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BTCUST trade ideas

#BTC Double Top Bearish Structure, Beware of Pullback📊#BTC Double Top Bearish Structure, Beware of Pullback📉 🧠From a structural perspective, we broke below the neckline of 106510, which means that the bearish double top pattern is established, so we need to be wary of the coming of a plunge. ➡️As I said in my last analysis, we stabilized and rebounded after testing the support near H1, but I was not satisfied because my order was swept after I moved up the SL, so we cancelled the risk and also meant that we might cancel the possible future profits. ➡️However, I still succeeded because I stuck to my trading plan and tried some short trades after the price rebounded near the blue resistance line. 50% of the profit has been locked in because I am worried that the market will jump back and forth between support and resistance, and there is a gap to be filled near 109200. ⚠️If we fail to hold the support near 106500 tomorrow, then we will see a plunge. Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
BTC HTF HL Could Be InI can have all my opinions about how this low can't be the HTF HL but who am I to say this? I should keep it in the back of my mind but I shouldn't let it hinder me from entering new trades/investments. I spent too much time speculating on how I think it should look instead of just keeping it simple and just think about how it looks in the moment. It cost me missing the up-move from ~85k-100k. I think of trading vs investing, LTF trades vs HTF trend while I should just scrap the HTF trend as this causes me to go on a speculation trip and I lose track of what's in front of me in the moment. ------------------------------- What I think is in front of me right now: Let's start with that MS is king. This up-move is caused by the fact that price got above the structure of 29 March-5 April, without any significant PA. It just got above it and stayed above it and pushed out above it. That's enough evidence to me that I shouldn't necessarily wait for a big SFP, on the 15min TF or 1D. Or that I shouldn't wait for a big 15min engulfing candle. This is just proof as price has pushed all the way back to 100k. Then, The blue box was the resistance and the level below it (95k spike) was the main level. The top of this level was maximal resistance. Here I expected (=speculated) that price would be capped and go back to 74k. I expected price to close above the level but that the new structure formed around the level would provide a short (like a SFP and then a MSB). But this didn't happen. Price pushed above the resistance. So that's how it now is: there's no resistance. Just like in april when price got above the 29 March-5 April structure with main level of structure being the high of 4 April. And then to add: in current structure price has closed above the main level of that structure on the 1D: the high of 12 May. This is good. Also: there's no 15min SFP at the current highs and the MSB failed (price pushed back up). Also: there's a clean level for the long SFP: 12 May low. Conclusion: if price breaks down from here without going back to these highs, price could be capped at the long SFP-level of 100k. And given the (I think) fact that there's no resistance and MS is king, this is the right level to enter the long in spot BTC. So that's what I'm going to do. Might enter the trade too (perps) if price indeed SFP's this level. ----------------------------- If price doesn't hold the 100k level, I don't think price can drop further than the 74k low so that's the potential downside (I don't sell spot if there's no short setup) I keep in mind.
Long
by EyyJasper
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 5 June 2025 - Bitcoin broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 98,000.00 Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently broke the support zone located between the key support level 102150.00 (which reversed the price multiple times from the start of May) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from last month. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term ABC correction 2, which started earlier from the major multi-month resistance level 110,000.00. Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 98,000.00 (former strong resistance from February).
Short
by FxProGlobal
1
Bitcoin - Bearish double top or bullish cup and handle ?As CRYPTOCAP:BTC reached a new high, we got a clear double top setup unfolding. The question is now how this will unfold ? Honest answer : We can't know as price can unfold in many different patterns from here. For now , we have to respect the bearish double top setup and therefore remain bearish on this as long as price is below 109.600$ . BUT seen the somewhat good general market context for now and the potential for a surge in bitcoin demand, we have to be open to the possibility to turn bullish here when possible. A double top setup can easily turn into a cup and handle setup, that means we could see price consolidate some more before rising again. But for that to happen, we need price to hold some key support levels , which for now is the 20day EMA in green on my chart. IF the 20dEMA is broken, we can simply look for the 50dEMA in black as the next potential support zone. Also, from an Elliott Wave perspective, it's quite simple, if price move above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, although not always, more often than not we see price go up to the 127.2% and 138.2% levels around 120K here. So, what can we do from here ? For the bulls ? Simple, stay out and only look for setups on key support as mentioned above, for now you can use the 20dEMA for a small long entry with a very tight stop. For bears ? Respect the short side as long as possible and use the support zones for profit taking and if support breaks look for new entries or to add to your positions if you want to be more aggressive.
by ElliottWaveBelgium
2
Bitcoin – Entering a distribution phase after a bull trap?Since the second week of May, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a textbook accumulation phase, with a well-defined trading range forming just below the previous all-time high. Beginning around May 12, price action became increasingly compressed, marked by a series of higher lows and relatively flat resistance, indicating growing demand and waning selling pressure. This consolidation structure persisted for more than a week, suggesting that larger players were accumulating positions in anticipation of a breakout. Now it could be making the Power of 3. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution Eventually, this coiled energy resolved to the upside. BTC broke through the upper boundary of the accumulation zone with increasing volume and momentum, triggering a sharp rally and leading to the formation of a new all-time high. At that point, market sentiment turned decidedly bullish, with breakout traders entering the market, expecting continuation. However, the price failed to sustain above the previous ATH for long. Despite the breakout’s initial strength, Bitcoin was unable to establish a solid foothold above the critical psychological and technical level, which has now proven to be a key inflection point. Soon after setting a new high, BTC began to reverse, shedding gains and retracing back below the former resistance level, which had temporarily acted as support. The breakdown below the $106,000 mark, previously the ceiling of the accumulation range, signaled a notable shift in market structure. What was initially viewed as a healthy continuation pattern evolved into what now appears to be a classic bull trap. This type of failed breakout often leaves market participants vulnerable, as late buyers are caught in drawdowns and early longs may be incentivized to exit positions. Given this context, the recent price action carries the hallmarks of a Power of 3, where market makers and institutions may be offloading positions to less informed participants. This phase is often mistaken for continued accumulation by retail traders due to its structural similarity; however, the key difference lies in the failure to maintain new highs and the emergence of lower highs on any attempted bounce. The rejection above the ATH and the subsequent breakdown below $106K has introduced significant overhead supply, which may act as resistance in the near term. Target levels As BTC continues to trade below this critical level, the likelihood of a further retracement grows. The market appears to be transitioning into a phase of redistribution or distribution proper, where price is likely to be capped on rallies and pressured lower over time. It is reasonable to expect that Bitcoin could revisit $100.000 to mid-$90,000s, an area that may serve as a magnet for liquidity and a potential staging ground for the next major move. This region could represent a "Last Point of Supply" (LPSY) within the Wyckoff framework, typically the final area where smart money distributes before initiating a more decisive markdown phase. Nevertheless, this potential pullback should not be viewed solely as a sign of weakness. In many bull cycles, such corrections and shakeouts serve to flush out over-leveraged positions and reset sentiment, ultimately laying the groundwork for renewed upward momentum. Should BTC find stability and demand re-emerge in the $95K–$100K range, it could mark the beginning of a new re-accumulation phase, leading to a healthier and more sustainable advance. Conclusion In summary, the recent breakout above ATH followed by a sharp reversal and loss of key support paints a cautionary picture in the short term. Bitcoin may currently be navigating a distribution zone, with downside pressure likely to persist as the market digests recent gains. However, such corrections are typical in broader uptrends and often present opportunities for strategic entries once the next accumulation structure becomes clear. Patience and disciplined observation will be essential as the market defines its next directional bias. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
61
BITCOINBitcoin is approaching a critical confluence zone near $100,000, where two major supports intersect: – A horizontal support around $100,000 (previous top-turned-support) – A rising trendline drawn from the 2023 rally, currently aligning near $98,000 – $99,000 This zone is technically significant. A bounce from here could send BTC back toward the $129,000 resistance level However, a daily candle close below this confluence (especially under $98,000) may trigger a deeper correction toward $90,000 or even $81,000 Watch price action closely—this region is not just support; it's a trend-defining battleground
by SalemSignals
"Caught the Dip – Next Stop: Resistance Zone 1. Current Price Action: The asset has bounced off the demand zone around 101,500 – 102,000 USDT. It is now trading at 102,204.56 USDT, indicating early signs of the expected bullish move. A white curved arrow suggests a rounded bottom pattern, often signaling a bullish reversal. 2. Demand Zone (Support): Remains the same as the previous chart: 101,500 – 102,500 USDT. Price reacted exactly at this zone and is starting to move upward. 3. Supply Zone (Target Area): Clearly marked at 104,800 – 105,500 USDT. This is where the expected bullish move could face resistance or where traders might look to take profit (TP). 4. Visual Reinforcement: The large blue arrow indicates strong bullish momentum is anticipated. The meme (Leonardo DiCaprio pointing) emphasizes that the reversal is happening as previously predicted — likely for motivational or engagement purposes in a VIP group. --- 🧠 Technical Sentiment: Bullish Bias confirmed: Price bounced exactly from the demand zone. Momentum Shift is underway, as indicated by the reversal pattern. A potential "Buy Confirmation" is in play with room to ride up to the 105K resistance zone. --- 🎯 VIP Trade Setup Recap: Parameter Value Entry Zone 101,500 – 102,000 USDT Current Price 102,204.56 USDT Target (TP) 105,000 – 105,500 USDT Stop Loss (SL) Below 101,000 USDT Bias Bullish / Reversal --- 📌 Suggested Title: "Reversal In Motion – Ride to 105K 🎯🚀"
Long
by ZareeFxTradingAac
3
#BTC/USDT: Head & Shoulders Breakdown – $95K Incoming?Hey Traders! If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! Bitcoin just broke below the neckline of a clear Head & Shoulders pattern on the 4H timeframe — a classic bearish signal. As long as price stays below the neckline and fails to reclaim the $106.5K zone, we could be heading for a deeper correction toward the $95K–$98K support range. Key Levels: Breakdown Zone: ~$103.9K Downside Target: $95K–$98K Invalidation: Reclaim above $106.5K Market is showing consistent weakness — small bounces are quickly sold off. Let the pattern play out and manage your risk accordingly. What do you think — short-term dip or deeper breakdown loading?
Short
by CoreCrypto1
1
Market next move 🔍 Original Interpretation: Support Zone: The red rectangle suggests a support level between ~102,800 and ~103,300. Bullish Bias: The blue arrow anticipates a bounce from this zone, potentially forming a higher low before continuing upward. Bearish Bias: The red arrow marks a potential resistance, predicting rejection and a move lower if the bullish breakout fails. --- ⚠️ Disruptive Analysis: 1. False Support Breakout Risk: A false breakdown beneath the support zone could trigger panic selling before a rapid recovery (fakeout). Traders might place stop-losses just below the box — a perfect target for market makers before price reverses. 2. Volume Deception: Volume increased during the sell-off but did not show strong absorption by buyers (green volume wasn't dominant). This suggests sellers still dominate and a continuation lower could occur before any bounce. 3. Lower Highs Formation: The last few green candles failed to break the previous highs, indicating weaker buying strength. Price may form a lower high, hinting at a short-term bearish trend. 4. Macro Trend Consideration: If this is just a retracement within a larger downtrend, the bounce could be short-lived. Broader market sentiment or macro news could push BTC toward 100,000 support or lower.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
"A volatile pattern of seesawing between bulls and bears"The recent inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have slowed down, but institutions such as Standard Chartered still remain bullish on the long-term trend, with price targets potentially raised above $120,000. Meanwhile, institutions like Japanese listed company Metaplanet continue to increase their holdings of Bitcoin, demonstrating institutional recognition of Bitcoin's long-term value. However, it is worth noting that large wallets and old wallets showed synchronized selling in May, indicating some profit-taking pressure in the market. From the perspective of market sentiment indicators, the current market sentiment is rather complex, with both bulls and bears seeking direction and no strong unilateral tendency. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
1
BTC/USDT.P Rejection Confirmed? Eyeing Breakdown Toward 50% FibBitcoin just lost two critical levels in rapid succession: 1️⃣ Value Area High ($106,331) 2️⃣ Previous Monthly High ($105,000) We’re now closing candles back inside prior structure, showing signs of weakness and potential distribution at the highs. 📉 The Bearish Setup Price is hovering above the 0.236 retracement. A break and daily close below this level could complete what looks to be the right shoulder of a developing head and shoulders pattern. The distance from head to neckline lines up with a projected move down toward the 50% Fibonacci level ($91,500) — which also aligns closely with the POC ($96,888) as an intermediate stop. 🎯 Targets: • Neckline/Break Level: $102,800 • Mid-Target (POC): $96,888 • Main Target (0.5 Fib): $91,500 • Confluence zone lower: 0.618 to 0.68 (watch for reversals) 🧠 Context Notes: • The current 2-leg rejection (~8% each) gives symmetry to the pattern • High volume nodes around POC could act as reaction areas • This short setup remains valid while price is closing below ~105k and failing to reclaim VAH If this structure plays out, it’s a classic example of a failed breakout turning into a strong breakdown — the kind of move that catches late bulls off guard.
Short
by turnandshoot
2