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BTCUSDT | 30-min & 4H Outlook🔍 Structure & Price Action BTC is trading within a rising wedge (blue lines) nearing apex — typical bearish setup. Price is repeatedly getting rejected near macro trendline (~108.8K–109K). 30-min shows clean breakdown from lower wedge support, retesting the zone now. On 4H, BTC is still under key resistance zone between 109.6K–110.4K, previously rejected twice. 🔻 Bearish Signals Multiple Sell signals on both timeframes. Bearish divergence visible in RSI and MACD on 4H. Volume spike on the breakdown → confirming sellers in control. 🔑 Key Levels Support: 107.7K (current zone) → loss opens path to 106.6K, then 104.4K. Resistance: 108.9K–109.4K = confluence of EMA cluster + macro TL + Fib zone. 📊 Indicators (4H) RSI dropping from mid-zone (~48), no bullish momentum DMI shows increasing ADX with -DI over +DI → trend strengthening bearish TSI & Wave Trend both curling down Stochastic in overbought, starting to reverse 🎯 Summary Bias: Bearish below 108.6K Invalidation: Bullish breakout above 109.6K + volume close Setup: Watch for retest and rejection at ~108.4K–108.6K = clean short trigger Next Targets: 107.2K → 106.6K → 104.5K
Short
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTC/USDT July Outlook: Road to 116K or a Trap Below?The current structure shows Bitcoin consolidating after a strong bounce off the June lows. We’re now forming a potential bullish continuation pattern within a clear rising channel (dashed yellow lines), but the price is currently testing a mid-channel liquidity zone around $108,000–$110,000. Key observations: Local resistance zone: $111,980 (marked ATH) – a major liquidity magnet that could trigger a squeeze if broken. Support range: $106,000–$103,000 – strong confluence zone if price rejects current structure. Potential fakeout: Liquidity dip down to the $98,200–$95,500 zone is possible before a mid-July reversal (highlighted yellow path and vertical time marker on July 18). Upside target: The upper channel boundary and projected fib confluence points to a bullish target of $116,722 by mid-to-late July. Invalidations: Sustained break below $95,000 could negate the bullish structure and push us into deeper correction territory. Timing: The key date to watch is around July 18, where multiple structural lines and projection paths converge. What’s your bias for July? Trap and rip… or stairway to 117K? #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #LiquidityZones #BTCJulyOutlook
Long
by Dutch_Viking
Final move by the bears? Bulls lining up for ATHHi traders and investors! Buyers have reached the first target at 108,952. On Binance spot, BTC missed the second target (110,530.17) by just 99 cents. Is this a setup for a breakout and a run toward a new ATH? So far, the price action looks like a level manipulation around 108,952: volume in all 3 bars interacting with this level is concentrated above it. Just below lies a buyer zone (107,500 – 105,100). I am watching for buyer reaction once the price reaches this area. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin Analysis: Risk under 108k, aiming 111k+ in continuation__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Strong uptrend across all major timeframes (MTFTI “up”). Buyers remain in control; daily/4H/1H structure robust. Key supports: 108,239.1 (720min Pivot, critical transversal support), 105,054.7 (240min Pivot), 99,581 (240min Pivot). Active defense seen on 108,239.1 at all timeframes. Main resistances: 110,630.1 (1D), 110,483.1 (240min), 111,949 (W). The 110–111k area acts as the short-term ceiling. Volume: Moderate activity, no spikes or climaxes, slight intensification noted on the 30min during key tests. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: “STRONG BUY” signal on all Tfs ≥30min, contributing to marked bullish momentum. Minor short-term divergence only on 15min. Multi-TF behavior: ISPD DIV and Investor Satisfaction are neutral, no extreme behavioral stress; psychology is balanced, neither panic nor euphoria. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall bias: Bullish, synchronized multi-timeframes, dominant bullish liquidity. Opportunities: Optimal long entries on validated pullback to 108,239.1, add on breakout of 110,630–111,949. Gradual partial take profit recommended in the 111k area. Risk zones: Invalidation below 108,239.1 (confirmed H2 close), risk of further correction toward 105k then 99.5k; suggested swing stop under 108,000. Macro catalysts: No major event, global markets stable. Geopolitical tensions monitored, low short-term impact. Action plan: Prioritize “buy the dip” on pivots, active monitoring for any breakout/failure. Dynamic stop management, partial profit-taking on extension. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Very strong daily structure, high momentum, intermediate supports near 98k/100.5k. Watch for major resistances at 108–111k. 12H/6H/4H: Ranging below 110–111k resistance, no fragility. Supports 108,239.1 and 105,054.7 holding, no selling pressure detected. Watch for breakout/impulse. 2H/1H: Buy zone if maintained >108,239.1, risk of sell-off below this pivot toward 105k. Price is ranging, momentum remains positive. 30min/15min: Consolidation on supports. 15min: temporary divergence on the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator but bullish structure intact unless a clean break below 108,239.1. Risk On / Risk Off summaries: Dominant “strong buy” tone, synchronized momentum, only weak short-term divergence. No behavioral stress (ISPD DIV neutral everywhere). __________________________________________________________________________________ Cross-analysis and recommendations __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Bullish environment sustained as long as >108,239.1. Continued upside bias if breakout above 110–111k is confirmed. Risks: No major vulnerabilities detected. Very low probability of a local top, except in the case of exogenous macro shock. Macro & On-chain: Stable newsflow, no distribution from HODLers or significant new inflows. Preferred strategy: swing trading in trend direction, tight stop under the main pivot. __________________________________________________________________________________ Decision summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Preferred scenario: Hold long >108,239.1, add on validated pullback, look for breakout with volume extension to 111k+. Risk management: Stop under 108,000, partial profit-taking in the 110,630–111,949 area. No immediate macro constraints: Use this calm window to ride the trend. Monitoring: Resilience of the main support, any sudden geopolitical shocks. BTC/USDT keeps a clear bullish bias, favoring swing or trend-following strategies as long as key pivots hold. Buy the dips remains optimal while technical structure holds; strict stop management is advised pending any “breakout fail”.
by Ox_kali
BTC\USD SHORT TRADE SETUP BTC/USDT – Short Trade Setup Breakdown (Technical Outlook Trade Thesis The area between 103,800–105,000 serves as a strong supply zone, and we’re seeing signs of exhaustion in bullish momentum. The setup suggests a high-probability short opportunity with tight confirmation. 🔸 Entry: Positioned at 103,800, just below resistance, to capture early weakness and avoid chasing. 🔸 Risk Level: The resistance at 105,000 is critical — any break and close above may invalidate this setup. 🔸 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 97,000 – conservative exit at mid-range demand zone 🎯 Target 2: 96,000 – full target near bottom of the descending channel
by Fx_Huzzy
2
#BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025 Bitcoin has been trading inside a supply zone , and its last impulsive move happened right into that area. While it tried to push higher again, I now see signs of rejection. If this rejection holds, the first level I’m watching is $107,850 . Below that, there's a key support around $106,350 . Should this level break, we could see a deeper drop toward $102,650 , where an imbalance zone remains untested. At the moment, short setups look more reasonable than longs but from a risk/reward perspective, I don’t see enough edge to take action yet. So for now, I’m not entering any position and will simply watch BTC’s next move .
by whaliocom
BTC Bullflag break Currently, BTC is forming a bullish continuation pattern, combining both a bull flag and an ascending triangle, which suggests potential upside momentum. The price is trading within a defined range, sitting just below a supply zone, which has previously acted as resistance. If the price rejects from this supply zone and drops to the demand zone below, it presents a strong long opportunity, as this zone has historically shown buying interest. Additionally, the current price structure aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a possible reversal area. If BTC retraces to the demand zone, a long entry can be considered with a stop loss below the zone and a target at the 1.168 Fibonacci extension, providing a favorable risk-to-reward setup. Overall, the setup shows bullish confluence with a clear trade plan based on market structure, Fibonacci levels, and supply/demand zones.
Long
by usman_khan1991
Bitcoin Short-Term Outlook – Coming Week📈 Bitcoin Short-Term Outlook – Coming Week Currently, Bitcoin is expected to gather liquidity around the $106,000 zone, potentially initiating a move toward the $110,000 resistance level. This area will be crucial in determining the next directional move. 🔍 The market's reaction around $110,000 will be closely monitored, and the analysis will be updated once that level is reached. 📌 Note: This outlook is based on current market conditions and may require adjustments if sentiment or price structure changes.
by armindorri1993
1
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals last week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Bitcoin Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart): Price remains within an ascending channel. The MACD above the zero line with expanding red histograms indicates bullish dominance. After firmly breaking above the key resistance at $105,000, price is testing $110,000. Caution: The RSI near 70 has entered overbought territory, increasing short-term pullback risks. Support levels: $106,000 and $105,000. Trading Recommendation for Aggressive Traders Consider light long positions near $106,000 on pullbacks, with stop-loss set below $105,000. Trading Strategy: buy@105000-106000 TP:108000-110000
Long
by HamiltionCoffey
Analyzing the new month, new week, new day Hello, traders. If you "follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) A new month begins in one day. The key is whether it can hold the price by rising above 109588.0. If not, there is a possibility that it will fall below the 94172.00 StochRSI 50 indicator point that the arrow is pointing to. We need to see if it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0). Since the current low-point trend line is not complete, it is not surprising that it can show a downward trend at any time. However, if it rises above 109588.0 and maintains the price, it is expected that there will be an attempt to rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92). I think it is likely to be the last target of the target bull market in 2025. - (1W chart) It is a period of volatility around the week including June 23. That is, from June 16 to July 6 is the volatility period. The key is whether it can rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43) during this volatility period. Even if it fails to rise, if the price maintains above 104463.99, it is expected to show an upward trend around the next volatility period. The next volatility period on the 1W chart is expected to be around the week of August 18. - When it falls below 104463.99, we need to check whether the HA-High indicator is newly generated. If not, it is important to check whether there is support around the current HA-High indicator point of 99705.62. Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 99705.62, its importance can be said to be high. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart. - (1D chart) The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90 on the 1D chart. If it fails to rise, 1st: 104463.99 2nd: 99705.62 You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, 1st: 89294.25 2nd: M-Signal of the 1M chart There is a possibility that it will fall near the 1st and 2nd above. ----------------------------------------- (1W chart) The chart above is a trend line chart drawn on the 1W chart. It looks complicated, but what's important to look at is the correlation between the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line. That is, even if the price rises above 109.588.0, if it doesn't rise above the high-point trend line, it is likely to fall near the low-point trend line. Fortunately, since it is forming an upward channel, it is expected that the price will eventually rise even if it falls. - (1D chart) Unlike the trend line on the 1W chart, the high-point trend line on the 1D chart forms a downward trend line. Accordingly, the period around July 7, when the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line intersect, can be considered an important period of volatility. However, the volatility period starts around July 2nd and is expected to end around July 10th. ---------------------------------------------- As shown above, many lines were drawn to analyze the chart. I have roughly explained which of the lines drawn in this way should be prioritized. Since chart analysis is for creating a trading strategy, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are ultimately the most important. Therefore, it is most important to check how the support and resistance points were created and find the reason for them. Other analyses are only additional elements. As I always say, chart analysis that does not show support and resistance points is only an analysis chart that can be used for trading. You cannot trade with such analysis charts. Also, if support and resistance points are shown, you should check the basis for setting the support and resistance points. In order to serve as a support and resistance point, there must be a basis. When you cannot confirm the basis for the support and resistance point, it is important to ask questions and find out the basis. Fibonacci ratios are not suitable for actual trading. However, when the ATH or ATL is updated, it is valuable enough for analysis. Other than that, there must be support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BTCUSDT Analysis – Bullish Focus Amid ConsolidationBTCUSDT Analysis – Bullish Focus Amid Consolidation Bitcoin is currently mirroring the broader market sentiment, particularly tracking the S&P 500. After a false breakout above the psychological 100K level, BTC entered a distribution phase, followed by a consolidation range. This indicates a potential accumulation before a bullish continuation, although resistance levels remain key hurdles. False Breakout at 100K: A failed breakout attempt triggered a sharp reversal, signalling short-term weakness. Price rolled back and found temporary support around 106,200, pausing further downside The pair is consolidating within a tight range, indicating a possible setup for a renewed bullish push. Outlook: Despite the resistance cascade, BTC remains in a bullish structural zone as long as it holds above 106,000. A clean breakout above 108,500–110,000 could open the path back toward 114,000–117,000. However, failure to break may result in a deeper pullback towards 104,000–102,500. Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks for supporting.
Long
by MrMartin_11
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊 The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC We trade across three market cycles: HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend. MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC. LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend. Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm. Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze: HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders). MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily). LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour). Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach. While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships. Trading Scenarios: When to Act Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout). Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry. Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend. Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend. Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave. Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC): Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure. Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high. Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario. Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10). HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly. Final Vibe Check This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Education
by SkepticWise
1