BTCUSDT trade ideas
Take a step back to leap forwardMost altcoins REALLY NEED another correction before they can aim for higher levels.
There’s a high chance we’re about to see a major shakeout, and after that, the market will gradually rotate capital into altcoins.
It’s coming very soon — probably early May, though it’s hard to pinpoint exactly when. Just be prepared for a big liquidation move to wipe out all the FOMO long positions flying around 😂😂😂😂
This game has never been easy.
Wait for the market shakeout, fam. 😎😎😎😎😎
This upcoming move is going to be a big one 😎😎😎😎
AI predict BTC\USD price, Unbelievable, Check This Out?BTC / USD. COINBASE. Apr 27, 2025 5:07 pm. BTC / USD. Comprehensive BTC/USD Trading Analysis & Strategy (April 25–27, 2025)
(All timestamps in ISO 8601 UTC)
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I. Core Trend & Key Price Dynamics
1. Macro Trend:
- Mild Bullish Bias (+0.72% net gain) with extreme intraday volatility.
- Critical rejection at 95,500 resistance (tested on `2025-04-25T14:45:00Z`) and firm support at 93,000.
2. Volatility Clusters:
- High Volatility Phase:
- `2025-04-25T14:00–15:30Z`: Price swung between 94,440–95,564 with volume spikes (>750).
- Low Volatility Phase:
- `2025-04-27T00:00–20:00Z: Range tightened to 94,000–95,000, volume declined.
3. Pivotal Events:
- Bullish Breakout Failure: Sharp rejection at 95,564.90 (`2025-04-25T14:45Z`) led to consolidation.
- Bearish Engulfing Candle: At `2025-04-25T14:15Z` (volume: 846.26), signaling short-term top.
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II. Multi-Indicator Convergence
| Indicator | Bullish Signals | Bearish Warnings |
|----------------------|---------------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------|
| RSI 14 | Recovery from 40.79 (oversold) to 68.69 | Divergence at 61.24 as price rose (20:00Z) |
| CMF 20 | Surge to +0.428 (buying pressure, 17:45Z) | Drop to +0.056 (profit-taking, 20:00Z) |
| Supertrend | Bullish flip at 93,825.89 (18:30Z) | Flattening near 94,010.86 (indecision) |
| EMA 9 | Price sustained above EMA 9 (~94,300) | Failure to hold risks breakdown |
| Bollinger Bands | Breakout above upper band (94,191, 18:00Z) | Overextended near 94,540 (mean reversion risk)|
| MACD | Bullish crossover (17:45Z), peak at 47.61 | Histogram decline to 34.98 (momentum fade) |
| Stochastic RSI | Overbought (Fast K=100, 18:30Z) | Bearish divergence (Fast K=83.56 at 20:00Z) |
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III. Strategic Trade Setups
A. Bullish Scenario (Confirmation Needed)
1. Entry:
- Break & Close Above 95,500 with volume >800.
- Retest of EMA 9 (~94,300) with RSI >50 and CMF >0.
2. Targets:
- 96,000 (psychological level), 97,500 (Fibonacci extension).
3. Stop-Loss:
- Below Supertrend (93,825) or 93,000 support.
B. Bearish Reversal (Caution Signs)
1. Entry Triggers:
- Close Below 94,000 with CMF <0 and RSI <50.
- MACD Bearish Crossover + Stochastic K/D cross below 80.
2. Targets:
- 93,000 (support), 91,500 (volume gap from 25th).
3. Stop-Loss:
- Above Bollinger Upper Band (94,540) or 95,500.
C. Neutral/Consolidation Play
- Range Trade: Fade extremes near 94,000–95,500.
- Stop-Loss: 1% outside the range.
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IV. Critical Risk Factors
1. Divergence Risks: Bearish RSI/MACD/Stochastic divergences suggest upside exhaustion.
2. Volume Confirmation Needed: Bullish momentum requires volume >750 to sustain breaks.
3. External Catalysts: Watch for macro news (Fed policy, ETF inflows) around key timestamps.
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V. Real-Time Alert Levels
| Level | Type | Significance |
|------------------|-------------|--------------------------------------------------|
| 95,500 | Resistance | Previous swing high; breakout invalidates bearish structure. |
| 94,300 | Support | EMA 9 dynamic support; loss opens path to 93,825. |
| 93,000 | Strong Support | Macro swing low; breakdown triggers panic selling. |
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Final Outlook
- Short-Term (24–48h): Neutral-bullish with caution at resistance.
- Medium-Term (3–5d): Direction hinges on closing above 95,500 or below 93,000.
Immediate Action: Tighten stop-losses, book partial profits near 95,500, and await volume-backed breakout/breakdown.
(Indicators and price action analyzed in UTC timestamps for precision.) Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile and speculative. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing. You could lose your entire investment.
BTC Major Top And Bottom Identified Road to $160,000 Bitcoin is currently trading around $95,000. Based on my analysis of the top and bottom zones, we are very close to breaking the critical $100,000 resistance level.
I expect BTC to break $100K within the next few weeks. Once we achieve a clean breakout above $100K, the market could enter a strong bullish phase.
From there, I anticipate Bitcoin will reach the $160,000 target within the next 4 to 7 months.
Key support and resistance levels are marked on the chart, with confirmations from volume, structure, and sentiment.
This is a long-term bullish idea — short-term volatility is expected, but the macro trend looks very strong.
🔔 Follow for updates as the journey unfolds!
🚀 Target: $160,000 | 🛡️ Always manage risk carefully.
Bitcoin still defying gravity. Can it hold and continueBTC is flagging out at the previously defined point of interest. Although there are signs of bullish divergence market structure has yet to provide enough evidence that a retracement is in effect. However, the chart shows a volume gap below that presents an opportunity.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
Lingrid | BTCUSD weekly BULLISH Closure Above KEY LevelsThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It reached the target level. Last weekly candle closed bullish showing bulls stepped in, and previous week BINANCE:BTCUSDT closed above the last 6 week highs. The market completed the ABC movement, therefore the market is moving sideways around the 95,000 level. At this point we can see the pullback in the market since it's testing the previous week high and ABC completion. This pullback would give us the opportunity to go long from the support zone in expectation of continuation. Looking left on the daily chart, we can see the price kept rebounding from the support level around 90,000 from November and February, which shows the importance of this zone. If the price pulls back toward this key level, the chance of bouncing off is pretty high. This historical support combined with the recent bullish momentum creates a compelling case for potential upside continuation after the current retracement completes. My mid-term goal is resistance zone around 99600
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
BITCOIN - Short Trade - Take 2 - Downside Target Is 74,517...We're watching for a break below 87,000 to confirm the start of Wave (C), with a target of 74,517.
If price drops below 87,000 without making a new high, it confirms 88,894 as key resistance and an ideal stop level.
For a full breakdown, check out the video linked below in Related Ideas.
Bitcoin —Short-Term Retrace (Drop) Or Higher Next?Look at this, this is Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. I will keep it short, sweet and easy.
Bitcoin broke up 22-April and has been sideways since with an upward bent. When Bitcoin is set to drop, it drops the next day.
It has been four days and Bitcoin is going up, no retraces. This indicates that the next move will be a big, very big, green candle. No significant drop so far.
A drop would mean prices moving below 90K. Wicks lower or higher are not relevant and consider noise only. Not a drop nor a rise.
The next major move is up. Bitcoin is going up.
The action on the chart reveals higher prices.
The action coming from the Altcoins market reveals a major advance happening in the coming days.
Four days not lower but higher.
The 2-March high, the highest price since the first drop below 90K has been compromised. There was no strong rejection nor selling pressure.
This is a strong resistance level, $95,000. As soon as it gets conquered, Bitcoin will move straight up to $100,000.
Very easy, simple, short and sweet.
Bitcoin is going up. Buy and hold.
Buy and hold. I repeat.
Orange is the target zone. Short-term. Up next.
Namaste.
Bitcoin may exit from pennant and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Over the past weeks, the price traded inside a broad horizontal range, repeatedly testing the boundaries of the seller zone and the buyer zone. After several failed breakouts, the price sharply dropped from the upper range and entered a phase of lower highs, forming a downward pennant structure. Inside this pennant, the market continued consolidating under pressure from the resistance area. Each attempt to break above the resistance line was met with rejection, confirming strong selling interest near the current resistance level at 88500. At the moment, BTC is testing the upper boundary of the pennant again. This area aligns closely with the resistance level and the long-term descending trendline. Given this confluence and historical rejection zones, I expect BTC to face resistance and reverse, initiating a decline back toward the 79000 support level, thereby exiting from the pennant, which is my current TP1. The compressed price structure, repeated rejections, and clean pattern formation support this bearish outlook in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then make impulse upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke through the $79500 zone after a long phase of flat consolidation and sharp shakeout.
Once bulls reclaimed control, price formed a clean breakout and started building structure inside a wedge.
Momentum carried the price upward, with buyers defending each local dip and creating a stair-step rise.
Now BTC is moving steadily inside the wedge pattern, holding the lower trendline with no strong rejection.
Price is slowly grinding toward the key resistance around $88500, where volatility might return.
If this tempo holds, I expect BTC can grow higher and tag the $91000 points in the next impulsive leg.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTC/USDT Analysis: Following the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market breakdown.
Yesterday, Bitcoin came just short of testing the $95,000–$96,700 resistance zone (accumulated volumes) and began to pull back. Most likely, we will see more significant selling pressure once this zone is directly tested.
At the moment, we’ve tested the $92,000–$90,000 buy zone (strong buying imbalance) and are already seeing a reaction from it. The main expectation is the continuation of the long position and a test of the mentioned resistance zones. This is supported by the relatively weak nature of the pullback, absorption of market selling pressure on cumulative delta, and the presence of strong support.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin Faces Major Resistance as Bearish Shark Harmonic FormsBitcoin is trading into a major high-timeframe resistance region where structural, volume, and Fibonacci levels all converge. Price has been rejected back into the larger descending channel after a failed breakout attempt, suggesting the recent move could be a bearish retest rather than a continuation higher.
Adding to the bearish pressure is the emergence of a Shark Harmonic pattern. The current structure sees the C leg form off the major swing low (A point), leading into a strong push toward the potential D reversal zone. If price rejects here, it would activate the bearish harmonic and signal a deeper corrective move lower.
The 96,400 region remains the critical area to watch. A decisive breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish pattern and open the door for a bullish continuation. However, failure to reclaim this zone will likely confirm the rejection and set Bitcoin on course toward the 60,000 region, in line with the broader trading channel acceptance.
At this stage, price action is at a decisive point. Rejection confirms bearish continuation. Breakout reclaims bullish momentum. Traders should monitor this area closely for the next major move.
The Ultimate Guide to Smart Money ReversalsLet’s cut to it. Most retail traders get caught chasing moves that were never meant for them. They’re entering late, reacting to structure breaks without context, or fading moves without understanding what’s really happening behind the price.
If you're trying to trade like smart money on the reversal, at the turn then you need to know when the game is flipping. That’s where the Market Structure Shift (MSS) comes in. But not just any MSS. I'm talking about MSS that follow a liquidity sweep and are driven by real displacementnot weak candles, not in consolidation. Real intent. Real shift.
Here’s how I approach it.
What Actually Counts as a Market Structure Shift?
Everyone talks about market structure higher highs, lower lows, etc. But structure breaks alone don’t mean anything. A valid MSS isn’t just about breaking a swing point. It’s why it broke and how it broke that matters.
I only consider a shift valid when three things are in place:
Liquidity has been taken (above a high or below a low).
The shift is caused by a displacement candle that clearly shows urgency.
The move happens with strength, not during chop or consolidation.
If you don’t have all three, it’s just noise.
Liquidity Comes First
Everything starts with a liquidity sweep. That’s the trap.
Price has to reach into a pool of liquidity usually above equal highs, clean swing highs, or below clean lows to grab those orders, and reject. That rejection is key. It shows smart money is offloading positions into retail breakouts or stop hunts.
Without a sweep, I don’t care what breaks. No liquidity = no reversal setup.
So the first thing I do is mark out obvious liquidity levels. Equal highs, equal lows, trendline touches anywhere retail is likely to have their stops sitting. That’s where the fuel is.
Then Comes Displacement
After the sweep, I want to see displacement a sharp, aggressive move in the opposite direction.
Not a weak pullback. Not a slow grind. A real candle that shows intent.
Displacement is always obvious. You’ll get a clean candle, often engulfing multiple others, that breaks structure and leaves behind an imbalance what we call a Fair Value Gap (FVG). That imbalance is the signature of smart money hitting the market hard enough to leave a gap in the order flow.
If the candle’s weak, or if it happens during consolidation, I skip it. Displacement is what separates real reversals from fakeouts.
Here is a clean example of what it should look like.
Confirming the Shift
Once displacement confirms intent, I check if it actually broke structure.
That means:
In an uptrend, I want to see price break a previous higher low after sweeping a high.
In a downtrend, I want price to break a lower high after sweeping a low.
When that happens, that’s your MSS. Price has grabbed liquidity, shown displacement, and broken a key point in the structure. At that point, we’ve got a confirmed shift in control.
Entries, Stops, and Targets
Here’s how I trade it.
After the MSS, I wait for price to pull back into the origin of the move. Usually, that’s going to be one of two things:
The Fair Value Gap (imbalance left by the displacement candle)
Or the MSS line itself (Shown on the example)
Once price comes back into that zone, that’s where I’m interested in getting in.
Stop loss always goes just above the high (for shorts) or below the low (for longs) of the displacement candle that caused the MSS. You’re giving it room to breathe, but keeping it tight enough to protect capital.
Targets are straightforward: go for the next pool of liquidity. That means swing lows (sell-side) if you’re short, or swing highs (buy-side) if you’re long. That’s where price is most likely to be drawn next.
A Clean Bearish Example
Let’s say price is trending up, putting in higher highs and higher lows. Then it takes out a recent swing high liquidity swept.
Immediately after that, a strong bearish candle drops and breaks the most recent higher low. That candle leaves an imbalance behind—perfect.
Now I’ve got:
✅ Liquidity sweep
✅ Displacement
✅ Break of structure
I mark out the FVG / MSS line, wait for price to retrace back into it, and enter the short. My stop goes above the displacement candle high. My target? The next clean swing low. That's the next spot where stops are resting where the market is drawn.
A Few Things to Watch Out For
This method works, but only if you’re strict about the rules.
Don’t take MSS setups in consolidation. Wait for clean, impulsive breaks.
If the shift happens without displacement or imbalance, skip it. It’s not clean.
Be realistic with stops. Tight is good, but don’t choke the trade. Give it the structure it needs.
The biggest mistake I see? Traders jump in too early trying to front-run the shift before displacement confirms it. Let the story unfold. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the candle that slaps the market and breaks structure. That’s your edge.
As shown here, the first "MSS" is invalid and not the A+ setup you're looking for.
Final Thoughts
Trading smart money reversals is about reading intent. You’re not just looking at price, you’re understanding why it moved the way it did.
When you combine a liquidity grab, displacement, and a break in structure, you're aligning with institutional activity. You're trading at the turn when smart money flips the script and leaves everyone else chasing.
This isn’t about trading every break. It’s about knowing which breaks matter.
Keep it clean. Stay patient. Follow the flow.
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Thanks for your support!
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btcusdtGreetings all, I did a numerological vol from the benchmarks and with that I concluded that we will fall hard at 66-67k dollars. I also want to point out that we have exactly an inverted chart of how the breakout was formed, fractality that has been repeating for a long time, a classic inverted pattern that often flies down after a fake carry up and hard down.
Market Structure Shift (MSS) & Break of Structure (BOS) - GuideIntroduction
Understanding market structure is fundamental to becoming a consistently profitable trader. Two key concepts that Smart Money traders rely on are the Break of Structure (BOS) and the Market Structure Shift (MSS) . While they may seem similar at first glance, they serve different purposes and signal different market intentions.
In this guide, we will break down:
- The difference between BOS and MSS
- When and why they occur
- How to identify them on your charts
- How to trade based on these structures
- Real chart examples for visual clarity
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Break of Structure (BOS)
A Break of Structure is a continuation signal. It confirms that the current trend remains intact. BOS typically occurs when price breaks a recent swing high or low in the direction of the existing trend .
Key Characteristics:
- Happens with the trend
- Confirms continuation
- Can be used to trail stops or add to positions
Example:
In an uptrend:
- Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) form
- Price breaks above the last HH → BOS to the upside
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Market Structure Shift (MSS)
Market Structure Shift signals a potential reversal . It occurs when price breaks a significant swing level against the prevailing trend and is often followed by a shift in the internal structure (e.g., lower highs after higher highs).
Key Characteristics:
- Happens against the trend]
- Signals possible trend reversal
- Often occurs after a liquidity grab or stop hunt
- Optional: is created by a displacement candle
Example:
In an uptrend:
- Price takes out a significant high (liquidity grab)
- Then aggressively breaks the most recent HL → MSS to the downside
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How to Identify BOS and MSS
For BOS:
1. Determine the current trend.
2. Identify swing highs/lows.
3. Look for price breaking past these levels in the same direction as the trend .
For MSS:
1. Look for signs of exhaustion or liquidity grabs near swing highs/lows.
2. Watch for price to break against the trend structure .
3. Confirm with a shift in internal structure (e.g., lower highs start forming in an uptrend).
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Using BOS and MSS in Your Trading Strategy
With BOS:
- Use it to confirm trend continuation
- Add to your position after a retracement into an OB or FVG
- Trail your stop-loss below the most recent HL or above LH
With MSS:
- Look for confluence (liquidity sweep + MSS = strong signal)
- Use it to spot early reversal entries
- Wait for a confirmation candle or structure shift on LTF (1m, 5m, 15m)
- If the displacement candle is too big you can wait for the retest
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Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Confusing BOS with MSS
- Ignoring higher timeframe context
- Trading MSS too early without confirmation
- Chasing BOS without waiting for a proper retracement
Pro Tip: Use BOS/MSS with confluences like SMT Divergence, IFVGs, or key session times for higher probability setups.
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Final Thoughts
Mastering BOS and MSS will give you an edge in understanding price delivery and anticipating market moves. BOS confirms strength in the current trend, while MSS warns of a possible reversal and new trend forming. Combine these with smart money tools, and you’ll be equipped to enter the market like a pro.
Happy Trading!
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea
🚦 Market Context & Price Action
Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move.
💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts
According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout.
🟢 Wyckoff Schematic:
Buying Climax (BC) at current highs
Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces
Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup
You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab.
🟢 Trade Plan:
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level
Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation)
Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation
Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low
🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment
Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable.
🟢 Key Fundamentals:
ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong
Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness
Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move
🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management
Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering.
🟢 Risk Management:
Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS
Use tight stops below the range
Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption
📈 Trade Idea Summary
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally
Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure
Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range
Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range
Not financial advice!
Bitcoin Rallies on Stablecoin Optimism and Liquidity BoostMacro:
- The crypto market rebounded as sentiment improved following the US Treasury Secretary's proposal to ease stablecoin regulations, boosting trading volumes and risk appetite.
- On-chain data reflects growing activity. The average bitcoin trade size rose 15% MoM, overall volume jumped, and 78% of supply is now in profit.
- Liquidity support from the increasing M2 money supply in China and the US has further enhanced bitcoin's appeal.
Technical:
- BTCUSD surged to resistance near 94300, aligning with the 100% Fibo Extension, before forming a Doji candle that signals possible correction. The price remains above both EMAs, indicating a bullish shift.
- If the price breaks below 92000, it may leads to a pullback toward the 87000–90000 support zone, near the 23.6%-38.2% Fibo Retracement levels.
- A breakout above 94300 may open the door for a move toward the next resistance around 101400.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness