Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Accumulating | Breakout Incoming?Buyers have finally shown dominance near the 200EMA, where now we are heading for for the resistance zone, which will be tested.
As we are entering the friday with that kind of buyside volume we might be seeing strong pump during the weekends so that's what we are looking for now.
Swallow Academy
BTCUST trade ideas
#BTC Descending Triangle📊#BTC Descending Triangle✔️
🧠From the perspective of the chart, we have been sideways here for about three days, and the price is gradually being squeezed to form a descending triangle. Generally, we regard this model as a model that continues the original trend force (the trend at the hour level is a downward trend).
➡️A similar model analysis was also made in the previous article. Because the closing price at the 4h level is already below the lower edge of the triangle, I think the probability of further decline will be higher, so please be cautious in chasing the rise!
⚠️Note that if we break through the H point and stabilize, it means that my view is wrong.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Eyes $110K or $94K – Depends on Global HeadlinesBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Technical Outlook
📅 Update: June 18, 2025
🧭 Current Market Status:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $105,296, sitting in a tight consolidation above key support ($104K). The price has respected both demand and supply zones over the past few sessions but remains sensitive to macro-driven events, especially geopolitical instability.
We can clearly see BTC is caught between strong support around $100K–102K and resistance around $108K–110K, awaiting a directional break.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Zones (Red):
$108K–110K – intraday resistance block
$112K – short-term breakout target
$114K–116K – final bullish extension zone
Support Zones (Green):
$102K–104K – immediate demand
$100K – psychological round number + previous breakout base
$98K / $96K / $94K – downside targets if panic sets in
🔺 Scenario 1: No US-Iran War (Bullish Case)
If no escalation occurs:
BTC could bounce from current support or even dip to $102K before pushing higher.
A clean break above $108K may trigger a move toward $112K and then $114K–116K.
Stochastic shows bullish divergence forming (see trendline), supporting a possible upside breakout if momentum strengthens.
🟢 Look for breakout candle + volume confirmation above $108K.
🔻 Scenario 2: US-Iran War Escalates (Bearish Case)
If military conflict breaks out:
Safe-haven rotation may favor cash or gold short-term; BTC could lose traction.
Breakdown below $102K may lead to panic drop toward $98K, followed by potential flush into $94K.
Watch for failure to hold $100K — this would mark a major shift in sentiment.
🔻 BTC has historically struggled during initial shock of war-related uncertainty.
🔁 Neutral/Bounce Scenario:
If price holds $104K–102K range but no major trigger emerges, expect sideways consolidation.
Traders can scalp range levels until a confirmed breakout or breakdown.
🛡️ Risk Management Notes:
BTC remains headline-driven — adjust position size based on volatility spikes.
If trading directionally, place tight SLs below key support or above resistance, depending on side.
Consider hedging with stablecoins or options if holding long-term spot.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Btc seizes the opportunity to trade with the trendTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 20:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with a continuous negative line. The price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross and running downward, but we should note that the overall volatility this week was not large, and the fluctuation was in a small range. So we should pay attention to keeping short-term trading and closing profits in time. Don't hesitate, drag, and don't think about a big rise or fall. After a large drop on Tuesday this week, the short-term hourly chart has entered a small range of fluctuations. There is no continuation or breakout, so we should just follow the trend. We have sold at the high point of 105,500 as a defense, and bought at 103,000 as a defense, for short-term trading.
#Bitcoin ( $BTC/USDT ) is forming a symmetrical triangle on the #Bitcoin ( $BTC/USDT ) is forming a symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart, with strong support near 103,800 and resistance around 105,100. Price is consolidating tightly, indicating a breakout is near. A bullish breakout above 105,500 could target 110,000, while a breakdown below 103,500 may lead to a drop toward 102,000. Key invalidation lies at 103,500. Wait for volume confirmation before entering —
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #116👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’m going to review the futures triggers for the New York session.
✅ Yesterday, a very important event occurred: Israel launched a military attack on Iran, targeting not only military facilities but also residential areas.
⚔️ Leaving aside the fact that war is always a global tragedy, the fact that Israel also hit civilian zones shows that the tensions between these two countries have entered a new phase.
💫 In addition to civilian casualties, key commanders of the Iranian military were assassinated in these strikes.
🏳️ Most countries such as the United States, France, and most of Europe supported Israel in this conflict, while only North Korea and Russia backed Iran.
📊 Given these rising tensions and the cancellation of Sunday’s negotiations between Iran and the U.S., the likelihood of war between Iran and Israel has greatly increased following the resolution signed yesterday.
⭐ This development has caused safe-haven assets like gold to move upward, while risk-on assets like crypto have started to decline. As you can see, Bitcoin has been falling since yesterday.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, as mentioned, after an initial correction to the 108436 zone, Bitcoin continued its decline down to 103606, breaking through the support level we had marked due to the war-related news.
✨ Currently, the price has found support at 103606 and has started a corrective phase. RSI has also exited the Oversold area and is now heading toward the 50 zone.
📉 In my opinion, under the current market conditions, we should wait to see how Iran reacts to Israel's actions. If war breaks out, Bitcoin is likely to drop again.
⚡️ Personally, I’m holding off on opening any positions until we get more clarity on the fundamental developments between Iran and Israel. I'm also not closing any of my longer-term positions that were opened in lower zones like 88k.
🔔 However, if you are looking to open a position, you could enter on a break below 103606. I don’t currently have a trigger for a long position and would prefer to wait for a proper structure to develop.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance moved upward along with the market decline and, after breaking through 64.18, continued its bullish leg up to 64.85.
🧩 It has since begun a corrective phase after hitting that resistance. If this correction continues, the next zone to watch is 64.49.
📅 Total2 Analysis
This index also dropped alongside Bitcoin yesterday, falling from 1.18 down to 1.12 after triggering a short.
🔍 The price has since corrected up to 1.14. If a new bearish leg begins, we can open a short position on a break below 1.12.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Tether dominance moved upward after triggering 4.68 and reached 4.89.
💥 If 4.79 is broken, the correction could continue. If 4.89 is broken, the next bullish leg in dominance will begin.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
#BTC Update Urgent. CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Bitcoin is making another attempt to test the $102K support level.
Expecting a bounce around the 100k area if we reach there.
This level is holding strong, backed by two key EMAs and high liquidity concentration.
Just be careful with longs.
Monday’s pump faded quickly, a clear sign of weakness.
This is exactly why staying on the sidelines was the right call.
If you're holding stables, you're not losing in this volatility.
I’ll continue monitoring the price action closely.
It’s better to enter higher with solid confirmations than to gamble on local dips.
Altcoins are still struggling; stay cautious.
More updates soon.
Stay tuned.
Do hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
How To: Avoid paying Taxes on my Trading Gains?***Make sure to read this through. At the bottom is an email you can fire off to your CPA as well as your funded broker with the right questions to get you started***
In the video above I gave you the thought process and questions that come to me from many people weekly. I want to share with you guys a method you can use which depends fully on weather its availble by your broker or not.
The Issue: I am getting payouts from my broker but I dont want to pay taxes on it. What do i do?
The Answer: There is no way to AVOID paying taxes but There are some questions you need to ask both your Broker where you have or will have your funded account, as well as ask your CPA if you are using one, which will or will not allow you to move your "GAINS" directly into an investment account without paying an INCOME tax.
Bare in mind, the bottom line is that if its possible for you to do this, youll most likely need to set yourself up an an 'entity' like an LLC or an S-Corp.
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Can you trade through TradingView using a funded account?
Yes. Most prop firms (like Apex, My Funded Futures, etc.) allow access to TradingView via third-party routing systems like Rithmic, CQG, or Tradovate.
Can you send trading profits directly into an investment account (e.g., with Fidelity or First Fidelity Trust)?
Not directly.
Most prop firms pay out to you personally via: ACH / PayPal / Wire
The payout is treated as income, not capital gains — you’re usually issued a 1099. So short-term capital gains don’t apply here — it’s contractor income.
Can you route those funds into an investment or retirement account?
Only indirectly, if you:
Set up a legal entity (LLC/S-Corp)
Prop firm allows payouts to that entity
Entity sends funds to a brokerage or retirement account
This gives you:
Tax management options
Ability to fund SEP IRAs, Solo 401ks, or other investment vehicles
Business deductions and better income structuring
Important: Not all prop firms support this. You must ask.
What happens if you just take the payout personally?
You’ll owe taxes on the income that year. If it's a large amount and you're not using any tax strategy, this can be a big hit — and you won’t be putting that money to work in a retirement account, which could have deferred or reduced the tax burden.
Why do traders want to route funds into investment accounts?
To defer taxes
To compound gains in tax-advantaged environments
To avoid having income hit their personal checking and be immediately taxed without structure
To separate business income from personal finances.
Who should you talk to?
A CPA who understands prop firm payouts + entity structuring
The prop firm support team
Your investment account provider (e.g., Fidelity, First Fidelity Trust)
If You’re Using Your Own Capital (Not Prop Firm Capital)
When you're trading from a cash account funded with your own post-tax money (like a personal account at Tradestation, Fidelity, Interactive Brokers, etc.), you're in a completely different tax situation compared to a funded prop account.
Im trading with a CASH ACCOUNT and this money was already taxed. Why am i paying more tax?
1. You’re Right: That Money Was Already Taxed
If you earned money through a job, business, crypto sale, whatever — and then you funded your trading account with it — yes, that money has already been taxed as income, capital gains, or whatever the original source required.
But…
2. Trading Gains Are Still Taxable — Separately
Once that taxed money is used to generate more money via trading, those gains are now a new taxable event. Here's why:
The IRS doesn’t look at “double taxation” in terms of the original dollar — it taxes the gain on that dollar.
For example:
You fund your account with $10,000 (already taxed)
You trade it up to $15,000
You now owe taxes on the $5,000 gain, not the $10,000 you started with
So no, you're not being taxed twice on the same dollar — you're being taxed on new earnings generated from that dollar.
3. Type of Tax Depends on Holding Period
Day Trading / Short-Term (< 1 year):
Taxed as ordinary income, same as your paycheck (could be 10–37%)
Long-Term Gains (1+ year):
Taxed at long-term capital gains rates (typically 0%, 15%, or 20%)
This only applies if you’re not trading inside a retirement account (IRA, 401k, etc.).
So What’s the Advantage in Routing Gains Into an Investment Account?
This is where people try to get clever.They want to avoid realizing gains in their personal account because:
It may bump them into a higher tax bracket
It may trigger estimated tax payments
It might disqualify them from certain tax credits
So the idea is:
“Can I send the profits somewhere else (like an IRA, trust, or investment vehicle) so I don’t get taxed now?”
Answer: Only if the gains were made inside that tax-advantaged account to begin with.
You can't trade in a regular brokerage account and then “move” those gains into an IRA to defer tax. That’s not how tax shelters work — they only protect gains earned inside them.
Does Being Self-Funded Change the Tax Situation?
Scenario = You fund trading with post-tax dollars ---- Not taxed again on that base
Scenario = You generate gains from trading ---- Yes, new taxes on new profits
Scenario = You want to avoid immediate taxation ---- Can't defer taxes just by moving profits
Scenario = You trade inside an IRA/401k ---- Gains tax-deferred or tax-free
Scenario = You trade through a prop firm ---- Income tax, no capital gains involved
----------Here is an email to get you started. Send this to your CPA and your Funded account broker----------
Questions to Ask Your Prop Firm (If Using Funded Accounts)
Do you allow payouts to a legal entity (LLC or S-Corp)?
Can payouts be directed to an investment firm or custodian?
Can the account be held in my entity’s name?
Do you issue 1099s for entity payouts, or only for individuals?
Are there limits or fees for routing payouts to a business or trust account?
50x leverage no brainer short trade (easy profits)
Keep in mind:
With a big daily bearish engulfing candlestick we are most likely to continue the downtrend for the coming days. Looking at the RSI (daily timeframe) it is clear that we now are in a downtrend from previously being in overbought territory. We are most likely to go from overbought to oversold on the RSI and are now looking for a big downward movement! The MACD is showing weakness on the buy signal it has printed on the daily timeframe and is showing a strong sell signal on the 4 hourly timeframe.
Most important information:
Price action is the most important information you can get and trading on price action is what the pros do!
What we can see is that the price of BTC now is inside a strong key resistance area. Combining this with the huge rising wedge we are most likely to fall back down to the 75k area. Keep in mind that we didn’t really get a good backtest of the 69k-75k support zone so we could be looking to make a good backtest of this zone before continuing the macro uptrend.
I can also identify a failed bullish ascending triangle followed by a trend with lower highs. When the second lower high formed on the hourly I entered the 50x leverage trade at 108528,7 and placed the stop loss above that lower high. Keep in mind that the trend is your friend and that we most likely wont hit the SL. At least not before moving the SL into the profit zone (preferably above a lower high that will form). I have currently put my TP at 75950 (a long way down) because I want to ride this short as long as I possibly can. I also think that we are most likely to keep consolidating (until proven otherwise) between the given ranges (from 69k all the way up to 112k).
What about the news?
I think what president Trump does is the most important news we have to consider while trading. At the time of writing it is still unclear if the Musk VS Trump drama will continue. Bringing negativity into the market. The latest trade agreement with China was also not in favor of the United States (The relation between the two countries can strengthen but at a core financial view this ain’t good). Trump also kind of acted like a dictator in the Los Angeles event (this could bring negative energy into the markets). All in all I think that the news is a bit unstable and this strengthens the hypothesis that the price of BTC will consolidate until better times is around.
Conclusion:
I can always be wrong with either my complete analysis or parts of it. But I think that we at least is going to see a 1,65% move to the downside from my entry point. This move is extrapolated from the failed ascending triangle and seeing this move will give me the opportunity to make the trade risk free (I will keep you updated when this happens)!
#BTC URGENT UPDATECRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Keeping it simple, yesterday’s daily candle printed a nice hammer, but today’s candle looks rough.
That said, things can flip fast in this market.
🔹 Close above previous day’s high: Trend remains intact
🔹 Close above $103,500K: Bullish structure holds
🔹 Break below $102,600: Bearish, could open the door to low $90Ks in the coming weeks
We’re stuck in a tight zone. It's best to stay patient until we get a breakout in either direction.
DYOR, NFA
Let me know what you think, and hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin Will Continue Rising —Long-Term Chart —$200,000+ New ATHIn November 2021, the week after the all-time high was a crash. The weeks that followed were a continuation and the market went full red and didn't stop dropping until November 2022, a year later.
In May 2025, the week after the all-time high is neutral, sideways. Four weeks later and Bitcoin continues sideways consolidating near resistance, ready to break to new highs and continue rising.
Market conditions now are very, very different compared to 2021. Right now, we are only halfway through the current bull market, for Bitcoin, and we have room left available for plenty of growth.
In a matter of days, maybe 5-6 days, we get a new all-time high and this means not the end of the bull market but the start of the next and final bullish wave.
These targets on the chart are the most accurate of all numbers because they are based on almost 5 years of data.
Next target and minimum price for Bitcoin in the coming months is $155,601 but we know there is likely to be more, much more. With the institutional wave now in full force, banks opening to crypto because they have no other choice and the world evolving faster than anything we thought possible, we are aiming for $200,000 or more.
The next relevant level after $155,600 is $209,125. Which one is your target for this new 2025 all-time high?
Do you think Bitcoin will peak in late 2025 or early 2026?
Do you think you will manage to be successful in this round or are you bound to make the same mistakes? Over-trading, over-leverage, no being patient enough; not waiting for the right time to enter and not selling when the market is trading very high, greed; What will it be?
Do you think you have what it takes to succeed? You do!
Even if you made mistakes in the past or even if you are already doing good, you have what it takes.
If you are doing bad, this experience can be used to improve your game. If you are doing great, great, let's do better. There is never enough growth; we are happy, we are grateful but we accept abundance because we receive abundance thanks to hard work.
It is still very early but the market is starting to heat up. Once the bullish action starts, there is nothing that can stop us. The world will change for us. We will adapt to all market and geopolitical conditions, we will continue to improve and evolve.
The best one is not the one that makes no mistakes but the one that can extract learning from all experiences. Success is not being right all the time, success is never giving up.
Will you give up? Or, will you continue to trade long-term?
» Bitcoin is going up!
Namaste.
BTC Testing Major Resistance >>> Rejection Likely?Hi guys!
Did you see my last analysis about Btc? Let's break it down more!
Bitcoin is now testing a major resistance zone around $106.8K, where a descending trendline has already pushed the price down several times.
This area could act as a reversal point again. If BTC fails to break above, we might see a move down toward $102.2K — a strong support level from earlier this month.
Right now, the market is showing signs of weakness near resistance, so this could be a good spot to watch for a short setup — unless bulls step in with strong volume and break out cleanly.
attention to these levels:
Resistance: $106.8K (trendline + supply zone)
Support target: $102.2K
Outlook: Bearish unless breakout confirmed
#BTC URGENT UDPATE Plus ALTCOINS Strategy.CRYPTOCAP:BTC UPDATE:
Bitcoin looks critical at the moment. The 50 EMA supports nearly $103K if this level breaks, we could see a drop toward $98.5K.
The current structure doesn’t look promising, and it’s wise to stay on the sidelines for now.
Altcoins may offer better opportunities once those lower levels are reached.
The strategy is to ladder in slowly when there are signs of reversal, until then we stay put!
Remember: nothing goes up forever, and nothing goes down forever.
Geopolitical tensions might be fueling this move, but I believe better days are ahead.
Stay patient.
Avoid high-leverage trades during this choppy, sideways price action.
Stay tuned, I’ll keep you updated the moment signs of a reversal appear.
Let me know what you think in the comment section and hit that like button if this post helped you in any way.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin Poised to Reach 111500Bitcoin Poised to Reach 111500
Bitcoin faced a strong support zone for the second time during this month near 104K.
The pattern is taking a complex shape but overall remains supported by the Geopolitical situation as well.
During the last 5 hours BTC bounced from that zone showing a strong momentum and is poised to test the old structure zones again 107855 ; 108710 ;
The other important zones that may have more value are 110230 and 111500
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
#BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Two Targets First $130,000 And Then $150,000Bitcoin is poised for significant distribution, with a potential price surge to $130,000, followed by a swing target of $150,000. The current accumulation phase is poised to transition into a substantial bullish move. We anticipate a surge in bullish volume in the coming days or weeks. Our analysis anticipates this transition to be completed by the end of the year or sooner.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a specific price movement and is provided solely for educational purposes.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. If our analysis has been of assistance, we would appreciate it if you could express your gratitude by liking and commenting.
For further insights, please follow our account.
Team Setupsfx_
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #115👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll be reviewing the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, yesterday the price was rejected from the 110256 level I previously mentioned. Following that, with the activation of the 108617 trigger, Bitcoin experienced a downward leg.
📊 Personally, I didn’t open a short position after the break of that level, but if you did, I suggest taking profits now as the price has reached the marked support zone.
🔍 As for me, I’ll wait to see how the price reacts to this support. If it breaks down, we can open a short position.
📈 However, if the price finds support here, we can once again look for a long position. The trigger for this will be found in the lower timeframes.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move to Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, BTC.D made a pullback to the 64.18 zone and now seems ready for another drop.
✔️ If 63.96 breaks, BTC.D could enter another bearish leg. If instead, the 64.18 ceiling breaks, it could push up toward 64.49 or even 64.67.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at the Total2 index, after reaching 1.24 yesterday, it started to correct and dropped down to 1.18, touching the support with a shadow.
✨ If the 1.2 level breaks to the upside, the price could move back toward 1.24. If 1.18 breaks down, the correction may continue further.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now onto USDT.D. After a brief correction up to the 4.68 level, it has resumed its downward movement. If 4.64 breaks, the decline could extend toward 4.56.
💥 If instead, the 4.68 top breaks, it might bounce back up toward 4.72.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Dips After ATH – $100K Support in Focus Amid TensionsBy analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after rallying to $111,980 and printing a new all-time high, price faced a correction down to $100,000.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $105,700, and with geopolitical tensions escalating, particularly the risk of war, we could see further downside — potentially taking price as low as $90,000.
However, if BTC manages to hold above the $100,000 level, there’s a strong chance we’ll see a short-term rally toward $120,000.
This analysis will be updated as the situation evolves. Stay tuned!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Check for support near 104463.99-106133.74
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The next volatility period we should pay attention to is around June 22nd (June 21-23).
Currently, the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, so the key is whether it can rise above that point and maintain the price.
If not, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
In other words, we need to check whether there is support near 99705.62.
However, we need to check whether there is support near 104463.99-106133.74.
-
If we look at the auxiliary indicator OBV, the High Line is showing a downward trend.
This means that the high point is getting lower.
Therefore, if it rises above 108316.90 this time, we need to check whether the OBV can rise above the High Line and maintain it.
-
DOM(60), DOM(-60) indicators are displayed by the Close value.
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are displayed by the (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 value.
Therefore, HA-Low and HA-High indicators represent the middle value, and DOM(60) and DOM(-60) represent the end point value.
This makes it difficult to trade when DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are generated.
To make this clearer, I added an arrow signal.
DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator are indicators that represent high points.
In other words, the generation of DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator means that there has been a decline in the high point range.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the DOM(60) indicator is not easy to respond to because it indicates the end point, but the HA-High indicator indicates the middle value, so there is time to check whether there is support near the HA-High indicator and respond accordingly.
Therefore, you should check whether there is support in the section between the HA-High indicator and the DOM(60) indicator and respond accordingly.
On the contrary, the DOM(-60) indicator and the HA-Low indicator are indicators that indicate the low point.
You can think of it as the opposite of what I explained above.
-
By not indicating the support and resistance points according to the arrangement of the candles, but using the indicator points as the support and resistance points, anyone can see how the support and resistance points were created.
This will provide important objective information for trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin Long Setup: Two Potential Entry Zones After The DropHello, traders! As predicted, Bitcoin is perfectly following Scenario #2 from my previous analysis.
📉 What Happened?
The instrument showed a fake rally, luring impatient traders into premature long positions, only to liquidate them with a sharp downward move. The primary Point of Interest (POI) remains below us — this is where the "whale" aims to deliver the price to fill their orders and close the shorts they used for the initial SSL manipulation.
My Trading Scenarios & Entry Plan
1️⃣ Scenario 1: Mitigation of the Primary POI
My expectation remains the same: a reaction upon the mitigation of the 4h order block , which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
Entry Condition: The level must hold on at least the 4H timeframe, confirmed by a bullish reversal and an order flow shift on the Lower Timeframe (LTF).
Zone: $102,745 - $103,868
Invalidation: A clear break and close below the 78.6% Fib level would invalidate this scenario.
2️⃣ Scenario 2: Deeper Liquidity Grab
If the liquidity at the 4h OB isn't enough for the whale to continue the uptrend, they might trigger a more aggressive decline to grab liquidity from the low at $100,370.
Entry Condition: A swift sweep of this low, followed by a sharp reclaim of the level and the beginning of a bullish order flow on the LTF.
Zone: $100,700 - $102,000
Invalidation: A candle close below the $100,370 liquidity level would invalidate this scenario.
Final Thoughts
Do not open positions just because the price has reached a POI. Wait for a clear reversal reaction and LTF confirmation for more conservative and safer entries. Always use stop-losses to protect your capital; no setup has a 100% win rate, and for every whale, there can always be a bigger one.
To be consistently profitable, you just need to find setups with a win rate greater than 50% — this is how casinos and professional traders operate.
Happy hunting with the whales — don't be the plankton. Follow their tracks.