BTC, 4H , ANALYSIS Bitcoin (BTC) 4H Technical Analysis
Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. After rejecting the channel’s upper boundary, BTC broke below the midline of the channel and is now retesting it as support.
Key Levels:
- Downside Target (Correction): $105,000 (coinciding with the channel’s lower boundary + 4H demand zone).
- Upside Target (Breakout): $114,500 (new all-time high potential upon reclaiming the channel’s upper trendline).
Scenario:
1. If the midline holds as support, BTC could rebound toward the channel’s upper trendline.
2. A confirmed breakout above the channel may trigger a rally toward $114,500.
3. Failure to hold the midline could extend the correction to $105,000, where strong demand is expected.
Trading Strategy:
- Aggressive: Long entries near the midline with stops below $105K.
- Conservative: Wait for a confirmed bounce at $105K or breakout above the channel.
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BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC going to the moon.... but when?BTC is showing signs of bearish divergence on many of the timeframes, but the bulls don't care. However, traders need to. Signs of divergence can eventually get follow-through, but not without a proper market structure. At the PA, divergences can be invalidated and disregarded. This would result in the trend being our friend.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
Bitcoin Is Printing Irregular CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
Despite the negative comments that BINANCE:BTCUSDT will pump instead of my bearish prediction and Saylor's Bitcoin purchases I am going to follow my scenario - nothing has changed. Based on my experience price now is printing the most difficult shape of correction - irregular ABC.
In recent analysis I explained why we shall use now 12 hours time frame. On this time frame Awesome Oscillator shall cross zero line to finish correction. Target for irregular correction usually at 0.38 Fibonacci at $97.5k, but also can touch $95k with the wick.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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QT - BTCPlan for BTC,
Since the Draw On Liquidity is met, a reversal is likely to become before a next expansion until the end of 2025. However, this reversal would likely to be a small retracement on a HTF trend. Another reason is that QE has not been eased, leading to the fact that this pump is just a pump by retails not Whale or Smart Money. On chain data shows that people who hold from 100-10k BTC has been in a neutral state while under 1 BTC has been extremely bullish.
JanmerlCarloBitcoin continues to show strong bullish momentum as it solidifies its position as a leading digital asset in the global financial landscape. With increasing institutional adoption, growing integration into traditional financial products like ETFs, and a tightening supply due to the recent halving event, the fundamentals for Bitcoin are aligning for a potential breakout. On-chain metrics indicate strong accumulation by long-term holders, and broader macroeconomic trends, including inflation concerns and fiat currency debasement, further support the narrative of Bitcoin as a reliable store of value. As regulatory clarity improves and technological infrastructure matures, BTC is well-positioned for sustained upward movement in the coming months.
Bitcoin to touch the 236 next?4H timeframe
Bitcoin near-touched the ATH and currently we are yet to break above this level. Candle closes above the ATH could send BTC into price discovery however for now we should assume that it could be resistance.
Liquidity Zone @ 100,500
We could see a reaction to the 236 which is sat directly below the liquidity.
Microphone pattern formed during recent p.a.
I do think that if BTC is unable to succeed the previous ATH then we could see bearish price movement.
Bitcoin - Correction Is Finally Happening!Hello, Skyrexians!
Let's continue trying to guess when BINANCE:BTCUSDT will have a correction. This time it's very likely, but I am not recommend to short this correction because this is the trade against the major trend.
Let's take a look ate 12 hours time frame. Wave 3 is likely to be finished with internal double divergence on Awesome Oscillator. Now it's finally time for the wave 4. 0.38 Fibonacci is the most likely target at $101k. After that wave 5 is expected and it's going to be only higher degree wave 1.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop to $99500, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price is currently testing a crucial area where multiple technical factors converge. After an extended period of consolidation between 101500 and 105100 points, the price failed to break the upper boundary and instead reversed, showing increased bearish momentum. The recent move has brought BTC right to the lower edge of the consolidation range, which aligns with the ascending trend line, a level that has held multiple times before. This time, however, the setup looks weaker. Price pierced through the trend line slightly, and while there was an initial reaction from buyers, the overall structure suggests a loss of bullish strength. The market has been forming lower highs, and this recent failure to hold above the trend line could be a signal that sellers are beginning to dominate. Given this context, I expect that BTCUSDT will soon break decisively below the ascending trend line and move through the 101500 - 100800 support zone. If this zone is lost, the next logical target lies at the 99500 level, which aligns with the broader structure and the base of a previous impulse. My outlook remains bearish for now, with 99500 as the next key objective. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
As expected, Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after reaching a key resistance zone. This move was accompanied by a bearish divergence, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
We expect the correction to extend toward the identified support zones, where price may find demand.
If Bitcoin holds at one of these key support levels, a bullish reversal could follow, potentially leading to a new upward leg and fresh all-time highs.
Is this correction setting the stage for the next big move? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin – Sweep the Highs, Next Target $98kMarket Overview
Bitcoin has been trading sideways for more than 8 days now, forming a tight consolidation range with no real breakout in sight. This kind of price action typically signals accumulation or distribution by larger players. While it may seem indecisive on the surface, this phase is often where the market sets its trap. What looks like inaction is actually a setup in progress. Price is compressing, volume is thinning out, and both bulls and bears are being lured in. That’s a perfect recipe for a sudden, aggressive move that wipes out one side entirely.
Liquidity Structure
The structure of this range is very clean, which in trading terms usually means dangerous. On the top side, we have a lot of liquidity, just above $105,800. This level has been tapped multiple times but never convincingly broken, and it now acts as a magnet for liquidity. On the flip side, the downside holds multiple clean lows, all clustered under the $100,000 mark. Both ends of this range are packed with liquidity. Smart money doesn’t trade in fair value, it trades where the most liquidity sits, and in this case, both the top and bottom of the range are loaded.
Inducement and Manipulation
The real purpose of this kind of range is not balance, it’s inducement. The market is inviting traders to take breakout positions on both sides, knowing full well that it’s unlikely to follow through cleanly. I believe we are currently in the inducement phase of the cycle. The equal highs around $105,800 are baiting breakout longs and short stop-losses alike. A move above that level would act as the stop hunt, triggering the final wave of longs before the rug is pulled. Once that liquidity is taken, I expect a sharp reversal that targets the lows of the range and continues further toward the real pool of liquidity sitting between $98,000 and $97,500.
Scenario Outlook
The most probable sequence from here is a fake breakout to the upside, followed by an impulsive selloff. A wick above $105,800 would serve as the signal, and once that inducement is cleared, the move down should be fast and decisive. This drop would take out the range lows and sweep the stops of everyone who tried to buy the breakout. If price does hold above $105,800 and shows continuation with strong volume and follow-through, that would be an invalidation of this short setup and a shift in structure, in which case I would reassess and wait for a pullback before considering any longs.
Price Target and Expectations
The first key event is the sweep above $105,800. That’s where breakout traders will commit, and that’s where I expect the reversal to begin. From there, downside targets include the low of the range and deeper liquidity near $98,000 to $97,500. This area aligns with a big imbalance zone, inefficiencies and the golden pocket fib level.. The expectation is for a quick drop once the trap is sprung, with a potential for a reaction or even a new bullish setup forming near that demand region.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has been compressing for over a week, and that usually ends with expansion. But expansion is not always trend continuation, especially when the structure suggests manipulation. The current setup looks ideal for a stop run above the range before dumping into deeper liquidity. The key is to wait for the sweep and watch how price reacts. The more obvious the breakout, the more likely it is to fail. Liquidity is king in this environment, and right now, the biggest pockets lie below.
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Volatility Period: Up to May 29
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the previous ATH range.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise to around 109588.0 and receive support.
However, since it is currently going through a period of volatility, we need to be careful about trading until May 28th.
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If it falls further, we need to check if it can receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
In particular, whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is key.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, so we need to think about a response plan for this.
Therefore, if it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will show a pull back pattern.
The HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 102302.08, so it is important to see if there is support around this point.
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The OBV indicator shows that OBV is falling below the High Line, and the StochRSI indicator is also showing that it has switched to a state of K < D.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether OBV can touch the previous High Line or OBV EMA and rise.
If it falls below that, it is highly likely to lead to further decline.
I compared the previous OBV movements, that is, A, B, C, and the current movement, and the difference can be distinguished by whether it fell below the previous candle or not.
You can see that there is a difference from the previous movement because it is highly likely to close below the previous candle.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it falls below 102302.08 after the volatility period or rises above 109588.0-110787.38.
If it falls below 102302.08 and receives resistance, it will turn into a short-term downtrend, and if it rises above 109588.0-110797.38, it is likely that the uptrend will resume, so it is a meaningful section.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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#BTC Rising Wedge📊#BTC Rising Wedge📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we have reached the target area of the bullish cup-with-handle structure, so we need to be vigilant about the occurrence of a pullback.
➡️From a graphical perspective, we have formed a rising wedge near the red resistance area, which is generally regarded as a bearish model.
➡️If the rising trend support line does not hold and falls directly, then we can also expect further declines to occur
⚠️Note that counter-trend trading in an uptrend must be risk-managed.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
19/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $105,46
Last weeks low: $100,751.75
Midpoint: $103,372.10
In my weekly outlook post from last week I mentioned how there was a clear pattern of consolidation with a tight range for a week with a week of expansion that followed, and that if the pattern were to continue we would see BTC consolidate around the weekly high. The theory was proven correct on this occasion with a tight range between weekly high and the 0.75 line, as theorized with only momentary dips below the 0.75 line. Now if the pattern were to continue this week would be expansion week, but for me this time it's slightly different as BTC approaches ATH there is a massive level of resistance just above this weeks weekly high. We've seen an initial early attempt to breakout above weekly high and that attempt has so far failed quite aggressively, which leads me to believe there will be volatility this week as both bulls and bears contest this very important area of the chart.
For the bulls maintaining momentum and breaking into price discovery with acceptance above $109,000 would be incredibly, the headlines will read new ATH, FOMO kicks in and retail follows etc, we know the drill. For the bears the objective is to hold the line and reject weekly high ($106,000) at all costs and print a strong SFP and unfortunately this does seem viable with $97,000 being the target area IMO. RSI on the daily is around the overbought level, combined with key resistance level a pullback would make sense.
For me this week I want to see how ETH and other major alts react to any pullback, do they get bought up with purpose? Is the structure strong to maintain this move or is this a HTF lower high? An interesting week coming up I'm sure.
Good luck this week!
Bitcoin BTC price analysis - be careful📉 The cryptocurrency market is forming an "order" for "Red Monday".
On the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, the "Triple Top" pattern is probably nearing completion - its recognizable feature is the more lower central top and the right “powerful shake out” (for more details, if you are interested, you can read Encyclopedia of chart patterns/Thomas Bulkowski)
🆗 So, the minimum target for this pattern is $96100 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC
❗️ Confirmation of the "Triple Top" pattern development - after the base breakout and the inability to consolidate higher on the retest.
💰 Globally, we wrote our thoughts on the possible price of #Bitcoin in May/June a week earlier 👇
Also, to make trading decisions and determine which direction to trade, you need to analyze the situation on the charts:
1️⃣ BTC.D 👇
and
2️⃣ USDT.D 👇
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Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youRecently, Bitcoin's price action has been akin to a "volatility rollercoaster"—while it hasn't stabilized above the $110,000 high, it also hasn't plunged to alarming levels, generally fluctuating between $106,000 and $110,000.
Why the Price Oscillation?
1.Institutional Dynamics:
- Large institutions are still gradually accumulating Bitcoin. For example, some funds have increased their positions recently, preventing a rapid collapse.
- However, when the price hit $110,000, some institutions took profits by selling partial holdings, curbing further upward momentum.
2.Retail Investor Sentiment:
- Seeing the price stagnate, some retail investors are tempted to sell for quick profits, while others view the pullback as a buying opportunity. This balance of forces creates a "tug-of-war" effect on price.
Trading Strategy:
- Long Entry: Look to go long at the $106,000–$106,500 support zone.
- Profit Targets:
- First Target: $108,500 (near-term resistance from recent swings).
- Second Target: $109,500 (psychological barrier and prior consolidation high).
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Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@106000~106500
SL:105000
TP:108500~109500
Bitcoin (BTC): NEW ATH, Now We Wait For Signs of WeaknessWe have formed a new ALL-TIME HIGH area where the price is not in a very dangerous area. As we are near a new ATH zone, we are going to experience a lot of high-volume candles and possibly even bigger movement to upper zones; this is what makes it hard when we form a new ATH.
As we do not have any kind of resistance but psychological resistance areas like 120K, 130K, and 140K, we will be monitoring those zones for now, and once we see any signs of weakness, we are expecting to see the price dip as low as $90K, so be careful and watch out for any proper MSB to form.
Swallow Academy
BTC/USDT Breakout Signals Bullish Continuationhello guys!
BTC/USDT broke out of a symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart, signaling a bullish continuation. Price is currently around $105,471, with a projected move toward the $106,500 resistance zone. A retest of the breakout area ($104,500–$104,800) is possible before further upside.