BTC/USDT on one-hour Chart ProjectionsThe chart illustrates a classic Inverse Cup and Handle pattern formation. The cup is clearly marked by a rounded top, indicating a reversal structure forming after a previous uptrend. Following the breakdown from the right rim of the cup, the price action has transitioned into a bearish consolidation, forming a potential rising wedge or weak bear flag – both of which typically indicate continuation to the downside.
Key Levels & Trade Setup:
Sell Stop: 104,494
Stop Loss: 106,090
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 102,574
These levels suggest a short-selling strategy with a favorable risk-to-reward setup targeting the breakdown of the handle portion of the pattern.
Indicators:
RSI (14, close) is currently at 42.95, which lies in the neutral-to-bearish territory.
Multiple Bearish RSI Divergences were signaled before the recent drop, supporting the short thesis.
Minor Bullish RSI signals were observed earlier but failed to sustain momentum above the 50 line.
Conclusion:
The technical structure, along with bearish RSI signals and pattern confirmation, suggests that BTC/USDT is likely to experience further downside, especially if price breaks below the 104,494 support. A breakdown from the current ascending structure could lead to the 102,574 support zone being tested in the near term.
BTCUST trade ideas
BTC - Continuation of Bull Trap 21.06.2025Hello Friday! Never, ever, ever trade crypto on weekend, but let's hop in!
🔻 What I expect more? Continuation of Bull Trap! (Probability 70/30)
Few Reasons:
Price broke 20 EMA(daily) and is sliding just above the 50 EMA with "dead-cat" bounce attempts.
RSI is going down below 50 — momeentuum is faaadiing.
No signs of some big demand at this level (low volume on small green candles + Iran uncertainty).
Notable, that we are far from any bounce move (which would support re-accumulation).
Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (Most likely)
Expecting BTC to test the 99.5k zone — this is the key support level becasue of several arguments:
1) 0.886 Fib
2) Confluence with previous horizontal range support
3) 100 EMA
4) Under psychological level 100k
5) RSI needs to cool off before taking higher targets.
If 99.5k broken, next stop is near 88.5k (0.786 Fib)
I wouldn't like to analyse further possible downslide of BTC, so lets stay so far in already negative scenario within 88.5k, but let's keep in mind, that maximum pain we will see near 75k zone.
🟡 Alternative: Short-term Bounce (Probability 30/70)
BTC could attempt bounce towards 105–106.5k (retest of broken structure + 20 EMA resistance)
If this bounce has low volume and rejection near EMAs or RSI stays below 50 , it's a sell opportunity — not a bullish reversal.
✅ Final thoughts for short term: stay away from the market.
From 103.5k I would expect downward continuation toward 99.5k with possible minor bounce attempts along the way.
Wait for strong reversal signal near 100k and enter LONG with tight SL.
Don't trade during the weekend, unless there's a once in a lifetime opportunity.
Have fun!
BTC/USDT Double Top Breakdown – Bearish Target in PlayBTC/USDT – 1H Chart Analysis (Binance)
The chart shows a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and price action.
Key Points:
Rising Wedge: A bearish pattern formed earlier, indicating a weakening bullish move.
Top 1 & Top 2: Double-top structure suggesting strong resistance around 106,000.
CHoCH & BOS: Multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirm the shift from bullish to bearish trend.
Breakdown Zone: After forming Top 2, price broke below key structure zones.
Target Zone: Marked in green and pink below 104,000, showing a bearish continuation toward 102,000 area.
Strong Low: This zone is highlighted as the next major support where price could react.
BTC gathers liquidity ahead of growth Inside the trading range Bitcoin has moved into a sell-off phase due to the situation in the Middle East. The sell-off could extend to 102500 - 100600. But as the market is trending and bullish, the support at 100600 may hold the price and allow the market to strengthen
Scenario: A false break of the resistance at 105280 is formed. Accordingly, I am initially waiting for a decline to 102500. If 102500 fails to hold the move, bitcoin could then head to the liquidity pool. A false break of 100600 may give a chance for a rise to 105200 - 108200.
#Bitcoin Roadmap for 2025–2026 A Deep Corrective Scenario UnfoldI believe the major top for Bitcoin was already printed on May 21st, at $111,000.
From here, I expect a three-wave corrective structure to unfold:
• 🔻 First drop to $69,000
• 🔼 Then a relief bounce to $85,000
• 🔻 Followed by a deeper decline to $46,000
If Bitcoin breaks the historical ascending trendline after reaching $46,000, I anticipate a five-wave bearish structure to continue:
• Further drop to $33,000
• Temporary correction up to $45,000
• And finally, a capitulation wave towards $19,000
I know this may sound early or even extreme to some, but if you review my previous Bitcoin outlooks going back to 2014, you’ll notice that many of these scenarios—however bold—have eventually played out with precision.
📌 Invalidation Level:
This scenario would be invalidated if Bitcoin closes a weekly candle above $115,000.
Good luck, fellow traders—stay sharp and prepared. 🧠📉
⸻
Lingrid | BTCUSDT potential Bullish Continuation After PullbackThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT has formed a higher low after rebounding from the trendline near $104K and is attempting to stabilize within a minor range just above $105.5K. The broader structure shows a clean breakout from the downward trendline, followed by consolidation, suggesting accumulation. A bounce from the $105K–$105.5K support area would favor a continuation toward the $109K resistance level.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 105,000–105,500
Sell trigger: break below 104,800
Target: 109,000
Buy trigger: close above 106,800 with strong volume
💡 Risks
Breakdown of support could retest the $100K region
False breakout may trap bulls above $106K
External macro news could trigger short-term volatility
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Bitcoin Weekly: Bullish & Bearish ScenariosThis is the definitive analysis based on the weekly timeframe. Depending on how the weekly session closes the market trend will be defined. Bitcoin is both bearish and bullish. Let me explain.
» If Bitcoin can move and close weekly above $110,000, market conditions are considered bullish and we can expect higher prices.
» If Bitcoin moves and closes weekly below $100,000, market conditions are considered bearish and we can expect lower prices.
» Any trading between $100,000 and $110,000 can be considered consolidation. Since the main move is an advance starting 7-April, the consolidation has a bullish bias; makes sense?
It is a bullish bias but a bullish continuation is not confirmed. Bitcoin peaked the 19-May week, a new all-time high. Then it produced a lower high this week. This implies bearish potential and bearish pressure.
» If this week closes above last weeks high, around $107,000, we can say the bulls are gaining ground.
» If this week closes at the open or lower, say $105,000 or lower, then the bears are gaining the upper-hand a lower low becomes more likely.
It has not been decided, anything goes. Anything can happen because Bitcoin will not die, trading won't end if prices move below 100K. This would simply lead to a bounce and a recovery later down the road.
It also works in reverse, if Bitcoin moves higher, nothing happens, the market will continue to be and exist, it will continue to grow and evolve.
Right now we are mixed, this is a decision point. The action is determined by the price, depending on what prices we get we can know what comes next. Since the week is yet to close, we remain in doubt but the bearish bias has the upper-hand short-term.
Short-term bearish potential is strong based on the ath, triple-top and lower high.
Mid-term the market is in a bullish trend facing resistance. The wave from 7-April through present day.
Retraces and corrections are normal.
Long-term Bitcoin is bullish, because it has been growing since November 2022.
Thank you for reading.
👉 If you would like to see an update when the week closes hit boost!
Namaste.
The Importance of the 104463.99 Point
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is around June 22nd (June 21-23rd).
Therefore, waves can be generated at any time during the volatility period.
The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point of the 1W chart.
Therefore, it seems that the price defense is being done well.
I think that defending the price at the high point is significant because it raises expectations for further increase.
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If it falls after a period of volatility, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, and I think the important point at that time is the 99705.62 point.
Therefore, when it falls, you need to check whether the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises to around 99705.62 and whether it is supported.
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Even if it rises after receiving support near 104463.99, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 108316.90.
The 108316.90 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart, which corresponds to the middle value of the high point range.
Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend, it must be supported and rise in the 108316.90-111696.21 range.
Currently, both the Low Line and High Line of the auxiliary indicator OBV are showing a downward trend.
Therefore, in order for the uptrend to begin, OBV must rise above the High Line and be maintained.
If not, it is highly likely that it will fall due to selling pressure.
One hopeful(?) thing is that the PVT oscillator is showing an overall upward trend.
(Changed from OBV oscillator to PVT oscillator.)
Therefore, we can see how important the area around 104463.99 is playing a role of support and resistance.
-
In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it is virtually impossible to create a trading strategy at the current price level.
In such cases, you should conduct trading through day trading or quick response.
If not, you may experience a lot of psychological fear and anxiety.
The basic time frame chart of all indicators is the 1D chart.
Therefore, if you cannot read the flow of the 1D chart, you are likely to end up getting faked and suffer losses.
Therefore, you should read the flow of the 1D chart and create a big picture of how to create a trading strategy, and respond in detail on the time frame chart below the 1D chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin could drop to 95KHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin followed my outlook exactly.
Price went up a little higher to finish wave B (grey) and after that it started the next wave down.
Now we could see a small correction up and after that down again.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction up to finish to trade shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BTC: Scalp Long 17/06/25Trade Direction:
BTC Scalp Long
Risk Management:
- 0.25% Risk
- High risk knife catch trade
Reason for Entry:
- 0.886 Retrace
- Weekly Open ideal area for short entries also lines up with a 0.5 corrective move for this leg.
- Oversold on 4 Macro TFs (M15,M30,H1,H2)
Additional Notes:
- Target Weekly Open
- High High Risk which = A very tiny risk on SL. My only trade of the day.
Bitcoin - Bulls in Control: Aiming For $110kBitcoin has just confirmed a strong bullish breakout after consolidating beneath a prior fair value gap. The market not only broke out of that zone cleanly but did so with conviction, creating a new inversion fair value gap (IFVG) along the way. This type of structure often indicates a shift in sentiment, especially when paired with increasing volume and impulsive candles.
Fair Value Gap Break and Continuation Context
Following the breakout, price surged straight through another 4H FVG overhead, flipping it with strength and no hesitation. That kind of move shows clear intent. The market didn't pause or stall at resistance, which increases the probability that the same pattern could play out again, clean break, shallow pullback, and continuation. The breakout level now holds as short-term support.
Near-Term Expectations – FVG Fill Before Higher
With this latest 4H candle close, I’m now expecting a short pullback to fill the newly created 4H FVG below. This would provide the market with the fuel it needs to continue higher without leaving inefficient price action behind. The structure is setting up a classic breakout-fill-continue sequence, and the next key objective sits just below a clear resistance zone overhead.
Conclusion
Bitcoin broke out of a compression zone, formed an IFVG, and followed up with a strong push through the next fair value gap. I’m expecting a controlled retracement to fill the new 4H imbalance, after which price could continue pushing toward the major resistance area. The momentum is clean and structured—until that changes, continuation remains the more likely path.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
BTC: H4 14/06/25Bearish DOL @ $100,300
HTF Remains bearish
Any scam move Sunday would be my trigger to short.
Invalidation would be taking $100,300 before that or if structure changes between then and now.
That said, I think its a very high likelihood we just roll over here and we don't take that level. IMO the cleaner short was the H4 BPR but I was unavailable at the time to take that trigger.
As I said earlier, the real correction is STARTING right now!Hello, everyone! I started writing this review when Bitcoin was at $105,200, and I'm finishing it at $104,150.
⚡️ So far, my thesis is completely correct — we filled the GAP at $104,763 and are going lower to collect liquidity and close the GAPs.
But let's take a look at where and when something might change:
➡️ Today, there is a vote on the stablecoin bill. It is being hyped up a lot and in the short term, it could be a catalyst for a small rebound. But in reality, it has no global value right now. And it will take a very long time to truly feel its impact. But this law is definitely a breakthrough.
➡️ June 18 — the Fed's interest rate decision. The market expects the rate to remain at 4.5%. But in a bearish momentum, anything other than a rate cut (and even that is not always the case) is a bearish catalyst. Remember April, when positive news came out in droves, but Bitcoin at $75,000 didn't care.
However, if the rate is lowered, we can definitely expect a rebound. But I don't think it will be very high.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Money flow - in complete harmony with the price. Position closing and liquidity outflow continue. It is clear that most of it has flowed into ETH and altcoins. But don't forget that if Bitcoin goes down, this liquidity from altcoins will evaporate even faster.
Support/Resistance Zones - as we can see, the level of 105,500 - 106,000 is still key, and without consolidating above it, we are going down. As long as the price is below this level, it is a bearish signal.
Liquidation Levels - just look at the amount of liquidity from below. As we know, the price moves from one liquidity to another; it is literally its fuel. And now, there is simply no liquidity from above, but there is plenty of it from below.
📌 Conclusion:
So far, everything is quite predictable for me and my subscribers. So, leaning back in our chairs, we continue to enjoy the show and wait for real discounts!
Have a great week, everyone!
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle
🧠From a structural perspective, the daily upward trend has ended, which means that the correction expectation at the daily level has always existed, so we need to be alert to this possibility and do a good job of risk management. At present, there is no short structure, so if you want to participate in short trading, you need to look for opportunities in the heavy resistance area (106500-108200).
➡️From a graphical perspective, we have been sideways for nearly a month, and the price is gradually being squeezed to form an ascending triangle. At present, the price shows signs of stabilization at the lower edge of the triangle, and we need to be alert to the risk of rebound. Only when the closing price at the 4h level is lower than the lower edge of the triangle or the price falls below the inflection point of 102611, can we think that the market direction has chosen to go down.
⚠️Note that there will be a Fed interest rate decision and geopolitical negotiations in the Middle East today, and the market may fluctuate violently, so be sure to do a good job of risk management.
Let's take a look👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Global M2 & BitcoinThe Bitcoin chart holds an open secret — and it’s still called: LIQUIDITY. 💥
Forget the media noise.
The current chart shows that global M2 liquidity (with a 12-week lead) continues to drive Bitcoin’s price almost entirely.
No magic. No coincidence.
Macro beats opinion.
If 89% of price movements can be explained by liquidity flows,
then the rest... is just background noise.
BTC/USDT in Consolidation: How To Trade the RangeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart 📊. Price action is trapped within a well-defined range, and for now, no dominant trend has emerged — we’re simply trading sideways between key support and resistance levels 🔁
In the video, we dive into how to tactically approach this kind of environment by trading the lower time frame trend shifts within the range — focusing on lower timeframe moves from range highs to range lows, and vice versa ⬆️⬇️
We also reference the broader macro picture — looking at the NASDAQ (US100) and the Magnificent 7 (MAGS) for potential clues about Bitcoin’s next directional move 🧠💡. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment in these key tech equities often correlates with Bitcoin’s momentum, making them critical confluence factors for BTC traders.
For now, the strategy is to remain range-conscious and reactive, rather than predictive. Until we get a confirmed breakout or breakdown, patience and precision remain key 🎯