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BTCUST trade ideas

Bitcoin BTC Has Almost Finished Correction: Huge Gains Ahead!Hello, Skyrexians! We hope you made a right decision when received the warning sign by our Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator from our previous Bitcoin analysis . Now we see that this correction is happening right now and there is some space to go down more but not that much as you may be think. Let's take a look at the daily BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart. We can see that our indicator has printed the red dot at the top of the wave 3. After that this dump has been started. This is wave 4 and it has the clear target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels. Therefore we can conclude that max target which price can reach before the reversal is 84k, but it's more likely the reversal will happen earlier, at $89k. When correction will be finished we can expect the wave 5 with the optimistic targets between $120k and $140k. Here is nothing change from the last analysis. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
by Skyrexio
BTC - Will Bitcoin Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has enjoyed a bullish 2024, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of 108K. However, the recent price action indicates a shift in momentum, with the market entering a phase of consolidation and correction. For the past 40 days, BTC has ranged between 90K and 108K, with the critical psychological level of 100K now acting as resistance. The structure of an ABC corrective pattern following a 5-wave downward impulse suggests the market is transitioning into a short-term bearish phase. Key Levels and Patterns: 1.) Head and Shoulders Pattern: A bearish Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with 90K serving as the neckline. Once 90K is broken with significant volume, it will confirm the pattern, potentially accelerating the move downward. The target for this pattern aligns closely with the previously identified support zone at 84K–80K. 2.) Resistance at 100K: The psychological barrier of 100K has flipped to resistance, making it a critical level for bulls to reclaim. A sustained break above 100K with strong volume would indicate a possible trend reversal. 3.) Support Zone (84K to 80K): Multiple confluences align between 84K and 80K: Fibonacci Retracement (0.618): The 0.618 retracement level from the recent impulse low to the ATH is at $82,694.88. Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: The 1:1 extension of the ABC correction points to 84K. Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the significant low at 52.5K, the anchored VWAP aligns near 81K. Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan from 52.5K to the ATH intersects around 80K, reinforcing this support zone. 4.) Liquidity Below 90K: The current range-bound movement has likely trapped many long positions above 100K, creating significant liquidity below 90K. A breakdown below 90K could trigger a liquidity sweep, driving prices rapidly toward the support zone at 84K–80K. Current Market Dynamics: Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume within the range highlights weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation of support at lower levels will require a substantial increase in buying volume. Bearish Momentum: The head and shoulders pattern, coupled with the ABC correction, signals bearish momentum that may persist into early to mid-January 2025. Neckline Support at 90K: A break below 90K would confirm the head and shoulders pattern, acting as a catalyst for further downside. Next Steps and Outlook: Short-Term Bearish Bias: Bitcoin is expected to continue its downward correction, with the head and shoulders neckline at 90K serving as a key pivot point. A confirmed break would likely drive BTC to the 84K–80K support zone. Long Opportunity at Support: Should BTC reach the identified support zone, it presents a high-probability long setup. Entry should be contingent on confirmation through: Increased buying volume. Bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, engulfing). Alignment with key moving averages and other technical indicators. Mid-Term Recovery Potential: After the correction, Bitcoin may resume its bullish trajectory. Key factors to monitor include: Reclaiming 100K as support. Overall market sentiment and macroeconomic conditions.
Short
by SiDec
$BTC to 30K, 60K or 120K?Let’s not make it complicated. Bitcoin is still bullish overall, BUT it has to reclaim the 100K support for bullish confirmation, In that case 130K would be the target. Or, it fails to break the 100K resistance in another try and there will be the correction phase and the price can go down to 60-65K and if 60K is lost, even to 30K. A correction is going to happen both ways. you have to patient it can take months to happen. the price will surely fall at least to the 60K support for long term bull runs and new HHs.
by MISANTHROPE3
1
BTC.USDT - 4HAs you can see, Bitcoin has broken down the bottom of its ascending channel at 98,000 for a long time. If it cannot confirm above 100.00 with a strong candle, we will see a fall back to the 91,000 range and the next support, which is the CME GAP in the 81,300 to 77,500 area, we can have a price correction. (Let's not forget that we are on the last holiday of the year and the market volume seems to be lower. January has been a good month for the digital currency market as in the past, and of course with the arrival of Trump)
by TjSinA
Understanding Moving Averages (MA): A Beginner’s GuideMoving Averages (MA) are among the most fundamental and widely used tools in technical analysis. They smooth out price data to create a trend-following indicator, helping traders identify the direction of an asset’s trend over a specific period. What is a Moving Average? A Moving Average calculates the average price of an asset over a set number of periods. By doing so, it reduces the impact of random price fluctuations, providing a clearer picture of the trend. There are two main types of moving averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA): The SMA is the arithmetic mean of prices over a specified number of periods. Formula: Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes. Formula: Smoothing factor: How to Use Moving Averages Trend Identification: Rising MA: Indicates an uptrend. Falling MA: Indicates a downtrend. Flat MA: Suggests a sideways or range-bound market. Crossover Signals: Golden Cross: When a short-term MA (e.g., 50-day) crosses above a long-term MA (e.g., 200-day), signaling a potential uptrend. Death Cross: When a short-term MA crosses below a long-term MA, signaling a potential downtrend. Dynamic Support and Resistance: Moving averages often act as support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends. Prices tend to bounce off the MA during retracements. Combination with Other Indicators: Moving averages can be paired with RSI, MACD, or Bollinger Bands for better signal confirmation. Strengths of Moving Averages Simplicity: Easy to calculate and understand. Trend Focused: Effective in identifying and confirming trends. Versatility: Applicable to various timeframes and markets. Limitations of Moving Averages Lagging Nature: Moving averages are based on past prices, which can delay signals. Less Effective in Sideways Markets: May produce false signals in range-bound conditions. Best Practices for Using Moving Averages Choose the Right Period: Shorter periods (e.g., 10, 20) make the MA more sensitive to price changes, suitable for short-term trading. Longer periods (e.g., 50, 200) provide a smoother line, ideal for long-term trend analysis. Combine with Multiple MAs: Use a combination of short-term, medium-term, and long-term MAs to understand different trends. Context Matters: Understand market conditions. Moving averages work best in trending markets and are less reliable in choppy conditions. Example of Moving Averages in Action Imagine a stock is in a clear uptrend, with the price consistently trading above its 50-day SMA. When the price retraces and touches the 50-day SMA but bounces upward, this can act as a signal to enter a long position. If the price breaks below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, it may indicate a trend reversal. Conclusion Moving Averages are a foundational tool in technical analysis that helps traders identify trends, dynamic support and resistance levels, and potential entry or exit points. While they are simple to use, their effectiveness improves when combined with other indicators and a solid understanding of market dynamics. As always, backtest your strategies and adapt your moving average settings to your specific trading style and market conditions.
Education
by Cryptonic_Trading
Bitcoin - Time to buy again!As I mentioned, Bitcoin does not have enough volume to break the 0.618 line by the end of the holidays. Therefore, we have to wait and see if Bitcoin can stabilize above 100k in the new year. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
The continuation of the upward bull run of Bitcoin💠 The nature of the market has always been such that every uptrend at the beginning of an upward trend requires a short correction, and this is not far-fetched for Bitcoin. ⭕️ Everything is self-explanatory on the chart and no further explanation is needed. Dear friends, the numbers given in the chart are drawn according to analytical and trading experience. So far, all my analyses have had a very low error rate, and I hope that this analysis will again achieve its goals without mistakes. ▫️The buying suggestions are the blue and purple lines, which I recommend buying as DCA. If you have two targets, you can see that there is no reason why the second target must be seen. It is possible that a sharp decline will begin near or in the middle of these two targets. Therefore, be sure to take your profits from the first target. Support us by liking the analysis ❤️
by DarkAnalyzer
1
Expect a move toward 87,900A clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows Price recently rejected from the 0.618 Fibonacci level around 98,390 Currently trading around 94,592, with weak bounces showing sellers remain in control The next major Fibonacci level at 1.272 coincides with your target around 87,847 The lack of strong buying pressure and clean breakdown below previous support levels suggests continued downside momentum. The 87,900 area also aligns with a significant support zone marked by the horizontal line at 87,628. However, be cautious of: Potential support at the 92,234 level before reaching your target The ATR of 2,262 suggests high volatility, which could mean sharp counter-trend moves
Short
by mochena
Ascending Broadening WedgeHi there, This is my idea on $BTCUSDT. It appears it is forming an ascending broadening wedge on larger timeframes, in this case 1-D timeframe. That is what my analysis is based upon anyway. In my opinion I believe that BTC will continue to trade within this range until we hit 21st January; Donald Trump's Inauguration which then I believe a massive rally may occur due to Trumps new pro-crypto approach. I have put Impulse 2 and the arrow where I believe a breakout of this wedge may occur, targeting $125,000-$130,000 As for indicators and technical, all timeframes are looking healthy. 1-D RSI looks like it's getting ready for a move we need it to cross to form a golden cross which would signal a bullish approach. As for Stochastic RSI it seems that it has already crossed. Could be awfully wrong with this analysis, however, it's an idea. Contributions matter. Not financial advice. Thank you for taking the time to look at my idea :)
Long
by mithianmee