BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC - BIG WEEK!Last week there was clear evidence of big purchases being made on the spot market, notably on coinbase.
The question we're forced to ask ourselves here is: was this the start of a longer duration trend, or is it a one-off and should we expect some level of mean reversion next?
Comparing it to other instances, there is only one in the last year where price really kept trending like this: The November post election rally.
If we map out what that price action would look like here (blue), we can expect the 91.5k low to hold and look for a HL somewhere in the H4 trend area. If trend is strong, I would not expect this to trade below the small range poc here for long, or even at all. That level is sitting at around 93.4k, which is also the previous weekly range VAL and yearly open. If we get a sweep of the highs and price is again failing to make a LL but consolidates in the 95k area, we can expect some expansion higher still.
That is not to say we can pull back deeper and still rally after, I'm just projecting November price action on the current chart.
If we do get a pullback, it means we lost H4 trend so we look at EMA 100 and 200 next. These line up with the lower range VAH and filling the higher imbalance. It is already a lot less bullish, but I would look for a reaction there anyway. 88.5-9k is probably the line in the sand there.
Any acceptance back below the 10-200 ema cluster, then we get back into lower range VA and expect rotation to at least poc. Honestly I'd think we rotate all the way to VAL and clean up all the imbalances, possibly correct the equal lows at 74k.
I have no real bias as to what we're about to get. Blue seems like an easily invalidated play, so I'm playing that one but at the same time try to fish for top shorts in case we do get a bigger rotation down. Either I get stopped on the long and play for a big move down, or I get stopped on the shorts and look for expansion towards 100k.
Bitcoin short from 102k regionPreparing for short at around that region.
102k-105k is a short region for me. I will most likely exit 50% from the markets.
I think summer will be just like any other summer season. Bleed and not much volatility . Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 will most likely be bullish.
Lets see what markets will offer this year.
BTC/USDT Analysis. The scenario remains unchanged
Over the past day, not much has changed for Bitcoin. We reached a local high, followed by a pullback.
Today, we're still trading within a relatively narrow range. The cumulative delta continues to decline (indicating a large amount of market selling), but it's not leading to any significant results. Volatility is also decreasing — all of this resembles preparation for an impulse, most likely to the upside.
At the moment, an abnormal cluster of market sells has appeared around ~$94,300, which was immediately absorbed by buyers. If the price returns to this level and we see a reaction from buyers, it could be a good opportunity to open a long position with a minimal stop. The target for this move would be the next sell zone.
Sell zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy zones:
~$94,300 (abnormal cluster)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
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Let's analyse BTC on the daily timeframe:
Bitcoin has broken out from its falling wedge pattern, signaling a strong shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Key Observations:
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke above the wedge with solid bullish candles, showing buyer strength.
Support Reclaim: The zone around 86,500 – 88,000 has flipped from resistance to strong support.
Next Resistance: Currently trading below 94,000 – 95,900, which is a major resistance zone to watch. A break and close above this could push BTC toward 100K psychological level.
Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 86,500 – 87,000, 90,522
Immediate Resistance: 94,000 – 95,900
Breakout Target: 100,200+
Strategy Suggestion:
If price retests the 90,400 – 87,000 zone and holds, it could offer a strong risk-reward entry for continuation toward 100K. Watch for rejection or consolidation signs near the current resistance.
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Can #BTC break through the heavy resistance zone?📊Can #BTC break through the heavy resistance zone?
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in an overlapping resistance zone. We are currently testing the upper edge of the heavy resistance zone again. If we cannot successfully break through, we should be wary of further pullbacks. If we fall below the low near 92,800 and establish a short structure, then we will look for short opportunities after the rebound.
➡️If we continue to break through the previous high, it means that the bullish power is still continuing. Be patient and wait for the pullback opportunity after breaking through the high to appear before looking for entry opportunities.
➡️My short position was reduced by 80% after reaching TP2, and the stop loss was moved down, so the long position hit the breakeven point and was closed. If you don’t move the SL down, you can try to use a small position to expect a scenario where you can’t break through.
Let’s see 👀
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$BTC - Weekend OutlookBitcoin just tapped into the major overhead supply zone 95k, which corresponds to the breakdown origin of the previous range.
Notably, we observed the highest Coinbase premium in recent sessions, signaling aggressive spot-driven demand. However, a sell wall is starting to build around 95k and 97k, suggesting that short-term sellers are positioning here.
Key support to watch : the 88k–86k range, which marks the recent breakout base and vwap.
Holding this zone would validate the breakout structure and set the stage for further continuation to the upside. Failure to hold likely triggers a deeper retest toward mid-range levels.
Expect volatility over the weekend as price oscillates between overhead supply and this critical breakout support.
BTC-----Sell around 92600 area, target 91800-91500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 24: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to rise, the price was at a high level, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. The general trend is still rising, but after yesterday's price surged, it did not continue this morning but began to retreat under pressure. This is a correction. The four-hour chart K-line continued to be negative, and the price was near the moving average pressure level. In this way, the decline should be seen first during the day. The short-cycle hourly chart started from yesterday's European session. The price continued to fluctuate at a high level. The price began to retreat under pressure in Asian time. The current K-line pattern is a single positive line with a continuous negative line, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, and the strength of the four-hour chart has not yet come out.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 92600, stop loss in the 93100 area, and target the 91800-91500 area;
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle📈
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in an overlapping resistance zone. We failed to fall further yesterday to build a short structure, but continued to digest the selling pressure here in a sideways consolidation manner. Today, we attacked the heavy resistance area near 95,000 again. Only by breaking through this area can we start the surge mode.
➡️From the perspective of wave theory, there is another opportunity to form a bullish wolf wave here, which also represents a signal that the trend is about to end.
➡️From a morphological perspective, an ascending triangle has formed here, and it has now broken upward. We can expect more gains to appear.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin needs additional buying momentumBitcoin Technical Update
Bitcoin has broken above the descending trendline, entering a bullish phase 📈.
Currently, BTC is approaching a major supply zone between $95,600 and $96,800 🟥.
In order to fuel a powerful move above $100,000, Bitcoin needs additional buying momentum, which could come from the demand zone located between $67,700 and $69,300 🟩.
Thus, a gradual, step-by-step pullback toward the $88,000 level — and potentially lower prices — should not be ruled out before any strong bullish continuation
Bitcoin Overall: Significant RallyLast week I provided a less likely breakout up scenario--this is what occurred.
My personal emotional feeling is absolutely disbelief -- cue the various emotional cycle charts. The speed of the advance (after relatively vicious decline)...
The fact is, this is a rally with at least some staying power. If there is a significant retracement in the rally from the nearby resistances, we should at least expect a push to the large resistance. It the rally shoots relatively quickly to the big resistance, I would expect a significant retracement, but potentially thereafter new ATH.
The trend is up at the moment, carefully-selected long opportunities are more attractive. Shorts are dangerous in a market such as this except at strong resistance.
BTC - NEW ATH on the HorizonBitcoin has surprised us with a sudden turnaround over the past two weeks.
✅ Technical indicators are bullish
✅ Candle stick patterns are bullish
✅ Trendlines are bullish
I can't help but come to any other conclusion - BTC is now BULLISH, likely making it's way to a new ATH.
This will bring about my much anticipated ALTSEASON:
_________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Market overview
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, we saw an upward breakout from the consolidation phase, leading to a strong, nearly pullback-free long movement. By the end of the week, Bitcoin reached a long-term resistance level, where the momentum stalled, followed by a slight correction.
Currently, we observe weakening buying pressure, with diminishing higher highs. At the same time, there is a significant amount of market sales visible in cumulative delta, which have not resulted in any major moves. The market is in equilibrium, possibly preparing for the next impulse.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
In the near term, we expect a retest of the current highs with potential false breakouts. After that, a resumption of selling pressure is possible. We will consider continuing long positions only after testing the nearest support levels.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events this week:
• April 29, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of the US Consumer Confidence Index for April;
• April 29, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of US JOLTS (Job Openings) data for March;
• April 30, Wednesday, 01:30 (UTC) — release of China’s Manufacturing PMI for April;
• April 30, Wednesday, 08:00 (UTC) — release of Germany’s GDP for Q1 2025;
• April 30, Wednesday, 12:00 (UTC) — release of Germany’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April;
• April 30, Wednesday, 12:15 (UTC) — release of US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change for April;
• April 30, Wednesday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of US GDP for Q1 2025;
• April 30, Wednesday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of US Core PCE Price Index for March, along with year-over-year comparison;
• May 1, Thursday, 03:00 (UTC) — release of Japan’s Interest Rate Decision;
• May 1, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of US Initial Jobless Claims;
• May 1, Thursday, 13:45 (UTC) — release of US Manufacturing PMI for April;
• May 1, Thursday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of US ISM Manufacturing PMI for April;
• May 2, Friday, 09:00 (UTC) — release of Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April;
• May 2, Friday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of US Average Hourly Earnings, Nonfarm Payrolls, and Unemployment Rate for April.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Here we have my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE on our beautiful Bitcoin — if you’re not quite sure what I mean or am doing drop me a follow here and check out a few post! Or come find me on X —
The beauty of this concept is the ability to trade with rules the potential retracement in price/time symmetry distinctively and without emotion, as the underlying trades to potential harmonic reversals.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Compression Before the Next Major Move?Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a critical range, trading between clearly defined support and resistance zones over the past week. Price action remains "trapped" within this structure, akin to a market equilibrium phase, with neither bulls nor bears taking decisive control.
Currently, BTC is testing a major historical resistance cluster — an area shaped by prior price memory and significant psychological levels. Over the weekend, price action into this resistance showed visible exhaustion, with momentum stalling and early signs of supply absorption emerging.
Simultaneously, Bitcoin is balancing on the daily anchored VWAP, a key dynamic indicator used by institutional participants to gauge fair value. A sustained breakdown below VWAP would significantly increase the probability of a broader corrective move toward key prior support levels.
Technical Scenarios to Monitor:
🔹 Bullish Resolution: Reclaiming resistance with strong volume expansion could open the door for continuation toward ATH zones and price discovery.
🔹 Bearish Resolution: Failure to hold the VWAP and daily structure support would likely trigger a deeper corrective leg, potentially retesting prior demand zones.
Market Context:
No clear trend reversal signals yet, but growing evidence of momentum loss at the highs.
Sideways price action is typical during key decision points; expect compression before expansion.
Macro structure remains bullish, but short-term caution is warranted.
🧠 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: Watching for acceptance or rejection above current highs.
Support Zone: Anchored VWAP and key daily structure (~confirm levels based on your chart).
⚡ Stay nimble — Bitcoin is at a critical juncture where the next few sessions could define medium-term direction.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarkets
BTCUSDTPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Bitcoin & ... Top Altcoins Choice— Your Pick (Session 2—2025)Bitcoin continues to do great and today moved for the first time above $86,000 after the 7-April 2025 market correction bottom and low. This is the lowest price before the 2025 bull market bullish cycle, phase and wave.
The 2025/26 bull market will be an extended bull market. The next All-Time High is likely to happen around late 2025 or March 2026.
When Bitcoin is really strong, trades above $80,000, the Altcoins tend to follow. Most of the Altcoins already hit bottom and started to grow. With Bitcoin on a path toward 100K and beyond, this can result in a massive bullish wave across the entire market. It will be awesome.
Knowing that Bitcoin and the Altcoins market bullish bias is confirmed, I would like to know your Top Altcoin Pick.
» Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 2)
Let's start a new session, which pair is your Top Altcoin Choice? With Bitcoin doing great, the Altcoins are bound to the same. Let's try and find together many hidden gems.
I will do a full chart analysis for your chosen Altcoin and publish in my profile. It can be any pair that is available for trading within the Cryptocurrency market. There is one condition though, the pair must be available here on TradingView for me to do an analysis and the chart must have at least 6 months of data.
Instructions:
1) Leave a comment with your desired pair. Example: ETHUSDT, BTCUSDT, SOLBTC, etc.
2) Make sure to add any questions you have about the pair in question in the comments so that I can answer in the analysis.
3) If you see any pair that you like from other users, make sure to boost their comments. The comment with the most boost will get published first.
Notes:
➢ I will take anywhere between 50 and 100 requests.
➢ I will pick and choose. The pairs with the best looking charts, high growth potential and strong signals, will be selected.
➢ Maximum one trading pair per person/user.
➢Those that didn't participate in the last session will have priority in this session.
Your support is highly appreciated.
I am looking forward to review your Altcoins.
Namaste.
Market Structure Shift (MSS) & Break of Structure (BOS) - GuideIntroduction
Understanding market structure is fundamental to becoming a consistently profitable trader. Two key concepts that Smart Money traders rely on are the Break of Structure (BOS) and the Market Structure Shift (MSS) . While they may seem similar at first glance, they serve different purposes and signal different market intentions.
In this guide, we will break down:
- The difference between BOS and MSS
- When and why they occur
- How to identify them on your charts
- How to trade based on these structures
- Real chart examples for visual clarity
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Break of Structure (BOS)
A Break of Structure is a continuation signal. It confirms that the current trend remains intact. BOS typically occurs when price breaks a recent swing high or low in the direction of the existing trend .
Key Characteristics:
- Happens with the trend
- Confirms continuation
- Can be used to trail stops or add to positions
Example:
In an uptrend:
- Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) form
- Price breaks above the last HH → BOS to the upside
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Market Structure Shift (MSS)
Market Structure Shift signals a potential reversal . It occurs when price breaks a significant swing level against the prevailing trend and is often followed by a shift in the internal structure (e.g., lower highs after higher highs).
Key Characteristics:
- Happens against the trend]
- Signals possible trend reversal
- Often occurs after a liquidity grab or stop hunt
- Optional: is created by a displacement candle
Example:
In an uptrend:
- Price takes out a significant high (liquidity grab)
- Then aggressively breaks the most recent HL → MSS to the downside
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How to Identify BOS and MSS
For BOS:
1. Determine the current trend.
2. Identify swing highs/lows.
3. Look for price breaking past these levels in the same direction as the trend .
For MSS:
1. Look for signs of exhaustion or liquidity grabs near swing highs/lows.
2. Watch for price to break against the trend structure .
3. Confirm with a shift in internal structure (e.g., lower highs start forming in an uptrend).
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Using BOS and MSS in Your Trading Strategy
With BOS:
- Use it to confirm trend continuation
- Add to your position after a retracement into an OB or FVG
- Trail your stop-loss below the most recent HL or above LH
With MSS:
- Look for confluence (liquidity sweep + MSS = strong signal)
- Use it to spot early reversal entries
- Wait for a confirmation candle or structure shift on LTF (1m, 5m, 15m)
- If the displacement candle is too big you can wait for the retest
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Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Confusing BOS with MSS
- Ignoring higher timeframe context
- Trading MSS too early without confirmation
- Chasing BOS without waiting for a proper retracement
Pro Tip: Use BOS/MSS with confluences like SMT Divergence, IFVGs, or key session times for higher probability setups.
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Final Thoughts
Mastering BOS and MSS will give you an edge in understanding price delivery and anticipating market moves. BOS confirms strength in the current trend, while MSS warns of a possible reversal and new trend forming. Combine these with smart money tools, and you’ll be equipped to enter the market like a pro.
Happy Trading!
Long the Filled FVG Zone (92 502.9–91 888.0) on BTCUSDTDescription
On the 15-minute chart, BTCUSDT remains in a broader up-trend but has paused to digest a fair-value gap between 92 502.9 and 91 888.0. This precise imbalance, aligned with a prior swing-low demand zone, offers a low-risk long opportunity anchored in structural and liquidity confluence.
Entry
Place a limit buy at 91 900 once any 15 m candle wicks the base of the FVG zone (92 502.9–91 888.0) and closes inside.
Stop-Loss
Invalidate this long on a close below 91 050, the origin of the buyer impulse.
Take-Profit
Target 94 350 for an asymmetric R : R of 2.88 : 1.
Failed-Breakout Orderblock
Watch for a retest of the liquidity printed at the failed-breakout orderblock (~93 223) to confirm bullish continuation.
Structure-Flip Level
Resistance turned support at 93 223 offers interim validation en route to the target.
Risk & Reward
This setup risks 8 500 ticks (91 900–91 050) to capture 24 500 ticks (94 350–91 900), yielding R : R ≈ 2.88 : 1.
Execution Notes
Confirm entry with a lower-timeframe bullish orderflow shift before sizing in.
Maintain strict position sizing—risk only a defined percentage of your account per trade.