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Forecast Analysis of BTC-USDT (2025-03-08)Recent developments have significantly impacted the BTC-USDT market. Bitcoin's price recently dropped by 12%, creating market volatility. Rumors that former President Trump may announce zero capital gains tax on US-based cryptocurrencies have the potential to spark a BTC rally. Additionally, Bitcoin's fall below $90,000 for the first time in 2025 has triggered extreme fear in the market, leading to massive liquidations across exchanges. Tether's USDT has also reached $1.4 billion issued on the TON blockchain in just ten months, marking the fastest deployment of a stablecoin on any blockchain. In terms of fundamental analysis, Investing.com provides detailed technical analysis of BTC-USDT, highlighting a strong sell signal based on various technical indicators. Traders Union predicts that the price of BTC could reach $91,786.54 by the end of the week, using a combination of technical indicators, wave analysis, and VSA analysis. CoinGape emphasizes the bullish impact of Tether minting $1 billion USDT ahead of the Fed rate cut and discusses the potential influence of the Fed's decision on BTC prices. Technical analysis from various sources, including Traders Union, CoinLore, and 30 Rates, suggests that the BTC-USDT price could range between $86,922 and $103,527 over the next week. Considering these forecasts and recent news, it seems that the BTC-USDT price could experience some volatility but is generally expected to stay within this range. The potential announcement of zero capital gains tax and the impact of Tether minting $1 billion USDT could provide bullish momentum for BTC prices. Overall, while the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile and subject to rapid changes, the general consensus among analysts is that BTC-USDT will likely stay within the $86,922 to $103,527 range over the next 7 days. Staying updated with the latest market trends and news will be crucial for making informed decisions in this dynamic environment. From HODL&SHARE Forecast Desk: An ensemble prediction using different horizons (moving averages) generated the following forecast, using 80% confidence interval: Date Horizon 69 Horizon 75 Horizon 139 Horizon 109 Horizon 99 2025-03-04 91351.2605 89646.10508 85951.57958 91122.10337 87414.08404 2025-03-05 89941.33778 88981.44966 84413.86688 94010.08579 90043.23602 2025-03-06 89653.20257 88423.81699 86648.44216 91011.3207 89664.03672 2025-03-07 93002.4077 87758.85544 85543.38113 93607.04358 88545.82276 2025-03-08 91059.27153 89542.78518 86708.37388 91680.20801 89015.66856 2025-03-09 89758.24654 87103.93734 91110.0147 90407.15319 86663.17913 2025-03-10 86390.55945 82773.11081 93846.79939 89798.64397 86722.44941 2025-03-11 89504.92468 84769.95763 97872.31768 86680.67975 84715.73965 2025-03-12 92254.71019 84067.20004 95812.81163 89243.43612 83311.53252 2025-03-13 93060.62605 85941.85864 92584.18336 91078.49989 87736.93546 2025-03-14 92579.82624 85392.52873 94327.27904 90721.1815 88148.98929 2025-03-15 91074.95591 80086.48714 97370.07156 91631.18791 88484.50384 2025-03-16 93129.73296 79822.25454 97833.84736 92386.98081 88579.30398 2025-03-17 95483.91995 82560.74729 97370.87585 94400.17207 90741.81997 Between March 8 and March 12, the forecasted price movements across different horizons indicate a highly volatile period, with conflicting signals suggesting market uncertainty. Horizon 139 shows a strong bullish trend, while shorter horizons (75, 99) display a mix of declines and fluctuations, implying a potential market shakeout before a clearer direction emerges. A trader could approach this period cautiously, avoiding overexposure and waiting for confirmation signals, such as RSI crossing key levels or volume spikes aligning with price movements. Given the sustained uptrend in Horizon 139 beyond March 12, a breakout trader might consider long positions once volatility stabilizes, using a stop-loss strategy to protect against unexpected reversals. Ultimately, the divergence across horizons highlights the importance of adaptive strategies, where short-term traders focus on risk management, while long-term traders might prepare for potential bullish continuation. The forecast suggests that March 8–12 is a critical period with mixed price movements. Instead of immediately taking a long position, a trader should wait for confirmation signals before entering the trade. How to Approach the Trade: Short-Term View (Day Trader or Scalper): Volatility is high, so quick entries and exits with tight stop-losses are ideal. If prices dip toward support levels (e.g., Horizon 75 or 99 values), look for RSI confirmation or volume surges before going long. If uncertainty continues, avoid excessive risk and wait for a clearer trend after March 12. Long-Term View (Swing or Position Trader): Horizon 139 suggests a potential uptrend continuation beyond March 12. A trader could prepare to buy on dips, ideally when RSI confirms oversold conditions. If prices break above resistance levels (e.g., March 8 highs), it may signal a strong bullish breakout, making long positions more favorable.
Long
by DexterMGarcia
How to develop a simple Buy&Sell strategy using Pine ScriptIn this article, will explain how to develop a simple backtesting for a Buy&Sell trading strategy using Pine Script language and simple moving average (SMA). Strategy description The strategy illustrated works on price movements around the 200-period simple moving average (SMA). Open long positions when the price crossing-down and moves below the average. Close position when the price crossing-up and moves above the average. A single trade is opened at a time, using 5% of the total capital. Behind the code Now let's try to break down the logic behind the strategy to provide a method for properly organizing the source code. In this specific example, we can identify three main actions: 1) Data extrapolation 2) Researching condition and data filtering 3) Trading execution 1. GENERAL PARAMETERS OF THE STRATEGY First define the general parameters of the script. Let's define the name. "Buy&Sell Strategy Template " Select whether to show the output on the chart or within a dashboard. In this example will show the output on the chart. overlay = true Specify that a percentage of the equity will be used for each trade. default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity Specify percentage quantity to be used for each trade. Will be 5%. default_qty_value = 5 Choose the backtesting currency. currency = currency.EUR Choose the capital portfolio amount. initial_capital = 10000 Let's define percentage commissions. commission_type = strategy.commission.percent Let's set the commission at 0.07%. commission_value = 0.07 Let's define a slippage of 3. slippage = 3 Calculate data only when the price is closed, for more accurate output. process_orders_on_close = true 2. DATA EXTRAPOLATION In this second step we extrapolate data from the historical series. Call the calculation of the simple moving average using close price and 200 period bars. sma = ta.sma(close, 200) 3. DEFINITION OF TRADING CONDITIONS Now define the trading conditions. entry_condition = ta.crossunder(close, sma) The close condition involves a bullish crossing of the closing price with the average. exit_condition = ta.crossover(close, sma) 4. TRADING EXECUTION At this step, our script will execute trades using the conditions described above. if (entry_condition==true and strategy.opentrades==0) strategy.entry(id = "Buy", direction = strategy.long, limit = close) if (exit_condition==true) strategy.exit(id = "Sell", from_entry = "Buy", limit = close) 5. DESIGN In this last step will draw the SMA indicator, representing it with a red line. plot(sma, title = "SMA", color = color.red) Complete code below. //@version=6 strategy( "Buy&Sell Strategy Template ", overlay = true, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 5, currency = currency.EUR, initial_capital = 10000, commission_type = strategy.commission.percent, commission_value = 0.07, slippage = 3, process_orders_on_close = true ) sma = ta.sma(close, 200) entry_condition = ta.crossunder(close, sma) exit_condition = ta.crossover(close, sma) if (entry_condition==true and strategy.opentrades==0) strategy.entry(id = "Buy", direction = strategy.long, limit = close) if (exit_condition==true) strategy.exit(id = "Sell", from_entry = "Buy", limit = close) plot(sma, title = "SMA", color = color.red) The completed script will display the moving average with open and close trading signals. IMPORTANT! Remember, this strategy was created for educational purposes only. Not use it in real trading.
Education
by thequantscience
Triangle for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin made an impulsive move up through the Daily FVGbut rejected from a higher Daily FVG and dropped again. After that it consolidated the whole week. This could be a Triangle. So after it's finished we could see another move down (blue c-wave) to finish the bigger (grey) WXY correction. Or the (purple) Triangle is the last Y-wave and it goes up from here. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up and a change in orderflow to bearish on a lower time frame to trade shorts. Or wait for an impulse wave up and a small correction down to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading ICT concepts with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Entry Confirmed with a Tight Stop...In this video, I walk you through a recount using AriasWave and explain how we can set up a strong trade entry with a tight stop. The key support level for this trade is at 86,022—if the price drops below this, the trade idea would no longer be valid. We've already received confirmation with a break above 86,500. Stay tuned for updates, as I’ll provide further insights if the price moves above 95,065, confirming the larger pattern.
Long
by AriasWave
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Structure Emerging – Next Stop $95KBTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Structure Emerging – Next Stop $95K? 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Current Market Structure (Confidence 8/10): Price: $89,849, showing bullish momentum emerging from equilibrium zone. Hidden bullish divergence confirmed between price action and selling volume. Market Makers (MMs) accumulated heavily at GETTEX:87K support, now targeting the premium zone. Clean break above POI (Point of Interest) at $88.5K signals further upside potential. Trade Recommendation: Entry: Current price ($89.8K) or pullback to $88.7K. Targets: T1: $91.2K T2: $93.5K T3: $95K Stop Loss: $87.2K (below equilibrium zone). Risk Score: 8/10 – Favorable R:R setup with a clear invalidation level. Market Maker Activity: Accumulation phase complete at the GETTEX:87K zone. Currently engineering moves toward the premium zone ($94-95K). Likely targeting shorts above GETTEX:92K before continuation. Smart Money Insight: Institutional accumulation is evident, showing strong buying pressure. Structure suggests another leg up, but traders should monitor premium zone resistance near $94-95K. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local channel of the downward tendu in which we currently see a strong reflection and a quick return price around the upper border of the channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 94020 $ T2 = 97698 $ Т3 = 102865 $ T4 = 109520 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 91130 $ SL2 = 88503 $ SL3 = 84723 $ SL4 = 81673 $ Looking at the MacD indicator, you can see that despite S
by cryptodailyuk
BTC Bitcoin gets Regulatory Clarity and Support including solana,ada and xrp The current Regulatory developments today , including the potential for a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve, could significantly boost Bitcoin's legitimacy .price broke the supply zone after break of 2layers of supply roof .the final resistance was at 95,014.61 Bullish Factor: Clearer and more supportive regulations could increase investor confidence and drive adoption and potentially setting a new all time high. trade with caution
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTC - Watch this Trendline - Potential Short to 36,000I’ve drawn the main trendline and marked the contact points in red circles if you’d like to replicate this on your own chart I’ve also demonstrated that when the correct trendline is identified, it can be duplicated and placed at different points on the chart that price seems to follow - IE support / resistance works on a diagonal grid I’ve marked my personal entry in green, stop loss in red - minor targets in grey dashed lines and major targets in black solid lines Fundamentally this drop makes sense as there is a mass amount of liquidity in these below zones. Not financial advice, do your own research and experimentations. God speed!
Short
by DickDandy
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing. BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop. Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc. On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day... We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO. In these time lev trades are not recommended. THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
Short
by SvarogPerun
A good start, but we are not all clear yet!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is rallying because the US unemployment rate was just 10 bps higher than expected. Non-farm payrolls also came in lower than expected. This is good for CRYPTOCAP:BTC because this will push the Fed to lower interest rates, which should push CRYPTOCAP:BTC higher. This is a start to the day, but we must still get through 1) The White House Crypto Summit that has already started and 2) The Fed's Chair, Jerome Powell, will be speaking at 12:30 pm ET
Long
by CryptoJayTrades
Bitcoin’s Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – How Low Can It Go?Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to fall, as I expected in the previous post ; the question here is whether the fall continues or not . Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin for you in the 15-minute time frame . Bitcoin was able to break the Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and important Support line . Bitcoin also seems to have formed a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern and was able to break the lower line of the triangle. Educational Tip : The Symmetrical Triangle is a continuation pattern where the price consolidates into a narrowing range with lower highs and higher lows. It indicates indecision, with a breakout in either direction confirming the next trend. I expect Bitcoin to drop to the targets that I specified in my chart. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $95,850, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
34
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Sideways Movement ContinuesBINANCE:BTCUSDT market continues to consolidate. A glance at the weekly candle reveals multiple doji patterns that shows low momentum and sideways move. The price formed a triangle formation and broke above it. Additionally, it moved above the downward trendline that has served as dynamic resistance since the beginning of this month. I expect that the market may continue to move sideways, potentially until the end of February. If the price makes a false breakout below last week's low, we could see a bounce and a retest of the level just below the psychological level of 100,000. My goal is resistance zone around 99,000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
6
Delayed Cycle Kicks Off This March?🚀📈 Delayed Cycle Kicks Off This March? 🔥💡 March has (almost) arrived, and Bitcoin has officially confirmed $79,478 as major structural support—a critical level that had to be checked before the next move. This aligns perfectly with my previous idea of a delayed cycle playing out. 📌 Long above $79K 📌 Short below $79K 📌 Short-term target: $GETTEX:87K+ With this structural support holding, I expect Bitcoin to push toward the next major test: $113,800. This is the all-time trendline, a level of historical significance. 🔑 What happens at $113K? This is where Bitcoin’s fate for this cycle will be decided: ✅ A breakout above $113K could unlock a run to $150K - $200K, a true extension of this cycle. ❌ A terminal rejection at $113K could mark the end of this cycle, signaling a broader correction phase. At the moment, the probabilities lean toward further upside, with an 80% chance of continuation. The 20% downside risk remains for a dip to $FWB:65K-$66K, but as long as Bitcoin stays above $79K, the bullish thesis remains intact. 💡 March looks strong, and I’m stepping on the gas today. Let’s make it a powerful month! 🚀 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
Bitcoin is Bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!As you can see, in the previous Correction of Bitcoin, Bitcoin dropped by about $25,000 and then experienced a potential growth. Now, the price has fallen by about $25,000 from its all-time high (ATH) until now. If we consider the previous correction of Bitcoin, this could be a very strong signal for an increase in Bitcoin's price. What do you think about it ? _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Give me some energy !! ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!! Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Long
by CobraVanguard
7
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #17👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As I mentioned yesterday, there was a possibility that the market would undergo a correction and start ranging, and that’s exactly what happened. ✨ The price hasn’t changed much compared to yesterday, and the short positions we opened remain open for now. There’s no need to take profits yet. Let’s analyze the market to identify today’s triggers or the ones that might signal when to take profits on previous positions. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, after the price formed a base at 87,700, it entered a ranging phase. The RSI, after being rejected multiple times from the 30 level, has finally exited the oversold zone and has now reached 50, indicating that the bearish momentum has slightly weakened. ⚡️ The current minor resistance is at 89,458, and if the price closes above this level, we can take partial profits on our short positions, securing the desired profit from this market move. 👀 However, as you can see, I have placed a Fibonacci retracement on the chart since the price completed a bearish leg and, after reaching the 82,770 low, this bearish leg can be considered complete. Now, we are in a correction phase. As you can see, the price has not even retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level yet, forming a lower high below this zone. 🔼 This indicates that buyers are weak in the market, and sellers remain in control. If the price closes above 89,458, the likelihood of deeper corrections increases, which could extend to the 0.5, 0.618, or even 0.786 Fibonacci levels. 🧲 A crucial point about this Fibonacci retracement is the zone between 0.5 and 0.618, where the price has already reacted in the previous bearish leg. More importantly, the 92,433 support that was broken aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, making this zone a critical PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). 🔑 If the price breaks below 87,070, you can enter a short position, but for longs, I suggest waiting until the price forms more structure and buyers step into the market, leading to bullish momentum. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s move on to Bitcoin dominance analysis. As I mentioned yesterday, BTC dominance got rejected from 62.19, and I had said that a bearish trend was likely. That’s exactly what happened, and after BTC dominance broke below 61.49, it moved downward in a bearish leg to 60.91. Now, it is in a corrective phase. 💫 The confirmation of further downside for BTC dominance will come if it breaks below 60.91, which could trigger the next bearish leg. Currently, I do not have any bullish triggers for BTC dominance except for a reclaim of 61.49. However, since the structure is still forming, we need to wait before considering any bullish trigger. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now, let’s move on to Total2. As I mentioned yesterday, the 1.16 level was broken, and a new support formed at 1.07. As you can see, Total2 has retraced more significantly than Bitcoin, correcting almost to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🎲 The reason for this deeper retracement is that Bitcoin dominance has been declining—more money has exited Bitcoin than altcoins, allowing altcoins to recover more than Bitcoin. 🔫 In Total2, we also have a major resistance zone between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, similar to Bitcoin. In general, both Bitcoin and Total2 have a critical resistance zone between their respective 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracements. 💥 Currently, the key resistance is at 1.13, and if the price breaks this level, it could move towards the resistance zone. However, for short positions, if 1.07 is broken, you can enter a short trade. ✅ Be mindful of BTC dominance, as it is currently in a downtrend. If BTC.D continues to decline, shorting Bitcoin may be a better choice than shorting altcoins. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now, let’s analyze USDT dominance (USDT.D). Yesterday, it made a fake breakout above 5.04 and then reversed sharply downward, failing to hold the resistance. However, it has not yet formed a clear structure, so it’s too early to make any strong conclusions. ⭐️ I recommend avoiding opening new positions in the market for now and refraining from high-risk trades. The main trade opportunity was already provided when Bitcoin’s range broke down, so if you missed it, do not let FOMO push you into a trade. Avoid making rushed decisions that could put your capital at risk. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
1