BTC/USDT Trade Setup – Lord MEDZStrategy: Goldbach Fair Value Gap + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Timeframe: 6H
Bias: Long
Trade Parameters
Entry: 102,577
Stop Loss: 99,527
Take Profit: 118,153
Risk to Reward: Approximately 5:1
Confluences and Justification
Price is expected to retrace into a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed after displacement, aligning with the Goldbach model.
The structure confirms a completed reaccumulation phase, presenting a high-probability long setup.
This would complete the right shoulder of the classic inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the shoulder projected to dip into the POI. Head and shoulders patterns are often manifestations of Wyckoff accumulation or distribution phases, for those who may not be aware.
Liquidity left inside the gap provides inducement, increasing the likelihood of a sweep into the 102.5K zone.
The take-profit target at 118,153 aligns with the high of the Goldbach Fibonacci extension level.
Execution Plan
Wait for price to return to the FVG zone around 102,577. Look for confirmation such as a bullish displacement candle, a lower time frame BOS (break of structure), or mitigation of a lower time frame order block. Upon confirmation, execute long with a stop below 99,527. Take profit is set at 118,153.
Final Note from Lord MEDZ
"I await the return of price to imbalance. The reaccumulation is complete, and the alignment is clear. Entry shall be taken where inefficiency remains, and profit shall be claimed where liquidity awaits."
BTCUST trade ideas
The Critical Blue Line – Will Bitcoin Soar or Sink
🔹 Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Key Blue Line, Bear Trap Possibility & Long-Term Scenario
On the Bitcoin chart, the blue horizontal level has acted multiple times as both support and resistance. The price has broken it several times but failed to sustain above, indicating high-volume decision-making zones by institutions and large players.
📉 Why this pattern keeps repeating:
Strong supply and demand concentration at this level.
Inability to break and hold shows market indecision.
Repeated fakeouts are likely used to shake out weak hands.
🔍 Important hidden scenario: Bear Trap Potential
If the price dips below the blue line but quickly reclaims it, it may form a bear trap, tricking short sellers into entering prematurely. This move could ignite strong bullish momentum from trapped sellers and renewed buyers.
🔮 If price holds above the blue line:
Signals market strength and potential bullish structure shift.
Targets:
109,800
117,200
120,000+ (Long-term)
📛 If support fails again:
Retracement toward the lower channel near 101,000 or lower is possible.
📊 Conclusion:
This zone is one of the most critical decision points in the current market. Traders should combine volume, candlestick behavior, and confirmation signals to avoid getting trapped by fake breaks
Bitcoin Bullish Flag Breakout Incoming?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, following a strong impulse move from the $74,000 support zone marked in April. The price is hovering near a critical horizontal resistance zone ($ 108,000–$ 109,000), which has historically acted as a major barrier to further gains.
Technical Highlights:
Bullish Flag Pattern: Clear flag formation after a strong uptrend, suggesting continuation potential.
Strong Support Rebound: April's bounce from the ~$74K support zone marked a key higher low.
EMA: Price is currently trading above both the 50-day and 100-day EMAs — a bullish sign of momentum.
Breakout Potential: A confirmed breakout above the flag resistance (~$109K) could ignite a strong rally toward $130K+.
Breakout Move: If the flag pattern plays out, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could target the $125K–$135K zone in the coming weeks.
Buy Entry: Once the day candle closes above the flag resistance line
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis.
BTC remains in a retest phase after breaking out of the first descending broadening wedge.
The price has returned to test the upper wedge trendline, which is now acting as support around ~$105,500.
The purple 1 00-period MA (~105,570) overlaps this retest zone, adding additional confluence to the support.
Ichimoku
BTC is inside a green cloud, indicating indecision but not a confirmed trend reversal.
The cloud provides dynamic support in the ~$104,500–105,500 area.
Stay alert!
break, BTC soon reaches new ATH💎 Update Plan BTC after NFP (July 3)
Notable news about BTC:
Bitcoin (BTC) recovered to $ 109,000 on Wednesday when the US agreement with Vietnam and the increase in global M2 supply of M2 money has promoted an increase in open interest rates (OI), soaring to 689.78 thousand BTC worth about $ 75 billion. The cryptocurrency market in general has increased the price along with BTC, with leading altcoins, Ethereum (ETH), XRP and Solana (SOL) increased by 7%, 3%and 4%respectively.
Bitcoin, the market cryptocurrency market increased by the trade agreement with Vietnam and M2 money supply soared
The cryptocurrency market has recovered on Wednesday, an increase of 2% to regain the market capitalization of $ 3.5 trillion.
Technical analysis angle
First, congratulate the investors who follow the plan when we previously traded according to the model and had a short signal at 108k and took profit and then Long in the 106k area.
Currently, BTC is in wave 5 and is trapped in the Fibonanci area of 2,618 golden ratio around the price of 109k, this is also the threshold of the price of investors who are under pressure before the price area goes to 112k
The 112k region is a psychological area of profit and will appear on the 109k sales situation before the BTC price may rise further in the last 6 months of the year.
Please follow the channel to receive accurate scenarios about gold and BTC /-Teart /-heart
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
BTC buying power is gradually increasing💎 Update Plan BTC at the beginning of the week (June 30)
Notable news about BTC:
Anthony Pompliano has merged Procap BTC with Columbus Circle Capital I, established Procap Financial - a Bitcoin warehouse company up to $ 1 billion. The company will deploy lending activities, derivatives ... in order to create a collection line from BTC, according to the similar model
Bitcoin price is stable at about $ 107.4K on June 27, before the expiry date of options worth up to US $ 40 billion, capable of causing strong fluctuations. At the same time, on June 29, BTC exceeded $ 108k, up ~ 0.68% compared to the previous day
In the past 7 days, BTC maintained around $ 104–107K despite tensions in the Middle East and the US economic data is not heterogeneous. Reduce slightly but receive support from organized cash flow and global trade progress.
Technical analysis angle
Overview of trends - many signs of increasing
Looking at the candle is signaling "Strong Buy" on many time frames, especially healthy momentum, the ability to breakout $ 116k if surpassed the $ 110k resistance
ETF liquidity and organizational capital flows are supporting the trend of increasing, strengthening the possibility of breakthrough.
Moving Averages:
Frame 1H: 64% Bullish signal (MA20 reversed), but there is a neutral signal from short -term ghosts
Daily/Weekly: Golden Cross (Golden Cross) between 50‑ and 200‑ MA, is a long -term trend increase signal
Oscillators:
RSI frame Daily ~ 55, showing neutral momentum, not too much purchased but there is a rise. Double Rounded Top model on the chart Daily, the current trend is neutral - Bearish if the breakdown supports Neckline ~ $ 106k; In contrast, strong recovery above $ 114k will invalid this model
Long -term / Swing Trade: Keep the position if the price is maintained> $ 106k, use $ 103–104K as a spare hole stop.
Short -term / Scalp Trade: can be in order when the test price is $ 106k–107k, small latches around $ 110k.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
BTC\USD SHORT TRADE SETUP BTC/USDT – Short Trade Setup Breakdown (Technical Outlook
Trade Thesis
The area between 103,800–105,000 serves as a strong supply zone, and we’re seeing signs of exhaustion in bullish momentum. The setup suggests a high-probability short opportunity with tight confirmation.
🔸 Entry: Positioned at 103,800, just below resistance, to capture early weakness and avoid chasing.
🔸 Risk Level: The resistance at 105,000 is critical — any break and close above may invalidate this setup.
🔸 Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 97,000 – conservative exit at mid-range demand zone
🎯 Target 2: 96,000 – full target near bottom of the descending channel
BTC - Probable SHORT Scenario My main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1M key liquidity level and left untouched level lower + forming LTF range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we should wait for MSB or reaching 0,5 range mean
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
BTC 30.06.25So far BTC is behaving exactly as expected, i'm just waiting for a valid setup to appear. I would love to see a model 1, which takes out the high and mitigates supply, but i'm also not ignoring a potential model 2. These 2 deviations merge together on a higher time frame, where the range is also valid on, so they can be counted as one. There are many altcoins with similar behavior and USDT/C in potential accumulation. I'm waiting to see confirmations/ invalidations.
Bitcoin Faces Resistance Rejection — Bearish Divergence Signals Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion as it stalls near a high-timeframe resistance level aligned with the value area high (VAH). Recent price action has formed multiple lower timeframe bearish divergences while testing dynamic resistance. This level has now capped further upside attempts and could trigger a market rotation lower if rejected again.
With price consolidating directly beneath this barrier, the probability of a pullback grows stronger, especially if no bullish confirmation breaks the current ceiling.
Key Technical Points:
- Bearish Divergence Developing: Price is holding below the VAH with a weakening momentum signature
- Converging Resistance Zone: Dynamic SR and VAH are aligned at $108,350, now acting as a ceiling
- Range-Based Rotation Setup: If rejected, price could rotate down to the point of control and value area low
Bitcoin’s current structure is classic range behavior, with price gravitating from low to high and back. At the moment, it’s stalled at the value area high, which represents the upper boundary of the most recent range. This level — around $108,350 — has been tested several times, and now a bearish divergence is forming across key momentum indicators like RSI and MACD.
In addition, price is showing multiple rejections against dynamic resistance, forming a pattern of lower highs on lower timeframes. The longer this resistance zone holds, the more likely price will revert to the point of control (POC) — the area with the highest traded volume in the range. If that level doesn’t hold either, a full rotation to the value area low becomes the next probable scenario based on market auction theory.
This rotation would represent a complete cycle from value area high acceptance back to value area low rejection, which is common when buying pressure fades and sellers regain control. For now, Bitcoin remains technically vulnerable as long as price stays capped beneath the $108,350 level.
Bitcoin’s next move hinges on whether it can reclaim the $108,350 resistance zone with volume. If not, expect a corrective phase that targets the POC first, followed by potential continuation down to the value area low. This bearish setup remains valid until price closes decisively above current resistance.
BTC - Perfect Trendline TestOur previous post can be found here: www.tradingview.com
From what we were pointing out yesterday how BTC was testing our trendline of support - today we have seen the fulfillment of this move as we saw two more touchpoints of support on the trendline and are now making our way back towards the red trendline as stated in our last post.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Back in Control | New ATH Incoming?Buyers have taken full control once again where we had a good bounce near our buy zone. As we approach the local resistance zone, we are expecting to see a proper breakout from here, which would then lead us to a new ATH (around $120,000).
Swallow Academy
BTC - Bullish SOON!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
BTC has been in a correction phase, and it feels like it's taking forever! ⏳
As long as the blue trendline holds, the overall bias remains bullish. 📈
As BTC approaches the blue trendline—perfectly aligning with a demand zone and support—we'll be watching for trend-following longs to catch the next big impulse move upward. 🚀
For now, we wait! ⏳
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC - High Probability Trade Idea Here we have a major resistance at this upper level. And market seems to create a "Double Top Patter". So its indicating a possible bearish move.
Target and Sl on chart. Follow risk and money management.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD