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BTC Possible HTF HL Creation 2BTC Possible HTF Creation 2 (update from first post): Chart inverted; analysis below as if it weren't an inverted chart: 1) Weak highs as there isn't an SFP or some kind of big wick candle; 2) Price did break below a significant part of the HL structure but not the full structure (last HL hasn't been broken): - The part it broke down below isn't outstanding enough to produce a big breakdown (my intuition tells me). It isn't a MSB as the last HL is still intact and the structure it did break below I think can't produce a big downmove (which then would create a MSB if it happened but I think would be weak and shortlived, likely to be capped at that outstanding low at 95k). - Price didn't instantly break below structure, it first made a LH (April 10) which weakens the downmove significantly to where my intuition tells me there now can't be a full MSB being formed. ------------------------------ No significance at highs (no SFP) nor big previous high being hit so no reason for trend shift. Price did break some significant structure but not fully and not fast enough: it first produced a LH before breaking below it. that's key here: if it was a breakdown in one go then price would have broken below the structure very close to the structure making the structure way stronger in resistance and therefore the likelyhood of a real breakdown way higher. That price is consolidating now (so not going fast anymore) is fine: horizontality creates space for a move in either way. But the fact that price didn't break below the structure in one go is the important part which I think cancels out the breakdown. Just looking at it simply, pure intuition. This will never break down as that structure which it broke down below isn't outstanding enough and there is not enough verticality (no strength). I would never short this. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- And now coming out of the inverted chart: If I would never short this this means I would never buy this at 82k. But the HTF HL, I want to say it as an ego thing: will higly likely be an SFP of the Monday April 7 lowest low and I have put my 100% allocation on it (might take out some to buy the ETH lowest low of June 2022 as these moves would probably go together and ETH is the better investment if you want to make bigger profits) This ego thing is a traders' mistake as you can never be 100% sure in trading so you should never put a limit order on a level in advance, but I'm a young guy and me buying the lowest low of the HTF HL with great potential I could be right is a risk I'm willing to take as the benefit of me being right (having THAT amount of conviction with serious high level analysis backing that conviction) would just prove to me that I'm one of the best in the world in trading BTC, and this mental benefit will flow into daily ordinary life as I would then have proof of this 'status' (forgive me people, I know better but I'm still young and I know having this ego thing now will create a laugh + will make me happy in the future) + gives me more rest to focus on my studies. I accept the traders' mistake as this is a HTF HL environment, not an ordinary area in between.
by EyyJasper
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation We are however still in a downtrend and current area is the place for the new LH. We already have the SFP at the highs (thus, good for the LH formation) but this hasn't provided any downward move + MSB isn't possible anymore as it has taken too long. We could get a LH SFP though which I think will still create the downmove. The question I ask myself now: what if we don't get the LH SFP and go down first? This would then create the HTF HL I think, as price has no resistance but still breaks down + there's no short setup to be found. But: will it go back to the lowest low of 74k or will it stay above the blue line structure and form the low around 82k? If the lowest low was an SFP price wouldn't go back to the lowest low but now I don't know: big horizontality makes past structure weaker to where price can easily go through it but at the same time if there's no reason to break down why would it break down in such a big way (from 84k to 74k instead of 84k-82k)?
by EyyJasper
ShortThere's only one very small possibility for a bullish scenario from where we are right now. Looking at the volume and the weakness following the bounce from 74k after the initial 2 surges.... This will get extremely ugly over the next few weeks. If we hold above the 74xxx low, we can grind to 145k over the next 6 months. That hard low is going to be retested very soon. If the bears break it, this double 3 will play out with targets of GETTEX:48K -62k. Right now I'm short. I will closely watch the push down below 78k that is currently building. If we hold above under extreme bearish pressure / volume, I will look to open longs. If we slowly grind below 78, 77, 76, 75, with low volume, I will remain short as this will signal extreme bearish bias.
by KingsOfCrypto
BTC/USDT Analysis – Seller WeaknessHey everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst checking in with your daily market breakdown. Yesterday, Bitcoin once again tested the previously marked sell zone at $85,000–$86,200 (where a strong market seller is active), and we saw an immediate sharp reaction from that area. However, signs of buyer defense appeared near the lower boundary, and price bounced without even reaching the bottom of the current range. Taking all of this into account, we can conclude that the seller is showing weakness — there's effort, but no result. That suggests we’re likely to test the local high in the near future. Sell Zones: $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume) $97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volume) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $82,700–$81,400 (high-volume support) $74,800 level $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes) What do you think — which way will this range break? Drop your thoughts in the comments — always great to compare perspectives! This post is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
2
BTCUSDT – Watching for a Potential Short Near 87KBitcoin is currently trading within a broader downtrend, and the recent bullish move appears to be a correctional phase within that structure. Price is approaching a key resistance zone around $87,000, which aligns with the descending trendline and a previous support-turned-resistance level. This confluence zone could act as a strong rejection area, offering a potential selling opportunity if bearish confirmation is seen. I’ll be watching for reversal signals (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, momentum divergence) around that level to validate a short setup.
Short
by JoeChampion
5
LONG BTC TO 110K from 84k We have a weekly divergence with strong volume and double tap on the 50 EMA Price should not close below the 50EMA TWO weeks in a row otherwise the bull run is over. As we have defended this line on two attempts to break it and the last one was defended with strong volume, that suggests we have a bottom at 74k There is also divergence on the daily chart on MACD and RSI. volume profile on the weekly for buying exceeds selling. Daily chart has 3 clear drops from the peak of 110k so now time for a rise back to the upper band on the weekly chart. We are above the 4 hour 50EMA and holding that line
Long
by akenswa
BTCUSD - Another Dip Is Possible With This Count...Recent rejections at the highs have prompted a deeper analysis, and the findings are quite intriguing. Based on a detailed wave review, there's a possibility we're currently trading within an expanded Wave B zig-zag pattern that has yet to find a bottom. If this scenario holds and we see a break below the 83,000 support level, price could potentially decline toward the 74,517 area. On the upside, resistance is observed at 86,506 and 85,493.
Short
by AriasWave