BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC - long squeezeI'll be truthful I don't think the expression "long squeeze" is a real thing - but it should be!
Daily TF
Next level down i think is 98K should the local support @ 102K break.
0.5 fib puts us at 89K / a touch on a macro uptrend / touching a key price point where BTC has oscillated for several months. This move would accomplish a liquidity grab and fill a fair-value-gap. If this happens it could be a fantastic long opportunity.
If prices sees continuation to the downside the 618 would be the next natural retracement level but would result in a break below said macro uptrend and thus could create a macro bearish move - 67K would be my guess.
BTCUSD – Multi-TF Bearish SFP & Fib Retrace Before ATH Rebound
Bearish SFP printed on 4H / 8H / 12H / 1D at $103 345 – $104 985 after a parabolic ~$94 k → $104 k run and multiple rejections at $104 k–$106 k resistance.
Trump tariff-cut announcement sparked a sharp spike into resistance that was quickly sold off, confirming heavy supply at $104 k – $106 k.
Baseline plan: drop to 0.786 Fib ~$102 586, then 0.618 Fib ~$100 613, before a push toward the ATH ~$109 588.
Trade Setups
Short – SFP Breakdown
Trigger: 4H close below $103 345
Entry: ≈ $103 300 on retest
SL: $105 500 (above swing high)
TP1: 0.786 Fib ≈ $102 586 RR ≈ 0.7
TP2: 0.618 Fib ≈ $100 613 RR ≈ 2.6
Long – Fib Rebound
Trigger: Bullish reversal at 0.618 Fib / FVG cluster ≈ $100 613
SL: $99 300 (below FVG)
TP1: SFP top / range high ≈ $104 145 RR ≈ 2.7
TP2: ATH ≈ $109 588 RR ≈ 6.8
Bitcoin BTC Is Entering Into CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
I got a lot of comments to analyze BINANCE:BTCUSDT because it has almost reached ATH and people don't understand what is happening. In my opinion last pain ahead and after that likely we see great gains.
Let's take a look at 4h time frame. We can finally notice the full 5 waves cycle which is likely to be finished. If you remember my recent analysis this is just the wave 1 inside higher degree wave 3. Awesome Oscillator has printed divergence, so there is a great chance that correction has been already started. The target for this correction is 0.5 Fibonacci at $90k. I don't recommend you to short this move if you are not experienced because this is trade against the trend.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a buying opportunity around 103,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 103,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #89👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis I’ll go over the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin is still below the 104866 resistance level and is ranging underneath this zone.
💥 Today, an important news update came from Trump: a deal has been made between China and the U.S., and the two countries have agreed to reduce tariffs for 90 days.
✔️ The impact of this news was that Bitcoin made a wick toward 106247 but didn’t reach it, pulled back, and is now again below the 104866 area.
✨ At the moment, the 104866 level is a suitable trigger for opening a position, but be aware that there’s a significant resistance zone at 106247. Personally, I won’t open a position just on the break of 104866 because it's very close to the ATH zone, and the probability of entering a corrective phase is high.
⚡️ If a correction begins, the first support level for price is at 102391. If the RSI stabilizes below 50, the likelihood of a correction increases.
🔽 As for short positions, we should wait until the market shows a trend reversal.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Now let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, the dominance chart made a slight upward correction and is now breaking below the 62.65 low.
🧩 If the downward move in dominance continues, altcoins could make another leg upward. The next support for dominance is at 62.17.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for the Total2 analysis. The 1.24 area, which was our long trigger, is being broken—and if it confirms, the price could rise up to 1.31.
⭐ This confirmation, along with the drop in Bitcoin dominance, could give us good long setups on altcoins.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether dominance. This index hasn’t triggered yet and is currently sitting at the 4.51 support. If this index also confirms a bearish move, the risk of opening long positions will be much lower.
💫 The next support level for Tether dominance is at 4.37.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC to Stocks....We can see a clear resistance line shown by the bollinger line touch at the upper band and moving its way sideways. Increasing at a decreasing rate. This is the first sign of moving down! Add to this a great stock market rally and BTC holders, mostly profit takers, moving their wins to another pot with real fundamentals. It's going to be a ride! MSTR will likely get hit too. We'll see!
BTCUSDT Non stop pumping (Soon or late another ATH cooking)As we can see price is near ATH resistance zone and we are looking for maybe a short-term correction and rest and soon after that more pump here is expected like green arrows and even breakout of ATH and new ATH like 113K$ or 120K$ is cooking for next two months.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BTC Hourly Setup – Breakout or Rejection Ahead?
🔥 BTC – 1H Chart Watch
📈 Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending parallel channel on the hourly timeframe.
👀 Momentum remains steady—watch closely for a breakout above the channel or a possible rejection at the top boundary.
This zone could shape the next short-term move—stay tuned!
BTC - Bulls vs Bears! Who will win?current market context
the chart displays btcusdt on the 1-hour timeframe, currently in a consolidation phase following a strong impulsive move to the upside. this phase is characterized by a range-bound price action forming a horizontal channel, with clear resistance near the top of the range and support near the bottom. the price is fluctuating between these two levels, indicating temporary equilibrium in the market where neither buyers nor sellers have established dominance.
consolidation structure
this range is acting as a reaccumulation zone, typically formed after a significant move when the market pauses to either absorb liquidity or distribute orders before the next impulsive leg. within this range, traders are positioning themselves for a potential breakout, and institutional players may be accumulating or offloading large positions depending on market intent. the balance within the range suggests that market participants are awaiting a catalyst before committing in size to a direction.
bullish breakout scenario
if price breaks above the range high, it would signal bullish continuation. such a breakout would likely occur with increased volume and a strong momentum candle, confirming buyer interest and initiating an expansion move. this move could target new highs, potentially opening the path toward all-time highs as the breakout clears short-term liquidity and invalidates local bearish structures. the green projection on the chart visually outlines this potential path, where the breakout leads to higher prices with minimal resistance above.
bearish breakout scenario
alternatively, a breakdown below the range low would indicate a shift in short-term market sentiment and a break in bullish structure. this scenario would likely trigger sell-side liquidity and initiate a quick move toward lower fair value gaps. these gaps, left unmitigated during the previous bullish rally, now serve as potential targets for price to fill. the red arrow illustrates a scenario where price pierces below support, accelerates lower, and seeks inefficiencies and demand zones around the \$98,000–\$95,500 levels. this breakdown would likely be sharp, driven by stop-loss triggers and sell-side imbalances.
range as a decision zone
the current structure represents a critical decision zone. the upper and lower boundaries are pivotal breakout levels, and the outcome of this consolidation will determine the short- to medium-term market direction. traders should exercise caution while price remains within the range, as fakeouts or liquidity sweeps are common near such levels. confirmed structure breaks and volume surges should serve as validation tools before entering directional trades.
liquidity and volume considerations
liquidity resting above and below the range acts as fuel for the eventual move. the longer the range holds, the more liquidity builds on either side, increasing the probability of a strong expansion when price finally breaks out. volume analysis will be key in validating the breakout’s legitimacy—without accompanying volume, the breakout could fail and result in a false move or whipsaw.
summary
this setup provides a high-probability environment for breakout traders and those waiting to trade the trend continuation or reversal. the market is compressing within a well-defined range, and a decisive breakout is likely imminent. preparation, not prediction, is the priority—wait for confirmation of structure shift and volume expansion before committing to either side.
BTC - Accumulation, Manipulation & Distributioncurrent market structure
this btcusdt 1-hour chart illustrates a classic three-phase market structure: accumulation, manipulation, and potential distribution. the price action follows a strong bullish impulse, after which the market enters a sideways range suggesting absorption of previous selling pressure. this kind of behavior is often observed before a continuation of the prevailing trend, but not without intermediate structural games, as seen in the projected manipulation phase.
accumulation phase
the blue highlighted zone marks a consolidation range that serves as an accumulation phase. during this stage, large market participants likely accumulate positions quietly while maintaining the price within a defined range. the tight price action within this zone and relatively small candles are consistent with market absorption, where supply is being matched or outpaced by demand. the repeated rejections of lower prices in this range imply growing buyer interest and strength building beneath the surface.
unfilled fair value gap
beneath the accumulation range lies an unfilled fair value gap (fvg), shown in grey. this price imbalance was left behind during the prior bullish leg and remains a magnet for price action. such gaps often attract price as the market seeks efficiency by mitigating unbalanced areas. the presence of this fvg makes it a likely candidate for a liquidity grab or retest before further bullish continuation.
manipulation setup
the red path outlines a possible short-term manipulation event. this move involves a quick sweep of liquidity beneath the accumulation zone, triggering stop-losses from late long entries and drawing price into the fvg. this is a classic “spring” or “shakeout” scenario designed to trap sellers and create panic, thereby enabling larger players to enter at discounted prices. the manipulation tag here signals a deliberate attempt to create false downside conviction before reversing upward.
re-accumulation and breakout
following the manipulation phase, the green projection shows a sharp reversal and aggressive push upward, initiating a new bullish leg. this move represents re-accumulation, where price quickly exits the range and enters an expansion phase. momentum will likely increase after price breaks back above the original range high, signaling confidence in the trend continuation and drawing in breakout traders. the large green area indicates the expected path toward a new distribution zone.
distribution projection
at the top of the chart, the green box represents a possible future distribution zone. after an extended bullish run, price often enters distribution, where buying interest begins to wane, and larger participants start offloading positions into retail strength. although speculative at this point, its placement reflects the natural progression of a market cycle if the projected bullish move plays out.
market psychology
this chart reflects a clear sequence in market psychology: stealth accumulation, a manufactured dip to create fear (manipulation), followed by a surge fueled by both institutional entries and retail breakout traders. understanding this dynamic helps traders anticipate rather than react, positioning themselves in alignment with likely intent rather than emotional impulses.
summary
the chart outlines a structured bullish scenario with a potential manipulation wick into an unfilled fvg, setting the stage for a continuation higher. if price reacts strongly off the fvg and regains the range, confirmation of bullish intent would be established. this setup emphasizes the importance of understanding liquidity dynamics and price inefficiencies, favoring patient and strategic entries over reactive ones.
#BTC reaches the red target zone📊#BTC reaches the red target zone✔️
🧠From a structural perspective, the goals of the long structure we built in the blue resistance zone have been fully achieved, so we need to be vigilant against the occurrence of a pullback, and do not chase the rise in the sell zone! We should look for short opportunities in the sell zone.
➡️The concerns in the previous post still exist, because this week is not over yet, we need to observe whether the closing price of the weekly candlestick chart can stabilize above the blue resistance zone. Only when it stabilizes above the resistance zone, the blue resistance zone will turn into a support zone. Then look for long trading opportunities in the support zone.
⚠️Note that if we set a new record high, we also need to wait patiently for a pullback to appear before participating in a new long trade.
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Can #BTC hit a new all-time high?📊Can #BTC hit a new all-time high?
🧠From a structural perspective, the goals of the long structure in the daily support zone have all been achieved, so we need to be wary of the risk of a pullback! As we get closer to the all-time high, the resistance will become heavier, so I won't chase the rise here under huge pressure. I think even if a new all-time high is reached, the expectation of a pullback is very large.
➡️The current closing price of the weekly candlestick chart is above the blue resistance zone, so the resistance zone turns into a support zone. So if we want to participate in a new long trade, we should wait patiently for the price to return to this yellow support zone before considering it.
Let's see 👀
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
DeGRAM | BTCUSD ended the period below 100k?📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rocketed out of the $91 300 demand zone, snapping the 6‑month descending trend and converting the $99 500 former cap into support.
● A tight bull pennant is forming just above that level; a decisive break targets the marked resistance level/supply band at $108 000. Long bias void below $93 300.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. Treasury’s plan to boost quarterly bill issuance is flattening real yields and lifting non‑yielding assets.
● Hong Kong’s new spot‑BTC ETFs amassed >$500 M AUM in two weeks, signalling fresh Asia‑Pacific demand and tightening offshore float.
✨ Summary
Pennant continuation above new support and expanding Asian ETF inflows argue for a push from $99.5 K to $108 K; protect longs if price closes under $93.3 K.
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BTC at Crucial Retest Zone — Bearish Setup in Play!Price Action Alert on #BTC/USDT (4H Timeframe)
#Bitcoin recently broke down from a rising wedge, a classically bearish pattern. Alongside this, we've also identified a bearish RSI divergence, further validating potential downside momentum.
Key Observations:
🔺 Rising wedge breakdown confirmed
📉 Bearish divergence on RSI (4H)
🔁 Price is now retesting the broken wedge from below (a classic bear signal!)
⛔️ Still holding above a key horizontal support — watching for a clean break here for confirmation
📌 Bearish Trade Setup (Waiting for Confirmation):
Entry: Below key support zone (marked on chart)
Target 1: $84,300
Target 2: $75,000
Stop-loss: Above wedge breakout point (100,500)
💼 Always follow proper risk management!
🧠 Why This Matters:
The combination of pattern breakdown, bearish divergence, and a retest zone is a powerful signal — but patience is key. We wait for full confirmation (support break) before executing any short trade.
📣 What do you think — will #BTC break the support or bounce back? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🗣️
If you found this analysis helpful, like, comment, and follow for more real-time setups! 🚀
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #Bearish #ShortSetup #RisingWedge #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TradingView
12/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $104,972.46
Last weeks low: $93,385.49
Midpoint: $99,178.97
Bitcoin climbs over 12% from weekly low to weekly high, an incredible achievement despite a mixed performance in Tradfi. A pattern we've seen since the $74,500 double bottom following Liberation day goes; A strong rally for a week, consolidation in a tight trading range for a week, then repeat. Should this pattern continue we should see consolidation between weekly high and $102,075 (0.75 line).
CPI & PPI take place this week on Tuesday and Thursday respectively, inflation is still a big talking point but baring a crazy print I would be surprised if these events move BTC. In the last few hours at time of writing The US has reduced tariffs on China to 30% for 90 days, China has reduced tariffs on the US down to 10%. To me this signifies the worst of the trade war narrative is behind us.
This week I will be tracking altcoins with strong fundamentals as BTC.D rolls over from its highest point since January '21, ETH has already had a strong breakout from the downtrend and with BTC at ATH levels with strong resistance this should be the time to see altcoin strength and play catch-up.
Good luck this week!
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, we had a true breakdown of the local maximum for bitcoin. We considered the probability of this scenario developing in our daily analysis on TradingView.
The buyer resumed control over the delta, although we had previously noted strong sell pressure within the $98,000–$93,000 range several times, which could trigger a deep correction.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Now the price has reached the target of $105,000, the priority remains for the longs. If BTC gains a foothold above this mark, the volume zone of $104,000–$103,000 may become a key support zone.
Sell Zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$104,000–$103,000 (high-volume area),
~$100,000 (absorbing/breakthrough volume),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events to watch out for:
• Tuesday, May 13, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024;
• Wednesday, May 14, 06:00 (UTC) — German Consumer Price Index for April is published;
• Thursday, May 15, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of UK GDP for March, for the first quarter of 2025, as well as in comparison with the fourth quarter of 2024;
• Thursday, May 15, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US retail sales index for April, the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits, the index of manufacturing activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the US producer price index, the volume of retail sales in the USA for April and May;
• Thursday, May 15, 12:40 (UTC) — Speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Thursday, May 15, 23:50 (UTC) — Japan's GDP for the first quarter of 2025 is published.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics