This is exactly how the market takes your money?I want to share with you a mindset about why, as a trader, you often face trouble when the market hasn’t yet shown a clear Swing Buy or Swing Sell signal.
When the market is in a good state, meaning it’s showing a clear Uptrend or Downtrend, you’re almost guaranteed to make a profit. However, during such times, your only issue is taking profits too early, scalping prematurely. You then re-enter at a new, higher position than before and continue scalping multiple times within a single Swing trend.
As the Swing trend nears its end, that’s when the market starts to take back the profits you made earlier. The market reclaims the capital it “lent” you and even collects some of your gains as interest. When the market enters a phase of unclear direction or is preparing for a new trend, you carry the Swing mindset from the previous phase into this Scalping phase, expecting the market to deliver the same big profits as before.
This is exactly why your positions are prone to losses and frequently hit Stop Losses, causing you to lose a chunk of your remaining capital.
This is how the market takes money out of your hands. Do you find yourself in this situation?
BTCUST trade ideas
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week we reached a significant sell area. At the moment, there were strong volume anomalies from the seller. Our main scenario was a correction. But by the middle of the week, after a prolonged flat, the seller began to weaken noticeably. Attempts to update the local minimum didn’t bring results. The scenario was rearranged in the direction of long-range movement.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We’ve already updated the local maximum on an increased volume.
The main priority is long. After updating the $88,800 extreme, the road to $95,000 will be opened. At the same time, the price of $87,000 will act as a support level for a decline. At the moment, strong buyer activity is recorded on it.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (initiative volume pushing upward),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
IMPORTANT DATES
The macroeconomic events this week:
• Wednesday, April 23, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices in the US manufacturing and services sectors for April;
• Wednesday, April 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on new home sales in the United States for March;
• Thursday, April 24, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, April 24, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of sales in the secondary housing market in the United States for March.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSDT – Critical Time Pivot Approaching🟡 A major convergence point is forming around April 19, 2025, 19:00 (Bahrain time) , where a long-term symmetrical triangle is set to be resolved. Price is coiling tightly near the apex, suggesting an imminent breakout or breakdown.
Watch volume and RSI closely — momentum is building. This could mark a decisive shift in BTC’s medium-term trend.
📌 Stay alert. The chart is speaking — and it’s almost time.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #PriceAction #CryptoTrading #ChartAnalysis #BreakoutWatch
Still no progress for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin consolidated the whole week. The outlook is still the same.
Now we saw a 5 wave pattern up (which could be a leading diagonal wave 1) and a correction down. So we could see the next impulse wave after the finish of the correction.
Or we see one more impulse wave down and after that more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the (corrective) move down to finish. After that you could trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Bitcoin Correction Offers Opportunity Before Potential RallyBitcoin is currently trading around $87,151, in the middle of a healthy weekly retracement after reaching local highs. Price remains within the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at $89,519 and Span B at $79,240), indicating a neutral to slightly bullish phase, depending on whether buyers reclaim key levels in the coming weeks.
A break and sustained close above $89,000 would serve as confirmation of bullish momentum resuming. That level aligns with the top of the cloud and recent consolidation, making it a key pivot zone to watch.
Should price fail to reclaim that zone in the short term, the ideal long entry zone lies between $74,000 and $70,000, where:
A previous breakout level aligns with demand
The Ichimoku cloud thickens for dynamic support
A potential oversold signal could develop on the TSI
The Trend Strength Index (TSI) values support a pullback-to-buy thesis:
TSI(10): -0.47
TSI(20): -0.80
While both are in negative territory, they’re not deeply oversold yet, giving room for one more leg down before a strong reversal signal potentially emerges.
The ultimate bullish target remains at $109,000, which is the next significant swing extension zone.
Trade Setup Summary:
Breakout Confirmation: Close above $89,000 with follow-through
Buy Zone: $74,000 – $70,000 (demand zone + cloud + structure support)
Target: $109,000
Invalidation: Close below $69,000
Bias: Bullish continuation while holding $70,000
Bitcoin’s current consolidation follows the post-halving adjustment, where mining rewards have been reduced and market volatility tends to increase. Institutional interest remains high, with ETF inflows stabilizing and macroeconomic uncertainty supporting long-term crypto positioning. As long as real yields remain in check and risk appetite persists, BTC is fundamentally supported, aligning with the bullish continuation setup seen on the chart.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will drop, thereby breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Recently, price has been trading in a narrowing structure, forming a triangle pattern with a strong ascending trend line acting as support. This bullish line began developing after the price reversed from the 78500 - 79000 support zone, where buyers showed a clear reaction, initiating a sustained upward move. As the price kept bouncing along the trend line, it gradually climbed toward the upper boundary of the triangle. Eventually, Bitcoin reached the resistance area near 86500, which aligns with the broader resistance zone between 86500 and 87000 points. This zone has previously acted as a ceiling for price action, and once again, it triggered selling pressure. After the rejection from this area, the price corrected back to the trend line and is now hovering near it, testing its strength. Given the structure of the triangle, the repeated rejection from the resistance zone, and the current consolidation under resistance, I expect BTCUSDT to break below the trend line and decline. That's why I set my goal at 82000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSDT – Shallow Pullback Holding | 1.618 Extension in SightBitcoin made a strong move from 73K to 106K, setting a new high after months of sideways action. Since then, we’ve seen a pullback, but it's been controlled. The retracement has landed right on the 0.236 Fib level, around 75.4K — and price is starting to base above it.
That’s often a sign of bullish strength. Shallow retracements like this can fuel the next leg up.
🔹 Short-Term Fib (Blue)
This Fib is drawn from the recent move:
73K (0) → 106K (1)
Key level:
0.236: 75,409 → currently acting as support
1.618 extension: 139,977 → potential next target if the uptrend continues
So far, price is respecting the structure.
🟡 Macro Fib (Yellow)
Drawn from a larger swing:
39.5K (0) → 73K (1)
That move already completed and topped out near the 1.618 extension at ~106.7K — which lined up closely with the current ATH. It’s not active anymore, but it gives important historical context.
🎯 What I’m Watching:
Holding above 75K keeps bulls in control
Breakout above 95K could send price back to test ATH at 106K
If momentum builds, 139K (blue 1.618) becomes the next technical target
Drop below 73K? Structure breaks, and we reassess the trend
📌 Final Take:
BTC is holding strong where it needs to. It’s not moon-mode yet, but the structure favors continuation. As long as the 75K area holds, I’m leaning bullish — targeting a breakout toward 106K and possibly 139K.
Let’s see if Bitcoin’s got another leg in it.
Thoughts? Long or waiting on a dip? 👇
How to Analyze a Technical Chart: Practical Guide (BTC EXAMPLE)Hello, traders! ✍🏻
Understanding a chart isn't about predicting the future — it’s about recognizing what’s already happening. Whether you're evaluating a Bitcoin breakout or watching a new altcoin pump, technical chart analysis is one of the most powerful tools traders use to make sense of price movements. But how exactly do you read a technical analysis chart? What matters most — and what’s just noise?
Let’s break it down.
1. Look at the Big Picture: Price Trends and Structure
Before zooming in, zoom out. Start with the daily or weekly chart to identify the primary trend. Is the asset making higher highs and higher lows (an uptrend)? Or is it stuck in a sideways channel?
In Price Analysis, Market Structure Is Your Anchor:
Uptrend: Higher Highs and Higher Lows
Downtrend: Lower Highs and Lower Lows
Consolidation: Sideways Moves with Clear Support/Resistance
This high-level view helps you avoid common traps, like going long in a downtrend or shorting near long-term support.
2. Use Support and Resistance Like a Map
Support and resistance levels form the backbone of chart technical analysis. They show you where price reacted in the past — and likely will again.
Support: A Price Level Where Buyers Previously Stepped In.
Resistance: A Level Where Sellers Pushed Price Down.
The more times a level is tested, the more important it becomes. These zones can act as entry/exit points or as signals for potential breakouts or reversals.
3. Add Indicators — But Don’t Overload!
Indicators are helpful — if used right. The key is to complement price action, not replace it. Start Simple:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Detect Overbought/Oversold Conditions
Volume: Confirms Strength Behind Price Moves
Moving Averages: Help Identify Trends and Dynamic Support/Resistance
Avoid piling on too many indicators. If your technical analysis chart looks like a control panel, you might be overcomplicating your decision-making.
4. Timeframes Matter — And So Does Context
Don’t mix signals across timeframes without context. A bullish setup on the 15-minute chart can collapse under a bearish daily trend.
Watch for Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Weekly: Macro Trend
Daily: Trading Bias
4H/1H: Entry and Exit Planning
This layered approach helps you stay aligned with momentum while avoiding short-term noise.
Full Breakdown: Technical Chart Analysis of BTC/USDT (1W)
The BTC/USDT weekly chart presents a textbook example of how price evolves through well-defined market phases, structural levels, and momentum shifts. Let’s walk through each component in detail — not just what is shown on the chart, but also why it matters and how it’s typically identified in technical analysis.
We begin by examining the market structure. From mid-2020 to late 2021, Bitcoin followed a strong uptrend, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows. This kind of price action is characteristic of bullish expansion phases, where momentum builds gradually and pullbacks are shallow. Technically, an uptrend is confirmed when each new peak surpasses the previous, and support continues to form above former lows. In this case, the trend accelerated rapidly into the $60K–$70K zone before exhaustion set in.
The shift occurred in late 2021, as the market transitioned into a macro correction. From a structural standpoint, the pattern reversed — lower highs began to form, and key support levels were breached. This downtrend, lasting through 2022, is a typical bear phase in a market cycle, where distribution outweighs accumulation. Price made several failed attempts to reclaim previous highs, confirming bearish control and increased selling pressure.
What followed was an extended period of sideways movement between late 2022 and early 2023 — a classical accumulation zone. This phase is often overlooked but is critical in technical chart analysis. Here, price consolidated in a narrow range, with volatility contracting and RSI hovering near oversold territory. This kind of stabilization often signals that selling pressure has subsided and that larger players may be building positions ahead of a breakout. It is identified not just by price flattening, but by volume dropping and the absence of directional follow-through in either direction.
By mid-2023, a recovery structure began to emerge. Bitcoin started printing higher lows and eventually broke above prior resistance zones, indicating the formation of a new trend. As of early 2025, this trend appears to be unfolding, though price is once again facing historical resistance near its all-time highs — the $69K–$74K zone. This region has acted as a ceiling in both the 2021 and 2024 cycles, making it a well-established historical resistance level. In technical terms, the more times a level rejects price, the more significant it becomes, as market participants tend to place orders around such zones in anticipation of repeated behavior.
One of the most important structural zones on the chart lies around the $50K–$53K range. This mid-zone has acted as support during the 2021 bull run, flipped into resistance during the 2022 downtrend, and has once again returned to functioning as a support area in the current recovery. This phenomenon — where old support becomes new resistance and vice versa — is a classic concept in technical chart analysis, signaling that market memory is active and that this level is psychologically and technically significant.
At the lower end, the $30K level has held repeatedly across multiple market phases, establishing itself as a long-term support zone. Its durability, despite heavy corrections, suggests significant accumulation and investor interest at that level. This zone has marked major bottoms and remains a key threshold that, if broken, could signal a structural shift in sentiment.
Momentum analysis further confirms these phases. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), plotted beneath the price chart, hovered in overbought territory during both the 2021 and 2024 peaks, exceeding 70 and signaling potential exhaustion. In contrast, the RSI dipped into the 30s in 2022, aligning with the end of the downtrend and beginning of accumulation. These signals are not to be taken in isolation, but when combined with structure and volume, they add powerful confirmation to trend shifts. At the time of writing, RSI sits around 48 — neutral ground, indicating the market has not yet committed to a new directional move.
This layered approach — combining trend structure, support and resistance zones, and momentum indicators like RSI — is fundamental to technical chart analysis. It enables traders to navigate through market noise and identify phases of expansion, correction, and re-accumulation with greater clarity. Each of these elements, when aligned, increases the probability of high-conviction setups and helps avoid emotionally driven decisions in volatile environments.
Final Thought
Mastering technical chart analysis isn’t about memorizing patterns — it’s about training your eyes to read structure, sentiment, and context. And like any skill, the more charts you read, the sharper you get.
This is only an isolated analysis of the macro trend — a high-level look at Bitcoin’s price structure using weekly timeframes. In reality, technical analysis can be performed across multiple timeframes, combining far more indicators, chart patterns, and volume-based tools depending on your strategy and goals.
Platforms like TradingView offer a wide range of features for deeper technical insight — from advanced oscillators to custom scripting and community-driven indicators. The chart above serves as a historical case study, not a trading signal. It provides a reference point for how sentiment shifts can be visualized over time through structure and momentum.
If you’d like to explore other educational breakdowns or real-time analysis, feel free to check out more content on our TradingView page. This post is not financial advice, but 100% a technical perspective on past price action and market behavior.
💬 What’s your go-to indicator or setup when doing token price analysis?
This analysis is performed on historical data, does not relate to current market conditions, is for educational purposes only, and is not a trading recommendation.
BTC IN WEEKLY, 122K IN THE END OF 2025 ?By looking the chart in the weekly timeframe, we can see we are ccompleting minor wave(5) from main wave(3) . BTC will touch 120k before 2026 and then price will dump to 85k again and afer that price will start to pumping and its will end in 2026 by touching 138k . This is my opinion what's your idea?
BTC & ETH Weekly Forecast – Will Week 16 Bring a Breakout?🔍 Weekly Outlook – Week 16, 2025
• BTC remains below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
• Volatility (BBWP) is at historical lows — potential breakout setup.
• ETH hovering above key EVWMA zones
• If BTC enters the cloud, 92K becomes a valid short-term target.
• ETH needs to reclaim 1600+ to sustain bullish momentum.
📌 This is a quick overview of my weekly analysis.
I explore the full setup across 1D, 4H, and 12H timeframes,
with Ichimoku, BBWP, and EVWMA discussed in detail elsewhere.
BTCUSDT: Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
$BTC: Last 2 months pump before the bear market starts.On the chart, you can clearly see the similarities between the last cycle and the current one.
First, this cycle is already longer, so I don’t expect another top in 2026, as some are suggesting.
Based on my analysis, we are currently in the equivalent stage of the last cycle where two strong monthly candles appeared before the market dropped into a bear phase.
Why is this happening?
We are resetting the weekly MACD — it's at the bottom and needs to push into overbought territory before it can turn down alongside the monthly MACD.
As shown in the chart, the monthly MACD is close to turning bearish. If the weekly MACD also flips bearish, that could mark the end of the bull market.
Additionally, volume is dropping, and the RSI supports this scenario. It looks like we’re setting up for one last pump, just like last time — likely followed by a rejection in 2 months.
📊 Check the chart — I’ve laid it out as clearly as possible.
💬 If you agree or disagree, let’s discuss in the comments!
🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MACD #RSI #CryptoCycle #BullMarket #BearMarket #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR #Altcoins #MarketUpdate #CryptoCommunity #Cryptocurrency