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BTC – Bullish bias under review: 102k/103k supports in focus__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum : Dominant on all major timeframes (1D, 12H, 6H, 4H). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator signals STRONG BUY except on 15min (neutral). Support/Resistance : Structurally key pivot zone 102k–106k; major supports 102k/103k. Potential breakout above 106k (swing target 109k). Volumes : Normal across all timeframes. No excess signals, no accumulation/capitulation peaks. Multi-TF Behaviors : Horizontal consolidation with bullish dominance. Short-term bearish divergence on 2H–15min, micro-TF in correction only, no panic. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global Bias : Solid bullish structure as long as 102k/103k hold. “Risk On” maintained by sector outperformance. Opportunities : Entries on pullback/main base 103k–104k; breakouts to watch above 106k. Risk Zones : Clear invalidation <102k, potential rapid flush to 97k–88k; keep strict stop-loss below 102.5k. Macro Catalysts : FOMC, Fed projections, Middle East geopolitics keep volatility high, but no shock. Price action leads near-term strategy. Action Plan : Swing buy on confirmed support, dynamic hedge post-news, monitor volumes/closures on key pivots. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D : Bullish momentum, major supports intact (102k/105k). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY, stable volume, no excess. Healthy structure for long swings. 12H : Positive bias, range 102.6k–106k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY. 6H : Presumed accumulation 103k–106k, momentum still strong. No volume weakness. 4H : Range oscillation, structural support test at 103k. Sector outperformance, neutral volume. 2H : First sign of short-term weakness. Divergent with higher TFs but no panic. 1H : Technical rebound towards 104.8k possible as long as 103k support holds. 30min : Short-term trend remains bearish (trend 30min = down). Correction/purge ongoing. 15min : Neutral momentum, supports being tested. No panic or melt-down observed. Summary : Strong bullish confluence on higher TFs, temporary divergence on micro-TFs. “Range with bullish bias” scenario as long as 102k/103k holds the structure. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro and Fundamental Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ FED/FOMC (June 18) : Rates unchanged, “data dependent” guidance. Raised volatility but no risk-off shift. Market Sentiment : BTC technical structure holds, moderate post-FOMC volatility. S&P500 : Above all key moving averages. Sector momentum (software, uranium, semis) remains dominant. Energy Level : Weak oil = little macro pressure against BTC. Geopolitics : Israel–Iran escalation / US posture reinforced. High FX/oil volatility but BTC resilient (>102k), no panic on record. Economic Calendar : Closely watching BoE & SNB, but low BTC impact odds. Implications : Post-news phase = ideal for range trading, no rupture event expected within 48h. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic synthesis & R/R guidance __________________________________________________________________________________ Long on pullback 103–104k, swing targets 106/109k. Optimal R/R (>2.5) if stop 102.5k (D Pivot Low). Invalidation area : Clean close <102k or heavy downside volume (capitulation via ISPD/volumes). Risk Management : Dynamic stops, partial hedge post-FOMC during macro volatility. Conclusion : Bullish structure preserved. Range trading scenario dominant, no extreme signals or panic. Actions: support watch, technical buy on confirmed pullback.
Long
by Ox_kali
BTC continues to accumulate above 103,500Plan BTC today: 19 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Bitcoin (BTC) price edges slightly higher, trading near $104,700 at the time of writing on Thursday, after stabilizing above a key level — the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $103,100. A breach below this level could trigger a sharp fall in BTC. Risk aversion could intensify, as reports indicate that US officials are preparing for a strike on Iran in the coming days. Despite this risk-off sentiment in global markets, institutional demand remains strong, with US spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) seeing positive inflows for eight consecutive days personal opinion:!!! btc continues to accumulate above 103,500, the market is no longer sensitive to interest rate information yesterday Important price zone to consider :!!! support zone : 103.500 \ 101.000 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Long
by JJainy
1
Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure.📉 BTCUSDT – 1H Chart Technical Outlook 🔍 Structure Insight: Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating persistent bearish pressure. Price action appears compressed between key trendlines, hinting at an imminent breakout. --- 🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias) If BTC fails to hold above the lower boundary of the range, a decisive break below could trigger a sharp move toward the 103,650–103,000 demand zone. The structure supports continuation to the downside if the price rejects resistance again. 🧊 Bearish Confluence: Price is unable to break above dynamic resistance. Momentum remains weak near the mid-range. Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure. --- 🔼 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (Alternative View) A breakout above the descending trendline and confirmation candle could flip bias short-term bullish. This would target the 105,400+ region as the next liquidity area. ⚡ Bullish Signs to Watch: Break and retest above trendline resistance. Bullish engulfing or breakout candle with volume. --- 🔍 Key Levels to Monitor Support: 103,650 / 103,000 Resistance: 105,000 / 105,400 Breakout Zones: Watch for clean breaks and retests outside the wedge pattern. --- 📌 Conclusion: BTC is coiling within a tightening range. The breakout direction will likely dictate the next short-term trend. Maintain flexibility — breakout confirmation is key before positioning. 🚨 Not financial advice — always DYOR before trading!
by Peter_Wade
BTC – Stop Hunt at the Edge of ValueThis is what a liquidity raid looks like. Price just swept the bottom of the range, tapped into the low-volume zone (as seen on the volume profile), and reclaimed — classic sign of a trap sprung. Key points: The downtrend line labeled “comp” = compression — bulls forced to capitulate into a thin zone High probability deviation with stop run and reclaim — this fuels the next move up The green box shows risk-defined entry off the sweep low Targeting the prior high: 106,787 Volume imbalance filled = no inefficiency above — price can now move cleanly Execution mindset: Trap spring → retrace into structure → expansion Risk is clear, liquidity is engineered, structure remains Late shorts just became the fuel. Watch the reclaim of the box top. If that flips support, we ride momentum. 📈 For more setups like this — including pre-breakout traps — check the description in the profile.
by SmartFlowsI
BTC: Scalp Long 18/06/25Trade Direction: Long BTC Scalp BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Risk Management: - Risk 0.1% (very low risk due to market conditions) - Target approx 0.5% gain Reason for Entry: - 0.618 retracement - Sweep of recent low - M30 Fair Value Gap tapped (partially mitigated earlier) - Multi time frame Oversold - Market structure holding key support level Additional Notes: - Confidence level low low likely hood this succeeds but trading my plan - Very cautious trade in a volatile unpredictable market environment
Long
by Ryn8111
My thoughts on Bitcoin long-term, as well as mid- to short-termLONG-TERM / THE BIG PICTURE: Regarding the big picture, we couldn’t be more bullish. We’re currently fighting our way through the cycle as usual—despite the fact that this cycle has had way too many chop phases, flushing out far too many participants. Just a few weeks ago, we got our bullish crossover on the weekly MACD—a signal that has triggered a major BTC rally every single time this cycle. At no point in this cycle has #BTC been overheated. The blow-off top is still coming. LOCAL PRICE ACTION: CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains in this vertical ascending channel and remains macro bullish what imo is another huge re-accumulation range lasting more than 200 days since November, that will lead to an impulsive breakout TO THE UPSIDE in the weeks to come MACRO LANDSCAPE: Due the last crash we potentially got an bulllish structure, wich if the price breaks the high at $110.000 is confiraed and can bring us to 120k on #Bitcoin On the lower TF we currently see an oversold RSI + a bounce from the 0.667 level RECOMMENDATION: Watch the high at 110k and the low at 100k, we have to break either one of these 2 levels. Have an eye on the current conflict with israel & iran and dont forget the FOMC meeting tmwr, where we can expect some important news due the current situation Either way, I'm long and mid-term bullish despite the current accumulation by long-term holders (which just peaked)... Always watch the big picture from above - maintain perspective and don't focus too much on smaller timeframes... But most importantly: Survive. Thanks for reading, let me know your thoughts about the current market situation & price action👇
by The-white-goat
BTCUSDT – Price Poised to Break Descending ChannelBTCUSDT has been maintaining a series of higher lows since early May, consistently rebounding from its dynamic support trendline. Currently, the price is consolidating just below the descending channel resistance around the 108,000 USDT level. A clear double-bottom pattern accompanied by solid recovery momentum suggests a potential breakout from the prolonged correction phase that has persisted throughout June. If BTC breaks above the descending trendline, the next target could be the major resistance zone near 113,000 USDT. On the news front, the market is reacting positively to BlackRock’s announcement of expanding investment in crypto ETF products. At the same time, recent soft U.S. inflation data has strengthened expectations that the Fed may halt its tightening cycle. This combination is improving investor sentiment and driving renewed interest in risk assets like Bitcoin.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) 4H AnalysisBitcoin is currently consolidating around $105,523 after a strong rally and forming a short-term sideways structure. It is still unable to break the immediate resistance of $ 111 K. Key Technical Observations: BTC has been ranging between $101,409 and $105,523 RSI at ~51.38 indicates a neutral zone, signaling indecision in momentum Support holding at $105,396, but price action is flat Bulls need to reclaim $111,633 to regain momentum Major Levels to Watch: Resistance: $111,633 → $122,318 Support: $105,396 → $101,409 → $97,340 → $93,343 A break above $111,633 could trigger bullish continuation, while a fall below $101,409 might open the path to deeper support zones. Patience is key — wait for breakout confirmation before making moves. This is not financial advice. Always DYOR and manage risk. Like, share & comment if you find this analysis helpful! #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT
by ScramblerG
Test the crucial round-number threshold of $100,000.Affected by sudden news factors, the Bitcoin market has seen sharp fluctuations. The price started a significant downward trend from the $108,900 level and has dropped to around $104,000 as of now. This decline has caused Bitcoin to break through multiple key support levels. On the daily timeframe, the originally important support range of $106,000 - $107,000 was easily breached, with market bearish forces gaining absolute dominance. Bitcoin is facing significant downward risks and is highly likely to continue falling to test the crucial psychological level of $100,000. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: sell@104000-104500 TP:102000-1025000
Short
by Ashbur
BTC - AnalysisWe’re currently back at the short-term trend reversal zone, which has been reactivated after price moved 3% away from it. The zone itself spans 1.6%, so a new reaction from this level is likely. If the bottom at $102,500 holds, we’ve activated a valid bullish structure that could take us up to the $119,000 target zone — which also overlaps with a weekly target region. We’ll see what the next few days bring... Key events to watch right now: 1️⃣ Israel & Iran – Will the conflict escalate or calm down? 2️⃣ Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting – Will QT be addressed? Feel free to drop any questions or feedback — I’ll read and respond to everything. LFG 🚀
by The-white-goat
BTC Bias Map: 17/06/25Daily Bias Map: - Bitcoin lost key support at 106,500 - I am leaning more bearish now that this key support is lost. - Market is heavily driven by news and uncertainty. - Key levels like Monday low and monthly low cluster in the same region — likely last bastions of support. - Expecting a possible larger shakeout toward weak lows nearby, which don’t look appealing for entries. - Will watch for potential long scalp triggers around monthly open or Monday low but will likely stay side-lined. Unless I see a potential good short setup form. - With FOMC news tomorrow I’m avoiding heavy involvement the risk is not worth it in this volatile environment. Discipline means knowing when to step back. In all likelihood I'll let the market develop today unless a extremely clean trade develops.
by Ryn8111
BTC accumulates above 104,300 zonePlan BTC today: 17 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Bitcoin (BTC) price falls to around $106,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday following a mild recovery the previous day. The decline comes as investors continue to digest the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict and after US President Donald Trump highlighted concerns and asked his security advisors to meet in the Situation Room. While institutional interest in Bitcoin remains robust, any further escalation in the Middle East could impact global risk assets. The US steps in to resolve the Iran-Israel war Bitcoin price action remained broadly resilient on Monday despite escalating tensions in the Middle East. The four-day-old war between Israel and Iran, which began on Friday, has so far failed to trigger a sharp correction. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization held above its key psychological threshold of 100,000 despite the initial shock — a contrast to April last year, when BTC fell more than 8% amid similar Iran-Israel turmoil. The New York Times reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump has encouraged Vice President JD Vance and his Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, to offer to meet with the Iranians this week. personal opinion:!!! Gold price continues sideways and accumulates in 2 trend lines, support 104,300 Important price zone to consider :!!! support zone : 104.300 - 104.100 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Long
by JJainy
1
Bitcoin Multiframe: Key clusters to watch before FOMC__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Dominant bullish structure across all major timeframes (MTFTI = Up). Supports/Resistances: No HTF pivot engaged; key on-chain support at $97.6k, resistance at $115.4k. Volume: Central oscillation within range; no major surges observed, consolidation on micro-TF. Multi-timeframe behaviors: Bullish structure dominates, technical pullback on 4H-1H-15min without major breaks. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Bias: Structurally bullish as long as key supports hold (97.6k–104.5k zone). Opportunities: Buy confirmed dips on on-chain cluster/H4-H2 area, target 110–115k extension post-FOMC positive catalyst. Risk zones: Extreme volatility expected around FOMC (June 17–18); strict risk management, avoid overexposure. Macro catalysts: FOMC (rate decision, dot plot), Fed leadership stability, Israel-Iran geopolitical tensions. Action plan: Patience until FOMC; favor setups on clear price reaction, tight stops below 97.5k (on-chain support). __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Bullish momentum, price at range center ($106k). Watch for pivot break. 12H: Persistent bullish bias, confluence with 1D. 6H: Expected consolidation, bullish structure. 4H: Technical pullback, bullish structure remains. Key anticipated support 105k–104.5k. 2H: Likely move towards lower range. Up bias confirmed. 1H: Technical correction within overall Up trend. 30min/15min: Seller sequence, trend intact, no major break. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains “Up” across all frames, boosting the positive view despite short-term correction. Executive summary: Strong bullish convergence from Daily → 15min timeframes. Ongoing short-term pullback, no HTF pivot breaks. Any break below $97.6k would invalidate the swing bullish scenario. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro, Economic Calendar, On-chain & Risk Management __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro: FOMC imminent (June 17–18): waiting – volatility on rate/dot plot. Geopolitical risk (Iran-Israel): sustained global risk-off may escalate. BTC shows strong resilience at 106k. Economic calendar (key points): June 17–18: FOMC — maximum impact (stocks, FX, crypto) June 17: Fed leadership rumors — potential volatility, BTC stable June 17, 08:30 UTC: USA — retail sales (May/core) On-chain: Key support at $97.6k (STH cost basis), resistance at $115.4k. Long-term holders are distributing, but bullish accumulation pressure intact. Clustering may amplify short-term directional moves. Key scenarios: Bullish: Extension to 110–115k if FOMC positive, stop below 97.6k. Bearish: Break of 97.6k = risk of drop towards 92.9–95.4k. Management: Avoid exposure pre-FOMC, active monitoring, strict stops. Patience & discipline: Only size up with post-FOMC validated reaction or confirmed breakout. On-chain cluster = invalidation radar for bullish bias. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
Bitcoin - Bears vs Bulls: $100k next?Price recently tapped into a well-defined 4H and daily resistance zone and was met with an immediate rejection. That rejection wasn’t just a reaction, it led to a confirmed market structure shift as price broke the previous low. This transition from higher highs to a lower low signals the first sign of bearish control, flipping the short-term bias and setting the tone for a move lower. Retest of MSS and Inversion Fair Value Gap After the break in structure, price retraced directly into the origin of the move, retesting the same zone where the shift occurred. A previously bullish 4H gap has now flipped into resistance, rejecting price perfectly. This inversion, where a bullish imbalance turns into a bearish reaction zone, confirms the change in direction and strengthens the downside narrative. New FVG as Entry Opportunity The latest bearish impulse created a clean new fair value gap just above current price. A retest of this gap would offer a high-probability continuation setup, as it aligns with both recent structure and order flow. This zone becomes the critical level for bears to defend, and unless price reclaims it, the expectation remains for continuation toward lower liquidity. Liquidity Outlook and Bearish Target Below current price, a large pool of liquidity is sitting just above a major psychological round number. That level hasn’t been swept yet and is a likely downside magnet. With no meaningful support between the current FVG and that draw on liquidity, price is likely to reach for it next. This fits the typical sequence following a market structure shift: rejection, shift, retest, continuation, and liquidity sweep. Momentum and Contextual Confluence Zooming out slightly, the current move fits within broader bearish momentum that has been developing across timeframes. There’s no sign of strong bullish absorption, and each push higher has been met with efficient selling. This isn’t a chaotic breakdown, but a controlled sequence of lower highs and lower lows, supported by clean structural shifts and consistent rejection zones. Conclusion The chart tells a clear story. A clean rejection from a key resistance zone led to a confirmed bearish structure shift, followed by a textbook retest and fresh fair value gap. As long as price remains below that gap, the setup favors continuation lower, with the nearest liquidity pool being the most likely draw. This remains a high-probability bearish scenario until proven otherwise by a shift back above invalidation levels. ___________________________________
by paltena