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Bitcoin - Playing around weak support#BTC/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + Currently bitcoin is trading around its support zone of 95K and this is weak support which held and broke multiple times. + Strong resistance for bitcoin is around 92K, if bitcoin falls to this level, we can expect the support to hold. + I'm expecting a drop in price with a wick to touch 92K and bounce back immediately. + If bitcoin breaks below 92K then we can expect further crash to 80K level. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
Long
by VectorAlgo
2
Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD A Comprehensive GuideMastering the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): A Comprehensive Guide Understanding the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): A Beginner’s Guide The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a popular and powerful momentum and trend-following indicator used by traders across various markets. Developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s, MACD helps traders identify potential trend reversals, momentum strength, and buy or sell signals. What is MACD? MACD is based on the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price. It consists of three main components: MACD Line: Calculated as the difference between the 12-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 26-period EMA. Signal Line: A 9-period EMA of the MACD Line. Serves as a trigger for buy or sell signals. Histogram: The difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line. Visual representation of momentum changes. How to Interpret MACD Crossovers: Bullish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it signals upward momentum and is often interpreted as a buy signal. Bearish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line, it indicates downward momentum and is often seen as a sell signal. Centerline Crossovers: When the MACD Line crosses above the zero line, it indicates bullish momentum. When the MACD Line crosses below the zero line, it signals bearish momentum. Divergence: Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes lower lows, but the MACD makes higher lows. This can indicate a potential upward reversal. Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes higher highs, but the MACD makes lower highs. This can suggest a potential downward reversal. Strengths of MACD Versatile: Combines trend-following and momentum analysis. Easy to Use: Simple to interpret for traders of all skill levels. Effective in Trending Markets: Provides clear signals during strong trends. Limitations of MACD Lagging Indicator: Since it relies on moving averages, MACD may provide signals after a trend has already started. False Signals: In sideways or choppy markets, MACD can produce misleading crossovers. Best Practices for Using MACD Combine with Other Indicators: Use MACD with support and resistance levels, RSI, or Bollinger Bands for confirmation of signals. Combine it with volume analysis to validate momentum strength. Adjust Periods for Your Strategy: Shorten the EMA periods (e.g., 8, 18, and 6) for more responsive signals in fast-moving markets. Lengthen the periods (e.g., 21, 50, and 9) for smoother signals in slower markets. Understand Market Context: Avoid relying solely on MACD in range-bound markets where false signals are more common. Example of MACD in Action Imagine a stock is in an uptrend, and the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line while the histogram turns positive. This is a bullish signal suggesting that the upward momentum is strengthening. Conversely, if the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line during a downtrend, it signals that bearish momentum may continue. Conclusion The MACD is a robust indicator that helps traders identify trends, momentum shifts, and potential buy/sell opportunities. While it’s easy to use, its effectiveness improves when combined with other technical tools and a solid understanding of market dynamics. As always, backtest your strategies and practice using the MACD on historical data before applying it to live trades.
Education
by CobraVanguard
2
How far is Bitcoin from landing on the moon? After reaching a new ATH at 108k, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop following Jerome Powell's speech that the Fed cannot hold Bitcoin and is not seeking to change that, which seems to have caused some uncertainty in the market. As a result, BTC price saw a steep decline, but it recently rebounded, almost touching the 100k level again. The current focus for Bitcoin is a critical support area at around 91k. This area has held up well in recent price action, and we saw a recovery bounce from this region again. There is a strong chance that BTC could revisit this support area in the coming days, and it could provide another opportunity for a potential rebound. This support area is essential because it represents a significant price range where buyers have stepped in to defend the uptrend. If Bitcoin does test this zone again and holds above 91k, the probability of a further upward move remains high. In addition to the immediate price action, there’s a key factor to consider: the monthly candle close. Bitcoin needs to close the current monthly candle above 96k for the market to maintain its bullish sentiment. A green monthly close at this level would provide strong confirmation that the overall trend remains intact and that BTC is on track for further price appreciation. The next few days are critical for determining whether BTC can sustain momentum to close the month in the green. If Bitcoin can hold above 96k by the end of the month, it would signal that the upward trend is still in play and that a continuation toward higher levels could be on the horizon. Looking ahead to next week, there are two possible scenarios: 1. Continued Support Test: Bitcoin may dip back towards the 91k support area. If this area holds strong, it could set up another bullish reversal, targeting a move back toward the 100k area or even beyond. 2. Break Below Support: If Bitcoin fails to maintain support in the 91k area, we could see further downside, potentially testing lower levels. In this case, caution is warranted, as the next major support zone would be considerably lower. Conclusion The next week could be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. A monthly candle close above 96k would reinforce the bullish outlook, but if Bitcoin fails to hold support or closes the month in red, we may see more volatility in the near
by Sarim-Trader
2
BTC/USDT : 200 day MA is key support to a massive $160,000 jump.Hello Traders, A compelling pattern is forming for CRYPTOCAP:BTC . Considering how BTC interacted with the 50 day MA from November 2023 to March 2024, with BTC retesting at $40,000 in January and then surging to $73,000 in March, if history repeats, the 2025 bull run could potentially send BTC to $160,000 within three months. Technically, BTC broke through the 50-day MA resistance from above and from $48,000 it declined by 20% towards the 100-day MA trendline to have rest at $38,000. From the 100-day MA trendline, BTC then rallied by 90% all the way up to $73,000. If this historical move were to repeat, BTC would likely encounter the 100-day MA trendline to fall 20% at $85,000 before another 90% surge towards $160,000 🚀🚀🚀. Play safe, #DisciplineWithStopLoss before you invest and keep close eyes on 50 & 100 day MA trendlines 🤞 #ChartPatterns #SwingTrading #BTCUSD #PatienceIsKey #RektProofTrade #ProtectYourCapital
Long
by hp_charts
1
BTCUSDT - Bearish sign?daily chart displays a ascending broading wedge pattern can notice obviously how price action going when touches the lower side of the pattern You'll notice a full absorption of the candle, with only a wick touching the lower part of the pattern. It's important to understand that the ascending wedge pattern is inherently bearish, often signaling a downward move. However, Bitcoin rarely gives you a clear short signal like this—it will likely liquidate all short positions first. What’s expected is a strong upward move in the coming days, followed by a drop. Bitcoin’s target for this correction is 85k.
Short
by ceciliones
1
BTC/USDT2 years have passed since the detailed analysis of the bottom of Bitcoin. This is my last analysis of Bitcoin until the price ceiling is reached. In these two years, I tried to make a profit by including my analysis point of view. I personally do not expect Bitcoin to fall and expect I have a one-year bullish move from Bitcoin. The hold is much harder than I thought. In these two years, my hold has affected my psyche. Try not to follow the analysis of others who talk about the fall, because there is no information about They do not have the nature of Bitcoin. I hope that Bitcoin will move according to my analysis like the last two years. This year I will celebrate the 150,000 dollar Bitcoin celebration. Remember that God is with those who are patient. I wish you health, peace and profit. Good luck.
Long
by BERYLLIUM_
3
BTCUSDT BEARISH1. On the left, there is an uptrend, with continuously higher highs and higher lows. 2. The higher lows on December 20 were broken, forming lower lows. On December 24, support was once again found at this level. 3. In the rebound trend, the key resistance zone is between 102450 and 103550. If this range is not broken, a lower high will form. Bearish positions are at 92230-92320 and below at 85230. 4. If the key resistance zone of 102450-103550 is broken, there is a possibility of making new highs.
Short
by WhaleTJ
DAY 5 - Daily BTC Update Merry Christmas!Yesterday's Update 🎄 Merry Christmas, TradingView Fam! 🎄 The BTC bulls are delivering a gift this holiday season 🎁! After a strong bounce, Bitcoin is eyeing $100K today, setting the stage for a spectacular Christmas Day rally. Here’s the roadmap: 🎯 First Pivot: $100,800 🎯 Second Pivot: $105,720 Breaking through these levels will set BTC on Pathway 1, as outlined yesterday, and reinforce the bullish momentum. 🚀 (Although not breaking the first pivot could see Pathway 2) Santa seems to have packed his bag with a Bitcoin rocket this year! 🌕 Wishing you all a magical Christmas!💫 See you all tomorrow! <3
by LisaNEdwards
8
BTC : All Time High IN - OR Multimonth Playout?Bitcoin has begun a steep drop, and it's likely that the ATH is priced in. This fits my previous idea that the ATH would either be just over or just under 100k. There is, ofcourse, another option as well - a continuation over the next few months. This is likely if the price of BTC follows a fractal of the previous cycle. It would become likely if we see a strong bounce around the 81-82K zone, pushing us up into the 90's. But, at the moment, I'm leaning towards the idea that the ATH is in. It would also makes sense for the ATH to be in, from an Elliot Wave Theory perspective, since we've made a perfect 5 waves. If this is indeed the case, we can look forward to a few more rallies in the altmarket. _______________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Short
by CryptoCheck-
1
BTC IS UP SOONBTC has entered the support zone. Currently waiting for the 1-hour entry signal (built a new indicator). RSI 1-hour divergence, would be cool to see it also on 4h. It gets bullish with a good entry soon. RM 1N6 pretty ok swing. Indicator. I’ve built a custom trend-based indicator that provides buy/sell signals with 80% efficiency. With a solid risk management (RM) strategy that includes simple stop-loss (SL) and stop-loss exit (SLX) rules, it can achieve near 100% effectiveness. It works across all timeframes—you just need to analyze each timeframe before entering a trade. The indicator highlights potential reversal zones based on the current trend and within 1 candle, making it ideal for scalping but also effective for longer positions, such as swing trading. I’m still refining it, but unfortunately, TradingView (TW) isn’t the best platform for this type of code, so I’ll be exploring other options to complete the development of this trend-based signal indicator. I'll post an example with open position to show it works within the next setup up if you are interested. Let me know.
Long
by KeylessCrypto
HelenP. I Bitcoin will little correct and then start to move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price declined to the trend line and then started to grow, so, quickly later rose to the support level. this level was concerned with the support zone and soon BTC broke this level, after which made a retest and started to trades near this level. Later, the price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, after which made a correction to the support level and then in a short time backed up to the resistance level. Then the price continued to grow and soon reached the 103000 level and even broke it and then continued to move up. Bitcoin reached a new ATH and then turned around and made a correction movement, breaking the 103000 level one more time. Price fell to the trend line and then tried to grow, but failed and now continues to trades close to this line. In my opinion, BTCUSDT will decline below the trend line and then start to grow to the resistance zone. So, for this case, I set my goal at 105K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
2
BTC vs USDT.D - Who Follows Whom?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. I always keep an eye on USDT.D to gauge the overall sentiment of the crypto market. 📚 Today, I want to demonstrate the correlation between BTC and USDT.D: - A couple of weeks ago, BTC was rejected at the $108,000 zone, while USDT.D bounced off the 3.6% support. - BTC is currently hovering around the lower bound of its rising wedge, while USDT.D is approaching the upper bound of its falling wedge. - As long as BTC doesn't close a full day below the blue trendline and USDT.D doesn't close a full day above the upper red trendline, this phase can be considered a correction. - Conversely, if both trendlines are breached, expect a momentum shift, potentially leading to a deeper bearish movement in the crypto market. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
4
Bitcoin can little correct and then continue to grow in rangeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price declined to the resistance line and rebounded at once and made impulse up. BTC rose to a support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, but firstly it made a small correction and some time traded below the 92500 level. Soon, the price broke this level, after which it started to trades inside the range, where it at once made a retest and tried to grow, but later corrected the support level. Next, the price continued to move up and reached the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, after which corrected the resistance line. After this movement, BTC at once rebounded and rose to the seller zone and even higher, breaking the 103500 level. But soon, the price turned around and dropped to the support level, breaking the resistance level with the resistance line. Then the price turned around and a not long time ago started to grow. For this reason, I think that Bitcoin make a small movement down to almost the support level and then continue to grow to the 103500 resistance level inside the range. That's why I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
10
Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking PointThe crypto market is flashing a worrying outlook for 2025, since a disappointing Santa Claus rally this year could deepen issues. This is especially important if BTC will not be able to finish the year 2024 firmly above $100'000 per coin. The financial market has had a tough week, but it might also be in store for a tough year in 2025. The market is on track for its worst weeks over years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market's internals, it's clear that damage had been inflicted well before the Fed's Wednesday meeting—and the signal is a historic indicator of tough times ahead. The number of stocks in Top Stock Club S&P 500 that are declining outpaced advancing stocks for 14 consecutive days on Thursday. The advancing/declining data helps measure underlying participation in market moves, and the recent weakness signals that even though the S&P 500 is only off 4% from its record high, there's damage under the hood of the benchmark index. This is evidenced by the equal-weighted S&P 500 index being off 7% from its record high. According to Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research, the 14-day losing streak for the S&P 500's advance-decline line is the worst since October 15, 1978. Clissold said 10-day losing streaks or more in advancing stocks relative to declining stocks can be a bad omen for future stock market returns. While this scenario has only been triggered six times since 1972, it shows lackluster forward returns for the S&P 500. The index has printed an average six-month forward return of 0.1% after these 10-day breadth losing streaks flashed, compared to the typical 4.5% average gain seen during all periods. "Studies with six cases hardly make for a strategy. But market tops have to start somewhere, and many begin with breadth divergences, or popular averages posting gains with few stocks participating," Clissold said. Perhaps more telling for the stock market is whether it can stage a recovery as it heads into one of the most bullish seasonal periods of the year: the Santa Claus trading window. If it can't, that would be telling, according to Clissold. "A lack of a Santa Claus Rally would be concerning not only from a seasonal perspective, but it would allow breadth divergences to deepen," the strategist said. Also concerning to Clissold is investor sentiment, which has flashed signs of extreme optimism since September. According to the research firm's internal crowd sentiment poll, it is in the seventh-longest stretch in the excessive optimism zone, based on data since 1995. "Several surveys have reached what could be unsustainable levels," Clissold said, warning that any reversal in sentiment could be a warning sign for future market returns. Ultimately, continued stock market weakness, especially in the internals, would suggest to Clissold that 2025 won't be as easy as 2024 for investors. "If the stock market cannot rectify recent breadth divergences in the next few weeks, it would suggest our concerns about a more difficult 2025 could come to fruition," the strategist said. Moreover, Dow Jones index has printed recently The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern, on weekly basis. This is especially important, since mentioned above pattern is massively unwinding from Dow's all the history highs. Previously this pattern has already appeared in TVC:DJI in November 2021 and lead to 20 percent decline in 2022 for Dow Jones Index and to more than 70 percent decline in BTC. The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern also has appeared in Dow Jones Index in September, 2018 (lead to 18% decline) and in July, 2007 (lead to more than 50% decline). The main technical graph represents a Choking Strategy for BTC in 2025, i.e. BTC airless scenario below $100'000 choking point. The epic 52-week SMA breakthrough in BTC will definitely accelerate a decline at all.
by Pandorra
BITCOIN In Coming Days!As I mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin finally broke the wedge and the price turned bearish. However, now if the price can break the 0.618 Fibonacci line, it can rise up to 107k dollars. previous analyses Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1