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BTCUST trade ideas

BTCUSDT – Weekly Breakout Setup Targeting $115K–$125K | BullishDescription: Bitcoin is showing a clear continuation pattern on both the daily and weekly timeframes, supported by strong trend structure and healthy consolidation. After breaking out of a long-range accumulation zone (60K–72K), BTC has maintained its position above critical levels and is now forming a bullish flag/pennant just below a major resistance band (~106K). 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Higher highs and higher lows structure in both D1 and W1. Current consolidation resembles a bullish pennant, often a continuation pattern after parabolic moves. Price holding well above the midline of the ascending channel and major MAs (50/100/200 EMA) on daily. Weekly candle bodies are closing higher with strong wicks rejecting downside, showing buying strength. RSI is climbing again (D1 ~69, W1 ~64) – still below overbought, leaving more room to run. MACD has bullish crossover and momentum histogram is green. ADX above 23 and increasing, indicating strong trend potential. 📌 Support & Resistance: Immediate Resistance: 106,000 (Previous Weekly High - PWH) Major Breakout Level: 110,000 (Horizontal + Fib Confluence + Weekly structure) Support: 100,000 psychological + dynamic trendline + demand zone Strong Base: 96,000–98,000 (must hold for bullish bias to remain) 🎯 Trade Setup (Swing Long Idea): Entry (Breakout): Above 106,000 Targets: TP1: 110,000 TP2: 115,000 TP3: 124,000 (channel top / measured move target) Stop Loss: Below 98,500 (or tighter under structure at 100,000 depending on risk appetite)
Long
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTCUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a bullish trading setup for BTC/USDT on the 30-minute timeframe, suggesting a potential upward breakout after a pattern that resembles an inverse head and shoulders formation. Key Elements: Green Arrows: Indicate potential buy entry points. Orange Circles: Highlight the formation of two shoulders and a head (classic signs of a reversal pattern). Blue Arrow and Zone: Take Profit: Around the $106,354 level. Stop Loss: Slightly below $102,372. Current Price: ~$103,740 Interpretation: The chart suggests a long trade setup: Entry Zone: Near $103,000–$103,740 Target: ~$106,354 Stop Loss: Below $102,372 This strategy relies on a breakout confirmation after the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Always manage risk appropriately and confirm signals with volume or other indicators before entering. Let me know if you want a breakdown of the risk-reward ratio or additional technical indicators.
Long
by money_magnet2
Bitcoin Stalls at $104,700 — Breakout Pending as Volume Remains BTC has been trading in a tight consolidation range all week, showing little momentum as it tests the $104,700 resistance zone. Despite repeated attempts, price action has failed to break out, largely due to declining volume and strong confluence at the current level. Key Highlights: Resistance Level: $104,700 (Value Area High + Daily S/R + Local Range High) Volume Profile: Weak volume prevents confirmation of breakout Price Behavior: Multiple candles closing within range without breakout
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-14 22:00 UTCBTC/USDT is currently in a short-term neutral to bearish phase on the 1H chart. The overall structure shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a primary downtrend. 🔍 Technical Indicator Overview RSI (14): Current value: 44.6 → Neutral (no divergence). RSI dipped as low as 25.1 earlier (02:05 UTC), but there was no sustained recovery. MACD (12,26,9): Histogram: -7.9173, signaling bearish momentum. Last bullish crossover (02:40 UTC) did not hold. MACD remaining flat while price makes lower lows may indicate weakening bearish momentum ATR (14): Current: 102.07 → Declining, suggests lower volatility and potential consolidation. Volume: Well below average, adding to the low-conviction price movement. 📉 Key Price Levels Support Zones: $103,400–$103,500: Multi-tested today → Short-term support cluster. $103,200: Next key support, psychological + previous reaction zone. Resistance Zones: $104,000: Multiple intraday rejections today. $104,500–$104,600: Strong resistance (yesterday’s high). MACD Divergence Observation: Price made lower lows, but MACD remained flat = Potential momentum weakening. 🎯 Educational Scenarios Scenario A – Sideways Consolidation: Holding above $103,400 → Range-bound between $103,400–$104,000 likely. Scenario B – Support Breakdown: Break below $103,400 with volume → Potential drop toward $103,200. Scenario C – Bullish Breakout: Close above $104,000 with RSI >50 and volume spike → Could retest $104,600. Scenario D – Extended Bearish Case: Failure to hold $103,200 → May test $102,800 (May 13 low). ⚠️ Risk Considerations Low ATR (<110) = Higher false breakout probability. Confirm any breakout with volume surge. Neutral setups = wait for confirmation before directional bias. 📚 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Designed to help viewers learn how to read indicators and chart structures objectively based on current market behavior.
by CryptoSignalsChannel
No Clear Break Yet – Bounce or Bigger Correction?There haven’t been any major changes in Bitcoin’s directional structure compared to yesterday. We saw a rebound while successfully holding the local low set during yesterday’s early morning session, and price action has followed the expected path quite well—reaching into the resistance zone and reacting accordingly. The recent rebound from the $100,700 low may offer enough of a recovery move, but for a sustained continuation to the upside, we now need to see price hold the first support zone between $103,000 and $102,000, and ideally also preserve the second support around $101,500. However, even if these support zones hold, failure to break previous highs could still result in another downward leg—potentially leading to a break back below $100K. This is an important scenario to keep in mind. In short, we still need to determine whether this bounce is: The completion of a correction wave and the start of a new uptrend or Just a temporary rebound before a deeper correction unfolds on the higher timeframe. Even if we see meaningful bullish movement on the lower timeframes, it must also be confirmed across higher timeframes to be reliable. This is not a zone to hold blindly with blind optimism—whether long or short, if you’re in profit after a solid wave, consider partial profit-taking and manage your position proactively. At the moment, the market remains in a range-bound structure, with neither the highs nor the lows broken decisively. I recommend using today’s update in conjunction with yesterday’s analysis—it will help you better understand the current structure, improve your positioning, and support your trading decisions.
Short
by GoldenCloud_Jude
Btcusd Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $103,000 at the time of writing on Friday after rallying nearly 10% this week. The sharp price increase was supported by improved market sentiment as US President Donald Trump announced a trade deal with the United Kingdom (UK), partly easing the tariff-related uncertainty that has weighed on crypto since Trump's inauguration. Risky assets were the winners this week, with Bitcoin soaring nearly 10%, fueled by the news on Thursday of a trade deal between the US and the UK that was announced by US President Donald Trump and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer. This trade leaves in place a 10% tariff on goods imported from the UK to the US, while Britain agreed to lower its tariffs to 1.8% from 5.1% and provide greater access to US goods
Short
by Stiven088
[BTC] 2025.04.18Greetings. It’s a pleasure to reconnect with you. Before diving into altcoin analysis, we believe it is essential to first address Bitcoin, as it remains the key driver in determining the overall market direction. Since the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin has been in a prolonged consolidation phase accompanied by a downward trend. In an effort to identify a potential bottom for this correction, we have closely monitored the market over the past three months. Initially, our team identified the period around March 10 as a likely inflection point for a bullish reversal and prepared a related analysis idea. However, we refrained from publishing it, as the movements of key altcoins—which typically serve as leading indicators—did not align with our internal criteria. As anticipated, the market went on to form another low. We now believe that April 7 marked not just a temporary bounce, but a potential structural pivot point in the broader trend. The rationale behind this assessment is outlined in detail below. We appreciate your time and hope you find the insights valuable. We believe the logical starting point is to examine the key highs that have formed during this cycle. Among the two major peaks—referred to here as “Point 1” and “Point 2”—it is critical to determine which marks the termination of the fifth wave. This distinction plays a pivotal role in accurately interpreting the subsequent wave structure. If Point 1 is the conclusion of the fifth wave, then Point 2 can be naturally understood as the terminal point of a corrective B wave. Conversely, if Point 2 represents the end of the fifth wave, then the decline that followed is likely the beginning of a corrective A wave. To validate this, we conducted a detailed analysis based on Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios. The results showed that Point 2 did not align well with any major wave theory frameworks. Its price structure and time proportion appeared incomplete and inconsistent. In contrast, Point 1 exhibited a high degree of confluence with multiple classical wave theories, including Glenn Neely’s NEoWave principles. Structurally, it demonstrated the typical characteristics of a completed five-wave advance. Based on this evidence, we conclude that Point 1 is the more valid candidate for the fifth wave termination. Consequently, we believe any analysis of the current market structure should build upon this interpretation. To further clarify the interpretation of the key peak, we present two possible scenarios using Fibonacci ratios as the analytical foundation. These scenarios are illustrated as the red path and the blue path, each representing a different wave development depending on the subsequent market movement. However, the key takeaway is that both scenarios converge on a single conclusion: “Point 1” marks the completion of a full wave cycle, and can thus be identified as the termination point of the fifth wave. While the detailed wave progression may evolve depending on how the market unfolds, recognizing that a major top has already been established is essential for shaping any mid-to-long-term strategy. This structural understanding serves as a critical anchor in the broader market outlook. Having previously identified “Point 2” as the likely termination of the B wave, our current focus shifts to pinpointing the end of the C wave— in other words, the optimal buying zone within the corrective structure. Our team initially regarded the period around March 10 as a strong candidate for the conclusion of the C wave. However, due to insufficient synchronicity across the broader market— particularly the lack of confirmation from key altcoins— we concluded that this point did not represent a genuine inflection. ※ Our analysis is based not on individual coins but on a comprehensive structural assessment of the overall market. As a result, we extended our observation period. A clear and confident reversal signal was finally detected around April 7. In hindsight, the March 10 low proved to be a false bottom, marked only by a temporary rebound, whereas the true structural pivot materialized in early April. With this in mind, we believe the market is now entering a phase where a full wave reversal is plausible, and it is time to begin formulating a strategic entry plan in alignment with this outlook. Now, let us evaluate whether the second low (April 7) qualifies as the true termination point of the C wave. From a technical standpoint, the preceding decline exhibits the hallmarks of an Ending Diagonal— a classic pattern frequently observed at the conclusion of C waves. This structure serves as a strong technical signal that the wave sequence is entering its final stage, indicating not just a temporary rebound, but the potential for a structural trend reversal. Considering both the wave characteristics and the timing context, we believe there is sufficient evidence to regard the April 7 low not merely as a short-term bottom, but as the culmination of the C wave—and more importantly, the starting point of a major reversal in the broader trend. Finally, to further reinforce the technical foundation of our analysis, we turn to harmonic pattern analysis. By applying a range of Fibonacci ratios between the start and termination of the B wave, we have identified a remarkably precise Deep Crab pattern— one of the most powerful reversal signals among all harmonic structures. Notably, the current price action has landed directly within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), strongly suggesting that the timing for a strategic long position is ripe. In summary, we now have a confluence of three compelling signals: A clear Ending Diagonal structure at the tail end of the C wave, A significant inflection point formed around April 7, And a textbook Deep Crab harmonic pattern confirming the reversal zone. These three elements align cohesively to provide a well-founded justification for initiating long exposure. There is no longer a reason for hesitation. Assuming appropriate risk management is in place, we believe this is a moment to enter with confidence. Thank you sincerely for reading this analysis in full. We will continue to provide high-quality, data-driven market insights, rooted in both structural depth and technical precision. If our perspective resonates with your approach to the market, we warmly invite you to follow our work and stay connected. Your support and engagement are what fuel our continued efforts. See you in the next idea.
Long
by SeoVereign