BTCUST trade ideas
Bitcoin's Weekly MACD & RSI —Back To Basics (Part 1)We looked at Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and mentioned the rare Michael Saylor 4 weeks green bullish signal. But what about the MACD and RSI? What are these indicators currently saying?
Let's dive deep into these two and see what we can find.
First, Bitcoin's weekly RSI.
1) Here we have first what is called a hidden bullish divergence. The RSI hit a lower low in March 2025 compared to September 2024, but Bitcoin is currently trading within a strong higher low (March/April 2025 vs September 2024). This is an interesting signal.
2) The same RSI support that was activated in September 2023 and September 2024 worked in March 2025. Once this level was activated—blue dotted line on the chart—the RSI started to move upward.
Each time this support is activated Bitcoin goes on a major bullish wave. In September 2023 Bitcoin started a major rise from 20 something toward 70K+. In September 2024 Bitcoin started a major advance from 60 something toward 110K.
3) A triple bottom. Another signal related to this same support level is a triple bottom. It was challenged three times and holds. In 2025, this support zone was pierced briefly and then the RSI started growing. This makes the reversal signal an even stronger one.
Bitcoin doubled in 2024 from this RSI support and more than triple in 2023. So this time around we can count on a double minimum but can be a triple or more. If it increases each time, first a double, then a triple and then a quadruple.
The next signal is Bitcoin's weekly RSI broken downtrend and bullish reading:
1) The downtrend has been broken on the RSI, pretty simple. Here depicted with blue lines. Needless to say, when the downtrend breaks the RSI moves up. A strong RSI is bullish for Bitcoin and this takes us to #2.
2) The RSI has a strong reading at 59. Bullish is above 50 and there is also a bullish cross, when the RSI moved above the RSI based MA (moving average).
The weekly RSI reveals Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias. Over time this indicator becomes overbought but never oversold. Interesting isn't it? It shows that market participants are ready to buy beyond what is reasonable but not willing to sell that much.
As it happened back in late September 2024, the RSI doesn't have to move straight up, there are ups and down within a rise, please keep that in mind. The RSI doesn't necessarily reflect what Bitcoin is doing or will do, it only supports a broader bias, trend or cycle, in this case the bullish case.
Next comes the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
This is pretty interesting as well and the first signal is a higher low in April 2025 vs September 2024, a standard bullish signal:
Revealing Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias, the MACD starts to recover without reaching the bearish zone. The bearish zone is when the MACD moves below zero, here the recovery is happening above.
The fact that the bullish cross on the MACD, when the MACD line crosses upward the signal line, is not yet in means that this bullish cycle is still early.
When the MACD line (blue) starts to curve on the weekly timeframe after making a long-term low, as it is now, the market turns bullish and there is no going back.
I will go deeper on the MACD in part 2 of this publication.
If you enjoy it and like it boost it to give me feedback. The more feedback, the deeper the next analysis will be.
Thanks a lot for reading, your support is truly appreciated.
I'll see you next time.
Namaste.
BTCUSDTWishing everyone a great weekend! I opened a BTCUSDT trade this morning and hit TP — price has now returned to the same level (I didn’t share that signal with you). I'm considering taking another trade. Although BTC tends to act “blind” during weekends, I still want to seize the opportunity. For that reason, it's better to enter with a smaller lot size. I may close this trade manually — so turn on notifications to stay updated 🙂
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 96428.33
✔️ Take Profit: 95978.61
✔️ Stop Loss: 96728.22
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Analysis of the Price Trend of BitcoinAnalysis of the Bitcoin Price Trend: The upward trend is derived from the Weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. When the yellow and white lines of the MACD return to the zero axis and simultaneously touch the 52-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA52) line, there is a high probability that there will be no problem for the price to reach 100,000 (currency unit).
$100K Bitcoin Within Days » Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (S5)Bitcoin is now bullish confirmed with a break above $97,000. Today Bitcoin trades at the highest price since late February 2025, and it is set to continue growing and growing aiming next at a break and challenge of 100K.
As soon as 100K is conquered, the Altcoins will go wild.
Which pair is your favorite Altcoin right now?
Let's start Session 5 of Your Top Altcoin Choice.
» Leave a comment with your preferred Altcoin trading pair and I will reply to your comment with a full analysis.
» We will do one pair per user/commentator.
Feel free to ask any questions.
Bitcoin is bullish now and set to grow long-term. The next All-Time High can happen around $160,000 just as it can be $180,000 or $250,000. Patience is key.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC - Liquidity Mapping to Predict MovementAs a part II to my previous post on “Bull Market OR Bearish Retest?” - Here is a 2 day liquidity map on BTC’s chart.
I’m anticipating a sharp drop to 7,000 - why is this number significant?
There is a mass amount of liquidity in the chart down towards 7,000-10,000.
This liquidity is in the form of long stop loss orders.
In layman’s terms - the sell orders required to take price to this extreme low are already within the chart. It is a pre-set consequence to traders decisions in a market dominated by leveraged buys and sells.
If we consider what the “floor” price of BTC is (IE all long term secured holders) - we first have to seperate out the leveraging liquidity used in the futures market.
How much of the BTC market cap is injected liquidity from futures / derivatives? In my view, anything above 7,000.
This liquidity can flow in and out, and the business and function behind it isn’t affected. This liquidity is extremely fluid. It can drop 90,000 and rise 90,000 shortly after without any affect on the fundamental value of Bitcoin.
Sure there is a psychological consequence with perceived value and market stability - but the fact is, leveraged liquidity can enter the market and leave the market with no impact at all on the wallets of market makers.
Food for thought - happy trading.
Bitcoin going upHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin consolidated and went up on Wednesday. This could be wave 4 (grey) and price is now in wave 5.
Price came into a Daily bullish FVG so now we could see more upside again.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish, an impulse wave up and a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BTC - “Bull Market” OR Bearish Retest on HTF? Bitcoins excessive rise for the previous two years brings concern for the mechanics of this market. Moving only up for so long leaves much liquidity in the form of long position stop losses below the current price.
These stop loss orders, or leveraged sell orders, are an explosive chain reaction ready to set off.
Observe these two trendlines and copy them to your charts. These two bearish trendlines (in my view) are why bitcoin has truly been rising so freely.
Moves up in the form of bearish retests are fast and fluid, only after the rejection does price fall aggressively.
I anticipate two scenarios here in the realm of bearish ideas:
Possibility 1 - 30% Probability
96,700 to 34,500
34,500 retrace to 68,500
68,500 to 7,000
Possibility 2 - 70% Probability
96,700 to 43,000
43,000 retrace to 60,000
60,000 to 7,000
Note that both of these possibilities end with 7,000. I’m mapping out two routes that take us there, using confluences with trendlines, volume profiles, liquidity mapping, and common sense.
Be mindful of this possibility. And protect yourself accordingly.
BTC/USDT Quick Update – May 3BTC has seen a strong breakout and is showing good momentum, but we’re approaching a key resistance zone around $102,000 – so it's a good time to stay cautious.
Trend and momentum indicators still look bullish
RSI is nearing overbought territory
Watch price action and volume closely near resistance
No need to rush in here – let the chart guide you. Stay smart, stay patient.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #MarketUpdate
When nobody knows where #Bitcoin is heading, #quantumalgo see thI took a long on BTC / USDT on the 15-minute chart when my Quantum Algo flagged an oversold condition—both the CRL oscillator and price printed green dots at a fresh swing low—signaling momentum exhaustion and support confluence around 96 000 USDT. I entered near 96 020 with a tight stop just below the low, and set my profit target near the next major resistance at about 98 900, yielding an attractive risk-reward. Overall, the signal combined clear momentum reversal, structural support, and disciplined risk management to ride the anticipated next leg up.
Bitcoin Could Rise Toward Its All-Time High"Bitcoin Analysis:
If Bitcoin stabilizes around the $100,000 zone, it could continue its upward momentum and potentially reach new all-time highs. However, if the $98,000–$100,000 resistance range holds strong, we may see a price correction that could bring Bitcoin down to the $68,000 support level.
It’s also crucial to closely monitor macroeconomic factors such as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies, the ongoing trade war, and potential economic recession in the U.S.—these factors can significantly influence Bitcoin’s price direction.
BTCUSDT Wishing everyone a great weekend! I'm considering opening a BTCUSDT trade. Although BTC tends to act “blind” over the weekend, I still plan to take advantage of the opportunity.**
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 96061.32
✔️ Take Profit: 95810.45
✔️ Stop Loss: 96187.06
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Chart structure reacts to memory. Momentum + reaction zones! BTCWhat you're seeing isn’t just price action—it's memory in motion.
🟥 Prior momentum shifts marked critical turning points where sellers temporarily dominated.
🟩 Support responses signaled reactive strength, giving early signs of accumulation.
📘 Consolidation zones show where price "remembered" to pause—these often act as launchpads or traps.
🟧 Swept demand cleared out weak hands before a sustained move.
📈 Historical resistance, once broken, becomes memory-based support.
Each label isn't a signal—it's a story.
This chart reminds us:
👉 Before price moves, it tests memory.
👉 Before breakouts, it absorbs emotion.
👉 And before trends, it reacts to old battles.
🧠 The more you study structure, the more you see intention—not randomness.
BTC - The Perfect Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $87,000 - $88,000 zone would be the perfect retest to look for trend-following longs and expect the start of Phase 3.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTCUSDT | Be Ready for VolatilityBTCUSDT | A Crossroad Between Macro Shadows and Hidden Pumps – Be Ready for Volatility
Bitcoin is dancing in a dangerously narrow range, and the market is getting tense. At first glance, it seems calm — but under the surface, things are far more complicated.
🔹 Macro Data Paints a Mixed Picture
In recent weeks, BTC has been propped up by positive macroeconomic data, especially signals that a recession in the U.S. is increasingly unlikely. However, despite this “good news,” Bitcoin hasn't produced the kind of powerful rally one would expect. This tells us something: the market is cautious.
Add to that the recent geopolitical twist — when China denied meeting with Trump — and we noticed something important: the market didn’t give back the gains it made on that rumor. This reaction suggests there’s latent bullish sentiment, but confidence is fragile.
🔴 My View Leans Negative, Cautiously
Even though we’ve had optimistic data, the broader environment is still laced with pressure points — tariff tension, long-term contraction fears, and an economy navigating political uncertainty. The combination creates an atmosphere where “fear” is used as fuel — a classic environment for fakeouts and sudden pumps.
That’s why I remain macro bearish, but I don’t trust markets that look too weak in the face of so much fear. Historically, these setups are often the breeding ground for aggressive reversals. Be prepared to change bias fast.
🔹 Key Levels and Strategy
We're at a major resistance, and there's talk of liquidity sweeps up to the 98k zone. On the other hand, the blue boxes mark our support zones, and any clear breakdown followed by a weak retest in those areas could be great short opportunities.
Meanwhile, the range BTC is trading in is exceptionally tight — uncharacteristically so. This kind of structure often precedes an explosive move. If you're in the market now, it's a time to be disciplined, not brave.
🧠 What to Remember:
Markets don’t need a reason to explode. They need fuel. And right now, BTC has both the fear and the liquidity setup. Stay calm. Follow the structure. And only trust breakouts with confirmation on the lower time frames.
The bigger your patience now, the bigger your edge when the storm hits.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #80👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto market indicators. As usual, I’ll review the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, price made a bullish move and broke the 97139 zone, but later it turned out to be a fake breakout, and now it’s moving downward.
🔍 It’s likely that this downward move is just a pullback toward the SMA99 zone, and price may bounce back up afterward. If SMA99 breaks, deeper corrections down to 95370 are possible.
✔️ In my view, as long as price stays above the 95370 zone, Bitcoin remains in an uptrend. Only once price drops below this level can we start identifying potential bearish triggers.
📈 For now, we need to wait for more structure to develop before entering any positions. The 97139 level still remains a strong bullish trigger, but it’s best to wait for a reaction to it first so we can pinpoint the exact line, and then enter upon its breakout.
⚡️ Nothing more to add about Bitcoin for now — it’s Saturday, a weekend, and the chances of ranging price action are high.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at BTC dominance, yesterday it made a slight corrective move and pulled back to 64.77, where it seems to have found support.
📊 The next bullish trigger is the breakout of 64.91. Overall, the trend is still bullish, so if you're considering multi-day or swing positions, Bitcoin remains a better choice than altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Turning to the Total2 chart, this index was rejected from the 1.05 resistance once again yesterday and failed to hold above it. Until that changes, altcoins likely won’t see any significant upward momentum.
🔑 For downside movement in Total2, the trigger remains a break below 1.03.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether dominance — yesterday, this index finally closed a candle below the 4.99 level, but it was a fakeout, and it moved back above, once again preventing the broader market from turning bullish. This fakeout could inject bearish momentum into the market, potentially leading to deeper corrections.
⭐ For now, the 4.99 level still serves as a strong trigger for a bearish USDT dominance and thus a bullish signal for the market. A break above 5.10, however, would be a solid trigger for USDT dominance to trend higher.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.