Bitcoin H1: Effort vs Result Breakdown!Massive selling volume spikes near the last swing low, but price reversal came in strong! 📉➡️📈
The law of Effort vs Result at play:
Effort: Sellers dumped hard, but the result? A bullish reversal 🚀
Result: Price back above key levels and closing near $109.5K. 💥
🔮 Price Target:
→ Immediate Resistance: $110K
→ Next Extension: $112K
This move shows that even with high volume sell-offs, buyers are in control. 🚀💰
BTCUST trade ideas
BTC: Strong bullish trend, key resistance 111–112k in focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes (1D to 15min).
Major supports: 100335, 104940, 106743 – multi-timeframe confluence, natural risk management levels.
Key resistances: 109952 – 111949 (historical pivot zones).
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator clearly favoring "Risk On" (strong buy). Tech sector in leadership mode, favorable context.
Volumes normal to moderately elevated, no major behavioral anomalies (ISPD DIV neutral).
No significant divergence between technical and behavioral indicators detected.
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Strategic Summary
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Overall bias : firmly bullish, but tactical caution just below 111,000–112,000.
Opportunities : prioritize buys/reloads on pullbacks to 104,900–100,300.
Risk zones : clean break below 103.7k ⇒ risk of acceleration to 95.6k; invalidation if daily close <103,700$ or >2 sessions <97,100$.
Macro catalysts : Fed decision (06/18), US CPI (06/12), Trump speech (06/10); anticipate higher volatility.
Action plan : engage tactically below resistance; recommended swing stop-loss at $97,000; active management after each catalyst event.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D : Massive support 100k-103k, critical resistance 111–112k. Robust momentum and context, no behavioral overheating.
12H : Steady staircase progression, intermediate supports respected (104940–106743), healthy volumes, ongoing up-trend.
6H : Bullish background, no excessive flow or defensive behavioral signals.
4H : Resistance zone test (111949–109952), structure remains solidly up, no reversal detected.
2H : Slightly rising volumes on resistance test, no behavioral excess. Positive momentum.
1H : Active resistance test, moderate volumes. Bullish structure intact.
30min : Micro-consolidation below resistance, no excessive volume/behavior. Trend up.
15min : Volume spike on last upward move, rapid normalization. Reload possible if breakout above 110k is confirmed.
Multi-timeframe summary : Bullish confluence, no strong reversal signal as long as support at 103.7k holds.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong buy, tech sector leading, no structural risk detected in capital rotation.
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Synthesis & Decision-Making
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Dominant structure : BTC market structurally bullish, supported by multi-timeframe converging supports and solid tech sector.
No behavioral anomaly (ISPD DIV neutral); volumes under control; only vigilance below 111–112k due to matured seller pressure.
Macro context : Fed’s rates unchanged expected, major catalysts nearing with potential for significant volatility.
On-chain analysis : active distribution from long-term holders, critical area 103.7k–97.1k, demand must absorb “long-duration” supply.
Trading recommendation : favor buys/reloads on pullback (104,900–100,300); tactical caution under 111–112k; swing stop-loss at $97,000 advised.
BTC structurally bullish, but approaches a critical phase: robust multi-timeframe supports, positive macro momentum, no excessive behavioral exuberance. Heightened vigilance required below 111–112k due to pressure from long-term holders; dynamic risk management needed around major macro events.
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Bitcoin Price Update📊 Bitcoin Price Update: Key Resistance Zone Between $110K and $111.7K — Range-Bound Potential Ahead
As previously mentioned, Bitcoin's price action suggests that a break above $106,355 would signal the start of a bullish trend, and so far, we've seen upward momentum maintained while staying above $107K.
Now, Bitcoin has reached a critical resistance zone between $110,246.83 and $111,782.11. This area presents a potential for market hesitation, as it aligns with a strong resistance level. Given the significant movement over the past few days, it’s possible the market may enter a range-bound phase as it consolidates and structures itself for the next move.
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📉 Possible Short-Term Range:
Range Between: $110,246.83 to $111,782.11
Expect possible sideways consolidation before continuing the trend
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📈 Bullish Continuation:
As long as Bitcoin remains above $107K, the bullish trend remains intact
Break above $111,782.11 may signal continuation toward higher targets
BTC/USDT Long PositionAfter a strong bullish impulse, price pulled back and formed a clear demand zone (OB) near the origin of the move.
The market is now retesting this zone after breaking short-term structure to the upside.
Entry:
Long from demand zone (OB) at the base of the bullish impulse.
Confluences:
✔️ Clean bullish BOS (Break of Structure)
✔️ Strong rejection wick from demand
✔️ Lower time frame liquidity grab
✔️ Favorable R:R setup
SL: Below the OB
TP: Targeting previous supply zone above
Bias: Bullish until structure shifts again
FOLLOW ME FOR MORE SIGNAL
BTC/USDT Analysis (15m) – Short Position Setup📌 BTC/USDT Analysis (15m) – Short Position Setup
🔍 After a sharp rally, the market started a corrective phase and formed a bearish structure with lower highs.
A sell limit order is placed at the 110063 supply zone, targeting potential continuation to the downside.
🎯 Target: 108578
⛔️ Stop Loss: 110557
⚠️ Risk/Reward: Favorable and aligned with current market structure.
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy
Daily Level
Price Structure: Last week, it fell to 100,000 points and did not break the support. Then it returned to the horizontal adjustment range, but it was still suppressed by the downward trend line above, and the overall high-level decline structure was maintained.
K-line pattern: The two consecutive days of closing cross stars showed that the long-short game intensified, but there was no clear direction.
Momentum indicator: RSI continued to shrink, indicating that short-term momentum weakened, and attention should be paid to breakthrough signals.
4-hour level
Key resistance: 106,700 (horizontal channel top + downward trend line bonding pressure), breaking through is expected to test the 110,000 mark.
Key support: 103,500 (range bottom), 101,000 (strong support), if it falls below, it may form a head and shoulders top structure, and further look down to 97,600 (previous step support).
Short-term trading strategy
Short order opportunity
Entry area: 106,000-106,700
Stop loss: 108,000 (short order invalidated after trend line breakthrough)
Target: 103,500 → 101,000
Long order observation point
If the price stabilizes above 106,700, you can wait for confirmation of the retracement before arranging long orders, with a target of 110,000.
If it stabilizes at 101,000-103,500, you can consider short-term rebound trading.
Key trend judgment
Break above 106,700 → Continue to adjust upward and test 110,000.
Break below 103,500 → Confirm the head and shoulders top, target 97,600.
Range oscillation (103,500-106,700) → Wait for a breakthrough signal.
(Risk warning: Pay attention to changes in market liquidity and the impact of macro data, and strictly stop loss.)
BTC's trading strategy for todayBTC has continued its upward trend as analyzed. It tested the resistance area above 110,000 today and began to decline. A small - scale decline is expected within the day, and short - term trading can try shorting.
BTC's trading strategy for today:
BTCUSDT sell@110000-111000
tp:108000-107000
Bitcoin Pre-CPI PlanJust like in trading it’s all about structure, levels and reaction.
We’ve seen BTC bounce cleanly from the psychological level of $100,299 and rally all the way to $110,667.
Based on that impulse move, I’m watching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $106,586 as a potential dip-buy zone. That level aligns perfectly with:
✅ 4H Fair Value Gap
✅ Previous Week High
If we get a healthy CPI print today, I expect BTC to continue the bullish move and go for a new ATH.
🎯 First target: $112,345 (slightly above Previous Month High)
📉 Then, a potential pullback to $110,667 (support retest)
🚀 Followed by a breakout move to $117,604 the 1.618 Fib extension
All eyes on today’s CPI. If the data is good, the sky’s the limit.
Let’s see if bulls have the strength to push it all the way. 💪📈
BTC - Ranges overview Let's have a look at BTC as we start this new week.
From a weekly perspective you can see how we through around the weekly gap (blue box)and respected it.
On the LTF we broke below it and failed to close below it.
From here expect us to aggressively trade back towards 110K and eventually new ATH.
IF we fail to hold the current sellside, we will revisit the weekly gap (blue box) and 105K.
As always WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
BTC - SetupWe’ve just broken through the major bearish trend reversal zone.
If momentum holds — and I believe it will —
we’re likely about to see the next BTC rally,
which means altcoins will follow.
But now is not the time to enter.
Anyone who hasn’t positioned long after all the entry setups we had is just fucked and missed it...
Right now, it’s time to wait and to do nothing.
We’ll see what the future will bring.
This is also the moment to lock in and stick to your plan — no matter what.
Euphoria is coming, and those without fixed rules
are going to get absolutely wrecked.
LFG.
Send it higher. 🚀
The current price action appears to be forming or just breaking 🔍 Pattern Analysis:
✅ Possibly a Rising Wedge / Bearish Channel:
• The price has moved up sharply and is consolidating in a narrowing, upward-sloping range, which is typical of a rising wedge—a bearish reversal pattern.
• These wedges often break downward, especially if they form after a steep rise (which BTC has recently had).
✅ Breakout Zone:
• BTC appears to be testing or just breaking above the upper trendline of a prior descending resistance (could be a breakout retest of a downtrend line from a larger timeframe).
• Volume shows a slight uptick, which adds some bullish confirmation, but RSI is in overbought territory (above 70), suggesting caution.
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📊 RSI & Volume Context:
• RSI is above 70, showing potential overbought conditions.
• Volume spiked during the recent move up, suggesting strong buying interest—but watch for divergences.
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🔄 What to Watch Next:
1. Fakeout Risk: If the price fails to hold above the trendline and falls back into the wedge, this would validate the bearish wedge and could lead to a drop.
2. Confirmation of Breakout: A sustained close above ~$108,000 with strong volume may flip this pattern into a bullish breakout, invalidating the wedge.
3. Support to Watch: $106,500 (recent breakout area), $105,000, and the lower wedge line.
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⚠️ Summary:
• Likely Pattern: Rising wedge (bearish), with possible breakout attempt.
• Bias: Cautiously bullish short-term, but bearish risk increases if the price closes back below the trendline.
#BTC - Post Weekly Close Update 👉#BTC has deviated from the RLs and has since seen a magnificent recovery into KL, which, if closed above on the daily, can result in higher prices, potentially even a new ATH. The weekly candle itself is a long-legged doji, which, as you know, is an indecisive candle with a very small body representing indecision, and rightly so, as we continue to range on HTF with no resolution above or below the SH and SL.
I also note that despite the recovery, we’ve closed below the weekly resistance at 106400 on HTF. A weekly close above it would be ideal to confirm higher prices
👉On LTF/MTF – We’ve seen a break above the TL as well as 4H & 12H closes above the PSH at 106766, which ought to be sufficient as a signal for an upward move. For better confirmation, I’d like to see a daily close above PSH, followed by a PB into KL, and we can then look for entries on BTC or alts.
If, however, we see a rejection from the CMP and get below ~103K, it suggests a retest of 100K and potentially even 98K. So keep that in mind, even though that’s an unlikely scenario given the strength of the PA atm.
💪I also note that we haven’t left any imbalances in the chart. Every imbalance has been filled by an LH, which suggests we might see a swift move up if it comes. Now we’re just waiting for the daily close to confirm the BO above PSH, which seems likely given the PA.
💪Also, all BVOLs charts are at support atm, suggesting a massive surge in volatility may follow.
BTC RISKY SETUP (ANALYST TOKEN BREAKER)LONGED BTC HERE
RISKY ONE BUT CAN EXPECT PUMP TOWARDS WHITE LINE
BTC Risky Long
📦 Entry Zone: $107,986.2 (Marked on chart)
🎯 TP1: $110,335.5
🎯 TP2: $111,965.9
🎯 TP3: $117,929.0
❌ SL: $106,436.2
🧠 Strategy:
✅ Use low leverage
✅ Risk only 2–5% per trade
⚠️ Stick to the plan — no chasing trades.
Discipline = Consistency 💹
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 2-hour chart, focused on the buy side only!📊 Chart Overview
The chart shows BTC/USDT on the 2-hour timeframe, featuring clear levels of resistance, mini-resistance, and target zones. Let’s break down the buy idea:
🚀 Key Zones & Levels
💜 Resistance Zone (Purple Box):
Historical price ceiling.
Price dropped from this area several times.
🟦 Target Zone (Blue Line):
106,691 - 106,683 USDT.
Target for the next bullish move!
🟧 Mini Resistance (Yellow Box):
Around 102,000 USDT.
Acting as support (buy zone!) now.
💰 Buy Setup & Entry Area
✅ Buy Zone:
Just below 103,000 USDT, aligning with the mini resistance / support box (yellow).
✅ Entry Level:
Between 102,000 - 103,000 USDT.
Best if price consolidates or forms a reversal candle here.
🟢 Target:
First target: 106,000 USDT
Next major target: 106,683 - 106,691 USDT.
📉 Stop Loss:
Below 101,000 USDT for protection.
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ Wait for a bullish reversal candlestick at the mini resistance box (~102,000 - 103,000 USDT).
2️⃣ Enter long (buy) position.
3️⃣ Target profit at 106,000 and 106,691 USDT.
4️⃣ Stop below 101,000 to manage risk.
⚡️ Summary
🟢 Buy: At mini resistance (~102,000 - 103,000).
🎯 Targets: 106,000 - 106,691.
❌ Stop: 101,000.
🚀 Let's ride the bullish wave! 💹📈🟢
BTC short setup As previous weekly went good on BTC, a nice bounce from the area on swing setup. Now wait for the liquidity grab from 107.8k then take short, that whiteline is important to break and sustain for btc to continue it's Bullish trend. Longer sl is just to avoid wick damage closing matter here. Good luck, book at least 50% on 105.2k rest hold the position, and take long from mentioned zone.
BTC – Testing 4H Descending Trendline ResistanceBTC is currently facing the descending trendline resistance on the 4-hour chart 🚀. If it breaks above this level, momentum could surge higher ⚡. However, a rejection might trigger another leg lower. This is a crucial spot to monitor – the market could move fast from here 👀!