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BTCUSDT-Long-Term TA Update (Pattern & Price-Action)We trade based on this analysis and market behavior Currently, the price has hit the support zone of 91400.0 This level also role as a neckline The price may have a short-term rise and go up to 99200, in which case we can enter a buy position by breaking the downtrend resistance line #1 But if the price breaks the neckline, we should enter a sell position until the price reaches 74,800, which is also the target of our bearish pattern Trading Setup: Sell on Neck line Breakout
by Sarim-Trader
1
Whether the bottom section will be formed is the key Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. Happy New Year. ------------------------------------- (USDT 1D chart) USDT appears to have turned into a gap downtrend. If it does not rise quickly, the coin market is expected to show a sharp decline. (USDC 1D chart) Fortunately, USDC is maintaining a gap uptrend, so there seems to be a possibility of price defense to some extent. However, since USDC has a lower influence on the coin market than USDT, if USDT maintains a gap downtrend, the coin market is expected to eventually show a decline. What we need to do is check the stop loss point of the coin (token) we currently hold rather than increasing new transactions and think about how much we should cut loss. (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The point to watch is whether the movement of BTC is as updated last time. If the HA-Low indicator is created, it means that the current wave is finished and a new wave is starting, so whether there is support is an important key. There is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will fall after being created and show a stepwise downtrend, but the fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it is ultimately forming a bottom section, so it is a time to buy. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
2
Two Steps Down One Step UpHearing rumors a few days ago that it might drop back to 32k, I decided to short Bitcoin, while setting a stop loss well above the last "one step up" if you will. The idea behind a "significant" step up can just as well be a tactic to obscure the downtrend. On my Day chart I see a classic Head and Shoulders formation that so far does seem to hold, and I set a "take profit" well above the rumored 32k but low enough to not have to watch it by the minute. This is just my opinion on the immediate direction of BTC amid rumblings of a possible return to a gold standard (not only by Trump who comes into real authority to do so as of January 2025, but also by BRICS nations, and the various reports of gold bar buying around the world in the past few years). As always, do your own due diligence.
Short
by knewlights
4
BTCUSDT Rejecting off Fib Channel and Looking for Lower LowsBTC is currently rejecting off the bottom of the 161.8% Fib Channel Extension and is looking to make a lower low and test the supply zone in the region of 87k. Fibonacci Channels are notoriously subjective, which is why it is always important to validate any price interaction with these channel levels prior to making trading decisions. In this case with BTC, I have drawn the Fib Channel with these vertices marked in blue circles. Adding in the 3 extension levels (123.6%, 138.2%, 161.8%), indicated by the blue arrow, we can see that this channel is still proving to be a valid application beyond the 100% level. Zooming in to the lower timeframe (30min) provides further validation of these extension levels. Finally, applying a traditional Fibonacci retracement tool to the bearish move from 108k down to 92k, shows that the first extension take profit region (between 87.9k and 86.5k) aligns well with the yellow box that marks the demand zone from the initial consolidation in this region. Layering in a short position now, with a target of 87k is the goal of this idea. The idea is invalidated if we move above 95k again in the short term.
Short
by DoryFish
3
Bitcoin (BTC): 3 Different Scenarios We Are Looking ForThe last day of 2024 is going to be very volatile and unpredictable for sure (and not only today but most likely next 3-5 days). We have put down 3 different scenarios with entries we are looking for in the upcoming week, and as you can see, the end game for all of them would be a downward movement. We do not see yet the new ATH to form so most likely markets will have some kind of cooldown. What are your thoughts? Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowAcademy
1
BTC: LAST DAY OF THE MONTH AND YEARBullish Scenario: If 90K holds as a major monthly support, we may not see a retest of that level. In this case, the price is likely to climb toward 107K, breaking the 2024 all-time high (ATH). Bearish Scenario: If 90K fails as major monthly support, it could lead to a significant drop. Potential targets include 87K, 80K, 75K, and even 70K. Market Sentiment: The battle between bulls and bears is intense. Many bulls have turned bearish after selling, contributing to downward pressure. Bears are aiming for a red year in 2025 to capitalize on the downside. My Analysis: Since BTC's monthly candle maintained the upper half of the November mother candle, it signals that bears lack the strength to take control. Bulls still dominate the upper half of the range, which reinforces my view that the 90K support level is unlikely to break bearish. Altcoins have faced significant challenges this year, experiencing substantial losses. However, I firmly believe that 2025 will be the year of altcoins, with many expected to embark on strong, sustained rallies that will see impressive follow-through.
Long
by Asma7assan
1
Bitcoin to $120K: The Final Wave?Bitcoin is back in the spotlight, and the charts suggest we may be entering the highly anticipated 5th wave to the upside. A move to $120K is increasingly likely as institutional adoption grows, supply remains scarce, and the narrative of Bitcoin as digital gold continues to strengthen. However, markets are never a straight line. On the contrary, The unlikely option for the Bitcoin is it could see a dip below $85K in the near term before resuming its climb. Short-term corrections are part of the game, but the bigger picture remains bullish. With halving on the horizon and growing global demand for store-of-value assets, Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory points upward. The 5th wave could be the most explosive yet. While volatility is inevitable, the journey to $120K seems to be just a matter of time. Bitcoin remains the king of crypto, and this bull run still has fuel in the tank. Not a financial advice, do your own due diligence.
Long
by SabahEquityResearch
3
#BTC breaks through resistance zone📊#BTC breaks through resistance zone✔️ 🧠From a structural perspective, the bullish structure is still intact. After getting support near the neckline, it successfully broke through the blue resistance zone, and the resistance zone turned into a support zone. We tried to participate in some long trades in the support zone, hoping to continue the bullish trend. ⚠️This transaction is already in a risk-free state. We can only achieve big profits if we continue to break through. If the callback continues, then we need to look for new trading opportunities. Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
1
About BTC Analysis and Averaging Down... Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (USDT 1D chart) I think USDT provides funds that support the coin market. Therefore, it has a big impact on the coin market. If this USDT gap continues to decline, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend. I think the gap decline of USDT or USDC is a sign that funds are flowing out of the coin market. (USDC 1D chart) I think that the current continuous inflow of funds into USDC is preventing the coin market from turning into a downtrend. However, I think that the impact of USDC on the coin market will be short-term because it has a lower impact than USDT. USDC cannot form a USDC market on exchanges around the world, so it cannot help but have a lower impact than USDT. Therefore, when USDT maintains a gap downtrend, if USDC also shows a gap downtrend, the coin market is expected to show a large decline. ---------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) As a new candle is created, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart will be created at the 94742.35 point. Accordingly, the support around 94742.35 is an important issue. If it falls without support, 1st: 87.8K-89K 2nd: 79.9K-80K You should check the support around the 1st and 2nd above. However, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising around 83.6K, it is important to check whether there is support when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched. - (1D chart) After passing the volatility period around December 27, it eventually reached the lower part of the sideways section. Therefore, even if it continues to fall further, the key is whether it can touch the 92K-93.5K area and rise above 94742.35. The next volatility period is expected to be around January 10, 2025. ------------------------------------------- When the average purchase price falls below the average purchase price, it is best to cut your loss at the cut-off point. However, from a mid- to long-term investment perspective, there are cases where you cannot cut your loss unconditionally just because the price falls, and you may have missed the time to respond. In this case, you should eventually purchase more to lower the average purchase price and sell when it rebounds. This is called averaging down. The basic principle of averaging down is that you must purchase more than the current purchase principal. (Usually in the stock market, you purchase more than the number of shares you currently own.) Since decimal trading is possible in the coin market, there is an advantage of being able to purchase the purchase principal amount rather than the number of coins (tokens) you own. In that case, the average purchase price will fall more than you think. Therefore, in the coin market, having cash is very important. If you have spare funds (cash), you can cut losses between 50% and 100% of the purchase principal when the price falls below the cut-off point, or you can respond without cutting losses at all. If you do not have spare funds (cash), you should cut losses near the cut-off point. At this time, it is important to secure cash by selling more than 50% of the purchase principal. - If you can manage your investment ratio as explained above, the next important thing is when to make additional purchases. If you bought when the price fell by -10% as I mentioned in the previous "Example of how to trade without being able to analyze charts" idea, then when the price falls by -10% again, it is the time to make additional purchases. Instead, you should purchase additional stocks that you bought according to your own standards when the price rebounds, lower the average purchase price, and then sell them when the price rebounds. In other words, the additional funds purchased must be sold when the price rebounds. Otherwise, when it falls below the average purchase price again, the funds for the next additional purchase will increase significantly, so you will end up giving up without doing anything. The important thing here is to know how much the original purchase principal was before you start averaging down. The reason is that when you purchase additionally and then rebound and sell the amount of the additional funds purchased, the number of coins (tokens) remaining may change. If you purchase additionally and the price rebounds, but it does not rise above the average purchase price and shows signs of falling, it is considered a loss from the overall trading perspective. However, since you sell the amount of the additional purchase when the price rebounds, it is likely to be a profit when looking at the average purchase price of the additional purchase. In other words, the coins (tokens) for that profit will remain. Therefore, if you do not know the original purchase principal, you may end up investing excessive funds the next time you purchase additional funds. Excessive investment of funds can eventually be applied due to psychological anxiety and pressure, which can cause you to make inappropriate transactions. I will publish how to select the timing of additional purchases when I have the next opportunity. However, you should select it by looking at the movements of the StochRSI, BW, DOM auxiliary indicators added to this chart and the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts. At this time, if there are support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can trade based on whether there is support or not. Since the MS-Signal indicator on this chart is the standard for trend reversal, you can use it. However, it is recommended to proceed with additional purchases based on the 1D chart. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
1
Lingrid | BITCOIN complex PULLBACK in the MARKETBINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a complex ABCD pullback. The price continues to stay below the key level of $100,000, and it has created a range zone with equal lows. Notably, there is a structure shelf around $91,000, where the price has consistently bounced back. On the weekly timeframe, we've seen a bearish long-tailed bar, suggesting that the price may retest $85,000. At the start of 2025, we might experience some market shakeouts, so I expect a deeper pullback before rebounding off the support level, potentially taking liquidity below the structure support. My goal is resistance zone around 98,000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
1
Global liquidity downtrend cometh!During this current BTC cycle, major uptrends in global liquidity have corresponded to major uptrends in the market 72ish days later. The last major uptrend in liquidity is about to run its course, pause, and then downtrend. If this relationship holds, we are at or near at least a pause in the local up trend. I have my popcorn ready to see if this plays out. Note: The global liquidity prediction pauses until December 11th and then downtrends, so if we see floating higher prices until that point and then a pause, the relationship would still be valid. Second Note: I will publish the BGL (Bitcoin Global Liquidity) indicator very shortly. Please test it out and DM me if you see any issues or have suggestions. --Da_Prof
Short
by Da_Prof
5
Time-based analysis on the Bitcoin chart in 4H Chart.A time-based analysis has been conducted on the Bitcoin chart in the four-hour timeframe. In this method, it is expected that the price reacts upon reaching any of the vertical lines drawn on the chart. Specifically, if the price trend before the vertical line is upward, it is likely, with over 70% probability, to shift to a downward trend after touching the vertical line, and vice versa. The method used to draw these time-based lines is innovative, and related educational materials will be provided in the future.
by Hakimi1260
2
History Repeats? BTC Explosive 2025 ForecastSome people think #Bitcoin has already hit its highest point, but history shows that might not be the case. In previous cycles, Bitcoin tends to go parabolic and hit a peak a few months after breaking its previous all-time high (ATH). For example, in 2013, it peaked 273 days after breaking its ATH, in 2017 it took 233 days, and in 2021 it took 328 days. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin’s peak happened well after the ATH breakout. Looking ahead to the 2025 cycle, if Bitcoin follows a similar pattern, we could expect a peak between June 2025 (233 days after a breakout) and October 2025 (328 days after). While no one can predict the exact timeline, these historical trends provide a rough estimate of when Bitcoin might reach its next major peak.
by TheCryptoCity
1
BitCoin and analysis with equilibrium levels ...Hello dear friends... My Fibonacci equilibrium is drawn from the last high of the Bitcoin chart on the 12-hour time frame and the middle and main zones are also marked... I showed on the chart that the 200-day moving average band on the 4-hour time frame has been broken and the candles are reaching the 200-day moving average band on the 12-hour time frame to maintain their balance, which is completely consistent with our equilibrium levels... In case of further selling pressure, the candles will reach the daily moving average band, which is in complete harmony with my equilibrium Fibonacci levels....
Short
by koolaq221
1
Bitcoin Massive Pullback or Breakout? Stay AheadAs we mentioned in our last post that Bitcoin is trading in ascending channel.After a breakdown from the channel BTC finds the support between at $92,600.82 to $91.500.93 zone in Green. Now, we are observing two possible scenarios: Bearish Scenario: BTC is currently testing its resistance at $99,267.19 and has been rejected multiple times, if the price of Bitcoin fails to break this resistance level we might see a pullback to its support zone Green, and if this zone fails to hold the price we could see some more drop in the price to next support zone at $86,125.66 to $85,159.31 in Blue. A strong bounce in this region could potentially set the stage for Bitcoin to make a new all-time high. Bullish Scenario: If the price of Bitcoin flips the resistance at $99,267.19 and the lower boundary of the ascending channel we could see the price reach the middle line of the channel. Overall we are bullish until 1st and 2nd quarter of 2025. Don't panic, these dips are good for filling your bags. If we see a correction in the price that we are expecting this is a blessing to us to fill our bags. This market loves to shake out the weak hands before making its real move. A pullback here might just be the perfect opportunity to position yourself smartly. But remember: discipline is key. Don’t rush—wait for confirmations at key levels. Stay sharp and patient. This market isn’t for the faint-hearted, but the potential rewards for disciplined traders can be life-changing. Let’s crush it!
by TheCryptoCity
1
Sell BTC/USDT Bearish ChannelThe BTC/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to form of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the top of channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 91151 2nd Support – 90107 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Correction or no correction?Since the end of 2017, the Bitcoin has been moving in a healthy channel up to this day, touching the upper trendline of the channel twice as often as the lower one, while nicely reacting to the Fibonacci levels of the channel. Currently, it is still moving within this practically all-time bullish channel. However, as a result of the Trump-jump, it has now reached the upper trendline of the channel for the fourth time. It is very important to understand that this channel is essentially BTC’s main channel of all time. While the breakout prediction for this bullish channel would theoretically be bearish, such an event would be, to put it mildly, an epic occurrence in BTC's history. We've seen similar moves in BTC's past—for example, the cup and handle formation, which developed over three years, with the “handle” portion essentially formed throughout most of 2024. Similarly, a characteristic of this main channel was the double top structure in 2021, which established the lower boundary of the channel and had notable head and shoulders formations at its peaks. Why is all this important for the period ahead? As I mentioned, we are currently rebounding from the upper line of the main channel since December 2024. By now, everyone has come across the dreaded "correction expectation." And not without reason. The question is whether the current movement is a normal small-structured channel movement or part of the almost expected correction? Perhaps both at the same time. It’s well-known that movements within larger channel structures also exhibit fractal-like channel behavior—smaller channels of various directions form complex larger channels. On BTC's higher timeframe chart, it’s evident that we reached the upper line of the main channel within another channel, the parent structure of which was the channel lasting from March to November 2024, from which BTC broke out healthily. Currently, BTC is moving within this smaller channel and seems to be heading toward its lower trendline, approximately below the 90,000 level. Things become interesting when this lower line is reached since this subchannel is also a bullish channel with a 78% bearish breakout projection. Should BTC break out from this, we would be witnessing a long-overdue correction in BTC's history, with the Fibonacci levels of the main channel determining the extent of the correction. Considering the history of the main channel in terms of Fibonacci levels, there’s no guarantee that the 61.8% level or the median will hold. I won't put more energy into this scenario—let’s bite our nails when it happens. 😊 More likely scenario: In my opinion, a more probable and fundamentally sound scenario is that BTC remains in the subchannel. With January 19 approaching, it could head toward both the lower line and the upper line of the main channel, targeting the 110,000 level. Either way, we’re in for an exciting January! For those getting too anxious, remember the words of Virginia Viadura: "Don’t worry kid, they’ll store it!"
Long
by DamageDeaIer
1
bitcoin hitting 99600 today BYBIT:BTCUSDT bitcoin is now on bull run (maybe a short bullrun) and it can go upto 99600 and if bitcoin able to sustain the bull run it can touch 100k in the next 6 hour. the idea is 0.236 is the point where bitcoin boomed for like 3 to 5 hours after breaking the resistance at 0.236 level so this can happen again. (maybe happen again) why im saying this? see iam also a noob trader, putting 100 dollars with 100X leverage. and just compared the Fibonacci retracement(the golden curve theory idk) so i got something crazy and if it works today. please hesitate to think that it will work everytime and following me will be worth it(clearly not). and yes i didn't forgot to add a '?' at the end of the title. copy this and see TW not allowing me to paste the chart link (not a paying customer) so i have to do this tradingview . com/x/YF6euBnB/
Long
by sahilpatel1
1