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BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Watching Value Area Retest | (May 5, 202BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Watching Value Area Retest + Macro Confluence | (May 5, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary Bitcoin has been consolidating after sweeping liquidity around the $69K level. I'm currently not in a position, but closely monitoring for confirmation of direction as we approach key zones. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters Bias: Neutral (waiting for confirmation) Entry: Watching for a retest of the value area low Stop Loss: Will be set once structure confirms TP1/TP2: Will define after confirmation Partial Exits: Based on price reaction at value area and confluence zones 3️⃣ Key Notes ✅ Lots of spot selling pressure currently—if it continues, lower prices are likely ✅ Still watching for potential bullish reversal structure for long-term upside (targeting $214K in long horizon) ✅ Correlation with S&P 500 is important here—SPX may push higher in coming weeks, especially as “sell in May” often applies to retail, while institutional flow tends to shift in June ✅ Watching the 7500 level on SPX as a possible reaction zone ❌ No confirmation yet—entering early could be risky ✅ Waiting for a clear market structure shift around value area support 4️⃣ Follow-up Note I'll continue monitoring this setup and will post updates once we get a confirmation of direction or a structural break worth acting on. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Long
by Risk_Adj_Return
BTC/USDT – 1-Hour Technical Analysis As of the current 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting early signs of a potential bullish reversal after a sustained downtrend. Key Observations: Price Structure: A clear downtrend was established with a series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) from the recent Higher High (HH). The price action formed a bullish reversal pattern, possibly a Double Bottom or Inverted Head and Shoulders, near the recent LL around $93,300. Break of Trendline: The downward trendline connecting the recent highs has been broken, indicating a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. RSI Analysis: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown a bullish divergence. While the price made lower lows, RSI made higher lows, signaling a weakening of bearish momentum. RSI currently stands near 46.88, moving upward, which supports a potential move toward the overbought zone. Entry and Risk Levels: Buy Stop: 94,944.95 USDT Stop Loss: 93,279.56 USDT (just below recent support and second LL) This setup implies a calculated long entry only if price confirms bullish continuation by breaking above the Buy Stop level. Target Levels: TP1: 96,526 USDT – First resistance level aligned with previous structure zone. TP2: 98,119 USDT – Second major target near the previous swing high zone. Conclusion: A break above the $94,944 resistance would confirm a bullish reversal with potential targets at $96,526 and $98,119. However, failure to sustain above $94,000 or a breakdown below $93,279 would invalidate the bullish bias. Traders should monitor the RSI for confirmation and use proper risk management.
Long
by samee_tehreek
Bitcoin Price Prediction Trend : Consolidating between $86,000 (support) and $98,000 (resistance) Key Levels to Watch Support : $86,000 – Strong demand zone Resistance : $98,000 – Key supply zone Possible Scenarios Breakout Bullish : Above $98,000 → Target $102,000+ Breakdown Bearish : Below $86,000 → Target $82,000 or lower Most Likely Short-Term Move : Continued sideways movement within the range Outlook Short-Term (1–2 Weeks) : Range-bound with potential for breakout Long-Term (3–6 Months) : Depends on whether price breaks key support/resistance
Short
by mahirdll
Bitcoins Next Potential Bullish MoveBitcoin has exhibited a notable resurgence following a significant decline into the lower $70,000 range, where it encountered key structural support zones. This retracement catalyzed a pronounced rebound, signaling a potential shift in short-term market sentiment. At present, price action has reclaimed the prior all-time high (ATH) range but has encountered resistance at the current Point of Control (POC)—the most heavily traded price area—indicating active participation from sellers. Sustaining the Value Area Low (VAL) in conjunction with the downtrend-anchored VWAP around the $93,000 level will be pivotal for confirming a full rotation back toward the upper bounds of the value area, near $102,000. This upper region represents a significant liquidity cluster, where a potential bull trap or liquidation cascade could unfold as late entrants enter the market under the assumption that the corrective phase has concluded and a new impulsive leg is underway. However, this area also marks the apex of the value range, where a reaction is statistically more probable—much like the recent rejection seen at the POC. Should Bitcoin successfully defend the VAL, a broader value area rotation would be expected before any renewed downside pressure. A subsequent pullback toward the previous value area high could then act as a confirmation of breakout support, validating the bullish structure. Ideally, this scenario—characterized by respect for value area dynamics and rotational momentum—would align most cleanly with market structure and auction theory. As price oscillates between value zones, each range is sequentially validated as either support or resistance, providing a framework for interpreting market behavior with greater precision.
Long
by afurs1
Bullish sentiment is favorable.Bitcoin is currently in a crucial stage of the battle between bulls and bears. There is both short-term pullback pressure and technical support. The movements of institutional funds and policies remain the dominant factors. The single-day net inflow of BlackRock's IBIT Bitcoin ETF reached a record of $1 billion. The continuous inflow of institutional funds provides support for the price. The resistance levels have recently concentrated in the range of $97,800 - $98,000. Once broken through, it may challenge the $100,000 mark. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
BTC | WHY Bitcoin is BULLISH | 2021 Fractal5 reasons why I say BTC is on it's way to a new ATH (All Time High) : ✅1️⃣ Support zone reclaimed BTC has successfully reclaimed the support zone ABOVE the neckline resistance, a topic that I've been discussing over the past two weeks. If you'll recall, I pointed out either 70k or 90k. We have our answer: ✅2️⃣ Trendlines Trendlines are BULLISH as BTC continues to make highger lows, a key indication of bullish sentiment even when a pullback is present: ✅3️⃣ Moving Averages BTC has reclaimed ALL moving averages in the daily, a bullish indication: ✅4️⃣ Trend Based Indicators A bullish flash in the weekly is a strong sign: ✅5️⃣ Fractal It's possible that BTC plays out similarly to the previous ATH fractal from 2021: ________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by Crypto-Check-
Bitcoin: $94K and Climbing!Price Movement and Technical Patterns Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $94,075 on the 4-hour timeframe, marking its highest level in over two months. This surge comes after a clean breakout above a key trendline, a move that often signals the start of a strong upward trend. Over the past few weeks, BTC has climbed 28% from its five-month low of below $75,000, hit on April 9, 2025. Right now, it’s testing a major resistance level near $95,000. On the 4-hour chart, you’ll notice a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows, a textbook bullish setup. The price has also broken out of a falling wedge pattern, which is typically a reversal signal that points to more gains ahead. Support is holding strong around $80,000, while the price seems to be coiling between $82,000 and $86,000, hinting at a possible explosive move toward $100,000 if it breaks out of this range. Market Context and External Influences What’s driving this rally? A big part of it is the broader economic picture. With trade tensions and tariffs stirring up global markets, Bitcoin is stepping up as a safe-haven asset, much like gold, which has also been on a tear lately. Investors seem to be turning to BTC to hedge against uncertainty, and that’s pushing prices higher. On top of that, there’s some positive news in the crypto space: the Maldives just signed a $9 billion deal to build a crypto hub, which could spark more mainstream adoption and boost market sentiment. There’s also chatter about the U.S. possibly pausing tariffs, which might ease economic pressure and give Bitcoin more room to run. These factors combined are creating a pretty supportive backdrop for this price action. On-Chain Data and Investor Behavior Digging into the data, there’s more evidence that big players are betting on Bitcoin. Large investors, often called "whales," have been scooping up BTC at a rate three times higher than what miners are producing daily. This kind of accumulation mirrors what we saw during the 2020 bull run, right before prices took off. It’s a sign that these heavy hitters are gearing up for something big. The 4-hour chart backs this up with steady buying pressure and no major sell-offs yet. If this trend holds, and Bitcoin stays above its key support levels, we could see a push toward new all-time highs sooner rather than later. Keep an eye on that $95,000 resistance, it’s the next big test. What to Watch For So, where does Bitcoin go from here? The technicals are screaming bullish: the breakout, the higher highs, and the wedge pattern all point up. But it’s not just about the chart, external factors like economic shifts and crypto news will play a role too. If BTC can smash through $95,000 with solid volume, $100,000 comes into view fast. On the flip side, a drop below $80,000 could cool things off, though the whale buying makes that less likely for now. For traders, this is a spot to watch for a breakout or a pullback to scoop up a dip. Either way, Bitcoin’s got momentum, and the market’s buzzing with potential.
by MonoCoinSignal
1
BTC’s Resistance Rejection and Pullback PotentialBitcoin’s recent upswing encountered strong supply at a major confluence zone, setting the stage for a corrective phase. Below is a purely technical breakdown of the reversal signals and key levels to watch: 1. Confluent Resistance Barrier Trend Channel Upper Boundary: BTC respected the descending channel ceiling drawn since November 2024, stalling gains at this dynamic resistance. Volume Profile Node: The Point of Control for the November–April range coincides exactly with this ceiling, creating a heavy supply node where aggressive selling pressure has materialized. 2. Bearish Shark Harmonic Activation Harmonic Geometry: The completed Shark pattern (0XA–AB–BC–CD) landed precisely at the resistance confluence, triggering a shift from impulsive to corrective price behavior. Fibonacci Alignment: The D-leg retracement aligns with the 0.886 extension of the XA leg, reinforcing the pattern’s invalidation zone and confirming the reversal trigger. 3. Critical Downside Pivot Key Swing Low – $91,648: A close beneath this level on elevated volume would validate the bearish scenario, initiating a cascading stop-run that could drive BTC toward the $86,000 structural support. Stop-Hunt Risk: Traders who entered near recent highs likely have stops clustered just below the swing low; their liquidation would accelerate downside velocity. Risk and Trade Management Entry Zone: Aggressive short entries may be considered on a failure to retake the channel top, with initial targets near the POC support level. Invalidation Point: A sustained reclaim of the channel resistance and POC region would negate the bearish thesis, shifting bias back to neutral or bullish. Summary: Bitcoin’s clear rejection at overlapping resistance and the activation of the bearish Shark harmonic signal a high-probability pullback. Confirmation hinges on the swing-low break; otherwise, watch for a potential re-test of the confluence zone.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
BTCUSDTLooks like BTCUSDT wants to make us smile again 🙂 A new opportunity for a Sell signal has emerged, and I’ll be taking advantage of it. However, don’t forget that in 35 minutes**, the *U.S. Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)* data will be released — and that could cause some market volatility. I’m opening the trade with that in mind, so make sure you adjust your risk accordingly. 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.60 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 94333.33 ✔️ Take Profit: 93908.54 ✔️ Stop Loss: 94598.39 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses."
Short
by Nurlan_PT
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #82👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see, yesterday the price stabilized below 95370 and completed a downward leg to 93626, reacting exactly to the level I pointed out in the previous analysis. ✔️ I mentioned earlier that you could enter a short position after breaking 95370 — but remember, this position is against the higher timeframe trend, so the downward move will likely end once it hits the first support, since the market momentum remains bullish on larger timeframes. 💥 Currently, the price has reacted to 93626 and seems to be resting from the previous downward move. I believe a new range box may form between 95370 and 93626 — if that happens, I’ll go long on a break above 95370. 🔽 For short positions, given the bearish momentum in this timeframe, we can look to re-enter on a break below 93626 in the next retest. 📊 Watch volume and RSI today. The volume of red candles has been much higher than bullish ones, which increases the chance of a deeper correction. If you’re shorting, keep a tight stop-loss, take profits quickly, and treat it as a scalp trade. 📈 For long positions, since it’s against the short-term trend, you’ll need a wider stop — but if the correction ends and a new bullish leg begins, the trade may stay open longer. 🧩 As for RSI: as long as it stays below 50, market momentum is bearish. A break below 30 and entry into oversold increases the likelihood of more downside. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance broke 64.77 yesterday and retraced to 64.60. If this downward move continues, we could see early signs of a trend shift. ✨ Important note: dominance has been in an uptrend on higher timeframes, so a break of 64.60 only confirms a short-term correction. Don’t take it as a trend reversal just yet. 💫 If dominance continues to drop and the market rises, altcoins could outperform Bitcoin. Conversely, if dominance rises again, Bitcoin will rally more than altcoins. 📅 Total2 Analysis Total2 broke below 1.03 yesterday, retested it, and now looks set to continue downward. The next support is at 1.00 — if you’re already short, consider taking profits at that level. ☘️ We’ll get full trend reversal confirmation with a break below 1.00. For long positions, the 1.05 breakout is extremely important. I strongly recommend not missing that trigger if it happens. 📅 USDT.D Analysis USDT dominance stabilized above 5.10 yesterday, moving further away from 4.99, and is now testing 5.19. A break above 5.19 would be a strong signal that a deeper market correction is starting. 🔑 On the flip side, a break below 4.99 is still the best and most important trigger to confirm the market’s return to a bullish trend. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
1
BTC – Waterfall?Price rejecting after Friday's blow-out. Flow wise it's not that sellers stepped in, more like the one or few buyers that were buying with no regard for price, finally stopped buying. Price is mean reverting here, looking for balance again. Notice how H4 trend stopped supporting price, and now became resistance over the weekend, after which price flushed for the first time. A correction to mid-high 80s would be very healthy and the best case scenario for bulls imo. Reset momentum and positioning a bit while making a higher low. If we yearly open and local lows hold here, we can look for a short setup. Also note that the highs are pretty bad, a push into +95k might trigger a lot of short stops and give us a quick move above the highs. Be careful with getting or staying bullish there, unless price is slow grinding up above the high, it is very likely just a fake-out.
by Tealstreet
1
MACD: More Than Just a Crossover ToolHello, traders! 🔥 The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is one of the most trusted tools in technical analysis — but often one of the most oversimplified. While many traders focus on signal line crossovers, the real power of MACD lies in its ability to visualize market momentum, subtle shifts in trend strength, and early signs of potential reversals. Let’s unpack how MACD behaves using the weekly BTC/USDT chart ✍🏻. 🔧 Understanding the Mechanics At its core, MACD is the difference between two exponential moving averages — typically the 12-period EMA and the 26-period EMA. The result is the MACD line (blue). The orange line represents a 9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the MACD line, commonly referred to as the signal line. The histogram reflects the distance between them, helping to visualize when momentum is building or fading. 📊 MACD in Action — Weekly BTC Chart Breakdown Looking at the BTC/USDT weekly chart, several notable MACD behaviors stand out: 1. The Bullish Acceleration in Early 2023 In early 2023, MACD crossed above the signal line, accompanied by a sharp rise in the histogram. This indicated strong positive momentum, as the price began recovering from the 2022 lows. The histogram’s expansion confirmed increasing divergence between the short- and long-term EMAs — a classic sign of trend acceleration. 2. Peak Momentum in Late 2023 Around late 2023, the MACD line peaked while the histogram also reached maximum height. This wasn’t just a confirmation of strength — it also hinted that momentum may have reached a climax. Despite price continuing to rise slightly, the MACD curve started to flatten — an early warning of potential exhaustion in trend strength. 3. Bearish Convergence into Q1 2025 In early 2025, the MACD line turned downward and eventually crossed below the signal line, while the histogram flipped to red. This reflected a cooldown in bullish momentum rather than an immediate reversal. What’s notable is how price didn’t collapse sharply, but moved into a pullback phase — illustrating how MACD can show momentum softening before price visibly reacts. 📌 What This Can Tells Us The MACD indicator on this weekly BTC chart shows how momentum often shifts before the trend itself breaks. Each crossover, divergence, or histogram change is not a guarantee, but a cue to pay closer attention. Key takeaways: Strong Histogram Expansion = Confidence in the Current Move. Peaks in MACD Without Price Making New Highs = Potential Divergence. Shrinking Histogram + Converging Lines = Momentum Stalling. 🧠 Final Thought MACD isn’t just about “buy when it crosses” or “sell on red bars.” It’s a narrative tool, showing how the story of the price develops beneath the surface. On higher timeframes, such as the weekly chart, it can potentially highlight macro momentum shifts long before they become apparent in price action alone.
Education
by WhiteBIT
7
Bitcoin Ascending Broadening Wedge (4H)After a clean breakout above the macro downtrend, BINANCE:BTCUSDT rallied into its supply zone — but price action has since become increasingly volatile, forming a rising broadening wedge (also known as a megaphone pattern). Pattern Insights • The structure is defined by diverging trendlines, with each swing becoming larger and more erratic. • This pattern often signals instability or exhaustion, especially near key resistance. • While it can break either way, broadening wedges in an uptrend frequently resolve to the downside, especially when supply is overhead. Key Levels • Resistance: ~$ 98K-$99.5k supply zone — the upper boundary of the pattern. • Support: ~$93.5k area — prior S/R, potential flip zone. • Reversal: A breakdown below ~$93k could confirm a short-term bearish resolution and open the door to ~$88.5k. • Continuation: A breakout above the upper boundary with volume could trap shorts and ignite a squeeze toward new highs. Until then, BTC remains in a high-volatility structure, best approached with caution or as a range-trading opportunity.
by AliferCrypto