BTC-----Sell around 118100, target 116500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on July 22:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive cross yesterday, and the price was below the moving average. The attached indicator was dead cross. The general trend is currently biased towards a downward trend. From the overall trend, we can see that the current trend is consistent and strong, but there is no room for rebound, and the continuous sluggish trend is also quite obvious, so the idea of selling down in the future market has become the main idea; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the US market fell and rebounded yesterday, and the pressure continued to fall and broke down in the morning, and the correction high was near the 118000 area. The current K-line pattern is a single positive line. According to the trend rule, if the decline continues today, the rebound strength cannot be large, and the high point of the US market correction is resistance.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Sell at the current price of 118100, stop loss at 118500, and target 116500;
BTCUST trade ideas
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positionsApril was the scale-in zone:
Back in April, the US stock market flashed a split-entry buy signal—a classic zone for gradual accumulation.
That same setup applied to Bitcoin. Buying the fear worked again.
We’ve moved out of the fear zone:
Both Bitcoin and equities have left the extreme fear territory behind. Sentiment has shifted.
Short-term overbought now:
Bitcoin is currently in a short-term overbought phase. Some consolidation or cooling off is natural here, but no major trend reversal signs yet.
Stay heavy on positions:
I’m maintaining an overweight position in Bitcoin as long as the US stock market stays intact. The Nasdaq is holding up, so Bitcoin likely stays in risk-on mode.
Warning:
If US equities take a hit, expect Bitcoin to follow.
Negative moves in the stock market will likely translate directly into crypto weakness.
BTC/USDT – Breakout Watch🔹 Price rebounded strongly from key support at $116,400
🔹 Approaching breakout zone near $119,500
🔹 Descending trendline and multiple rejection wicks being tested
🔹 Bullish momentum building — RSI rising, MACD stabilizing, volume uptick visible
🔹 ADX shows trend strength picking up
📈 If breakout confirmed above $119,500:
🎯 TP1: $122,000
🎯 TP2: $127,000
🎯 TP3: $135,000
📉 Below $116,400 = invalidation
Bias: Bullish above $119,500, cautious until breakout confirms.
#BTC Update #9 – July 22, 2025#BTC Update #9 – July 22, 2025
As previously noted, Bitcoin is currently trading within both a horizontal range (box) and a tightening triangle formation. Although there was a drop last night, price didn’t pierce the lower boundary of the box and is now showing an upward reaction.
As long as BTC holds above this box, there’s no major risk. Bitcoin has already completed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement from its previous impulsive move. If that correction is sufficient, the next upside target is $127,900.
However, one key point to watch: Bitcoin failed to break its previous high in its last three attempts — a clear sign of price compression and market indecision.
📌 No need to rush into Long or Short positions. It’s best to wait for a confirmed breakout before acting, as premature entries could carry elevated risk.
BTC # 1-hour Bitcoin/USDT chart This 1-hour Bitcoin/USDT chart from Binance shows a recent breakdown from a rising parallel channel (highlighted in pink). Price action broke below the lower trendline and a key support zone (grey area), indicating a bearish shift. The strong red candles signify increased selling pressure. The next major support lies near 115,500 USDT (blue horizontal line), which could act as a potential bounce zone.
thanking you
BTC-----Sell around 118300, target 116000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on July 21:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the fast and slow lines of the attached indicator showed signs of a dead cross, and the overall trend has been in a sluggish state recently. The trend in the big trend also showed obvious signs of falling, so we have to pay attention to the strength and continuation of the retracement next; the short-cycle hourly chart price fell under pressure in the early morning, and the current K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross, so the price fell to the previous low of 115700 area. So you can sell after the pullback during the day, and pay attention to the breakout and strength and weakness trend of the European session.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Sell in the 118300 area, stop loss in the 118600 area, and target the 116000 area;
BTC Target Confluence Zone at \$130K–\$134K – Caution on Alts inHello everyone,
With U.S. stock indices at all-time highs, interest rate cuts on the horizon, and recent stablecoin-related news, Bitcoin is capitalizing on this period of mild euphoria.
Since June 27th, we've also finally seen the beginning of a mini altcoin bull run, with ETH leading the charge by gaining strength against both the USD and BTC.
After several false starts—what some might call mini alt seasons—it's important to remain cautious with altcoins, especially for latecomers who might be entering too late in the cycle.
I’d like to highlight a realistic confluence zone of three technical targets in the \$130K to \$134K range for Bitcoin:
---
1 – Daily Target via 1.618 Fibonacci Extension**
This Fib is drawn from the January 21st, 2024 ATH (\$109.5K) to the April 9th, 2025 low (\$74.5K).
The 1.618 extension lands at **\$131.3K**.
Currently, we’re consolidating around the 1.27 Fib level, which validates this setup.
1 - H4 Target via 2.618 Fibonacci Extension**
This Fib is drawn from the May 23rd, 2025 high (\$111K) to the June 22nd, 2025 low (\$98.2K).
The 2.618 extension points to **\$134K**.
Price has been stalling at the 1.618 extension over the past couple of days, further confirming this Fib level.
3 – Daily Target at the Top of a Broadening Ascending Channel**
The upper resistance of this channel—currently above price—varies depending on the momentum of the next move. Interestingly, it aligns with the Fib extensions above, creating a strong confluence area.
These are, of course, theoretical targets. But during **price discovery**, Fibonacci extensions remain one of the few tools professionals and algorithms rely on to set take-profit levels.
Moonboys calling for a massive altseason might change their tune quickly if BTC gets violently rejected at this confluence zone. Without protection, alts could easily crater—**leaving some portfolios with a second hole**…
To cover all angles, I’ll state the obvious: on the daily and weekly charts, BTC has been steadily grinding within a bullish ascending channel—marked by long, frustrating retracements.
This has allowed the market to build solid strength for what could become a euphoric end to the cycle. BTC might even break out above the channel like it’s textbook.
However, upside breakouts from rising channels are often punished later with sharp reversals in the opposite direction—and that “opposite” could take us all the way back to **\$90K**. A move like that would likely erase the entirety of the altcoin rally in just a few candles.
(And maybe finally fill my forgotten buy orders in the basement 😉)
BTC will survive no matter what, but I’m more concerned about **collateral damage**—and having enough **dry powder** for lowball buy orders, if that fits your strategy.
**RSI**: Nothing to report. No bearish divergence on the D1 or H4.
This is a **short-term bullish outlook** with **realistic targets**, but it’s also a reminder: take some profits while you can—before the market takes them for you (again).
Have a great week
Please, like, dislike, comment and give your idea
Chart on BTC/USDT Spot on Binance 1day candle TF
BTC - LTF Pattern IdentifiedIn our previous posts we were outlining the levels for a potential BTC pullback, but after some price development in this region it may be signaling a different story.
Since our high of $123k we have been forming a downwards sloping trendline of sell pressure (dotted white line). At the same time we have seen bulls continue to buy up the dips in our green box.
This has put price in some sort of symmetrical triangle that is currently testing the upper resistance level for a breakout.
If this breakout is successful then the first target would be $122.8k followed by a potential extended move up to around $130k.
If price fails to breakout and we drop below the LTF accumulation zone then the lower levels outline in the previous posts are still valid. For now monitor for a breakout to the upside.
BTC #Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)chart shows on a 1-hour timeframeThe chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on a 1-hour timeframe experiencing a breakdown from an ascending channel (highlighted in pink). After reaching resistance near $120,800, price sharply declined, breaking below both the channel support and the key horizontal support around $117,000 (blue line). It is now testing the next support zone around $115,000 (green line). This suggests strong bearish momentum, and if $115K fails to hold, further downside could be expected.
Bullish Multi-Timeframe Alignment, Macro Risks & Key Levels__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum: Strong bullish trend across all timeframes.
Major Supports: 115796/117277 (720/240 Pivot Low).
Key Resistances: 119000–123200 (240/D Pivot High), watch for potential extension or profit-taking.
Volume: Healthy participation, no marked anomalies.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong sector momentum except 15min (neutral), risk appetite confirmed.
Multi-TF Behavior Synthesis: No "behavioral sell" warning, ISPD DIV neutral, no climax.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Global Bias: Clearly bullish, all timeframes aligned, no notable technical divergences.
Opportunities: Buy on pullback (HTF support) or on breakout/consolidation above 123200 with increasing bullish volume.
Risk Zones: Drop below 115796 invalidates scenario; watch for “sell” behavioral signals (ISPD red/extreme volumes) or persistent sector divergence.
Macro Catalysts: Next Fed meeting (July 21st), ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Action Plan: Closely monitor supports/resistances, strict stops below 115796, dynamic adjustment to upcoming macro volatility.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D: Bullish breakout, leading tech/growth sector, stable volume.
12H: Bullish signal, price held above all key HTF pivots.
6H: Consolidation below key resistance 123218, no distribution, strength intact.
4H: Sideways just below resistance, controlled pause, possible push upwards.
2H: Stalling under resistance yet bullish momentum still present.
1H: Supports defended, rising volume on rebounds, no excess.
30min: Intraday momentum positive; no signs of reversal, strong indicator consensus.
15min: Testing pivots, slight momentum decline, neutral on Risk On / Risk Off Indicator.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical confluence: All timeframes aligned upward, strong sector momentum, controlled volumes, no behavioral excess. Watch for resolution near the 119000–123200 resistance zone (potential supply), and monitor for alert signals on behavioral/volume side. Macro: anticipate volatility around July 21 (Fed).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & Decision Synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
News / Macro: Upcoming Fed meeting = caution period, expected volatility spike. Geopolitics: Middle East/Europe tensions, no Asian shock.
On-chain: BTC in price discovery, initial STH profit-taking, everyone in latent profit (interim top risk if overheated, reward up to $130k possible).
Actionable checklist:
Optimal entry: Pullback on 115796–117277 or strong breakout above 123200 with confirmed volume
Stop-loss: Below 115796 (major pivot); intraday swings below 117277
Imperative risk management, avoid leveraged trades ahead of macro event
__________________________________________________________________________________
Final Conclusion
__________________________________________________________________________________
Bitcoin is structurally bullish, supported by perfect multi-timeframe alignment, strong sector leadership (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator), and positive on-chain signals. However, proximity to historical resistances and looming volatility call for strict, active risk management. Targets: $123k/$130k; stops below 115796.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, after updating the historical maximum, bitcoin went into correction for the first time, after which it went sideways.
At the moment, the $117,300 – $116,300 zone has been retested (strong absorption of sales) and an active reaction from buyers has been received.
Within the current flat, the cumulative delta supports buyers, indicating the absorption of market sales. At the same time, the global wave structure on the 4H chart casts doubt on the last wave of buys, as we’ve rapidly adjusted back to its beginning.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We expect to exit the sideways at $116,000 – $121,000 in an upward direction from the current levels, either through capturing liquidity and testing the pushing volume zone at $115,000.
The target is the last ATH, which is $123,200. A re-correction is possible near $123,200, resulting in a wider flat range of $123,200 to $115,000. If there is a true breakout, we can expect the continuation of the global long trend.
Buy Zones:
~$115,000 (zone of initiating/pushing volumes)
$110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events this week:
• Tuesday, July 22, 12:30 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Wednesday, July 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on US second-hand housing sales for June;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate for July and the interest rate decision in the Eurozone;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank;
• Thursday, July 24, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices (PMI) in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for July;
• Thursday, July 24, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on new home sales in the United States for June.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTC 4H Structure Break – Long Bias with Conditions🚀 BTC (Bitcoin) has clearly broken bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe.
📈 My bias is to ride the momentum and look for a pullback to enter long.
✅ I follow a specific entry criteria — price must pull back into the imbalance, find support, and then form a bullish break of structure on a 15m chart to trigger an entry.
❌ If that setup doesn't play out, we simply abandon the idea.
⚠️ This is not financial advice.
BTC/USDT – Fibonacci Levels in PlayMEXC:BTCUSDT.P
🔹 Price pushing through key resistance zones
BTC just tapped the 0.618 Fibonacci level (119,212) after breaking above 0.5 — signaling strength in short-term momentum. If bulls can hold above this level, the next logical targets are:
➡️ TP1: 119,976 (0.786)
➡️ TP2: 120,950 (Full retracement)
🔸 Key Support: 118,675
🔸 Invalidation below: 118,500
Holding above the golden zone (0.618) increases the probability for a full move toward 121K. Watching price reaction closely here — breakout or rejection will decide the next leg.
🔄 Keep supporting by sharing and dropping your thoughts!
🚀 And don’t forget to hit that Boost button – it helps and motivates me to keep bringing top-level analysis for you all 🙌
BTC #1-hour chart of Bitcoin/USDTThis 1-hour chart of Bitcoin/USDT (Binance) shows a descending channel pattern with clearly defined upper and lower trendlines. Price has recently broken out of a consolidation zone (highlighted in blue) and is now testing the upper boundary of the descending channel near $119,000. The breakout from the recent range (lasting 54 bars / 2d 6h with 23.78K volume) suggests bullish momentum. However, for confirmation of trend reversal, a strong breakout above the channel is needed. Until then, the broader downtrend structure remains intact.
thanking you
Bitcoin Technical AnalysisBTC made a recorded high of 123,218$ on Monday, and made a correction to 116k$ and keep consolidate in the range of 116k$-120k$, at the time of writing this bitcoin is currently trading at 118,224k$.
116k$-117k$ reacting as a strong support zone, if BTC breakdown this support zone the next target of bears is 112k$-110k$.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart currently reads 64, having declined from last week's overbought level of 70. This suggests a cooling in bullish momentum, potentially signaling a pause or reversal in the recent upward trend.
Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is on the verge of forming a bearish crossover on the daily chart. If confirmed, this crossover would act as a sell signal, reinforcing the view of emerging bearish momentum.
However, if BTC closes above the $120,000 on a daily basis, it could extend the recovery toward the fresh all-time high at $123,218 and beyond.
BTC #15-minute BTC/USDT chart This 15-minute BTC/USDT chart from Binance shows Bitcoin trading within an ascending channel. Price recently bounced off the lower trendline and a highlighted demand zone around 117,800 USDT, suggesting strong support. The upper channel and resistance near 118,800 USDT may act as potential targets. Short-term momentum appears bullish as long as price holds above the support trendline.
Bitcoin: Promising Patterns and Potential BreakoutBitcoin's recent price action has been nothing short of captivating for traders and analysts alike. On the daily chart, we've observed the formation of an Inverse Head & Shoulders and a Cup & Handle pattern, both of which have now transitioned into a Bull Flag. These bullish signals suggest a strong potential for upward movement.
Zooming into the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, we can see prominent Ascending Triangles taking shape. These patterns are often harbingers of significant breakouts, and it appears that Bitcoin is winding up for a substantial move.
Moreover, when utilizing a Trend-based Fibonacci Extension on the daily timeframe, the golden pocket points to a target of $126k, with the next pocket at $185k. This aligns with historical data and technical indicators, suggesting that Bitcoin might be poised to rewrite history once again.
Stay tuned as we monitor these developments and anticipate what could be a historic breakout for Bitcoin!