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BTCUST trade ideas

Bitcoin Nears Key Resistance: Reversal or Breakout Ahead? Based on the current market structure, the nearest target for BINANCE:BTCUSDT is the $102,700 - $105,000 range. This level is a significant zone due to the presence of a price imbalance (FVG) and strong limit resistance on the daily timeframe. This level has previously acted as a selling zone, making it a key area for a potential pullback. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I consider the current upward movement as the final stage of Wave C within Wave D of a triangle. If BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P reaches this area, a downward retracement is possible to form the final Wave E before a larger breakout. Development Scenarios: 1. Base Scenario (Reversal from $102,700 - $105,000): Expecting resistance in this zone and a reversal within Wave E. Possible retest of $96,000 - $94,000 before an upward breakout. 2. Alternative Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance): If COINBASE:BTCUSD decisively holds above $105,000, the next target could be around $110,000 - $112,000. I am holding a long position up to the designated zone, partially taking profits within the target range. I am also considering opening a short position upon a confirmed rejection from this level. ❖ My previous forecast for BTC
Long
by shakatrade1_618
BTC Market Thesis – February 20, 2025Current Market Overview Current Price: $97,632 Open Position: $95,917.6 Decision: HOLD_BUY – The market is showing bullish momentum, suggesting further upside potential. Stop Loss: $95,000 Take Profit: $99,600 Confidence Level: 80% Technical & Market Indicators RSI (1h): Indicates bullish momentum, suggesting buyers are gaining control. MACD: Showing a moderate upward slope, signaling potential for further price appreciation. CME Options Data: Put/Call Ratio: 0.9 – slightly bullish as call options dominate. Open Interest: Moderate, meaning traders are engaged but not at extreme levels. Binance Perpetuals: Funding Rate: 0.01 – Market leaning slightly towards longs. Open Interest: 78,892 BTC, indicating a healthy level of market participation. Profit Ratio Today: 1.20 – Indicates that traders who entered today are mostly in profit, reinforcing positive sentiment. Possible Scenarios & Probability 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (60% Probability) 📈 BTC breaks above $98,000 and reaches $99,600 Strong bullish sentiment pushes BTC past key resistance levels. RSI & MACD confirm continued upward momentum. Positive funding rate and moderate OI support a sustained uptrend. Institutional traders (CME data) continue to favor long positions. 2️⃣ Neutral Scenario (25% Probability) 🔄 BTC consolidates between $96,500 – $98,000 Some profit-taking slows the rally, but support at $96,500 holds. MACD remains positive but shows weakening momentum. Open Interest suggests indecision, with traders waiting for further signals. 3️⃣ Bearish Scenario (15% Probability) 📉 BTC drops below $96,500 and tests $95,000 Unexpected negative news or macroeconomic factors trigger a sell-off. RSI becomes overbought, leading to short-term correction. A decline in Open Interest suggests traders are closing positions. Final Takeaway Primary Strategy: Hold and monitor resistance at $98,000. Risk Management: A stop loss at $95,000 protects against unexpected downturns. Trigger to Sell: If BTC struggles at GETTEX:98K with weakening momentum, a short-term exit may be considered. Trigger to Buy More: A clean break above GETTEX:98K with strong volume confirms continuation to $99,600+.
by titankarma
Bitcoin - Current RangeThe green box is good for longs and the red box is good for shorts. The red line is the stop of our short and the green line is the stop of our long. TP levels are TP1, we do not close the entire position, we take profit and move the stop to entry and start monitoring. there is no harm in carrying long and short at the same time, as long as you apply the take profit and move stop to entry methods, you will not suffer any damage. -My other range trades. - -
Long
by XU99
Trump/Elon’s Crypto Chaos!Bitcoin’s been on a rollercoaster in 2025, plummeting from $106K to $93K earlier this month, but I’m seeing a massive bullish setup on the 4H chart at $97,603. After a sharp sell-off, BTC’s forming a tight range near $96K support... classic accumulation before a breakout, or are we walking into a trap? Here’s the tea: RSI’s at ~55 and climbing, signaling buyers are gaining momentum, while the 50/200 EMA crossover near GETTEX:97K screams bullish reversal. Volume’s ticked up over the last few candles, suggesting smart money’s piling in. We’re testing GETTEX:98K resistance right now, flip it, and I’m targeting $105K by early March, fueled by Trump’s pro-crypto policies and Elon’s unpredictable X-factor. But if we fail here, $93K’s the next stop, and bears could drag us lower. This setup’s got me hyped, but the Trump/Elon wild card is wild... Trump’s deregulation talks could pump us past $100K, or Elon’s next tweet might send us spiraling. I’ve seen similar patterns in 2021 lead to 20%+ moves... History repeating? What’s your hot take? Bullish to $105K, or bearish back to $93K, where’s BTC headed? Think Trump’s policies or Elon’s tweets will rocket us, or are they just noise? Seen this pattern before? Drop your targets, indicators, or contrarian views! I’ll reply to every comment and debate!
by MonoCoinSignal
Bitcoin Update: Warning of a Potential Crash!Bitcoin has been ranging around the 98K level for about 90 days. Fractals show strength, but I see another potential move incoming, though with a low probability. In this scenario, we can expect a quick shakeout in the market, where BTC price drops in a 17% shadow down to $80K, followed by a flash recovery to the starting point of this move, continuing toward new highs along with the fractal demonstrated on the chart, with the ultimate target of $150K, in my opinion. Overall, there is little concern about this scenario since it has a very low probability, but to be cautious, it’s better to manage our risks. The main scenario in my mind is still my previous analysis based on its fractal, and I remain bullish.
by farhadnmd
BTC/USDT Analysis 🚦 Current Situation: The price is consolidating around the 97,000 USDT level. After reaching a local high at 108,429 USDT, Bitcoin is showing a pullback but remains in a sideways range. 🧠 Strategy: 🔹 Long: Planning to set limit orders in the marked green zones: 🟢 First zone: 87,673 USDT — potential bounce after a squeeze. 🟢 Second zone: 75,194 USDT — a more aggressive scenario if bears break through support. ❌ Not planning to short because: There’s a risk of a sharp rebound. A potential reversal scenario through stop-loss hunting above. The market remains highly volatile, and a bearish impulse could quickly turn bullish. 📊 Technical Outlook: Support Level: 91,097 USDT — red line. Interest Zones: Highlighted in green. Liquidity Areas: Possible squeeze to collect stop-losses before growth. 📈 Base Scenario: Expecting a possible squeeze below 91,097 USDT, reaching the first long zones. After that, a bounce and development of a bullish impulse are possible. The primary target is a return to the 100,000+ USDT zone. ⚠️ Risks: Breaking key support zones could lead to a deeper correction. High volatility — it’s important to maintain risk management and avoid emotional decisions. 📌 Conclusion: Keeping a close eye on the market, monitoring the reaction at support levels, and staying ready for a correction. The focus is on limit orders in potential squeeze zones, but without rushing into shorts.
Long
by CHOWTRADE
BITCOIN UPDATE!BTC has been continuously dropping for 23 days since it reached a new all-time high. The range between $90k and $94k has formed decent support for BTC, and it is once again hovering close to this range. As I mentioned in my previous update, a drop in BTC would be concerning. However, you could consider it a blessing in disguise—if we see a further dip, it might present a better opportunity to accumulate. Key Points: ~ Crucial Support: $90k ~ RSI Range: Close to the oversold range ~ Rebound: If BTC holds the support range ~ Further Rejection: If BTC breaks down and closes below the support range Always do your own research and analysis before investing.
by Dexter_The_Trader
BTC Market Strategy: Navigating Pullbacks & Breakout RisksMost Relevant Timeframe for Entering a Position • 2H and 4H can sometimes be too volatile. The 2H RSI is already above 80, pointing to a potential imminent pullback. • 8H offers a good balance for trades lasting a few days, as the RSI is around 55, ISPD Div Pro around 0.72/0.53, and Mason’s around 0.20/0.19—indicating there’s still some room for upside. • 12H and 1D show Satisfaction already above 0.5, which is less “comfortable” for starting a new long (higher risk of a local top). Liquidation Map (1D) & ETF Flows Liquidation Map (Coinglass, 1D) • Significant potential long liquidation clusters exist in the 98–100k zone. This suggests that if BTC breaks above 97–98k convincingly, a short squeeze could be triggered. • Conversely, multiple long liquidation levels are stacked around 93k and below, reinforcing the risk of a cascading sell-off if BTC breaks under 92–93k. ETF Flows (Farside Investors) • In the second half of February, several days saw negative net flows (e.g., –60.7M on Feb 17, –64.1M on Feb 19), with little to no major inflows. • The lack of significant institutional buying suggests caution—without strong ETF support, a break above 98k remains uncertain. Practical Approach • Watch the 8H timeframe for a possible intraday pullback, then consider going long if the price bounces off support near 94k–95k. • If you prefer very short-term intraday trading, look for a pullback on 2H/4H (where RSI might drop from 80 toward 50) before re-entering. Key Support & Resistance Levels • Supports • 93,000–94,000 $: A significant technical support zone (also visible via Auto AVWAP Low on 4H/2H around 95k, marking the lower range). • 92,000 $: A psychological threshold below which more stop orders could be triggered (OI LIQMAP). • If there’s a strong break, 88,000–90,000 $ could serve as a second support tier. • Resistances • 96,000–97,000 $: Daily Tenkan area that has rejected price multiple times; also visible near the top of the 2H/4H range. • 98,000–100,000 $: A major obstacle (often aligning with Auto AVWAP High and the upper Ichimoku zone on D1). Given the large long liquidation clusters in this area, a breakout above 98k could lead to a short squeeze. • 102,000 $: According to Auto AVWAP High (Daily and 12H), this is the major resistance. Operational Recommendations 1. Wait for a pullback • On shorter timeframes (e.g., 2H), the RSI is very high. Better to wait for a retracement toward 94–95k before attempting to go long, especially if there’s a technical bounce and the RSI cools off. 2. Use a cautious stop • Below 92k, there’s a risk of a cascade effect if the market seeks deeper liquidity. 3. Take partial profits • If BTC crosses 98–100k without strong volume, consider partial profit-taking. ISPD Div Pro around 0.7–0.8 (on 12H/1D) often signals a potential slowdown. 4. Alternation scenario • As long as there isn’t a clear daily close above ~98k–100k, a “flat-type” correction remains possible. A prolonged range or broader bearish structure could develop if macro factors (inflation, Fed decisions) weigh on the market. General Conclusion • Technical indicators (ISPD, Mason’s, RSI) still suggest a short-to-medium-term bullish bias, but we are nearing “elevated” zones on 2H/4H and a Satisfaction reading above 0.5 on 12H/1D. This calls for caution. • The liquidation map confirms key risk areas: • Above 98k → Short squeeze possible if 97–98k breaks cleanly. • Below 93k → Risk of cascading sell-off if 92–93k fails. • The lack of ETF inflows raises concerns about institutional support—without a clear shift in inflows, BTC may struggle to hold gains above 98k. • 8H remains the recommended timeframe for catching pullbacks without the extreme volatility seen on 2H. • Key supports: 93–94k, then 92k. Key resistances: 96–97k, 98–100k, and further up at 102k. Strategy • Consider buying on a dip if BTC tests the 94–95k zone again and indicators (RSI/Mason’s) cool off. • Take partial profits if momentum falters below 98–100k, as ISPD Div Pro above 0.7 can hint at exhaustion. • Use a tight stop if price breaks decisively under 92k. All in all, the short-term outlook remains bullish as long as 92–93k holds, but risks of consolidation or a deeper correction are increasing, particularly if institutional support remains weak or major market players trigger a liquidation event.
by Ox_kali
Bitcoin’s Bullish Patterns_Ready for a Breakout!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) approached the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines but quickly started to rise. Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . And in this increase of Bitcoin in the last few hours, we can see the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern well in the 2-hour time frame . Educational tip : The Morning Star is a bullish reversal candlestick pattern that forms after a downtrend, consisting of three candles: a large bearish candle, a small indecisive candle, and a strong bullish candle. It signals a potential trend reversal and growing buying momentum. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , which can be a sign of Bitcoin's increase . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the entire corrective waves inside the descending channel were all in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) so that it seems that Bitcoin finally completed the main wave C in the previous hours. If Bitcoin breaks the upper line of the wedge pattern, we can confirm the end of the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to be able to touch the Targets I specified on the chart AFTER breaking the upper line of the Descending Channel . Note: If Bitcoin goes below $94,400, we expect more dumps. Do you think Bitcoin can finally break out of this Descending Channel? Pump or Dump? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
Bitcoin is walking a tightrope—stuck between $94,200 - $102,500 Bitcoin is walking a tightrope—stuck between $94,200 - $102,500 with $98,350 acting as the key pivot. Break & hold = 102K test. Rejection = potential drop to range lows. 1️⃣ Key range: $94,200 - $102,500 BTC can't break above $98,350 for half a month—building pressure. A clean breakout opens the door to $102K. Failure = possible sweep of range lows. 2️⃣ Election VWAP defense Bulls aggressively defending this level—a break could trigger fast downside. But so far, it’s holding like a fortress. 3️⃣Short-term signals Market structure shift (MSB) on the 1H chart. Demand zone slightly below current levels—possible liquidity grab for re-entry. 12H time frame also hints at a reversal setup. 4️⃣ The game plan? Hold above $98,350 = bullish breakout confirmation. Lose 12H support & election VWAP = watch for $94,200 retest. Patience > overtrading—market is moving like a coiled spring. How are you positioning? Waiting for a break or taking range trades?
Long
by Goldfinch_song
BTCUSD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE .This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on a 1-hour timeframe from Binance, showing a technical setup for a possible short trade (sell position). Here’s what it indicates: 1. Double Top or Bearish Reversal Setup: The price has reached a key resistance level at 97,520 USDT (black horizontal line). The Zig Zag indicator (blue lines) highlights recent swing highs and lows, forming a potential M-shape pattern, often a bearish signal. 2. Short Trade Plan: Entry Zone: Near 97,520 USDT (price has tested this level). Target (Take Profit): Around 93,865 USDT (green zone). Stop Loss: Above 98,816 USDT (red zone), protecting against an upside breakout. 3. Bearish Scenario: The blue arrow suggests an expected downward move. If price breaks below recent swing lows, further decline is likely. 4. Bullish Risk: If BTC breaks above 98,816 USDT, the short setup would be invalidated. This chart suggests a trader is betting on a Bitcoin pullback after testing resistance. Would you like to refine the trade setup or need additional confirmation signals?
Short
by DavidHills110
Trading with multiple VAMAsI want to show you how to analyse multiple timeframe VAMAs for trading opportunities. This is an interesting approach that can reveal valuable market structure information. For this example I am using a 15m, 1h and. 4h VAMA, but you can use this on lower or higher timeframes as well. First, let's understand what each timeframe VAMA represent in this case: The 15-minute VAMA indicates short-term trends and momentum The 1-hour VAMA reveals intermediate trend direction The 4-hour VAMA represents the broader market structure When these VAMAs overlap on your lower timeframe chart (15m in this case), they create what we might call "zones of interest." Think of it like layers of support and resistance that have different degrees of significance based on their timeframe. Here's how we can interpret and use this information: Convergence Zones When multiple VAMAs cluster in a tight price range, this creates a significant zone of interest. For example, if your 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour VAMAs are all within a narrow price band, this often indicates a strong support or resistance level. These zones typically exhibit one of two behaviors: Price Bounces: When price approaches a convergence zone from above or below, it often respects these levels. The more timeframes that have converged, the stronger the zone becomes. A bounce from such a zone with corresponding volume can present a high-probability trade opportunity. Zone Breaks: If price successfully breaks through a convergence zone, especially with increased volume, this often signals a strong trend continuation or reversal, depending on the direction of the break. Hierarchical Trending You can identify the strength and maturity of trends by examining how the different timeframe VAMAs are arranged: Strong Uptrend Structure: 4H VAMA lowest 1H VAMA above 4H 15min VAMA above 1H This "stacking" of VAMAs shows a healthy trend structure. The higher timeframe VAMAs act as dynamic support levels in an uptrend (or resistance in a downtrend). Trade Entry Opportunities Alignment Trades: Look for moments when all VAMAs are pointing in the same direction and properly stacked. These situations often present high probability setups. For example: In an uptrend Price pulls back to test the 15-minute VAMA while the 1H and 4H VAMAs continue trending up.This creates a "buy the dip" opportunity with multiple timeframe confirmation. Divergent Zone Trades: When the faster VAMAs (1min, 15min) show divergence from the slower ones (1H, 4H), this can indicate potential reversal points: If the 1min and 15min VAMAs start curling up while price is testing the 1H VAMA as support. This divergence in shorter timeframes while respecting longer timeframe support can signal a reversal opportunity. Breakout Confirmation: Use the multiple timeframes to confirm breakout trades: When price breaks above a convergence zone Look for the faster VAMAs (1min, 15min) to cross above the slower ones Volume should increase during the break The previous resistance zone (marked by the VAMAs) should become support
Education
by jpkxyz
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #11👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, as usual, I'll review the appropriate futures triggers for the New York session. 🔄 Yesterday, the market activated the long trigger and rose from the box's floor, so before delving into today’s analysis, I’ll also review this trigger for you. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, the trigger I had set at 964446 was activated and provided a very good position. The top line of the Expanding Triangle is also being broken, and the trigger for breaking this triangle will be at 97816. ⚡️ If, concurrently with the break of the triangle's upper line and the trigger of this triangle, volume also increases, we can say that bearish momentum has entered the market and the price might finally exit the range box it has formed. 🔼 The main trigger is the break of the box’s ceiling at 98482, and if this area is broken, we can confirm the price’s bullish trend. 📊 For a long position, the appropriate trigger seems to be breaking 97816, and I personally am waiting for this trigger. A break of 65.46 in the RSI would give me a momentum entry trigger. 📉 For a short position, we must first wait for the bullish momentum in the market to dissipate and wait for bearish momentum to arise and create a short trigger structure. Until then, the short triggers will be from 96446 to 95108. 📅 BTC.D Analysis Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, dominance was ranging, and almost no difference was noted from the previous day, but I've adjusted the area from 61.10 to 61.04. If this area is broken, dominance could move downward toward 60.48. 🔑 For an increase in dominance, if 61.49 is broken, we can expect the upward trend to reach 62%. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to Total2. Yesterday, the trigger at 1.21 was activated, and this index is moving upward. The next resistance that price could face is at 1.24, and if this resistance is broken, Total2 could move up to 1.28. Conversely, if Total2 moves downward again, the short trigger will be at 1.19. Keep an eye on Bitcoin dominance to decide whether to open positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let’s discuss Tether dominance. In this chart, our trigger from yesterday, 4.55, was activated like Total2, and this area was broken. Currently, the next support for Tether dominance is at 4.46. If 4.46 is broken, the next area will be 4.40, and for confirming a long position, you can use the break of these supports. Conversely, for a short position, if 4.62 is broken, Tether dominance will increase, indicating that the market will be bearish. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
8