DeGRAM | BTCUSD Flipped the Resistance Zone📊 Technical Analysis
BTC holds the reclaimed 90-91k zone; staying > $91 500 keeps 98k then 108k in view.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• Spot ETFs drew $381 M (21 Apr), $936 M (22 Apr) and $912 M (23 Apr) net inflows.
• Network hashrate hovers near the 1 000 EH/s ATH
• MicroStrategy lifted its stack to 461k BTC after a fresh 11k buy.
✨ Summary
Strong, accelerating ETF demand, shrinking liquid supply and ongoing corporate accumulation reinforce the bullish breakout, favouring a climb to 98-100 k while BTC holds above $91 500.
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BTCUST trade ideas
BTCUSDT – Long Setup from Demand Zone + COT Confluence
BTC has pulled into a well-defined demand zone with a strong bullish reaction, forming a clean long setup with a favorable risk/reward. The trade aligns with previous support structure and high-volume areas on the left.
What strengthens this setup is the COT report (13-period average), which shows a steady increase in long positioning from institutional traders — signaling smart money accumulation over time.
• Entry: Inside demand zone
• Stop-loss: Below zone
• Target: Previous high
• Bias: Bullish while holding above demand
• Confluence: COT 13-period average supports long bias (institutional buying)
This setup combines technical structure with fundamental positioning for high-probability execution.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #71👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
🔄 Yesterday’s Recap
In yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that the main triggers had already been activated, and it might be too late to enter a position. However, you could still enter trades using momentum triggers such as RSI and SMA.
⚡️ As we can see, the RSI oscillator, after exiting the Overbought zone, triggered a bearish divergence and has now dropped below level 50. This means the RSI trigger has not yet been activated, and the price didn't pull back to the SMAs either — instead, it broke below them and entered a short-term correction.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price was rejected from the key resistance at 94,283 and dropped to the 92,007 zone.
✔️ The SMA99 is getting closer to the price, and we might see a pullback to this level. If this happens and the price builds a structure after the pullback, it could offer a good long entry during the correction.
📈 The main long trigger remains the breakout above 94,283, which would signal the start of the next bullish leg.
✨ For a healthier trend structure, the price might undergo a deeper correction, increasing the chances of a pullback to the SMA99 scenario playing out.
📊 However, note that during the drop to 92,007, selling volume increased, which is not favorable for the bullish trend. So, if you're planning to enter a long during this correction, make sure selling volume is decreasing and buying volume is rising.
🔽 For short positions, as mentioned in previous analyses, we must wait for a confirmed trend reversal. Currently, there is no trigger indicating a downtrend, and we need to wait for a new structure.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
BTC dominance is still climbing and moving toward the 64.60 resistance level. If it stabilizes above this level, it could initiate the next bullish leg for BTC dominance.
💥 For a bearish BTC.D scenario, either rejection from 64.60 or a breakdown below 64.12 would be appropriate triggers.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 is showing a deeper correction compared to BTC, aligning with the increasing BTC dominance. It has corrected down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
🔼 For long positions, a breakout above 1.04 is a good trigger — but be sure to watch BTC.D to decide whether to go long on Bitcoin or altcoins.
⭐ As for shorts, like other charts, we need to wait for a confirmed trend reversal before considering a short position.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
This chart is also correcting, and after finding support at 4.99, it is now retracing upward and sits near 5.13.
💫 For the downtrend in USDT.D to continue, a break below 4.99 is crucial. If it holds below that level, the overall crypto market can continue moving upward.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Pumped Hard – Is It Time for a Pullback to Fill CME GAP!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping after the pullback, as I expected in my previous post , I hope you were able to take profits.
Bitcoin is trading in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , near the Resistance lines and the upper line of the ascending channel .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , it seems that Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 and we can expect the completion of the main wave 4 today .
I expect Bitcoin to correct in the next few hours and drop to the targets I have specified on the chart and fill the CME Gap($93,465-$91,415) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $95,700-$94,542
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,666-$91,415
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160
Note: If Bitcoin can break the upper line of the ascending channel, we should wait for the next pump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Seeing Signs of Weakness Near Major ResistanceBitcoin had a strong rally to upper zones, where now we are seeing a cool-down, which is happening near the major resistance zone, meaning a good chance for a good downward movement from here.
Now if all goes well, we should form a fakeout here and start the move to EMAs on a 4-hour timeframe, but if we see the buying volume build up and BOS form near the local top, then we might see some good moves to upper zones.
For now we are looking for the fakeout scenario.
Swallow Academy
btcusdt mega dumpGreetings everyone. here I just closed the price in a triangle that goes from the $15k low and the price in it perfectly walks on its boundaries, we just tested it from bottom to top and now I think it will go down, also note that this is an inverted classical pattern. This is my pattern, just follow the ideas on tradingview.
BTC Breakdown Confirmed Below 93.3K: Distribution or Correction?After failing to reach the projected 96.5K supply zone, BTCUSDT topped at 94.9K with a high-volume rejection and has since broken decisively below 93.3K — a critical VWAP support zone. This move validates the bearish continuation scenario and shifts the strategic focus from pullback-reload to downside targets and flow-based invalidation.
Key Developments Since the Previous Report:
🔻 Top Confirmed at 94.9K on April 23 at 13:38 UTC
🔽 Delta at top: -266, aggressive selling
🔽 OI peaked and started to stall
❌ Failed to build continuation to 96.5K
🔻 “Support” at 93.3K broken overnight (new low: 92.238 USDT)
This eliminates the reload-long scenario and strengthens the short continuation thesis.
Current Market Structure:
BTC is now trading below VWAP and the previous high-volume breakout zone. The current structure resembles a distribution phase, not a simple pullback:
🔻 Price below VWAP daily/weekly
🔽 OI flat to slightly declining
❌ Buy delta faded post-top, sellers back in control
Tactical Outlook:
With confirmation below 93.3K, the next key zone of interest is:
🔹 91.800 USDT – Previous accumulation + POC zone
If price stabilizes there with renewed buy delta + OI uptick, we can reassess for recovery. But for now, momentum favors sellers.
Recommended Tactical Entry:
Short Setup (Continuation):
🔹 Sell limit at 93.100–93.300 (retest of broken support)
🔹 Stop Loss: 93.850 (above VWAP and breakout candle)
🔹 TP1: 91.800 (POC zone)
🔹 TP2: 90.200 (gap support below)
⚖️ R/R: 1:2.5 to 1:3
Entry Conditions:
Delta remains negative during retest
OI does not rise (no renewed long positioning)
Volume spike with no follow-through (inefficient move)
Invalidation:
If price reclaims 93.850 with increasing OI and buyer aggression, short thesis is invalidated.
Alternative: enter aggressively after bearish rejection candle on 5–15min timeframe.
Playbook:
Short bias active unless:
Price reclaims 93.8K with conviction (delta + OI surge)
Daily closes back above VWAP
Until then:
✅ Maintain shorts
❌ Avoid premature longs
⚡ Watch for volume spikes without delta = liquidity traps
Conclusion:
The failure at 94.9K combined with the clean break of 93.3K marks a transition from bullish continuation to controlled unwind. The market is now in distribution territory, and caution is warranted.
Watch 91.8K closely.
Author: Pôncio Pacífico
Ex-institutional trader, banned from CEXs.
"Volume doesn't lie. Traders do."
Follow for the next tactical flow shift.
BTC - Is there anything that can stop this bullrun?The current 4H structure presents a high-probability scenario centered around a classic liquidity sweep into premium levels, followed by potential downside rebalancing into inefficiencies. This is a clear case of price reaching for external liquidity before internal structure takes over.
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1. Liquidity Run Above BSLs
Price has aggressively pushed upward, sweeping multiple Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) levels. These levels mark resting stop orders and breakout entries positioned by retail above recent swing highs.
- The impulsive move to the upside isn't a sign of strength—it's a strategic run for liquidity.
- These liquidity pools provide exit opportunities for large players offloading long positions initiated earlier in the structure.
- The sweep aligns with typical behavior just before price reacts to higher timeframe supply or premium Fibonacci zones.
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2. Golden Pocket Confluence Zone (Downtrend Bias)
The orange highlighted zone represents the Golden Pocket —the 61.8%-to-65% retracement zone often associated with downtrend continuation or reversal setups.
- This level acts as a magnet in trending conditions, often leading to strong rejections.
- As price enters this pocket, the probability of a reaction increases, especially following a liquidity grab.
- The structure suggests this move is designed not for continuation, but for setting up a reversal.
The projected swing failure pattern at this level implies a shift from bullish euphoria to short-term distribution.
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3. Internal Structure: Fair Value Gaps as Rebalance Zones
Two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked as zones of inefficiency, where price moved too aggressively to maintain balance between buyers and sellers.
- FVGs represent internal liquidity voids and serve as high-probability magnets for retracement.
- The first FVG lies just below the current price, suggesting a short-term retracement target.
- The second, deeper FVG offers a more substantial downside target and is aligned with typical rebalancing behavior after aggressive markups.
As price begins to break structure to the downside, these gaps become the logical destinations.
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4. Probable Flow: Liquidity Sweep → Rejection → Internal FVG Fill
The anticipated flow is strategic and sequential:
- Step 1: Sweep of BSL and deviation into the Golden Pocket
- Step 2: Quick rejection, potentially forming a lower high
- Step 3: Downside expansion targeting both FVGs for liquidity rebalancing
This is not about chasing price—it’s about understanding the intent behind the move : create imbalance, sweep liquidity, then deliver price into inefficiency.
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Conclusion:
This 4H chart outlines a mechanically driven move:
- External liquidity (BSL) tapped
- Premium level tested (Golden Pocket)
- Internal inefficiencies below acting as draw
The structure points to a transitional phase from premium to discount, with the FVGs below acting as clear objectives. Until those inefficiencies are fully addressed, the upside narrative remains reactive, not impulsive.
BTC TO THE MOON! or no?)I am closely analyzing Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price action following its decisive break above the critical $88,700 resistance level. This breakout has shifted market dynamics, and several scenarios now appear plausible based on current structure and momentum:
Pullback and Continuation: BTC may experience a corrective move back to the $88,000–$89,000 zone, likely retesting the breakout level as support. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, BTC must reclaim and close above the prior monthly high (PMH) by the end of the current monthly candle, signaling strong buyer commitment and paving the way for further upside.
Immediate Advance with Later Correction: Alternatively, BTC could continue its ascent toward the PMH, potentially encountering resistance at this key level. A rejection here might trigger a retracement to the $88,000–$89,000 range, where buyers could step in to defend the newly established support.
Bearish Breakdown: Should BTC fail to hold above $88,000, a breakdown below this level could accelerate selling pressure, targeting the $83,000 region. Such a move would likely liquidate a significant number of leveraged long positions, amplifying volatility and potentially resetting the market for a deeper correction.
At the time of this analysis, BTC is trading at approximately $91,234, with a 24-hour high of $91,898 and a low of $90,123 as of April 24, 2025, reflecting heightened volatility post-breakout. Traders should monitor price action around the aforementioned levels, particularly the $88,000–$89,000 zone and the PMH, as these will be critical in determining the next directional move. Risk management remains paramount in this high-probability setup.
Bitcoin Rallies on Stablecoin Optimism and Liquidity BoostMacro:
- The crypto market rebounded as sentiment improved following the US Treasury Secretary's proposal to ease stablecoin regulations, boosting trading volumes and risk appetite.
- On-chain data reflects growing activity. The average bitcoin trade size rose 15% MoM, overall volume jumped, and 78% of supply is now in profit.
- Liquidity support from the increasing M2 money supply in China and the US has further enhanced bitcoin's appeal.
Technical:
- BTCUSD surged to resistance near 94300, aligning with the 100% Fibo Extension, before forming a Doji candle that signals possible correction. The price remains above both EMAs, indicating a bullish shift.
- If the price breaks below 92000, it may leads to a pullback toward the 87000–90000 support zone, near the 23.6%-38.2% Fibo Retracement levels.
- A breakout above 94300 may open the door for a move toward the next resistance around 101400.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Shorting the Rejection-Retest at 94 350 USDT into the FVG on BTCDescription
On the 15-minute chart, BTCUSDT is in a larger up-trend (higher highs, higher lows) that has paused in a tight digestion range. Volume has contracted into this zone, signaling indecision rather than conviction. This trade idea teaches how to combine structure, liquidity context, and precise execution for a high-odds short.
Structure Flailing at 93 223 USDT
Price tested 93 223 twice and was rejected both times. That “Double-Tap Top” defines clear resistance and a reference for my entry zone.
Rejection-Liquidity Zone near 94 000–94 800 USDT
I plotted the volume-profile POC and VAH/VAL to show institutional liquidity. The sweep up into this range creates a magnet for stops—my “Rejection Liquidity.”
Entry Candle at 94 350 USDT
After the wick-high sweep, the very next candle closed bearishly at 94 350 USDT (the swing-high close). I place my limit-sell at 94 350 so I trade the confirmed retest and rejection.
Stop-Loss at 94 800 USDT
The high of the rejection wick (94 800) sets my stop. Any close above that level invalidates the short thesis and protects capital.
Take-Profit at 92 150 USDT
I target the filled Fair-Value Gap at 92 150, which aligns perfectly with the prior swing-low demand zone—an ideal spot for price to pause or reverse.
Risk & Reward
This setup risks 4 500 ticks (94 800 – 94 350) to capture 22 000 ticks (94 350 – 92 150), yielding an R : R of approximately 1 : 4.9. That asymmetric payoff is only available when entry, stop, and target align with proven structural and liquidity pivots.
Backup Plan – Bullish Flip
If price closes above 94 800 USDT, I abandon the short and await a retest of 94 800 as support. I look for a bullish rejection candle on rising volume, confirm it against my 50-bar HTF swing-high or session POC, then flip long.
Higher-Timeframe Pivot Targets (50 USDT Increments)
94 250 USDT
98 600 USDT
105 700 USDT
108 300 USDT
Key Terms & Why They Matter
DTT (Double-Tap Top): shows exhaustion at a key swing high
FVG (Fair-Value Gap): highlights imbalances that price often fills
POC/VAH/VAL: map where big traders accumulated or distributed
RL (Rejection Liquidity): stop-hunt zones ripe for reversals
WARNING: Something feels off...🚨 Something feels off... While CRYPTOCAP:BTC looks bullish on the surface, this pump shows signs of heavy manipulation:
🔸 Michael Saylor just bought $500M in Bitcoin.
🔸 The purchase was made during Easter weekend, when institutions were closed.
🔸 Today is still a holiday in the UK, and yet the pump occurred during Asian hours — highly unusual.
🔸 Meanwhile, the SPX500 is plunging, while CRYPTOCAP:BTC is rising — a rare decoupling.
🔸 Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in leveraged longs are sitting between GETTEX:82K –$85K, vulnerable to liquidation.
📉 This could be a classic FOMO trap — pushing price high on low volume to lure in retail before a long squeeze.
Yes, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may be gearing for another leg up…
But an all-time high this week? Highly unlikely.
⚠️ Stay cautious. The confidence is getting excessive.
DYOR – Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoWarning #LongSqueeze #MarketManipulation #CryptoNews #MichaelSaylor #Altcoins #DYOR
a bullish case for bitcoinBitcoin could reclaim its all-time highs, as it appears only mildly impacted by recent tariffs. If the trade war de-escalates and geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict in Ukraine, continue to subside, we may see enough trade stability and market clarity to fuel a bullish surge. A rally to $150,000 is plausible under these conditions. However, a consistently calm year seems unlikely, given Donald Trump's historically unpredictable leadership.