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BTCUST trade ideas

BTCUSDT- a double hunting!hello guys! Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined range, showing signs of consolidation after a sharp upward move. The price has recently broken below the range support (~$85,000), suggesting a liquidity hunt or fakeout scenario. The sharp move down indicates a potential stop-loss sweep, targeting liquidity below the range. This is a classic "range bottom hunt" where smart money often drives the price lower to trigger retail stop-losses before a possible bounce back into the range or even continuation upwards. 📌 Key Zone to Watch: – Support area around $83,000 – $82,500 – A strong reaction from this zone could confirm the liquidity grab and initiate a bullish reversal. Outlook: Watching for a bottom wick and strong recovery as confirmation of a false breakdown. If buyers step in, we could see BTC reclaim the range and retest mid or upper boundaries.
Short
by melikatrader94
7
21/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,492.19 Last weeks low: $83,112.72 Midpoint: $84,802.45 Is the market finally showing its hand? After President Trumps escalation of the tariff trade war, BTC saw huge volatility swings in line with Tradfi, the panic led to de-risking and as a result BTC hit $74,500. Then after a small bounce another revisit of the exact same area resulted in a much more substantial reversal back up into the $80K's. A double bottom and rally despite the tariff situation ongoing suggests huge support/strength in that area on the HTF, I am now satisfied that BTC has closed the area of imbalance caused by the US election pump, confirming support. This event also coincided with SPX bouncing off the 1D 200 EMA. Since then Bitcoin has rallied back to the upper limit of the downtrend channel (see my previous posts on this structure) which also has the 4H & 1D 200 EMA placed there. For a bullrun to sustain itself these moving averages are important to maintain momentum, time spent under these MA's kill the bullish trend and weaken sentiment around the move. Last week we saw a very tight trading range of only 4%, that is compared to 15.4% the week previous. My theory was that this compression of price around a key area (4H & 1D 200 EMA + trend channel high) leads to a much bigger impulse move, the only question was in which direction? The minute the weekly bar closed BTC exploded above both of these MA's and out of the downtrend, so it looks like the question is answered when it comes to direction of the impulse move. The next question is, will it stick? I do find the timing of the move somewhat suspicious as the majority of Europe are on a public holiday, could this be a MM taking advantage of thin order books? the SPX pre-market is fairly neutral and so I believe tomorrow will tell the true story of where BTC really is.
by ProR35
3
Next Volatility Period: Around April 25-29 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The key is whether it can receive support near the OBV Line indicator (84349.94) on the 1M chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. - (1D chart) (Movement in a wide range) If you look at the lines drawn with multiple lines, you can see that it is currently moving sideways within the section that the fingers are pointing to. It may seem a bit complicated, but the key is in which direction the finger points out. (Narrow range movement) After the volatility period of around April 14-17, there is a possibility that the short-term trend will change. The next volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30). Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and show a downward trend, or rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and show an upward trend. In other words, you need to look at whether it will rise along the trend line (2) or fall along the trend line (4). - As I said before, if the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to focus on finding a selling point. The reason is that even if it rises, the upward trend is likely to be limited. If the trading volume increases explosively when it shows support at a certain support and resistance point or section, it is possible that it will lead to a large increase, but it is a rare case, so it is better to refrain from expecting it. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC. I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BITCOINThe future of Bitcoin (BTC) trading amid potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025 hinges on liquidity dynamics, institutional participation, and macroeconomic uncertainty. Here's a structured outlook based on current Fed signals and market dynamics: Immediate Impact of Fed Rate Cuts Liquidity Injection: Fed rate cuts typically reduce borrowing costs, increasing capital flow into risk assets like Bitcoin. Historical precedents (e.g., September 2024’s 50-basis-point cut) show Bitcoin rallies post-easing, with prices surging 20–30% in weeks due to improved risk appetite. Inflation Hedge Narrative: Persistent inflation (Fed’s 2025 forecast: ~3.2%) could reignite Bitcoin’s “digital gold” appeal. Its fixed supply and halving-driven scarcity make it attractive if fiat devaluation fears escalate. Key Factors Shaping BTC’s Trajectory Fed Policy Timing: Markets price in two 2025 rate cuts starting in Q3, but JPMorgan warns of a potential “sizable cut” pre-May FOMC if economic turbulence (e.g., tariff shocks) intensifies. Delayed cuts may trigger short-term BTC volatility, while earlier action could propel prices toward $100,000–$120,000. Institutional Inflows: ETFs and corporate treasuries continue accumulating BTC, with Bernstein projecting $150,000–$200,000 by late 2025 if Fed easing aligns with GETTEX:70B + inflows. Macro Risks: Trade Wars: Escalating U.S.-China tariffs may tighten financial conditions, delaying Fed cuts and pressuring BTC. USD Strength: Prolonged Fed hawkishness could bolster the dollar, capping BTC’s upside despite rate cuts. Scenarios for BTC in 2025 Scenario BTC Price Outlook Catalysts Early Fed Cut (Q2) Rally to $100,000–$120k Faster QT slowdown + dovish Fed rhetoric Delayed Cut (Q4) Range-bound $75k–$90k Sticky inflation + strong USD momentum Recession Triggers Spike to $150k+ Flight to scarcity amid equity sell-offs Long-Term Trends Halving Cycle: April 2024’s halving reduced new supply, historically preceding bull runs. Combined with Fed easing, this could amplify 2025 gains. Regulatory Clarity: SEC approval of spot BTC ETFs and stablecoin frameworks may bolster institutional adoption, stabilizing volatility. Strategic Takeaways Bullish Catalysts: Fed cuts, ETF inflows, and inflation spikes. Bearish Risks: Delayed easing, USD resilience, and geopolitical shocks.. In summary, Bitcoin’s 2025 trajectory leans bullish if Fed rate cuts materialize as expected, but traders must navigate volatility from policy shifts and macro shocks. Institutional adoption and BTC’s scarcity will likely underpin long-term appreciation.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Bitcoin Is Entering Into The New ImpulseHello, Skyrexians! We hope you remember our previous BINANCE:BTCUSDT analysis where we told you that Bitcoin will not go significantly lower than $77k. Now price is already at $85k and people now can't understand what is happening. We can see a lot of charts where traders are calling for bear market and further deep dive. On the daily time frame we can see the clear picture. At $110k the previous impulse has been finished. Bearish divergence on the Awesome Oscillator and two red dots on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator were the sign of large correction ABC. Now it has been finished with the confirmation with opposite signals. Moreover, wave C has been finished inside the Fibonacci target area. We are 90% sure now that Bitcoin is going to ATH now and this time it can happen with the altcoins growth. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
Bitcoin showing mixed signals across timeframesOn the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has broken above the descending trendline 📉 — however, the breakout lacks strong momentum, and no higher high has formed yet. Therefore, we cannot yet confirm a shift from a bearish to a bullish trend. According to the Fibonacci retracement tool, price is currently ranging between the 0.236 and 0.382 levels. These two zones could act as key decision points on the lower timeframes. A confirmed breakout above the 0.382 level ✅ would signal bullish continuation. A breakdown below the 0.236 level ❌ could lead to a move down toward the $81,200 zone — aligning with the broader trendline support. On the 15-minute timeframe, price is consolidating and forming a triangle wedge pattern 🔺. A breakout from this wedge may provide short-term direction toward the key Fibonacci levels mentioned above
by Alireza_Farzad
Relationship between trendline and StochRSI Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I think that everything used in chart analysis should be objective so that everyone can understand it. If not, I think that if we start complaining about the different interpretations used in chart analysis, the essence may be damaged. Therefore, I am trying to present a method that anyone can understand and draw in the same way. In that sense, I have talked about the method of drawing trendlines several times. Today, I will explain additional parts that were not covered in the previous drawing methods. To set it like the StochRSI indicator on this chart, - Source value: ohlc4 - Setting value: 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D) You can set it like this. - A trend line is literally a line drawn to find out the trend. It can also be used to predict how the current trend will change in the future. However, since a trend line is drawn for chart analysis, what we need to draw importantly is the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - The trend line currently drawn is as follows. Trend line (1): Trend line between lows drawn on 1W chart Trend line (2), (6): Trend line between lows drawn on 1D chart Trend line (3), (4): Trend line between highs drawn on 1D chart Trend line (5): Trend line drawn on 1M chart Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend in the medium to long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (1). Similarly, in order to continue the uptrend in the long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (5). - The trend line is drawn by connecting the points between the highs or lows of the StochRSI indicator. The StochRSI indicator creates waves in any case. However, when creating waves, you should consider that the points necessary for drawing the trend line have been formed by touching the overbought and oversold areas and draw them. Therefore, the points of the A and B sections of the StochRSI indicator are ambiguous points for drawing trend lines. The solution to these points is the same as the trend line drawn above. That is, the trend line is operated by connecting the points of the A section or the B section based on the last point created by touching the overbought or oversold section. At this time, the important thing is that it must have escaped the overbought or oversold section. The trend line (3) and trend line (4) drawn in this way form an expansion channel. Therefore, once the decline begins, you can see that there is a possibility of a large decline. However, as I mentioned earlier, the trend line was drawn to analyze the chart. Therefore, you need to check the importance of the support and resistance points drawn in the area to see if it will actually lead to a decline. Currently, the important support and resistance range from a short-term perspective is 76322.42-78595.86. And, from a medium- to long-term perspective, the important support and resistance range is 69000-73499.86. Therefore, even if it falls below trend line (4) and shows a large decline, it is expected that it will not be easy to touch trend line (3). - Trend line (2) and trend line (6) are trend lines drawn between low points on the 1D chart. Therefore, even if it falls, it is highly likely that the area around trend line (6) will be the maximum. In other words, even if the decline begins, it is highly likely that it will re-confirm the support around 76322.42-78595.86. - In any case, this volatility period ended without any significant movement. The next volatility period is around April 25-29. Since the StochRSI indicator is clearly showing a downward trend in the overbought zone, the key is whether there is support around 83423.84-84591.59. If the price is maintained above the 1D chart, there is a high possibility of maintaining a short-term uptrend. However, from a trading perspective, it should show support near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart to be a trading period. Therefore, whether there is support near 89294.25 is important. - Therefore, we are troubled. Should we buy when it is supported in the current zone, 83423.84-84591.59, or should we buy when it is supported near 89294.25? If the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to sell, and if it falls below the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to buy. If you look at the chart again with this information, you can decide that it is better to wait a little longer rather than proceed with the current transaction. - In the previous idea, I said that if it rises to around 89294.25, there will be a psychological feeling that it will rise further, and you will try to make a breakout trade. At this time, what we should be interested in is whether the trend line between the lows and the trend line between the highs are formed in the same direction. And, whether the StochRSI indicator shows an upward trend below the 50 point. If it does not show such a movement, it is highly likely that it will shake up and down with a large fluctuation range. Therefore, it is absolutely necessary to check whether it is supported near 89294.25. Checking support and resistance is a tedious and difficult task. Checking support and resistance requires checking the movement for at least 1-3 days. - The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low point range. Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it can be interpreted that it has fallen back to the low point. Therefore, in order for an uptrend to begin, the trading volume must increase when confirming support near the HA-Low indicator. If the trading volume does not increase and it rises, it may not rise much and turn into a downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BTC Box Range Low, long alternative daily path As a perp long im looking to take here; I shared a plan at the doji bullish OB if it loses the box range low, another shot for me is at 84K after a sweep, BTC is looking strong here, the daily pattern here is one I have backtested and presents more often in LTF, box range low can provide a good opportunity to long to the liquidity. Again, invalidation is tight and simple, watching out for Sunday as we are currently in sell off weekends, especially on Sundays
Long
by sabinaGM
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle📈 🧠As time goes by, the price is gradually compressed and forms an ascending triangle. We need to observe the breakout opportunities on either side to decide what to do. ➡️The trading volume is relatively low over the weekend. In the absence of market volatility, we still wait and see, patiently waiting for the right opportunity to appear. ➡️I wanted to participate in some long trades today, but the price did not reach the overlapping support area quickly, and this support area is also time-limited. Once it exceeds the expected time range, the effectiveness of the support area will decrease, so I decided to cancel the long limit order. ⚠️Be patient! 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
by wolf_king888
1
continue sideways, BTC accumulates below 88K💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (April 18) The recovery of the D frame shows the optimistic sentiment of the market, believing that in the second quarter of 2025 the market will heat up again. The FED lowers interest rates, the group raises tariffs. NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC: Recent trends suggest that Bitcoin ETF sell-offs during price surges often foreshadow significant market pullbacks. Notably, substantial outflows were recorded from BlackRock’s IBIT and Ark Invest’s ARKB ETFs, each losing over $113 million in assets. Should the sell-off by seasoned U.S. institutional investors persist into Thursday, cautious sentiment may spread to strategic retail and mid-tier traders, deterring them from initiating large bullish positions. This risk-averse stance could help explain Bitcoin’s current stagnation near $84,600, even as top-performing altcoins like Solana outpace it with stronger gains over the past 24 hours. TECHNICAL VIEW BTC price needs to surpass 92-93K to enter the next big growth period. However, political instability and tariffs are holding back BTC's breakout. Price will continue to sideway and accumulate around 82-86K Short time frame, sideway around 84k, slow liquidity. ==> Comments are for reference only. Wish investors successful trading
Short
by Nova-Scalper
4
The Big (BTC) Short*please note that this chart has been "flipped" so is upside down. It's difficult to ignore the number of indicators and chart patterns that are signalling a move up for Bitcoin: - Bullish div in daily RSI - Oversold daily RSI - Breakout of downtrend (both RSI and chart pattern) - Near-touch of the previous ATH Etc HOWEVER this idea is a "what-if-everyones-wrong" hedge. We've already seen a break in the uptrend that was in play since Oct 23 so it is feasible that if we break through again we could see a significant move down to the sound of -30% which would re-test the 618 fib and is a liquidity-rich Zone. Entry @ 94K (which ironically is also the 618 measuring from ATH to the local trough @ 74.5K) which coincides with the random "pump" we saw on Sunday 2nd March. I think the crypto God's are telling us something with this particular price point/wick. Estimated flight time is roughly 2 months (back end of June).
Short
by Cryptarch_