Get started

Bitcoin / UST

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Markets

BTCUST trade ideas

Wave (4) Correction Completed? Wave (5) ImminentBitcoin appears to be completing an Elliott Wave structure, currently sitting around the (4) pullback area with signs of a potential continuation into wave (5) to new local highs. The recent LH and bounce from demand could mark the beginning of the impulsive move. Key Observations: ✅ Elliott Waves Count (1–2–3–4–5) in Play Wave (3) completed near ~$113K Wave (4) correction retraced into the ~$98K support zone Structure looks corrective (ABC style), typical for wave 4 Wave (5) projection aims towards ~$120K+ based on symmetry ✅ Market Structure Higher High (HH) → Higher Low (HL) pattern intact Price respected a key demand zone and bounced Green dotted line shows potential consolidation → breakout behavior ✅ Support Zones ~$98K = key demand + previous HL ~$92K = macro structure support Holding these levels = bullish continuation scenario likely ✅ Resistance Ahead ~$113K = recent local high Break and close above this = wave (5) confirmed Final TP area ~$120K–124K based on Fibonacci extensions and wave symmetry 🎯 Trade Plan (Idea) Entry: On confirmation above $106K Targets: TP1: $113K (retest) TP2: $120K TP3: $124K
Long
by Augustinemoreau
bitcoin bullish and bearish BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P bullish 🔹 Technical analysis according to Elliott waves (time: 1 hour) 📌 The pattern shown on the chart shows a complex structure that includes a complex correction within the larger wave (B), and the following is clear: 🔸 Main waves: Wave (1) up from the bottom has been confirmed. It was followed by a corrective wave (2) that ended near the 0.786 Fibonacci level = 102,575. Then the upward wave (3) started, and it seems that it has been completed or is about to be completed. 🔸 Current status: The price is currently moving within a small corrective wave, likely wave (4). Current major support is located at: 🔸 102,275.7 (very important level) 🔸 100,317.6 (in case the correction extends) 🔸 Critical resistance areas: For the bullish scenario to be valid, the resistance must be broken: 106,759 (0.618 Fibonacci ratio) 108,948 (0.786 – peak of wave C) --- 🔹 Important technical points: 🔸 The last correction (A)-(B)-(C) shows a clear triple structure, indicating that wave (2) has been completed. 🔸 The price is currently bouncing off the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (104,402 - 104,923), which reinforces the possibility that wave (2) has actually ended, and that we are currently starting an upward wave (3). --- ✅ Conclusion: ✅ As long as the price is above 102,275, the upward scenario through wave (3) remains valid. ⚠️ Breaking 100,317 indicates the failure of the bullish scenario and a structural shift in the waves. 🔻 Alternative (Bearish) Scenario – Short-Term: If the price fails to maintain the current support at 102,275, we may not be in wave (4) but rather at the beginning of a new downward wave within a broader corrective scenario, as follows: --- 🔸 Wave Interpretation: 🔹 Wave (B), which completed at the peak near 108,948, likely marked the end of an upward correction. 🔹 The current downward wave from that peak could be: Either wave 1 of C within a larger correction, or the beginning of wave (C) within a bearish (A)-(B)-(C) pattern. --- 🔻 Potential Downside Targets in This Scenario: 1. Breaking 102,275 = Confirmation of the beginning of a new downward wave. 2. First Target: 🔸 101,484 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension – Wave 1 Expected) 3. Second and Stronger Target: 🔸 100,317 = Previous Major Support, Representing an Important Structural Test Area. 4. Third and Most Extreme Target in This Scenario: 🔸 98,800 – 99,260 = Possible Wave C Extension (Corresponds to a Larger Downside Scenario). --- ⚠️ Failure Signal: Remaining below 105,926 (Previous Sub-Wave Resistance) maintains selling pressure. Any weak bounce and lack of a clear wave 5 upwards = an additional sign of bearish dominance. --- 🔻 Conclusion: ✳️ The bearish scenario assumes that the peak at 108,948 was the end of corrective wave (B), and that we are now in a downward wave C targeting areas between 101,400 and 99,200, and possibly lower. ✳️ A break of 102,275 would be key to activating this scenario.
by Learn2tradez
BTCUSDT - 4H Supply-Demand + Order Flow ViewBINANCE:BTCUSDT is struggling to hold above the 103K zone, which has now flipped into resistance. Price recently tapped into the 104K–105K supply zone and faced rejection, confirming bearish pressure. The most recent short entry aligns with overhead liquidity absorption and weakness near the high-volume node (~105K) on the volume profile. We're now revisiting the previous demand zone (101K–102K), which has held multiple times but is weakening. A breakdown below this level opens up the next major demand zone around 98.5K–99K and possibly 94K if momentum accelerates. 🔻 Bias: Bearish unless 104K is reclaimed. 🔍 Watching: Reaction at current support and volume cluster near 100K. 📊 Tools Used: S/D Zones, VWAP, Volume Profile, Confirmation Indicators. 📌 Trade safe. Set alerts and don’t chase.
Short
by TrendAlchemy
1
BTC is squeezing between descending resistance.📊 BTC/USDT – 1H Chart Analysis: The Calm Before the Storm? Bitcoin is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle on the 1-hour chart – a technical pattern that often signals a strong breakout is just around the corner. The market is compressing, and momentum is building. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Symmetrical Triangle: BTC is squeezing between descending resistance and ascending support. This equilibrium usually doesn’t last long – expect a sharp move soon. 🔹 Demand Zone ($$$ / BPR): A solid floor is forming near the BPR (Bullish Price Range), signaling potential buyer interest and liquidity resting just below. 🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG): To the upside, BTC is facing a liquidity pocket (FVG) that could act as a magnet if bulls take control. ⚡ Potential Scenarios: 📈 Bullish Breakout: A break and close above the triangle could trigger a rally towards the $105K–$106K zone. Watch for volume to confirm! 📉 Bearish Breakdown: Losing the lower trendline support might send BTC into a deeper correction toward previous demand zones. 🧠 Final Thoughts: We're approaching a critical inflection point. The triangle is narrowing, and Wednesday, June 25 could be the date the market decides. Both bulls and bears should prepare for volatility. 🚨 As always: This is not financial advice. 🧠 DYOR – Do Your Own Research. Manage risk. Trade smart. Stay sharp. 💹
by Peter_Wade
BTC/USD – Price Rejected at ATH | Key Support in PlaY Bitcoin recently reached a new all-time high at $111,942, but the daily candle closed lower around $109,550, signaling a potential rejection. On the 1D timeframe, we are now watching the $100,725 level closely. A confirmed break below this support would be a strong signal to consider short positions. Until then, BTC may consolidate or attempt another push higher. Patience is key here — wait for confirmation. 📌 Key levels: • Resistance: $111,942 (ATH) • Support: $100,725 (critical break level) 🧠 Trade safe, manage risk, and follow for more analysis.
by clintonHFX
BTCUSDT. Initiative Analysis Market OverviewHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the daily and 4H timeframes, the market is in a sideways range (Black lines = range boundaries). Buyer initiative is active on 4H. The target initiative is 108,952. However, on the daily timeframe, the seller initiative is in control, and a seller zone has formed. The seller zone is the red rectangle on the chart. 📊 Key actions The buyer attempted to break out of the range on the daily timeframe twice, but both times the seller pushed the price back inside. The price is currently interacting with the seller zone. Watching for the reaction. 🎯 Trade Idea 🔸 Long positions — with caution. Only valid if the price holds above 105,336, aiming for the target at 108,952. 🔸 Until that happens, the priority is on further downside, in line with the current seller initiative on the daily. It’s reasonable to look for short setups if the seller defends 105,336. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
$BTC 4hr - The Calm Before Bitcoin’s Next Move💡 In bull markets, triangles break UP more often than down. But volume + macro + ETF flows > patterns. Set alerts, manage risk, stay nimble. #BTC #CryptoAlpha #RiskManagement 🎯 Key Levels Analysis: ✅ Resistance: 106.3K → This level matches the upper bound of the symmetrical triangle and is reinforced by multiple recent rejections. Also aligns with previous highs. ✅ Support: 103.7K → Mid-range horizontal support. Price reacted here multiple times. It's also near the triangle base. ✅ Support: 99.6K → Clean psychological + technical level. A previous consolidation zone. Would likely trigger a strong reaction. ✅ Last Line of Bull Defense: 95.2K → Major horizontal support from the April/May breakout structure. Losing this would likely invalidate the bullish structure.
by Vandallet
Bitcoin (BTC): Markets are Cooked | Big Volatility IncomingYes, markets are cooked....all those tensions and news that are pressuring markets from every corner might result in a very explosive movement. Now we've been looking for a new ATH to form near $120K and we still keep that game plan as long as buyers keep the dominance above the 200EMA line. There is not much we can do now but just speculate. Speculate that when the war between Russia and Ukraine happened, what markets did exactly was they dumped and then shot highly up (talking mainly about Bitcoin). So we might see similar things in the markets depending on what will happen next in the world, but one thing is sure: some will make a lot of money soon and some will lose a lot. Be sure to have proper risk management, as this is crucial! Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
bitcoin is pumpingBitcoin has been pumping in the past few days pretty massively. Why? There are 2 main reasons - the first reason is that Bitcoin has finished a major WXY corrective wave, and the second is that Bitcoin swept liquidity below a triangle (see my previous post for details). That was a very good opportunity to buy/long Bitcoin at that specific level I described in the previous analysis. But let's focus on the present and future! We always want to find strong levels on the charts so we have a great entry point/take profit target. The next strong level is definitely the 0.618 FIB, which Bitcoin can hit in the very short term. Also, below the 0.618 FIB, we have a strong horizontal zone, which can also act as a strong resistance. Bitcoin should definitely go there and retest this zone. We want to see how Bitcoin is going to react in the zone and FIB, but you can create a new limit order to short Bitcoin there so you don't miss anything. So currently I am temporarily bullish on Bitcoin, and in the next update I will make a big analysis on Bitcoin and a very likely scenario for the next months. What will the price of Bitcoin be in December? Please like/boost my idea right now. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
by paltena
BTCUSD | Short Bias | Liquidity Grab | (June 16, 2025)BTCUSD | Short Bias | Liquidity Grab Setup | (June 16, 2025) 1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: Bitcoin hit a solid take-profit earlier, but now I’m watching for a potential liquidity grab near the highs to set up a short opportunity. The next key zone to watch is around 1:11 PM if price quickly spikes and reverses. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Short Entry: Around 113 (after a confirmed liquidity grab at the top) Stop Loss: Just above the liquidity grab zone TP1: Around 103900 (Point of Control zone) TP2: Final target at 97900 Partial Exits: Possible scaling out at POC zone 3️⃣ Key Notes: Spot selling is active, but there's also a lot of buying interest—especially from those trying to long this dip. That mix can lead to a fast liquidity grab, flushing out early shorts before a reversal. Open interest suggests there's still a lot of activity, so I’m being patient and only acting on confirmation. 4️⃣ Optional Follow-up: I’ll keep an eye on this setup and update if the reversal confirms after the grab. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Long
by Risk_Adj_Return
Market Overview WHAT HAPPENED? Strong sales resumed last week after a short period of growth. This was provoked by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. After testing and fixing the $105,800-$104,500 zone (accumulated volumes), strong volume deviations appeared, which should be perceived as protection on the part of the buyer. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? At the moment, an attempt is being made to position the volumes accumulated in the range of $105,600-$104,700 in the direction of growth. Strong support has already been formed in the area of $104,000-$102,900 (abnormal volumes). When the four-hour candle closes above the $106,400 mark, it’ll be possible to additionally consider the zone of accumulated volumes for buys (if there is a reaction from it). The main scenario is a long position with targets up to the nearest resistance. In case of easing of geopolitical tensions, there remains the possibility of updating the ATH. Alternative scenario: correction to the support zone of $101,600-$100,000 (volume anomalies). With this development, a prolonged rebound is possible. Sell Zones: $109,000–$110,000 (accumulated volume) Buy Zones: $105,600–$104,700 (accumulated volume) $104,000–$102,900 (volume anomalies) $101,600–$100,000 (significant volume anomalies) $98,000–$97,200 (local support) Level at $93,000 $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic developments this week: • Tuesday, June 17, 03:00 (UTC) — publication of the Japanese interest rate decision; • Tuesday, June 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the core retail sales index for May in the United States, the volume of retail sales for May in the United States; • Wednesday, June 18, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index compared to May last year; • Wednesday, June 18, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone compared to May last year; • Wednesday, June 18, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits; • Wednesday, June 18, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of FOMC economic forecasts, FOMC statement, US Federal Reserve interest rate decision; • Wednesday, June 18, 18:30 (UTC) — US FOMC Press Conference; • Thursday, June 19, 7:30 (UTC) — publication of the Q2 interest rate decision in Switzerland; • Thursday, June 19, 8:00 (UTC) — press conference of the National Bank of Switzerland; • Thursday, June 19, 11:00 (UTC) — publication of the June interest rate decision in the UK; • Thursday, June 19, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States; • Friday, June 20, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's index of manufacturing activity for June in the United States. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Long
by Crypto_robotics
Technical Chart Analysis – BTC/USDT (4H Timeframe)📊 Current Price: ~105,108 USDT --- 🔵 Support Zone (Highlighted in Purple) Zone Range: ~102,500 – 103,800 USDT 💡 Historical Significance: This zone has acted as a strong support multiple times (📍June 13 & June 4), marking clear demand and buyer interest. 🛡️ Buyers stepped in strongly, causing sharp price reversals from this level. --- 🔴 Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Blue) Zone Range: ~109,500 – 111,000 USDT 🔼 Marked with multiple failed breakout attempts (📍May 21 and projected again around June 18-20). ⛔️ Sellers dominate this zone, causing price rejection each time it was tested. --- 🔁 Rounded Bottom Formation (Cup Pattern?) ☕️ ⚙️ A smooth rounded recovery pattern is forming, indicating accumulation and potential bullish continuation. 📈 If price sustains and retests the resistance again with momentum, we may see a breakout attempt. --- 🧭 Key Takeaways Indicator Insight 🟣 Support Well-defined, historically respected zone. Good risk/reward for long entries. 🔵 Resistance Strong sell pressure zone. Needs breakout for bullish confirmation. ☕ Pattern Rounded bottom = bullish setup if volume supports the breakout. 📆 Watch Zone June 17–20 – potential resistance retest. 🔔 Risk Area Failure to hold mid-range (~105K) could lead to a retest of support. --- 🚀 Bullish Scenario ✅ Break and close above 111,000 USDT with volume. 📍 Target: 113,500–115,000 USDT 📈 🐻 Bearish Scenario ❌ Rejection at resistance again. 📍 Retest of support zone ~103,000 USDT or below.
Long
by VikingFx-Community
BITCOINThe Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #bitcoin #dollar
Long
by Shavyfxhub