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BTCUST trade ideas

#BTC bearish cup-handle structure, beware of a pullback!📊#BTC bearish cup-handle structure, beware of a pullback! 🧠From a structural perspective, we broke below the neckline, which means a bearish structure is established, so we need to be wary of further declines. ➡️Yesterday's decline was rapid, so we can wait for a rebound to appear and look for shorting opportunities near the blue resistance area or the downward trend line. ➡️Since it is the weekend, the trading volume may be less. If there is no rebound, then we need to wait patiently for a period of sideways consolidation before looking for shorting opportunities. ⚠️Note that the area around 106500 is a support-resistance conversion zone. If it breaks through here and stabilizes, we can remain optimistic. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
Bitcoin Holds Strong as Market Consolidates — No Bearish DivergeUpon analyzing CRYPTOCAP:BTC price structure across multiple timeframes, I don't see any bearish divergence at the moment. Instead, the chart continues to print a series of bullish formations, including inverse head and shoulders patterns, signaling continuation of the macro uptrend. The current movement between $100,000 and $109,000 appears to be a classic case of a choppy or ranging market — in simpler terms, a bullish consolidation phase just below resistance. This kind of sideways price action, especially after a significant rally, often serves as a base for the next breakout leg. Despite geopolitical tensions like the Iran-Israel conflict, Bitcoin remains remarkably resilient. If such macro-level risk had any real impact, BTC would likely have already broken below the $100K mark. Instead, the price is holding firm, which is another sign of strong bullish sentiment in the market. The chart structure remains highly constructive — multiple bullish reversal and continuation patterns are playing out, and as long as BTC holds above the $98K–$100K support zone, the broader trend remains intact. This ongoing consolidation below all-time highs is a healthy sign of strength —
Long
by Beyoglu_Analyst
BITCOIN → Possibility of retesting 100K. Buyer weakeningBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is in consolidation after the rally stalled due to the exhaustion of the bullish driver. The price updates local lows and starts looking at 100K Bitcoin is under pressure after the escalation of conflict in the middle east and after the FOMC speech. There is also another observation: large companies, politicians, funds and investors have long and aggressively motivate the crowd to buy, verbally confirming that they bought dozens and hundreds of bitcoins at a time for the balance, but bitcoin is standing still and updating lows. At the same time, various services such as "cryptorank" fix bullish sentiment at the lows. The market either lacks liquidity or something more unpredictable is happening (chart drawing????) Technically, bitcoin is following the behavior of the SP500 quite strongly, which closes Friday's session quite weak and close to key support, which could trigger a continuation of the decline. Bitcoin won't stay on the sidelines and could also follow the index.... Resistance levels: 104K, 105K, 106K Support levels: 102K, 100.6K, 97.5K The price is coming out of the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation breaking the support, thus confirming the bearish mood. After a small correction after a false breakdown of 102500 the price may again return to storm (retest) the level under market pressure, which will only strengthen expectations of further decline. The target is liquidity 100600 - 100K. From 100K rebound and growth is possible. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
BTC Squeezed to the Edge – Will $102K Support Hold or Crack?Bitcoin is pressing into the apex of a descending triangle, anchored at $102K. Volume is drying up, EMAs are compressing, and liquidity pools sit just below. This structure rarely resolves quietly — a volatile breakout is imminent. 🔻 Bearish Case (Primary Bias): Breakdown below $102K = short trigger Targets: $98K → $94K Stop: Above $106K Confluence: Bearish pattern + volume dry-up + liquidity below 🟢 Bullish Reversal (Alternate): Breakout above $107.5K = short squeeze likely Flip bias only if trendline is reclaimed on volume 🎯 Final Take: BTC is at a decision point. Don’t trade the bias — trade the breakout. Volatility is coming. Be ready. 📣 What’s your setup? Breakdown or fakeout rally? Share below!
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTCUSD 1D | big consolidation 🧠 1. Pattern and Market Structure Identification ✅ Trend and Pattern: Bullish Flag • Structure: Price forms a descending consolidation pattern (descending channel) after a sharp upward impulse — this is a classic characteristic of a bullish flag. • Breakout volume occurred from the consolidation zone near the green support area → an early signal that bulls are active. • However, the price is currently retesting the breakout area and is testing the demand zone again. 📊 2. Volume Analysis • Volume spikes (purple arrows) occurred at several key points: • Initial breakout • Support retest • High volume during the breakout = valid breakout confirmation. • Currently, volume is slightly declining = a signal of consolidation and possible accumulation. 📉 3. Support & Resistance Levels • Strong Support: 96,961 USDT (marked by the blue line and breakout volume). • Major Resistance: 111,980 USDT (all-time high and projected target from the flag breakout). • Current Price: 103,272 USDT → sitting between these two key levels. 🎯 4. Potential Price Direction Bullish Scenario: • If the 96,961 USDT support holds, price could continue upward → the bullish flag target = projected height of the flagpole. • Conservative Target: 111,980 USDT (ATH) • Aggressive Target (if ATH breakout occurs): 115,000+ USDT Bearish Scenario: • If price breaks below 96,961 USDT with strong volume, it could invalidate the bullish pattern and drop further to the 92,000 – 90,000 USDT range.
Long
by RCT8
HolderStat┆BTCUSD ready for the next leg upBINANCE:BTCUSDT on the 3h chart is showing a textbook sequence of consolidation phases, each acting as a launchpad for further gains. The price action is respecting both the ascending and horizontal support lines, with each dip being bought up quickly. The current consolidation is forming a tight triangle, indicating that volatility is about to return. The structure favors a bullish breakout, with the next resistance levels at 107,000 and 110,000. As long as BTC holds above the 104,000 support, the uptrend remains strong and the probability of a new rally is high.
Long
by HolderStat
1
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-18 09:45 UTC📘 BTC/USDT Scalping Setup – Whale-Assisted Dip Buy This strategy is designed for high-precision, short-term long trades on BTC/USDT using the 15-minute chart. It targets oversold conditions with signs of reversal, confirmed by whale activity, volume spikes, and key support levels. The edge comes from combining retail technicals (RSI, Stoch, MACD, candlestick patterns) with institutional confirmation (order flow, OBV, and large bids from whales). ✅ Key Strategy Components: Oversold Technicals: RSI and Stochastic suggest price exhaustion. Support Zone Alignment: Price is dipping near major support (pivot S1 or local low). Reversal Candlestick: Clean bullish signals like Hammer or Engulfing show shift in sentiment. Smart Money Confirmation: Whale buyers (>5 BTC bids) Bid dominance (>3%) OBV rising = silent accumulation Timing is Critical: Trades are only taken in the first 2 minutes of the 5-min candle with a volume burst. 🎯 Trade Management Entry: On close of confirming candle (when all criteria align) Take Profit: +1.2% (or ~1200 pts) Stop Loss: -0.6% (or ~600 pts) Risk/Reward: 1:2 📈 Why This Works This is not just a basic RSI/Stochastic play — it’s a multi-confirmation strategy tuned for whale detection, volume acceleration, and institutional footprints. It’s ideal for high-volatility sessions and works best in range or retracement phases of a broader uptrend. ⚠️ Pro Tips Avoid entries during extreme news volatility Be disciplined – all filters must align (this is a precision setup)
Long
by CryptoSignalsChannel
BTC MACRO PLAY - SHORT TRADE SETUP📉 BTC/USDT SHORT TRADE SETUP – WEEKLY TIMEFRAME 🔍 Trade Idea Overview: We are seeing a bearish divergence between price and volume on the weekly chart — while price makes higher highs, volume is decreasing, signaling a potential reversal or weakening trend. Further confluence is seen with the VMC Cipher indicator. If a red dot prints, it will confirm the short entry. If not, the trade idea should be abandoned. 📊 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: Around $106,300–$107,000 (wait for confirmation) TP 1 🎯: $102,000 TP 2 🎯: $97,500 TP 3 🎯: $93,000 🛑 Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Above recent highs at $111,800 (or adjusted based on your entry) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Once TP 1 is reached, move stop-loss to breakeven to protect capital and eliminate risk. TP 3 may never be reached, but it remains part of the plan to capture extended downside if momentum continues. If no red dot prints, there is no confirmation — be ready to abandon the trade.
Short
by petermichalides
The Nature of Zones — Reversals, Continuations, and the FlowWe’ve all heard trading terms like Major Trend and Major Counter-Trend levels. These are zones where price either breaks through and continues (Trend Levels) or sharply reverses (Counter-Trend Levels). In the crypto world, these levels are often separated by enormous gaps, due to the nature of the space — as I’ve mentioned in a previous idea: Crypto Charts Whisper—Are You Listening? Let’s get one thing clear from the start. These levels are not just thin lines that traders casually draw across a chart. They are zones. So, as a skilled trader, anytime someone mentions support or resistance, keep in mind: interact with these as zones, not levels. Why? The answer lies in the nature of the candlestick itself. Most support and resistance areas — 99% of the time — are defined by candlesticks such as inverted hammers, shooting stars, etc. For instance, in an uptrend near its peak, you’ll often spot an inverted hammer with a rejection wick that’s at least 25–50% of the candle’s body. The longer the wick, the stronger the rejection. In that sense, the high and the close of that candle form the zone. And what better tool to use for this than the rectangle? Now, to slowly return to our main point — many of you might’ve noticed that zones often change their nature, especially resistance zones. If you’re experienced, you already know: price tends to go higher by nature. So when a counter-trend zone gets broken and price pushes above it, it shifts — it becomes a trend zone. Later, if price retests it from above, it often turns into support, and with another reversal, it can shift again — becoming a counter-trend zone once more. But my point goes deeper than what you’ll hear in lessons or YouTube videos. Like I said in another post — A Follow-up to “Adjustments for Better Readings & VSA vs BTC” — if it’s already out there, it’s probably old news. A skilled trader keeps an open mind — merging everything into one system. And it's part of this oneness mindset that elite traders follow, which I want to share now. So I ask you: What if the idea of trend and counter-trend zones didn’t just apply to major levels? What if this concept applied everywhere on the chart? For me, this isn’t just a question anymore — it’s a fact. A fact that made me a better trader. I won’t lie — before I got good at this, I failed over and over. But I never quit. That’s not the point though. The point is to expand your vision and train yourself to react just like the elite do. Take double or triple tops/bottoms — standard or rounded. These formations also act exactly like trend and counter-trend zones. And they stay relevant well into the future. Every level is tested at least twice, from both directions. Maybe not immediately, but eventually — across multiple time frames. And just like that, a level becomes a major zone for future use — especially if you trade across multiple time frames. So be careful: if you’re only looking at the 1-hour chart, you might miss something important that’s playing out on the 3-minute. And that can trigger psychological discomfort... leading to FOMO — and all the mistakes that come with it. Also remember — double and triple tops/bottoms are zones, not exact lines. Many traders lose trades by a single tick, just because they forget that rule. Let’s go a bit deeper now. Think about all the small highs and lows that appear between those tops and bottoms on a 3-minute chart. How can they help you trade better? The answer goes back to my previous idea: Location, Location, Location — Consistency and Alignment. I get it — staying observant 24/7 is hard. That’s why institutions and big players work in teams, in shifts. They’re never alone. You shouldn’t be either. There’s a lot more that could be said about these levels and zones — how they reveal future trend behavior, a flow! even without indicators or VSA. It has to do with how specific highs and lows behave at certain points in time... but let’s leave that for now. For the outro, remember this: The real edge isn’t in indicators. It’s in your ability to catch the flow of price, And to read strength or weakness through the simple structures within the zones Big Players create — whether visible or hidden. A chart isn’t a single truth. It’s a battlefield of conflicting zones and mixed signals. If this mindset resonates with you and you want to go deeper — whether it’s building confidence or spotting hidden signals early — I work with a small circle of traders, sharing TA privately every day. Feel free to reach out. Until next time, be well and trade wisely.
by WhatComes21
Possible outcome for $BTCBitcoin Price Analysis: Signs Pointing to a Potential Downtrend The chart above illustrates a detailed analysis of BTCUSDT (Bitcoin paired with USDT) using Elliott Wave theory and key support/resistance levels. After what appears to be a completed 5-wave bullish cycle, the technical outlook suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for a significant downside correction. Completion of the Elliott Wave Structure The chart marks the completion of five distinct waves: Wave (1) initiated the bullish trend. Wave (2) represented the first significant pullback. Wave (3) delivered a strong upward surge, surpassing previous highs. Wave (4) brought another retracement, finding support near a previous resistance zone. Wave (5) capped off the structure, reaching above the $100,000 mark before exhibiting signs of exhaustion. According to Elliott Wave theory, a 5-wave impulse is typically followed by a corrective ABC pattern. The chart suggests that this correction is now underway. But I think it is trying to create a double top pattern. Key Levels to Watch Highlighted on the chart are several crucial horizontal zones: Near-term resistance: Around $109,600 – $112,000. Bitcoin struggled to maintain momentum above this area and has since started declining. First major support zone: Around $75,000 – $80,000. This was a former resistance zone during Wave (3) and may now act as support during the early stages of the correction. Critical support levels: Marked at $54,019, $50,000, and $46,877.5. A break below these levels would indicate a deeper corrective move, potentially aligning with the projected path shown on the chart. Trendline Break and Bearish Outlook The yellow upward trendline that supported the entire rally is at risk of being decisively broken. The chart projection shows Bitcoin slicing through this trendline, signaling a shift from a bullish to bearish market structure. If this occurs, it could lead to accelerated selling pressure as confidence in the uptrend erodes. Projected Price Path The white arrows in the image depict a scenario where Bitcoin could fall to around $54,000 and possibly as low as the $46,000 region if key supports give way. This represents a significant correction, but one that aligns with historical post-impulse patterns seen in previous Bitcoin cycles. Conclusion While Bitcoin has enjoyed an impressive rally culminating above the $100,000 level, technical indicators on this chart point to the increasing likelihood of a sustained downward correction. Traders and investors should monitor the key support levels closely and be prepared for heightened volatility as the market seeks a new equilibrium following this extended bull run.
Short
by GhOsT_tRvDeR