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BTC Maintains Strategic Bullish Structure New ATH Still insightHello Traders and Crypto Enthusiasts! 👋 I'm excited to share a detailed analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) on its ongoing bullish structure, maintaining higher highs and higher lows. This chart captures the key support zones, demand areas, and chart patterns that underpin our optimistic outlook. Let’s dive deep into the technical narrative. Bitcoin continues to respect a clearly defined bullish market structure on the weekly timeframe. The price action has persistently printed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining upward momentum within a dominant ascending channel. This behavior reinforces the ongoing bullish narrative, as buyers have repeatedly stepped in at logical demand zones to defend structure. The immediate demand zone between $71,300 and $78,300 has acted as a critical launchpad for price. As long as this region holds on a weekly closing basis, the probability of continuation remains elevated. A clean break above the $109,588 resistance , marking the previous high—would likely act as a technical trigger for further upside acceleration, with the projected price target standing at $140,998. This level is derived from a measured move extension based on prior impulsive legs within the channel, reflecting a symmetrical and organic expansion of market structure. This almost projected same as one of our previous analysis. Key support remains layered across multiple zones. The internal demand zone around $48,800 to $54,500 represents a structural pivot level. Below that, the extreme support zone near $27,900 and the foundational base zone between $15,500 and $17,765 provide deep support from earlier cycle lows. These levels are unlikely to be revisited unless a significant macro reversal occurs, something not currently evidenced in the chart. The preservation of trendline support, coupled with repeated bullish rejections from higher lows, confirms that market psychology remains tilted in favor of the bulls. Sellers have yet to invalidate any critical higher low, indicating the uptrend is not only intact but maturing toward another expansion phase with potential ending diagonal in view. With the current projection and structural alignment, the bullish thesis remains valid as long as Bitcoin sustains weekly closes above the $78,300 zone. A failure to hold that level could lead to a re-evaluation of this outlook. Until then, structure governs sentiment and right now, the structure is still decisively bullish. Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and watch for confirmation signals as Bitcoin continues its upward journey. 🚀 Let's keep the discussion alive — share your thoughts, setups, and predictions below!
Long
by weslad
14
HolderStat┆BTCUSD channel grind toward 110 kCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has stair-stepped out of March’s strong consolidation triangle and is now travelling inside a neat rising channel. Each mini flag has resolved higher, with the latest squeeze holding the mid-line near 102 k. As long as that trend-line underbelly and the diagonal support from April lows remain intact, bulls retain control and can probe the 108-110 k supply zone highlighted on the chart. Only a daily close back inside the lower rail would threaten the current bullish momentum.
Long
by HolderStat
1
BTC Potential Short-Term PullbackBINANCE:BTCUSDT could be setting itself up for a short-term pullback. It might be forming a Daily RSI Bear Divergence, with the latest retest of the the main supply zone, and RSI Divs/Breakouts have been reliable leading signals for recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA. Key Levels to Watch • $119k - Measured wedge target, confirmed with last month's breakout. • $106.2k-$109.5k - Main supply and ATH, a sustained break above it would invalidate any bearish PA. • $89.6k-$91.9k - Lots of confluence here: - Unmitigated daily FVG - The 200-day EMA is sitting there - A move here would be between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement of the last leg up, consistent with the typical pullback length of Wave 2 (Elliott Waves theory) - It has also been an important S/R since November 2024, and a retracement here could form an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. I would be patient with it, as I still see a lot of uncertainty short-term, but I think a pullback to ~$90k could offer a great long entry. Worth keeping a close eye on it.
Short
by AliferCrypto
Bitcoin looks good to go HigherHello Crypto Traders, as you can see price broke out from the descending trendline and flipped key structure levels into support. We can clearly see two Fair Value Gaps (0.5 fib red line) which might act as retracement zones before continuation. The bullish structure remains intact, and if BTC holds above the recent swing high (PH), we might see a run toward the previous ATH and beyond. RSI is slightly overbought but not showing any major divergence for now. Watch the 98k–100k area for a potential short-term pullback into FVG before further upside. Let the market do its job. Setup looks clean. Feel free to comment, follow, and share with your trader friends! Thanks for reading!
Long
by Itsmrluke
BTC/USDT–Sideways Market Analysis with Bearish Setup, Week-4Pair: BTC/USDT Market Condition: Consolidation / Sideways Strategy: Sell Stop Below Support Break Entry (Sell Stop): At Support 2 (S2) Stop Loss (SL): Above Support 1 (S1) Take Profit 1 (TP1): As Drawn on chart Take Profit 2 (TP2): As Drawn on chart Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1 and 1:2 Trade Type: Bearish Momentum Breakout 🔍 Market Outlook: BTC/USDT is currently trading within a sideways range, forming a clear support structure. The market has tested the lower boundary multiple times, indicating potential for breakdown. We’re preparing a Sell Stop trade below S2 to catch the move if price breaks the range to the downside. ✅ Trade Setup Breakdown: Entry (Sell Stop): At S2 – confirming downside breakout Stop Loss: Above S1 – invalidation if price bounces back into the range 📌 Summary: We’re not jumping in prematurely. The sell stop triggers only below S2, ensuring we enter with momentum confirmation. SL is tight above S1 to limit risk. Two-part TP ensures we lock in early profit and ride the rest if breakdown extends. 🛑 Always manage your risk. Watch for BTC-related catalysts like ETF updates, regulation news, or macro shifts that could spike volatility. 🔗 Hashtags: #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #CryptoSetup #BearishBreakout #SidewaysMarket #TradingPlan #CryptoSignals #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakdownTrade #SmartEntry #PriceAction #CryptoCommunity #CryptoTrading
Short
by asimafridi
4H Bitcoin Chart - What's Next?Bitcoin is currently trading near $105,000, fresh off a historic milestone where it crossed $100,000 for the first time last Wednesday, peaking at an all-time high of $104,000. This breakthrough past the six-figure mark is a big deal, it’s a psychological level that many traders have been watching for years. Since hitting $104,000, Bitcoin’s price hasn’t just kept climbing, it’s taken a breather. On the 4H timeframe, we’ve seen some back-and-forth action, with the price pulling back from its peak to test lower levels before stabilizing around $105,000. This pullback isn’t unusual after a big breakout; it’s Bitcoin’s way of catching its breath. The chart shows a pattern of higher highs and higher lows over recent weeks, which keeps the uptrend intact, but the latest consolidation hints that the market is deciding its next move. Key Levels: The $104,000 mark, the recent all-time high, is now a resistance level (Bitcoin will need some serious buying power to push past it again). On the flip side, $78,000 is a major support level; if the price drops that far, it could signal trouble for the bulls. Closer in, $100,000 might hold as support now that it’s been conquered, while $90,000 and $94,000 could act as stepping stones for any dips or bounces in the near term. Bitcoin’s price is dancing around its 50, 100, and 200-period moving averages. This clustering suggests a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, with no clear winner yet. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has cooled off, dropping to levels we last saw when Bitcoin dipped below $78,000. This could mean the market’s a bit oversold, setting the stage for a bounce if buying picks up. For now, the price ranging near these moving averages might be building a foundation for the next big push. Market Sentiment: The vibe around Bitcoin is a mixed bag right now. On one hand, there’s optimism, big inflows into BTC ETFs since the U.S. election and talk of a new SEC chief have people feeling bullish. On the other hand, some traders are cautious, pointing to a bearish RSI divergence on the 4H chart and warning of a possible correction if support levels crack. It’s a classic case of hope versus hesitation, and the chart reflects that uncertainty as Bitcoin hovers in this consolidation zone. Wrapping it up, Bitcoin at $105,000 is in an interesting spot on the chart. The uptrend is still alive with those higher highs and lows, but this consolidation phase could go either way. If the RSI and moving averages hint at a reversal, we might see a run toward $104,000 or beyond. But if $78,000 gives way, a deeper pullback could be on the cards, keep $90,000 and $94,000 in sight as potential pit stops. Stay sharp and watch these levels, because Bitcoin’s next move could be a big one.
by MonoCoinSignal
Wyckoff Distribution Unfolding: UTAD Confirmed, LPSY In ProgressThe 4H BTC/USDT chart presents a textbook Wyckoff Distribution structure nearing completion: • Buying Climax (BC) defined the supply ceiling • Secondary Test (ST) confirmed resistance zone • Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) swept above 106K, trapping late breakout buyers • Price is now back at triangle support, potentially forming Last Point of Supply (LPSY) Technical Snapshot (4H): • Current Price: 102,540 • Bollinger Bands: ▸ Upper: 105,400 ▸ Basis: 103,522 ▸ Lower: 101,884 • 55 SMA: 103,642 • RSI: 44.85 (bearish momentum) • Volume: Red bars rising, above 23.7K MA What to Watch For: A confirmed close below the triangle apex and lower Bollinger Band, with RSI below 45 and increased volume, would solidify the LPSY and trigger a likely markdown phase. Until then, the structure remains vulnerable but unconfirmed. Bearish Targets (if breakdown confirms): • TP1: 100,678 (horizontal + psychological) • TP2: 99,595–98,115 (Fib retracement zone) • TP3: Trail below breakdown with 1% callback logic Wyckoff Perspective: This appears to be Phase C, following a clear UTAD. If LPSY forms and support breaks, the market transitions into Phase D with accelerated markdown potential. Holding here may imply range extension or reaccumulation — next 1–2 candles are pivotal.
Short
by BitcoinMillio18
An Extended In-Depth BTC/USDT Technical ExaminationThis comprehensive technical analysis offers a granular look into the recent trading activity of BTC/USDT. By dissecting the established market structure, various indicator signals, and crucial volume patterns, we aim to build a detailed picture of the forces at play and the evolving sentiment within this market. 1. The Bedrock: Established Bullish Structure and a History of Ascending Peaks Observing the price action from the designated "STRUCTURE START" point, it's evident that Bitcoin has, for a considerable span, carved out a path indicative of bullish market dominance. This was not a haphazard series of movements but rather a more methodical construction of a positive trend, characterized by the consistent achievement of higher highs. Each successive peak surpassed its predecessor, and often, the subsequent troughs also formed at higher levels than those before them. This pattern of ascending highs and higher lows is a cornerstone of classical technical analysis, widely interpreted as a sign of robust underlying demand and a prevailing optimistic sentiment among market participants. Buyers have demonstrated a recurring willingness to absorb selling pressure and to pay incrementally more for the asset, leading to this stair-step upward progression. This established bullish framework provides the critical context against which more recent, potentially contrasting, signals must be evaluated. It forms the baseline expectation of continued upward momentum that has been challenged by more recent developments. 2. An Early Warning: The Initial Bearish Divergence and Its Eventual Neutralization Well before the most recent price turbulence, an interesting cautionary signal emerged in the form of a "WEAK BEARISH DIVERGENCE," as demarcated by the yellow dashed line connecting price peaks with corresponding RSI peaks. This specific instance occurred when the price chart successfully printed a new, higher high, yet the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, failed to confirm this strength, instead registering a lower high. Such a discrepancy between price and momentum is a classic bearish divergence. It often suggests that while the price is still being pushed upwards, the underlying buying power or enthusiasm is beginning to wane. It can be an early indicator that the bullish thrust is losing conviction and that the trend might be vulnerable to a pullback or reversal. However, this particular early warning signal did not immediately usher in a significant downturn. As the chart highlights with the red "!" exclamation mark on the RSI, this divergence was subsequently "mitigated." Divergence mitigation can occur in several ways, such as a sharp price correction that pulls the RSI down significantly, effectively "resetting" the oscillator, or a period of sideways consolidation where the RSI drifts lower, resolving the overbought conditions without a major price drop. In this case, the mitigation implied that the bearish undertones indicated by the divergence were either absorbed by renewed buying interest or were not potent enough to derail the overarching uptrend at that juncture. The market seemingly managed to overcome this initial hiccup in momentum, allowing the bullish structure to persist for a while longer. 3. The Volume Narrative: A Tale of Initial Strength Followed by Decisive Weakness at the Apex The volume profile, particularly over the most recent trading days leading up to and including the latest peak, provides crucial insights into market conviction. As BTC/USDT embarked on its ascent towards the recent significant highs, there was a conspicuous and encouraging surge in trading volume. This is visually represented by the taller volume bars, and the green upward arrow on the volume indicator emphasizes this period of high participation. Generally, strong volume accompanying a price rally or a breakout above key resistance levels is considered a bullish confirmation. It suggests broad market participation, institutional interest, and a strong consensus behind the upward move, lending credibility to its sustainability. However, a very different and far more concerning volume pattern emerged during the attempt to retest or potentially exceed this recently established high. As indicated by the red downward-sloping arrow and the prominent red question mark above the volume bars, the trading volume experienced a dramatic and notable decline during this critical retest. This sharp fall-off in volume as the price approached or nominally touched the prior peak is a significant bearish tell. It signals a profound lack of buying conviction at these elevated price levels. Potential interpretations include buyer exhaustion (those willing to buy have already done so), profit-taking by earlier entrants, or an absence of new capital willing to chase the price higher. The failure to decisively break the previous high, especially when accompanied by such diminished volume, often acts as a strong precursor to price rejection, suggesting that the bullish impetus witnessed earlier had significantly dissipated, leaving the market vulnerable. 4. An Unresolved Condition: The Persistent Bearish Divergence Deepens its Roots More recently, and perhaps more alarmingly for bullish prospects, a distinct and more pronounced bearish divergence has taken shape, as explicitly marked in red ("DIV") on the RSI indicator. This divergence materialized as the price action, particularly looking at candle closes, managed to etch out highs that were comparable to, or in some instances slightly above, the peak established just before the sharp subsequent decline. In stark contrast, the RSI painted a very different picture, charting a series of clearly lower highs. This disjuncture, where price holds or inches higher while momentum (as measured by the RSI) visibly weakens, is a classic and often more reliable bearish signal. It implies that the upward price movements are occurring on fumes, with diminishing underlying strength and buying support. What makes this particular divergence especially noteworthy is its resilience. Despite the "relatively violent attack on the lows" observed – a sharp and rapid downward price movement that might typically be expected to "reset" indicators and alleviate overbought conditions or divergences – this bearish divergence was not mitigated. One might anticipate such a forceful sell-off to drive the RSI down substantially, thereby resolving the discrepancy with price. However, in this instance, while the RSI did decline in response to the price drop, it did not fall to a level that would invalidate the pre-existing bearish divergence. Instead, this sequence of events seems to have reaffirmed and potentially extended the divergence. The RSI’s failure to achieve a deep reset during the sell-off, coupled with any subsequent weak price recovery attempts that still keep the RSI relatively subdued compared to its earlier peaks, reinforces the notion that the selling pressure encountered was substantial and that the bulls currently lack the momentum to decisively overcome this prevailing underlying weakness. This persistent, unmitigated divergence, especially when viewed in conjunction with the aforementioned volume weakness at the highs, strongly suggests a more entrenched struggle for the bulls. Conclusion: While it's true that in the very short term, the persistence and extension of the bearish RSI divergence, coupled with volume weakness during the latest attempt to surpass highs, presents a scenario with slightly bearish undertones and warns of a potential corrective or consolidation phase, it is crucial not to lose sight of the broader perspective. The primary price structure, observed since the "STRUCTURE START," continues to exhibit a sequence of higher highs. This is a fundamental pillar that maintains the bullish scenario as the principal and most probable one in the medium term. Therefore, even if the price were to experience a correction and seek lower support levels or even recent lows (such as a potential test of the POC zone or lower marked levels), the priority mindset should remain geared towards identifying buying opportunities. This is because the underlying expectation is that, following a potential corrective or consolidation phase, the price will resume its path to make future attacks on key resistance levels. Seeking long trades, with an eye on surpassing recent highs and continuing the upward trend, remains the predominant strategy. Additionally, it is vital to consider the confluence with the prevailing bullish trend on higher timeframes (daily, weekly). What we are currently observing on this lower timeframe chart could be interpreted as a phase of fractal re-accumulation within the inertia of this larger uptrend. That is, a pattern of consolidation and subsequent continuation that replicates on a smaller scale within a broader bullish movement. Pullbacks, in this context, often serve as opportunities for longer-term traders to add to positions or for new participants to enter in the direction of the main trend. Consequently, while the formation of a short-term bearish setup cannot be entirely dismissed, especially if weakness persists and key supports are broken with conviction and volume, this bearish scenario still lacks the necessary confirmations to consider it dominant or to invalidate the underlying bullish structure. For now, the structure of higher highs and higher lows, supported by the trend on higher timeframes, suggests that any current weakness might be temporary before a new bullish impulse. The underlying bullish structure remains the primary guide until proven otherwise with compelling technical evidence, such as a break and consolidation below significant prior structural lows.
by hiraganime
Bullish Channel Breakout Setup With Entry at $104.8K SupportBitcoin is currently consolidating within a key decision zone after forming a textbook Double Bottom pattern on the 4H timeframe. Technical analysis across multiple timeframes reveals a compelling bullish setup with clearly defined entry, stop, and target levels. Market Structure Analysis The current price ($105.2K) sits precisely at a critical inflection point where short-term bearish momentum meets longer-term bullish structure. The 4H chart shows a Double Bottom formation (95% reliability) with a neckline at $104.9K, while the 1H timeframe confirms a bullish moving average alignment (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA100). What makes this setup particularly attractive is the converging technical evidence: Price is testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel (green lines) RSI is neutral at 51.07, showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions The Fibonacci fan projection suggests continuation toward $110.1K Volume patterns on higher timeframes confirm accumulation rather than distribution Entry Strategy Conservative Entry: $104.8K (lower channel support) Aggressive Entry: Current price $105.2K with partial position This staggered approach provides optimal risk management, allowing positions to be built at technically significant levels. The conservative entry aligns perfectly with the channel support and offers a superior risk-reward profile. Risk Management Stop Loss: $101.5K (below major support) A clear invalidation below $100.7K would signal a potential trend change. Target Zones Target 1: $105.8K (initial resistance, +1.0%) Target 2 : $107.1K (previous high, +2.2%) Target 3 : $108.8K (Fibonacci 127.2% extension, +3.8%) Target 4 : $110.1K (Fibonacci fan projected target, +5.1%) I recommend scaling out of positions at each target level: 30% at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, 25% at Target 3, and the remaining 15% at Target 4. Market Context This setup gains additional strength from fundamental factors. The U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve establishment provides long-term support, while recent Bitcoin ETF inflows ($1.8B for week ending May 3) demonstrate growing institutional conviction. The strengthening "digital gold" correlation (now 0.70 with gold vs. 0.53 with Nasdaq) suggests Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed as a store of value during uncertain economic conditions. The ideal scenario would be a brief retest of the $104.8K support before a decisive move toward the target zones. With proper position sizing and disciplined exit strategy, this setup offers an attractive opportunity as Bitcoin consolidates near its all-time highs.
Long
by paladinpinguin
BTC MSB Short SetupI don't think there's much to say here. This is a MSB, even though there's little structure. As there's no structure for resistance the last HL wick just becomes the entry (for the LH). If price manages to get decently above this entry, I'll cut it and take the loss. Most structure has been formed here at the lows, so if price manages to get decently above my entry, it also gets above this structure, thus providing support which could make price jump up pretty quick as there's been little structure formed on the downmove. Full 1R entry with SL red dashed line.
Short
by EyyJasper
2025.05.19 bitcoin analysis Here is the current Bitcoin chart. The daily ascending trendline previously mentioned has now been broken. However, I still believe there is a chance for a rebound because the support zone around 102,500 (highlighted with the purple circle since May 16th) is still holding. From my perspective, a minor rebound is underway, but I expect Bitcoin to drop down to the red box zone, which was the previous consolidation area after the uptrend. Whether this red box zone holds or not will be crucial. If it breaks down, as mentioned yesterday, there’s a high chance of further correction toward 100,678 → 98,800 → 94,450. Conclusion: The daily uptrend line is broken. (As this is a very critical zone, I personally recommend closing positions if in profit.) A bounce occurred from the support zone, but if it comes down again, it may break the previous low and head toward 100,678. A break below 100,678 would likely signal a full trend reversal.
Short
by Greedy_allday
BITCOIN SCALP?. here is my famous words to you guys from this book ;>>>Now a lot of people will be looking for sells from here, so if we know that. So once we have a nice rejection from this double top and nice retrace, this looks good for the majority of people, because price come up but we failed to break above this DT or as we know a EQH. We have got a nice retrace candle, which again retail love retrace candle, because its showing potential move to the downside, and rejection from an area. So now that we have got a rejection from this DT, people are looking to sell this, and when people are looking to sell at DT, where are their stop losses going? Well they are going above the DT. But clearly they have going above the DT. Retail always put stops above DT or below DB, and then expect to move down. So that is exactly why there is liquidity this areas. So that basically means that a lot of stop losses are at this areas.. all traders on bitcoin would longs right. My target would be the 106k only for scalping. Goodluck traders, see cap and charts. its the same on our EURUSD ideas right? Grab it and take the trade. don't missed it. pewww
Long
by D1GITALTRADES