is signaling "Strong Buy" on many time frames, especially healthy momentum, the ability to breakout $ 116k if surpassed the $ 110k resistance
ETF liquidity and organizational capital flows are supporting the trend of increasing, strengthening the possibility of breakthrough.
Moving Averages:
Frame 1H: 64% Bullish signal (MA20 reversed), but there is a neutral signal from short -term ghosts
Daily/Weekly: Golden Cross (Golden Cross) between 50‑ and 200‑ MA, is a long -term trend increase signal
Oscillators:
RSI frame Daily ~ 55, showing neutral momentum, not too much purchased but there is a rise. Double Rounded Top model on the chart Daily, the current trend is neutral - Bearish if the breakdown supports Neckline ~ $ 106k; In contrast, strong recovery above $ 114k will invalid this model
Long -term / Swing Trade: Keep the position if the price is maintained> $ 106k, use $ 103–104K as a spare hole stop.
Short -term / Scalp Trade: can be in order when the test price is $ 106k–107k, small latches around $ 110k.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
BTC Breakout Imminent – Targeting $110,349🕒 Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
📈 Current Price: $108,425
🎯 Projected Target: $110,349
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🔍 Chart Zones & Key Levels:
🔷 Blue Resistance Zone (~108,500 - 110,500)
Price is currently approaching the top of this range.
Historically, price rejected strongly from this area (left blue circle).
This zone has acted as major supply, but now price is retesting with bullish momentum.
🟢 Green Circles – Key Reaction Points
The first green circle marks a strong bounce from previous support (~106,000).
Second green circle shows resistance rejection, indicating it's a key pivot level.
🔶 Orange Zone (~104,000 - 106,500)
This acted as a demand zone during the correction (middle of the chart).
Price formed a double bottom within this zone, signaling bullish reversal (orange circle).
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📊 Structure & Pattern:
Consolidation breakout from a horizontal range.
Forming higher highs and higher lows, showing bullish structure.
The blue arrow path shows expected price movement:
Minor pullback
Followed by breakout towards $110,349 target
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🧠 Market Sentiment:
Strong accumulation near $106,000 suggests buyers are in control.
Price is gradually grinding higher into resistance with volume increasing (implied).
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🧭 Conclusion:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Dips near $107,800–$108,000
Target: $110,349
Invalidation: Break below $106,500
Bitcoin/TiqGPT Setup1D Timeframe: The daily chart shows a bullish momentum with recent green candles indicating a strong upward push. The price is currently near the high of the recent range, suggesting potential resistance or profit-taking levels.
4H Timeframe: The 4-hour chart reveals a more detailed view of the bullish momentum. There are signs of a pullback with the latest candle forming a small body, which could indicate a temporary exhaustion in buying pressure.
1H Timeframe: On the hourly chart, the price action shows a sharp decline followed by a recovery, indicating a volatility spike. This could be a reaction to a liquidity grab below prior lows, which is a common institutional maneuver to eliminate stop-loss orders before a directional move.
15M Timeframe: The 15-minute chart displays a recovery phase with the price moving upward steadily, suggesting that the earlier drop was likely a liquidity sweep.
5M Timeframe: This timeframe shows continued upward movement with consistent green candles, supporting the recovery narrative seen in the 15M chart.
1M Timeframe: The 1-minute chart shows a very granular view of the bullish momentum. The consistent upward ticks suggest strong buying interest at these levels, possibly from retail following the institutional cue.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation after a liquidity sweep, as evidenced by the sharp drop and subsequent recovery. The goal seems to be to push the price higher after successfully capturing liquidity below recent lows.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H Liquidity Sweep followed by a 15M and 5M bullish recovery indicating institutional buying pressure."
SIGNAL: BUY
SYMBOL: BTC/USDT ENTRY PRICE: $107,800 STOP LOSS: $107,400 TARGET PRICE: $108,600 CONDITION: Buy limit order post-1M confirmation of continued bullish momentum. RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a liquidity sweep followed by a bullish recovery across multiple timeframes, indicating strong buying interest. The entry is set above the current 1M high to ensure momentum continuation, with a stop placed just below the recent 1H low to minimize exposure to another potential liquidity sweep. STRATEGIES USED: Liquidity Sweep Recovery, Multi-Timeframe Bullish Alignment URGENCY: HIGH TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% RISK/REWARD RATIO: Calculated as follows:
Risk: $107,800 (Entry) - $107,400 (Stop) = $400
Reward: $108,600 (Target) - $107,800 (Entry) = $800
Ratio: 800 / 400 = 2:1
Bitcoin BTC price analysis BTC.D and events calendar for JulyToday is the last day of the month and the last day of the second quarter, so there may be some volatility in the markets between 🐂 VS 🐻
💰 The CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart shows an interesting picture — the price has reached the upper limit of the consolidation channel, and now:
1️⃣ The scenario with an upward breakout is quite clear: a breakout from the channel upward and consolidation above $108-110k= a move to $125k during July.
2️⃣ A correction to $99k will mean that buyers have taken control of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, preventing it from updating its lows. This will be a clear signal to buy, because further growth is inevitable.
3️⃣ A deep correction to $91,660 (filling the GAP that formed on the CME BTC chart) or slightly lower. This is the last “unclosed” GAP, which, according to TA rules, should be filled for a full-fledged growth trend to begin.
So which scenario is closer to your heart, which one do you believe in?
Or write your version of events in the comments.
Interesting observations to think about:
◆ Over the past two weeks, the inflow of funds to #BTCETF has exceeded $5 billion, but the price of #BTCUSD on CEX exchanges has not been able to “break out” upward. Is this just ETF "property of numbers", or are spot #Bitcoin sales that strong?
◆ The BTC.D indicator has reached a critical level of 66%, and it will be interesting to see whether it will give altcoins some breathing room next month.
(If there are a lot of likes and comments under the idea, we will additionally describe our thoughts on BTC.D and USDT.D.)
◆ SP 500, by the way, has updated its highs, and the last few months on the stock market are very similar to the beginning and middle of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.
◆ And in principle, July promises to be very eventful:
👉 By July 9, Trump is expected to make a statement regarding the tariff wars with the rest of the world, which he has put on hold.
👉 July 18 marks the beginning of Mercury retrograde, which “influences” people's behavior and ‘superstitions’ and forces them to be “more cautious” when making trading decisions (and trading bots don't care about emotions and beliefs)
👉 And on July 30, there will be a FOMC meeting, where Mr. Powell may announce a rate cut, as the US is in a recession, which is time to acknowledge.
If we have forgotten anything, please add it in the comments!
Bitcoin (BTC): Still Hovering Near ATH | Seems WeakeningBitcoin is still hovering near the local ATH area, where sellers and buyers are fighting over the zone there.
There is nothing clear yet so we keep on monitoring, but we are seeing smaller signs of weakness, which indicate upcoming volatile movement as we are approaching the end of the month.
Now we will keep an eye on how sharp the monthly opening will be and based on that, we will trade. Our attentions are still at $120K for now.
Swallow Academy
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊
The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC
We trade across three market cycles:
HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend.
MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC.
LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend.
Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm.
Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative
The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze:
HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders).
MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily).
LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour).
Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach.
While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships.
Trading Scenarios: When to Act
Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range
When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound:
Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout).
Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry.
Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend.
Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range
When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound:
Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend.
Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave.
Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC):
Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure.
Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high.
Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario.
Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles
Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10).
HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly.
Final Vibe Check
This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
30/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $108,531.02
Last weeks low: $99,592.69
Midpoint: $104,061.86
Overall a positive week for BTC in isolation as price moves steadily all week reclaiming the losses made in the week from the 16th-23rd June. This comes after a $2.2B BTC ETF weekly inflow, the 3rd consecutive week of net inflows.
Having now hit the key S/R level of $108,500 it will be interesting to see where BTC goes from here. Jumping up above the level will require a lot from the bulls as ATH is within touching distance and so buying into major resistance is a tough ask. We also have Geo-political uncertainties to add to the situation, one bad tweet is all it takes sometimes to do a lot of damage.
On the other hand the SNP500 hits new ATH in the same conditions and so BTC is more than capable of doing the same.
So far in the first hours of this weeks trading we do have a SFP of the weekly high setup, not ideal for the bulls in any way and so from here the a retest of the range quarters, midpoint being the key area would make sense, invalidation would be a clean break above weekly high with acceptance and strong volume on the move to break the rangebound/choppy environment.
There is also the "window dressing" element to the months &quarter end today. History shows a de-risking going into these events and more money flowing back into risk-on assets in the days following monthly/ quarterly end. For that reason a bullish move (if there were to be one) would come later in the week IMO.
Good luck this week everybody!
BTCUSDT in a sell zone Let's keep it simple.
The IOF is bearish on the H4 timeframe.
Price has retraced to a premium zone.
Technically, once we see a lower timeframe confirmation from these zones, we take a sell.
While I'm eyeing the liquidity at 109050, any break below 106415 will usher us into a sell towards 99000.
Use your proper entry confirmation and risk management.
BTC Efforts to break the trend to create a new ATHPlan BTC today: 30 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
As of Monday, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $108,500, approximately 3% below its all-time high. Ethereum (ETH) has closed above a key resistance level, indicating the potential for a sustained upward movement. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) is approaching a critical threshold; a confirmed breakout could strengthen bullish momentum in the near term.
Bitcoin approaches record highs
The price of Bitcoin surged by 7.32% last week, closing above the $108,000 mark. As of the latest update on Monday, it remains near $108,500.
Should the current upward trend persist, BTC may extend its rally toward the all-time high of $111,980 recorded on May 22. A decisive close above this level could pave the way for further gains, potentially establishing a new all-time high at $120,000."
personal opinion:!!!
BTC buying pressure is prevented by selling pressure according to H4 trendline, accumulating and soon surpassing ATH
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 107.000 ; 104.600
Sustainable trading to beat the market
BITCOIN - Price can continue grow inside flat to $107933 level#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 106500, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 106000.
Entry price: 106736
First target: 106996
Second target: 107434
Third target: 107933
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change your stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
BTC 30.06.25So far BTC is behaving exactly as expected, i'm just waiting for a valid setup to appear. I would love to see a model 1, which takes out the high and mitigates supply, but i'm also not ignoring a potential model 2. These 2 deviations merge together on a higher time frame, where the range is also valid on, so they can be counted as one. There are many altcoins with similar behavior and USDT/C in potential accumulation. I'm waiting to see confirmations/ invalidations.
BTCUSDT Analysis – Bullish Focus Amid ConsolidationBTCUSDT Analysis – Bullish Focus Amid Consolidation
Bitcoin is currently mirroring the broader market sentiment, particularly tracking the S&P 500. After a false breakout above the psychological 100K level, BTC entered a distribution phase, followed by a consolidation range. This indicates a potential accumulation before a bullish continuation, although resistance levels remain key hurdles.
False Breakout at 100K: A failed breakout attempt triggered a sharp reversal, signalling short-term weakness. Price rolled back and found temporary support around 106,200, pausing further downside The pair is consolidating within a tight range, indicating a possible setup for a renewed bullish push.
Outlook: Despite the resistance cascade, BTC remains in a bullish structural zone as long as it holds above 106,000. A clean breakout above 108,500–110,000 could open the path back toward 114,000–117,000. However, failure to break may result in a deeper pullback towards 104,000–102,500.
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks for supporting.
BTCUSDT Hello traders. Wishing you a great start to the week!
This week’s first trade opportunity comes from the BTCUSDT pair. Over the weekend, the pair showed significant volatility, dropping from 108,776 to 107,565 in just a few hours. However, I see this drop as a potential buying opportunity.
In my view, the price is likely to bounce back towards the 108,930.12 level in the short term. Therefore, I’ve activated the trade and I’m sharing the details with you below:
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3.20
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 107,590.73
✔️ Take Profit: 108,930.12
✔️ Stop Loss: 107,181.36
🕒 If momentum weakens or price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll manually close it—whether in profit or loss—based on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Let’s break down what the chart shows for BTCUSDT on the daily Chart key points
Price: Currently around $108,129
Key levels:
There are EQH (equal highs) around $111,500–$112,000 acting as liquidity.
There’s a smaller Daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) between ~$105,500–$107,000.
A larger Daily FVG lower around ~$99,000–$103,000.
Weekly Fibs mark retracement levels below.
Two projected paths: One a break above the EQH liquidity; the other shows a deeper pullback before that.
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish continuation + liquidity sweep
Idea:
BTC pushes up to sweep the EQH liquidity near $111,500–$112,000.
Breaks above, hits stops, and either:
Continues higher to the next resistance zone near $115,000–$118,000.
OR fakes out, sweeps liquidity, and retraces to the Daily FVG.
What to watch:
If price closes strongly above EQH with volume, look for continuation buys.
Confirmation: Break/retest of $111,500 as support.
📉 Scenario 2: Deeper pullback before continuation
Idea:
Price fails to break the EQH cleanly.
Pulls back into the small Daily FVG or deeper into the larger Daily FVG.
Reaccumulates around the $99,000–$104,000 zone.
From there, look for a bullish reaction for a safer long.
What to watch:
Weakness at EQH: Wicks or rejection candles.
Entry triggers: Strong bullish PA in the Daily FVG zones + confirmation.
✅ Key takeaways
Liquidity above EQH means there’s incentive for smart money to run stops.
FVGs are your high-probability reaction zones.
wait for price to trade into imbalance with signs of bullish order flow.
BTC/USDTSince last November, price action has been ranging above and below a rising wedge which is typically a bearish structure. This has created plenty of market indecision with bears poised to regain control at every dip.
However, the recent pullback didn’t reach the wedge’s support line which is a subtle bullish sign and we’ve now clearly formed an inverse head and shoulders, a classic bullish reversal pattern.
A breakout is on the table with a target at $143K.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory.
The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase.
We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels.
This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view.
🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
BTCUSDT 30min Breakout Retest | Micro Wedge into Macro ConfluencBTC 30m chart shows ascending wedge, followed by a bullish retest of prior resistance (now support ~107.4K). Price now consolidating just under diagonal resistance near 108.8K. EMAs are aligned bullish, volume surged during the breakout, and remains elevated—suggesting further upside potential.
🔄 Higher Timeframe Confluence
4H: Price pressing upper boundary of a rising wedge within a larger symmetrical pattern. Trendline pressure is real—either breakout above $109K or fade to $106.5K–$105K retest.
1D: Third touch on descending trendline from previous swing highs. Momentum building, and candles holding above EMAs. Breakout above $109.2K can trigger a move to $112K–114K (red expansion zone).
1W: Still inside a macro bull flag. Support from the 20 EMA is firm. Weekly close above ~$110K = confirmed flag breakout with target above $120K.
⚠️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: 108.8K → 109.2K → 110K
Support Zones: 107.4K → 106K → 104.5K
Bullish Targets: 110.8K → 113.5K → 114.8K
Invalidation (Short Bias Trigger): Break below 106K on volume
📌 Idea Summary
Micro breakout (30m) leading a potential macro breakout (4H/1D/W). Bulls control short-term trend. Eyes on volume follow-through above $109K. Rejection = potential revisit of 106K. Consolidation under resistance = breakout watch.
BTCUSDT 30min Breakout Retest | Micro Wedge into Macro ConfluencBTC 30m chart shows clean ascending wedge, followed by a bullish retest of prior resistance (now support ~107.4K). Price now consolidating just under diagonal resistance near 108.8K. EMAs are aligned bullish, volume surged during the breakout, and remains elevated—suggesting further upside potential.
🔄 Higher Timeframe Confluence
4H: Price pressing upper boundary of a rising wedge within a larger symmetrical pattern. Trendline pressure is real—either breakout above $109K or fade to $106.5K–$105K retest.
1D: Third touch on descending trendline from previous swing highs. Momentum building, and candles holding above EMAs. Breakout above $109.2K can trigger a move to $112K–114K (red expansion zone).
1W: Still inside a macro bull flag. Support from the 20 EMA is firm. Weekly close above ~$110K = confirmed flag breakout with target above $120K.
⚠️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: 108.8K → 109.2K → 110K
Support Zones: 107.4K → 106K → 104.5K
Bullish Targets: 110.8K → 113.5K → 114.8K
Invalidation (Short Bias Trigger): Break below 106K on volume
📌 Idea Summary
Micro breakout (30m) leading a potential macro breakout (4H/1D/W). Bulls control short-term trend. Eyes on volume follow-through above $109K. Rejection = potential revisit of 106K. Consolidation under resistance = breakout watch.