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BTCUST trade ideas

BITCOIN Playing Below The Crucial Resistance Area📍 BTC Main Update 👉 The First Thing That Every body Talk About It These Days Is a Bull Flag, And Breakout Is a Action That Most Of The People Are Waiting For It, But The Story Is Not That Much Simple, And I Wanna Describe My Main BITCOIN View At This Update, So Let’s Get Started 📥 I Agree About The Clear Bull Flag Formed At The High Timeframe And Of Course It’s a Bullish Pattern But I Can See a Rising Wedge At Lower Timeframe And Its a Bearish Sign In a Short Term Before Any Breakout From The Main Bull Flag 📉 My Priority Plan Is Breakdown The Rising Wedge Toward a 60k As a Main TP And In a Worst Scenario Dump To The 50k Area Before New Bullish Rally And Breakout a Bull Flag 🎯 Sum up : Some Times Doing Nothing Is The Best Action And It Was My Plan For Account Management Members From Last Two Months And Still It’s My Main Plan In a Short Term
Short
by Bullish_Traders
2
BTC expectation (1W 1D 1H) (Support & Resistance, Trend) In my previous post on BTC, I viewed the current downtrend as a temporary pullback before the USD presidential election. We now have limited time left before the election and the upcoming week is going to be very important. Although the election takes place on the 4th, results may take several days, with the vote-counting pace varying state to state. This might lead to significant volatility during this period. I do technical analysis but I also respect the fundamental analysis - we cannot overlook events like the election outcome. ✔ The price remains above the resistance line of the weekly downtrend, giving us expectation of a continued uptrend. ✔ In the hourly chart, I expected the pullback to reach as low as 67.3k where the purple arrow points. The pullback was not as aggressive as it could've been so we unfortunately missed that opportunity. 69.3k line has been resilient for the last few days but eventually failed to hold the pullback longer. The price is currently in the 68 - 69k zone which is crucial. 💡 I think there are 5 scenarios we can expect: 1. The price may move up again from here with 68 - 69k zone acting as a support zone. The aggressive dip did stop as soon as it reached 68k. However, I find this approach risky because it's just an assumption based on the zone - price does not always respect key zones & levels. While more price actions in the past indicate the higher chances it might, but it is never a guarantee. (If it was, we would all be a billionaire.) We should always react rather than predict and only trade when we see a confirmation. And even then, there's always a chance of still being wrong. 2. The price may dip further down to 67.2 - 67.3k, which in my opinion, is much more reliable level than 68 - 69k. This level aligns with the resistance line of the weekly downtrend. If we can confirm a reversal here, I think it would make a great sign of a bull run. If it does not, however, probability of an uptrend drops significantly. 3. The price may react around 67.3k (if it ever reaches it), but might end up continue dropping to 65.3k. While a reversal here could be a good entry opportunity, it would be less reliable than the previous one. 4. This is our last chance to hope for a reversal. If we confirm a reversal in 63.1k, we might enter for LONG. However, if the price ever drops to this level, I wouldn't put much hope. 5. This is the last scenario - unlike the above four, this one is scenario of BTC failing to keep up the uptrend and switching back to the downtrend. If the price reaches below the last trendline, likelihood of it reversing becomes very low. ✔ Conclusion So what is the best scenario among the five for us? In my opinion, it is scenario 2 because it proves that the resistance line of the weekly downtrend now acts as a support. This trend line is more important than any other lines in the chart. If the price falls below this line, our chance of seeing an uptrend becomes lower. I am not saying it becomes impossible because there's never a 100% guarantee in this market - but the chances are so low and risks are too high that I wouldn't bet on it as a disciplined trader. We should always stay disciplined and manage risks. Few successful gambles may give you a temporal gain, but will eventually drag you down in long term. Avoid making assumptions based on key levels - they aren't respected every time. Always trade after confirming the reversal because we never know what happens. React, not predict.
Long
by QJEEE
BTC- Thesis AIInvestment Thesis As a trader specializing in intraday scalping strategies for Bitcoin (BTC), the current market conditions suggest a bullish sentiment, supported by recent financial data and technical indicators. The price of BTCUSDT is currently at $72,330.3900, with a trading volume of 15,869.8400. The long-short ratio indicates a strong bullish sentiment, particularly in the 1-hour and 15-minute intervals, where long positions outnumber short positions. Given this context, it is advisable to maintain your long positions while closely monitoring for any signs of reversal or significant resistance levels. News Recent Developments SEC Review of Bitcoin ETFs The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is actively reviewing multiple applications for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Approval of a Bitcoin ETF could significantly enhance institutional investment and liquidity, potentially driving Bitcoin prices higher. Global Regulatory Updates Recent regulatory announcements in key markets, including the European Union and Japan, have introduced clearer guidelines for cryptocurrency trading and taxation. Enhanced regulatory clarity can boost investor confidence and participation. Macro-Economic Factors Concerns over inflation and potential interest rate hikes by central banks are influencing investor behavior towards cryptocurrencies as a hedge against traditional financial market volatility. Institutional Adoption Several large financial institutions have announced plans to integrate Bitcoin services into their offerings, including custody solutions and trading platforms, which may enhance Bitcoin's accessibility and appeal to a broader investor base. Technological Upgrades Ongoing upgrades to the Bitcoin network, such as the implementation of the Taproot upgrade, aim to improve scalability and privacy, potentially enhancing Bitcoin's utility and attractiveness to users and investors. Impact Analysis Positive Impact: Approval of Bitcoin ETFs and increased institutional adoption are likely to drive demand and liquidity, supporting upward price momentum. Negative Impact: Potential regulatory crackdowns or unfavorable macroeconomic developments could introduce volatility and downside risks. Data Analysis Open Interest: Increasing, indicating strong market participation. Weighted Funding Rate: Slightly positive, suggesting that long positions are favored. Liquidation Levels: Critical around the $68,000 mark, where significant liquidations could occur if the price reverses sharply. Analysis: The increasing open interest and positive funding rate support the bullish sentiment observed in the market, while monitoring liquidation levels is essential to mitigate risks associated with sudden price drops. Binance Data Trading Volume: Robust over the last 24 hours, with a notable increase in buy orders. Trader Sentiment: Cautiously optimistic, with many experts predicting a potential breakout above the $72,000 level if current trends continue. Expert Consultations: CryptoCred and Rekt Capital have highlighted the importance of monitoring key support levels and the potential for a continuation of the upward trend post-halving. Analysis: The consensus among experts emphasizes monitoring key resistance and support levels and considering long positions as BTC approaches these levels. CoinMarketCap Data 24-Hour Trading Volume: Approximately $1.5000 billion. Circulating Supply: 19 million BTC. Market Capitalization: Around $1.3600 trillion. Analysis: Strong liquidity and high trading volume indicate significant interest in BTC, supporting the bullish outlook. However, traders should remain vigilant for any sudden changes in volume that could indicate a reversal. Sentiment Analysis Sentiment Score: 75%, indicating a predominantly bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin. Top Crypto Sentiments: "Bullish" and "Buy". Implications: A favorable environment for long positions, as positive sentiment can drive further price appreciation. Technical Analysis Daily (1d) Analysis RSI: 68.7300, approaching overbought levels. Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band at $71,452.91, suggesting potential resistance. MACD: Remains bullish, but the trend is weak according to the ADX. 4-hour (4h) Analysis RSI: 72.6400, indicating overbought conditions. ADX: Indicates a strong trend, supporting the bullish sentiment. 1-hour (1h) Analysis RSI: 53.5900, suggesting a neutral position. MACD: Suggests potential bearish momentum, indicating indecision. 15-minute (15m) Analysis RSI: 49.7300, indicating potential oversold conditions, suggesting a possible short-term reversal. Moving Averages MA20: $71,500. Price Position: Above the MA20, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. Support/Resistance Levels Support: $70,100. Resistance: $72,931.8400. Trend Indicators ADX: Indicates a strong trend on shorter timeframes, supporting the bullish outlook. Bollinger Bands: Proximity to the upper band on the daily chart warns of a possible pullback if resistance is not breached. Summary of Technical Indicators RSI: Shows overbought conditions on the daily and 4-hour charts, while remaining neutral on the 1-hour and indicating potential oversold on the 15-minute chart. MACD: Bullish on longer timeframes but shows potential bearish momentum on the 1-hour chart. Moving Averages: Price above MA20 supports the bullish trend. Bollinger Bands: Approaching upper band suggests resistance and potential for consolidation or pullback. Summary The current market conditions for Bitcoin (BTC) indicate a bullish trend supported by increasing open interest, positive funding rates, and optimistic market sentiment. Technical indicators across multiple timeframes suggest potential upward momentum, with key resistance levels at $72,931.8400 and $72,000. The significant trading volume and positive sentiment from both analysts and retail investors reinforce the potential for short-term gains through intraday scalping strategies. However, caution is advised as the RSI approaches overbought levels, which could lead to a pullback or consolidation. Trade Recommendation Outcome: HOLD_BUY Confidence Level: 85% Current Price: $72,330.3900 Stop Loss: $71,000 Take Profit: $73,000 Exit Point: $73,500 Entry Criteria RSI: Below 40 on the 1-minute chart indicates potential upward movement. MACD: Bullish crossover above the signal line. Price Position: Above MA20 suggests continuation of the trend. Current Indicators: RSI: 49.7300 MACD: Slightly below the signal line MA20: $71,500 Action Plan Monitor the Price Closely: Breakout Strategy: If Price Holds Above $71,500: Action: Consider maintaining or adding to the long position. Adjust Stop Loss: Tighten the STOP_LOSS to $70,700 as the price approaches resistance levels to minimize potential losses. Take Profit Strategy: As Price Approaches $73,000: Action: Consider taking profits. Adjust Exit Point: Move the EXIT_POINT to $73,500 to secure profits. Risk Management: Set Stop Loss at $71,000 to limit potential losses. Take Profit at $73,000 to capitalize on expected price movement. Exit Point at $73,500 as an intermediate target. Be Prepared to Act: If RSI Falls Below 50: Action: Indicate a potential reversal; consider taking profits or adjusting positions accordingly. Monitor Market Sentiment: Stay informed about any changes in market sentiment or technical signals that could impact the trade outcome.
Long
by titankarma
BTC Thesis Today - Read Signal CriteriaIn the current market environment, Bitcoin (BTC) presents a mixed bag of opportunities and challenges for scalping. This analysis focuses on optimizing short-term trades over the next 4 hours, leveraging both technical indicators and market sentiment to make informed decisions. Data Analysis Open Interest: Shows a moderate increase, indicating heightened trader activity. Weighted Funding Rate: Slightly positive, suggesting a bullish sentiment among futures traders. Liquidation Data: Reveals a balance between long and short positions, indicating no extreme bias in the market. CoinMarketCap Data Trading Volume: Substantial over the past 24 hours. Liquidity Score: Indicates strong market depth. Circulating Supply: Remains stable. Market Cap: Shows resilience despite recent volatility. Candlestick Patterns: Suggest potential bullish reversals, but caution is advised due to mixed signals. Sentiment Market sentiment analysis from Augmento.ai indicates a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment, with "HODL" and "Bullish" being the top sentiments. This aligns with technical indicators suggesting potential upward momentum. Recent news and social media sentiment are mixed: Optimism: Around institutional interest in BTC. Concerns: About regulatory developments. This could lead to short-term volatility, which scalpers can exploit. Binance Data Volatility Index: Moderately high, suggesting potential price swings. Order Book Analysis: Significant buy walls at lower levels (support) and sell walls at higher levels (resistance). Momentum Indicators: Mixed signals; some show bullish potential while others suggest caution. Technical Analysis 1-Minute Timeframe RSI: Above 60 (Bullish). MACD: Showing a bullish crossover. ATR: Rising, indicating increasing volatility. 5-Minute Timeframe RSI: Around 57 (Neutral to slightly bullish). MACD: Below the signal line. Price Action: Suggests potential upward movement. 15-Minute Timeframe RSI: At 52 (Mixed signals). Bollinger Bands: Price breaking above the upper band, indicating potential bullish momentum. 1-Hour Timeframe RSI: Below 50 (Bearish signals). MACD: Below the signal line. Recommendation: Caution is advised. 4-Hour Timeframe RSI: Around 45 (Neutral). Price Position: Below key moving averages, suggesting potential resistance. Trade Recommendation Given the current market conditions and technical indicators, the recommendation is to consider short-term long positions, capitalizing on the bullish signals in the 1-minute and 15-minute timeframes. However, be prepared to adjust positions quickly if bearish signals strengthen in longer timeframes. Outcome: OPEN_LONG Confidence Level: 68% - Moderate-High RISK now !! Current Price: $69,630.02 Stop Loss: $68,500 Take Profit: $70,500 Exit Point: $70,000 Entry Signal Criteria Timeframes: 1-minute and 15-minute RSI: Above 60 MACD: Bullish crossover ATR: Rising, indicating increasing volatility Bollinger Bands: Price breaking above the upper band Stochastic Oscillator: Entering overbought region Current Positions Open LONG Positions: 1 Open SHORT Positions: 0 Additional Analysis Volatility Analysis The ATR suggests increased volatility, which can be advantageous for scalping. Avoid entering trades during sudden spikes to minimize risk. Order Book Dynamics Monitor buy and sell walls for potential price reversals: Buy Walls: Significant at lower levels, providing support. Sell Walls: Indicate resistance at higher levels. Price Action Signals Look for bullish candlestick patterns, such as engulfing or hammer formations, to confirm entry points. Real-Time News Impact Stay updated on: Regulatory News: Any developments that could impact BTC's price. Institutional Activity: News about institutional investments in BTC. Momentum Indicators Use the Stochastic Oscillator to gauge the strength of the current trend and adjust positions accordingly. Market Sentiment Leverage sentiment analysis to anticipate potential market shifts and adjust strategies in real-time. Conclusion The current BTC market presents opportunities for scalping, especially in shorter timeframes with bullish indicators. Traders should remain vigilant, monitoring both technical indicators and market sentiment to make timely decisions. Follow us x.com
by titankarma
BTC – ATH SOON?!Keeping it really simple here Since we're not in the business of permabulling or moonboying, just some levels and ltf plans (that could snowball into longer holds). I'm not really a breakout trader, in case we continue up I'd rather wait for the first 15% liquidation candle and ape into that. Other than that, if we just sweep the highs it's more likely an extended deviation like we saw at ETF launch day in Jan 2024. Npocs have been really well respected for bullish retests lately, so keep an eye on these for longs. If you're not in a short yet, a simple breakdown from 70.8 is an option too, if you're into that stuff.
by Tealstreet
#Bitcoin Update – Wednesday, 30.10.2024As-salamu alaykum and Good Evening to All Brothers and Sisters! #Bitcoin has made a massive jump, just as predicted in my last analysis! We've successfully hit our first two Take Profit (TP) targets, marking a significant achievement. However, the price faced rejection at the upper side of our Yellow Area. This could mean that a retracement is on the horizon, although it’s not yet confirmed. I’ve outlined all the crucial support and resistance levels on the chart, which will guide us in understanding Bitcoin’s next potential move if the retracement is confirmed. What's Next? If a retracement is confirmed, we might see a slight price drop over the next few days. This drop could reach as far as levels marked by Arrows #4, #5, and #6, potentially retesting the previous all-time high. The Red Line at this level is particularly important. If the price does pull back to these levels, it will likely retest and consolidate support, setting the stage for a new all-time high run! Let’s keep a close eye on these key points, as they will be essential in preparing us for the next major move. #Alts (Altcoins) Altcoins are currently in a delicate position due to rising Bitcoin dominance, now above 60%, which is considerable. When Bitcoin pumps, a few altcoins may perform well, but during even a small Bitcoin pullback or retracement, many altcoins tend to lose value by double digits. This is why I’m holding off on updating my altcoin list for now. I recommend waiting on altcoin trades until we see some retracement in BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance). Stay tuned for more updates, and as always, I wish you all a profitable week ahead. Let’s keep the energy up and make the most of these moves! Have a fantastic day!
Long
by MoonTradingForecast
1
BTC weekly data is shifting. MASSIVE UPSIDE is waiting now! BUY!BTC has corrected healthily to -20% from its peak after reaching its parabolic ATH highs of 73k. Now the mother of all of coins is showing some strength again. Weekly data metrics is shifting now and buyers are back again, positioning aggressively for the next RUN-UP to ATH and beyond. From our weekly chart diagram above, you can observe that the black bear cells has faded and the white dot (longs) has literally escaped the shorts prison cell (black cell). This signal has never missed since the 15k BTC season. The batting average of this one playing out again is very very high. This week is the best time to SEED. Get them all planted now. BTC is already up by 10% after that quick bounce from the strong major order support at 57k area. Signs of what's coming next after this week. Spotted at 60k area. TAYOR.
Long
by JSAL
7
BTC Squeeze the UnexpectedBitcoin has made an epic move over the course of the last few weeks, into a critical resistance level, slightly front running the all time high. According to some of the data available, suggestion that retail is actually shorting the Bitcoin price at the moment as they are in disbelief that we will break the all time high, after months of sideways price action. Bitcoin has currently pulled back to the anchored vwap of the last low before this rip higher, and this area can be classified as a large potnetial bounce zone, as we have seen it before. Moving into next week, we have big election news, as well as rate cut news, setting up for what may be the most volatile week of the year. I have a feeling that many people will be looking at this event negatively, and actively trying to short the market. However, I have seen the power of the anchored vwap over and over again, and until the level is broken, lost , and retested, I would rather look at this as a nice potential buy zone to ride this back to the ath. Only time will tell...
Long
by afurs1
BTCUSD Trade LogTrade Setup (2/11/2024) - BTC Short in 4H FVG 1. Setup: Enter a short position at the 0.5 level within the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), identifying this as a potential resistance area for a bearish move. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:3 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Entry confirmation: Wait for the price to reach the 0.5 level of the 4H FVG and observe bearish signals, such as a reversal candle or rejection wick, before entering. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss above the upper boundary of the 4H FVG to limit risk. - Set take-profit at three times the stop-loss distance to maintain a 1:3 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Be aware of any upcoming macroeconomic news or events that could affect BTC's price movement and increase volatility. - Ensure that price action confirms your bias within the FVG to avoid premature entry.
Short
by Fondera-Trading
BTCUSDT. Selling and Buying StrategyHello traders and investors! It’s time for a new analysis, as all the targets from the previous analysis have been reached, and the situation has changed. Daily Timeframe Analysis As a reminder, on the daily timeframe, a sideways movement was formed on March 5 (with point 4). The lower boundary is at 49,000, and the upper boundary is at 73,777. The buyer's vector 10-11 has reached its target at 72,797. At the end of the vector, a buyer's bar with increased volume was formed. Just below, a buyer's zone appeared (green rectangle on the chart, with the upper edge at 69,519). The price is currently testing this buyer's zone. We are waiting for the buyer's reaction. The seller's vector 11-12 is now relevant, with potential targets of 52,550 and 49,000. At the same time, there are some signs that the price could update the all-time high (ATH): The seller's vector 9-10 broke the lower boundary of the range (point 4), but vector 10-11 has not yet broken the upper boundary (point 7). 8H Timeframe Analysis On the 8-hour timeframe, a sideways movement was formed on July 29 (with point 4). The lower boundary is at 49,000, and the upper boundary is at 71,997. The buyer's vector 5-6 successfully broke above the upper boundary of the range. At the end of this vector, a buyer's bar with increased volume was absorbed by the seller, who formed a seller's zone at the upper boundary of the range (red rectangle on the chart, with the lower edge at 71,864). The latest sub-impulse on the 8-hour timeframe started from the 65,596 level. A buyer's zone is located at the base of this sub-impulse (green rectangle on the chart, with the upper edge at 67,890). The price is currently testing the level of the previous sub-impulse's end at 68,850. We are waiting for the buyer's reaction. The seller's vector 6-7 is now relevant, with potential targets of 52,550 and 49,000. However, there are also signs that the price may update the ATH: the configuration of bars and volumes within the buyer's vector 5-6 shows that key volumes are located at the base of the vector. Summary On both the daily and 8-hour timeframes, the buyer's vectors within the ranges have played out. The seller's vectors are now relevant. The seller has begun to resume activity, and the price has entered a contextual buyer's zone. At the same time, there are signs on both the daily and 8-hour timeframes that the price could update the ATH. For this reason, it's advisable to look for short trades from the seller's zone protection on the 8-hour timeframe. It's also possible that the seller will form a seller's zone on the daily timeframe today if they absorb the buyer's bar from October 29. Looking for long trades is reasonable from the buyer's zone protection on the daily or 8-hour timeframe, for example, in the 66,000–68,000 range. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
BTC - Ranges overview We've gotten some interesting pa on BTC since our last post so let's see how we play from here. We've taken out some buyside liquidity around 73K and we've attempted to create new all time highs. BTC is yet to hit 74K and eventually price higher towards 75K and 80K. As long as we respect the FVG (yellow box) expect us to trade between 70K-73K. IF we fail to hold the current highs expect some retracement towards 70K. IF we hold the current levels and break above the FVG expect us to aggressively trade towards new all time highs. No need to front run the market or over-leverage your positions. WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND AND TRADE WITH THE MARKET. Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
by Patrick2707
BTC ANALYSIS REVIEW"As anticipated, BTC offered a solid buying opportunity after breaking through the order block. I entered the trade following a confirmed break on the 15-minute timeframe, with a retest and rejection on the 5-minute timeframe. My stop-loss is positioned below the swing low, with the target profit near the next upper order block. I've already secured 40% profit at a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, and I plan to fully exit at 1:5. Follow for more trade insights and setups!"
Long
by munmeeth
#BTC New Trading Opportunity📊#BTC New Trading Opportunity🔥 🧠From a structural perspective, we are stuck in multiple resistance zones. We are only $200 away from the all-time high, maybe we need a healthy pullback to regain momentum. ➡️If we start to fall from here, then watch for the area where the yellow support zone overlaps with the green buy zone Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888