The Most Watched Flag in The WorldCRYPTO:BTCUSD NASDAQ:IBIT has formed an incredibly tight flag with some receding volume since it's crept over the 200 day moving average. I really love this setup as it gives a fantastic place to both manage risk and also gives incredible upside.
With US stocks under pressure, gold under pressure (extended) and other industries under water I really am considering this trade with incredible size.
Some possibilities:
It could break down and do a small shakeout
It could also just tank :)
But interestingly, the fear and greed index for crypto right now is pretty neutral which makes me think its a perfect storm at least from a risk perseptive.
Lets see how it works out.
BTCUST trade ideas
BTCUSDT Bitcoin (BTC) is the world’s first and most prominent cryptocurrency, introduced in 2009 by the pseudonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized, peer-to-peer network using blockchain technology, which ensures transparency, security, and the absence of a central authority. Bitcoin’s supply is capped at 21 million coins, making it a deflationary digital asset
How Bitcoin Works
Blockchain: Bitcoin transactions are validated and recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain, maintained by a global network of nodes.
Mining: New transactions are confirmed through a process called mining, which involves solving complex cryptographic puzzles. Successful miners are rewarded with new BTC, though this reward halves roughly every four years in an event known as the "halving".
Decentralization: Unlike traditional banking systems, no single entity controls Bitcoin. Anyone can participate in the network by running a node or mining.
Security: Bitcoin’s security relies on cryptography and the distributed nature of its ledger. Hardware wallets are recommended for safe storage.
Key Features
Limited Supply: Only 21 million BTC will ever exist, contributing to its scarcity and store-of-value characteristics.
Global and Borderless: Bitcoin can be sent anywhere in the world without intermediaries.
Transparency: All transactions are publicly recorded and verifiable on the blockchain.
Volatility: Bitcoin’s price is highly volatile, influenced by market sentiment, macroeconomic factors, and regulatory developments.
Historical Context
Genesis Block: The first Bitcoin block was mined in January 2009.
First Transaction: In 2010, 10,000 BTC were exchanged for two pizzas, marking the first real-world Bitcoin transaction ("Bitcoin Pizza Day").
Growth: Bitcoin’s price has experienced dramatic increases and corrections, with notable all-time highs in late 2024 and early 2025.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization and adoption. Its decentralized nature, capped supply, and robust security model have established it as both a digital currency and a store of value. The current price hovers around $95,000, with ongoing volatility reflecting global economic trends and evolving investor sentiment.
Retailer Purchasing ZoneThe highlighted red zone remains unfilled. Technically, even if the price moves upward now, it's likely to return back down shortly after. There's currently no real catalyst for a sustained upward move. Right now, retail investors are being lured into buying. After that, we may see a quick upward spike that allows whales to enter the market. That’s when a strong catalyst for real growth could emerge.
Bitcoin needs additional buying momentumBitcoin Technical Update
Bitcoin has broken above the descending trendline, entering a bullish phase 📈.
Currently, BTC is approaching a major supply zone between $95,600 and $96,800 🟥.
In order to fuel a powerful move above $100,000, Bitcoin needs additional buying momentum, which could come from the demand zone located between $67,700 and $69,300 🟩.
Thus, a gradual, step-by-step pullback toward the $88,000 level — and potentially lower prices — should not be ruled out before any strong bullish continuation
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Continuation Setup – Long Opportunity Above🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
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b]Current Market Conditions (Confidence Level: 8/10):
Price at $94,627, showing strong bullish momentum with a clear structure of higher highs and higher lows.
Hidden bullish divergence spotted on RSI, indicating potential for continued upside.
Market Makers appear to be accumulating aggressively, with strong buy pressure noted in recent price action.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $95,400 (Fair Value Gap area)
Support: $93,600 (FVG + prior resistance retest)
Critical Support: $93,200
Trade Setup (Long Bias):
Entry: Optimal between $94,200 – $94,400 zone.
Targets:
T1: $95,400
T2: $96,000
Stop Loss: $93,100 (safely below FVG and critical support).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Bullish market structure supports the setup, but proximity to local highs introduces moderate risk of short-term pullback.
Key Observations:
Accumulation signs present with bullish candle formations and volume increases.
RSI supports continuation, with hidden bullish divergence strengthening the setup.
FVG areas at $93,600 and $95,400 crucial for validating the move.
Recommendation:
Long positions favored with tight risk management.
Consider partial profit at $95,400 to de-risk, and leave a runner towards $96,000.
Watch price action closely around $95,400 for signs of rejection or breakout.
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Bitcoin - Back Under Intersecting Bearish TrendlinesBitcoin is back underneath these two intersecting bearish trendlines.
I have laid out two potential paths Bitcoin could take to play this out.
When an asset in crypto goes only up for so long, it leaves behind a trail of leveraged liquidity in the form of stop losses. These wide open gaps filled with long stop losses, is the fuel that would make such a move possible. In other words, the sell orders are already in the chart in order to make this possible.
Personally, I expect this to happen.
DXY is showing a major breakdown and bearish retest at the moment - with a falling dollar over the next 2-3 years, that translates to a true bull market for Bitcoin and related assets.
The market has a very small time window to recollect all of the long position liquidity in the chart, which is in the billions.
See my previous posts to see confluences, liquidity mapping, etc.
Happy trading and I will be trading this myself.
BTC trading plan updateAt this stage, I think that if BTC wants to increase strongly in the long term, there must be a sustainable accumulation factor. We need to stand aside and consider and pay the market price lower than the nearest bottom. Don't be hasty to fomo with the crowd because of the weekly candle!
BTC 2025.04.29***Follow SEOVEREIGN to receive real-time alerts.
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**Our team regularly publishes in-depth reports on the cryptocurrency market.
Following the idea published on the 22nd, we are now shifting from the long (buy) perspective, which we have consistently maintained for an extended period, to a short (sell) outlook in the near term.
We sincerely hope that many of you were able to achieve meaningful results during the previous uptrend. Now, however, we are detecting clear signs of a market transition and, accordingly, we present a short-side strategy.
From a technical standpoint, the current chart is delivering highly significant signals based on Elliott Wave Theory.
Notably, the ongoing 5th wave has extended precisely to 1.618 times the length of the 1st wave — a textbook example of an extended 5th wave under Elliott principles.
Such structural completion statistically suggests a heightened probability of a major trend reversal.
Visually, each wave is forming with remarkable precision and natural flow, without any signs of forced interpretation or overfitting.
It represents an ideal wave structure — clean, coherent, and organically developed.
Taking all these objective and structural factors into consideration, we believe this is a highly appropriate juncture to consider exiting long positions and exploring short entries.
For those who share this view, please refer to the following target levels when establishing your strategy:
1st Target: 90,868
2nd Target: 87,831
As always, we strongly encourage you to accompany any position entry with thorough risk management and flexible operational strategies.
The market can always move beyond expectations, and maintaining a posture of humility and preparedness will be your strongest defense in protecting your capital.
This is a time that demands sharp insight and decisive action more than ever.
We wish all of you wisdom, clarity, and strength in making your next strategic move.
We are at the decision line. As you can see, the situation is quite clear. If it supports this decision line, new Ath is on its way. But if it cannot support, a bloodbath is on its way.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Things are going well for Bitcoin.Bitcoin's recent downtrend has been broken upwards. The peak between the two bottoms was broken with high volume.
Bitcoin received strong support from exactly the point I mentioned in my previous analysis titled Bitcoin Decision Point. I think it's quite possible that it will reach the 142k target in my analysis. I recommend you to review the analysis I have provided in the attachment.
However, before this rise, Bitcoin may want to retest the peak between the two buttoms it broke above.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Stromm | BITCOIN Are You BULLISH Enough? When you zoom out to the 12-hour chart , Bitcoin actually looks really clean right now. Since my entry at $75,800, we’ve seen a solid 25% rally that’s clearly shifted the momentum back to bullish. -
But even with that move, I’m not fully convinced yet that we’re on our way straight to a new all-time high.
There’s still a lot of work to be done before that happens.
Right now, I’m watching the zone between $96,400 and $102,300 as a potential reaction area — basically a spot where we could see Wave B complete.
We’re hovering around the Yearly Open, which historically acts as both strong support and resistance, and we’re also right at the Previous Monthly High.
If BTC can hold this zone, we absolutely could push higher toward $102K.
However, I don’t think it’s realistic yet to expect a clean shot to $110K without a deeper pullback first.
Most likely, we’ll need another flush lower to reset before any major breakout.
That said, I’m still long and staying patient.
If we do somehow rip toward $120K, I’m already well-positioned.
And if we get another sell-off?
I’ll be adding even more — no hesitation there.
Of course, a lot of this depends on how the political and macro situation evolves.
There’s definitely a world where the perfect narrative gets laid down, and we rocket to $120K.
But there’s also a world where that doesn't happen — and it’s important to stay mentally flexible between "must happen," "could happen," and "might not happen at all."
BTCUSDT - Binance FuturesBTCUSDT – Weekly Technical Outlook
🔹 Market Overview
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) continues its steady upward recovery, currently trading around $94,000.
Following a strong bullish breakout from prior consolidation zones, BTC is now holding near local highs, showing cautious optimism among market participants.
🔹 Key Technical Highlights
• Price remains above major moving averages, confirming a bullish weekly structure.
• Support levels:
• $88,900 → Previous breakout base
• $81,780 → Strong weekly liquidity zone
• Resistance levels:
• $95,700–$97,500 → Critical supply zone ahead
• Psychological target above: $100,000+
🔹 Trend and Momentum
• Weekly trend is bullish while BTC holds above $88,900.
• Breakout above $95,700 could lead towards the $100,000 psychological target.
• Volume remains supportive of continuation.
🔹 Summary
BTC is consolidating at higher levels after an impressive rally.
A confirmed breakout above $95,700 would likely ignite further momentum.
Support zones remain intact, suggesting bullish structure continuation unless major levels are lost.
⚠️ This is an informational and educational analysis only. No financial advice is provided.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoTrading #MarketFocus #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
BTC/USDTRight now, BTC is at a crossroads. We've completed the weekly Fibonacci retracement and returned to the main trading zone.
It's crucial to hold the key level at 94,400.
If we succeed, the next target is 99–100K for BTC.
At that point, we should watch for a local correction — we likely won't break through 100K on the first attempt.
Altcoins should also catch up accordingly.
Finally, everything looks nice locally, and it's a good time to start building strong swing positions