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BTCUST trade ideas

Elliott Wave: A Running Flat?This consolidation is a bit confusing from an Elliott Wave perspective. My current working hyposthesis is we are in a giant (somewhat enlongated) running flat, with waves A and C being zig zags, and B being an expanding triangle. This being wave 4/5/5 for the cycle. Overall, on higher time frame though, a running flat seems to appear. Correction is not complete yet however so currently unsure. My previous analysis (one posted before this one) and the guideline of alternation both suggest that we won't have a big drop toward 70-80K or whatever. However this of course is always possible. Markets will do what they will do!--If this does occur, however, it will likely be a 'fake-out' or 'bear trap' to the downside and will be resolved quite quickly.
by Ian_Carsen
Anticipating a Correction to $75,000 Preceding a Rise to $150,00 As a seasoned observer of the cryptocurrency markets, I have developed a perspective on Bitcoin's (BTC/USDT) price action that blends technical analysis with historical observation. While the recent upward momentum has generated considerable optimism, a rigorous assessment of market indicators and past patterns suggests a high probability of a significant short-term correction, potentially bringing the price down to $75,000, before a subsequent ascent towards $150,000. This analysis will explore the evidentiary basis for this scenario, leveraging specific examples and technical indicators. Historical precedents serve as a critical foundation for this bearish short-term outlook. Bitcoin has consistently exhibited a cyclical behavior characterized by substantial price corrections following periods of rapid appreciation. A noteworthy example is the 2017 bull market, during which multiple 30-40% drawdowns were observed before the final surge to the all-time high. These corrections were not random market fluctuations but rather periods of market consolidation, during which excessive leverage was purged, and a more stable foundation for future growth was established. The current market conditions, while distinct in certain aspects, bear a notable resemblance to those preceding previous pullbacks, indicating a potential vulnerability to a similar pattern of price correction. Further supporting the likelihood of a correction is the emergence of bearish divergences across shorter timeframes. On the 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H) charts, the price has moved below the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), a key trend-following indicator, signaling a potential shift towards bearish momentum. Simultaneously, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of price momentum, has dropped below the 50 level on the same timeframes, suggesting that the selling pressure has intensified. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators on these timeframes have exhibited bearish crossovers, with histograms declining into negative territory, confirming a decline in bullish momentum. Such conditions strongly suggest that an imminent retracement of the price is more likely than the continuation of the current uptrend. The longer-term outlook, while still bullish, does not negate the short-term correction. On the daily timeframe, the price remains above the 20-period SMA. However, the RSI has also started to move downwards and the MACD is showing signs of decreased bullish strength, suggesting that the upward momentum is potentially waning. Historically, such early indications of weakening momentum on the daily chart have often been followed by more substantial pullbacks. These pullbacks serve as essential market resets, creating a more sustainable base for subsequent rallies. The specific target of $75,000 is not arbitrary but rather a confluence of technical and psychological factors. This level is below recent levels of support, representing a potential “shakeout zone” where overleveraged or inexperienced market participants may be forced to liquidate their positions. A move to this level before reversal is also a common pattern in Bitcoin price action. The psychological level of $75,000 could also attract buyers looking for an entry point, which is a factor that would encourage a reversal to the upside from this price level. Looking ahead, the path to $150,000 remains clear, with significant macroeconomic factors and technical trends still supporting long term growth. However, the route to this price point is not likely to be linear and smooth; a move down to the $75,000 price level is likely and expected. The pull back, while unsettling, is likely to provide the next major catalyst needed for Bitcoin’s move towards the $150,000 target and beyond.
Short
by Abdihalim1
HolderStat | BTC bulls leaving the ship?Over the last 3 days, $2.5 billion has been liquidated in the futures market, 83% of which is longs. The BTC price dropped to $96,613 (-4.6% for the week), the fear index dropped 7 points, and outflows from spot ETFs totaled an impressive $680 million. ❌ Is this a signal? No, it's a pattern. Corrections like this “drop off the tourists,” opening up new opportunities for those who know how to act strategically. Even El Salvador did not flinch under IMF pressure and bought 11 BTC. Their wallet is usually replenished by 1 BTC per day - something is clearly brewing. What have you done? 💡 What to do? 1️⃣ Analyze key support levels. 2️⃣ Watch liquidity: BTC dominance remains high (59%), which confirms interest in the asset. 3️⃣ Evaluate trading volumes on pullbacks. ⚡️ Correction is not a time for panic, but a moment for cold-blooded analysis and precise actions. _____________________ 📊 Want more useful analytics? Like and subscribe to stay up to date with the most relevant trading ideas! Always DYOR! 🔬
Long
by HolderStat
1
Is BITCOIN DOOMED? OUR NEXT TRADE IDEA!In today's video we go though the market dynamics, starting from the higher time frames all the way down to the lower timeframe to construct where our next profitable trades lie As a group, we are looking to capitalize on the long and short side waiting for out clear confirmations before entry. Trades include, daily deviation plays, range plays and internal continuation and reversal plays. Keep an eye out on the next video where we talk trading psychology - must watch ! 🔔Enquire for 121 lessons / academy #500FOLLOWERS 🎉 #500GIVEAWAY 🎁
by Trade-Journal
2
Bitcoin ATH 110k is uploading Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin, 📚💡 The outlook for Bitcoin is increasingly bullish, with strong potential for significant price gains and the prospect of reaching a new all-time high (ATH) in the near future. In the short term, a 15% gain is within reach for the first target, supported by key market indicators rather than mere speculation. Rising trading volumes signal heightened investor interest and a growing influx of capital, fueling upward momentum, while improved liquidity ensures smoother trades and reduces price slippage, stabilizing the market. 📚✨ Favorable technical indicators, including bullish chart patterns and solid support levels, further strengthen the case for continued growth. With positive market sentiment and aligned conditions, Bitcoin’s path toward new price targets looks increasingly promising, with even more explosive growth expected as the market progresses toward subsequent milestones. 📚✔ 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Bitcoin’s outlook remains bullish, with rising volumes, favorable indicators, and strong market sentiment suggesting significant price gains ahead. 📚🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
3
Is the #BTC pullback over?📊Is the #BTC pullback over? ❓ 🧠From a structural point of view, the ideal target area (83223-89155) of the short structure has not been fully realized, so we need to be alert to the possibility of further decline. However, we are currently in multiple overlapping support areas, and there is the possibility of continued rebound. We need to The resistance area of ​​concern is near 98600, and we will wait patiently for new signals to appear. ☕️ ➡️We need to be cautious enough when trading against the trend. Therefore, the long orders we held near 96,000 were set to break even after locking in the main profit. In the end, the long orders were swept and we made a small profit. Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
BTC Technical Analysis Kept SimpleThis chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) price movement on a daily timeframe with several technical indicators and key levels highlighted. Here is a breakdown of the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Price Levels: The price recently broke below the 127.20% Fibonacci extension level near $105,595, which now acts as resistance. The 100% Fibonacci level, around $94,916, is being tested and might act as support. There is a green support zone near $85,000–$95,000 that could serve as a demand area for buyers. 2. Indicators: Parabolic SAR (red dot): Indicates a bearish trend as the dot is above the price candles. On-Balance Volume (OBV): Showing a downward trend, signaling decreasing buying pressure or increasing selling volume. Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 45.05, indicating neutral to slightly bearish momentum. The RSI is trending downward, which aligns with the price drop. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): At 0.02, near the neutral line, suggesting weak inflows or a lack of strong accumulation. 3. 200-Day Moving Average (Red Line): The 200-day moving average is rising but is significantly below the current price. This could indicate that the long-term trend remains bullish despite the short-term correction. 4. Volume: Recent candles show higher volume on red candles, suggesting stronger selling pressure during the price drop. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Case: If the price holds above the $94,916 (100% Fib level) or rebounds from the support zone ($85,000–$95,000), it could trigger a bullish recovery toward $105,595 and potentially retest $108,421. A positive divergence in OBV or RSI could strengthen this case. 2. Bearish Case: If the price breaks below the 100% Fib level, the next key support lies at $85,000–$86,000. A failure to hold this zone might lead to a deeper correction toward the 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level at $70,041. Summary: The price is in a short-term downtrend while approaching a significant support zone.
by vagada
Bitcoin Next TargetHello. After a long time , i have a super prediction for you... Now BTC hit a new ATH , So this is due to breaking a diagonal channel and pullback to the upper line.(Yellow channel on the chart). In addition , if we take a look at USDT dominance chart we see a breakout of a longterm channel and a trendline.so it will be reach about 3.90% - 4%. In my opinion and according to wave analysis , the shortterm target for BTC is 86000$ and the long term target is 106000$. thanks for reading my opinion. wish you to Have good investments.
Long
by TraderAmin-KZ
Using Trendlines on ATR for Trading Strategy:Average True Range: Volatility Resistance: The ATR oscillating at a resistance line suggests that the market volatility has reached a point where it has been repeatedly unable to break through to higher levels. This can mean that despite attempts, the volatility hasn't sustained at higher levels, potentially indicating a stabilization or a ceiling on how volatile the market might get in the short term. Market Sentiment: This oscillation can also reflect a market where there's a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, leading to a stabilization of price movement range. When volatility hits a resistance level, it might indicate that the market is preparing for a significant move or a breakout, or conversely, that it might revert back to lower volatility after some consolidation. Breakout Strategy: Signal for Breakout: If the ATR breaks above the resistance line where it has been oscillating, it could signal an upcoming increase in volatility, potentially leading to a significant price movement. Traders might consider this a signal to prepare for a breakout trade, either buying or selling depending on the price trend. Trade Entry: Following a breakout, traders could use this ATR trendline break as a cue to enter a trade in the direction of the breakout, expecting that increased volatility will lead to a more substantial price move. Stop Loss and Profit Taking: Stop Loss: The resistance line where ATR oscillates can be used to set dynamic stop losses. If the ATR moves above this line, indicating higher volatility, a trader might adjust their stop loss to be a multiple of the ATR away from the current price to account for the increased risk. Profit Targets: Similarly, profit targets can be set based on ATR levels. For instance, if the ATR is oscillating near resistance, traders might aim for a profit target that's one or two ATRs away from the entry point, anticipating where volatility might push the price. Trend Confirmation: Confirming Trends: ATR's behavior at resistance can confirm trends. If the price is trending upward but the ATR fails to move above its resistance, it might indicate that the trend lacks strong momentum or that a reversal could be on the horizon. Risk Management: Adjusting Position Size: High ATR levels near resistance could suggest increasing market noise, prompting traders to reduce position sizes or adjust their risk management strategies to account for potential whipsaws or false breakouts. Counter-Trend Strategy: Reversal Signals: If the ATR repeatedly fails to break through resistance, it might signal that the market is overstretched, potentially leading to a decrease in volatility or even a trend reversal. Traders could look for bearish signals if this happens in an uptrend or bullish if in a downtrend. Incorporating these strategies requires careful observation and should ideally be combined with other forms of technical analysis or indicators for confirmation. Remember, while ATR provides insights into volatility, it does not indicate the direction of price movement, so it should be part of a broader trading strategy.
Education
by stocktechbot