Bitcoin - now or never, sell in May go away! (crash soon)As long as Bitcoin is below the 0.618 FIB retracement and below the POC on the volume profile, Bitcoin is in a bear market, and we have a great opportunity to sell not only Bitcoin but also altcoins in general. Have you ever heard of the sentence - "Sell in May, go away?" That's exactly what you should do on Bitcoin if we take historical data into consideration. May is still a pretty good month for Bitcoin, but not in the case of bear markets. What we can see in the picture is that Bitcoin is extremely weak during the summer and very bearish in September! So you want to sell in May and buy in October.
From a technical point of view, the current price of Bitcoin is below the 0.618 FIB retracement of the previous February/March drop. A very strong resistance is ahead, so selling into this cloud may be very wise. Of course you want to sell at resistance and buy at support, not the opposite way. Right now I expect a drop to 85k also because the current uptrend created a pretty significant FVG, and these types of FVGs tend to be filled quickly.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BTCUST trade ideas
BTC - Is this rally sustainable and what to expect?In the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced an impressive surge in price, exploding from around 85k to over 94k, showing strong bullish momentum. This rapid movement has certainly caught the attention of many traders and investors. However, while the price action has broken through previous lower highs, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment, it's crucial to approach this rally with caution.
Although the recent price increase indicates that bullish momentum is in play, it's important not to overlook the possibility of a short-term pullback or consolidation. The market has shown volatility before, and while breaking the lower-high structure is a positive sign, it doesn’t necessarily guarantee sustained upward movement.
In this analysis, I will dive deeper into the current price action and what it means for BTC short-term outlook. We’ll explore the factors to watch in the coming days and the potential risks that could challenge the bullish trend.
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What will we discuss:
- Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance
- Point of Control
- Stochastic RSI
- The deathcrosses
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Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance
The golden pocket Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.65), measured from the highs to the lows on the higher timeframe, is located between 96,450 and 97,580. This area aligns with a key resistance level that previously triggered a strong move down in BTC. The golden pocket often acts as a strong rejection zone, and bears are likely to try defending this level again. So be careful on how price will move into this level and how it reacts.
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Point of control (POC)
The Point of Control (POC) for the entire trading range from November to the present is located precisely at 96,450. This level is particularly significant as it aligns with multiple technical factors, creating a strong confluence zone. Not only does it coincide with a well-established resistance area that previously initiated a sharp move to the downside, but it also sits within the golden pocket Fibonacci.
The POC marks the price level where the highest volume of trading activity has occurred during this entire range, indicating a strong area of interest for both buyers and sellers. High-volume nodes like this often act as magnets for price and tend to offer either strong support or resistance depending on the context. In this case, with the POC positioned within a broader resistance zone, it becomes an even more formidable barrier.
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Stochastic RSI
The Stochastic RSI on the daily timeframe is currently in the overbought zone, where it has remained for approximately 10 consecutive days. This prolonged stay in overbought territory suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening and the indicator is beginning to show signs of exhaustion.
Typically, when the Stochastic RSI hovers in this upper range for an extended period without a meaningful pullback, it signals that a reversal or at least a slowdown in the prevailing trend could be imminent. The oscillator appears to be running out of steam, and barring a sudden surge in buying pressure, it is likely to start curling downward in the coming days or within the next week.
This could imply a shortterm correction is luring.
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Deathcrosses this cycle
A deathcross is a bearish technical indicator (lagging) that occurs when a shorter-term (50-day MA) crosses below the longer-term (200-day MA).
Deathcross 1
At the time of the first death cross, the price of BTC had already formed a local low before the crossover occurred. Following the death cross, BTC experienced what is commonly referred to as a "death cross rally" — a counterintuitive move where price rallies shortly after the bearish signal.
This rally was significant, as it broke short-term market structure to the upside and eventually found support at the 50-day MA, the same level that previously acted as resistance. That support held, even during a brief rejection, and marked a key shift in momentum.
From there, BTC continued its upward move and eventually went on to make new highs, effectively invalidating the immediate bearish expectations typically associated with a death cross.
Deathcross 2
The second death cross in this cycle occurred after Bitcoin had already established a local low and began moving back upward toward the death cross. Initially, BTC struggled to break above the 50-day MA, but it eventually managed to push through.
However, this time, during the subsequent correction, Bitcoin was unable to hold the 50-day MA as support. Instead, it formed a higher low, indicating a shift in market dynamics and suggesting that the selling pressure may have been weakening. This higher low marks a crucial point in the price structure, as it hints at potential bullish momentum building, despite the earlier bearish signal from the death cross.
Deathcross 3
This time, the low was established right at the moment of the death cross, and BTC began to move upward immediately after the crossover occurred. After initially struggling to break above the 50-day MA, BTC surged higher and managed to surpass both the 50-day and 200-day MA.
Currently, BTC is facing strong resistance at these levels. The question now is whether BTC will correct and find support at the 50-day MA once again, as it did during the first instance, or if it is aiming to form a higher low, similar to the second occurrence.
In both scenarios, Bitcoin has historically experienced a pullback after a few days of upward movement, so a correction at this point would not be surprising.
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Ultimate Guide to Liquidity Sweeps: Trading Smart Money MovesIn the world of Crypto and other financial markets, liquidity sweeps are deliberate price moves designed to capture liquidity sitting above or below key price levels. These moves are not random, they are orchestrated by large players who need to fill significant orders efficiently. By pushing price into zones where stop-losses and pending orders accumulate, these entities access the liquidity required to open large positions without causing excessive slippage.
Liquidity sweeps offer sharp insights into market structure and intent. Understanding how they work and recognizing them in real-time can significantly enhance a trader’s edge, especially in environments dominated by algorithmic and smart money behavior.
Defining the Liquidity Sweep
A liquidity sweep is characterized by a quick push through a well-defined support or resistance level, typically a recent high or low, followed by a swift reversal. These zones are hotspots for stop orders placed by retail traders, such as long stop-losses placed under swing lows or short stops above recent highs. When these stops are triggered, they act as liquidity pools.
Large players anticipate these zones and use them to enter positions. The sweep creates an illusion of breakout or breakdown, luring reactive traders in, only for the price to reverse direction once the necessary liquidity is absorbed. This mechanism reveals the strategic manipulation often present in efficient markets.
Structure and Behavior of a Sweep
The process typically starts with the market forming a recognizable range, often between a defined high and low. Price then consolidates or slowly trends toward one edge of the range, building tension. As the market reaches that boundary, a sudden surge beyond the level occurs, this is the sweep. Importantly, price does not sustain above or below the level. Instead, it quickly retraces, printing a rejection wick or reversal pattern.
Following the reversal, the market often resumes its original trend or begins a new leg in the opposite direction of the sweep. For traders, this offers a clear point of entry and invalidation, allowing for precise trade setups.
Bullish Scenario, Sweep of Lows
When Bitcoin approaches a prior low, especially one that marked a swing point or a support level, many traders place their stop-losses just below that low. This creates a pocket of sell-side liquidity.
In a bullish liquidity sweep, price will spike below this prior low, often triggered by a news event, a large market order, or a sudden increase in volatility. The market will quickly wick below the level, triggering stop-losses and perhaps inviting new short positions. However, instead of continuing lower, price snaps back above the broken level and begins to climb.
This reversal indicates that large players were absorbing liquidity at the lows and are now positioned long. Traders can look for bullish confirmation via engulfing candles, reclaim of the low, or a fast return into the previous range.
Bearish Scenario, Sweep of Highs
Conversely, when Bitcoin grinds higher toward a prior swing high or resistance level, traders anticipating a breakout may enter early, while others have stop-losses on short positions resting above the level.
A bearish liquidity sweep occurs when price spikes above the prior high, triggering those buy stops and breakout entries. Almost immediately, the market reverses, showing rejection at the highs. This action signals that buy-side liquidity has been used by larger players to enter short positions.
Once price fails to hold above the breakout level and begins to drop, the sweep is confirmed. Traders aligned with this read may look for bearish structure to form, such as a lower high, and enter short with a defined invalidation above the sweep.
Common Pitfalls and Misinterpretations
One of the most frequent mistakes traders make is confusing a sweep for a breakout. Liquidity sweeps are often mistaken for the beginning of a new trend leg, leading to premature entries that quickly get reversed.
Another pitfall is ignoring the broader market context. Liquidity sweeps are most reliable when they occur at logical levels aligned with higher time frame bias. Without that alignment, the sweep may simply be part of a choppy, indecisive range.
Lack of confirmation is also an issue. Entering trades immediately after a wick without seeing structure reclaim, volume shift, or candle confirmation can lead to unnecessary losses.
Confirming a Valid Sweep
To increase confidence in a sweep setup, traders should watch for several confirming behaviors. Volume often spikes during the sweep itself, followed by a drop in volatility as the market reverses. Divergences on momentum indicators like RSI or OBV can also support the idea of an exhausted move.
Most importantly, the reaction after the sweep matters more than the sweep itself. If price fails to reclaim the swept level or continues trending, the move was likely a true breakout, not a manipulation.
In high-probability sweeps, price often reclaims the level and begins forming structure in the opposite direction. Watching for breaker blocks, fair value gaps, or inefficiencies being respected in this phase can also strengthen the case for entry.
Conclusion
Liquidity sweeps are one of the clearest footprints left behind by smart money. While they can be deceptive in the moment, with enough practice and context awareness, they become one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal.
The key lies in understanding that these moves are engineered, not accidental. Recognizing where the market is likely hunting liquidity, and how it behaves after collecting it, can dramatically improve your ability to enter trades with precision, confidence, and clear invalidation.
__________________________________________
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Bitcoin Broke falling trendline and retest complete= Heavy pump As we can see the red trendline is already broken and porice is going to test 92K resistance zone and soon after that the resistance there will also break and we are looking for bull market now again and rise and gain for Spots in upcoming weeks.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Bitcoin - Trap the Breakouts, Ride the PullbackBitcoin has been trading in a clearly impulsive structure, showing bullish intent after reclaiming previous consolidation zones. Recently, price action has driven into a significant area of interest, approaching the highs set on the 4-hour timeframe. These highs have not yet been swept, making them a likely target for liquidity grabs. Given the market's recent strength, it's reasonable to anticipate that market makers and larger participants may aim to run these stops to fuel a deeper retracement or set the stage for further upside.
The higher timeframes continue to favor bullish structure overall, with price making higher highs and higher lows. However, within this bullish context, the market has left behind notable inefficiencies, particularly an untapped imbalance zone just below current price levels. These inefficiencies typically act as magnets, especially when preceded by strong directional moves, making them key zones of interest for potential pullbacks.
Consolidation Structure and Key Zones
After bottoming out near the $77,000 to $78,000 area in early April, Bitcoin has steadily climbed, forming intermediate accumulation structures and minor consolidations before each breakout leg. During the recent surge, price left behind a unified imbalance zone roughly between $89,000 and $91,000, which remains untouched. This area is highly relevant, as price has not yet returned to rebalance it.
Just below that sits a previous strong support zone in the $82,000 to $84,000 region, which provided a solid base for the current leg higher. An additional lower imbalance zone lies slightly above $80,000, offering a potential secondary demand area in case the primary zone fails.
Liquidity and Imbalance Zone
The current expectation is for Bitcoin to complete a sweep of the 4H swing high, tapping into the resting buy stops above. These types of moves often serve as traps for breakout buyers, allowing institutions to offload positions into demand and prepare for a retracement. Once the liquidity is taken, the next logical move would be a return toward the unfilled imbalance zone highlighted on the chart.
This zone not only represents technical inefficiency, but also aligns with the concept of fair value. Price often returns to these areas to find willing buyers, rebalance supply-demand discrepancies, and establish a base before continuing in the prevailing direction. Given the strength of the previous rally, a healthy retracement into this zone would still maintain overall bullish market structure.
Bullish Scenario
If the price sweeps the high and retraces into the $89,000 to $91,000 zone, we want to see signs of absorption and bullish structure forming within this region. Confirmation may come in the form of bullish order blocks, internal BOS (break of structure), or a clear rejection wick indicating buyers are stepping in. Should these conditions be met, this zone provides a compelling long opportunity, with upside targets set toward previous highs and potential extension levels above $96,000.
Bearish Contingency Plan
In the event that the unified imbalance fails to hold, attention shifts to the next key zones. The first is the minor imbalance closer to $85,000, which could offer a short-term bounce. Failing that, the broader support zone at $83,000 highlighted on the chart, becomes a more significant area to watch. This zone previously acted as the springboard for the current rally and may provide the structural support necessary for a larger bullish continuation.
Conclusion
This setup reflects a classic smart money concept, liquidity engineering followed by a return to inefficiency. The trade idea rests on the premise that markets rarely move in a straight line and often seek to rebalance themselves after aggressive trends. By allowing price to sweep the highs, fill the imbalance, and re-establish support, we can position ourselves with the trend in a favorable risk-reward context. The bias remains bullish, but execution depends on price reaction at key levels and confirmation of intent.
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unpublished Bitcoin navigator BTC update 21.04.2024
I just realized I posted a private chart yesterday.
I'll republish it so that the entire @TradingView community can see it
Click👇🏻
So, after deep analysis
Which, surprisingly, coincides with my previous publications.
I won't add them to this post.
The base case scenario is to reach BTCUSD 96-98
Why?
1. Need to reach the highest volume level of the year
In May, and with a high probability, a correction down to the level I have indicated with the yellow box
At least 4 out of 5 models point to this
The models are these transparent dotted lines that are barely visible.
And then ATH
Interesting Question, where is ATH?
I have shown on the chart a dashed line that tapers off the two previous peaks. I have seen many times how this line did not work and was broken by a big Liquidating candlestick up and down, so graphically, you can guess my conservative targets.
When writing this text, I wondered what could explain the fall in the price of Bitcoin after adding it to the reserve, other than speculation and liquidity gathering, and I have no other answers. But in this case, when they start releasing news about the Bitcoin reserve, they will buy it en masse, after this official announcement. Some time will pass, and a 20% drop, then most of the industry will be disappointed and start blaming Trump - he failed again, even with the Bitcoin reserve. So after that, we should quickly rise on this emotion.
Best regards EXCAVO
Will BTC Correct Before Breaking $96K? CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as it did in the previous post , I hope it was useful for everyone.
Bitcoin is still moving in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , this type of movement does NOT seem to be enough to break Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , so I still expect a correction .
The volume of Bitcoin's price rebound to the previous high does NOT seem to be sufficient, and even Regular Divergence(RD-) is evident.
According to Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed its 5 impulse waves and we should expect another decline . Of course, there is still a possibility that the main wave 4 will be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . But both scenarios can bring us a decline in Bitcoin price .
I expect Bitcoin will NOT be able to break the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) before the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) is filled, This is just my analysis of course, considering the above explanation. What do you think?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,095
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $93,350-$92,551
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $96,100, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Bearish Or Bullish 100K Comment —Scientific StudyDo you see bearish or bullish write a comment... Just do it!
How long is it going to take you? 1 minute.
Ok, what do you see?
The chart as it is now, do you see it bearish or bullish?
Leave a comment tell me what you see... Go ahead. If 100 people leave a comment we can make an independent study. A scientific study, will you participate yes?
Will Bitcoin move above $100,000 this same week?
Go ahead, write a comment what do you think? Bullish or bearish; will Bitcoin move above 100K?
I will not reveal my bias until the end.
The levels are mapped on the chart. Weak support, main support, strong support and untouched support.
» The 0.618 is the strong support level that remains untouched.
» The 0.5 is the main support.
» The 0.382 is weak support, it was pierced.
— The weak support was pierced but Bitcoin recovered above this level so it is no longer weak.
— The main support was challenged twice and it holds.
— The strong support is far away and it remains untouched.
Bottom, Bitcoin's price is trading high in relation to all-time history; Bitcoin's technicals are really strong. Bitcoin's fundamentals are also strong.
Bitcoin will continue growing but will it move above $100,000 this week leave a comment what do you think?
It is an experiment so you have to participate.
If this one time, one time only how long have you been reading forever do it now if it is ok, one minute won't do harm it can be great scientific experiment will you participate?
Are you willing yes?
I think Bitcoin can move above 100K but this is not certain nothing is. It is 100% certain that 2025 will be a strong year and the entire Cryptocurrency market will turn green.
So, there is nothing certain? How are you certain that everything will grow?
Leave a comment-thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC - Golden Pocket Confluence + FVG Sweep = Long SetupA highly refined scenario blending Fibonacci confluence with liquidity principles, setting up a controlled bullish play.
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1. Golden Pocket + FVG Confluence — Critical Demand Zone
The blue highlighted area represents a strong confluence:
- FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance left by aggressive price movement, likely to attract price for rebalancing.
- Golden Pocket: The 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, statistically favored for deep retracements and high-probability reversals.
Expecting strong buying interest once price taps into this confluence.
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2. 0.618-0.65 Fib Range — Key Reversal Territory
The Fibonacci zone offers the perfect environment for engineered liquidity sweeps and smart money accumulation.
- This range often acts as a trap for retail shorts while institutions accumulate.
- A clean entry opportunity arises as price dips into this critical golden zone before expansion.
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3. FVG Resistance Above — Initial Reaction Zone
A notable FVG resistance area is marked around 94,400–94,500:
- Upon reaching this zone, price may face initial selling pressure or short-term consolidation.
- Observing how price interacts here can further confirm bullish strength and continuation.
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4. Smart Money Liquidity Play
The setup suggests a classic liquidity engineering move:
- Induce shorts through a pullback into the Golden Pocket.
- Absorb liquidity inside the FVG.
- Trigger a sharp bullish reversal aligned with institutional footprints.
This layered setup is clean, logical, and methodical.
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5. Projected Price Flow
Anticipated price action structure:
- Step 1: Dip into the Golden Pocket + FVG demand zone.
- Step 2: Reversal toward the FVG resistance.
- Step 3: Breakout continuation upon reclaiming resistance, leading to further bullish expansion.
Each leg is mapped to follow high-probability liquidity behavior.
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6. Summary:
- Golden Pocket + FVG = Prime Reversal Confluence
- Efficient Liquidity Sweep Mechanics
- Structured Bullish Progression Based on Smart Money Concepts
This plan is framed to capitalize on precision entries and liquidity dynamics without chasing price.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #73👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to give you a complete review of Bitcoin. There are just a few days left until the monthly candle closes, and it’s been a while since I analyzed higher timeframes for you, so it’s a good time to do that now.
📅 Monthly Timeframe
In the monthly timeframe, it’s very clear that Bitcoin has a long-term uptrend, which is still ongoing. The new leg of this trend started from the 16162 bottom and has so far extended to 104857.
⚡️ In the past few candles, the price has entered a phase of correction and consolidation, which is perfectly natural and necessary for the trend’s health. However, because this is happening on the monthly timeframe and takes months, some traders and market participants might think the uptrend has ended.
✔️ First of all, Bitcoin’s uptrend has not ended yet. We’ve just seen two red monthly candles, and now with this month's candle, bullish momentum is reentering the market. I believe the price can register a new all-time high (ATH). Even if that doesn’t happen, remember that Bitcoin’s dominance is very high, and this bullish cycle won’t last forever—eventually, Bitcoin dominance will start to fall.
🔍 If that happens and the percentage of money inside Bitcoin decreases, this capital will shift into altcoins. With this large inflow of capital, an altcoin season will begin.
📊 My personal view is that Bitcoin will have one more bullish leg toward 130,000 or 180,000, and after that, dominance will start to drop and the altcoin season will begin. Initially, Bitcoin will move upward, followed by strong, large-cap altcoins like Ethereum, BNB, XRP, etc. After these big players rally, capital will shift into good low-cap projects, leading to the crazy crypto pumps we've seen in previous bull runs.
🔽 This is the scenario I find most likely. But if the market moves against this scenario and dominance shifts earlier or later, I will adapt accordingly without being rigid in my analysis.
✨ As for Bitcoin turning bearish, I think that’s very unlikely for now, and the triggers for that are still far away from the current price. If that scenario becomes more probable, I’ll update my analysis and discuss it.
In short, for Bitcoin to turn bearish, it would need to make a lower high and a lower low compared to 104000, and if a sharp downtrend is to happen, the price must establish below 58000.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, we can see the bullish movement in more detail. A bullish move started from the 16162 bottom and after three bullish legs, the price reached the 104857 resistance.
💫 Currently, the price is in the correction phase of the third bullish leg and had pulled back close to the previous high of 71520. After forming a bullish engulfing candle, bullish momentum has returned, and the price is moving back toward 104857.
🎲 The 104857 area overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci Extension, creating a strong PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). If this high breaks, the next resistance levels are the 0.786 and 1 Fibonacci levels, roughly around 125000 and 155000.
👀 There’s also a visible trendline in this timeframe that the price has touched three times, and each time the trendline bottom coincided with RSI support. However, the last time the price touched the trendline, it made a fakeout, which can be observed both on the price chart and on RSI.
⭐ This fakeout could inject even stronger bullish momentum and drive the price higher. But for this to happen, the current bullish leg must break above 104857—otherwise, the scenario fails, because if buyers truly have strength after a trendline breakout, they should be able to break the previous high.
☘️ If this doesn’t happen, it signals weakness, and the price could move back toward the 71000 support, with an increased probability of breaking it.
💥 In previous analyses, I also mentioned that during this bullish cycle, RSI has accurately indicated market bottoms each time it touched the 45.17 support level. This has happened again, and I hope you were able to benefit from it.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, as you can see, using the bullish leg up to 106247, we can draw a Fibonacci Retracement.
🔑 In the initial correction phase after reaching 106247, a box was formed between the 0.236 Fibonacci level and the 106247 top. After the 0.236 Fibonacci level, which overlapped with 90958, was broken, a deeper correction occurred down to the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
🔄 A descending trendline can also be drawn on the chart. As I mentioned in Bitcoin analysis #52, I advised spot buying upon the breakout of this trendline. I hope you were able to take full advantage of that opportunity.
📚 After the price reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level, a strong reaction occurred, and after activating the 87360 trigger, the price began a bullish move with strong buying volume and sharp candles, climbing back above 90958. If it holds above this level, it could move back toward the 106247 top.
💥 The RSI oscillator has increased significantly during this bullish move and is now near the Overbuy zone. If RSI enters the excitement zone, the likelihood of a sharp move toward the main resistance increases, and if RSI stabilizes above this zone, the probability of breaking the 106247 top will be very high.
📉 Currently, strong bullish momentum has entered the market, so we can expect a solid uptrend to continue. However, if the price falls back below 90958 before reaching the 106247 top, it would suggest that the entire bullish move was a fakeout, and bearish momentum could enter, pushing the price lower toward the 0.618 or even 0.786 Fibonacci levels.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Let’s check the 4-hour timeframe for futures triggers.
✔️ As you know from previous analyses, we had two main entry points for long positions at 85697 and 88289, and I hope you managed to open positions based on those.
💣 Currently, the price has reached the 95173 resistance and is being rejected. The RSI oscillator also shows a divergence, and if the 64.4 level breaks on RSI, temporary bullish momentum could fade.
🔼 In case of correction, the supports we currently have are at 92109 and 88289. For more levels, we’ll need to wait for a proper correction to use Fibonacci tools.
📈 For a long position, you can enter on the breakout of 95173. The next price target will be 98828.For a short position, we still need to wait for a proper trend reversal.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price of price was consolidating for quite some time inside a broad upward wedge. The market found consistent support near the buyer zone, forming a solid foundation for future growth. After several rebounds, the bulls pushed BTC higher, and the pair exited the support area with a clean breakout. The movement above the current 86000 support level was accompanied by a strong bullish impulse, confirming the breakout from the wedge and validating the upward momentum. The price respected the structure of the wedge well, reacting to both the resistance and support lines along the way. After the breakout, Bitcoin reached a new high near 94000, where it turned around slightly, indicating the beginning of a local correction. Now BTC is hovering just above the broken wedge, and I believe a short-term decline, likely before continuing further upward. Given the wedge's structure, the bounce from the buyer zone, and the breakout with confirmation, I remain bullish on Bitcoin. My TP1 remains at 97000 points, which corresponds to the next key resistance above the current price range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC Pumped Hard – Is It Time for a Pullback to Fill CME GAP!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping after the pullback, as I expected in my previous post , I hope you were able to take profits.
Bitcoin is trading in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , near the Resistance lines and the upper line of the ascending channel .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , it seems that Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 and we can expect the completion of the main wave 4 today .
I expect Bitcoin to correct in the next few hours and drop to the targets I have specified on the chart and fill the CME Gap($93,465-$91,415) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $95,700-$94,542
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,666-$91,415
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160
Note: If Bitcoin can break the upper line of the ascending channel, we should wait for the next pump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bullish Crypto: Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 4)You are back!
Are you back are you?
I am getting many new Altcoins requests so let's do a new Top Altcoins Choice session, Your Pick.
Look at this weekly Bitcoin chart, what do you see?
Today is Friday and the session is full green. The action is happening at the top of the candle.
» Can Bitcoin hit $100,000 by next week?
It is possible. Bitcoin can easily grow less than $6,000 in two days.
» Can Bitcoin hit $120,000 before the month ends?
It is possible but not likely, let's be honest.
» Can Bitcoin hit $150,000 in May 2025.
Absolutely, why not, it is actually not that high.
» Can Bitcoin hit $200,000 in this 2025 bull market cycle top?
Bitcoin can hit $180,000, $200,000 or even go beyond.
Look at this weekly chart and tell me in the comments section what do you see?
I see a market that is very strong.
I see bullish action, bears are weak.
Where are the signals that would give strength to a bear in this type of chart? Where is the downside? Where are the negative aspects, it looks green, it is green and ready to grow up and blow.
It is only a matter of time before Bitcoin moves above $100,000 for the second time in its history. The first time of course in December 2024. Then the All-Time High peak, the correction and now we are moving back up.
Are you aware.... Did you know that Bitcoin will never trade back below 80K? I told you buying below 90,000 was a great opportunity, the last chance now to buy below 100,000 before the 2025 bull market bullish wave.
When Bitcoin moves above $100,000 the Altcoins will blow up. The Altcoins are starting to grow now, to recover now but not yet, May 2025 is the month of the Altcoins market maximum growth. Everything will grow, but the Altcoins will grow many times more than Bitcoin because the Alts are smaller, because the correction was stronger on those.
Knowing that the Altcoins market is bullish, recovering a major bottom, set to grow and going green, which one is your Top Altcoin Choice, Your Pick?
Leave a comment with your Choice of Altcoin and I will do an analysis for you, 100% FREE. Choose one pair only and if the chart looks good, I will publish.
Any specific questions leave in the comment, for example: Short-term reversal potential, mid-term targets, All-Time High potential, many signals, chart structure, fundamentals, etc.
Why are you here?
Why are you trading?
How long have you been trading for?
Share some of you; your heart, your mind your soul, share some information about you so that the analysis can be personalized...
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Let's do a new session of Your Top Altcoins Choice.
Session 4.
Namaste.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #74👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's move on to Bitcoin and major crypto index analysis. As usual in this analysis, I want to review the triggers for the New York futures session for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, after the price was rejected from the 95306 area, it formed a short-term box between 93898 and 95306, and currently, the price is moving out of this box.
✔️ As you can see, after a large red candle and a second rejection from 95306, a lot of bearish momentum and selling volume entered the market, and now the price has broken the 93898 support. If the price stabilizes below this level, there is a possibility of a deeper correction down to 91945.
💥 The SMA99 indicator overlaps with the 93989 area, and if this PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) formed by the price is broken, the probability of a further drop will increase.
⚡️ The RSI oscillator has also activated its divergence, and now we are seeing the effect of this divergence in the market. For a short position, if the 93898 area is broken, we can enter.
📈 For a long position, if the 93898 area gets faked out, we can enter a long with a fake breakout trigger in lower timeframes. The main trigger for a long is the break of 95306.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to Bitcoin Dominance. There is still a ranging box between 64.19 and 61.60, and the price is fluctuating between these two levels.
✨ Currently, confirmation for bullishness comes with a break of 64.60 or 64.41, and bearish confirmation comes with a break of 64.19.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, a ranging box has formed in this index between 1.03 and 1.05. These areas are suitable triggers for opening positions.
🧩 For a long position, a break of 1.05 could start the next bullish leg, with a target of 1.07.
🔽 For a short position, with a break of 1.03, the price could make a corrective move.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Moving on to Tether Dominance, it is still struggling with the 4.99 support area and hasn't been able to stabilize below it.
📊 As long as this support holds, the next bullish leg in the market will not start. On the other hand, as long as dominance is below 5.14, the market trend remains bullish.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Soon again above 100K$(major supports are 90K & 87K)The market is now bullish as it was expected after breakout of red trendline and now we may have short-term correction to test new supports like 90K$ and 87K$ or without any correction:
more pump soon will pump price to extremely bullish zone above 100K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
BITCOIN → Consolidation or reversal? Why is $ 95000 important?BINANCE:BTCUSD held up quite strongly during the tariff war and largely weathered the storm, while the stock market and indices were in free fall. The improvement in the fundamental situation has once again heightened interest in the asset among traders and investors.
Earlier, I pointed out that against the backdrop of falling markets (due to Trump's policies and tariff wars), Bitcoin is holding up fairly well. It cannot be compared to gold, which maintains its status as a safe haven, but overall it has stayed out of the 73K risk zone.
Countries are continuing negotiations in the US, which generally points to an improvement in the trade situation, but all attention remains on relations between China and the US, and a resolution may be close.
Technically, on the daily/weekly timeframe, the price has broken through the trend resistance and the asset has moved from the sell zone to the buy zone, which in general only increases interest in the flagship. Bitcoin is stuck in the 95K-92K range. A false breakout of resistance provokes a correction, and now we need to monitor the price and see where the correction will stop. This will show us important support that could become the basis for consolidation.
Resistance levels: 95K, 100K, 102.5K
Support levels: 93.5, 92.9, 92, 91K
To break through 95K and continue growing, Bitcoin must form consolidation. There is none at the moment, and a correction and halt may indicate the approximate boundaries of consolidation. However, the focus is on 95 - 93.5 - 92K. If the price manages to stay within the local boundaries and continues to storm the 95K resistance, we will have a chance for a breakthrough and continued growth to 100K. Otherwise, Bitcoin may form a deeper correction, for example to 91-88K
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Major Daily Imbalance and Possible Move to $105k?Bitcoin already broke out of the bearish structure a while back, and honestly, that was the first major shift everyone should have been paying attention to. Ever since that breakout, we have been building bullish structure on the higher timeframes, higher highs, higher lows, and overall strong momentum to the upside. This gave the bulls a clear advantage, and so far, nothing has really changed that bigger picture.
Consolidation Structure
Now, looking at the current price action, something important stands out. During the last big push up, Bitcoin left behind a massive daily imbalance zone. It is way too big to just leave open like that. Markets hate inefficiencies, especially ones of that size, and more often than not, these kinds of imbalance zones get filled at some point.
Because of that, I am fully expecting price to come down, revisit this imbalance area, and fill it properly before making any serious move higher. It is a natural thing for the market to do, clean up inefficiencies, grab liquidity, and then continue the main trend if the structure holds.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The most important thing to watch here is how Bitcoin reacts once it gets into the imbalance zone. If we dip into it and then start seeing bullish reactions, I will be looking for confirmation that the bullish structure is still intact. Specifically, if we can avoid a daily candle close below the bottom of that imbalance, the bullish case remains valid.
However, if we get a full daily close below the imbalance, that would be a strong warning sign. That would tell me that the bulls lost control and we could be looking at deeper downside or a shift back into bearish conditions.
But as long as that does not happen, I am still looking for the market to respect the structure. A dip into the imbalance, hold, and then continuation higher, that is the ideal scenario.
Price Target and Expectations
If we get the reaction I am looking for after filling the imbalance, I think Bitcoin has a real shot at rallying towards $105,000. That level lines up perfectly with a strong resistance area on the chart, and it would make sense for price to reach for it if the momentum stays bullish.
Now, reaching $105,000 will not be easy. That is going to be a major test for the market. There will likely be heavy selling pressure around there. But if the trend stays strong and we keep putting in bullish structures even as we approach that resistance, it is definitely possible to break through eventually.
Current Stance
Right now, I am being patient. I am not chasing the current move higher. I am waiting for price to come back down into the imbalance zone. If we get a proper retest and hold, that is where I will be looking for my entries, targeting the move towards $105,000.
No daily close below the imbalance zone = bullish continuation plan still in play,
Daily close below = reassess everything and possibly step aside.
Conclusion
To sum it up, Bitcoin already shifted bullish a while ago with the structure break. Now it is just about cleaning up the inefficiencies it left behind during the move up. If the market does what it usually does, fill the imbalance and maintain bullish structure, then the setup towards $105,000 is very much alive.
Patience is key here. Let the market come to us. No need to force anything.
___________________________________
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Bitcoin – Testing Major Resistance: 95k next target?Bitcoin is currently trading inside a significant resistance zone between $88,000 and $89,000. This area has acted as a strong supply zone in the past, evidenced by multiple rejections that led to notable sell-offs. The recent upward momentum that brought price back into this area was backed by a strong rally off the April lows, pushing through local structure and recovering critical levels. However, despite the strength of this move, price is now approaching a decision point where bulls need to prove continuation capacity or risk triggering another corrective leg.
Consolidation Structure
The current structure reflects a potential accumulation base forming below resistance, marked by a series of higher lows and a compression of volatility. This typically precedes a breakout, though it also heightens the risk of a sharp rejection should buyers fail to sustain pressure. The local trend remains bullish on the 4H timeframe, but the lack of follow-through above resistance so far suggests hesitation. Price is essentially coiling beneath a ceiling, building pressure for a breakout or breakdown move in the coming sessions.
Bullish Scenario
If Bitcoin is able to cleanly break above the $89,000 resistance level, the key confirmation will be a successful retest of this zone from above. This area, once flipped into support, would offer a strong launchpad for continuation toward the next key target at $95,000. This target aligns with the measured move projection from the recent range and also represents a psychological milestone that may attract momentum buyers. A confirmed breakout and retest would signal strength from bulls and invalidate the prior resistance structure, transitioning it into new support.
Bearish Scenario
Alternatively, if price fails to break above the resistance zone and prints another rejection, I expect a retracement to follow. The first major area of interest on the downside is the imbalance zone between approximately $84,000 and $85,500. This level also aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, and given the inefficiency left behind from the recent rally, it serves as a logical short-term support area. A bounce here would not be surprising, particularly on the first touch. However, should price break below and close beneath this zone, it would indicate weakness and open the door for a deeper corrective move.
The next major downside target in that case would be the golden pocket between $79,500 and $80,500. This zone carries strong confluence: it’s formed by the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement, a previously unfilled price void (PVG), and the base of the recent rally. Price reaching this area would likely attract interest from both buyers looking for re-entry and shorts looking to cover. A reaction from this level could set the stage for a medium-term bounce or even a new accumulation phase.
Current Stance
At the moment, my stance is neutral-to-bullish while price remains within the resistance zone. I'm closely monitoring for a clean breakout and retest, which would trigger a long setup targeting the $95K area. Until that breakout occurs, caution is warranted due to the risk of rejection and retracement. If price breaks down from the current level, I will shift my focus to lower support zones, particularly the imbalance region and the golden pocket, for potential long opportunities or further confirmation of bearish momentum.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at a pivotal point technically. The structure and momentum suggest the possibility of a bullish continuation, but confirmation through breakout and retest is essential. A failure to break and hold above resistance will likely initiate a retracement, with the imbalance zone serving as the first major test. If that zone fails, a trip toward the golden pocket at $80K becomes increasingly probable. This is a reactive zone-to-zone environment, and both breakout and breakdown scenarios offer actionable setups based on confirmation.
__________________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
BTC - Is there anything that can stop this bullrun?The current 4H structure presents a high-probability scenario centered around a classic liquidity sweep into premium levels, followed by potential downside rebalancing into inefficiencies. This is a clear case of price reaching for external liquidity before internal structure takes over.
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1. Liquidity Run Above BSLs
Price has aggressively pushed upward, sweeping multiple Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) levels. These levels mark resting stop orders and breakout entries positioned by retail above recent swing highs.
- The impulsive move to the upside isn't a sign of strength—it's a strategic run for liquidity.
- These liquidity pools provide exit opportunities for large players offloading long positions initiated earlier in the structure.
- The sweep aligns with typical behavior just before price reacts to higher timeframe supply or premium Fibonacci zones.
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2. Golden Pocket Confluence Zone (Downtrend Bias)
The orange highlighted zone represents the Golden Pocket —the 61.8%-to-65% retracement zone often associated with downtrend continuation or reversal setups.
- This level acts as a magnet in trending conditions, often leading to strong rejections.
- As price enters this pocket, the probability of a reaction increases, especially following a liquidity grab.
- The structure suggests this move is designed not for continuation, but for setting up a reversal.
The projected swing failure pattern at this level implies a shift from bullish euphoria to short-term distribution.
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3. Internal Structure: Fair Value Gaps as Rebalance Zones
Two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked as zones of inefficiency, where price moved too aggressively to maintain balance between buyers and sellers.
- FVGs represent internal liquidity voids and serve as high-probability magnets for retracement.
- The first FVG lies just below the current price, suggesting a short-term retracement target.
- The second, deeper FVG offers a more substantial downside target and is aligned with typical rebalancing behavior after aggressive markups.
As price begins to break structure to the downside, these gaps become the logical destinations.
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4. Probable Flow: Liquidity Sweep → Rejection → Internal FVG Fill
The anticipated flow is strategic and sequential:
- Step 1: Sweep of BSL and deviation into the Golden Pocket
- Step 2: Quick rejection, potentially forming a lower high
- Step 3: Downside expansion targeting both FVGs for liquidity rebalancing
This is not about chasing price—it’s about understanding the intent behind the move : create imbalance, sweep liquidity, then deliver price into inefficiency.
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Conclusion:
This 4H chart outlines a mechanically driven move:
- External liquidity (BSL) tapped
- Premium level tested (Golden Pocket)
- Internal inefficiencies below acting as draw
The structure points to a transitional phase from premium to discount, with the FVGs below acting as clear objectives. Until those inefficiencies are fully addressed, the upside narrative remains reactive, not impulsive.
The Hidden Power of the Silver Bullet Strategy - Full GuideIntroduction
The Silver Bullet Strategy is a high-probability intraday trading technique popularized within the Smart Money Concepts community. It focuses on taking precision trades during specific times of the day when liquidity is most active. Mastering this strategy can help traders consistently capture high-quality setups with minimal risk.
In this guide, we will cover:
- What the Silver Bullet Strategy is
- Key Times to Watch
- Entry Models
- Target Setting
- Risk Management
- Real Chart Examples
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What is the Silver Bullet Strategy?
The Silver Bullet Strategy is based on trading within a "window" of high-probability price action, typically during key liquidity times. It looks to capture moves after liquidity sweeps, order block mitigations, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) plays.
Key Principles:
- Focuses on high-probability windows (New York session especially)
- Waits for a liquidity grab and displacement
- Entries are often on FVGs, OBs, or MSS points
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Silver Bullet Timing Windows
Timing is crucial to this strategy. The "Silver Bullet" typically occurs in these windows (New York time):
- First Window: 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM (New York)
- Second Window: 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM (New York)
These times capture major moves post-liquidity sweeps or reversals after news/market manipulation.
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Silver Bullet Entry Model
The classic sequence for a Silver Bullet setup:
1. Identify Liquidity Sweep: Look for price to grab liquidity above a swing high or below a swing low.
2. Look for Displacement: A strong move away from the sweep, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Breaker Block.
3. Entry in FVG or OB: Enter on a retracement into the FVG or Order Block after displacement.
4. Confirmation: Use lower timeframe MSS or BOS to confirm the reversal.
Liquidity sweep and FVG at the 5m:
MSS + Displacement candle at the 1m:
So all 4 steps completed!
Example Entry Checklist:
- Liquidity sweep
- Strong displacement creating an FVG
- Price retraces into FVG or OB
- MSS/BOS confirmation
- Execute trade with tight stop-loss
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Where to Set Targets
Targets should be logical based on market structure:
- First Target: Recent internal liquidity (equal highs/lows)
- Second Target: External liquidity zones (major swing highs/lows)
- Optional: Use 1R/2R/3R scaling based on risk-to-reward goals
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Risk Management for Silver Bullet Trades
Golden Rules:
- Risk less than 1% per Silver Bullet setup
- Set stop-loss beyond the liquidity sweep (not too tight, not too loose) or above FVG
candle
- Stick to one or two trades per window maximum
- Avoid revenge trading outside the windows
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Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Trading outside the specified time windows
- Entering without a confirmed sweep and displacement
- Overleveraging because the strategy "looks easy"
- Ignoring higher timeframe bias (HTF context is still critical!)
Pro Tip: Combine Silver Bullet entries with SMT Divergences, MSS, and IFVGs for maximum confluence.
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Final Thoughts
The Silver Bullet Strategy is one of the cleanest ways to approach intraday trading. By mastering liquidity concepts, timing, and precision entries, traders can catch powerful moves with strong risk-to-reward setups.
Be patient, wait for your window, and always trade with discipline.
Happy Sniping!
Bitcoin - No one expect this move! 20% this week (plan here)Whales are preparing a huge trap for the retail traders, and you probably already know that the trap is this massive falling wedge! Falling wedge patterns are usually bullish, right? But not if they occur at the end of a trend. You probably want to trade wedges that are at the start of a trend. What's more, everyone is watching and buying into this wedge, which brings so much questions - will all retail traders get REKT again? Most likely yes, as usual. You want to do pretty much the opposite of what the majority of retail traders do to be a profitable trader.
You probably already know that Bitcoin is manipulated and controlled by the banks and huge institutions. They control the price and development. Do not be fooled that some average Joe geek from Florida eating McDonald's controls the development. Whales need liquidity to buy because their orders are so huge; they need time to buy as much Bitcoin as possible. That's why they need to push the price down to take all stop losses from retail traders.
The price is below the 20, 50, 100 and 200 daily moving averages - that's a huge downtrend! Also, on the chart we can see a huge previous rectangular range between 108k and 91k. It does make sense if the price will test this range before continuing to the downside. To me, this is indeed a risky speculation. I definitely don't want to speculate on that, because sooner or later Bitcoin will crash to 67k! I don't trust this falling wedge at all! Please tell me, what about you?
Write a comment with your altcoin, hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
Bitcoin Major AB=CD in PlayFollowing repeated community requests, we’re updating our Bitcoin macro-outlook, which remains structurally aligned with our previously published projection (BTC Dips into Major Demand Zone)
a chart that precisely captured the major demand zone reaction and subsequent bullish impulse.
The newly updated chart illustrates a strong impulsive wave structure, supported by a well-defined corrective wave count, completing at the prior immediate demand zone (~$85K– GETTEX:89K ).
From this base, price action has resumed within a clearly impulsive structure, suggesting the possibility of an extended bullish fifth wave, potentially evolving into an ending diagonal pattern.
🔹 Immediate Focus:
$85K– GETTEX:89K zone is acting as a local support and re-accumulation area (immediate demand).
$102K resistance is a pivotal structural barrier. A confirmed breakout from this level will reinforce bullish continuation.
🔹 Pattern Target:
A potential AB=CD completion and Wave 5 termination zone are aligned between $147K–$154K, with Fibonacci projections and channel symmetry suggesting further upside extension to $160K–$170K under euphoric conditions.
With momentum building in alignment with the long-term bullish cycle structure. We should watch for retracement entries near demand levels, with invalidations below $73K.
Let us know your thoughts: are we in the final stretch towards BTC's macro top?
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rebound up from support zone to $96KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After breaking out of a prolonged sideways movement, the price entered a confident bullish phase that changed the market rhythm. This breakout came after the price consolidated for several days within the 83700 - 83000 support zone. During that period, the price formed a reliable foundation, and the trend line confirmed its strength, consistently holding the lower boundary of the structure. Once the price escaped this consolidation box, bulls quickly seized control, pushing BTC upward with strong momentum. The move took Bitcoin above the 94000 area, where it started to slow down and form a local peak. Now the price is pulling back, heading toward the nearest support zone between 92200 and 91600 points. This area matches Support 1 and historically acted as a zone of high buyer interest. Given the proximity of the trend line and the strength of this support zone, I expect that BTCUSDT will rebound after this correction. That's why I set my goal at 96000 points, a realistic target if the support holds and BTC resumes upward movement. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️