BTCUST.P trade ideas
From Euphoria to Exhaustion – BTC's Next Move?BTC Idea – Bearish Divergence + Key Level Watch ⚠️
Summary / Bias:
BTC has tapped 120K and is now showing early signs of weakness. A bearish divergence on the MACD Histogram (weekly) is flashing caution, while price has retraced back to the critical 112K zone. I'm leaning bearish short-term, expecting a move towards 100K, and possibly as low as 93K, if key confirmations unfold.
Technical Context:
Weekly MACD Histogram shows a clear bearish divergence, signaling potential exhaustion.
BTC rejected from 120K and has pulled back to 112K.
Price crossed below the Yearly Camarilla L#, but we need a weekly close below to confirm further downside.
112K remains the key pivot – failure to bounce strongly here could open the door for deeper retracement.
Scenarios to Watch:
🟥 Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Breakdown and close below 112K
Downside targets:
TP1: 100K
TP2: 93K
🟨 Neutralizing Risk
Hold above 112K with strong bounce = neutral bias, reassess
Close back above 115K+ with strength = invalidate bearish lean
Caution & Patience:
Now is not the time for aggressive longs. Signs of exhaustion + major level retest call for defensive positioning and high-quality setups only. Let confirmation guide entries.
NFA. Risk management always.
Will update if structure shifts.
How to Capture Reversals/Breakouts with MAD IndicatorBTC/USDT 15M – Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Captures Reversals & Breakouts
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Description:
On this BTC/USDT 15-minute chart, the Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) is actively highlighting high-probability market turning points and anomaly zones.
Key Observations from the Chart:
1. Green & Red Zones = Expected Price Range
• Green Line (Upper Band): Expected top of the range.
• Red Line (Lower Band): Expected bottom of the range.
• Price usually travels green → red → green, forming a natural oscillation.
2. Buy/Sell Signals = Breakout + Reversal Detection
• Buy Signal: Triggered when price closes above the green line or recovers from below the red line.
• Sell Signal: Triggered when price closes below the red line or rejects from the green line.
• This reverse psychology logic helps catch false breakouts and stop-loss hunts.
3. Performance on This Chart:
• Signals aligned with key reversals during the sideways-to-downtrend transition.
• The strong downtrend in the second half of the chart shows multiple accurate sell signals, confirming trend continuation.
• Sideways movements had minimal false signals due to cooldown + volume filter.
4. Unique Advantage (USP):
• Statistical approach using Z-Score & Standard Deviation.
• Multi-filter confirmation with RSI, volume, and higher timeframe trend.
• Visually clear anomaly zones:
• Green background = Bullish anomaly
• Red background = Bearish anomaly
• Gray background = Neutral range
Takeaway:
MAD helps traders anticipate anomalies rather than react late, offering high-probability trade entries and reversals in trending and volatile conditions.
BTC AI Prediction Dashboard - 6h Price Path (31.07.25)
Prediction made using Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard
Link in bio
BTCUSDT Forecast:
Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Projects 6h Price Path (Forward-Only)
Forecast timestamp: ~14:00 UTC
Timeframe: 15m
Prediction horizon: 6 hours
Model output:
Central estimate (blue line): -118,124
Represents the AI’s best estimate of BTC’s near-term price direction.
80% confidence band (light blue): 117,836 – 118,977
The light blue zone marks the 80% confidence range — the most likely area for price to close
40% confidence band (dark blue): 117,650 – 119,908
The dark blue zone shows the narrower 40% confidence range, where price is expected to stay with higher concentration
Volume on signal bar: 177.26
This chart shows a short-term Bitcoin price forecast using AI-generated confidence zones.
Candlesticks reflect actual BTC/USDT price action in 15-minute intervals.
This helps visualize expected volatility and potential price zones in the short term.
BITCOIN - Price can turn around and start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The price reversed its prior downtrend with a decisive breakout from a falling channel.
This breakout triggered a strong upward impulse, which then began to consolidate into a large symmetrical pennant.
However, the price recently failed to hold the lower support trendline of this pennant and broke to the downside.
The asset is currently trading just below this broken trendline, in what appears to be a liquidity grab.
To continue upwards, buyers must now overcome the immediate resistance located at the $116300 level.
I expect that this breakdown was a fakeout, and the price will soon reverse, break through the $116300 resistance, and continue its rally toward the $121000 target.
BTC 108K - 112K ZONE Why 108k to 112k zone is important?
Bitcoin recently made a new all-time high and is now undergoing a healthy correction — nothing to worry about.
The $108,000 to $112,000 zone is a key support area due to three major factors:
1. Strong previous support level
2. A daily trendline aligning with this zone
3. 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent impulse move
If this support holds, there's a strong possibility Bitcoin will form a new ATH around $130,000 to $140,000.
DON'T PANIC wait for confirmation and see the magic 🚀 🚀
2 Scenarios for BTCNow that the cup and handle formation has been reached and the correction finished, I think we have 1 more leg up.
It's also possible that we fall from here, but I think another fakeout upwards is likely as bearish divergence forms on the month, but isn't quite there yet (RSI needs 1 more higher high to confirm bearish divergence)
Either way, my short targets are the 0.618 fibs. I am expecting the typical -70-75% crash by 2027 before the next cycle begins
BITCOIN PREDICTION: NOBODY IS WATCHING THIS PATTERN !!!(warning)Yello Paradisers, I'm updating you about the current Bitcoin situation, which is extremely dangerous for crypto noobs that will get rekt again very soon!
It's going to be a big move soon. I'm telling you on a high timeframe chart we are doing multi-time frame analysis and on a high timeframe chart I'm updating you about the RSI indicator, the bearish divergence, the moving average reclaim, and the channel reclaim that we are having right now.
We are observing a shooting star candlestick pattern, which is a reversal sign, and I'm telling you what confirmations I'm waiting for to make sure that I can say with the highest probability that we are going to the downside. On a medium timeframe, I'm showing you two patterns: one is a head and shoulders pattern, then a contracting triangle, and on a low time frame, I'm sharing with you the ending diagonal because on a high time frame chart, we are either creating ABC or impulse, and I'm telling you what the probabilities are for the zigzag, which is a corrective mode wave, or the impulse, which is a motive mode wave.
I'm sharing with you what's going to happen next with the highest probability. Please make sure that you are trading with a proper trading strategy and tactics, and that's the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
HOW TO Spot Liquidity-Driven Reversals & Market TrapsAdaptive Liquidity Pulse
🎯 Spot Liquidity-Driven Reversals & Market Traps
The Adaptive Liquidity Pulse is designed to help traders detect high-volume rejections and absorptions, revealing where big players are likely defending or accumulating positions. This indicator is especially useful for spotting market traps, liquidity sweeps, and swing reversals.
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🧠 How It Works
1. Dynamic Liquidity Zones
• Red Band (High EMA) → Potential supply/rejection zone
• Blue Band (Mid EMA) → Equilibrium / magnet zone
• Green Band (Low EMA) → Potential demand/absorption zone
2. Signal Labels
• 🔴 Rejection → Price spikes into high liquidity with volume → Bearish bias
• 🟢 Absorption → Price flushes into low liquidity with volume → Bullish bias
3. Volume-Weighted Detection
• Only triggers signals when volume exceeds a configurable threshold
• Filters out weak moves, highlighting true liquidity events
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📊 Best Use Cases
• Scalping & Intraday Trading: Identify early reversal points
• Swing Trading: Track absorption/rejection cycles to time entries/exits
• Liquidity Sweep Detection: Spot where false breakouts occur with volume confirmation
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⚡ Trading Tips
• Use Rejection (Red) for short entries or take-profits near highs
• Use Absorption (Green) for long entries or short exits near lows
• Combine with support/resistance zones or trend structure for higher accuracy
• Midline (Blue) often acts as a mean-reversion magnet in ranging markets
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📢 Alerts
• 🔴 Rejection Alert → Strong selling pressure at liquidity zone
• 🟢 Absorption Alert → Heavy buying at demand zone
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🧠 Why Traders Love It
• ✅ Visualizes hidden liquidity interactions
• ✅ Highlights trap zones before reversals occur
• ✅ Works across crypto, indices, forex, and commodities
• ✅ Designed for confluence with other strategies
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This script gives you a real-time pulse of liquidity shifts, allowing you to trade like institutions and avoid falling into retail traps.
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BTC in a Sideways MovementBTC in a Sideways Movement: When the Market Froze, Psychology Starts to Fail
Honestly, this is one of the most difficult stages in the market - uncertainty without a clear direction. Bitcoin gets stuck between levels, giving false breakouts and immediately rolling back. It seems that something serious is about to happen, but in reality, nothing happens.
This kind of price movement often leads to emotional burnout of traders. Some start entering trades blindly, just to stay in the market. Others suffer a series of small losses, trying to guess the breakout. And some just close the charts, unable to cope with the silence.
The reality is that markets get tired too, especially after big moves. What we are seeing now with BTC is probably just a rebalancing phase. And that's okay. If there is no clear pattern, then this is not your trade.
For now, I am just watching, marking the boundaries of the range and waiting. For myself, I highlight the order block for 1D as zones of interest, I wait for a reaction from it and will look for a model to enter a position.
Any breakthrough, confirmed by volume and subsequent movement - that's when the next real movement will begin.
The main thing is not to waste energy in vain. Sideways movement is not eternal. After silence, movement always comes.
BitcoinBitcoin/TetherUS (BTC/USDT) Trading Analysis - Jul 15, 2025
Key Observations:
Price Movement:
Current Price: $117,692.46
24h Change: -2,148.72 (-1.79%)
Range: Low of $116,250.00 to High of $119,940.83
The price is currently near the lower end of the day's range, indicating bearish pressure.
Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
Strong Support: $112,000.00 (marked as S/L)
Intermediate Support: $113,500.00 and $110,000.00
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $119,900.00
Higher Resistance: $120,000.00 and $122,500.00
Profit Levels:
The "Profit" section lists potential take-profit targets, with the highest at $135,000.00.
The price has recently dipped below the $120,000.00 psychological level, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Trend Context:
The chart spans from June to September, but the current price action (July) shows consolidation after a potential pullback from higher levels.
The presence of multiple support levels ($112K–$116K) suggests a critical zone for buyers to defend.
Actionable Insights:
Bearish Short-Term: The price is below key levels ($119,900–$120,000) and has broken below $118,250.00. A retest of support at $112,000.00 is plausible.
Bullish Reversal Signal: If BTC holds above $112,000.00 and reclaims $120,000.00, it could target $122,500.00 or higher.
Risk Management: A break below $112,000.00 (S/L) may trigger further downside toward $110,000.00 or lower.
Conclusion:
The market is currently in a corrective phase. Traders should monitor the $112,000.00 support for potential reversals or breakdowns. A close above $120,000.00 would shift bias to bullish.
Bitcoin Trend Analaysis UP or DOWN?!Price capped in a wedge in Daily time frame.
There was a fake break from the bottom of this wedge last week and sharply got back to the top of it!
Now : break and confirm above 120 K in Daily would make the market BULLISH
break and confirm under 116.5 K in Daily would make the market BEARISH.
other wise market is still in a range mode...