Bitcoin - Biggest trap in history, ETF investors will lose!Bitcoin is heading towards 30k to 40k in 2026, and many people will lose money, especially ETF investors. All major Bitcoin ETFs launched around January 10, 2024, at the price of around 45,000 USD per Bitcoin. What if I tell you that everyone who bought this ETF will be in a loss during the next major bear market cycle? Of course whales need liquidity, and pushing the price to the ETF's all-time low would be a perfect plan.
Bitcoin has been going only down since Trump's first day in office. All investors are extremely disappointed because they saw Trump at a Bitcoin conference talking about the future of Bitcoin and the USA crypto reserve. Unfortunately, it was a trap, and Bitcoin is losing its value pretty significantly. Everyone who bought the news is pretty much at a loss. Of course Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the central banks and government, so forget about decentralization and freedom. But let's take a look at the technical analysis on the weekly chart.
On the chart, we can see a parallel channel, and today we have a huge red dildo breaking the channel to the downside with a strong volume. This parallel channel is a representation of the whole bull market (uptrend) since 2022. It's breaking down, and we can completely forget about any bull market this year. From the Elliott Wave perspective, an impulse wave has been completed, and we are looking for a bearish retracement. Usually we want to focus on the 0.382, 0.500, and 0.618 FIB levels. These levels provide the highest probability of a bounce.
In the short term, we have a falling wedge pattern that I warned you about a few days ago. I predicted this dump successfully.⬇️
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin’s Sharp Drop—What’s Next After the Crash? Bitcoin’s Sharp Drop—What’s Next After the Crash?
Bitcoin has plunged below $77,000, marking a significant downturn as global markets react to Trump’s tariff policies.
Cryptocurrencies sold off sharply heading into the week in Asia, underscoring a clear risk-off sentiment across markets. The slide comes as US president Donald Trump dug in on sweeping tariffs that have already wiped trillions in value from US equities. US equity-index futures slumped and the yen surged in a sign of deepening turmoil throughout financial markets.
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Fed Easing, BTC Soars? The main event of the day: the U.S. stock market and the cryptocurrency market have turned upward. The chance of a key rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve was estimated at 38.5% as recently as yesterday, but now it is 62.5%. This is a very fast and strong change. There is a reason for this.
Fundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve may be forced to urgently move to lower rates and launch new liquidity programs, and the reason for this will not be inflation or the labor market.
The MOVE Index, reflecting volatility in the U.S. bond market, is now on the verge of crisis intervention. On April 9, the index jumped to 139.87. If it crosses 140, this could trigger emergency actions by the Fed, as happened in the past. The Fed may simultaneously turn on the money printing press and lower the key rate. Cheap money will flow into the financial markets.
You can view the MOVE Index on TradingView by searching for "TVC:MOVE".
Technical Analysis
Yesterday, during the price decline, the U.S. stock market did not update the previous local minimum. The price of BTC also did not update the local minimum, although it came very close. Now the BTC price chart can be interpreted as a double bottom (W) in short-term analysis.
The best price for a stop-loss order is the local minimum of BTC prices, $74500. In a favorable scenario, if the Fed lowers the key rate, a very significant increase in BTC prices should be expected. It is quite possible the price will exceed the ATH.
BTC - 4 Different Wider Looks at BTC1️⃣ Weekly EMA 55. Many legit touches.
2️⃣ Possible Elliot Wave in Log chart.
3️⃣ 4H EMA 200.
4️⃣ A valid Pitchfork since Dec 2024
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Bitcoin Still Fully in Bearish ModeThe reason is here
1. Bitcoin still reject bearish trendline from January 2025
2. Flag pattern created from 10 March and before flag its down trend, chance to bearish continuation
3. CME gap at 84k, can trigger breakout flag pattern and more downside risk incoming from short seller
4. No more bullish sign till we can close above 96k
5. New moon on 29 March
i think, rug 2.0 in coming especially with Trump tariff headline everyday and in early April Trump will announce something about tariff
If we cant hold 84k, its so over, another rug to 74k in coming
Most likely path forward, Fed stops the bleeding in JuneLooking at this chart I can see a clear trajectory to 68k, though bulls may end up staving off that price until June when the Federal Reserve plans to meet and talk interest rates, which will most likely be lowered to stop the bleeding of the stock market. I predict, if they do, there may be a drop in BTC price right before the meeting so folks can get their discounted bitcoin.
from www.forbes.com
Now, as the chief executive of BlackRock warns bitcoin could end the U.S. dollar’s world’s reserve currency status, traders are betting the Federal Reserve will be forced to cut interest rates to stave off a U.S. recession—something that could see the market “flooded” with dollars.
BlackRock CEO Issues Huge $952 Billion Bitcoin Price Warning To The U.S. Dollar
Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell is having to recalculate the need for interest rate cuts after ... More U.S. president Donald Trump followed though on his threat of global trade tariffs—potentially playing havoc with the bitcoin price.
Short-term interest-rate futures are showing a 70% chance of a Fed interest rate cut when it meets in June, up from about 60% before the tariffs were announced.
That meeting is scheduled for June 17th and 18th.
Shorting isn't a crazy idea for now, while hedging on short term upswings until we hit 68k.
Bitcoin Pullback Complete – Bears Gearing Up for Round Two!!!First of all, let me say that the market has been very excited these past few days, so be more careful with your capital management.
Also, these days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has a high correlation with the US stock market indices , and one of the most important of them is the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ).
Today, I published the following analysis for the S&P 500 Index , which I used as a result of that analysis for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($81,610-$79,800) , the Yearly Pivot Point , the Daily Pivot Point , the important uptrend line (broken) , and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($81,500-$79,677).
Overall, it seems that this uptrend in Bitcoin over the past few hours was a pullback to the broken Important uptrend line and the liquidation of short position s. Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the uptrend of the last few hours has been in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) and we should expect another decline .
Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend and approach the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again ( after breaking the support lines ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $74,520-$73,244
If you want to see my overall view of Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and further understand the significance of the Uptrend line(broken) , you can refer to the following idea:
Note: If Bitcoin can completely fill the CME Gap($84,475-$81,450), we should expect further increases.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
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BITCOIN: Another drop and then Swing Bounce $121,000The price may drop further to 75k point. However, we expect the price to rebound to 121k area. As we approach 75k threshold, we expect the price to rise sharply.
The price touched our area and reversed well. The target is 121k area. Let’s see how it goes.
BTC DAILY CANDLE NEEDS TO CLOSE BELOW $75KExpecting Bitcoin Daily Candle Price To Close Below $75k, This To Give An Edge That The Internal Structure Of The Over All Swing Structure Have Shifted Bearish.... After Then, Price To Aim The Nearest Demand Zone, Which Is $68k - $66k.. And If The Bull Fails To Hold On To The Demand Zone.. More Chance For The Bears To Push Price Downward
This could be the last of the crypto bull market...There is a MACD zero-line reversal on the 90-minute chart, and the price could drop to around 72K, which is the last key support for this bull market. Once the price reaches this level, check lower timeframes for reversal confirmation before entering a long trade.
Short?I just feel at this short term bearishness inevitable and most likely 65k is gonna be hit reason being, is the safer markets are crashing naturally people will panic sell and withdraw most funds out of exchanges due to fears of trade wars momentarily slowing down business. Even though these tariff threats are usually used to push deals through, it does often scare big and small investors. If you are spot swing trader you are just riding waves man and its awesome!...
104% Tariff on China By USA, Btc to 66k 68kBitcoin (BTC) could experience a drop to the $66,000–$68,000 range as market sentiment reacts to the United States imposing a significant 104% tariff on Chinese imports. Such a drastic trade measure can trigger global economic uncertainty, causing investors to move away from riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.
Historically, geopolitical tensions and trade wars have led to capital shifts into safer assets, such as the U.S. dollar and gold, while speculative markets, including crypto, experience short-term sell-offs. If this tariff leads to supply chain disruptions, economic slowdowns, or stock market corrections, Bitcoin might see a temporary decline due to reduced liquidity and cautious investor behavior.
However, long-term effects will depend on how the crypto market decouples from traditional financial markets and whether investors see BTC as a hedge against inflation and economic instability. Traders should monitor key support levels around $66K–$68K and overall market reactions to this developing economic situation.