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BTCUST.P trade ideas

Bitcoin Rejected Near $120K – Bears Wake Up!First of all, I have to say that Bitcoin’s movements over the last 12 days have been a bit difficult to trade , generally, the hardest market to make a profit in is the range market with a swing movement . Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading near the Resistance zone($121,000-$119,500) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($121,336-$120,000) , and the upper line of the descending channel . Since Bitcoin has lost support lines , we can consider this increase in Bitcoin over the last two days as a pullback to the support lines(broken) . Do you agree with me!? In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin is still completing the main wave B. The main wave B is a Regular Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . The structure of the microwave B of the main wave B was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . Additionally, the SPX 500 index ( SP:SPX ), which Bitcoin is correlated with , is poised for a correction in my opinion, which could also impact Bitcoin . Also, unlike previous Mondays, MicroStrategy has NOT purchased Bitcoin , and the company currently holds 607,770 BTC . Old Bitcoin wallets also seem to be waking up to the fact that they can create movements in the crypto market . " In recent days, 471,867.8 BTC worth $56.39 million have been transferred from old wallets from 2012 to 2017 . ". I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and fill the CME Gaps in the coming hours . New CME Gap: $119,500-$118,295 CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,401-$116,615 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
49
btc buy midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
2
BTC 4H – Retest Holding, But Golden Pocket BelowBitcoin’s 4H chart is at a key decision point. After a strong breakout in early July, price has been consolidating just above the prior resistance zone — now acting as support. This white box represents a major reclaim level that has held multiple times, but buyers are starting to look fatigued. Below this support lies a clean Fibonacci retracement zone: 0.5 at 110,971 0.618 (Golden Pocket) at 108,072 0.786 deeper pullback at 103,945 The structure remains intact for now, but a loss of the current level could trigger a deeper sweep into one of these fib levels — especially with momentum (Stoch RSI) resetting from oversold. A potential bounce here keeps the uptrend alive. However, if the zone breaks, the .618 area may be the magnet. 📊 Watching for: Strong reaction or absorption at this support Bullish divergence forming Sweep into golden pocket followed by reversal structure This setup blends price action, key S/R levels, and Fib confluence — a great chart for anticipating the next move, not reacting to the last one.
by Quant_Trading_Pro
Where Could Bitcoin Make Its Cycle Top? Model and ABCD AlignedWith the breakout above resistance around 110,000, Bitcoin’s rally appears to be back on track. If you've been following our crypto analysis, either here or on our website, you’ll know our target range for this bull cycle is between 135,000 and 150,000, with the top of the range possibly extending further depending on the strength of the final wave. Now, a possible ABCD pattern is forming, with point D potentially landing at either 135,000 or 150,000. A coincidence? Maybe, maybe not. How Did We Arrive at the 135K–150K Target? We based this range on historical halving cycle returns: Halving Year - Return to Cycle Top 2012 - 9,076% 2016 - 2,122% (↓ 4.27x) 2020 - 541% (↓ 3.92x) Two things stand out: Each cycle has shown diminishing returns. The rate of decline appears roughly consistent, dropping by around 4x each time—but slightly less with each cycle. So depending on the multiplier used: If returns fall by 4.27x again → target: 135K If reduced by 4x → target: 140K If reduced by 3.92x → target: 142K If the rate of reduction itself slows (difference of 0.35 between 4.27 and 3.92) → target: 150K While the sample size is too small, we believe the model holds reasonable logic with fundamental backing from various metrics. The chart now shows a possible ABCD pattern: If it becomes a classic AB = CD structure, point D could form near 135K. If it becomes an extended ABCD (with CD = AB × 1.272), then point D could reach just above 150K. These technical targets align closely with our halving model projections, increasing our confidence in the 135K–150K range as a likely top zone for this cycle. Also, please check our earlier post for possible altseason start. A correlation between BTC/ETH and Gold/Silver might give some tips about possible Ether surge.
Long
by ftdsystem
Bitcoin Retests Broken Trendline Minor Resistance in Focus!Bitcoin has recently taken support from the lower levels and moved upward, successfully breaking above a key trendline resistance. Currently, the market appears to be forming another minor trendline resistance on the short-term chart. Interestingly, the previous trendline that was broken is now acting as a support zone, indicating a potential shift in market structure. If the price manages to break this newly developing minor trendline resistance, we may expect a possible retest of that level. Should the retest hold, it could provide a strong bullish signal, allowing Bitcoin to continue its upward movement toward higher liquidity zones or resistance levels.
Long
by TradeCraft_FX
BTC AI Prediction Dashboard - 6h Price Path (30.07.25) Prediction made using Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Link in bio BTCUSDT Forecast: Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Projects 6h Price Path (Forward-Only) Forecast timestamp: ~10:45 UTC Timeframe: 15m Prediction horizon: 6 hours Model output: Central estimate (blue line): -118,306 Represents the AI’s best estimate of BTC’s near-term price direction. 80% confidence band (light blue): 118,086 – 118,670 The light blue zone marks the 80% confidence range — the most likely area for price to close 40% confidence band (dark blue): 117,520 – 119,603 The dark blue zone shows the narrower 40% confidence range, where price is expected to stay with higher concentration Volume on signal bar: 80.50 This chart shows a short-term Bitcoin price forecast using AI-generated confidence zones. Candlesticks reflect actual BTC/USDT price action in 15-minute intervals. This helps visualize expected volatility and potential price zones in the short term.
by karansgr
4
BTC, ETH & Indexes daily analyze 🚀🔥 BTC, ETH & Indexes daily🔥🚀 💎 Daily Market Routine, Structure-Based Crypto Analysis & Watchlist Insights 💥 Like – Follow – Comment to keep this momentum alive! 👋 Hey everyone! Welcome to our daily crypto trading routine: 📅 Daily: 🔹 BTC & ETH analysis 🔹 Full market structure review (TOTAL, BTC.D, USDT.D…) 📅 Weekly (Every Sunday): 🔸 Top 10 Altcoins Analysis (excluding BTC & ETH) 🔸 🆕 Coming soon: Weekly Watchlist Picks! 💛 Your likes, follows, and comments give me the motivation to continue this journey and share deeper insights! 🟡 Methodology 💠 Long-Term Cycle (HWC): 1D timeframe 💠 Mid-Term Cycle (MWC): 4H timeframe 💠 Short-Term Cycle (LWC): 1H timeframe 💠 Market structure review: TOTAL / TOTAL2 / TOTAL3 / BTC.D / USDT.D 💠 Technical approach: Dow Theory 💠 Fundamental events + news tracking 🔥 Today Could Be the Most Important Day of the Week! 📢 The Fed’s interest rate decision is expected today. Market consensus leans toward no change, but Powell’s press conference could trigger major volatility. 📈 If BTC starts a bullish trend in the coming days, ETH, BNB, and AVAX are likely to outperform – and this probability is high. ♦️ BTC/USDT – Market Still Ranging 💎 Bulls have failed to break above 120,000, but bears also haven't broken below the critical 115,000 zone. 📊 This two-week range is not surprising – it's likely a time correction, consolidation, or even distribution phase. 🚀 If 120K breaks with strong momentum and volume, price may rally to 123K → 135K → 150K. ❗ If 115K breaks, expect a drop to 110K → 100K. ⭕ Breakouts need strong candles and volume – otherwise expect fakeouts. 🟡 My strategy doesn't allow shorts at this phase. I only seek bullish confirmation – though bearish signs like buying exhaustion and profit-taking near 118K exist. 📌 I’ll re-enter long on breakout above 120K, using buy stops and proper risk control. Even if it hits my stop-loss later, I’m okay with that. 🔥 BTC must break 120K to unlock full altcoin rally potential. ♦️ BTC.D – Decision Time Nears 📉 Recent downtrend shows weakness, but not a bullish reversal yet. 🔸 Watch levels: • 🟢 Break below 60.42 → Confirmed altcoin rally • 🔴 Break above 62.17 → Likely altcoin crash ♦️ USDT.D – Position Before the Break! 🟡 We must take altcoin & BTC positions before USDT.D breaks 4.13. ⏳ A break there likely triggers a sharp upward move in alts. • 🔹 Pullback to 4.64 = still bullish for alts • 🔹 Current key zones: • 4.44: Not tested yet • 4.13: Likely to be retested ♦️ TOTAL Market Cap 💎 Break above 3.91T → Bullish confirmation – be in the market! ♦️ TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap) 🟡 Major resistance ahead: 1.54T ♦️ TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market w/o BTC & ETH) 🟡 Important level: 1.08T ♦️ ETH/USDT – Institutions Are Accumulating! 💼 Institutional buying continues – a strong bullish signal. 💎 Buyers are trying to flip 3750 into support. Heavy order blocks detected. 📌 Key Level: 3900 • 🔹 Break & hold above = Easy ride toward 4000+ • 🔻 Bearish view: Break below 3750 = Drop to 3500–3600 🟡 Recent demand spike and fresh capital inflow = bullish sentiment ♦️ Strategic Outlook 1️⃣ Still focused on long setups 2️⃣ If BTC breaks 120K and ETH breaks 4K then ranges → and BTC.D drops = 🎉 Altcoin Party! 3️⃣ If BTC fails to break 120.3K, we won’t get a strong rally 4️⃣ If BTC keeps ranging and BTC.D keeps dropping → alts will gain, but not full bull run yet 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 🚀 Smash that ROCKET, hit LIKE, and don’t forget to FOLLOW for daily setups!
Long
by trade-pro-mind
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Possible Completion of a Complex CorrectionTimeframe: 4H + 1H Methodology: NeoWave (Glen Neely) + Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC) Posted by: @CryptoPilot ⸻ 🧠 NeoWave Analysis: Complex Correction Ending? From a NeoWave perspective, BTC seems to be in the final stages of a Complex Correction that started in March 2025 from ~72k. The upward move appears to form a Contracting Diametric structure (7 legs: A–B–C–D–E–F–G), with the current leg G potentially unfolding now. • ✅ Wave A: Sharp recovery from March lows • ✅ Waves B–F: Alternating corrective legs with varied time and complexity • 🔄 Wave G: Could be starting now, expected to break structure to the downside This suggests that the entire move from March till now may represent a large Wave B, setting the stage for a deeper Wave C down. ⸻ 🔍 Price Action + Smart Money Confluence The following observations strengthen the NeoWave scenario: • 🟨 Liquidity Pools above 120k were swept recently, creating a potential Buy-side Liquidity Grab • 🟥 Imbalance/FVGs below 114.5k remain unfilled • 🔻 Market Structure Shift (MSS) evident on 1H chart — lower highs forming • 🧠 Price rejected from a key Supply Zone, aligning with end of Wave F • 🟩 If price re-tests the internal bearish OB (near 119.5k–120k), it may provide an ideal short trigger ⸻ 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Level Description 120.2k Liquidity sweep zone / MSS confirmed 118k Current structure base (pivot) 114.5k FVG + potential Wave G target 111–112k Strong demand zone (accumulation support) 🧭 Scenario Outlook: Primary: → Price is in Wave G of a Diametric (NeoWave) → Likely to unfold as a 3-leg Zigzag down or a Complex combination → Objective: break below Wave E low and target the unmitigated imbalances Alternative: → Extended Flat or Triangle, if 120.5k is broken impulsively → Invalidation = clean break and hold above 121k ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Note: This analysis assumes Wave G is beginning. If bulls manage to reclaim 120.5k with momentum and close above, the bearish structure will be invalidated. ⸻ 💬 Final Thought: We are potentially nearing the end of a complex corrective rally. The confluence of NeoWave structural symmetry, Smart Money traps, and market inefficiencies suggests that BTC may be preparing for a retracement. Stay alert for confirmations before executing. ⸻ 📌 Follow @CryptoPilot for advanced wave structure updates, market geometry insights, and ICT-style smart money traps. 💬 Share your views or alternate wave counts in the comments!
Short
by CryptoPilot
$BTC/USDT – Bull Flag Breakout on 4H | Targeting $133,700Bitcoin has just broken out of a well-defined bull flag structure on the 4H chart, signaling a potential continuation of the previous uptrend. This breakout comes after a strong impulsive move upward, followed by a textbook flag consolidation with lower highs and lows forming a descending channel. The breakout above the flag resistance suggests a bullish continuation pattern is in play. Technical Breakdown: Pattern: Bull Flag (Continuation) Flagpole base: ~106,700 Breakout zone: ~117,600 Retest Support: 116,000 Immediate Resistance: 122,300 Expected Target: 133,700 (based on flagpole projection) Invalidation: Breakdown below 115,500 Expected Move: Measured Move Target: ~13% upside from breakout Confluence: Target aligns with past supply zone near 133K–135K Price has also reclaimed the 50 EMA on the 4H chart, and the volume on the breakout shows bullish interest. Watching closely for a clean retest of the breakout zone for confirmation. Conclusion: BTC is showing bullish continuation after breaking out of a flag. A successful retest of 117.6K–116K range could offer further upside. Traders should manage risk accordingly. DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Long
by ScramblerG
$BTC Daily OutlookDaily Chart Today’s close printed a small bearish doji; visually bearish but still another inside-day that keeps BTC boxed between the High-Volume Node / v-Level cluster at $116 860-$123 300. Holding $116 860 remains critical; lose it on a daily close and price can easily slide to the weekly breakout shelf near $111 960. We are now 16 days inside this balance. Per Auction-Market-Theory rule #5, the longer price churns at the edge, the more resting liquidity is absorbed, eventually a decisive push will follow. If buyers defend $116 860 again, the path opens toward range high $123 300 and the prior ATH; if they fail, expect a fast flush to the weekly V-Level. Footprint Read Value Area High and Low span the full candle, with the POC parked mid-range, classic two-sided trade. Delta finished negative and the heaviest prints sit at session lows: sellers hit the bid hard, yet could not follow through. That absorption leaves shorts vulnerable to a squeeze if new selling momentum doesn’t appear quickly. Fundamental Pulse – Week Ahead ETF Flows: Spot-Bitcoin ETFs booked three consecutive inflow days to close last week (+$180 M net). Sustained demand under the range supports the bullish case. Macro Data: U.S. FOMC & Federal Fund Rates prints for this week; expect more volatility starting from tomorrow. Game Plan Primary bias stays long while daily candles close above $116 860; upside trigger is a clean for now or shorts squeeze toward $123 300. If $116 860 breaks with volume, prepare for a quick liquidity hunt into the weekly shelf at $111 960, where we reassess for swing longs. Intraday: I’ll monitor the Intraday Chart on tomorrow's High impact events and look for best opportunities across the board. Alt window: a fresh downtick in BTC Dominance could spark rotation; watch high-Open Interest majors if BTC ranges.
by BastDeCode
BTC Moon Phase, Dominance % and BBWP resolutionBTC, D. Moon Phase. I see bearish scenario for the next days, until 4-5th of August. After reviewing Moon Phase chart for last year+, I see same scenario is happening most of the times. During the First Quarter ( Aug. 1) of the phase, price is dropping and start to recover about 4-5 days prior Full Moon. This is exactly when energy of the Full Moon starting to amplify. Current BBWP is contracted for 8 days, making the next move very rapid, I would not set any long/short trades, untill the volume start to expand. Its the mid summer - always slow and August is the month it start to accelerate towards the Fall, with all financial/political tricks happening in September and later in Q4. We already had one bear trap fakeout, but price didnt anticipate to go higher and got rejected by falling wedge upper like ( or bull flag, in this case).I would expect that high volume green candle will be either fully recovered to $110-111K , or 75% recovery, where the CME gap is $113500 - 1-2% lower, making it $113,000. The cascade liquidation will happen very fast, I expect the whole move down and up will take around 24 hours, with the bottom time 5-15 minutes. Need to be ready, that all alts will crash as well, Im expecting BTC %dominance to bounce here , after 8.4% drop to weekly 50EMA. I would like to see BTC, D% at 70% by Christmas and new ATH, what ever it is 160K or 200K what ever it is, for bitcoin to make ATH, it must grab dominance.
Short
by OlegDC
1
BITCOIN FALL TO 78K ! OR GOING TO 170K ?📊 Bitcoin Possible Scenarios (BTC/USDT Analysis) 🟢 Green Scenario (Immediate Bullish Breakout): If the price breaks above the $120,000 resistance without any significant pullback, this would signal strong bullish continuation. It suggests buyer dominance and could lead to a fast move toward higher levels. 🟡 Yellow Scenario (Bullish Correction): If BTC fails to break $120,000, we may see a drop toward $112,000. If this level breaks, price could head down to $100,000 to collect liquidity and attract buyers. From there, a strong rebound is likely, restoring bullish momentum (with weekly trendline support) 🔴 Red Scenario (Bearish Reversal): If price breaks clearly below $100,000, especially with a violation of the weekly trendline, this could trigger a deeper correction toward the $78,000 – $74,000 zone. This scenario would mark a potential shift in long-term market structure. Main Target : 170,000
Long
by im0mostafa
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 12.08.25Greetings! Another update for you lovely traders :) Not trying to be confusing, yesterday we looked at the multiple 1-2's set up case, so if you're interested in that count too we recommend you to check out our last analysis which will be linked in the noted down below. Today we will look at the diagonal scenario which we briefly mentioned yesterday! We assume that the recent move up was a diagonal displayed in green as a five wave move up which ended on the green Wave 5 being a throw over, meaning it pushed over the trendline with high volume and it did enter the wedge later on again. This leading diagonal finished the blue Wave 1 and we are looking for blue Wave 2 now which we would like to get after a pullback as red ABC. The blue Wave 2 support area lies between the 0.5 FIB at 117150 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 114118 USD. We can not calculate targets for the red Wave C yet. The red Wave A seems to have bottomed. In today's bounce we see that we have a 0.886 FIB touch after the red Wave A low which indicates that the next move up is corrective and not impulsive and that the red Wave A low has a higher probability to be taken again. The red Wave B target area is between the 0.382 FIB at 119730 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 121948 USD. Keep in mind B waves do not have to strictly respect the target area. We could very well get an overshooting B wave that maybe even takes out the ATH, this would be a bullish sign. Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
btc local 1DPotentially interesting zones we have touched, if we dont renew the current low I would favor the bullish scenario on 1D timeframe to try and reach for the relative equal highs within the distribution range we have as long as we only wick through the marked imbalance. Probably retest of 50% of the daily 1D candle tail in the area of 76.5k or test of C.E. of the highlighted BISI and then some kind of bounceback to reach out for buyside is the scenario I favor
by itismetrading
1
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 9💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you ! ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe after today’s CPI release . 👀 Following the CPI news, Bitcoin broke through key areas — including the descending channel and the $117,000 resistance — and moved higher. It then faced rejection from the previous high, pulling back to around $118,000, which aligns with a multi-timeframe 4H SMA25 bounce. After that, it broke the $119,000 level and is now heading toward its key resistance at $120,000. 🎮 Fibonacci drawn from the current high to the price jump zone shows our current key level at 0.61, which is a relatively strong resistance. Breaking above this Fibonacci level could send BTC toward its current high and potentially lead to a new ATH. ⚙️ On the RSI oscillator, the key level is 70. Entering the overbought zone could push BTC toward its current high. 👑 The 99 MA is forming a strong base below the 0.37 level, while the 25 MA is working to break resistance and push price upward. On the 4H multi-timeframe view, the 0.23 area acts as a rebound zone after touching the 25 MA. 🕯 Volume and trade count are increasing, with solid consolidation above zones where whales have been buying and accumulating. Following today’s CPI results, fresh capital has flowed into risk assets like Bitcoin. This could be highly attractive for other coins, especially BTC pairs that are bullish in these conditions. 🔔 You can set an alert at the $120,000 area to watch price action when it reaches this level. If it matches your setup confirmations, you can open a position. Personally, I have a profitable long position on Ethereum, which is considered a BTC pair. 📊 On the 1H timeframe for USDT.D, we can see that after reacting to 4.20%, it faced a drop, and with a break below 4.10%, BTC could set a new high. 🖥 Summary: Bitcoin is moving toward its $120,000 resistance, where we could consider opening positions. The most important factor will be holding and confirming above this level. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by SatoshiMultiframe
Bitcoin’s Coiled Spring — Direction Unknown Today’s CPI Will Decide Which Way Bitcoin’s Coiled Spring Will Launch . Just a Slightly Lower CPI Than Expected Could Be Enough to Unleash Bitcoin’s Coiled Spring, Sending It Exploding Upwards . If CPI Comes in as Expected, the Market Is Unlikely to Show Any Surprises and Will Probably Repeat Its Usual Pattern . However , We Shouldn’t Expect an Early and Clean Break of the $123,000 Resistance Level . If Inflation Prints Higher Than Expected, We May Need to Shift Our Medium-Term Outlook, as the Multi-Month Bull Run Could Come to a Halt Suggestion: Given the Drop in Bitcoin Dominance Alongside Its Price Increase, If Any Altcoin Fits Your Strategy for Entry, Consider Opening a Position With a Proper Stop Before the CPI Announcement. Disclaimer: The information provided reflects my personal analysis and opinion only. It should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Altcoins #CPI #Inflation #Trading #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #BullRun #Resistance #Breakout #CryptoNews #Investing
by ERANSHAHR
1