TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #81👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, Bitcoin has continued its correction down to the 95370 level and is currently testing this zone.
✔️ If the price breaks below this level and moves further down, we will start to see signs of a trend reversal. However, for short positions, I personally prefer to wait for a confirmed trend reversal.
📈 For long positions today, if the price pulls back to the 95370 zone, you can consider entering. Confirmation of the pullback can be taken from lower timeframes through candlestick signals or structural breaks.
📊 Market volume increased during the last corrective leg, which could raise the probability of a break below 95370.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance — the range between 64.77 and 64.91 still holds, with price fluctuating within.
⚡️ A breakout above 64.91 would confirm the continuation of the uptrend. A break below 64.77 could suggest a deeper correction.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, the 1.03 support has broken and price is now moving downward. If this trend continues, it could drop to lower support levels.
⭐ However, if the break below 1.03 turns out to be a fakeout, price could rebound and head back toward 1.05.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, USDT dominance has closed above 5.10 today and may be starting its bullish leg.
💥 If this upward move continues, the market could experience a broader sell-off. Should Bitcoin triggers activate, this would be a good context to consider short positions.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUST trade ideas
Bitcoin Analysis (4H)Bitcoin has lost its trendline and appears to have accumulated significant sell orders near the top.
The zone between $96K and $100K could act as the main supply area, potentially pushing the price down to at least $88K.
Targets are clearly marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
BTC - Golden Pocket & Strong FVG Resistance for a Short SetupThe current 15-minute chart of BTCUSDT reveals a textbook bearish setup forming as price retraces into a well-defined supply zone. This analysis focuses on structural breakdowns, liquidity engineering, and key Fibonacci confluences that may lead to a short-term reversal within intraday price action.
Overview of Market Structure:
BTCUSDT has been in a clear intraday downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows being formed. The recent price action reflects a temporary consolidation phase following the creation of a new swing low. This minor pullback appears to be corrective in nature, moving upward toward a previously established zone of inefficiency.
At the center of this setup is a well-marked bearish fair value gap (FVG), highlighted with a blue shaded rectangle, where institutional selling is expected to have previously occurred. This FVG formed after a strong displacement candle, suggesting unmitigated sell-side imbalance left in the market.
Retracement Zone and Fibonacci Confluence:
As price retraces upward, it enters the equilibrium region of the recent bearish impulse, with notable confluences around the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. These retracement levels are critical markers where smart money algorithms often execute continuation plays during trending phases.
Both the 0.618 and 0.65 levels fall within the center of the FVG zone, further strengthening the case for this being a valid supply area. These levels are plotted with horizontal lines on the chart and serve as ideal zones to monitor for signs of rejection or bearish order flow resumption.
The 0.786 retracement, marked just above the upper boundary of the FVG, acts as a final extremity level. This level often coincides with liquidity pools where stop hunts are engineered before the actual move begins. Its proximity to a recent swing high makes it an area of interest for potential liquidity grabs prior to a deeper move down.
Projected Price Path and Liquidity Targets:
The projected blue path illustrates an expected liquidity sweep into the FVG zone, followed by a sharp rejection. This aligns with the idea of engineered liquidity collection before continuation in the original trend direction. The move anticipates price reaching back into the area of prior support, targeting unmitigated demand near recent lows.
Of particular interest is the area around the 0.28 Fibonacci extension level, which acts as a probable magnet for price in the event of a successful rejection. The chart structure suggests that once the short-term retracement completes, there is room for a new impulse leg lower.
Internal Structure Observation:
The current lower timeframe structure shows rising momentum toward the FVG. However, this upward push lacks aggressive bullish volume and appears corrective rather than impulsive. This suggests that buyers are likely exhausting themselves as price nears the supply zone.
Additionally, the structure within this move is developing lower-timeframe liquidity pools (equal highs and tight consolidation), which could act as inducement for a sweep before the potential reversal occurs.
Conclusion:
This chart offers a well-structured short setup based on supply zone rejection, Fibonacci confluence, and a bearish market structure. The fair value gap zone between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement levels is key, and price action within this area will be crucial in determining the next directional leg. If bearish confirmation such as an engulfing pattern or break of market structure occurs within or after tapping this zone, it would validate the bearish outlook for a short-term continuation to the downside.
This setup is ideal for intraday traders focused on precision-based entries rooted in institutional order flow principles.
BTC - retracement levelsHello chart people 👋
BTC 1D timframe
Key level I'm watching 👀 atm is 94,960. If we break below this level you can see in the chart where price might head to next.
Both RSI and candle uptrend have started to break down signalling negative momentum. This week could be bearish.
A move to the 618 would fill a fair-value-gap. I expect that price will react from the 88,300 - 89,300 range. Wouldn't be surprised if we saw a touch on the daily high Mon 21st Apr @ 88,340 on the button. This move is worth -6.5% from current position 📉
There is a small liquidity Zone sat right above us @ 97,100 so the cruel whales 🐋 might destroy the short people before moving down.
Re: fib levels - I've pinpointed the weekly open 21st Apr as the "swing low" and the 618 and 786 levels seem to magnetise to key levels.
BTC/USDT Quick Update – May 4 #2Rising Wedge Pattern Identified
– Price is currently trading within a rising wedge on the 4H chart, often considered a structure worth monitoring for potential volatility.
Price Near Local Resistance (~ GETTEX:97K )
– BTC is reacting around the GETTEX:97K zone, a level where price has previously stalled, suggesting possible decision-making by market participants.
RSI Around 47
– RSI has cooled from higher levels and is now neutral, indicating a balance between buyers and sellers at this stage.
Parabolic SAR Above Candles
– SAR dots are now positioned above price, typically signaling a slowdown in recent upward momentum.
ADX Reading Below 20
– A low ADX value suggests the current trend lacks strong directional strength, implying potential for sideways or corrective movement.
Volume Not Supporting Recent Move
– As price climbed, volume remained relatively low, which can indicate a lack of strong participation behind the move.
Key Levels to Watch
– Support: $95K (wedge base), GETTEX:92K (prior demand zone)
– Resistance: GETTEX:97K (local), $102K (major overhead zone)
What to Monitor
– A break above GETTEX:97K could lead to a retest of higher zones. A break below $95K might open up a move toward $92K. Watching for confirmation either way.
BTC breaks out - Can it sustain the bullish momentum?Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown notable strength, forming an ascending triangle pattern, a typically bullish structure that often resolves to the upside. True to form, BTC has now broken out above the triangle's resistance, pushing higher with strong momentum.
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Price target ascending triangle
This breakout sets a technical price target above $98,000, suggesting there’s still significant upside potential if the pattern plays out fully. However, the rally is now approaching a critical test.
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Golden Pocket + POC
BTC is currently moving into a zone of strong resistance, both the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement level and the Point of Control (POC) from recent months converge in this area. These technical levels often act as magnets for price and can serve as significant barriers, potentially leading to a pullback or consolidation.
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Stochastic RSI
Adding to the caution, the daily Stochastic RSI remains in overbought territory, where it has lingered for an extended period. While this doesn’t guarantee an immediate reversal, it does suggest that a corrective move could be on the horizon.
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Conclusion
Still, there's a chance BTC could first push toward the psychologically significant $100K level before any major retracement occurs. Traders should keep a close eye on how BTC behaves around this key resistance area, confirmation or rejection here will likely shape the next major move.
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BTC Bias bullish imbalance that ultimately failed to provide expected support. Subsequently, the market executed liquidity sweeps, indicative of stop-loss inducement. Following this, price retraced to a discernible Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) level, which is currently exhibiting respect as a potential pivot point.
The failure of the anticipated bullish reaction at the imbalance suggested underlying bearish strength. The ensuing liquidity sweeps provided the necessary momentum for a directional move. The subsequent adherence to the OTE level now presents a technical confluence warranting attention for potential trading opportunities aligned with the observed market flow.
BTC/USDT Quick Update – May 4Bitcoin to $102K? Bullish Momentum Still in Play (4H Chart)
Bitcoin is holding strong within an upward channel, showing clear bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. After breaking out of a long consolidation phase, it’s now finding support around $94.5K and riding along the midline of the ascending trend.
Momentum looks solid, with price above key EMAs and holding structure.
Next major resistance: Sitting at $102,000, which lines up with the top of the channel and a previous supply zone.
Indicators:
RSI is slightly cooling off, suggesting potential short-term consolidation.
ADX still supports a strong trend.
Volume’s dipped a bit, so we may need fresh buying pressure for the next leg up.
If BTC can hold above $94.5K, the bullish structure remains intact. A push to $102K looks likely in the short to mid-term.
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BITCOINBitcoin Break of Supply Roof: Implications for Price Action
Bitcoin’s recent breach of a critical supply roof (resistance zone between $95,000–$98,300) has significant implications for its near-term price trajectory.
this range may represent a "supply roof" where holders accumulated Bitcoin. A breakout suggests these holders are either holding for higher prices or have already distributed, reducing immediate selling pressure.
On-Chain and Fundamental Support
Institutional Demand: Corporate treasuries (e.g., MicroStrategy) and ETFs continue accumulating Bitcoin, reducing available supply.
Negative Funding Rates: Despite price gains, futures markets show neutral-to-negative funding rates, indicating room for leveraged longs to enter.
Post-Halving Scarcity: The April 2024 halving has tightened new supply, with only ~19.86 million BTC in circulation (94% of total supply mined).
Conclusion
A decisive breakout above $98,000 would signal a bullish regime shift, targeting $100,000–$109,000 in May/June. However, traders should watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic cues to validate the move. Failure to hold gains could see Bitcoin retest lower support, but the broader 2025 outlook remains bullish, with institutional adoption and scarcity dynamics underpinning long-term upside.
Critical events this week: US CPI data (May 30) and ETF flow trends will be pivotal for sustaining momentum.
GANN Analysis for BTC/USDT – Time/Price Intersection Zones ⚡️ Chart Type: 1D
Toolset: GANN Fan + GANN Box + VWAP-MA Combo + Custom RSI Cycle + Dynamic S/R levels
Asset: Bitcoin / Tether (BTCUSDT)
🔍 Key Observations:
1- GANN Fan & Box Alignment
Multiple converging GANN angles from key pivot lows (notably 74,626.93) create a price/time compression zone.
The green and red fan lines show clear support and resistance “rails” guiding current BTC movement.
2- Support/Resistance Cluster:
Major GANN resistance zone: ~91,500–91,900 USDT.
Strong mid-range support: ~83,400 USDT (0.75 retracement).
A possible reaction zone near 86,300 USDT, in line with VWAP deviation and GANN grid intersection.
3- Time-Based Turning Points:
April 9, 2025, was a confirmed local bottom, matching RSI cycle lows.
May 4–6, 2025 (highlighted in red) is the next GANN timing arc, suggesting a potential swing high or local top.
Jun 27, 2025, is the next major GANN time intersection. Depending on the trend strength leading into it, it is highly likely to act as a macro inflection point.
4- RSI Cycle Outlook:
RSI Master v3 shows overbought conditions (~77), historically signaling near-term cooling or consolidation.
Previous similar RSI peaks led to pullbacks into mid-fan levels.
Timeline Expectation :
Short-Term (5–12 May): Watch for price rejection near 92k, with possible retracement to 86k–83k.
Mid-Term (June–July): A consolidation phase likely leading to expansion near July 25, where directional breakout potential increases.
Strategy Suggestion:
Traders may consider this period (early May) as a high-alert zone. If BTC fails to hold above 91.5k, expect a deeper rotation toward fan base support. July 25 could serve as a strategic entry/exit timing based on confirmation.
📈 Not financial advice — time/price confluence zones like these are tools for probabilities, not guarantees. Always manage risk and follow your plan.