Bitcoin vs. Saylor: The Power and Danger of fanatical promotionToday I want to talk about Michael Saylor and his influence on many crypto minds and, to some extent, the movement of Bitcoin’s price.
It’s very important to understand who we’re listening to, who we’re following, and whether this person has hidden motives we don’t see due to lack of information or unwillingness to get it — due to our stubborn desire to see only what confirms our own fantasies and thoughts and serves our expectations.
Let’s turn on our reason and objectivity and face the facts.
Michael Saylor is a well-known figure in the crypto world. He promotes the idea of eternal Bitcoin growth and actively buys it to support his words. When the price drops, he even suggests his readers sell their organs, which, to me, is too much.
Let’s move to the facts — everything is Googleable, and promptable.
Facts:
📈 Hype of 2000
In 2000, he rode the dot-com hype with his company MicroStrategy. MicroStrategy was promoted as a pioneer in business analytics and data management software, and he saw himself solely as a visionary of the new economy.
The boom was sky-high — just read about the dot-com era. Stocks of new tech companies were soaring, and it was enough to say “software” and “I see the future.”
In 1998, MicroStrategy successfully held an IPO. In 2000, at the peak of the dot-com boom, the company’s stock reached an incredible $333 per share in March.
He skillfully used the hype, and here was his 2000 narrative:
Digital transformation: Saylor claimed the world was entering a new era where data would become the main asset of companies, and MicroStrategy — the key tool for processing and analyzing it.
Unlimited growth: In the dot-com era, Saylor pushed the idea that tech companies like MicroStrategy would grow exponentially, ignoring traditional financial constraints.
The future is now: Saylor created the feeling that MicroStrategy wasn’t just following trends but shaping them, offering solutions that would define the future of business.
At the same time, he was building a cult around himself, cultivating the image of a genius entrepreneur.
⚠️ Financial reporting scandal
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) launched an investigation into MicroStrategy. The company overstated revenues, which led to a stock crash (from $333 to $86 in one day) and a loss of investor trust. The stock kept falling and dropped to $0.4 (–100%!).
The SEC filed charges against Michael Saylor personally (CEO), as well as CFO Mark Lynch and the chief accountant. They were accused of intentionally misrepresenting financials to keep stock prices high.
SEC investigation results:
In December 2000, the SEC concluded the investigation, and MicroStrategy agreed to settle without admitting guilt:
* The company paid a $10M fine.
* Saylor, Lynch, and other executives paid personal fines.
* Saylor agreed to pay $8.28M in “disgorgement” (unjust enrichment) and a $350K fine — a total of about $8.63M.
* MicroStrategy committed to revising its reporting and implementing stricter internal controls.
In addition to the SEC settlement ($11M from leadership, including $8.63M from Saylor), MicroStrategy faced shareholder class-action lawsuits, which were settled for $10M.
No executives were criminally charged, but the company’s and Saylor’s reputations suffered greatly.
In other words, Michael didn’t have any moral hesitation about faking company profits during losses. But investors and journalists started asking questions — and the SEC came knocking.
Let’s call it what it is: Saylor committed fraud, using hype, promising endless growth, and creating a cult around himself as a “financial genius and visionary.”
Michael went quiet, and the media tone shifted quickly — from super-visionary to one of the biggest losers and scammers.
To give him credit, he managed to keep the company alive and kept a low profile until 2020, like a mouse. 20 years — a generation change and a new hype cycle.
And what does a tech visionary do? Of course — jump into the new wave. A chance to restore his image — probably more important to him than money.
🟠 Bitcoin Era, 2020
Before 2020, Saylor was a Bitcoin skeptic. In 2013, he even tweeted that “Bitcoin’s days are numbered” and compared it to gambling.
But in 2020, he changed his position after deeply studying crypto. His mission: to protect capital and restore his image as a prophet — and he decided to buy Bitcoin.
But his own money seemed insufficient, so he turned to borrowing.
Here’s how the scheme works:
1.MicroStrategy issues stocks and bonds
📈 They sell new MSTR shares → get cash.
💵 They issue bonds (debt papers) → investors give them money at interest.
2. They use that money to buy Bitcoin
🟧 All the raised funds go into BTC purchases.
They don’t sell. Just hold. Never lock in profit.
3. If BTC rises → MSTR stock price rises
MSTR becomes a kind of "BTC ETF."
📊 BTC growth = MicroStrategy’s market cap growth.
🔁 Then they repeat the cycle.
Stock price up → issue more shares/bonds → buy more BTC → repeat.
📌 The catch:
They use other people’s money (debt) to buy BTC.
They sell almost nothing.
They bet BTC will grow faster than interest on the debt.
So as long as the price goes up — everything is fine.
Let’s admit: his fanaticism, aggressive marketing, and bold statements have helped Bitcoin.
But the main question: will the inevitable market correction wipe out this belief in endless growth?
🔍 His personality
It’s crucial for us as traders and investors to understand who really runs the company or project. The personal traits of leaders are useful information that gives us insight and a behavioral map.
We need to research not only products and financials, but also the psychological types of those making the decisions.
Saylor’s aggressive marketing and loud statements are part of his personality.
He fed off the hype around his persona more than any growing bank balance.
And there’s nothing wrong with that — until you start deceiving people to keep attention on yourself.
For example, in the 2000s, *Forbes* noted that Saylor “sold the dream” of a new economy where traditional profit metrics didn’t matter.
It attracted investors — but didn’t reflect reality. Forbes hinted that his desire to maintain the genius image may have led to accounting manipulation.
Saylor created an "expectations bubble" that burst.
His desire to prove he’s a genius led to a disconnection from reality.
He often talks about himself as a genius and visionary (sounds like a grandiose ego).
He positions himself as the savior of capital through BTC (messiah complex).
He publicly mocks “weak hands” and traditional investors (shows superiority).
He never admits mistakes, even after losing billions (denial and overconfidence).
He repeats his ideas again and again (manic fixation on being right).
His speech is like a manifesto, not a dialogue. He doesn’t converse — he proclaims.
I don’t sense greed in him. I sense emptiness that demands a cult.
He doesn’t live for money — he is obsessed with the idea.
And that’s the problem — there’s no objectivity here. It feels more like revenge after the humiliation and downfall of 20 years ago.
He’s smart — no doubt. But it’s not just intelligence. It’s cold messianism.
Obsession, not passion.
Psychotype: Grand strategist with a humiliation trauma
Trait Behavior
Narcissistic core “I’m special, my vision is above all.”
Obsession with greatness “I must be the truth, not just be right.”
Hyper-rationality “I survive through logic, not feelings.”
Psychological armor “I won’t show weakness. If I break, I disappear.”
Fanatical visionary “My idea is supreme. I don’t need to be humble.”
💸 More facts:
In 2024, Michael paid a FWB:40M fine for tax evasion.
The accusation:
He didn’t pay income tax in D.C., while actively living there — yachts, property, planes, frequent visits.
His tax returns didn’t reflect reality, and the investigation used GPS, Instagram, flight data, banking, and other digital traces.
Saylor didn’t admit guilt but agreed to settle for around $40M.
His personal wealth is mostly in MicroStrategy shares (9.9% or ~$8.74B by end of 2024).
Theoretically, he can sell them — but he must file a report within two days.
Current status:
MicroStrategy owns 555,450 BTC
Average purchase price: ~$68,550
Total purchase cost: ~$38.08B
Unrealized profit: ~$14.7B
And remember — Saylor’s slogan: Forever HODL.
📉 But the key point:
The company’s current debt is $7.24B.
All is good — as long as the price rises.
Analysts estimate BTC would have to fall to ~$20K before MSTR is forced to liquidate.
But if BTC nears the break-even zone, fear might hit shareholders first — triggering stock sell-offs.
If MSTR shares fall — which is likely during a BTC crash — bondholders, especially those with convertible bonds (which make up most of the debt), might demand repayment.
That could force Saylor to sell BTC.
Because in a crypto winter, buyers for MSTR stock or bonds may disappear.
So BTC could fall — not because of actual sales, but from fear of those sales.
This is my main concern with Saylor’s oversized influence on the market.
🐍 A bit of “reptilian” theory
What if BlackRock *planned* to use Saylor’s hands to push Bitcoin and concentrate large amounts in one basket — then take it from him?
Among the main bondholders are big institutions:
* Allianz Global Investors
* Voya Investment Management
* Calamos Investments
* State Street
These bonds are usually unsecured and non-convertible, making them attractive to investors who want Bitcoin exposure without direct ownership.
In case of default, bondholders have priority over the company’s assets — including BTC reserves.
🏛 State Street Corporation
Public company traded on NYSE.
Its biggest shareholders: Vanguard Group and BlackRock .
If so — they could end up holding as much BTC as Satoshi.
BlackRock’s IBIT holds ~500K BTC.
MicroStrategy holds ~500K BTC.
🤔 Questions to reflect on:
* Is industry leader fanaticism good for the development of crypto?
* What is Michael Saylor really doing? Avenging the past? Or truly in love with the technology?
* What risks does a whale with media influence and fanaticism and pockets full of Bitcoin and debt pose to the market?
Waiting for your thoughts in the comments, dear traders! Hugs! 🤗
BTCUST trade ideas
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout with Volume Confirmation | BTC/USD
A symmetrical triangle formed on the 15-min chart followed by a strong breakout with volume support. Entry was taken after breakout confirmation, with risk well-managed below structure support. Target zones and stop clearly defined. This setup is based on clean chart structure and pattern analysis. Educational purpose only.
BTC/USDT Analysis – 4H Chart
This chart shows classic bullish continuation through ascending channels and consolidation breakouts:
A solid double-bottom structure was formed in early April
Marked the start of the uptrend
First consolidation box (~$90K–$93K)
Horizontal accumulation (highlighted gray box)
Resulted in a clean breakout and continuation
Rising channel (~$94K–$99K)
Rising Mid-trend consolidation wedge/channel
Price respected both trendlines
Eventually broke out to the upside → Strong momentum candle followed
Current Status (~$103K)
Price has broken above the rising channel
Now forming a new mini flag or consolidation at the top
Momentum is still in favor of the bulls
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin (BTC): We Reached Liquidity Line | Important Zone!Once again, Trump is at his finest, tweeting about another economic news (major trade deals), which pushed decent volatility into the markets, which led Bitcoin to an important liquidity zone near the $100K area.
We are going to monitor this zone now and once we see any clear signs of proper breakout or rejection, we will be looking for direction based on reaction, but as of now we are stuck at that area so as long as we have not broken it fully, we are looking for rejection from here. Let's see.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD is continuing to rise📊 Technical Analysis
● Breakout above a multi-month triangle cleared the $95–98K zone. The price approached the long-term resistance line, steering price toward $108K.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Strategy bought 1,895 BTC and Semler Scientific added 167 BTC, marking a surge in corporate buying.
● Arizona passed legislation to invest up to 10% of $31.5B state assets in Bitcoin.
● New Hampshire governor signs crypto reserve bill into law.
● Metaplanet reaches 5,555 Bitcoin milestone with latest 555 BTC buy.
✨ Summary
Bullish breakout confirmed. Key levels: ~ GETTEX:92K support, ~$93–95K resistance, and $108K target. Strong institutional/state buying underpins the uptrend.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Bitcoin long Long setup for those who believe that btc breaks all time highs.
If Btc does what it is doing , she will not let you buy the dips , because dips will be pretty small.
I think 101500$ might be a nice area to place a long order followed by another one at 99k.
Let us see what this month will bring on the table.
BITCOIN IS FINALLY READY FOR 108K AND 113K.The daily provide us a broad view of BTC.
1-The higher chances of market to Fill the FVG of Candle.
2-Extremely higher chances for bullish from FVG to New All Time Highs.
3-The Rsi and smc of this suggest that AllTime High wick the least is required.
4-Look to buy BTC and avoid shorting.
5-REMEMBER! Trend is Our Friend.
Good Luck Hope Alt coins also Rally.
BTC to create a low and then a new ATH!BTC may go low around 95k before pushing for a new ATH. This analysis is based on past price action as seen in red lines and previous circles. It confirms to the basic market structure analysis of HH, HL and HH.
However, do note that past price actions do not indicate certainty of future price. DYOR
Will BTC finish completing the Charlie wave?The chart is self explanatory and Bitcoin should complete the ABC retracement but in case it denies following the Elliott Wave it will resume the upwards move to 106k+. Remember Bitcoin is unpredictable as driven by MMs could move either way any time. Be cautious!
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break trend line and fall to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After a strong rally, зкшсу has reached a critical zone, and the reaction here might become a key pivot for short-term price action. Price managed to break above the ascending trend line, but instead of continuation, we saw a clear rejection from the 99500 area, followed by a sharp drop back below the trend structure. This type of movement often indicates bull trap behavior. Breakout traders enter on momentum, but then get squeezed as the price fails to hold above the trend. At the same time, buyers are beginning to lose control, and sellers are regaining initiative near major resistance. Importantly, BTC is now pulling back toward a support zone between 97500 and 97000, which previously acted as a base for consolidation. If this level fails to hold, the next support lies around 93000, where the trend originally started. The structure is shifting. A trend line break followed by a failed retest often signals a trend reversal or, at least, a deeper correction. I expect BTCUSDT can drop to the 97000 level, breaking the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BITCOIN I Weekly CLS, KL OB,Model 1 I Target 50% of CLSAs investor Im longterm bullish , but from the trader perspective my system says short.
Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary CodeIn-Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary Code Across Four Halvings
Authors: SanTi Li, Nahida, Legolas
Abstract: This paper focuses on Bitcoin's four halving events from 2012 to 2024, systematically reviewing the halving mechanism, inflation rate trends, and analyzing market performance before and after each halving to explore their impact on price movements. Through historical data analysis and macro comparisons, it is highlighted that Bitcoin has entered a cycle where its inflation rate is lower than that of gold, emphasizing its scarcity and establishing a long-term value logic comparable to traditional assets. Additionally, from the perspective of the four halving cycles, although the price increase post-2024 halving has been moderate, it is still in the accumulation phase, with the real window potentially opening between 2025 and 2026. The article concludes by discussing Bitcoin's core value foundations, including scarcity, decentralization mechanisms, and deflationary models, indicating its maturing logic as "digital gold."
1.Bitcoin Halving Cycle: Block Rewards and Inflation Rate
Bitcoin, designed by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009, has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins. Initially, miners received 50 BTC per successfully mined block, with this reward halving approximately every 210,000 blocks (about four years), gradually reducing the new issuance. The halving cycle officially began in 2012, with subsequent halvings every four years. In 2024, the block reward became 3.125 BTC, leading to an annual inflation of 52,560 x 3.125 = 164,250 BTC, accounting for approximately 0.782% of the total supply.
This inflation rate is already lower than that of most developed countries and gold, which has an annual production inflation rate of about 1.5%-2%. Currently, Bitcoin has entered a cycle with an inflation rate lower than that of gold.
Fig.1 Bitcoin Halving Cycle Rewards and Inflation Rate Chart
As shown in the chart: When each block reward was 50 BTC, the annual increase was approximately 52,560 x 50 = 2.628 million BTC, about 12.5% of the total 21 million supply. In 2025, with a 6.25 BTC reward per block, the annual increase is 52,560 x 6.25 = 328,500 BTC, about 1.564% of the total supply.
As of around 14:00 on May 7, 2025, approximately 19,861,268 BTC have been mined, accounting for about 94.58% of the total supply, with a total market capitalization of approximately $2.034 trillion. Compared to the previous halving cycle in 2020, when about 18,385,031 BTC had been mined (approximately 87.5% of the total supply) and the total market capitalization was about $161.8 billion, the market cap has increased by approximately 1,236% over five years.
In the next four years, the annual inflation rate will be only 0.782%.
Fig.2 Comparison of Inflation Rates in Major Countries (2019-2025)
In 2019, China's inflation rate was about 2.9%, and the United States' was 2.3%. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and subsequent stimulus measures, it was predicted that the U.S. would experience significant inflation from 2020 to 2022. Indeed, the U.S. inflation rate reached a high of 8%, later decreasing to around 2.2% by 2024 due to Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. China's annual inflation rate is about 0.2%, effectively controlling inflation among major countries. Most developed countries have an inflation rate of around 2.5%, but the actual experience of currency devaluation may be more pronounced than statistical data suggests.
At this time, the latest Bitcoin halving will further reduce BTC's inflation rate to a new historical low of 0.782%. A lower inflation rate is generally beneficial for any asset, as it increases scarcity. However, this does not necessarily mean the asset's value will increase by 100% in the short term, but it is an important factor in resisting devaluation.
ii.Comparative Analysis of Market Performance After Four Bitcoin Halvings
Since Bitcoin's inception, each block reward halving has had a profound impact on BTC's market price. From 2012 to 2024, the four halving events exhibit relatively consistent cyclical characteristics. This paper compares market price trends before and after each halving to extract valuable patterns. History never repeats exactly, but before reaching peaks or nearing destruction, similar patterns often emerge.
Fig.3 BTC Value Changes Across Four Halving Cycles
The chart in Fig.3 summarizes BTC's trend data six months before and one year after each halving, as well as the highest point within the corresponding cycle. It shows that after each halving, Bitcoin's price experienced significant increases.
Using the closing price on the halving day as a baseline: 2012 halving: over 8,000% increase within one year 2016 halving: approximately 286% increase 2020 halving: approximately 475% increase 2024 halving: approximately 31% increase within one year (as of now), with a peak increase of 68.75% ($109,588)
1.Significant Price Increases Six Months Before Halving Reviewing the four halving events,
Bitcoin typically enters an upward trend six months prior to halving. For example:
●2012 halving: 141.03% increase compared to six months prior
●2024 halving: 118.88% increase compared to six months prior
This phase often corresponds to the market gradually pricing in the "halving expectation," serving as a strong preparatory signal.
2.Core Explosion Period 6–12 Months After Halving,
Not Necessarily the Peak Historical data shows that the 6–12 months following a halving are typically the main growth phase for Bitcoin:
●2012: 8,181.51% increase within one year
●2016: 286.29% increase
●2020: 475.64% increase
●2024: Currently, 31.18% increase, with a peak of 68.75% ($100.9k)
Especially in 2012 and 2020, the structure showed "consolidation within six months, followed by an explosion." After one year, the market entered the most significant growth phase, reaching new historical highs. As the 2024 halving has just passed one year, if history repeats, the real explosion window may open between 2025 and Q1 2026.
3.First-Year Post-Halving Trends Provide Preliminary Reference
After the 2024 halving, Bitcoin increased by 10.02% within a month but then experienced two months of fluctuation and correction, remaining in the accumulation phase. By October 2024 (six months post-halving), the price had only slightly increased by 6.30% compared to the halving day, far from entering the main growth phase. However, this is not uncommon historically, as both 2016 and 2020 saw significant price movements starting six months after the halving.
4.Bull Market Peaks Typically Occur 6–12 Months After Halving
Based on data from the first three cycles, the highest prices relative to the halving day's closing price occurred in the mid-term before the next halving:
●2012: 9,237.15% increase
●2016: 2,825.84% increase
●2020: 700.28% increase
In the current 2024 halving cycle, a peak of $109,588 has been observed, representing a 68.75% increase from the halving day, but it has not yet entered an exponential growth phase. This pattern applies only to the current cycle; if Bitcoin reaches values as high as $300,000–$500,000 or even $1 million, its valuation will be enormous. Unless there is significant devaluation of reference assets or further expansion of applications, such as interstellar exploration, it will be challenging to achieve multiple-fold growth in the next halving.
Chart Summary: Bitcoin's historical halving cycles exhibit a highly consistent three-phase rhythm: Accumulation and price increase (six months before halving) Stable fluctuation (six months after halving) Main growth explosion (6–18 months after halving) As the 2024 halving approaches its one-year mark, the market may still be accumulating energy for the later explosion phase, similar to the prelude to 2017, coinciding with the early period of Trump's presidency.
The Stock-to-Flow chart also indirectly supports the view that Bitcoin is still in a phase of accumulating strength. However, historical data and patterns are only for reference and should not be blindly followed; independent judgment and thorough research (DYOR) are essential.
Fig.4 Bitcoin Price Stock-to-Flow Chart
III. Scientific Attributes of Bitcoin's Long-Term Value
The value of an asset stems from both consensus and intrinsic worth. Long-term consensus, in particular, must be grounded in the asset’s inherent advancement, scientific underpinnings, and irreplaceable first-mover advantage. Bitcoin (BTC) is not merely a crypto asset — it is the culmination of breakthroughs in technology, economics, mathematics, cryptography, and more. Its long-term value is not sustained by market speculation alone, but rather built on a rigorous, verifiable, and manipulation-resistant system design.
1. Scarcity
As previously discussed, Bitcoin has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins, encoded in its protocol by Satoshi Nakamoto. Through a programmed halving mechanism, block rewards are reduced approximately every four years, with all coins expected to be mined by around the year 2140. Unlike fiat currencies which can be printed infinitely, Bitcoin’s deflationary nature supports its long-term appreciation from a supply-demand perspective.
Scarcity is the cornerstone of Bitcoin’s inflation resistance and lays the foundation for its status as "digital gold".
2. Decentralization: Neutrality Guaranteed by Consensus Mechanism
Bitcoin’s decentralized Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism relies on computational power. Any node can verify transactions and participate in ledger maintenance. This structure avoids issues found in traditional financial systems such as central points of failure, power abuse, or systemic control. Its globally distributed nature significantly reduces the likelihood of a 51% attack.
3. Deflationary Model vs. Fiat Currency Devaluation
As shown in Fig.2 (not included here), Bitcoin's built-in deflationary issuance model starkly contrasts with the inflationary nature of global fiat currencies. Since 2020, central banks around the world have launched large-scale QE programs, resulting in currency overflows. Bitcoin has increasingly demonstrated its role as a hedge against fiat depreciation and asset bubbles. It is becoming a safe haven for capital in an era of diminishing trust in fiat money.
4. Technological Attributes: Advanced Cryptography + P2P Network Design
Bitcoin integrates multiple cutting-edge technologies:
●ECDSA (Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm): Ensures account security and private key signatures.
●SHA-256 Hash Algorithm: Guarantees data immutability.
●Merkle Tree Structure: Enables efficient verification of transactions within a block.
●Peer-to-Peer Network (P2P): Facilitates global value transfers without intermediaries.
These technologies make Bitcoin a robust and unforgeable value transmission network, with infinite scalability potential — laying the groundwork for second-layer expansions like the Lightning Network and future applications. Bitcoin is not only an asset but also a masterpiece of cryptographic engineering. Future quantum-resistance updates are also worth watching.
5. A Challenger to the Global Financial Order: A Non-Sovereign Asset Amidst Dollar Transition
The world is witnessing a wave of de-dollarization, with international settlements shifting toward local currencies, gold, and decentralized assets. With its non-sovereign neutrality, global accessibility, and scarcity, Bitcoin has become a crucial channel for capital transfer and value storage, especially in emerging markets and unstable regions. It offers an alternative financial model coexisting with — yet independent from — the dollar and gold: a neutral system of consensus-based currency. In times when national creditworthiness is questioned, reliance on algorithmic credibility could become a strategic moat. Of course, this will require further regulatory oversight to prevent illegal activities.
6. A Potential Financial Infrastructure for Interplanetary Civilizations (Speculative Idea)
Bitcoin is the only current value protocol not reliant on any country, bank, or internet entity. Its ledger can exist across planetary nodes — as long as electricity and computing power are available, the network can be maintained. This structure makes it naturally suitable for future space exploration scenarios, such as on Mars or the Moon, where fast and direct usage would be advantageous. While human space exploration is still in its infancy, with no major breakthroughs in stable planetary settlement, this idea remains speculative. However, from a 30–50 year perspective, initial interplanetary applications may not be entirely implausible. Bitcoin (or credit-like tokens) could serve as the base-layer token of human digital civilization.
Summary: BTC's Scientific Foundation
●Supply Ceiling (Scarcity) + Consensus Strength (Decentralization)
●Real-World Context: Weakening trust in fiat currency and expanding debt bubbles
●In the face of future uncertainty, Bitcoin's "anchor-like properties" become increasingly prominent.
4. Summary of BTC’s Long-Term Value Trends
Through the analysis of Bitcoin's halving cycles and scientific fundamentals, the following conclusions can be drawn:
Bitcoin’s four halving cycles to date have demonstrated a consistent market rhythm: price rises in anticipation before each halving, followed by short-term consolidation, then a major rally. Post-2024 halving, Bitcoin’s annual inflation rate has dropped to 0.78% — lower than gold for the first time — reinforcing its role as a scarce asset.
Against the backdrop of persistent global fiat inflation, expanding credit, and growing fiscal deficits, Bitcoin’s deflationary model and decentralized structure are attracting increasing attention and allocation from traditional capital.
Although short-term volatility remains and black swan events cannot be ruled out, Bitcoin's long-term value logic is becoming clearer: it is not just a cryptocurrency, but a new type of asset based on cryptographic trust and decentralized consensus. In future cycles, Bitcoin's value potential, inflation-hedging ability, technical uniqueness, and expanding ecosystem will continue to empower it, building the essential value moat of a true “digital gold”.
Disclaimer on Perspectives:
Some people dismiss Bitcoin due to market speculation or scam-like projects. However, equating it entirely with such phenomena is an unobjective approach. Projects that rely solely on hype — such as many memecoins — tend to lack sustainability.
Risk Warning:
This article serves only as educational research and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and make independent judgments. Never blindly follow anyone — DYOR (Do Your Own Research). BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
Bitcoin (BTC): We Will Re-Test ATHs | Crazy VolatilityCrazy movement is happening in the markets recently, where we are once again seeing markets being driven by news and enthusiastic bullish movement.
As we mentioned yesterday, if we see a break of the liquidity zone near $99K, we will be retesting ATH most likely, and this is our view as of now. FOMO on the markets will lead the price to upper zones where, once back at ATH, we will be looking for MSB.
Of course, if we see strong dominance by buyers near the ATH, then $140K might be the next target, but nothing is confirmed yet; it is just a thought.
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“+$25K Profit & Still Long – Don’t Chase, Trade Smart”Since the drop to 74K, we've seen an incredibly fast and powerful rally over the past month—and I’m currently sitting on a realized profit of over $25,000 during this move.
One of the most bullish signals in this entire structure is that since the reversal in April, we’ve never seen a proper correction or trend-reversing retracement. As I mentioned in previous updates, this shows exceptional strength and suggests the uptrend remains firmly intact.
In fact, we’re climbing without breaking any key lows—what I like to call a “step-by-step” grind upward. On higher time frames, these look like strong bullish candles, meaning more buyers than sellers, and aggressive market orders pushing price higher. That’s a characteristic of strong trends—remember that.
Now, with the historical ATH at $109,000 getting closer, I do not expect an immediate breakout to new highs. Instead, we might see a healthy consolidation—either price-wise or time-wise—around this major supply zone. This is not the time to FOMO in.
The recent surge was fueled by comments from President Trump, and that breakout candle was significant. But sharp moves often bring sharp corrections. If price pulls back to the 96–95K zone and finds support, that could be the base for a new push toward all-time highs.
If you’re not in a position right now:
🚫 Do NOT rush into the market.
We are at a spot where both a breakout and a reversal are possible. Whether you’re using the lower or higher time frame, wait for clear confirmation—a pullback, a base, a proper setup.
Look to long only after strong support is confirmed, or short if price keeps failing to break highs. Either way, keep a tight stop and let your winners run—there’s still opportunity here, but only with proper risk-reward.
I’ll say it again because it’s important:
If you missed this long, it’s okay.
The market will correct—whether sharply or slowly—and your edge is not in chasing, but in being ready. Don’t let impulsive trades erase your capital or your confidence.
Oh, and by the way—I’m still holding my long position.