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BTCUST trade ideas

The Big (BTC) Short*please note that this chart has been "flipped" so is upside down. It's difficult to ignore the number of indicators and chart patterns that are signalling a move up for Bitcoin: - Bullish div in daily RSI - Oversold daily RSI - Breakout of downtrend (both RSI and chart pattern) - Near-touch of the previous ATH Etc HOWEVER this idea is a "what-if-everyones-wrong" hedge. We've already seen a break in the uptrend that was in play since Oct 23 so it is feasible that if we break through again we could see a significant move down to the sound of -30% which would re-test the 618 fib and is a liquidity-rich Zone. Entry @ 94K (which ironically is also the 618 measuring from ATH to the local trough @ 74.5K) which coincides with the random "pump" we saw on Sunday 2nd March. I think the crypto God's are telling us something with this particular price point/wick. Estimated flight time is roughly 2 months (back end of June).
Short
by Cryptarch_
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? Bitcoin is still struggling to break through the specified resistance zone. As long as this resistance level remains unbroken, it is better to wait before entering a buy position. However, as long as Bitcoin does not fall below the specified support level, we can remain optimistic about its potential to rise. Our outlook remains bullish, but we will wait for the breakout above the resistance before entering a buy. Once the level is broken, we will look for an opportunity to enter long positions. Will Bitcoin break through resistance and continue higher?  Share your thoughts below! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
by HAMED_AZ
10
BTC top....watch out for the drop to low 80kBTC has had a nice little bump over the last few days, but let's not forget that there is a massive profit taking crowd behind it. We are reaching the tip of the gravy train and now profit taking will take into effect. Candles are shorter and slope is less steeps. Can't say for sure, but it def looks like it will drop to 81k support levels, as no one in their right mind will be buying at the top. You've been warned! All the best, always do your own due diligence, and this may be a nice time to look into BTCZ (inverse)!
Short
by antonini2002
[BTC] 2025.04.18Greetings. It’s a pleasure to reconnect with you. Before diving into altcoin analysis, we believe it is essential to first address Bitcoin, as it remains the key driver in determining the overall market direction. Since the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin has been in a prolonged consolidation phase accompanied by a downward trend. In an effort to identify a potential bottom for this correction, we have closely monitored the market over the past three months. Initially, our team identified the period around March 10 as a likely inflection point for a bullish reversal and prepared a related analysis idea. However, we refrained from publishing it, as the movements of key altcoins—which typically serve as leading indicators—did not align with our internal criteria. As anticipated, the market went on to form another low. We now believe that April 7 marked not just a temporary bounce, but a potential structural pivot point in the broader trend. The rationale behind this assessment is outlined in detail below. We appreciate your time and hope you find the insights valuable. We believe the logical starting point is to examine the key highs that have formed during this cycle. Among the two major peaks—referred to here as “Point 1” and “Point 2”—it is critical to determine which marks the termination of the fifth wave. This distinction plays a pivotal role in accurately interpreting the subsequent wave structure. If Point 1 is the conclusion of the fifth wave, then Point 2 can be naturally understood as the terminal point of a corrective B wave. Conversely, if Point 2 represents the end of the fifth wave, then the decline that followed is likely the beginning of a corrective A wave. To validate this, we conducted a detailed analysis based on Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios. The results showed that Point 2 did not align well with any major wave theory frameworks. Its price structure and time proportion appeared incomplete and inconsistent. In contrast, Point 1 exhibited a high degree of confluence with multiple classical wave theories, including Glenn Neely’s NEoWave principles. Structurally, it demonstrated the typical characteristics of a completed five-wave advance. Based on this evidence, we conclude that Point 1 is the more valid candidate for the fifth wave termination. Consequently, we believe any analysis of the current market structure should build upon this interpretation. To further clarify the interpretation of the key peak, we present two possible scenarios using Fibonacci ratios as the analytical foundation. These scenarios are illustrated as the red path and the blue path, each representing a different wave development depending on the subsequent market movement. However, the key takeaway is that both scenarios converge on a single conclusion: “Point 1” marks the completion of a full wave cycle, and can thus be identified as the termination point of the fifth wave. While the detailed wave progression may evolve depending on how the market unfolds, recognizing that a major top has already been established is essential for shaping any mid-to-long-term strategy. This structural understanding serves as a critical anchor in the broader market outlook. Having previously identified “Point 2” as the likely termination of the B wave, our current focus shifts to pinpointing the end of the C wave— in other words, the optimal buying zone within the corrective structure. Our team initially regarded the period around March 10 as a strong candidate for the conclusion of the C wave. However, due to insufficient synchronicity across the broader market— particularly the lack of confirmation from key altcoins— we concluded that this point did not represent a genuine inflection. ※ Our analysis is based not on individual coins but on a comprehensive structural assessment of the overall market. As a result, we extended our observation period. A clear and confident reversal signal was finally detected around April 7. In hindsight, the March 10 low proved to be a false bottom, marked only by a temporary rebound, whereas the true structural pivot materialized in early April. With this in mind, we believe the market is now entering a phase where a full wave reversal is plausible, and it is time to begin formulating a strategic entry plan in alignment with this outlook. Now, let us evaluate whether the second low (April 7) qualifies as the true termination point of the C wave. From a technical standpoint, the preceding decline exhibits the hallmarks of an Ending Diagonal— a classic pattern frequently observed at the conclusion of C waves. This structure serves as a strong technical signal that the wave sequence is entering its final stage, indicating not just a temporary rebound, but the potential for a structural trend reversal. Considering both the wave characteristics and the timing context, we believe there is sufficient evidence to regard the April 7 low not merely as a short-term bottom, but as the culmination of the C wave—and more importantly, the starting point of a major reversal in the broader trend. Finally, to further reinforce the technical foundation of our analysis, we turn to harmonic pattern analysis. By applying a range of Fibonacci ratios between the start and termination of the B wave, we have identified a remarkably precise Deep Crab pattern— one of the most powerful reversal signals among all harmonic structures. Notably, the current price action has landed directly within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), strongly suggesting that the timing for a strategic long position is ripe. In summary, we now have a confluence of three compelling signals: A clear Ending Diagonal structure at the tail end of the C wave, A significant inflection point formed around April 7, And a textbook Deep Crab harmonic pattern confirming the reversal zone. These three elements align cohesively to provide a well-founded justification for initiating long exposure. There is no longer a reason for hesitation. Assuming appropriate risk management is in place, we believe this is a moment to enter with confidence. Thank you sincerely for reading this analysis in full. We will continue to provide high-quality, data-driven market insights, rooted in both structural depth and technical precision. If our perspective resonates with your approach to the market, we warmly invite you to follow our work and stay connected. Your support and engagement are what fuel our continued efforts. See you in the next idea.
Long
by SeoVereign
BITCOINPresident Donald Trump's repeated public calls for immediate and preemptive Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have had a notable bullish impact on Bitcoin buyers in April 2025. His criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell for maintaining higher rates amid easing inflation and his threats to remove Powell have injected significant uncertainty into traditional markets, which has driven investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin. Shift in Market Sentiment: Trump's aggressive stance against the Fed and calls for rate cuts have fueled expectations of looser U.S. monetary policy, which typically boosts liquidity and risk appetite. This environment encourages investors to allocate more capital to risk assets, including Bitcoin, seen increasingly as a "digital gold" hedge amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Safe-Haven Appeal Amid Market Volatility: As equity markets plunged due to trade war fears and political tensions, Bitcoin maintained resilience, benefiting from a flight to alternative stores of value alongside gold, which also rallied to record highs. Speculative and Institutional Positioning: Both retail traders and institutional investors have been positioning for a potential Fed easing cycle, driving accumulation in Bitcoin ahead of anticipated rate cuts. In essence, Trump’s rate cut rhetoric has energized Bitcoin buyers by raising expectations of easier U.S. monetary policy and increased liquidity, which historically supports higher crypto prices. This has translated into a rapid price rebound, higher trading volumes, and sustained bullish momentum in the Bitcoin market.
by Shavyfxhub
Bitcoin Topped in January? Here’s Why That’s Not Crazy.The move BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P from November 2022 looks like a textbook impulse. The third wave extended perfectly to 1.618 of wave one — a classic sign of strength. But here’s the big question: Did the impulse already end in January 2025? If yes, we’re looking at a nearly ideal structure: 🔹 Wave 3 — extended to 1.618 🔹 Wave 5 ≈ Wave 1 (typical after an extended 3rd) 🔹 Fib zone 0.382–0.618 of wave 0–3 — perfectly hit 🔹 Sentiment — peak euphoria in January: BTC in national reserves, mass media hype 🔹 Volume spike — a sign of potential distribution at the top 📌 Possible scenarios: 1️⃣ The impulse is complete, and we’re already in a corrective phase — even if the market doesn’t realize it yet 2️⃣ A terminal diagonal is forming — ATH hasn’t been printed yet, but we’re likely close 3️⃣ A 5th wave extension — still possible, but less likely given current global liquidity and macro headwinds (trade war environment) 📊 Watch the 200-dayMA: Historically, Bitcoin tends to stay below it for about 2 months during bull cycles. That clock is ticking — the next few weeks may reveal the market’s true direction. 📈 A strong weekly close above $95K would sharply raise the odds of a new ATH. Until then — monitor the local structure and wait for clarity.
by shakatrade1_618
Bitcoin crash back to $74,000I hope the chart is self explanatory as don't want to make this long. I added some trendlines for the visual learners. Bitcoin did not meets its monthly correction target of $74000, we pump right before...Its not very wise to buy randomly- You want to buy at a key level for higher probability...If the bull run ought to continue. Don't you think for such a big move its more likely to react from important key levels where most the demand is waiting? 2ndly the weekly tf is still bearish. We flipped bullish on daily but price is high and struggling to clear 85k. 4hr already flipped back bearish. Next point is that there is still a lot of uncertainty around tariffs, while market is not reacting to tariffs news as strongly as it did before its still factor of uncertainty. An important factor Next point. In yesterdays Speech by Jerome powell he clearly stated that inflation likely to rise due to tariffs he also clearly stated they not ready to jump in and 'save the stock market' And he said they not looking to make any adjustments to interest rates at the moment. They still playing it cautious-waiting on more data. For me the likely bottom signal when it comes to fundamental will be the lowering of interest rates. On the bullish side, gold been making ATHs on a regular now and many are starting to speculate that bitcoin is next...that's a possibility but so far we haven't seen any strong sign of that narrative playing out in the chart. I think this is 1 final trap before the actual continuation of the bull-run. For invalidation -I would like to see a very clear breakout out on the day and weekly closing above 89k with volume confirmation. I called bitcoin top from December of last year with target of $74000. And its still in effect. Now, let's see if am right again. I believe I am.
Short
by Filnft
1
Bitcoin Lower High Continues ?Bitcoin saw a burst of upside momentum earlier this week, but it may be more of a reaction than a reversal. The move came after a breakout from a short-term range, yet it hasn’t managed to shift the broader trend. The latest push topped out at $88,465, just under the previous key high, failing to signal a true change in direction. Key Points: The high at $88,465 wasn’t enough to break the bearish market structure. Potential downside targets include $74,500 and possibly $67,850 if weakness continues. Price action is still printing lower highs, and unless a strong breakout clears $88,500 with momentum, sellers are likely to maintain control. A deeper pullback remains a strong possibility, especially if lower support levels are tested and fail to hold. Overall, trend continuation to the downside remains the dominant scenario until proven otherwise.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Waiting for a big boost for the market, over 90K BTC💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (April 16) First of all, congratulations to the investors. Everything went according to our trading plan and we had very good comments. Specifically, yesterday the price fell from the 86k area straight to 83k. We had more than 3000 prices together. Today's BTC trading plan did not change much. NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC: According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin (BTC) mining hardware manufacturer Bitdeer is preparing to launch its own mining operation in the United States (US). The company intends to speed up the shipment of equipment following President Donald Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff suspension. In addition, the pressure from tariffs has led to a decrease in Bitcoin mining hashrate among miners in the United States over the past month. TECHNICAL VIEW Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections around the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $85,000 since Sunday. On Tuesday, BTC attempted to break above this level but was rejected and fell 1.12%. At the time of writing on Wednesday, the price was hovering around $83,500. If BTC closes above $85,000 on a daily basis, it could extend its rally to the psychologically important $90,000 level. A successful close above this level could extend the rally to test the March 2 high of $95,000. Please continue to pay attention to the 84.2k resistance zone, this is an important resistance zone before we DCA to higher and more important areas ==> Comments are for reference only. Wish investors successful trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTC/USDT Analysis – Confirmed Bullish Trend Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin continued accumulating around our marked level of $87,000 without dropping below it. Today, we broke the key high of $88,800 and are now seeing a surge in volume. Our main scenario remains a continuation of the uptrend toward the next sell zone or until we encounter abnormally strong market or limit sell pressure (a sharp volume spike followed by a failure to hold above, or a technical trend break). At this stage, it's important to secure a position above $90,500 — in that case, the current volume spike may act as support, providing a good opportunity to join the long side. If not, we expect a return to the $88,000 area. Sell Zones: $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume), $97,500–$98,400 (initiative pushing volumes), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: $90,300–$89,500 (potential pushing volume zone), $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume), $82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area), Level at $74,800, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume). This publication is not financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
1
BITCOIN - Short trade Price Action Update - Wave 2 Done...In this video, I break down the smaller-degree waves near the recent highs and explore the possibility that a minor Wave 2 has completed. If that's the case, we could see a reversal from here, provided price stays below 88,876. Wave E has been unusually complex and aggressive, but I believe I now have a clear understanding of where we are in the overall structure. This clarity is key as we look toward the 74,517 target in a Wave (C) of Wave B decline. The critical resistance level remains at 88,876, and a break below 87,997 and 87,513 would offer further confirmation that the reversal is underway.
Short
by AriasWave