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Critical zone for Bitcoin – Pump or Dump!(Mid-term Analysis)Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on a weekly time frame so that you can take a mid-term view of BTC. On November 12, 2024 , I shared with you another weekly analysis in which we found the All-Time High(ATH) zone well. Please stay with me. Bitcoin has been on an upward trend for the past 27 months , increasing by about +600% . Have you been able to profit from this upward trend in Bitcoin? During these 27 months , Bitcoin has had two significant corrections , the first correction -20% and the second correction -33% (interestingly, both corrections lasted about 5 months ). Another thing we can understand from the two main corrections is that the second correction is bigger than the first correction , and since Bitcoin is currently in the third correction , we can expect the third correction to be either equal to the second correction or greater than the second correction . Of course, this is just an analysis that should be placed alongside the analyses below . It seems that the start of Bitcoin's correction can be confirmed with the help of the Adam & Adam Double Top Pattern(AADT) . Bitcoin also created a fake breakout above the Resistance lines . Educational tip : The Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT) is a bearish reversal pattern characterized by two sharp, ^-shaped peaks at nearly the same price level. It indicates strong resistance and a potential trend reversal once the price breaks below the neckline between the peaks. Bitcoin appears to be completing a pullback to the broken neckline . According to Elliott's Wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its 5 impulse waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . It is a bit early to determine the structure of the corrective waves , but I think it will have a Zigzag Correction . The structure of the corrective waves depends on the news and events of the coming weeks and months. I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) will be a very sensitive zone for Bitcoin. I expect Bitcoin to start correcting again when it approaches $87,000 or $90,000 at most, and fills the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) , and at least approaches the Heavy Support zone($73,800_$59,000) AFTER breaking the uptrend line . In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again? Note: If Bitcoin goes above $90,500, we should expect further increases and even make a new All-Time High(ATH). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), Weekly time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
42
Bitcoin’s Sharp Drop—What’s Next After the Crash? Bitcoin’s Sharp Drop—What’s Next After the Crash? Bitcoin has plunged below $77,000, marking a significant downturn as global markets react to Trump’s tariff policies. Cryptocurrencies sold off sharply heading into the week in Asia, underscoring a clear risk-off sentiment across markets. The slide comes as US president Donald Trump dug in on sweeping tariffs that have already wiped trillions in value from US equities. US equity-index futures slumped and the yen surged in a sign of deepening turmoil throughout financial markets. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support this analysis with a like or comment if you find it useful for your trading day. ❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Structure & Potential CorrectionHello Traders, In today’s analysis, we are focusing on Bitcoin’s intraday price action and discussing Elliott Wave theory to evaluate the possibility of a correction from the current region. After a bullish expansion, Bitcoin has now completed a full 1-2-3-4-5 Elliott Wave cycle. The recent pullback suggests that price action is entering an ABC correction phase, which typically follows a strong bullish wave. Given this, we can expect price to remain range-bound between key support and resistance levels as the correction develops. Currently, Bitcoin is approaching local resistance, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the previous Value Area Low (VAL). This Wave B completion zone is a critical area to watch. If price action fails to reclaim the previous VAL, there is a high probability of rejection, leading to a rotation lower for Wave C. However, a strong bullish breakout and reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short trade setup. Key Technical Points to Consider • Bitcoin has completed a 1-2-3-4-5 Elliott Wave expansion, signaling the possibility of an ABC corrective wave. • Wave B is approaching key resistance, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and previous VAL—this is a potential short trade zone. • A failure to reclaim this resistance increases the likelihood of a rejection, while a breakout and sustained bullish strength would invalidate the correction thesis. Potential Scenarios & Conclusion If Bitcoin rejects from the current resistance, traders should watch for a move lower into Wave C, confirming the correction phase. This scenario presents a shorting opportunity, but risk management remains crucial. Conversely, if Bitcoin reclaims resistance with bullish strength, it could indicate that the correction is invalid, and price may continue trending higher. As always, trade execution should be managed carefully, and confirmation at key levels is essential before committing to any position. The next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin follows through with the expected correction or establishes bullish continuation beyond resistance.
Short
by AzizKhanZamani
2
BTCUSDT:It's time to take long positions.Bitcoin continues to decline and is currently testing a key support level at 76,000. If it continues to drop and breaks below 76,000, the bearish trend will be confirmed. If this support level is not breached, investors can establish long positions at the lower levels. Trading Strategy: buy@76000-77000 TP:80000-81000 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Long
by LeoBlackwood
1
Example of how to draw a trend line using the StochRSI indicator Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I have explained how to draw a trend line before, but I will take the time to explain it again so that it is easier to understand. - When drawing a trend line, it must be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. However, since I focused on understanding the concept of drawing a trend line and the volatility period that can be seen with a trend line, I will explain it only with a trend line drawn on the 1D chart. Please note that in order to calculate a somewhat accurate volatility period, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required. I hope this was helpful for understanding my thoughts on the concept of drawing trend lines and how to interpret them. The main reason for drawing trend lines like this is so that anyone who sees it can immediately understand why such a trend line was drawn. Then, there will be no unnecessary disagreements about the drawing, and each person will be able to share their opinions on the interpretation. -------------------------- When drawing trend lines, the StochRSI indicator is used. The reason is to secure objectivity. When the StochRSI indicator touches the oversold zone and rises, the low corresponding to the peak is connected to draw a trend line between low points. And, when the StochRSI indicator touches the overbought zone and falls, the Open of the downward candle corresponding to the peak is connected to draw a trend line between high points. If the peak is not a downward candle, it moves to the right and is drawn with the Open of the first downward candle. If you refer to the candlesticks of the arrows in the chart above, you will understand. The trend line drawn as a dot is a high-point trend line, but it is a proper trend line because it does not touch the overbought zone between highs. Therefore, you can draw a trend line corresponding to trend line 1. Accordingly, around March 25-29, around April 8, and around April 14 correspond to the volatility period. - You can see how important the low-point trend line (2) is. If the high-point trend line is properly created this time and the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line are displayed in the same direction, the trend is likely to continue along that channel. If the StochRSI indicator rises and a peak is created in the overbought zone, you will draw a high-point trend line that connects to point A. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope your transaction will be successful. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
1
Bitcoin’s Potential Shark Harmonic: A Macro Trade Setup Hello Traders, in this update, we are analyzing a new potential harmonic pattern forming on Bitcoin—the Shark Harmonic. This pattern is developing based on the recent rejection from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, which signals a possible move toward the 0.618 Fibonacci support. If this level holds, it will confirm the C-leg of the pattern, setting up a potential strong expansion toward the D-leg. This move could drive Bitcoin back toward its all-time high (ATH) before a possible reversal. Once Bitcoin reaches the D-leg near the ATH, traders should watch for a potential bearish rejection. If this rejection occurs, it would activate the bearish phase of the Shark Harmonic, offering a high-probability short trade. These macro-level moves take time to develop, but this pattern provides clear trading opportunities for both long and short positions. Key Technical Points to Consider • Bitcoin’s recent rejection from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement suggests a move toward 0.618 Fibonacci support, which will determine the activation of the Shark Harmonic C-leg. • If price holds support at C, a strong expansion toward the D-leg could take Bitcoin back to the ATH before facing potential resistance. • A bearish rejection at the ATH could trigger the short trade phase of the Shark Harmonic, offering a macro-level short opportunity. Potential Scenarios & Conclusion If Bitcoin follows the Shark Harmonic structure, the move from C to D presents a potential long trade opportunity, with price targeting the ATH. However, once price reaches this level, a strong bearish reaction could mark the start of a macro short setup, making this a key level to watch. Traders should be patient and monitor how price reacts at these key Fibonacci levels. This pattern is unfolding on a high time frame, meaning confirmation is essential before executing trades. If price action respects the harmonic structure, it could provide a clear roadmap for both bullish and bearish trades in the coming months.
Long
by AzizKhanZamani
6
BTC/USD: More Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $83,000. This week alone, BTC has dropped by 6%, showing signs of bearish momentum. A correction toward the $70,000 zone seems likely in the near future. Key supply zones are located at $93,400 and $99,700, while key demand zones are at $80,800 and $73,700. This analysis will be updated accordingly. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
4
Bitcoin - Bulls in trouble: 81k next?BTC Loses Bullish Structure – What Comes Next? Bitcoin has officially broken below the bullish trendline, closing underneath it for the first time in this recent uptrend. This is a key shift in market structure, as the ascending trendline had previously acted as strong dynamic support, keeping Bitcoin in a steady climb. Now that we have seen a clean break, the momentum appears to be shifting toward a deeper retracement, and the price is heading toward the next major support zone. Whenever a trendline like this is broken, it signals that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher levels. Instead of continuing the pattern of higher lows, Bitcoin is now moving lower, seeking stronger levels where buyers might step back in. The question now is whether the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement zone, combined with a historically strong support level, will be enough to hold the price up and trigger a reversal. Golden Pocket Support at $81.2K – A Key Bounce Zone The next major area of interest is the golden pocket retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with the strong support around $81.2K. This is an area where Fibonacci traders and institutional buyers tend to look for entries, as the 0.618 – 0.65 Fibonacci levels have historically been some of the most reliable support zones during retracements. What makes this level even more significant is the confluence of technical factors coming together at the same price range. Not only does this level align with the golden pocket, but it has also been a major historical support in previous price action. Every time Bitcoin has visited this range in recent weeks, we have seen strong buy-side reactions. If buyers step in once again, this could be the turning point for another leg to the upside. If we see a bounce from this zone, Bitcoin could attempt a recovery back toward $ 83K – $85K, potentially regaining its footing and re-entering a more bullish structure. However, the strength of the reaction at $81.2K will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term relief bounce or the start of another major uptrend. What If Bitcoin Fails to Hold $81.2K? While the golden pocket is often a high-probability reversal zone, it’s important to consider the bearish scenario as well. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, we could be in for an even deeper retracement. The next major downside target would be around $79.3K, which lines up with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. A move to $79.3K would indicate that Bitcoin needs a larger correction before it can regain bullish momentum. This wouldn’t necessarily mean that the bull market is over, but it would suggest that the uptrend needs a deeper reset before resuming. A drop this low would likely shake out weak hands and allow larger players to accumulate before any potential reversal. If Bitcoin does move down to this level, the market reaction will be key. A strong bounce from $79.3K could set up a powerful recovery, but a failure to hold would raise concerns about a larger trend shift. Losing this level would open the door for even deeper downside, meaning traders would need to be cautious about the broader market outlook. Final thoughts Now that Bitcoin has broken the trendline, all eyes are on how it interacts with this next major support zone. If the $81.2K level holds, we could see a strong reaction and a push back toward higher levels, reestablishing confidence in the market. However, if we lose this level, the next stop at $79.3K will become the last major line of defense before a more significant correction unfolds. The next few 4-hour candles will be crucial in determining whether buyers are ready to step in or if we need to prepare for a deeper move down. Will the golden pocket be enough to stop the drop, or is Bitcoin setting up for an extended retracement? We’ll find out soon! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
63
Bitcoin BTC - Buy The News, Correction Is Almost Over Hello, Skyrexians! The anticipated move has happened, BINANCE:BTCUSDT has retested the recent low and its dominance continues growing, alts are bleeding. When this nightmare will be finished and do we have any chance to see the reversal now? Let's take a look at the daily time frame. As we pointed out earlier Bitcoin has printed wave 1 inside larger degree wave 3 and after that dropped in the wave 2. We have already told you 2 times that correction is over when price was next to $77-78, but multiple retests are not forbidden. 0.61 Fibonacci zone is the place where correction can be finished, so it can dump up to $73k. Two facts we need to rely on to find the correction bottom are: bullish divergent bar and the first green column on Awesome oscillator in conjunction with the divergence. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
BTC Approaches Key Trendline Support – Critical Decision AheadBitcoin is nearing its ascending trendline support, a pivotal level for trend continuation. The next move will depend on whether BTC holds or breaks this zone. 📊 Market Structure Update BTC is testing a well-defined trendline that has acted as support in previous moves. A reaction here could dictate the next major price shift. 🔎 What’s Next? A strong bounce could signal continuation, while a breakdown may lead to deeper retracement. Watch for volume confirmation and reaction at this level. With BTC at this key inflection point, how are you positioning?
by coin_mastermind
1
BTC – Long range high retestFinally broke down from our third value, this one being a lot shorter and being more in line with continued downtrend. HOWEVER, these price are levels that I've been eyeing for weeks if not months, and with global stocks being in meltdown I see mostly a lot of panic and reason to start nibbling some longs. Buy the blood, right? First attempt will be around 74k. It was the first range high after breaking up in 2024, finally filling the imbalance and retesting value from above. Hope I can get filled on another push down, otherwise I'll look for ltf entry to chase it. Since it's a downtrend, defining my risk at the first HVN in the 2024 range. I want to give it a bit of room, but might have to cut manually if we keep on grinding down. A fast wick would be okay. If we accept back below 70k VAH (multiple daily closes or downtrending ltf price action), there is a possible rotation to 60k VAL. Like I said, longing here is still countertrend, but prices feel attractive again for the first time in a while. Finding a balance between that is hard, but I'll take a shot here.
Long
by Tealstreet
1
07/04/25 Weekly Outlook Last weeks high: $88,502.90 Last weeks low: $77,786.89 Midpoint: $83,144.89 Never a dull moment in this game, last week we saw a relatively flat move from Bitcoin as traditional markets continued their heavy sell-offs thanks to the tariff trade war. The high of the week coming from the run up to Trumps tariff announcement, that then retraced as the speech went on and as the week closed a heavy capitulation move down. As the week begins BTC's price hit as low as $74,500 barely frontrunning the HTF goal of $73,500 to close the inefficiency wick from the US election 6 months ago. For me this is where I start to pay attention to where buyers may be stepping into the market at this HTF support area. Obviously the worry is still in Tradfi, just how low will the SPX, DJI etc go? That's hard to tell but there is certainly a huge amount of fear in the market and fear brings opportunity. The NY open should be an interesting one and should set the tone for the week, A reclaim of the weekly low sets up yet another SFP long opportunity to then go and test the midpoint, acceptance under the weekly low may provide one last push to close tout the move to $73,000. The Federal Reserve is having am emergency closed board meeting today too, if an emergency cut to interest rates comes of this to boost growth then BTC will definitely see the benefits of this. Good luck for the week ahead!
by ProR35
1
Bitcoin (BTC) on 4-hour timeframe. Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading around $81,830. Trend Line: There is a downward trend line indicating bearish sentiment over the observed period. Support Level: There is a green support area around $78,424 to $80,000. Bitcoin needs to stay above this level to avoid further declines. Recent Activity: After the decline, Bitcoin has attempted to stabilize near the support but has not made any significant upward move. Considerations If the price breaks below the support area, the bearish trend may continue. Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks above the trend line, it may signal a reversal and potential upward movement. Feel free to ask for further analysis or specific technical indicators! If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
by CryptoSanders9563
1