Bitcoin (BTC): We Will Re-Test ATHs | Crazy VolatilityCrazy movement is happening in the markets recently, where we are once again seeing markets being driven by news and enthusiastic bullish movement.
As we mentioned yesterday, if we see a break of the liquidity zone near $99K, we will be retesting ATH most likely, and this is our view as of now. FOMO on the markets will lead the price to upper zones where, once back at ATH, we will be looking for MSB.
Of course, if we see strong dominance by buyers near the ATH, then $140K might be the next target, but nothing is confirmed yet; it is just a thought.
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BTCUSDT trade ideas
$BTC, Bitcoin update: what is going on?🚨 Bitcoin Update: We've just seen a decent correction on CRYPTOCAP:BTC followed by a strong pump.
I’ve warned about this already — this pump is not organic. It's largely driven by institutions and Michael Saylor, using leverage.
📉 A healthy price movement should look like a staircase: move up, consolidate, reset the daily MACD, then push higher again.
Each rally should be followed by a slight pullback — that’s how sustainable trends are built.
❌ But this natural cycle is being disrupted.
Saylor and ETFs keep buying the top to prevent corrections. Some laugh and call it incompetence, but I believe it’s strategic.
These players don’t care about making money on trades.
Their goal is to inflate the value of their companies (or stock value), which are now heavily tied to Bitcoin’s price.
That’s why they don’t want BTC to consolidate.
Every time there's weakness, they step in to buy, preventing any pullback and forcing the price through resistances and fair value gaps.
🤖 The problem? Bots — which represent +80%+ of the trading volume — are not wired this way.
They sell when BTC is overbought and buy when it's oversold.
But with institutions disrupting this cycle, exchanges end up selling BTC, and whales scoop it up — leading to lower supply on exchanges.
Exchanges then have to buy BTC back at higher prices, sometimes even at a loss — often by printing billions in Tether (USDT) to compensate.
🎈 This entire mechanism is inflating Bitcoin’s price, exactly what Bitcoin maximalists want.
But it also kills the chance for an altseason, which usually comes after Bitcoin tops out.
📊 So what’s next?
Ideally, we get a consolidation to around $91K to avoid a major bearish divergence.
If BTC breaks below $90K, we could see GETTEX:82K — but given current conditions, that’s unlikely.
On the chart, RSI is high on daioly, Williams indicator is turning bearish and MACD too. These are all signs of a most needed consolidation. But as I explained, this is cancelled at the moment.
💰 Can institutions push BTC to a new all-time high?
Yes — they basically have unlimited capital and the money printer will turn back on by September.
But once again, altseason is postponed.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets #MichaelSaylor #ETF #BTCAnalysis #Altseason #CryptoPump #MarketManipulation #BTCUpdate #Tether #CryptoWhales #DailyMACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoInsights #Web3
“+$25K Profit & Still Long – Don’t Chase, Trade Smart”Since the drop to 74K, we've seen an incredibly fast and powerful rally over the past month—and I’m currently sitting on a realized profit of over $25,000 during this move.
One of the most bullish signals in this entire structure is that since the reversal in April, we’ve never seen a proper correction or trend-reversing retracement. As I mentioned in previous updates, this shows exceptional strength and suggests the uptrend remains firmly intact.
In fact, we’re climbing without breaking any key lows—what I like to call a “step-by-step” grind upward. On higher time frames, these look like strong bullish candles, meaning more buyers than sellers, and aggressive market orders pushing price higher. That’s a characteristic of strong trends—remember that.
Now, with the historical ATH at $109,000 getting closer, I do not expect an immediate breakout to new highs. Instead, we might see a healthy consolidation—either price-wise or time-wise—around this major supply zone. This is not the time to FOMO in.
The recent surge was fueled by comments from President Trump, and that breakout candle was significant. But sharp moves often bring sharp corrections. If price pulls back to the 96–95K zone and finds support, that could be the base for a new push toward all-time highs.
If you’re not in a position right now:
🚫 Do NOT rush into the market.
We are at a spot where both a breakout and a reversal are possible. Whether you’re using the lower or higher time frame, wait for clear confirmation—a pullback, a base, a proper setup.
Look to long only after strong support is confirmed, or short if price keeps failing to break highs. Either way, keep a tight stop and let your winners run—there’s still opportunity here, but only with proper risk-reward.
I’ll say it again because it’s important:
If you missed this long, it’s okay.
The market will correct—whether sharply or slowly—and your edge is not in chasing, but in being ready. Don’t let impulsive trades erase your capital or your confidence.
Oh, and by the way—I’m still holding my long position.
BTC HOLDING LEVELSDear friends,
I want to analyze and discuss Bitcoin's future movements without any unnecessary chatter. Looking back at my previous analysis of BTC, I mentioned that I was waiting for lower prices to buy Bitcoin, and it seems we are at the beginning of the correction waves I was anticipating.
I have identified three price levels where I plan to invest. It may take days or weeks to reach these levels, but once they do, I will buy Bitcoin and wait for it to reach $135,000 or even higher.
I expect the price to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching $70,000 or lower. I plan to make my purchases at $80,000, $75,000, and if the price hits $67,000, I will invest my full budget. My first target is $135,000, which I believe could be achieved in the coming months or years.
IMPORTANT: I will sell my holdings if the price continues to drop to $54,000. This could lead to significant issues for Bitcoin and its holders, so if that happens, I will exit my position and wait for new upward momentum.
"IT'S JUST GOOD BUSINESS"
Whether it can be supported and rise at 102429.56 is the key
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance is maintained below 4.97 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter an upward trend.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, I think that for the altcoin bull market to begin, BTC dominance must be maintained below 55.01 or continue to decline.
If USDT dominance falls and BTC dominance rises, most altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
In other words, it is highly likely that only BTC will continue to rise.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
Based on the current position, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If not, it is likely to fall to around the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0).
If the uptrend continues, the point to watch is whether it can renew the new high (ATH) this time.
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(1W chart)
It is rising after touching the 73499.86 area.
It is showing a large increase as it breaks through the HA-High indicator point of 97226.92 on the 1W chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator is expected to enter the overbought zone, it is highly likely that the future rise will be limited.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the left Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If it falls, you should check whether it is supported near 97226.92.
If it falls below 97226.92, you should check whether it is supported in the 1st and 2nd sections marked on the chart.
You should check where the StochRSI 80 indicator is formed when the next candle is created.
The StochRSI 80 indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 102429.56 point.
Therefore, we need to check whether the StochRSI 80 indicator point on the 1W chart is formed around the 102429.56 point.
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(1D chart)
Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart is located below the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a buying point.
With this rise, the StochRSI indicator is expected to rise above the midpoint.
If the StochRSI indicator is located above the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a selling point.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the price can be maintained around the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101784.54) as we pass through the next volatility period around May 19.
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Among the interpretation methods of the OBV indicator, there is an interpretation method that there is a possibility of an increase or decrease when the previous high or low is broken.
This time, it showed an upward break through the upper line of the OBV and broke through the lower line of the previous OBV.
In other words, it showed an upward break through the A section.
If this upward break through the B section is continued, it is expected to renew the ATH.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Bitcoin on the road to $105k and beyond...So Bitcoin has finally flipped from bearish in April to bullish in May 25.
As per Elliott Wave theory, it has been printing a clear Wave 1 from the bottom below (aprox. @$74.500).
At the time of this post, btc is @ the impressive price of $102.289.
I has clearly made a subwave 1, 2, 3, 4 and its on its way of finishing up subwave 5.
Thing is... this looks as a non stop movement for the time being.
That´s how BULLISH everyone hast turned.
My projection is that the whole swing should finally end somewhere between $104.600 - $105.300 (even if it could push a bit higher, such as $106.200 or so). Yes, it could go even further and then $107k, 109 and 110 would be open. But it seems fare reaching.
I rather stick to the former:
Wave 1 would end at around $104.600 - $105.300, and Wave 2 correction could take us somewhere between $93.500 and $88.750 (give or take).
It´s game! Let´s see how this finally plays out...
Bias: BULLISH
BTC Short Setup IdeaFollowing the recent impulsive move, we’ve seen a significant number of short liquidations. There’s a high probability of a correction toward the accumulated liquidity near the lows. Additionally, keep an eye on the CME gap between $91,920 and $93,440 — a potential magnet for price.
The impulse itself shows signs of weakness, and there's a noticeable bearish divergence on the RSI, suggesting downward momentum. Price is currently testing a strong resistance area, corresponding to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the entire correction since the ATH. Moreover, the RSI has entered overbought territory.
I recommend starting to look for short entries from this zone, supported by these technical signals. As always, proper risk management is essential.
Looking forward to hearing your thoughts and feedback on this idea!
BTC Maintains Strategic Bullish Structure New ATH Still insightHello Traders and Crypto Enthusiasts! 👋
I'm excited to share a detailed analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) on its ongoing bullish structure, maintaining higher highs and higher lows. This chart captures the key support zones, demand areas, and chart patterns that underpin our optimistic outlook. Let’s dive deep into the technical narrative.
Bitcoin continues to respect a clearly defined bullish market structure on the weekly timeframe. The price action has persistently printed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining upward momentum within a dominant ascending channel. This behavior reinforces the ongoing bullish narrative, as buyers have repeatedly stepped in at logical demand zones to defend structure.
The immediate demand zone between $71,300 and $78,300 has acted as a critical launchpad for price. As long as this region holds on a weekly closing basis, the probability of continuation remains elevated.
A clean break above the $109,588 resistance , marking the previous high—would likely act as a technical trigger for further upside acceleration, with the projected price target standing at $140,998. This level is derived from a measured move extension based on prior impulsive legs within the channel, reflecting a symmetrical and organic expansion of market structure. This almost projected same as one of our previous analysis.
Key support remains layered across multiple zones. The internal demand zone around $48,800 to $54,500 represents a structural pivot level. Below that, the extreme support zone near $27,900 and the foundational base zone between $15,500 and $17,765 provide deep support from earlier cycle lows. These levels are unlikely to be revisited unless a significant macro reversal occurs, something not currently evidenced in the chart.
The preservation of trendline support, coupled with repeated bullish rejections from higher lows, confirms that market psychology remains tilted in favor of the bulls. Sellers have yet to invalidate any critical higher low, indicating the uptrend is not only intact but maturing toward another expansion phase with potential ending diagonal in view.
With the current projection and structural alignment, the bullish thesis remains valid as long as Bitcoin sustains weekly closes above the $78,300 zone. A failure to hold that level could lead to a re-evaluation of this outlook. Until then, structure governs sentiment and right now, the structure is still decisively bullish.
Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and watch for confirmation signals as Bitcoin continues its upward journey. 🚀
Let's keep the discussion alive — share your thoughts, setups, and predictions below!
BTC...any sh&t bag holders? Seeing BTC pump, most likely short sellers getting squeezed, seems like the champgne effect will kick in anytime soon. Short term profit traders do not buy at the top and will sell BTC very quickly and moreso when trading algorithms are involved.
Be super careful with BTC FOMO, when it crashes it goes down hard! Crypto bros will be going back to rice and beans diet very soon.....
Bitcoin a Technical Summery technical summary based on what you're describing for BTCUSDT on the 4H timeframe:
Forecast from Mr Martin Date 05 May 2025
Current Setup:
Pattern: Two-sided consolidation/pattern (likely symmetrical triangle or range)
Key Support: ~89,000 USDT
Key Resistance: ~95,000 USDT
Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price holds above 95K and confirms breakout: Next target: ~98,000 USDT
Above 98K, could test psychological levels like 100K.
Bearish Breakdown: If price falls below 89K:nExpect a retest or quick rebound toward resistance (~95K).
You may see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks
Bitcoin Local TopBitcoin: rally meets resistance
Context
• April low: $74 000 → today’s high: $101 200 (+37 %)
• 90‑day pause on new US tariffs lifted risk assets; FOMC left rates at 4.25‑4.50 % with real yields still > 2 %
• Active conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza and the South China Sea keep macro‑volatility elevated
Flows
• US spot‑ETF complex: cumulative net inflow $40.7 bn, AUM $106 bn
• BlackRock’s IBIT: 15 consecutive inflow days, $6.96 bn YTD
• MicroStrategy: bought 15 355 BTC (~$1.42 bn) last week, now holds 553 k BTC
Technical focus (2‑hour chart)
• Price is 11 % above the rising trendline from 1 May
• Key confluence: $101 700 – $103 000 (0.27 Fib plus unfilled weekly supply)
• First support: $97 000 – $98 000; major demand: $92 000
• Mean‑reversion target if momentum breaks: $86 000
• Invalidation of pullback view: daily close above $103 500
Base case
60 % probability of a retest of $92–97 k before any sustained advance
30 % chance of a deeper wash to $86 k
10 % chance of a clean breakout through $103 k toward $109 k+
Takeaways
• Long‑only allocators: add on a confirmed weekly close above $103 k; risk below $98 k
• Swing traders: fade spikes above $102 k toward $97 k; tighten stops if daily > $103 k
• Spot accumulators: schedule bids at $92 k and $86 k; avoid chasing upside extensions
Educational commentary, not investment advice. Manage position size and respect stops.