BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-15 18:00 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 15-minute (Binance Spot)
Composite Bias: 🟢 Bullish
Key Levels
Immediate Support: $103,450 (Previous swing low + ATR-based floor)
Secondary Support: $103,000 (Psychological level + oversold RSI recovery zone)
Resistance: $104,200 (Local high, MACD convergence point)
Breakout Target: $104,500 (Measured move from recent consolidation)
Technical Rationale
MACD Bearish Crossover (Signal line > MACD, histogram negative) suggests short-term pullback risk, but RSI at 59.9 (neutral) leaves room for recovery.
ATR at 156.89 reflects elevated volatility; often a precursor to directional moves.
Volume & Structure
Volume is below average during the latest uptick, raising concerns about rally sustainability (Quant Team flags this as a low-conviction move).
Price was rejected at $103,960 after an earlier RSI dip to 7.7, confirming aggressive dip-buying interest.
Macro Context
Despite the bearish MACD crossover, trend strength score at 0.23 suggests weak downside momentum.
Earlier extreme oversold RSI (<10) is often followed by sharp reversals in BTC.
Risk Advisory (Compliance Division)
False Breakout Risk: Low volume on upticks increases the chance of traps — confirm any breakout with ≥0.5x average volume.
Macro Sensitivity: Fed policy uncertainty remains a headwind; monitor correlations with equities.
Liquidity Gaps: Thin order books between $103,800–$104,200 may amplify volatility.
Actionable Insight
Entry: $103,500–$103,600 (retest of support confluence)
Stop-Loss: Below $103,300 (1.5x ATR buffer)
Take-Profit: Partial at $104,200 if volume confirms.
Emphasize asymmetric reward/risk if $103,000 holds, but await volume confirmation before high-conviction entry.
BTCUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a bullish trading setup for BTC/USDT on the 30-minute timeframe, suggesting a potential upward breakout after a pattern that resembles an inverse head and shoulders formation.
Key Elements:
Green Arrows: Indicate potential buy entry points.
Orange Circles: Highlight the formation of two shoulders and a head (classic signs of a reversal pattern).
Blue Arrow and Zone:
Take Profit: Around the $106,354 level.
Stop Loss: Slightly below $102,372.
Current Price: ~$103,740
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a long trade setup:
Entry Zone: Near $103,000–$103,740
Target: ~$106,354
Stop Loss: Below $102,372
This strategy relies on a breakout confirmation after the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Always manage risk appropriately and confirm signals with volume or other indicators before entering. Let me know if you want a breakdown of the risk-reward ratio or additional technical indicators.
Bitcoin Stalls at $104,700 — Breakout Pending as Volume Remains BTC has been trading in a tight consolidation range all week, showing little momentum as it tests the $104,700 resistance zone. Despite repeated attempts, price action has failed to break out, largely due to declining volume and strong confluence at the current level.
Key Highlights:
Resistance Level: $104,700 (Value Area High + Daily S/R + Local Range High)
Volume Profile: Weak volume prevents confirmation of breakout
Price Behavior: Multiple candles closing within range without breakout
Btcusdt forming bearish h&s pattern in 1hr time frameA bearish head and shoulders pattern is forming on the 1-hour BTCUSDT chart.
A close below 101464 on the 1-hour timeframe may activate the pattern. However, since we are back in an uptrend, I would not trade this pattern.
Alternatively, if the price touches the liquidity sweep area and forms a rejection, I might consider a short entry with lower risk exposure, say 0.5% instead of the regular 1%.
If a rejection forms, we can consider an entry with a stop-loss placed above the peak of the right shoulder, which would invalidate the pattern.
The targets are 99400 and 98100.
If you're a bull looking for an entry, a target within this pattern is a good entry point preferably the 98100 area.
The only question is, where is your stop loss? Other traders know how to enter on a bounce, but I don't. So, I will stick to my strategy unless I'm doing a DCA then just, hold and forget.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Moving Within the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from the trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its decline toward our $100,000 target, and so far, we still don’t see any signs of a reversal before reaching this level.
The scenario remains the same — a decline toward the local low and the $100,000 zone (marked by initiating volumes), from where a potential entry into the main long-term uptrend can be considered.
Sell Zones:
$105,000–$105,700 (absorption of market buys),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
~$100,000 (initiating volumes),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes),
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes).
This publication is not financial advice.
BITCOIN: If it's going to retrace, it's now!Bitcoin is probably going to retrace, this is what the chart is showing us. A little retrace here wouldn't be bad, targeting the support area at $92.000. Otherwise, if BTC will manage to consilidate above current highs, will probably run higher around $110-115.000
BTC (Y25.P2.E1) Have 2 scenariosHi Traders,
I won't use words as the charts do the job if you can read charts.
Scenario #1, price moves up from here
Scenario #2, price sweeps the lows for liquidity. A fractal is aligned with it.
I'm looking to enter the trade big at the lows with Avwap, EMAs and liquidity making a strong case.
Here are short term levels based on our approach.
All the best,
Regards,
S.SAri
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-14 22:00 UTCBTC/USDT is currently in a short-term neutral to bearish phase on the 1H chart.
The overall structure shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a primary downtrend.
🔍 Technical Indicator Overview
RSI (14):
Current value: 44.6 → Neutral (no divergence).
RSI dipped as low as 25.1 earlier (02:05 UTC), but there was no sustained recovery.
MACD (12,26,9):
Histogram: -7.9173, signaling bearish momentum.
Last bullish crossover (02:40 UTC) did not hold.
MACD remaining flat while price makes lower lows may indicate weakening bearish momentum
ATR (14):
Current: 102.07 → Declining, suggests lower volatility and potential consolidation.
Volume:
Well below average, adding to the low-conviction price movement.
📉 Key Price Levels
Support Zones:
$103,400–$103,500: Multi-tested today → Short-term support cluster.
$103,200: Next key support, psychological + previous reaction zone.
Resistance Zones:
$104,000: Multiple intraday rejections today.
$104,500–$104,600: Strong resistance (yesterday’s high).
MACD Divergence Observation:
Price made lower lows, but MACD remained flat = Potential momentum weakening.
🎯 Educational Scenarios
Scenario A – Sideways Consolidation:
Holding above $103,400 → Range-bound between $103,400–$104,000 likely.
Scenario B – Support Breakdown:
Break below $103,400 with volume → Potential drop toward $103,200.
Scenario C – Bullish Breakout:
Close above $104,000 with RSI >50 and volume spike → Could retest $104,600.
Scenario D – Extended Bearish Case:
Failure to hold $103,200 → May test $102,800 (May 13 low).
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Low ATR (<110) = Higher false breakout probability.
Confirm any breakout with volume surge.
Neutral setups = wait for confirmation before directional bias.
📚 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Designed to help viewers learn how to read indicators and chart structures objectively based on current market behavior.
BTC bull cycle comes to an end.We can see it clearly on the chart. BTC has ended the 5 waves pattern in Elliot wave count. you can see it on the chart, you can see it on the MACD & RSI.
What we are seeing now is that because of Greed & Hype no one is selling bitcoin. the up-trend we are seeing now is the result of no sellers and Hype Buyers. This is a bull trap. We can see the divergence clear as day. Stay alert and dont let them catch you this time.
BTCUSD 1HThe chart you provided is a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) versus Tether (USDT) on the Binance exchange using a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it shows:
Sell Zone: Around $103,200–$103,600. This is marked as a potential resistance area where selling pressure is expected.
Descending Channel: A bearish flag or channel pattern suggests a likely continuation of the downtrend.
Levels Marked:
Level 1: ~102,400
Level 2: ~101,600
Target Successful: ~100,400
Large Red Arrow: Indicates a projected bearish move toward the lower price targets.
Summary: The chart predicts a bearish continuation with targets down to $100,400 after breaking down from the descending channel. This suggests a short/sell bias based on pattern breakdown and resistance at the Sell Zone.
Let me know if you’d like a deeper technical analysis, support/resistance validation, or alternate scenarios.
Be Caution, BTC Playing Below The Crucial Resistance🙏 First of all, sorry for not posting much recently. I’ve been closely following the market, but we’ve been stuck in a range — and as you know, analyzing complex ranges can be tricky. Anyway , let’s Start a New Update
📥 From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to have completed a 5-wave move from wave B of the main ABC corrective structure. Currently, the price is trading below a key trendline and the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). In my view, the probability of a rejection from this level is quite high.
📉 If a rejection occurs, the next major target I’m watching is the 96k level
👉 Totally still it’s better to stay away from the market, most of the alts haven’t even reached their march pivots, so don’t fomo and let’s see what will happen at this crucial 105k resistance
BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving According to the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached our sell zone at $105,000–$105,700, and we saw an immediate reaction upon testing the lower boundary of that range.
The scenario outlined yesterday remains valid. We expect a corrective move with potential to reach $100,000, from where a continuation of the primary long trend may be considered.
Sell Zones:
$105,000–$105,700 (absorption of market buys),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
~$100,000 (absorbing volume),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
This publication is not financial advice.