BTC DOWNWE ARE GOING DOWN IN BTC AFTER HOLDING THESE LEVELS
We will go down into a bear market hold on tight and have your buys ready
BTCUST trade ideas
Bitcoin . What to expect next ????I have seen in the past when the buy side impulsive move start becoming shorter. You can expect a retracment back to key levels. Its very likely that bitcoin will go down to 70K. And its not surprising it will go to 60k. Let see. This is want i think will happen.
BTCUSD BEARISH TO 74K BTCUSD have been on bearish move after price took outs the sell side liquidity and made a possible rejections am looking forward to see price make a strong bearish drop down to the previous higher highs at 74k and any break down from there is the POC point of control at 65k then any rejections from there is a bullish moves up to 82k level.....
75% Wick candle. Buy in an uptrend.75% Wick candle. Buy in an uptrend.
SL 1.1 Deviation of candle hi to lo
Entry on open of the last candle (set limit order, for retest)
TP up for debate
Bitcoin (BTC): Sellers Taking Dominance / We DroppingStruggle near 200EMA turned into rejection where sellers took over the zone on Bitcoin. We got what we've been looking for and now we expect to see further movement to lower zones, which will probably continue until Monday.
We will monitor the market today and if sellers keep this kind of dominance, then it will be confirmed!
Swallow Team
Wearing from the resistance now I expect, my friends, a rise to Wearing from the resistance now I expect, my friends, a rise to the resistance. I expect that if the resistance is broken, the rise will be in the pattern.
BTC:Anticipate an upward movementBTC broke below 83,000 and continued to decline, reaching around the lowest level of 82,000. Currently, it generally shows a downward trend.
In my opinion, the entire bearish trend is merely a well-structured catalyst. Its function is to attract breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downward trend, and trap liquidity at the low points before the true direction becomes apparent. Retail traders who short this structure are providing momentum for the next upward rally.
Before that, BTC can still be regarded as bullish, and each pullback to the demand zone can be considered as an opportunity to go long.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@82000-82500
TP:83000-85000
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2 possible scenarios, one more likely than the otherBTC rice action has been consolidating in a tight channel it what looks like a bearish flag upwards.
It has been known to breakout bullishly from patterns similar to this, however given weak economic factors and poor investor sentiment, I believe there is a much better chance for the bearish outcome here.
BTCUSDT SELL/ SHORTBy utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
BTC Volatility Play: Compression, Fib Confluence & 48% IV OptionBTCUSD | Volatility Compression Meets Macro Catalyst: Options & Technical Thesis
Chart: BTC/USD 1M (BITSTAMP)
Bitcoin is currently consolidating below all-time highs after touching the $95K level. The monthly candle structure shows the first significant pause in momentum, with price now holding around the $82,000–$84,000 range. This area represents a confluence of prior resistance-turned-support, Fib retracement zones, and the VWAP session level (~$84,910).
Technically, the long-term ascending broadening wedge remains intact. MACD is extended but positive, while RSI has cooled to approximately 62. The structure supports the thesis of short-term rebalancing before a potential continuation or breakdown. Volatility compression is evident.
Options Market Context | BTC1! (May 30, 2025 Expiry)
Implied Volatility (IV): 48.1% across strikes
Underlying Spot Price: $82,978
ATM Strike: $84,500
Theta: ~ -52 per leg (high decay environment)
Delta Cluster: Calls around 0.53–0.59, Puts around -0.41 to -0.47
Despite BTC's recent move and upcoming halving-related volatility potential, the options market is pricing in moderate movement, not extreme. This opens the door for straddles, strangles, and gamma-based strategies if volatility expands or price breaks out of range.
Breakeven Analysis: BTC Straddles (May 30, 2025)
The table below illustrates the breakeven zones and required directional moves for various straddle positions, based on total premium (call + put).
Strike Total Premium ($) Upper Breakeven ($) Lower Breakeven ($) % Move Up % Move Down
82,500 13,468 95,968 69,032 15.65% 16.81%
83,000 13,454 96,454 69,546 16.24% 16.19%
84,000 13,488 97,488 70,512 17.45% 15.04%
84,500 13,546 98,046 70,954 18.16% 14.48%
85,000 13,607 98,607 71,393 18.87% 13.97%
Interpretation:
The FWB:83K –$84.5K strikes offer the most balanced convexity. The average breakeven range requires BTC to move approximately 15%–18% in either direction by expiration to achieve profitability.
Strategy Considerations
1. Long Straddle at ATM ($84,500):
Total cost: ~$13,546
Profit potential if BTC > GETTEX:98K or < $70.9K
Ideal for traders anticipating a significant move in either direction
Vega + gamma rich; best for breakout environments
2. Directional Option Play:
Long Call at $85,000 (~$6,538) for a lower-cost breakout bet
Long Put at $82,500 (~$5,713) to lean bearish
Scaled exposure possible for either side, depending on directional bias
3. Advanced Structures (Neutral Thesis):
Short Straddle or Iron Butterfly at $84,500 to harvest premium
High decay potential, but vulnerable to directional expansion
Only suitable if anticipating range-bound behavior near-term
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is entering a historically volatile phase post-halving with price compressing below all-time highs and implied volatility sitting at moderate levels. This convergence of technical consolidation and underpriced volatility creates a strong environment for defined-risk, high-reward trades.
Whether you favor directional breakouts or volatility-based strategies, the current setup offers clear levels, manageable risk, and strong reward-to-risk symmetry.
Chart source: BTCUSD Monthly (BITSTAMP)
Options source: CME BTC Options (May 30, 2025)
BTC Roadmap: Pump to 85.5K Before Sharp Correction to 73K?I'm expecting a short-term bullish move on Bitcoin towards the $85,500 zone, followed by a pullback to around $83,100. After that, a bounce to $84,000 is likely before a potential major correction down to the $73,000 area.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $85,500
Support: $83,100 and $84,000
Major Downside Target: $73,000
This is not financial advice — just sharing my technical outlook. Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
# Bearish
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea about the White wave W, I can see a sign If created we would create another extension to it reaching to another down target between 80k~81k, I prefer 80.7k level as you can see in the image
I will update you soon about this sign
>> Also I am sorry I have returned to my old wave counting with yellow and pirple
keep like and support me to continue, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
# Bearish
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea.we reached successfully to our target as we prefered and mentioned to 82K.
>> we have broken 83.6k level and went down directly also as I mentioned.
>> I think we finished the first White wave W as a part in a huge Green B as wxy to down for testing 78k zone again.
I will update you soon
# Bullish
>> Breaking 85700 and close above it will be a sign on something different
keep like and support me, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
Bitcoin is getting ready.This is my analysis on Bitcoin. Bitcoin was making lower low ,two lower low is made one more to go once bitcoin makes another lowerlow then we if bitcoin breaks higher high, then we will see Bitcoin moving up.
This is for today have a happy trading life.
BITCOIN - Key Levels To Watch If You Expect A Bounce...Due to the lack of sustained downward momentum overnight and the overall weak move, I have relabeled the decline from $88,839 as a sharp correction, potentially marking the end of Wave 2 in a Wave E corrective bounce.
Wave 1 appears to be a Type-2 Weak 5-Wave move that began at $79,962.
To confirm this bounce, we need a break above $84,630, with a protective stop set at the last low, currently $81,635, aligning with the 0.786 retracement level.
BTC usdtbtc is inversly to usdt.D so now btc in downtrend and also and parllel channel is forming and resting at the golden pocket of the channel so this is my idea about btc.usdt
BTC - New Local TA1- There is falling channel (grey lines) which its upper trend line is a bigger trend line since weeks (orange). CVD and OI is decreasing too for grey channel.
2- Bigger orange TL : CVD and OI was increasing until last days, where Spot CVD is decreasing and broke down through a level. Spot CVD is decreasing heavily!
3- A Fake out to upper red level or void would be very possible! The fake out would be natural and market manipulation at the same time, but if some "scripted" news appear, then the break out upward will be less a fake out but a longer (in terms of time) mini bullish movement or sideward.
4- A break out downward from grey lines would be more natural regarding Volume.
Here a bigger TF look:https://www.tradingview.com/x/zcY9CMYd/
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BTC - will new value hold?We are still chopping inside the imbalance between 74k and 93k. Some scenarios we are looking at:
- This new value inside the bigger imbalance is giving some good rotations. Look for lows holding here or buyers absorbing (look for red delta, price flat or grinding higher)
- Third drive into 74k previous range high. Price shouldn't linger down there, we want to see buyers stepping in quickly.
- If price keeps revisiting 74k, we look for rotation to 69k. This level is important because it was the start of the election pump on November 6th. Since most other charts in tradfi and crypto already revisited these, it wouldn't surprise me to see BTC catch up.
Notice that the last two scenarios both sell off into the same price levels, but it is the reaction or lack of reaction that matters. The same logic can be applied tot that 69k level of course, which leaves us with 3 pivot levels to the downside that we have to watch.
I would also advice to look at same basic H4 and D1 EMAs, they can give relatively good signals to see if we are more likely to keep trending continue or start more sideways chop.
Technical and Statistical Time-Series Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC)Technical and Statistical Time-Series Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) 📈
Bitcoin is currently trading around $82,000, having breached the critical support level at $80,548. This breakdown, combined with a potential daily close below this level, indicates a likelihood of accelerated downward momentum towards the corrective cycle's end target of $71,823. This target is anticipated to be reached within a short timeframe, between April 9th and 11th.
Price Movement Predictions : 🔮
March 30th - 31st:
A price rebound from $80,548 to $85,098 is expected, serving as a retest. Any rejection from the $85,098 range will signal a continuation of the corrective downtrend. 📉
March 31st - April 10th:
Continuation of the downward cycle is anticipated, targeting the following levels:
First Target: $76,123 🎯
Second Target: $71,823 🎯
April 11th or 12th:
A potential trend reversal towards a strong uptrend is foreseen. 🚀
Invalidation of the Scenario : ⚠️
This scenario will be invalidated if the price breaks above and closes above $90,000. This breakout and close, especially if sustained for three consecutive days, would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the uptrend towards a new peak. 🔝
Notes : 📝
These predictions are based on technical analysis and do not constitute investment advice. 🚫
The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and trading involves significant risk. Proceed with caution. 🚨
It is very important to pay close attention to the economic market news, that can change any technical analysis. 📰
#BITCOIN is making a right shoulder as we speak! Normally after a bullish divergence a higher low forms. It would form the bottom of this correction!
63000 Level is cooming soon #BitcoinHello trader's
Watchout this chart carefully if you seen
And learn hard , be patient in this market for long lasting..
if you want to learn trading tips then follow and message ,,
Bitcoin is on a coffee break before the hustle. BTC is doing nothing but at a level that means a lot. Risk is the fallback. Risk is the factor that should be considered.
How much risk should you take? Does the chart give you conviction? If you are uncertain, reduce the risk and just DCA.
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