BTCUST trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis | Back at Key Resistance
As seen on the chart, Bitcoin has once again returned to a major resistance zone — a level that has previously acted as a strong barrier to further upside. Price action here is critical and could define the next short-term move.
🟢 Bullish Scenario: Break and Rally
If BTC manages to break above this resistance, the next key levels to watch are:
$105,106 – initial resistance
$105,305 – stronger resistance that could act as a mid-term target
A clean breakout above these zones may trigger further upside momentum.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Rejection and Pullback
If price gets rejected from this area again, we could see a short-term correction. Key support levels include:
$104,271 – first support on the way down
$103,948 – mid-range demand zone
$103,387 – next support if selling pressure builds
$102,600 – the main support level to hold for bulls
📌 Summary
Bitcoin is at a critical decision point. A breakout could trigger a bullish continuation, while a rejection might invite a deeper retracement. Watch for candle confirmation and volume reaction before entering a trade.
🔥 If you find value in these setups, follow me for daily clean charts, smart trade ideas, and real-time updates.
Let’s trade the market with logic — not hype. 🚀📈
BTC/USDT Analysis – Breakout from Sideways Range
Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics with your daily market update.
As expected, Bitcoin dropped to the local low yesterday. At the time, there was no sign of buyer support, and the price moved down to the next support level.
Just around $300 short of a round-number level, a strong absorption of market sell orders occurred, and we saw a rebound.
At the moment, the price has reached the range of accumulated volumes within the sideways channel — $104,500–$105,800 — which is currently positioned short. Therefore, the priority scenario is another wave of decline toward the $101,600–$100,000 zone.
If there is no selling reaction in that area, we’ll then expect Bitcoin to move to the next supply zone.
Supply Zones:
$104,500–$105,800 (accumulated volumes)
$107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volumes)
Demand Zones:
$101,600–$100,000 (previous push-volume zone + current buyer defense)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 level
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
False Breakdown? BTC Eyes Rebound From Demand Zone!Bitcoin has broken below its strong rising trendline, but this move could well turn out to be a classic seller’s trap. Despite the breakdown, BTC is currently holding above the key breakout zone, which has historically triggered strong rebounds.
The price is also sitting right inside a previous "accumulated & explode" demand zone — an area where buyers have consistently stepped in. If BTC manages to hold this zone, a sharp rebound could follow, trapping late sellers and driving price higher.
However, if the support zone fails, we could see deeper downside. For now, this is a critical pivot — watch price action closely to see if bulls defend this level or if sellers gain control.
If you liked it, do comment and follow us for regular market updates.
THANK YOU
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)After dropping toward the 100K zone and sweeping the liquidity pool, Bitcoin has made a strong rebound to the upside, putting high-leverage short positions at risk. However, it is now approaching a supply zone that could potentially push the price back down toward the 98K area.
If the market maker intends to drive the price lower and trigger a bearish scenario, this is the zone to do it from. Let’s see what happens.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level ($107,000) would invalidate this analysis.
Let’s see how Bitcoin reacts to the red box.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUSDT reversal is not yet complete -> 95k???Despite yesterday's mini-dump, which initially appeared to be the right shoulder of the head and shoulders breaking out, the immediate retracement means the trading range sits within the range seen in the left shoulder.
We are still inside the incomplete head and shoulders pattern, and a bearish parallel channel.
If the price breaks out to the downside of the channel and the left shoulder range, the target for the retracement would be the same as the distance from the head to the neckline of the H&S pattern (y). This puts it inside the support zone of the 78.6% fib level of the continuation of the swing in the head of the pattern, at ~95k.
If the bulls thought they're through worst of it, the pain may not have even begun yet.
Even breaking out of the parallel channel might not be enough. The only thing that would signal the failure of the head & shoulders pattern is a new ATH, and that would need to happen quickly to save BTC from further falls.
BTC Correction Watch: MA100 Retest, Channel Breakdown & MA200BTCUSDT looks poised for a corrective move.
Expecting a second test of MA100 since the rally from $73k.
A pullback to the rising channel support is likely next.
If the channel breaks, we could see a decline to the green channel, and ultimately a first-time test of the MA200 in this wave.
This scenario could trigger a declining BTC.D, potentially fueling an ETH rise towards the $3200 annual pivot.
Key Levels: MA100, Rising Channel, Green Channel, MA200.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This is not financial advice. DYOR.
BTC Under Major Resistance HereBitcoin has shown strength towards playing out these ideas, as unrealistic as it may seem.
The interactions at specific levels have shown these trendlines to be valid.
I see two scenarios if BTC holds below its resistance at 104,550 to 105,000
104,600 to 35,000
35,000 retrace to 75,000
75,000 to 7,000
Alternatively:
104,600 to 20,000
Up from 20,000
While these seem like macro projections, per my previous posts and explanations - it’s possible to see this occur in a very small period of time. IE flash crash, stop hunt, etc.
Happy trading.
BTC-----Sell around 104000, target 102000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 6:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a big negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The large trend of falling again appeared to be advantageous. The price continued to break the previous low position, and the upward stage trend was also broken, so the market outlook will also fluctuate downward; the short-cycle hourly chart of the US market fell sharply, and the low point touched the 100300 area. The price supported the rebound in the morning. The current K-line pattern continued to rise, and the attached indicator was golden cross, but the price was already close to the moving average resistance of the four-hour chart. Today, the decline continued to break the low, and the rebound strength could not be large. This is a rule.
BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Sell at the 104000 area, stop loss at the 104500 area, and target the 102000 area;
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #109👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour chart, as you can see, yesterday Bitcoin activated the short trigger at 103899 and dropped below the 101750 level. This setup gave an opportunity to open a short position—hopefully you took advantage of it.
✨ After that bearish leg, the downtrend ended and the price began to rise again, now reaching back to the 103899 level.
🔍 If the price gets rejected once from 103899 and then forms a higher low compared to 101750, we can consider a long position on subsequent attempts—if 103899 breaks. If the price breaks this level sharply, the next long triggers will be 105087 and 106586.
📉 For today's short position, we can enter on a pullback to 103899. Personally, I’ll look for a bearish trigger in lower timeframes; if confirmed, I’ll open a short. The main bearish trigger remains the break of 101750.
📊 Currently, volume favors buyers, but we’ve seen divergence during this bullish leg, and volume increased on the last bearish move. So, I still see a higher probability of the market turning bearish rather than bullish.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin dominance, yesterday it made an upward move to 64.67 after breaking through 64.23. This 64.67 level is a strong resistance, and as shown, the dominance got rejected there.
💫 If this rejection is confirmed, there's a high chance of a retracement back to 64.23. In that case, if the market continues to drop, Bitcoin will likely be a better short than altcoins.
☘️ However, if 64.67 breaks, dominance could initiate another bullish wave.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As for Total2, after activating the 1.16 and 1.13 triggers, it dropped to the 1.1 zone and is now making a pullback to its previous support—similar to Bitcoin.
💥 For a long position, we’ll need a Dow Theory confirmation. For a short, we can wait for a pullback to 1.13 and look for a bearish confirmation to enter.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now onto Tether dominance: yesterday, after breaking 4.79, it moved up to 4.98. Following that, it reversed and is now back down to 4.79.
🔑 If 4.79 breaks, Tether dominance could drop further to 4.70 and 4.64. But if it holds and finds support there, another bullish leg may begin.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN - Price can reach resistance area and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, the price bounced from the $104500 level and rose to the $110400 level, breaking this level and rising a little more.
But then price turned around and started to decline inside a falling channel, where it fell below $110400 level.
Price tried to back up, but failed and when it touched $110400 level, it in a short time declined to support line of channel.
Then price rose above $104500 level and some time traded near this level, but not long time ago it dropped.
BTC broke $104500 level and even fell further and exited from falling channel, after which it started to grow.
Now, I expect that Bitcoin can enter to resistance area and then drop to $100900 from this area.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
The Power of Round Numbers in TradingHello, traders! 👀 Do you know why $10K matters more than $10,137.42? You’ve probably noticed it — even if you’re not watching the chart all day. Whenever Bitcoin approaches $10,000, $20,000, or $100,000, something shifts. Volatility spikes. X (formerly known as Twitter) goes wild. And traders tighten their stops.
That’s not a coincidence. It’s the psychology of crypto trading, and few things trigger it more than round numbers in trading.
🎯 Why Round Numbers Act Like Magnets
In both traditional and crypto markets, clean figures like $1.00, $100, $10K, $100K aren’t just visual milestones. They’re emotional ones too. And that’s where crypto market psychology kicks in. Why? People, especially traders, think in psychological numbers.
Retail traders place limit orders near neat levels like $25,000 or $30,000 (not $24,837.65). Institutions often set stop-losses or triggers around these zones. Media headlines focus on thresholds: “BTC Hits $100K” hits harder than “BTC breaks $99,800.” These collective habits cluster orders and attention around these levels, making them support/resistance zones through pure crowd behavior. That’s crypto psychology at work.
🧠 Support, Resistance, and Psychological Warfare
Let’s say BTC approaches $30,000 from below. Here’s what the crypto psychology chart tends to show: retail optimism takes off: “If we break 30K, next stop is 100K BTC!”
Smart money takes profit: Short sellers loooove round numbers. Choppy price action: Emotional trading dominates near psychological zones. This makes psychological numbers in trading incredibly sticky. They become decision-making triggers.
A move above a considerable number might create FOMO.
A rejection just below it might trigger panic selling or trap breakouts.
That’s why psychological numbers in day trading (and longer-term moves) aren’t just fluff; they’re real and show up repeatedly.
🔁 Real Examples of Round Number Power in Crypto
$10,000: Held BTC back in 2017 and 2019 — until it didn't. Once broken, it opened the floodgates.
$20,000: A brutal resistance for years — finally broken in 2020. The price exploded afterward.
$30,000: Became major support during the 2021 bull run. Once it collapsed, BTC slid toward $15K.
$100,000: The ultimate mental level. Traders still ask: “When will Bitcoin hit 100K?” or even “Did Bitcoin hit 100K yet?” The answer? Yes! But every move toward it creates a wave of interest, and sometimes fear. Some already speculate: “Will Bitcoin crash at 110K?”
It’s clear: round levels shape crypto trading psychology, and BTC 100K is more than a price — it’s a narrative. That’s the essence of what psychological numbers are in trading — they’re not technical but emotional.
💬 Final Thought: What’s Your 100K?
For some, 100K BTC is a moonshot. For others, it’s a trap waiting to happen. So the next time Bitcoin approaches a clean round number, ask yourself: Is this price important or just a number that feels important? Let us know how psychological numbers in trading shape your strategies 👇
Bitcoin's Structure Breaks — PRZ May Trigger a BounceBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has finally continued its downward trend , as I expected in my previous idea .
Do you think this downward trend will continue or not?
Bitcoin has now managed to break the Support zone($104,180-$103,670) and the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to continue to decline to the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and then start to rise again.
I choose to label this idea as ''Long''.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Update
Currently bitcoin is on our local support ranging at 100.8k - 102.2k area, Looks our bulls are defending those local supports panda fam but the movement for me is a obvious normal correction 👀
As you can see its a decent reaction bounce between local support + A good volume from buyers base also basic indicator divergence. 🚀
Patiently waiting for next following days if we will print a structure the indicates a next higher high above local support which is possibly first indication for first confirmation reversal for possible next impulse up. 🐂
Crypto market is like a game you will wait to finish the loading screen then the battle begin ! 🔥
Adjustments for Better ReadingsMany traders rely on technical indicators to identify opportunities for profit—that's the whole point of this game. Whether it’s scalping, day trading, swing trading, or shorting the market, most trading decisions are based on indicator readings—be it a single indicator or a combination of several.
But here’s the truth: not all traders truly understand what an indicator is. They don’t grasp its nature—let alone the fact that this nature can be adjusted.
Those who don’t understand how or why an indicator works often find themselves in stressful and uncomfortable situations. It’s no coincidence that we often hear the common phrase: “Only 1% of all traders succeed, while 80% blow their accounts, and the remaining 19% barely break even.”
Why? Because the elite traders understand something most don’t:
Whether an indicator is leading or lagging, it can be customized to behave differently across different timeframes.
These adjustments can be found in the settings section of every indicator.
Let’s take the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which I’ve mentioned in previous ideas. Some of you may have noticed that my RSI plot looks different from yours. That’s because I don’t use the default 14-period RSI, which averages out the last 14 candles.
RSI is naturally lagging by default—but that doesn’t mean it can’t be trusted. In fact, with the right adjustments, that lagging nature can become leading. Learn how to do this. Push yourself. Educate your mind. Master this, and you might just find yourself among the top 1%.
Markets react to signals—signals that are often hidden in plain sight, created by the big players who always leave behind footprints. This is the trader’s true skill: seeing the whole picture.
A good friend once told me: Be a detective.
Now let’s go to the chart.
We clearly see a bearish strength unfolding.
Not only is the 9-period RSI plot trending below the yellow 28-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA), but we also observe a healthy continuation of the downtrend, confirmed by the WMA itself.
Using a 9-period RSI gives faster signals, while the 28 WMA offers smoother confirmations. This combo is applied on the daily timeframe—but every timeframe has its own ideal settings.
Now, when the RSI plot trends above the WMA, this can act as a potential reversal signal or even a confirmation of a trend change, depending on the broader market structure and volume context. It's not just about the crossover—it’s about what follows next. That’s where the detective work begins.
What do we see today?
Looking solely at the daily timeframe, the downtrend seems far from over. But to analyze it professionally, we must wait for the candle of Friday, June 6th, 2025 to close.
Switching to the lower timeframes, we see something interesting—a sort of bullish dominance unfolding during this incomplete trading day. But the real question is: Is it actual dominance?
Let’s break it down:
We have a clearly formed Head & Shoulders pattern.
The bearish Marubozu candle from June 5th made a new lower low (LL).
But—it did not close below the key swing low at 100.718.
Therefore, the Head & Shoulders pattern is not confirmed—it hasn’t broken and closed below that swing level.
So what’s happening in the lower timeframes?
In the 4-hour timeframe, we’re seeing a real-time crossover above the WMA (though the session isn’t closed yet).
In the 1-hour timeframe, the crossover has already occurred.
Now, such a crossover—where the RSI plot moves above the WMA—can often act as an early signal for a reversal, or at the very least, indicate a strong pullback. But don’t take it at face value—context is king. This is why we pair it with other signals like divergence, price action, and volume behavior for confirmation.
Across the 4H, 3H, and 1H timeframes, we’re observing this bullish pullback, yet it’s accompanied by an RSI Hidden Bearish Divergence (see: Macro Noise vs Micro Truth: The Art of Hidden Divergences).
Is this pullback a true reversal?
According to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) (read: VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?), a new narrative is emerging—but not without contradiction.
Price is climbing, yes.
But bullish volume spikes are declining, supporting our RSI hidden divergence. This volume-price disagreement is a clue.
What will reveal the truth?
Today's closing candle.
If price action (PA) creates a higher high (HH) but RSI creates a lower high (LH) → Bearish Divergence
If RSI makes a HH but PA creates a LH → Hidden Bearish Divergence
And for those of you who truly understand market structure:
The 100.718 level was a buy opportunity to secure profits.
If you caught that—congratulations. You’ve done your homework.
Now, you can sit back, relaxed, and wait for the next signal.
The market is a breathing organism. If you’re in sync with it—you’ll feel it.
And for those who believe there’s more to learn—but are struggling to find answers—there’s no shame in asking questions.
Till next time, take care—and trade wisely.
P.S. RSI plot, WMA, candlestick patterns, and Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)—when combined and used properly—can become a powerful toolset. For those willing to go deeper, they’re more than enough.
BTC Tactical rebound or flush? Decision point at $103700 support__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Strong overall momentum across all swing/weekly timeframes, clear advantage to buyers.
➤ Key support at 103,700–104,000 USDT (chart/on-chain confluence, maximum visibility on all timeframes).
➤ Major technical resistance zone at 111,000–112,000 USDT (ATH + HTF pivots).
➤ Volumes normal to moderate, no directional climax or emotional excess in short and mid-term.
➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains strongly positive, indicating persistent sector outperformance.
➤ Only short-term weakness detected: temporary bearish trend on 2H/1H/30min/15min, typical of a short-term flush within a bullish structural context.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
➤ Main bias: Bullish for swing approaches as long as $103,700 holds on closing.
➤ Opportunity: Buy on support on any retest 103,700–104,000 USDT with stop <102,000 USDT.
➤ Partial target: Take profits at 105–106k, then 111–112k.
➤ Risk zones: Confirmed break below 103,700 USDT with high volume = potential flush to 97–98k or even 95–96k.
➤ Catalysts: Quiet macro calendar until NFP (06/06) & FOMC (mid-June) — increased monitoring as these events approach.
➤ Action plan: Tactical intervention on support pullback, reduce exposure before major events.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D/1W : Major structure fully bullish. No underlying reversal, stable volume, solid momentum. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator fully “On Risk”, no behavioral excess.
12H/6H: Sector momentum and volumes validate all swing-long entries on dips. Key supports 103,700–104,000 USDT consistently defended across timeframes.
4H/2H: Bullish bias maintained, healthy structure. Slight intraday weakness: 2H softens, moderately high volumes without extremes.
1H/30m/15m: Short-term bearish bias across all LTF — profit taking impact, typical technical flush on support. Bearish signals do NOT invalidate HTF bullish trend, but require tactical vigilance.
Risk Summary: A fast drop below 103,700 USDT with volume would validate a flash liquidation scenario to 97–98k. Pullback in mature bull phase, strongly defended at the key support: timing for “mean reversion” on volume reaction, else wait for lower setups.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Still “On Risk”, strong tech/growth sector momentum on daily/swing.
ISPD: No behavioral excess, neutral/median histogram across timeframes.
Volumes: Normal/moderate, no exhaustion spike nor major selling.
On-chain: Mature distribution, LTH profit-taking; key supports at $103,700, $97,100, $95,600.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Synthesis & Bias
Market in mature bullish consolidation, HTF structure robust as long as 103,700 USDT holds.
Active opportunity window until NFP & FOMC: prioritize swing/mean-revert setups.
Required stop for any trade: strictly below $102,000.
Smart monitoring of volumes & sentiment: confirmed support break + volume = wait for lower rebound.
No excessive panic or exuberance signals: strong RR if re-entering the main range.
Actively manage exposure approaching macro events.
Operational summary:
• Buy at 103,700–104,000 USDT, stop <102,000.
• Partial profits at 105–106k, final offload at 111–112k.
• Reduce exposure ahead of NFP/FOMC.
• If break of 103,700 USDT: stop and wait for $97–98k or $95–96k.
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Analysis No. 71 btc 4hWelcome to KING BTC 3. In the previous long-term analysis, we expected to see 88,000, which is still not unreasonable. However, in the previous one-hour analysis, we expected a rise to 106,800-109,000, which was the first target. However, in this analysis, we expect a price decrease from 104,400-105,800 to 98,000-99,000, then a price increase to the peak in the numbers 109,500-111,800, and from there, embrace the number 88,000. This is just a possibility.
BTC projection- in a bigger picture!What I see is a close resemblance to the previous double tops on monthly chart. We are currently printing the same. If June goes red confirming the double top, we might go visit the past.
This is self explanatory so I am not adding more details.
Chart invalidates if we close above the previous months high.
What a week! FRIDAY SCALP IDEAWhat a profitable week we've had!
As the week winds down, be mindful not to overtrade and risk giving back your hard-earned gains. Consider de-risking any open trades where possible, and be prepared to sit tight—weekends typically bring low volume and choppy price action.
At this point, the only trade setup I’m considering is a lower high continuation, as shown in the diagram. However, caution is warranted due to the daily SFP. If the current supply zone fails to hold, we could dip deeper into the old range, potentially breaking 4H structure.
Let’s see how it plays out.
I’ll see you all later today for class and next week for more setups, more training, and a deeper understanding of the markets.
Have a great weekend!