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BTCUSDT trade ideas

BTC daily chartPHEMEX:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT After breaking the 91k area, we have a bounce from the 85k zones, We note that the price respects the trend line as well as the M200, the RSI and CCI index reached the oversold areas and the CCI index also broke its low when Bitcoin was at the November 2022 low. Conclusion: So far, the situation remains good despite the significant pressure on currencies. Required: The price should return above the 91k zone, but in case of a break of 85k, we may visit the 73k – 75k zones, but this is unlikely yet, let's wait and see what happens soon.
by crypt0_90
Bitcoin Breakout Imminent?In this idea, I'll share my technical analysis on the BTC/USD pair. After a period of consolidation, I believe Bitcoin is poised for a potential breakout. Key Points: - Identified key levels of support and resistance - Analysis of trend lines, channels, and chart patterns Trading Strategy: This analysis is geared towards swing traders and investors looking to capitalize on potential medium-term movements. _Timeframe:_ 4-hour chart _Summary:_ Bitcoin's price action suggests a breakout may be imminent. Keep a close eye on the key levels and indicators highlighted in this idea to potentially capitalize on the next move. Share your thoughts and feedback in the comments below!"
Long
by Cartela
Super cycle that comes every 16 years I predict btc bubble will burst at 130k in october 25 we will see the biggest decline in btc history taking us to 10k 90 percent drop scaring out nearly all retail traders and setting up for the super cycle that will see for the 1st time btc hitting 400k. This will be the year when we see btc become a global used digital gold adopted by all banks and businesses. Mean while xrp taking up the role as the worlds currency working in syncro with btc used by banks to transfer money across the world All paper currency will be faded out and countrys will adopt there own digital currency that will be entangled with xrp As the banks buy up all the btc the coin will become so scarce eventualy btc will be worth over 1 million dollars. Taking it away from the people thus once again allowing goverments to gain control of the coin just like world currency
by hazzac01
Bitcoin Analysis and Possible predictionsBitcoin is currently trading around $88,857 after breaking below the previous support zone of $91,130. This sharp drop indicates strong bearish momentum, with the price now sitting just above the next significant support level at $88,909. A breakdown below this could open the path toward deeper corrections, possibly around $85,000 or lower. The RSI is trending downward, currently near 30, signaling that the market is close to oversold territory. However, being near oversold doesn't guarantee a reversal; the price can continue to drop if bearish momentum remains strong. If RSI bounces above 30, it might indicate a short-term relief rally. Momentum indicators are still showing negative pressure, with the money flow index remaining low, suggesting continuous capital outflow from the market. The momentum waves in the lower section of the chart continue trending downward, and there are no clear bullish divergences that would suggest an imminent reversal. Key resistance levels are now $91,130, $94,245, and $96,069. Any short-term bullish movement would likely face rejection at these levels without significant volume support. On the bearish side, a close below $88,909 would confirm further downside potential. If Bitcoin holds the current level and RSI recovers, there is a possibility of a short-term bounce to $91,130. However, given the strong bearish sentiment, the more probable scenario is a continuation of the downtrend toward lower support zones. Traders should watch for confirmation of a reversal before considering long positions, as the market remains in a fragile state with bearish momentum dominating.
by bitfate
BTC Market Analysis – February 25, 2025Market Analysis – February 25, 2025 1. Market Context • The market is experiencing a significant downturn, with a prevailing sense of fear and fatigue. • However, it is emphasized that bear markets are a normal part of the crypto cycle, and it is important to maintain perspective. 2. Bullish News Despite the Downtrend • Institutional Buying: • MicroStrategy has acquired ~20,356 BTC for ~$2 billion, continuing its large-scale dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy. The company now holds nearly 500,000 BTC. • A Japanese investment firm, Metaplanet, has also purchased ~135 BTC for ~$13 million and aims to reach 10,000 BTC by the end of 2025 and 21,000 BTC by 2026. • Key Takeaway: • These institutional purchases demonstrate long-term confidence in Bitcoin, even during market corrections. 3. Market Outlook and Key Takeaways • Confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential remains despite the current downturn. • The recommendation is to be patient and cautious due to high volatility. • Market downturns often precede strong rebounds, but precise timing is uncertain. 4. ETF Flows and Leverage Liquidations – Key Insights from Charts Bitcoin ETF Flows • The ETF flow chart shows significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, particularly on February 24, 2025 (-$516.4M). • Notable outflows have been recorded in Grayscale GBTC (-$22.16B in total), which continues to lose assets due to high fees and profit-taking. • Fidelity and BlackRock ETFs are showing relatively stable inflows, with BlackRock’s IBIT accumulating over $40.72B in total. • Interpretation: • These ETF flows suggest that while some institutions are accumulating BTC through ETFs, the net flow remains negative in recent days. • This adds downward pressure to Bitcoin’s price and aligns with the bearish market sentiment. Bitcoin Exchange Liquidation Map • Current BTC Price: ~$89,268 • The liquidation map shows high levels of leverage liquidations, with significant short liquidations concentrated in the GETTEX:89K –$90K range. • The chart also reveals strong liquidation clusters above $100K, indicating that a price rally past this level could trigger mass short squeezes. • Interpretation: • The presence of large liquidation zones around GETTEX:89K and above $100K suggests a highly leveraged market. • A potential move above $90K–$95K could lead to short squeezes, pushing prices higher. • However, continued downward pressure and ETF outflows increase the risk of further long liquidations if Bitcoin drops below $87K. 5. Technical Analysis & Market Confirmation 1. Overall Downtrend • Across five timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D), market indicators predominantly show bearish trends. • The market environment is described as difficult, with strong selling pressure. 2. Institutional Accumulation • Repeated Bitcoin acquisitions by major players suggest potential for a future rebound. • On higher timeframes (12H–1D), Koncorde Divergence sometimes shows positive signals (“Azul”), indicating institutional accumulation despite broader market sell-offs. 3. Short-Term Oversold Conditions • Indicators on the 2H and 4H timeframes signal extreme overselling: • ISPD close to 0.1 • RSI below 25 • HPI at very low levels • The analysis suggests that while the drop is significant, sharp declines often precede potential recoveries. 4. Bitcoin vs. Altcoins Divergence • Bitcoin remains a “key asset”, while altcoins are showing fragility due to fragmented liquidity. • Multi-timeframe indicators confirm that Bitcoin is also affected by the downturn but still holds stronger appeal than altcoins. 6. Key Trading Zones & Recommendations 1. Most Relevant Timeframes for Entry • Short-term trades (2H–4H): • Strong oversold signals (ISPD <0.1, low RSI, HPI <10) may provide buying opportunities for technical rebounds. • Swing trades (8H–12H): • Waiting for stabilization or a shift in MTFTI from bearish to neutral/green is recommended before entering. 2. Major Support & Resistance Levels • Support Levels: • Short-term (2H/4H): ~$87,000–87,300 (potential rebound area due to overselling). • Daily: ~$80,300–80,500 (a critical pivot level; breaking below could trigger further declines). • Resistance Levels: • $94,000–95,500 (high AVWAP zones in 2H/4H/8H). • $100,000–102,000 (Daily HiAVWAP resistance; breaking above could shift market structure). 3. Potential Trading Strategies • Scalping/Intraday (2H–4H): • Look for bullish divergences and monitor if the ~$87,000 support is tested. • A potential rebound could target the $90,500–92,000 zone. • Swing Trading (8H–1D): • Waiting for stronger reversal signals, such as ISPD Div Pro rising above 0.5–0.6 or MTFTI turning neutral/green on 8H–1D timeframes. • Long-Term (HODL Strategy): • Continued DCA accumulation remains a viable strategy, given institutional investors are still buying Bitcoin. 7. Final Conclusion • Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend, reinforced by ETF outflows and high leverage liquidations. • The ETF flow chart shows recently intensified outflows, with Grayscale GBTC seeing the most significant losses. • The liquidation map reveals high leverage concentration at GETTEX:89K –$90K, suggesting potential short squeezes if BTC moves upward. • Key Levels to Watch: • Supports: ~$87,000 (short-term), $80,000–81,000 (critical daily level). • Resistances: ~$95,000, then $100,000–102,000, where a breakout could liquidate a large volume of shorts. • Strategic Approach: • Short-term: Consider speculative buys on a retest of ~ GETTEX:87K if indicators confirm a bounce. • Long-term: Wait for clear trend reversal signals (MTFTI turning neutral/green, ISPD above 0.5, etc.). • Caution: If the $80–81K support breaks, the downtrend may accelerate, possibly testing lower liquidity levels. summary: • The downturn is real, but capitulation and accumulation signals are emerging. • ETF outflows and leverage liquidations play a crucial role in price movements. • Key levels ( GETTEX:87K , $80K) should be closely monitored for positioning. • Patience, caution, and close market observation are advised.
by Ox_kali
Btc/USDT Update !!Those who listened carefully on last Btc result here are the results. Currently we are hovering in buying area 1 as i am a spot trader and prefer spot trading always. Buying here with 40% of portfolio here with tight SL and if close below the box by today or tommarrow close the trade & next buying box remains the same 71,000-73000. I will buy at that region. > Currently 13 Jan & 3rd Feb Monday low is taken out ✅ > Rejected perfectly from curved resistance line on BTC✅
by Haxhmiii
Secure profits of SHORT Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily Chart Analysis - As of Feb 25, 2025 🔍 Chart Breakdown: BitcoinMF PRO Signals: Recent Long Signals: Several long signals were triggered, but the price has broken down from the previous uptrend. Recent Short Signals: The indicator has issued multiple short signals before the recent downtrend, indicating a bearish phase. Price Action & Trend Structure: Current Price: $88,339.9 (Bybit) High of the Day: $91,478.2 Low of the Day: $88,093.2 Change: -3.43% Trend Analysis: The price has broken below the mid-range of the channel, which previously acted as support. If this level doesn’t hold, BTC could continue downward. Linear Regression Channel & Trend Analysis: Bitcoin has broken below the mid-line of the regression channel, signaling potential downside continuation. The upper boundary of the channel (previous resistance) is around $111,900 - $118,800. The lower boundary is approximately $74,000, which could be tested if selling pressure increases. Fibonacci Levels & Support/Resistance: Key Resistance Levels: $95,100 (local resistance) $103,800 (major resistance) $111,900 (bullish breakout level) Key Support Levels: $86,800 (nearby support) $81,700 (critical support zone) $74,000 (historical major support) Volume Profile & Open Interest: The recent red candles are accompanied by an increase in volume, signaling strong selling pressure. If volume remains high on downward moves, BTC could continue dropping. Open Interest Check Needed: If OI is decreasing alongside the drop, it suggests weak long positions being liquidated. Bollinger Bands & Volatility: BTC broke below the middle Bollinger Band, signaling further downside risk. The lower Bollinger Band is expanding downward, which usually indicates volatility increasing to the downside. The upper Bollinger Band around $103,800 is acting as resistance. BitcoinMF PRO Take Profit Zones: Bearish Targets: $86,802 $81,768 $74,072 Bullish Targets (if trend reverses): $95,961 $103,894 $111,908 Since BTC is currently trading below the first bearish target, there is a high probability of hitting $81,700 next. Fisher Transform & Momentum Oscillator (Bottom Indicator): Fisher Transform is showing a bearish cross and is moving lower, which is bearish confirmation. The oscillator is approaching oversold conditions but not yet at extreme levels, meaning BTC could still drop further before a potential reversal. Bitcoin Dominance & Market Sentiment: If Bitcoin dominance is rising, it could signal capital moving into BTC from altcoins (potential bounce). If dominance is falling, it indicates altcoins are also experiencing heavy sell-offs, reinforcing a bearish BTC trend. Fear & Greed Index & Market Sentiment: Checking real-time Fear & Greed Index would be ideal to assess extreme fear or greed levels. If extreme fear is present, a bounce could follow. 🚀 Next Most Probable Move: Probability Scale (1-10) for Next Move: 7/10 Bearish There is a high probability BTC will test the $81,700 support if selling pressure continues. A relief bounce may occur, but resistance at $95,000-$96,000 is strong. The only bullish scenario would be a reclaim of $95,000+, which looks less likely short-term. 📌 Conclusion & Key Trading Plan ✔ Short-Term Outlook: Bearish unless BTC reclaims $95,000 ✔ Key Support to Watch: $81,700 - $74,000 ✔ Possible Rebound Levels: $95,000 - $103,800 📌 Final Recommendation: Short-Term Traders: Look for short opportunities on bounces toward $95K, targeting $81K. Long-Term Investors: Accumulation zones start at $81K, with major buys at $74K.
Long
by BitcoinMF
ARE WE REACHING THE 86k?Hello, The past analysis stops on February 20th (as shown by the white shaded rectungular) without explaing again all the price, volume and cycle action, what did i aspect in these past 5 days ? 1. after the liquidity recover and fakeout on 18th, i aspected a solid laterla position back in the 95-98K range, to confirm the fakeout. 2. a uptrend into the range (becasue otherwise the fakeout would have been a breakout) and then : 2a. bullish case : a strong breakout, namely BOS, with probabile drawdown and further break of 100K level, to confirm a change in trrend structure 2b. bearish case : a liquidity recovery until the 98K range, failing to break the 100K and downtrend back to the 95-98K range 3 . in the bullish case: a probable recovery until 102-105K, drawdown and next uptrend. in a bearish case main target were a. 92K support a b. 0.5 ineffency level left from start of february c. 89K level from a downtrend spike on jan 13th. What's the rational behind, these targets. The uptrend of btc, and aalong with the total market cap, i will say the uptrend of the cryptomarket, is efivent in the long-term. The monthly trendline are stable and persistent. The question is when ? Considering that, even in a bullish phase, these level and liquidity, left behind, will be taken, soon or after. Thus, recover sooner will help the future bullish movement to be more consistent and solid, ratehr than a scenario of liquidity void and high spikes, where can indicates bubbles or uncertainity in patterns and volumes. Reality meet expectations ? since im not god and good (yet), i always trade keeping in consideration different aspect ratehr than just price actions, volumes, cycles, fundaments.. etc. As well, both scenario must be consider and searching for confirmation has been the most efficient approach. 1. the sharp uptrend within the range, could give signal of a breakout but should have been confirmed by a BOS, which didn't occur. 2. The lil ranging above 98K, along with the candlestick pattern, led to understand a NON-breakout (doubletop without wicks tends to indicate a change in trend), confirmed by a strong trend reversal. right after. 3. The return below the 92K is the confirmation for the bearish case, and for setting a short position, at least until 95K. 4. at 95K there is a situation common in the recent low tf btc development, cupshape. Small range inbetween 95-96K and new dpwn trend. 5. the last range to be broken for a huge confrimation is the past fakleouts one, around 94K. breaking two range : the 96K keept for almost the wholoe february and 94K, arise from November, will be a trong indicator of a next bearish phase. Summrized BTC is going closer to a long-time-expected level, namely 88-86K. A Another range is waiting below this latter but, too soon to say. The liquidation, Open interest and volumes shows this new target as a new consolidation levl before juping tot he starts again. Here few fundamentals considerations, such as politics and institutional updats, must be taken into account to better understand why we drop, but from a technical point of view, this is a good sign for the healthyness and solidity of the market. And remember, a drawdown is just a possibility for a new or better entrance ; what's now? Next analysis on the profile .
by itsmcasalinii
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 25-26)Yesterday, Bitcoin completely ignored the levels we had marked and broke the scenario of a quick recovery for longs. At the moment, we have tested the lower level of the global sideways range, as well as the important zone of $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). So far, we do not see a strong reaction apart from a surge in volume. In the near future, we primarily expect a sideways movement between the two volume zones of $91,300-$92,600 and ~$89,000. Now, for a full recovery of buying activity, it will be necessary to overcome the newly formed sell zones, which have accumulated significantly during the decline. In the case of a negative outcome and a breakdown of the current support zone, we will enter a bearish trend with an initial target of $77,000. Sell Zones: $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). $97,500-$98,400 (aggressive selling volumes). $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes). $91,300-$92,600 (accumulated volumes). Buy Zones: $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, aggressive buying volumes). Interesting Altcoins For SUSDT , we tested an important volume zone and received a strong reaction from buyers. We are considering a long position upon testing the local zone of $0.72-$0.69 and its reaction, or in the case of a false breakout of the local low.
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin 4H Chart Analysis & PredictionKey Observations: 1. Price Action: - The price is trading near $91,575, following a significant sell-off with large red candles. - There is a small bounce after tapping into a green demand zone, suggesting potential short-term support. 2. Support & Resistance: - Strong Resistance: - $93,927 - $94,675 - $95,109 (cluster zone) - $96,118 - $96,756 (major resistance) - Support Levels: - The current green zone around $91,000 - If broken, next support appears closer to $89,000-$88,000. 3. Liquidation Levels (Circles on the Chart): - The large orange and blue circles represent high liquidation points. The orange circles above signal potential resistance as trapped longs may sell into rallies. - The blue circles below suggest liquidity that could attract further downside moves. 4. RSI (Relative Strength Index): - RSI sits around 24.5, in deep oversold territory, suggesting a potential bounce or consolidation. - However, RSI can remain oversold during strong downtrends. 5. Momentum Indicators: - Market Cipher B-like signals: - Green dots at the bottom, indicating potential bottom formation or relief bounce. - The momentum waves are still pointing downward but could flatten if buyers step in. - Bearish Divergence: Still visible in previous moves, so bulls need confirmation before a trend reversal. 6. Money Flow Index (MFI): - Negative flow continues, showing capital leaving the market, adding bearish pressure. Scenarios & Predictions: ⚡ Scenario 1: Relief Bounce (Bullish Short-Term) - If the $91,000 support holds and RSI recovers from oversold, we could see: - Target 1: $93,927 - Target 2: $94,675 - $95,109 (key decision zone) - A break above $95,109 with volume could push towards $96,756. However, rejection is likely given heavy liquidity above. ⚡ Scenario 2: Breakdown (Bearish Continuation) - If $91,000 fails, expect a sharp decline toward: - Target 1: $89,000 - Target 2: $88,000 - Momentum and money flow indicators still favor this scenario unless buying volume spikes soon. Overall Bias: - Short-term neutral-to-bearish, with potential for a relief bounce. - Watch for volume confirmation and RSI divergence on lower timeframes before entering long positions. 🕵️Key Levels to Watch: - $91,000: Immediate support. - $93,927 - $95,109: Short-term resistance cluster. - $89,000 - $88,000: Next downside target if the current support breaks. ⚡ Final Note: The market is showing exhaustion signs but needs confirmation for a reversal. If Bitcoin doesn’t hold the current level, the liquidity below could drive another sell-off. Always manage risk carefully—especially with heavy liquidity zones nearby.
by bitfate