BTC short to 89k before heading to new ATH'sBTC heading to external liquidity at 99k, once that's taken I'm planning on a move down to the 89k daily FVG before a move up to new ATH's
Targets
- short 99k to 90k
- Long from 90k to 120k
BTCUST trade ideas
BTCUSDT to head towards 106kBTCUSDT is currently trading inside weekly resistance zone WR1 and currently holding inside this zone. However, since it has not been rejected outrightly from there showing the strength and a high probability of it breaking this resistance and moving to the upside towards 106k area. Later we can see pullback from there towards WR1+DS1 zone testing as support and then bounce again from there towards clear sky as depicted on the chart. This structure will also create a giant inverse head and shoulder fueling the upward move later on. However, those we will assess later after more price action is there. But for now, lets focus on this long trade from weekly resistance zone WR1 to 106k.
BITCOINSeveral factors could cap Bitcoin’s (BTC) upside this month (May 2025) despite its strong momentum near $97,000:
Volume Decline and Depleting Buying Momentum
Recent trading volume has been declining, suggesting weakening buying pressure. Without strong volume to confirm a breakout, rallies may stall or reverse, attracting bearish activity and limiting upward moves.
Profit-Taking After Sharp Rally
After surging roughly 24% from April lows , some investors may lock in profits, creating short-term selling pressure that caps gains.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks
Mixed economic data and ongoing macro jitters-such as trade tensions and tariff uncertainties-could trigger risk-off sentiment, reducing appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin and strengthening the US dollar, which often moves inversely to BTC.
ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment Volatility
While institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs have been strong, sudden shifts in sentiment or regulatory concerns around crypto products could cause volatility and limit sustained rallies.
Technical Indicators
Although technicals remain broadly bullish, Bitcoin must decisively break and hold above $96,230 with volume confirmation to sustain an upswing. Failure to do so could result in consolidation or pullbacks to support zones near $90,237 or lower
BITCOINSeveral factors could cap Bitcoin’s (BTC) upside this month (May 2025) despite its strong momentum near $97,000:
Volume Decline and Depleting Buying Momentum
Recent trading volume has been declining, suggesting weakening buying pressure. Without strong volume to confirm a breakout, rallies may stall or reverse, attracting bearish activity and limiting upward moves.
Profit-Taking After Sharp Rally
After surging roughly 24% from April lows , some investors may lock in profits, creating short-term selling pressure that caps gains.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks
Mixed economic data and ongoing macro jitters-such as trade tensions and tariff uncertainties-could trigger risk-off sentiment, reducing appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin and strengthening the US dollar, which often moves inversely to BTC.
ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment Volatility
While institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs have been strong, sudden shifts in sentiment or regulatory concerns around crypto products could cause volatility and limit sustained rallies.
Technical Indicators
Although technicals remain broadly bullish, Bitcoin must decisively break and hold above $96,230 with volume confirmation to sustain an upswing. Failure to do so could result in consolidation or pullbacks to support zones near $90,237 or lower
Bitcoin BTC Has Started CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
Hope we understood what is going to happen with the Bitcoin dominance, if briefly we are waiting for correction and this dominance dump will likely happen on BINANCE:BTCUSDT dump.
Let's take a look at the impulse which has been started at $75k, it looks like this impulse has been finished already with the 5 Elliott waves cycle. At the very top we can see the bearish divergent bar and bearish divergence with the Awesome Oscillator. Moreover oscillator started to print red columns, it means that momentum is gone and now it's time to go down.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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BTCUSDT... 1H CHAT PATTERNIt looks like you're sharing a *trade setup* for BTC/USDT. Here's a breakdown of the trade details:
* *Entry Price:* 9638
* *1st Target (Take Profit 1):* 9789
* *Final Target (Take Profit 2):* 9900
* *Stop Loss:* 9500
### Risk/Reward Analysis:
* *Risk (Stop Loss Distance):* 9638 - 9500 = *138 points*
* *Reward (1st Target):* 9789 - 9638 = *151 points* → R/R = *1.09*
* *Reward (Final Target):* 9900 - 9638 = *262 points* → R/R = *1.90*
This setup offers a *decent risk-to-reward ratio*, especially if you're targeting the final level. However, make sure to:
* Adjust *position size* based on your account risk tolerance.
* Monitor *market volatility* and *news events* that may impact BTC prices.
* Consider setting a *trailing stop* if price nears the first target.
Bitcoin Range-Bound in Heavy Resistance – CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), like Gold , has been moving in a Range for the past 5-6 days and is currently in a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) , as it has been in the past few days .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure can take two forms: Double Three Correction(WXY)_Expanding Flat(3-3-5) .
I label this analysis " Short " for the following reasons:
Due to Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX ) these days, I am short on the S&P 500 Index.
China’s president Xi Jinping says Trump lied about them having a phone call ; it is NOT good news for the S&P 500 Index and Bitcoin .
CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) has NOT filled yet, and I think Bitcoin will NOT start the next bullish rally before filling the CME Gap.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $92,830 and then decline to the Support zone($92,000-$91,400) if the Support lines are broken.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,741-$95,520
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $97,000, we should expect more pumping.
Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 100_SMA(Daily), we should expect a fall.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Heading for a Healthy Retracement in May 2025The GREEN fractal is the only cycle operating at present that went up in the past two days. Even this most bullish cycle heads down for a retracement.
Bitcoin has not tested any lows since the bottom on 7 May. Time to deliver a HL to stabilise the structure.
We saw yesterday 2 May that the pump was forced with no volume and it is a weekend now. Time for a re-visit of the lows.
Bitcoin at Daily Resistance — Reversal Incoming?Bitcoin is currently perched at a critical inflection point, with price action stalling at a major daily supply zone and 0.618 Fibonacci resistance. This region has acted as a key decision point in recent months, and now stands as a potential trigger for the next leg down.
If Bitcoin confirms rejection from this level, it could mark the beginning of the C-leg in a broader ABC corrective structure. The implications are clear: a move back toward the 0.618 Fibonacci support could unfold quickly, especially if price fails to maintain a foothold above this resistance.
This area is also the upper boundary of a descending channel that’s held since November 2024 — a structure that’s added considerable technical confluence and credibility to the current bearish outlook.
From a trader’s lens, we are still trading at resistance until proven otherwise. Without a clean breakout and hold above this range, the bias remains to the downside. A confirmed breakout above would invalidate the bearish thesis, but until then, risk is skewed toward further downside as the market digests recent gains.
Bitcoin, Repeating Patterns (Support Turned Resistance)On the way down, Bitcoin found support in a price range between $94,000 and $98,000 between 3 and 21 February. This support zone was weakened by repeated challenges and then it broke. Bitcoin went on to produce its 2025 pre-bull market correction bottom and low. Then the dynamics are reversed.
On the way up, the same price range that worked as support is now working as resistance, between $94,000 and $98,000. The more this range is challenged the weaker it becomes. Bitcoin will continue to weaken it until it finally breaks and we see additional growth. It is the same.
Just as prices found support for a while before moving lower, Bitcoin is challenging resistance before moving higher. What is certain is that the end result is higher prices.
Bitcoin is going up, ignore the short-term.
There can be small swings while this resistance zone is challenged, but it will definitely break. A higher high will happen next.
» Retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload.
» Bitcoin is still a bargain below $100,000.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Keep watching BTC will go retest on FVG or OB Zone againThis is a 1day timeframe analyze on BTC. BTC will go to retest on FVG or OB zone before it continue higher. So keep our eye on it.
$BTC - Weekend OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 1d
We'll see how the 92–90k zone reacts this weekend, but I think the deepest this pullback might go is around 89–87k. We don't really wanna see price breaking the 86k level for a potential higher low
I’m not really expecting a push to 200k–300k in the coming weeks. We already frontran the 70k-68k area (htf demand), and I think we’re just forming a broader distribution range here. It’s possible we take out the highs and deviate up to 114–118k
Let’s see. Enjoy your weekend everyone!
BTC to hit 98k in coming daysPrice cleared buyside liquidity on the daily and is currently heading for the bottom of the range. Below the bottom sell side liquidity is a 5 minute institutional candle which caused the previous weeks rally. Price to bounce of 96k and head towards 98k in the coming days. Trade carefully
BTC daily time frame bearish divergence BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC bullrun looks like exhausted and slowing down. Today bearish divergence signal appeared on my really accurate indicator what suggest BTC chart slowly will be moving down for correction make higher low. I'm expecting that whales makes one more pushup to around 100k for capitalise their profits and execute short positions with grab liquidity from supply zone there. Of course that only my thoughts and it could goes different but pay attention on it
BTCUSDT 4H – Correction Before Breakout | Targeting $98KI'm seeing a potential bullish continuation pattern forming on the BTC/USDT 4H chart. After a strong upward trend, price is currently in a consolidation zone with a likely correction toward the $95,600–$96,000 area, which aligns with both pivot support and the rising trendline.
Key points from my analysis:
Support zone: $95,600–$96,000 (confluence of pivot point and ascending trendline)
Resistance targets:
R1: $97,272
R2: $98,050
R3: $99,308
Momentum: Stochastic RSI near overbought → suggests short-term pullback, then potential continuation.
Volume: No major distribution, bullish momentum remains intact.
📈 I expect a minor dip followed by continuation to R2 or R3, provided the $95,600 support holds.
Stop-loss idea: Below $94,756 (S1)
Take-profit zones: Partial at GETTEX:98K , rest near $99.3K
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BTCUSD 4H – Strong Buy Signal After Pivot Bounce | Targeting 96KBitcoin (BTC) is showing a strong bullish setup on the 4H chart, following a clean bounce from the pivot level around $94,103. This bounce was accompanied by a strong buy signal, increased volume, and an upward trend in RSI, confirming buyer momentum.
Key levels I'm watching:
Support: $94,100 (Pivot), $93,217
Resistance Targets: $94,989 (R1), $95,536 (R2), and $96,421 (R3)
The price action suggests a breakout toward R2 and possibly R3 in the coming sessions. A sustained close above R1 would confirm this move.
Strategy:
Ideal for a short-term swing trade setup — entry near $94,800, take profits near R2 & R3, and a stop-loss just below $93,200 for safety.
Indicators used:
Trendlines
Pivot Points
RSI (bullish crossover)
Volume Confirmation
Buy/Strong Buy Labels
Rare Signal Confirms Bitcoin "As Bullish As It Gets" Michael SayThis is a rare signal. Bitcoin hardly ever closes four consecutive weeks green. When this event happens, it means the market is as bullish as it gets.
How are some people still bearish when the market is closing green four weeks straight?
How is that even possible? Continued growth for so long... It is obvious is what I say.
» Bitcoin will soon be trading above 100K.
Bitcoin is moving above $120,000 in May and will hit around $130,000 or can be higher; do you agree?
The bulls are in—the bullish bias is confirmed Bitcoin has been growing for an entire month. The best part is that it is still early, let me explain. Notice the trading volume, it is still so very low. This means that nothing has happened yet, there will be a major advance... So strong, it will break all resistance in a matter of days.
» Bitcoin is bullish now. The Altcoins are bullish now.
You can be certain that we are going to see growth daily, weekly, monthly long-term.
Bullish is good.
Adapt to the market. If it is bullish, don't fight it just join the wave.
Bitcoin is bullish now. 1,000,000%.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) and US Dollar (DXY) Differential: Correlation and Trends
Key Relationship: Inverse Correlation
Bitcoin has historically exhibited an inverse correlation with the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of major currencies. This relationship stems from Bitcoin’s role as a speculative, risk-sensitive asset and the dollar’s status as a safe-haven currency.
Factor Impact on BTC/USD
Stronger USD (DXY ↑) Typically bearish for Bitcoin (BTC ↓)
Weaker USD (DXY ↓) Typically bullish for Bitcoin (BTC ↑)
Fed Rate Hikes Strengthens USD, pressuring BTC
Risk-On Sentiment Weakens USD demand, supports BTC
Recent Trends in 2025
Decoupling from Historical Patterns:
Despite the DXY falling 9% year-to-date (YTD) in 2025, Bitcoin has declined 6%, diverging from its typical inverse relationship.
This anomaly reflects Bitcoin’s growing correlation with equities (e.g., Nasdaq) amid global trade war tensions and its reduced linkage to gold.
Monetary Policy Impact:
The Federal Reserve’s restrictive policy (4.50% rate) has bolstered the USD, limiting BTC’s upside despite easing trade tensions.
Bitcoin’s fixed supply and speculative nature amplify sensitivity to liquidity shifts.
Correlation Metrics:
2024 Q1: BTC/DXY correlation coefficient of -0.65, indicating a strong inverse relationship.
2025: Correlation weakened due to macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., U.S.-China tariffs) and BTC’s shifting market role.
Critical Factors Influencing BTC/USD Dynamics
Fed Policy Signals: Delayed rate cuts (priced for June 2025) sustain USD strength, capping BTC rallies.
Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven USD demand spikes during geopolitical crises (e.g., trade wars), pressuring BTC.
Institutional Adoption: Growing BTC integration into traditional finance may reduce volatility and alter its correlation profile.
2025 Outlook
Short-Term: BTC faces headwinds from USD resilience and equity market volatility but could rebound if Fed cuts materialize.
Long-Term: Structural drivers (halving, institutional demand) may restore BTC’s inverse correlation with the USD as macro conditions stabilize.
In summary, while Bitcoin and the dollar often move inversely, 2025 has seen this relationship tested by shifting market dynamics. Traders should monitor Fed policy, risk appetite, and BTC’s evolving role in portfolios for directional cues.
Btcusdt scalpers perspective.On the 15-minute timeframe, BTCUSDT formed a bullish inverse Head and Shoulders (iH&S) pattern. The initial target of $95,000 has already been reached. Further targets are $96,000 and $97,000. The invalidation level for this pattern is below $92,800.
Simple Technical Analysis for Bitcoin
If the price closes above $69,150, then, God willing, we may head toward the next target at $107,000.
However, if it closes below this level, the likely direction would be toward $84,200.
In my personal view — and God knows best — the chances of a downward move seem higher than an upward one at the moment.
BTC next WeekThis is my outlook for the next week, going into the daily cycle low. A model 1 in this range which could confirm a PO3 would be perfect. After the weekend it should be clear what will happen next, so im patient.
