BTCUST trade ideas
Bitcoin a Technical Summery technical summary based on what you're describing for BTCUSDT on the 4H timeframe:
Forecast from Mr Martin Date 05 May 2025
Current Setup:
Pattern: Two-sided consolidation/pattern (likely symmetrical triangle or range)
Key Support: ~89,000 USDT
Key Resistance: ~95,000 USDT
Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price holds above 95K and confirms breakout: Next target: ~98,000 USDT
Above 98K, could test psychological levels like 100K.
Bearish Breakdown: If price falls below 89K:nExpect a retest or quick rebound toward resistance (~95K).
You may see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks
Bitcoin Local TopBitcoin: rally meets resistance
Context
• April low: $74 000 → today’s high: $101 200 (+37 %)
• 90‑day pause on new US tariffs lifted risk assets; FOMC left rates at 4.25‑4.50 % with real yields still > 2 %
• Active conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza and the South China Sea keep macro‑volatility elevated
Flows
• US spot‑ETF complex: cumulative net inflow $40.7 bn, AUM $106 bn
• BlackRock’s IBIT: 15 consecutive inflow days, $6.96 bn YTD
• MicroStrategy: bought 15 355 BTC (~$1.42 bn) last week, now holds 553 k BTC
Technical focus (2‑hour chart)
• Price is 11 % above the rising trendline from 1 May
• Key confluence: $101 700 – $103 000 (0.27 Fib plus unfilled weekly supply)
• First support: $97 000 – $98 000; major demand: $92 000
• Mean‑reversion target if momentum breaks: $86 000
• Invalidation of pullback view: daily close above $103 500
Base case
60 % probability of a retest of $92–97 k before any sustained advance
30 % chance of a deeper wash to $86 k
10 % chance of a clean breakout through $103 k toward $109 k+
Takeaways
• Long‑only allocators: add on a confirmed weekly close above $103 k; risk below $98 k
• Swing traders: fade spikes above $102 k toward $97 k; tighten stops if daily > $103 k
• Spot accumulators: schedule bids at $92 k and $86 k; avoid chasing upside extensions
Educational commentary, not investment advice. Manage position size and respect stops.
BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/9/2025 (Big Picture)For me, I think that we are going to the End the wave 5 of the BTC Supercycle . As you can see , the wave that we are now have very small accumulation making it should be wave 5 rather than the begining of new cycle or the correction wave since both usually have large accumulation.The Gann fan suggest that the End of the wave 5 should be around 128,000$-132,000$. And after the time that it finish the wave 5 it would be coincided with the depression that many economist suggest that it would happen.Surprisingly, It also coinside with the Modern Elliott Wave theory suggesting that a Grand Supercycle wave five is nearing completion in the 21st century, likely leading to the deepest economic downturn since the 1700s.
Financial Markets: Outlook and Risks – May 2025As May 2025 begins, global financial markets are entering the month with cautious optimism, shaped by anticipation surrounding decisions from key regulatory bodies. At the center of this uncertainty lies the U.S. Federal Reserve, whose policies continue to exert a significant influence over global asset dynamics.
After a series of interest rate hikes throughout 2023 and 2024, the Federal Reserve has adopted a more neutral stance, closely monitoring macroeconomic indicators. Despite a moderate decline in inflation and stable employment figures, Fed officials remain hesitant to declare an end to the tightening cycle. In his latest address, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for "vigilance amid geopolitical volatility and structural changes in the global economy."
The U.S. stock market entered May with moderate volatility. The S&P 500 index is hovering near local highs, while investors are reacting cautiously to corporate earnings reports and Fed commentary. Tech stocks are largely on the rise, driven by expectations of expanded AI integration, while companies in the industrial and energy sectors face pressure from rising input costs and supply chain instability.
Europe is facing a more complex situation, with inflationary pressures persisting, especially in the energy sector. The European Central Bank (ECB) is walking a fine line between tightening monetary policy and supporting sluggish economic growth. Major indices like the UK’s FTSE and Germany’s DAX are showing mixed signals, reflecting domestic challenges and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
On currency markets, the U.S. dollar remains relatively strong, though it occasionally dips as expectations grow for a more dovish stance from the Fed. The euro and the Japanese yen are showing periodic strengthening, backed by active central bank measures. Emerging markets such as Brazil and India are seeing increased interest in gold and government bonds as a hedge against external risks.
Beyond monetary policy, one of the main concerns for investors is the ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and China. Tariff hikes and export restrictions on strategic goods are raising alarms about supply chain reconfigurations and capital reallocation on a global scale.
Investors around the world are searching for a balance between risk and return. Current strategies emphasize diversification, safe-haven assets, digital technologies, and ESG-focused sectors. Analysts advise a measured approach, urging investors to closely monitor macroeconomic data before making major portfolio decisions.
In summary, May 2025 marks a period of watchfulness and recalibration. Financial markets are looking to the Federal Reserve, trade negotiations, and key economic reports for signals that will likely define the tone for the months ahead.
Bitcoin Key Support Held at $94.3K, Final Resistance AheadBitcoin has seen strong bullish momentum after reclaiming the $94.3K support. The market structure remains intact with higher lows, and now BTC is approaching the $101.2K resistance — the final major hurdle before price discovery.
Key Highlights:
Confirmed Support at $94.3K: Strong daily closes and long wicks indicate demand absorption
Bullish Structure Maintained: Weekly higher lows signal ongoing strength in the trend
Major Resistance Ahead: $101.2K is the key level bulls must break to trigger new highs
Full Analysis:
BTC respected the $94,244–$94,300 demand zone with multiple daily candle closes above and aggressive wick rejections below. This marked clear buyer strength and absorption, leading to a sharp expansion through local resistance levels. The recent breakout is backed by a consistent higher low structure on the weekly chart, showing that bulls continue to control the trend.
As BTC trades just under $100K, the $101,200 region stands as the final high-timeframe resistance before price discovery. Expect some consolidation or range-bound movement between $94.3K and $101.2K before any decisive breakout.
$BTC Finally $100K Surprised and Take Profit Done✨ CRYPTOCAP:BTC Surprise Finally Touch $100K Milestone again, All Take Profit and bonus Done.
💫 From Breaking News:
• Arizona Bitcoin Bill: Crucial SB 1373 Advances for State Bitcoin Reserve
• New Hampshire Becomes First to Approve Bitcoin Reserve—Will Other States Follow?
First introduced in January, HB 302, gives officials the ability to allocate state funds to both precious metals, and specific digital assets with a market capitalization of over $500 billion. That means Bitcoin, which, as of this writing, has a market cap of roughly $1.9 trillion per TradingView, is a prime candidate.
The newly enacted law states that any digital assets obtained must be kept using high security custody protocols. This can be done directly in a state managed multisignature wallet, via a qualified financial institution custody, or by investment in U.S. regulated exchange traded products (ETPs). Dennis Porter, CEO and Co-Founder of Satoshi Action, said:
“Satoshi Action drafted the model, New Hampshire engraved it into law, and now every treasurer nationwide can follow that roadmap. HB 302 proves you can protect taxpayer money, diversify reserves, and future-proof state treasuries all while embracing the most secure monetary network on Earth. New Hampshire didn’t just pass a bill; it sparked a movement.”
#Write2Earn #BTC #BinanceSquareFamily #MarketRebound #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Resumption of a Full Bullish Trend
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin finally broke the previous high. There was no false breakout or seller defense on higher timeframes, so the uptrend continues.
The next target is $105,000.
A local support zone has formed at $98,000–$97,200 after the breakout. So far, there are no signs of seller presence, but low volume remains a concern. Any strong surge in seller activity could trigger a significant correction.
Resistance zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Support zones:
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Analysis - 7 MayThe price continues to move within the range of $91,700 - $100,400.
In approximately 3 hours, the FED will announce its interest rate decision.
The expectation is for it to remain unchanged.
If it remains unchanged;
there could be a horizontal consolidation between 94,990 – 97,500.
If a breakout occurs, the upward movement will accelerate; otherwise, there could be a pullback to the 91,781 – 94,990 levels.
If the interest rate is reduced;
the psychological resistance at 100,400 USDT may be tested, and if surpassed, the target of 109,605 (ATH) comes into play.
If the interest rate is increased;
the supports at 94,990 USDT and below could be tested quickly.
The levels of 91,781 and 85,085 USDT become potential targets.
With stronger selling, the support zone at the 2024 ATH level of 73,776 USDT may come into play.
BTCUSDTSecond trade of the day is on BTCUSDT — and I’ve already entered the position.
I’ve set the Risk-to-Reward Ratio to 1:1 this time, as I entered with a higher lot size than usual.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 98,835.27
✔️ Take Profit: 99,320.67
✔️ Stop Loss: 98,347.72
Trend Still Intact, Real Profit – Watching Key Support at 94.7KHi all, It's Jude here
I believe that many of the market dynamics are being clearly reflected on the chart.
Although we are seeing a corrective pullback, the price is still maintaining higher lows at potential rebound zones—suggesting that the bullish trend remains intact and there's still a chance for a new high.
In other words, the trend that began from the 74K and 83K levels hasn’t been broken yet.
The uptrend is not entirely reversed, and while we are facing resistance near the supply zone created during the downtrend earlier this year, the market is consolidating with significant volatility.
This kind of movement—sharp ups and downs—means it's much more efficient to capture profits when clear opportunities present themselves rather than holding blindly.
From a larger time frame perspective, the structure remains unchanged.
We're still in a position where another push to new highs is possible.
That’s why I’ve been consistently suggesting that if you're considering a short position, it’s smarter to look for entries on the lower time frames and only after a meaningful rejection or pullback.
On the other hand, for long positions, wait for confirmation—look for solid support to hold after a meaningful bounce and then enter where your stop-loss is clearly defined and the risk-reward ratio is favorable.
We need to be prepared for both scenarios: a direct continuation to the upside or a broader corrective phase.
And remember, corrections don't always mean a sharp drop—they can also come as sideways consolidations over time. Don't overlook that possibility.
Given the strong rebound we’ve seen, the 94.7K level should act as an important support on any pullback.
Also, don’t assume a strong bounce on the lower time frame automatically means the market has reversed.
Instead, observe if buyers are stepping in consistently—look for signs of accumulation and steady upward movement ("step-by-step" type buying) near the support zones.
Volatility is high, and I’m sure many are managing to take profits quickly. That’s great—but always make sure to have a stop-loss or break-even plan in place after taking profits.
Taking profits is always wise, but catching falling knives is not. There’s no harm in waiting for confirmation and entering on a pullback. That strategy will never be too late.
As I’ve said before, this is the kind of market where it’s easy to feel like “everyone else is making money except me” or “I’m being left behind.”
But especially in times like this, it’s important not to fall into FOMO.
Focus instead on preparing how you’ll respond and capture gains in the next setup. That’s where your energy should be.
Bitcoin Still Stuck in Resistance – Eyes on CME Gaps & USDT.D%Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $92,830(first target) and started to rise as I expected in the previous idea . Overall, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for about 12 days .
Note : In general, trading in a range market is more difficult than in a trending market . If your performance in a range market is not good, it is better not to trade until the trend is clear (this is just a suggestion).
Bitcoin is currently trading at a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and has failed to break through it, and it seems like Bitcoin needs more momentum to break through this zone. Do you think Bitcoin will finally break through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500)?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin has completed a five-wave impulsive and we should expect Corrective waves .
The analytical conditions of the Bitcoin chart have been a bit ambiguous in the past few days, so it's better to take a look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart to increase the accuracy of Bitcoin analysis .
USDT.D% failed to break the Support zone(5.13%-4.95%) after several attacks. It currently appears to be forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It appears that USDT.D% needs to complete this pattern to break the support zone, and if this pattern fails , we should expect further increases =Bitcoin crash .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to the Support zone($92,910-$91,414) , 21_SMA(Weekly) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($93,359-$92,296) and probably fill the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) this time and then start to rise and prepare to break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and fill the CME Gap($97,680-$96,455) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,989-$97,924
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($92,910-$91,414), we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC New Update (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous scenario, we considered that Bitcoin was in a diametric where wave E had extended. However, after reviewing the charts and analyzing various scenarios, we decided to revise the wave count as shown in this update, since wave E of the previous diametric scenario became overly extended.
You can see the complete wave count of the chart in this update. The correction in Bitcoin started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart. This correction was a diametric and ended where the green arrow is placed.
From the point where the green arrow is shown on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish wave has started, which is either wave A or W.
According to this scenario, the expected rejection zone should be between 98K and 103K.
The lowest-risk area for price rejection is the red box.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Holds the Accumulation Zone📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC rebounded off rising‐channel boundary and has formed a base in the $93K–95.3K accumulation zone. A decisive break above ~$95,700 would confirm a fresh leg to $98,000.
● Higher lows and tightening range signal building bullish pressure for an impulsive move toward the channel top.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot BTC ETFs logged ~$675 M of net inflows on May 2.
✨ Summary
Rising‐channel support + sustained ETF demand favor a short‐term long bias: targets GETTEX:98K → $100K; view invalidated below $91,500.
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#BTC how will it develop next?📊#BTC how will it develop next❓
🧠From a structural point of view, we are currently moving near the weekly resistance zone. We can only judge that we have successfully broken through the resistance zone when the closing price of the weekly candlestick chart is higher than the blue resistance zone, so we still need to remain vigilant before this condition is met.
➡️If we continue to break through the previous high, it means that the bullish power is still continuing, but the breakthrough is near the gray resistance zone, so wait patiently for the opportunity of a pullback before considering participating in long trades.
➡️I am not considering participating in short trades at present, because short trades are still counter-trend trades. I will only look for short trade opportunities after breaking the inflection point 93340 to establish a short structure or the price rises to the red target zone.
⚠️The Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced today, and we will wait patiently for the signal of market structure to appear.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC In my personal opinion, wave four has arrived. In my personal analysis, after the ascending channel breaks and returns to the ascending triangle, it can be said with certainty that wave 4 has begun. But where this wave will end cannot be said with certainty, but in the long-term analysis, wave 4 should not enter the ceiling of wave 2. If this happens, the rule of thumb is that the market will be bearish and it can be said with certainty that wave 5 is not in place. Currently, the trend is upward, the first target is 93310. The next target is 90473, which is a key and psychological support, the third target is 88181, which is 50% of the correction. And the target that Bitcoin will most likely not touch is 85887, which is the highest correction. Note: 83588, if Bitcoin falls below this number, wave 5 is no longer in place.
This is a completely personal opinion, not a buy or sell offer! Please do not enter into a trade with my analysis.
Thank you for sharing your opinions with me.