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BTCUST trade ideas

Is BTC Poised for a Pullback or Continuation? Key Levels on 3D We’ve got a strong resistance level formed by the double top from Dec 14, 2024, and Jan 19, 2025. ✅ Price is above the 200MA, 50MA, and Bollinger Bands. ✅ MLR > SMA confirms the bullish momentum. I don’t see any immediate reasons to panic. A pullback to the Bollinger Bands or even the 50MA could be in play, but the price action will depend heavily on macro conditions. 🌎 ⚠️ If you're highly leveraged, consider risk management. Keep an eye on price action and stay cautious. 📈 Keep close, follow me for more insights, and thank you for reading! Stay safe. 🙏
Long
by vagada
BTC/USDT Analysis – Moving Within the Scenario Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from the trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics. Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its decline toward our $100,000 target, and so far, we still don’t see any signs of a reversal before reaching this level. The scenario remains the same — a decline toward the local low and the $100,000 zone (marked by initiating volumes), from where a potential entry into the main long-term uptrend can be considered. Sell Zones: $105,000–$105,700 (absorption of market buys), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: ~$100,000 (initiating volumes), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance), $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes), $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone), $74,800 level, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes). This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
Can BTC reach new high?Notable news about BTC: A sudden sell-off in cryptocurrency markets late Monday wiped out earlier gains, with over $500 million in long positions liquidated as Bitcoin (BTC) retreated from weekend highs. The downturn followed easing U.S.-China trade tensions, which appeared to shift investor sentiment away from risk assets. According to Coinglass, more than $530 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin-related futures accounted for nearly $200 million of that total, while Ether (ETH) products saw around $170 million in liquidations. Liquidations occur when an exchange forcefully closes a trader’s leveraged position due to a drop in collateral value, typically triggered by sharp market moves. This mechanism kicks in when traders can no longer meet the required margin to sustain their open positions. Technical analysis angle As analyzed earlier after the price of BTC breaking the 96k landmark has returned to the period over 100k Currently, the BTC price is still passing in the 105k resistance stage and the important trend of the trend of increasing at 98k About 98k continues to consume the trend of this currency With the current news and price lines, it will still be supporting the increase in the trend ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
Bitcoin is not going anywhere in the medium term: $68,000Bitcoin 4-hour chart: Analysis using equilibrium levels and price saturation levels from the January 2025 ceiling: After breaking the main zone, the candles failed to break the blue equilibrium line below, and the candles are turning and hitting the blue equilibrium line above to maintain balance... Due to the main zone breakdown, the candles will reach the middle zone in the medium term... Range of $65,000 to $69,000 Note: Equilibrium analyses may be slightly delayed due to the big-image view of the market, but the targets will be touched in the market.
Short
by faridsaremi
2
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: 88k or 100k?Bitcoin has broken through the 4H imbalance zone that also acted as an old resistance area. The break came through a clear displacement candle, which showed strong intent from the market. That same move left behind a new gap just under the previous resistance. Although price already retested that area once, it didn’t fully fill the gap, so we could see one more retest to complete the 50% line before the market chooses direction. Consolidation Structure The range before the breakout was clean, with multiple rejections from the resistance zone. That zone was front-run several times, then finally broken with conviction. Now, price is hovering just under that broken level, and the new gap created by the displacement candle is still fresh and technically unfilled. Below current price, there’s a large inefficiency sitting between 88.2k and 90k. This zone stands out because it’s not only a clean 4H imbalance, but it also aligns with the golden pocket retracement from the last major leg up. That type of confluence usually attracts liquidity, especially if price gets rejected from the gap above and starts moving lower. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios The bullish scenario would play out if price manages to reclaim the gap zone, pushes back above the resistance cleanly, and treats the gap as support. That would be a classic structure flip, where the previous resistance becomes a new base, and the gap gets inverted into a continuation zone. If we see that, the next upside targets would sit around the 96k to 97k area, where more liquidity is likely resting. On the other hand, if price moves into the gap and gets rejected again, that confirms sellers are still active at that level. In that case, I’d expect the market to push down and start filling the inefficiencies below. The 88.2k to 90k area becomes the primary draw. It’s packed with confluence from the 4H imbalance and the golden pocket, and it also lines up with previous demand zones. If price reaches into that area, it could trigger a strong reaction and potentially form the next higher low. Price Target and Expectations If we see rejection from the current gap, the target shifts to the 88.2k to 90k zone. That’s where I’ll be watching for bullish signs, since it’s the type of level where buyers often step in. A clean reaction there could be the start of a new leg higher. But if the market doesn’t get that low, and instead pushes up through the resistance, then the bullish breakout scenario is active, and we’d be aiming higher toward the 96k range or even the 100k. Current Stance Right now, I’m in reactive mode. The trade will depend on what happens at the gap zone. If we get another rejection from it, I’ll look for a move into the golden pocket below. If we reclaim the gap and break resistance, I’ll be looking to enter on confirmation of the flip. No trade from the middle, only once price gives clear direction from either key level. Conclusion This is a clean two-scenario setup. Either price fills the remaining gap and flips resistance, triggering the bullish continuation, or we reject from that area again and drop into the 88.2k to 90k range for a deeper liquidity grab. Both are valid, and both offer high-probability trades once price confirms the path. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
71
BTC Crossroads: Will Tariff News Trigger a Counter-Trend Move?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions, Bitcoin may consolidate or experience a slight pullback as capital rotates into equities. The resulting strength in the US dollar could further contribute to a Bitcoin retracement. I'm watching for a potential counter-trend setup, specifically a short entry on a break of market structure. However, this scenario is contingent on the price action unfolding as described in the video; otherwise, the idea will be invalidated. Not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
4
BTC - resistance resisted.. for now!We got our three drive into the supply zone. A bit more grinding price action than suspected, but the short blow-out on news provided decent ltf setups to get into a short or at least take some risk off longs. We just lost H4 trend for the first time since 95k. A few scenarios: - quick reclaim of trend and the little range we were forming up here - deeper pullback into the demand zone around 96-97k. This lines up with the weekly range poc as well. Since we reclaimed that VA, we traded it very cleanly (reclaim to poc, VAL tap, VAH) - keep an eye on the H4 fvg we created at the higher levels of the H4 trend zone. This could provide a decent short setup again. - If 96k doesn't hold, look to wherever H4 ema 100 and 200 are trading at that time. After longer trends, they tend to give a good first reaction at least.
by Tealstreet
BTC - Ranges overview (update) Let's get back to BTC and let's see how the pa moved in the past days. As we noted previously IF we held the HTF FVG (yellow box) we should expect to trade back towards 90K-100K. We held perfectly and traded back towards our target. Hopefully the scalpers amongst you guys managed to get some nice entries (feel free to go back to the previous idea and watch how we managed to call out the 'bottom'. What is next... IF we 100K expect us to aggressively trade towards price discovery and new all time highs. IF we fail to hold 90K expect us to trade back towards 80K. Pretty simple...BE PATIENT...LET THE MARKET SHOW YOU ITS HAND...AND TRADE WITH IT. Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
by Patrick2707
BTC Cycle Top? Watching Q4 2025 for Major Reversal PotentialBTC is entering a zone I’m watching closely. Structurally, the current move reminds me of the previous two cycle tops — Q4 2017 and Q4 2021. 📅 My personal outlook: I’m expecting a potential cycle top anytime between the end of Q3 and end of Q4 2025. Not a guarantee — just a framework to avoid emotional trades. 📌 Target zone: 1.618 Fib: ~$122,500 2.618 Fib: ~$150,000 Past cycles peaked near similar extensions. If the trend holds, these are areas I’ll consider taking action. Let me know how you're planning your cycle moves. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #CycleTop #MacroView #PriceTarget #TradingView #FibLevels
Long
by Ziolian_VTMarkets
1
BTC - From Bullish to Extreme Bullish...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 🏢 BTC Building Blocks: 📈 Bullish: BTC is currently trading within the second floor, between $92,000 and the previous all-time high (ATH) at $109,000. As BTC retests the $96,000 demand zone, we’ll be looking for trend-following long setups! 📈 Extreme Bullish: For the momentum to shift from Bullish to Extreme Bullish and enter the price discovery phase, a break above the previous ATH around $109,000 is needed. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
11
BTC - Ready for a breakout?Hey traders and investors! On the 10-day chart, an intriguing situation is unfolding. Sellers tested the Key Candle of the previous accumulation breakout — level 89,256, and the buyer’s initiative resumed. Then, a manipulation (false breakout) occurred at the 89,256 test level. Volumes reveal the narrative: sellers sold off at high volumes, while buyers absorbed on declining volumes. Now, a buyer zone has formed below, with the upper boundary at 99,475. Just a few steps away from the ATH. A pullback is always possible, but for now, there are no signs of weakness (even a pullback to 89,256 wouldn't disrupt the bullish structure). Now, the main question: 💡 How far up? +30,000? This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
BTC: Potential Dip into FVGs Before New ATHBitcoin has rocketed from ~$94 000 to ~$103 250 in just days and is now consolidating between $102 364–$104 145. A Swing Failure Pattern at the top suggests a corrective pullback into one of three Fair Value Gaps aligned with key Fibonacci retracements, before the next leg up toward a fresh all-time high. This setup uses structure, inefficiency zones, and Fib levels to pinpoint high-probability entries. 📊 Chart Breakdown 1. Current Picture: Consolidation & Warning ⚠️ - Range: $102 364 – $104 145 - Swing Failure Pattern (SFP): Price briefly wicks above $104 145 to grab liquidity, then reverses. This classic liquidity hunt often precedes a deeper retrace as late bulls are stopped out. 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – Untested Support Zones 🌊 FVGs are rapid imbalance areas where price left gaps in the order book. These zones act like magnets, drawing price back to “fill” inefficiencies. FVG 1 (Nearest): $101 700 – $102 364 FVG 2 (Mid-Zone): $99 900 – $100 600 FVG 3 (Deepest): $97 400 – $98 700 3. Fibonacci Confluences (from $93 377 → $104 145) 📏 Fibonacci retracement levels often align with FVGs to form confluence support—ideal for swing entries. 0.786 Fib @ $101 840.65: Sits squarely in FVG 1, a high-probability bounce zone. 0.618 Fib @ $100 031.62: Golden Ratio within FVG 2, offering strong support. 0.5 Fib @ $98 761 & 0.382 Fib @ $97 490.38: Cover top and mid-lower FVG 3 for a deep corrective entry. 📈📉 Navigating the Next Moves: Key Trade Scenarios 🧭 Given the current structure, with the SFP indicating a potential short-term top and strong FVG/Fibonacci confluences below, here are two primary scenarios we can watch for: Scenario 1: The Short-Term Pullback Play (Short Position 📉🐻) Concept: Capitalizing on the SFP at the consolidation high (~$104,145) to trade the anticipated dip towards the FVG/Fibonacci support clusters. Aggressive Entry: Look for entries around $103,500 – $103,900 if price retests the upper part of the consolidation after the SFP, showing weakness. Conservative Entry: A break below the consolidation low (~$102,364) could offer a confirmation entry, potentially on a retest of this broken level as resistance. Stop-Loss 🛑: Place above the SFP high, e.g., $104,450 – $104,650, to protect against a false breakdown. Profit Targets (FVG Zones) 🎯 TP1: The top of FVG 1 / 0.786 Fib area (~$102,300 – $101,840). This zone is critical. TP2: The FVG 2 / 0.618 Fib area (~$100,600 – $100,030) if TP1 is breached with momentum. Trade Management & Considerations 🤔: Entry Confirmation: Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframes (e.g., 15m/1H rejection wicks, bearish engulfing) near the SFP high. Profit Taking: Consider taking partial profits at TP1. The reaction here is crucial. Reversal/Close Short: If price enters TP1 and shows strong bullish rejection (large wicks, engulfing bull candles, volume spike), close the short and prepare to flip to the long scenario. Holding for TP2: If price slices through TP1 with sustained bearish pressure, trail your stop above TP1 once it’s clearly broken. Invalidation: If price reclaims and holds above $104,650, the short thesis is invalidated. Scenario 2: The FVG Rebound & Rally (Long Position 📈🐂) Concept: Entering on the expectation that one of the FVG/Fibonacci confluence zones will hold as support, leading to a rebound and continuation of the larger uptrend. Potential Entry Zones 📍: Zone A (Primary): FVG 1 / 0.786 Fib area ($101,700 – $102,364, sweet spot ~$101,840). Zone B (Secondary): FVG 2 / 0.618 Fib area ($99,900 – $100,600, sweet spot ~$100,030). Stop-Loss 🛑: If entering in Zone A: Place below FVG 1, e.g., $101,350 – $101,150. If entering in Zone B: Place below FVG 2, e.g., $99,600 – $99,400. Profit Targets 🎯: TP1: Back to the consolidation high / SFP area (~$104,145). TP2: The key resistance zone ($104,675 – $106,500). TP3 (Ultimate): The All-Time High ($109,588). Trade Management & Considerations 🤔: Entry Confirmation: Do not blindly enter. Wait for price to enter your chosen FVG zone AND then show clear bullish confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H/4H bullish engulfing, hammer, RSI divergence). Zone Prioritization: Zone A is the first test. If it fails and breaks down, Zone B becomes the next area of interest. Profit Taking & Scaling Out: Take partial profits at TP1 and again at TP2 to secure gains. Risk Reduction: After TP1 is hit, move your stop-loss to breakeven or slightly in profit. Invalidation: A decisive break below $99,400 invalidates the bounce thesis and suggests a deeper correction. 🎯 Execution Notes - Patience & Confirmation: Avoid “blind” entries. Seek volume confirmation and clear reversal candle patterns on 1H/4H charts. - Risk Management: Define stops before entry and size positions to risk no more than 1–2% per trade. - Additional Signals: Watch for bullish RSI/RSI-MFI divergences or a turn in on-balance volume at support zones. Disclaimer: This is for educational/informational purposes only and not financial advice. Crypto trading carries high risk—always DYOR and consult a qualified advisor. What’s your take? Which FVG/Fib level will hold? Share your insights below!
Long
by mikavehns
5
Bitcoin Hits PRZ — Reversal or Breakout?As I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) . One of the news that pumped Bitcoin was " Arizona Becomes Second U.S. State to Adopt Bitcoin for State Treasury " Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and near the upper lines of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, we can see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. From an Elliott wave theory , it seems we should wait for corrective waves because the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,888-$99,826) is very important and I DO NOT expect it to be broken by a single attack . Another point we can pay attention to is the existence of two small CME Gaps , the first CME Gap($98,430-$98,380) is likely to be filled. I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $98,100 in the coming hours, and if the Support zone($97,900-$97,240 ) is broken, we should expect further declines, so I will label this idea as ''Short' '. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,500-$97,514 Note: If Bitcoin can break the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the good volume, we can expect a new All-Time High(ATH). Do you think Bitcoin is on track for a new All-Time High(ATH)? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
Bitcoin is consolidating and may continue to riseBitcoin is in consolidation and feels good. We have a bullish trend sitting, strong support, zone of interest and liquidity and strong resistance. Most importantly, we have consolidation Price may test 103000 before continuing upwards There may be a small correction to 103K before breaking 104200, but if the price does not continue to fall, but returns to 104.2, we can expect a break of resistance and continued growth. Scenario: consolidation between 104200 and 103000 will increase the chances of resistance breakout and growth. If bitcoin continues the correction, then we can consider a retest of 102300, 101800 before continuing growth. Targets: 106500, 108400
Long
by AndeWave
20
BTC - TO THE MOON?Just some basic things to look out for here: - we are currently inside the last supply zone (imbalance, orderblock, bad highs). Just treat it as a zone but look for distributive PA. Obviously momentum is on the bull side, so be very picky with short entries. Idea is that the high holds just like the previous range between 50-75k. - if that short/sell signal fails, getting on board on bullish ltf momentum above the bad highs is a good way to play some short squeeze or bigger impulse. Obviously gonna be a crowdy trade, so get in when other longs get stopped. - Pullback into first support: the poc of the weekly range we just reclaimed. It was the first rejection after getting back in, so we assume some shorts are still trapped here and would like to get out. Again treat it as a zone, poc differ on each trading pair because the volume is different everywhere. Coinbase poc is a bit higher, perp poc like this a bit lower.
by Tealstreet
Bitcoin – Price Hits $100K, Will It Hold or Dive Into Demand?Bitcoin has officially reached the long-anticipated $100,000 mark, sweeping the psychological round number and clearing out a major pool of liquidity sitting just above it. This move came off the back of a sharp and impulsive leg, likely fueled by both spot demand and late-stage FOMO-driven breakout longs. At the same time, short liquidations added fuel to the upside, pushing price rapidly through thin areas on the volume profile. This type of vertical movement typically doesn’t last long without some form of corrective structure, and now that the $100K level has been tagged and liquidity taken, we can reasonably expect a period of cooling off, either through time-based consolidation or a more price-based retracement. Consolidation Structure The move up left behind two significant fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 4H chart. The first sits just beneath current price and represents the immediate imbalance created by the impulsive breakout candle. This is the shallowest inefficiency and would be the first area to watch for a potential short-term reaction. The second FVG lies deeper and overlaps perfectly with the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, the golden pocket. This deeper zone is structurally more important, not only because it aligns with the golden pocket ratio but also due to its proximity to the high-volume node clearly visible on the Volume Profile (VRVP). Below this zone, there’s a strong base of support built from the previous consolidation area, making it a prime candidate for a bounce if tested. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios Scenario 1: In the bullish continuation case, Bitcoin retraces slightly to fill the shallow FVG just beneath $99K. A clean reaction there, especially if backed by strong volume and low timeframe bullish structure, could lead to a resumption of the trend with a fresh leg upward. This scenario assumes that the current breakout is being respected by the market and that participants are eager to front-run deeper entries. If this plays out, we’d expect a relatively quick reclaim of $100K, potentially building a new higher-low formation before continuing into uncharted territory above $102K. Scenario 2: The second and more complex scenario involves a deeper retracement toward the lower FVG and golden pocket, between roughly $96.2K and $95.2K. This would constitute a cleaner reset of the recent move and allow the market to shake out weak longs who entered during the euphoric breakout. It also opens the door for a possible inducement setup, drawing in early sellers only to reverse at a key confluence zone. The golden pocket, combined with the high-volume node just below, makes this a high-probability demand zone. If we see bullish SFPs, displacement candles, or lower timeframe market structure shifts from there, it would be a strong long entry zone for a reattempt at the highs. Price Target and Expectations If Scenario 1 plays out, we can expect price to reclaim the $100K level fairly quickly, with upside potential toward $102K to $103K in the near term. The risk here is limited, given the shallowness of the retracement, but continuation would likely be more gradual and grindy due to the lack of a proper reset. If Scenario 2 plays out, the bounce from the golden pocket could produce a much healthier structure for further upside, and in that case, targets beyond $104K become more viable. The lower retracement would offer a better R/R and allow the market to rebuild momentum organically. Current Stance Right now, we remain bullish on the higher timeframes, but recognize the need for a local correction. We’re not interested in chasing the breakout blindly, the move has already cleared a major liquidity level and needs to rebalance before any sustainable continuation. We’re watching both FVGs closely. If the first one fills and holds, we’ll look for signs of strength and continuation. But if price breaks deeper, we’ll shift our focus to the golden pocket and bottom FVG as the more attractive long entry. Below that, the VRVP shows thick support, so our bias remains bullish unless we get a confirmed breakdown beneath that base. Conclusion Bitcoin has done its job in tagging $100K and clearing the obvious liquidity pool above. What comes next is all about how the market digests that move. Either we get a shallow retracement into the first imbalance and continue higher from there, or we go deeper into the golden pocket and establish a more meaningful base. Both scenarios still lean bullish, the key is patience and waiting for the right structure to develop. There’s no need to force entries here. Let price come to your levels, wait for confirmation, and take the trade when the setup aligns. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
54