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Understanding Fibonacci Retracementtool fans will like this one XD Fibonacci Retracement is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels. Based on the Fibonacci sequence, this tool helps traders predict price pullbacks and continuation levels in trending markets. What is Fibonacci Retracement? Fibonacci Retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc.). Key ratios from this sequence, such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%, are used to indicate potential price reversal or continuation zones. How to Use Fibonacci Retracement 1.Identify a Trend: - In an uptrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low to the swing high. - In a downtrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high to the swing low. 2. Key Levels: -23.6%: Represents shallow pullbacks; usually seen in strong trends. -38.2% and 50%: Common retracement levels where price often consolidates or reverses. -61.8%: Known as the "golden ratio," a significant level for potential reversals. -100%: Indicates a full retracement of the trend. 3. Support and Resistance Zones: - Price may bounce or consolidate near these Fibonacci levels, acting as dynamic support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend. How to Interpret Fibonacci Retracement Levels -Reversal Zones: - If the price retraces to a Fibonacci level and then resumes the trend, it confirms the level as significant. - **Breakouts:** - A break above or below a Fibonacci level may signal continuation in the direction of the breakout. Strengths of Fibonacci Retracement -Simple to Use:Visual and straightforward for identifying support and resistance levels. -Widely Applicable:Works across various markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes. -Combines with Other Tools:Enhances the effectiveness of indicators like RSI, MACD, and trendlines. Limitations of Fibonacci Retracement -Subjectivity:The placement of swing highs and lows can vary among traders, leading to different retracement levels. -Lagging Nature:Like most technical tools, Fibonacci Retracement relies on past price action and doesn’t predict future movement. -False Signals:Not all retracement levels lead to reversals, especially in volatile or news-driven markets. Best Practices for Using Fibonacci Retracement 1.Combine with Other Indicators: - Use with momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) or candlestick patterns for stronger confirmation. - Pair with trendlines or moving averages to validate Fibonacci levels. 2.Use Multiple Timeframes: - Analyze Fibonacci levels on higher timeframes for broader trends and lower timeframes for precise entries and exits. 3.Set Realistic Expectations: - Don’t rely solely on Fibonacci levels for decision-making. Use them as part of a broader strategy. Example of Fibonacci Retracement in Action Imagine Bitcoin (BTC) last uptrend movement which I'm showing here, and the price moves from $67,000 to $106,000. After reaching $106,000, the price begins to pull back. By applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool from $67,000 (swing low) to $106,000 (swing high), you can identify key levels at $97,000(23.6%), $91,300 (38.2%), $86,700(50%), and $82,100 (61.8%). If the price retraces to $ 91,300 and bounces upward, this confirms the 38.2% level as strong support. (Green line) (shown on the chart) Conclusion Fibonacci Retracement is a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential price reversal zones and continuation points. While it’s easy to use, its accuracy improves when combined with other technical indicators and a thorough understanding of market conditions. Practice drawing Fibonacci levels on historical charts to develop confidence and refine your trading strategy. 👉 Follow me for daily updates, 💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts, 📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources! Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Education
by Cryptonic_Trading
BTC is accumulating momentum, how should long and short position BTC has recently fallen from a high level. The price turned and fell from the high point of 108340 to 92542 to stop falling and adjust. So far, BTC has entered a short-term decline. The price on the hourly line rebounded to the support of 92542 and rose. The price failed to hit the integer of 100,000 for the second time, forming a double top decline structure. The current trend fell back to 93500 and entered a narrow horizontal consolidation stage. The resistance of 96000 above is under pressure. If this position breaks, the hourly line descending channel will be broken. In the short term, the price will test the 100000 line above. The support of 93500 below, if this position breaks, the short-term rebound trend will end and test the 92542 line below. On the whole, BTC entered the accumulation stage after the short-term double top fell. The price has also reached near the top of the hourly channel. However, there are many resistance levels above. Even if the downward channel is broken later, the trend will enter the horizontal range structure. But if the trend breaks down, then there is more room for imagination for the price below to continue to fall. In terms of operation, I personally think that BTC will continue to rebound and short before the channel breaks up. For long orders, wait for the price to break through the 100,000 level before participating.
Short
by RonPeter_Trading
Anatomy of a Breakout (Orderflow)I am sharing my current approach for trading breakouts , please share your opinion on the comments section so we can have a discussion. Used Tools: Number Bars (Footprint chart) Liquidity Heatmap Volume Delta Volume Support and Resistance ATR For bullish resistance breakout z we setup alarms that alerts us when price is 2 atr below the resistance when alarm triggered we set to watch as price approaches towards the resistance we expect higher volume and higher delta advance on poc and value areas and especially positive readings on footprint on the upper side in terms of liquidity we spot a vacuum zone in the target direction right after the resistance for price to advance and Liquidity thinning just below the resistance (indicates sellers pulling orders) as we breakout we spot a huge spike in the volume and delta indicating resting orders absorbed by the market buyer to confirm we look for not thin prints in the upper side of the candle but a good value area indicating price is doing business over there we wait for a confirmation candle with similar profile see liquidity flip at resistance becoming support then enter we also consider higher timeframe structure is it trending if ranging where is the range etc and asses volality in terms of is it increasing meaning there is enough volality for a breakout For exit we target the end of the vacuum zone aka nearest liquidity or nearest market structure, or a reversal in orderflow. For bearish support breakout We set up alarms that alert us when the price is 2 ATR above the support. When the alarm is triggered, we start monitoring closely. As the price approaches the support, we expect higher volume and higher negative delta, with the POC (Point of Control) and value areas advancing downward. On the footprint chart, we look for particularly negative readings on the lower side. In terms of liquidity, we identify a vacuum zone below the support, indicating room for the price to drop, and observe liquidity thinning just above the support (indicating buyers pulling their orders). As the breakout occurs, we expect a large spike in volume and negative delta, signaling that resting buy orders have been absorbed by market sellers. To confirm, we look for no thin prints on the lower side of the candle and a well-formed value area below the support, showing that price is establishing value there. We then wait for a confirmation candle with a similar profile and observe a liquidity flip where support turns into resistance before entering the trade. We also assess the higher timeframe structure, determining whether the market is trending or ranging, and identify the location of the range if applicable. Additionally, we evaluate volatility to ensure it is increasing, indicating sufficient energy for the breakout. For exit we target the end of the vacuum zone aka nearest liquidity or nearest market structure, or a reversal in orderflow. Additional Notes: S/R lines defined based on daily graph anti trend consolidation zones we are not defining numeric tresholds because context matters
Education
by mertenes3
2
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) AnalysisBitcoin is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend in the medium term. The price is near the lower trendline support, suggesting a potential bounce. Support Zone: $92,000 – $94,000 (green area) This zone has provided strong support during successive pullbacks. Resistance Zone: $100,000 – $102,000 Bitcoin has struggled to break this level, which is a major resistance. If BTC maintains the current support and breaks the $100,000 resistance, the next target could be the upper channel boundary around $110,000 or above. A breakdown below $92,000 could invalidate the ascending channel, with a potential decline to $88,000 or lower. Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments! DYOR. NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Bitcoin Trades Above $90,000 (Altcoins Trading Strategy)To be a winner in 2025 you need to a buyer now. I am going to share a simple trading strategy for the Altcoins market. It can apply also to Bitcoin but for Bitcoin there is need to wait until a support level is established/confirmed. Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, merry Christmas in advance. To be a winner in 2025, a big winner, you need to be a buyer in 2024. The market has to undergo more consolidation before the next bullish wave. This is normal, here is how it works: First, we had a strong bullish wave. This bullish wave invariable ends in a correction. This correction leads to consolidation and this consolidation leads to a new bullish wave. When the new bullish wave develops, two months from now, there will be another correction and this correction will be followed by additional growth and a major bull-run. This is a long-term perspective. You cannot buy when prices are going up or after the action is in. This would limit your potential for big wins. Here is the strategy simplified: Buy and hold with a waiting time approximating three months. By three months, we are green with 1-level up or 100% profits vs our current entry price. This is a generalization. Some pairs will be at 300% profits while others will be at 20%. It will take 2-3 months for full green and 4-6 months to close a full successful trade. So we are looking at a time horizon of six months and a half for successful spot traders. You can win 400-600% easily on each pair, if the choice is the correct one. We had a preview just last month ending this month. A very long consolidation phase between July and October led to massive growth. We saw some pairs quadrupling or more. Even the big projects with billions of dollars worth of market cap grew several levels, which is amazing. We had a preview in 2023 when everything grew 500%. We have experience from 2021 when the market produced its previous bullish phase. We know what is coming; We know how it all happens; We can prepare in advance. Crypto is going up. We are looking at an awesome opportunity for those who decide to buy and hold. There are many ways to approach the market. This is just a general strategy and must be adapted to your own capital, trading style, risk tolerance and goals. This is not financial advice. You are appreciated. I welcome your continued support. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
4
Exploring the Connection Between Bitcoin and Holiday MarketHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin , 📚🎇 In recent years, it has become a common pattern to see brief downward corrections in the cryptocurrency market, particularly during the holiday season or year-end period. This behavior is a normal part of market cycles and does not undermine the overall validity of the ongoing bull market. 📚✨ From a technical standpoint, minor pullbacks, often reflected in red candlesticks, are essential for maintaining healthy market momentum and facilitating further growth. These corrections allow for market consolidation, preventing overextension. 📚✨ Exclusively observing an uninterrupted string of green candles could indicate an unsustainable rally, potentially leading to a more severe correction down the line. Consequently, these brief periods of downside are necessary for long-term market stability and profitability. 📚🎇 🧨 O ur team's main opinion is: 🧨 Recent market behavior shows that short-term downward corrections, especially during the holiday season, are common and part of a healthy cycle in the ongoing bull market. These brief pullbacks are necessary for maintaining momentum and preventing an unsustainable rally. 🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis. BTC appears to be trading within an ascending channel. The chart shows a bullish medium-term structure. The price is currently testing the lower trendline support within the channel. A crucial support area is marked between $94,000 – $92,000 (green area). This is a crucial level for a bounce. Any break below this support could invalidate the channel and lead to further upward pressure. Resistance lies around $100,000 – $102,000 (orange area), which has been tested multiple times. A breakout above this level could spark a bullish push towards the upper trendline of the channel or new highs. For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM. @Peter_CSAdmin
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC- MONTHLY. BE CAREFUL December the 17th I sent out a warning when BTC was $106,549. So far it’s playing out like it should. Always look at both sides of the coin. We are looking at a possibility of a 20% to 25% more downside to that 70k to 75k area for a bounce. This is not something that will happen over night. It will take a little time. Big thing to keep an eye on is how this monthly candle closes. If it closes leaving this large wick at the top it shows us that the sellers have over powered the buyers and a reverse down to those levels is likely. Be patient, no emotions. This isn’t a game it’s a serious business. Happy trading and good luck.
Short
by Thetraderedge
Latest bitcoin update today: Price continues to increase sharplyHello, dear friends! We are currently witnessing the continuous upward momentum of BTC, which has reached $95,700 and is anticipated to soon test the $95,860 mark. On the price chart, a bullish trendline has formed, supported by the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating further potential for BTC to climb higher without any significant reversals. The immediate resistance to watch is $95,860, while the nearest support level lies at $94,385.
Long
by EA_BrianTradingFX
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) - End of 2024 - Daily Price ConsolidationBitcoin (BTC/USDT) price is currently in a short-term downtrend and consolidation pattern (end of December 2024). Bitcoin price needs to hold above $92,000 to $90,000 to avoid a daily bearish head-and-shoulders resistance price pattern. Support Levels to the downside currently are: $92000, $90000, $87610, $85000, $81000, $76000. Resistance levels to the upside currently are: $96500, $100000, $105000, $108000, $110000, $120000. Daily and Weekly price consolidation is ongoing, and Bitcoin is seeking to establish the next higher-low support price. Note: breaking news, corporate news, government law changes, stock market correlations, and crypto events can affect and override technical chart patterns. Date: 12/30/2024 pm
by NoFomoCharts
btc short Bitcoin Analysis The chart shows Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending channel but has recently broken below the lower trendline. This breakdown signals potential bearish momentum. The projected target for this move is $86,295, as marked by the blue zone. This level corresponds to a 12.77% drop from the current price. Key factors suggesting this move include: • Trendline Breakout: A clear breakdown from the ascending channel. • Volume: Increased selling pressure, as seen in the volume spikes. • Moving Averages: Price crossing below key moving averages adds further bearish confirmation. Traders should monitor price action around support zones and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Short
by cryptocalculator