Bitcoin (BTC): Aiming For ATH | Waiting Patiently Before EntryBitcoin had a small sign of weakness yesterday, where on smaller timeframes we formed a nice MSB and now we are retesting the broken zone. This would be an ideal shorting position BUT we are seeing the optimism on markets and we still aim for that ATH zone to be tested before seeing any kind of proper downward movement.
So we wait!
Swallow Academy
BTCUST trade ideas
BITCOIN LONG SETUP BTC LONG SETUP
ENTRY : 101008.3
PROFIT : 104993.5
STOP : 100082.8
ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
BTCUSDT 4H | Rebound, Consolidation, Down or Up?Hello Everyone,
Greetings,
BTCUSDT 4H |
As we can see together, BTCUSDT is experiencing a rebound in the WEEKLY trendline resistance area & WEEKLY FVG.
If we observe further, we can also see the 200 Moving Average (MA) at the $84,000 area, and there’s also a Triple Bottom marked with a red circle.
So it can be assumed that the BTCUSDT market is likely to consolidate further while waiting for a strong Volume/Candle to either GO UP (target $99,000) or GO DOWN (target $73,800).
Remember, trading involves high risk, so please do your own research.
Bitcoin Ascending Triangle (4H)BINANCE:BTCUSDT might be forming an ascending triangle on the 4H chart, with a horizontal resistance at $105k and support being the resistance of the broadening wedge we identified last week: Bitcoin Ascending Broadening Wedge (4H)
A sustained break above $105k would set the target at $109k, very close to ATH.
BTCUSD 1HThe chart you provided is a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) versus Tether (USDT) on the Binance exchange using a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it shows:
Sell Zone: Around $103,200–$103,600. This is marked as a potential resistance area where selling pressure is expected.
Descending Channel: A bearish flag or channel pattern suggests a likely continuation of the downtrend.
Levels Marked:
Level 1: ~102,400
Level 2: ~101,600
Target Successful: ~100,400
Large Red Arrow: Indicates a projected bearish move toward the lower price targets.
Summary: The chart predicts a bearish continuation with targets down to $100,400 after breaking down from the descending channel. This suggests a short/sell bias based on pattern breakdown and resistance at the Sell Zone.
Let me know if you’d like a deeper technical analysis, support/resistance validation, or alternate scenarios.
BTC - Short term playsAnalysis of today's BTC trend:
• Daily timeframe: Closed with a small bearish candle yesterday, showing a single bearish-bullish pattern. The price is consolidating at high levels, failing to sustain the breakout after news-driven highs, indicating a short-term range-bound oscillation.
• Hourly chart: The resistance at the high of 107,000 area (double top resistance), and the support at the low of 102,000 area (double bottom support), with an obvious range-bound pattern.
Short-term contract trading strategy:
1. Short position: Short at 105,800, stop loss at 106,300, target at 104,500.
2. Long position: Long at 104,500, stop loss at 104,000, target at 106,000.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
BTC TRADE IDEAS FOR LONG AND SHORT.BTC is ranging between here and there for now and manipulating shorts and longs. Currently its in a range where I have no interest for long or short. I have marked red area for potential short and green area for potential long where is FVG and ssl+trendline liquidty as well.
BTC Bull Flag Failure or UTAD? Apex Retest UnderwayBitcoin’s breakout from the bull flag was swiftly rejected after a wick above 105.8K, suggesting absorption and supply at the highs. Price has now fallen back into the flag apex — a red flag for continuation bulls.
Key Observations:
• Breakout was absorbed and rejected with no follow-through.
• Current price action is compressing inside the apex again.
• RSI dropped to 60.22 with weakening volume momentum.
• Support from mid-Bollinger Band (100.7K) and 55 SMA (100.5K) is now critical.
If price closes below this 100.5K–100.7K cluster with rising volume, the bull flag will be invalidated. This could evolve into a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) if the rejection confirms as a trap above resistance.
Watching for:
• Breakdown from structure (close below 100.5K)
• Rising sell volume
• RSI trending below 50
A close below these levels may mark the transition from re-accumulation to distribution.
⸻
BTCUSDT: The ‘Parabolic Channel’ Play – $250 K to $500 K … then?⚙️ Chart Specs
Ticker / Pair: BTCUSDT
Time-Frame: 1W (log scale)
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (default), 7-year logarithmic channel, long-term trend-lines & Fib extensions
Date of publish: 17 May 2025
1️⃣ Macro Context
Bitcoin just printed a decisive weekly close above the mid-line of its 2017-2025 log channel while the Ichimoku Cloud has flipped full-bull (span A > span B). Post-2024 halving supply shock + macro liquidity rotation = strong tail-wind.
2️⃣ Projected Path
Phase Target zone % from breakout Key confluence
Break & sprint $255-270 K ~+140 % Vacuum above former ATH; minimal supply
Euphoria stretch $375 K ~+250 % Channel ceiling + 2.0 Fib
Blow-off wick $500-520 K ~+380 % 2.618 Fib extension + typical overshoot
Dashed white arrows on the chart sketch the base-case impulse and an optional “melt-up” extension.
3️⃣ Post-parabola Retrace
Historical cycles point to a -50 ~ -60 % draw-down once the upper red rail is tagged. I’m watching:
$255-250 K → first liquidity pocket / mid-channel
$215-210 K → 0.5 Fib retrace of the entire move
Either zone could reset weekly momentum while preserving the uptrend.
4️⃣ Invalidation Levels
Weekly close < $92 K → breakout failure → bias flips neutral, potential slide to red mid-line ~$75 K.
Close below channel base $60 K → macro thesis void, shift to bear bias.
5️⃣ Illustrative Trade Plan (not financial advice)
Leg Entry TP(s) Stop
Impulse swing Weekly close > $120 K $255 K / $375 K Weekly close < $92 K
Blow-off punt Break > $375 K on volume Trail toward $500 K 2-week trailing low
Retrace reload Bullish SFP at $255-210 K Ride next cycle Close < $200 K
📝 Take-aways
Base target sits in the $250 K region; exuberant extension eyes $500 K.
Expect aggressive mean reversion once the upper rail is hit.
Clear invalidations help keep emotions in check amid extreme volatility.
⚠️ This is an educational study,
BTCUSDT – Weekly Breakout Setup Targeting $115K–$125K | BullishDescription:
Bitcoin is showing a clear continuation pattern on both the daily and weekly timeframes, supported by strong trend structure and healthy consolidation. After breaking out of a long-range accumulation zone (60K–72K), BTC has maintained its position above critical levels and is now forming a bullish flag/pennant just below a major resistance band (~106K).
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Higher highs and higher lows structure in both D1 and W1.
Current consolidation resembles a bullish pennant, often a continuation pattern after parabolic moves.
Price holding well above the midline of the ascending channel and major MAs (50/100/200 EMA) on daily.
Weekly candle bodies are closing higher with strong wicks rejecting downside, showing buying strength.
RSI is climbing again (D1 ~69, W1 ~64) – still below overbought, leaving more room to run.
MACD has bullish crossover and momentum histogram is green.
ADX above 23 and increasing, indicating strong trend potential.
📌 Support & Resistance:
Immediate Resistance: 106,000 (Previous Weekly High - PWH)
Major Breakout Level: 110,000 (Horizontal + Fib Confluence + Weekly structure)
Support: 100,000 psychological + dynamic trendline + demand zone
Strong Base: 96,000–98,000 (must hold for bullish bias to remain)
🎯 Trade Setup (Swing Long Idea):
Entry (Breakout): Above 106,000
Targets:
TP1: 110,000
TP2: 115,000
TP3: 124,000 (channel top / measured move target)
Stop Loss: Below 98,500 (or tighter under structure at 100,000 depending on risk appetite)