BTCUST trade ideas
Evening BTC Trend Analysis and Trading SuggestionsLet's review this afternoon's market performance. The BTC price, as we anticipated, rebounded to around 109,000 in the afternoon before plummeting sharply. Living up to "Black Friday", this violent drop was well within our expectations. In the afternoon's live trading, we also reminded everyone that as long as there was a rebound to the upper zone, it was a good opportunity to go short. This drop has created a space of nearly 1,500 points. Currently, the BTC price has pulled back to around 107,800.
From the current 4-hour K-line chart, after a strong upward surge, the market encountered significant resistance near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. As bullish momentum gradually faded, the price started to come under pressure and decline, suggesting that the short-term upward trend may come to a temporary halt. At present, the market has recorded multiple consecutive candlesticks with large bearish bodies. The price has not only effectively broken below the key support level of the Bollinger Bands' middle track but also caused the Bollinger Bands channel to switch from expanding to narrowing, indicating that market volatility is decreasing. In terms of trading volume, it showed a moderate increase during the price pullback, which further confirms the authenticity of the bearish selling pressure.
BTCUSD
sell@108000-1085000
tp:107000-106000
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD once again trading above $105k📊 Technical Analysis
● Fresh bounce off the confluence of the 8-month up-sloping purple trend-line and 102-103 k green demand box prints a higher-low inside the rising wedge, keeping bulls in control despite June’s pull-back.
● Price is reclaiming the minor down-trend line from the 12 Jun high; a daily close above 106 k confirms a bear-trap and unlocks the 111.8-112.5 k supply at the wedge cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-ETF desks absorbed >5 400 BTC in the last three sessions while exchange reserves fell to a four-year low, signalling supply drain.
● Cooling US PCE expectations trimmed real yields, and Mt Gox repayment delays ease overhang fears—both supportive for risk assets.
✨ Summary
Long 102–104 k; hold above 106 k targets 111.8 k → 115 k. Bull thesis void on a 16 h close below 99 k.
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BTC/USDT BYBIT IDEA #2 – Local Range Hold and OMEGA CANDLE PRINTThis is my second Setup I am currently in - apart from going to 6h orderblock we will hold the LTF range and continue higher breaking new highs and starting price discovery.
Combined this with Bullish News could bring amazing BTC Run, followed by Altcoin Season in Mid August/September. If you look into Bitcoin Balance and the way this token is being bought and accumulated by institutions.
The way you know Bull Run is about to start is because no Grandmas and Taxi Drivers are talking about it.
I would not believe it myself but here we are.
The way I do this I keep my position running from lows (bought at 107 400) and I am buying LTF ranges for extra 30-40% of existing position and then closing around the same amount on highs of LTF like 15M-30M.
looking for longs, my SL is set for break even.
Good luck.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Building Up The Volume | Be ReadyBuyers are still holding strong where price is not showing any signs of weakness. With that being said, we are seeing the volume gathering near the current zone, which might result in a breakout and a strong upwards movement.
A new ATH is coming; this has been seen already once on the BTC, so it is just a repeat of history.
Swallow Academy
07/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,529.95
Last weeks low: $105,108.81
Midpoint: $107,819.38
The "Big Beautiful Bill" was signed into law last week on the 4th July, a huge event in the financial world and undoubtedly the world of crypto. The debt ceiling is now instantly raised by $5T making risk-on assets even more appealing than ever, incoming demand shock will likely help BTC but also the struggling altcoin market as well.
Last week the BTC ETFs saw a net inflow of $294m. This takes the total 30-day inflows to nearly 50K BTC and this is before the big beautiful bill was passed. PA wise, BTC is still struggling to break the $110k level and flip ATH, however the consolidation just under ATH with increasingly shallow pullbacks suggests a run at the highs is in the near future IMO.
For this week US CPI & PPI data are the important release for the week. It's hard to tell if the data releases will actually provide any volatility this time around, they usually do but the FEDs refusal to act has made the last few CPIs very flat in terms of volatility for BTC.
Key battleground for me this week would be the midpoint, clearly last week provided good support, however a larger area of inefficiency rest just under that it so there is a natural pull for price to revisit those areas. Could be a choppy week once again...
Good luck this week everybody!
BTC/USDT.P ShortMy Trade Thesis & Rationale:
Here is my thinking on this short setup. I believe this is a high-confluence opportunity where the price action aligns perfectly with what I'm seeing in the underlying market dynamics.
1. The Big Picture (Daily/4H Context):
Price is currently operating at a major historical resistance zone ($110k+). This level has acted as a "ceiling" multiple times, making it a high-probability area for sellers to step in.
I've noticed that momentum on the 4-hour chart has clearly stalled, which to me signals buyer exhaustion after the last run-up.
2. The Tactical Setup (1H/15M Price Action):
After stalling at the highs, the price formed a clear distribution range on the 1-hour chart—a sign that sellers were likely absorbing the remaining buying pressure.
✅ THE TRIGGER: My entry is based on a decisive, high-volume breakdown below the key support of this range at $107,300. This breakdown was followed by what I see as a weak, low-volume retest, confirming buyer weakness and offering a prime entry.
3. My Logic:
🎯 TARGET: I've set my take profit at $106,800 because it's located within a dense pool of long liquidations. I believe these levels often act as a strong magnet for price.
❌ INVALIDATION: My stop loss at $107,550 is placed just above the broken structure. If the price reclaims this level, my bearish breakdown thesis would be proven wrong, and it's my signal to get out.
BTC Daily Chart Analysis
Trend: BTC is currently trading within a short-term descending channel.
Strong Resistance: Zone around $110k–112k, multiple failed retests observed.
Key Support: Around $105k (Ichimoku Cloud upper edge & recent local bottom).
RSI: Clear bearish divergence indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Elliott Wave: Completed 5-wave impulse from $75k up to $112k, now correcting (likely waves 4-5 within the descending channel).
Fibonacci: Breakout above $110k targets approximately $117k (1.414 Fib extension). Failure to break may lead price back down toward $102k.
Probability:
Bullish scenario (35%): Clear breakout above $112k, targeting $117k.
Bearish scenario (65%): Rejection at $112k, potential retest toward $105k → $102k.
⚠️ Recommendation: Closely watch the $110k zone. If BTC fails to clearly breakout, consider defensive actions (reducing position size, risk management).
Outside of the analysis🔔 The Awakening of Legendary Whales | 9 Transactions from 14-Year-Old Wallets! 🔔🕯
Today, the market witnessed a rare event:
Addresses that had been completely dormant since 2011 (back when BTC was under $2!) suddenly woke up — each moving 10,000 BTC, worth around $1 billion!
📌 Details of some transactions:
💸 10,000 BTC
💵 Approx. ~$1.08B
📤 From: A wallet inactive for 14.2 years
⌛️ Time: 18:15
💸 10,009 BTC
💵 Approx. ~$1.079B
📤 From: A similar address, slightly different amount
⌛️ Time: 18:32
🖥 Analysis:
This simultaneous awakening of multiple ancient wallets, along with the movement of BTC toward exchanges, suggests:
There might be a large-scale plan behind the scenes
Possible market play by first-generation whales
Or a project undergoing restructuring and asset redistribution
👀 Interesting fact: In 2011, these addresses were only worth around $34,000. Today? They're moving billions.
💎 When Bitcoin’s past wakes up, the future starts to tremble…
BTC Prediction This is a Bitcoin price chart with a potential short entry strategy. The chart shows a resistance level at 252.53, and a support level, indicating a key point for price movement. The entry for the short trade is marked at 108,126.76, with a target price of 107,000. The stop loss is placed at 108,126.76, suggesting a minimal risk for the trade. The chart also highlights the target value and a potential loss scenario.
The price of Bitcoin will once again reach a new high!BTCUSDT continues to show exceptional strength and strong bullish momentum. When we look back at the charts from 2023 and 2024, a clear and reliable pattern stands out. Each time Bitcoin touched the 50 EMA on the weekly chart, it triggered a significant rally that led to new all-time highs. That same setup appears to be forming once again.
BITCOIN tested the 50-week EMA around the $75,000 level and has since bounced with conviction. The price has reclaimed the $100,000 mark and is now challenging previous all-time high resistance. Historically, a successful bounce from this key moving average has not only signaled recovery but also sparked explosive upside moves.
Following this repeating pattern, the current cycle target is positioned at $150,000. A clean breakout above the current resistance zone could act as the trigger that launches Bitcoin into uncharted territory. The technical structure remains bullish, momentum is clearly accelerating, and the overall trend continues to favor the upside.
This moment represents a textbook Buy and HODL opportunity. Technical indicators are aligning, market sentiment is turning increasingly optimistic, and all signs suggest that Bitcoin could be preparing for another historic rally. Stay ready for what could be the next big move.
BTC - Last Chance to be Mindful of Potential Flash CrashBTC is at the top of the zone of this bearish retest.
DXY is currently retesting a major breakdown on the monthly time frame - which projects out a 2-4 year bull run for BTC.
Due to this major macro turning point, it’s possible we see an extreme liquidity grab crash on Bitcoin - recovering liquidity as shown on this chart.
Projected movements marked here.
Be prepared for anything - volatility expected
Bullish on $BTC🧠 Wyckoff Overview
🔻 This chart follows Accumulation Schematic #1 in Wyckoff theory.
🔻 The Spring phase (Phase C) is confirmed.
🔻 BTC has broken out from the accumulation zone.
🔻 We are now in Phase D, expecting a move into Phase E (new ATH).
📊 Technical Details
🔻 Accumulation zone: Around $72,000 – $88,000.
🔻 Spring (Phase C): A fakeout happened near $68,000, matching Wyckoff structure.
🔻 Breakout is confirmed after price moved above the downtrend line and Ichimoku cloud.
🔻 Main resistance: $95,000 – currently testing the supply zone.
🔻 Target: If breakout continues, BTC could reach a new ATH above $110,000.
📈 RSI and Volume
🔻 RSI at 66.71: Not overbought yet, still has room to go up.
🔻 Volume is increasing along with the breakout → shows strong buying pressure.
🎯 Personal Prediction
🔻 If BTC holds above $92,000 – $95,000 and continues to consolidate:
→ Short-term goal: $100,000
→ Mid-term goal (Wyckoff Phase E): $110,000 – $112,000
All this just before Fedwire implements ISO20022?#bitcoin #btc price attempted a breakout but today failed with dumps. There "may" be other attempts but while ISO20022 subject is approaching, isn' t it wise to think about #xrp and other ISO20022 licenced coins will overperform the others (BTC, ETH, SOL and all other non iso certified coins) in near future? Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT – Compression Points to Potential Explosive BreakoutBitcoin is grinding into a major compression zone between horizontal resistance and a new bullish trendline. Volume is tightening, structure is intact, and the pressure is building.
This 8H chart highlights a classic breakout setup — a squeeze inside a channel, supported by an ascending trendline that has held clean since April.
🚀 A breakout above $110K could open up rapid upside continuation.
🧭 A retest of the trendline would offer a possible high-reward long entry.
📉 Breakdown invalidates the structure — watch $104K closely.
This is not financial advice — just a breakdown of what the chart is showing. Trade safe, think independently, and manage your risk.
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #BTCUSDT #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #CompressionZone #QuantTradingPro
You Haven’t Missed It**⏰ Timeframe: 1H**
**🛠 Tools Used: Dow Theory, Support & Resistance, Volume, RSI**
**📈 Market Overview**
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently trading at **110,982**. After hitting a new all-time high at **12K**, the price is undergoing a mild correction. Despite the retracement, price remains supported by both volume and the 25-period moving average.
Yesterday, BTC broke through the **110,267** resistance level with a strong bullish candle, but encountered aggressive selling from market makers and is now consolidating with weak candles below the **12K** mark.
Typically, in such market phases, it’s advisable to close previous positions and consider new entries. However, given the likelihood of **interest rate cuts** and the fact that price is holding near its ATH, keeping previous **long positions** open may be wise, as a **strong upward move** is still on the table.
**⚙️ Technical Analysis**
Yesterday’s breakout above **110,267** was met with seller pressure near **12K**, leading to a shallow correction.
**BTC Dominance (BTC.D)** has broken above **65.04** and **64.69**, moving toward **64.51** resistance. However, a weakening candle structure is visible on both **4H and 1H** timeframes. This indicates that while long opportunities on bullish **BTC pairs** may still exist, we might see a lower high forming above **64.51** and below **64.69**, followed by another move back toward **64.51**.
Meanwhile, **USDT Dominance (USDT.D)** broke below the **4.75** support with a strong candle and is now ranging above **4.63**, suggesting a possible pause or rest phase here.
The **Total Market Cap** shows a similar pattern to **BTCUSDT**, reflecting consolidation with slight bullish bias.
The **Others** chart (excluding BTC & ETH) shows a healthy uptrend and is now facing resistance at **248.68**. A breakout above this level could pave the way for stronger performance among altcoins with bullish BTC pairs.
**🧭 Potential Scenarios**
📗 **Bullish Scenario:**
If BTC forms a **higher low above 110,654**, an entry could be considered above **12,000**, with a stop-loss placed below the higher low (based on the 1H timeframe). Volume confirmation is necessary to support the move.
📕 **Bearish Scenario:**
As long as the price remains **above 109,409**, **short positions are not recommended**.
**💡 Conclusion, Warnings & General Suggestion**
Bitcoin is currently in a **healthy bullish phase**.
The **key resistance at 111K** has been broken, and price is pulling back toward that level.
The structure remains bullish, supported by **sufficient volume** and **no clear bearish divergence**.
If current support holds, there’s potential for continuation toward the **113,500–114,000** range.
⚠️ **Warnings:**
* If the pullback turns into a breakdown (falling below **110,200**, then **109,000**), it would signal **buyer weakness**, and strategy must be reconsidered.
* Watch for **RSI divergences** or **declining volume** during further rallies—they may indicate caution.
* Prolonged consolidation **below broken resistance** could also indicate market weakness.
BTC USDT ANALYSESBitcoin (BTC) is currently forming an ascending triangle, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. If BTC breaks out of the triangle to the upside, my target would be around $130,000.
However, we also have a long-term ascending trendline that BTC has been respecting for a significant period. If BTC fails to break out of the ascending triangle, we may see a pullback toward this trendline. Notably, there is also a strong demand zone in that area, which could act as support.
On the weekly timeframe, there is a visible regular bearish divergence—a bearish signal that suggests a potential slowdown or correction. If the divergence plays out, a realistic downside target could be around $100,000 to $98,000.
BTC/USDT BYBIT IDEA #1 – Daily Demand Zone Setup
We have an bullish OB with imbalance on Daily, 6 HOUR REFIMNET with some stoplosses underneath 107 200. If we do not hold local LTF -15M- 1H range I would be favoring this setup.
Otherwise I am already in position and already took two TPs.
Setup Thesis:
If price tags the demand zone (highlighted in pink) and holds, we could see a continuation toward recent highs. The setup favors a reactive long entry from this zone, as long as buyers defend the area with conviction.
Key Factors:
Demand zone: High probability support area
Clean structure: HL-HH continuation in play
Market strength remains intact above this zone
Plan:
Wait for reaction at demand
Long on confirmation (rejection candle, reclaim, or strong 4H close)
Invalidation below the zone lows