BTCUST trade ideas
The Importance of the 104463.99 Point
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is around June 22nd (June 21-23rd).
Therefore, waves can be generated at any time during the volatility period.
The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point of the 1W chart.
Therefore, it seems that the price defense is being done well.
I think that defending the price at the high point is significant because it raises expectations for further increase.
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If it falls after a period of volatility, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, and I think the important point at that time is the 99705.62 point.
Therefore, when it falls, you need to check whether the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises to around 99705.62 and whether it is supported.
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Even if it rises after receiving support near 104463.99, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 108316.90.
The 108316.90 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart, which corresponds to the middle value of the high point range.
Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend, it must be supported and rise in the 108316.90-111696.21 range.
Currently, both the Low Line and High Line of the auxiliary indicator OBV are showing a downward trend.
Therefore, in order for the uptrend to begin, OBV must rise above the High Line and be maintained.
If not, it is highly likely that it will fall due to selling pressure.
One hopeful(?) thing is that the PVT oscillator is showing an overall upward trend.
(Changed from OBV oscillator to PVT oscillator.)
Therefore, we can see how important the area around 104463.99 is playing a role of support and resistance.
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In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it is virtually impossible to create a trading strategy at the current price level.
In such cases, you should conduct trading through day trading or quick response.
If not, you may experience a lot of psychological fear and anxiety.
The basic time frame chart of all indicators is the 1D chart.
Therefore, if you cannot read the flow of the 1D chart, you are likely to end up getting faked and suffer losses.
Therefore, you should read the flow of the 1D chart and create a big picture of how to create a trading strategy, and respond in detail on the time frame chart below the 1D chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin Short-Term 1H Timeframe, Next Target ConfirmedWe have two drops on this chart. The one of the left is more extended and long lasting compared to the one on the right. When a move is sudden with major force, it tends to end suddenly as well.
The recent drop was very steep and the force needed to keep pushing prices lower cannot be maintained, it requires too much energy; for this reason, a higher low is in place and the bulls win the game.
The action is happening above the blue line and space on the chart, this is the 0.618 Fib. retracement support. This is the most important level and so far it holds. Prices went below just to recover. Can be called a failed signal or a bear-trap, whichever you choose, the action is bullish above this level and bearish below.
Bitcoin's main support stands around $102,663, this level was not challenged. Since bears failed to push prices lower, the next logical move is a challenge of higher resistance. And the same pattern repeats, up and down, up and down... This is the short-term noise. When all is set and done, Bitcoin will resolve going up.
Patience is key.
Thank you for reading.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC – 15min Reversal Structure & Fibonacci ReclaimWe’re currently witnessing a potential short-term reversal on BTC’s lower timeframe after a volume-supported breakdown and sweep of local lows.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price swept liquidity at local lows (~103,929.27)
Entered into a clear reaccumulation box with responsive buyers
Volume profile shows prior POC just above – room for fill
Fibonacci retracement aligns with key structure:
0.5 = 104,372.94
0.618 = 104,268.23
1.0 = 104,816.60 (final high target for this impulse)
📈 Potential Play:
Entry Zone: Just above the sweep candle (104,100–104,200)
Target 1: 0.382 at 104,477
Target 2: 104,816.60
Invalidation: Close below 103,926
🧠 Mindset:
This is a classic liquidity sweep → reaction → reclaim pattern. If BTC flips the 0.5 level with strong momentum, a short squeeze toward the 104.8K area becomes likely.
Great opportunity for scalpers or day traders.
Let me know if you want this turned into a long-form breakdown or sent in another format.
The Nature of Zones — Reversals, Continuations, and the FlowWe’ve all heard trading terms like Major Trend and Major Counter-Trend levels. These are zones where price either breaks through and continues (Trend Levels) or sharply reverses (Counter-Trend Levels). In the crypto world, these levels are often separated by enormous gaps, due to the nature of the space — as I’ve mentioned in a previous idea: Crypto Charts Whisper—Are You Listening?
Let’s get one thing clear from the start. These levels are not just thin lines that traders casually draw across a chart. They are zones. So, as a skilled trader, anytime someone mentions support or resistance, keep in mind: interact with these as zones, not levels.
Why? The answer lies in the nature of the candlestick itself. Most support and resistance areas — 99% of the time — are defined by candlesticks such as inverted hammers, shooting stars, etc. For instance, in an uptrend near its peak, you’ll often spot an inverted hammer with a rejection wick that’s at least 25–50% of the candle’s body. The longer the wick, the stronger the rejection. In that sense, the high and the close of that candle form the zone. And what better tool to use for this than the rectangle?
Now, to slowly return to our main point — many of you might’ve noticed that zones often change their nature, especially resistance zones. If you’re experienced, you already know: price tends to go higher by nature. So when a counter-trend zone gets broken and price pushes above it, it shifts — it becomes a trend zone. Later, if price retests it from above, it often turns into support, and with another reversal, it can shift again — becoming a counter-trend zone once more.
But my point goes deeper than what you’ll hear in lessons or YouTube videos. Like I said in another post — A Follow-up to “Adjustments for Better Readings & VSA vs BTC” — if it’s already out there, it’s probably old news.
A skilled trader keeps an open mind — merging everything into one system. And it's part of this oneness mindset that elite traders follow, which I want to share now.
So I ask you:
What if the idea of trend and counter-trend zones didn’t just apply to major levels?
What if this concept applied everywhere on the chart?
For me, this isn’t just a question anymore — it’s a fact. A fact that made me a better trader. I won’t lie — before I got good at this, I failed over and over. But I never quit. That’s not the point though. The point is to expand your vision and train yourself to react just like the elite do.
Take double or triple tops/bottoms — standard or rounded. These formations also act exactly like trend and counter-trend zones. And they stay relevant well into the future. Every level is tested at least twice, from both directions. Maybe not immediately, but eventually — across multiple time frames.
And just like that, a level becomes a major zone for future use — especially if you trade across multiple time frames. So be careful: if you’re only looking at the 1-hour chart, you might miss something important that’s playing out on the 3-minute. And that can trigger psychological discomfort... leading to FOMO — and all the mistakes that come with it.
Also remember — double and triple tops/bottoms are zones, not exact lines. Many traders lose trades by a single tick, just because they forget that rule.
Let’s go a bit deeper now.
Think about all the small highs and lows that appear between those tops and bottoms on a 3-minute chart.
How can they help you trade better? The answer goes back to my previous idea: Location, Location, Location — Consistency and Alignment.
I get it — staying observant 24/7 is hard. That’s why institutions and big players work in teams, in shifts. They’re never alone. You shouldn’t be either.
There’s a lot more that could be said about these levels and zones — how they reveal future trend behavior, a flow! even without indicators or VSA. It has to do with how specific highs and lows behave at certain points in time... but let’s leave that for now.
For the outro, remember this:
The real edge isn’t in indicators.
It’s in your ability to catch the flow of price,
And to read strength or weakness through the simple structures within the zones Big Players create — whether visible or hidden.
A chart isn’t a single truth.
It’s a battlefield of conflicting zones and mixed signals.
If this mindset resonates with you and you want to go deeper — whether it’s building confidence or spotting hidden signals early — I work with a small circle of traders, sharing TA privately every day. Feel free to reach out.
Until next time, be well and trade wisely.
Future market trend predictionIn the short term, the price trend of Bitcoin is full of uncertainties. On the one hand, if the global macroeconomic environment continues to deteriorate, with slower economic growth and increased inflationary pressures, it may prompt more investors to seek safe-haven assets. As an asset with certain safe-haven properties, Bitcoin may attract some capital inflows, providing support for its price. However, if regulatory policies are further tightened in the short term, especially if more stringent restrictive measures are introduced in countries and regions where Bitcoin trading is active, then the price of Bitcoin may face significant downward pressure.
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BTC Approaching Key Confluence Zone: Pivot + PRZ + LiquidationsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) appears to have broken the Support lines and is currently declining .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a corrective wave C . The corrective wave structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the Support zone($104,380-$103,660) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,471-$103,124) , Monthly Pivot Point , Support line , and 50_SMA(Daily) , and the small CME Gap($106,190-$106,150) will also fill.
Note: Stop Loss: $102,520
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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Possible outcome for $BTCBitcoin Price Analysis: Signs Pointing to a Potential Downtrend
The chart above illustrates a detailed analysis of BTCUSDT (Bitcoin paired with USDT) using Elliott Wave theory and key support/resistance levels. After what appears to be a completed 5-wave bullish cycle, the technical outlook suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for a significant downside correction.
Completion of the Elliott Wave Structure
The chart marks the completion of five distinct waves:
Wave (1) initiated the bullish trend.
Wave (2) represented the first significant pullback.
Wave (3) delivered a strong upward surge, surpassing previous highs.
Wave (4) brought another retracement, finding support near a previous resistance zone.
Wave (5) capped off the structure, reaching above the $100,000 mark before exhibiting signs of exhaustion.
According to Elliott Wave theory, a 5-wave impulse is typically followed by a corrective ABC pattern. The chart suggests that this correction is now underway.
But I think it is trying to create a double top pattern.
Key Levels to Watch
Highlighted on the chart are several crucial horizontal zones:
Near-term resistance: Around $109,600 – $112,000. Bitcoin struggled to maintain momentum above this area and has since started declining.
First major support zone: Around $75,000 – $80,000. This was a former resistance zone during Wave (3) and may now act as support during the early stages of the correction.
Critical support levels: Marked at $54,019, $50,000, and $46,877.5. A break below these levels would indicate a deeper corrective move, potentially aligning with the projected path shown on the chart.
Trendline Break and Bearish Outlook
The yellow upward trendline that supported the entire rally is at risk of being decisively broken. The chart projection shows Bitcoin slicing through this trendline, signaling a shift from a bullish to bearish market structure. If this occurs, it could lead to accelerated selling pressure as confidence in the uptrend erodes.
Projected Price Path
The white arrows in the image depict a scenario where Bitcoin could fall to around $54,000 and possibly as low as the $46,000 region if key supports give way. This represents a significant correction, but one that aligns with historical post-impulse patterns seen in previous Bitcoin cycles.
Conclusion
While Bitcoin has enjoyed an impressive rally culminating above the $100,000 level, technical indicators on this chart point to the increasing likelihood of a sustained downward correction. Traders and investors should monitor the key support levels closely and be prepared for heightened volatility as the market seeks a new equilibrium following this extended bull run.
BTC: Short 19/06/25Trade Direction:
BTC Short
Risk Management:
- Risk approx 0.25%
Reason for Entry:
- M30 + M15 Bear Div
- Rejected off Monday low
- Failure to break weekly open
- H1 overbought
- Market is choppy, HTF Bearish
Additional Notes:
- Compounding shorts to maximize edge if trade confirms, currently have a risk free SOL short running. Moving my risk to this.
June 12, 2025 Historical Comparison Analysis [Wave Analysis]No one knows tomorrow but what if???
Here, we have a historical comparison between December 07, 2020 to June 13, 2022, and January 22, 2024 to present day.
December 07, 2020 to November 08, 2021:
• Uptrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Uptrend continuation
• Range
• Downtrend
• Range (W or Double bottom pattern)
• Uptrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Uptrend continuation
November 08, 2021 to June 13, 2022:
• Downtrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Downtrend continuation
January 22, 2024 to May 19, 2025:
• Uptrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Uptrend continuation
• Range
• Downtrend
• Range (W or Double bottom pattern)
• Uptrend
May 19, 2025 to present day:
• .......
JUST WHAT IF HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF
Bitcoin BTC price analysis🍿 At the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, we show one of the scenarios that could play out in the first half of June.
Much will be decided today with the opening of the US market. It is very likely that there will be a downward movement at the opening in response to the new tariffs announced by Trump on Friday after the markets closed.
🕯 Well, then we'll have to “keep our fingers crossed” that market players show their strength and hold on and buy back the drop — like say: we're tired of shaking with every crazy statement from Trump.
💰 If the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays above $103k, there is a chance that it will be “stuck” in the $103-110k consolidation. The market needs to digest and redistribute the results of two months of #BTCUSD price growth from $75k to $112k.
And considering the position of the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, there is a chance that the “little bit” of capital will pass to the altcoins, and they will shoot up a little.
⁉️ Probably, the safest thing to do would be to watch the altcoins and buy only those that have started a significant upward movement with volume.
What do you think?
#Bitcoin Update - 19.06.2025🚨 #Bitcoin Update – 19.06.2025 🚨
For the first time after FOMC, Bitcoin is showing an unusual calm – and yes, that’s pretty strange, especially considering the ongoing tensions in the Middle East. But let's break it down clearly and from my point of view. 👇
🔹 Arrow #2 remains a crucial resistance level. Price *did* break above it, but there was no strong confirmation or momentum – it got rejected and pulled back.
🔸 Currently, Bitcoin is stuck in a range, moving between Arrow #2 and Arrow #4 (marked by black lines). This range-bound behavior might continue for a while unless we get a strong breakout.
🌟 Now, pay close attention to the yellow lines under Arrow #3 and Arrow #5 – these are key support zones. As long as these hold, bullish sentiment remains intact.
✅ Also, Arrow #6 (black line) is the last strong support – only if this breaks, we can start talking about a potential bearish move or at least a deeper retest.
📈 In my opinion, we might see another attempt to break the All-Time High (ATH) very soon. Price still looks bullish, and as long as we hold above Arrow #6, there’s no clear sign of weakness.
🎯 Summary:
* Market is calm but not dead.
* Still bullish unless Arrow #6 breaks.
* Range between Arrow #2 & Arrow #4 continues.
* Eyes on next ATH attempt! 🚀
🧠 Stay patient. Stay focused.
📊 Next up: ETH and Bitcoin Dominance analysis coming soon – make sure you follow so you don’t miss the update!
\#Crypto #BTC #Trading #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #BTCUSDT
BTC/USD – Price Rejected at ATH | Key Support in PlaY Bitcoin recently reached a new all-time high at $111,942, but the daily candle closed lower around $109,550, signaling a potential rejection.
On the 1D timeframe, we are now watching the $100,725 level closely. A confirmed break below this support would be a strong signal to consider short positions.
Until then, BTC may consolidate or attempt another push higher. Patience is key here — wait for confirmation.
📌 Key levels:
• Resistance: $111,942 (ATH)
• Support: $100,725 (critical break level)
🧠 Trade safe, manage risk, and follow for more analysis.
BTC-----Buy around 104900, target 106000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 19:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The general trend of the decline was still relatively obvious, but in trading, we should pay more attention to the rhythm of the price range in the shock, so the operation should be decisive, not greedy, and do a good job of risk control; the short-cycle hourly chart yesterday's intraday support was corrected upward, the European session fell but did not continue to break down, the price support rebounded in the early morning, the current K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous positive lines, and the attached indicator was golden cross, so it is highly likely to break through yesterday's high of 105500 area within the day.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Buy at the current price of 104900 area, stop loss at 104000 area, and target 106000 area;