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$BTC UPDATE: breakthrough confirmation, finally!CRYPTOCAP:BTC has finally broken out of its descending wedge channel! I’ve seen people claim otherwise, but they’re wrong! Both the daily and hourly charts confirm the breakout, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC is now sitting above the descending trendline, using it as support. What’s next? The most likely scenario is a correction to around $65.5k before a push to $71k. A new rising wedge pattern has formed, and we’re currently at the top, which is acting as resistance. The MACD is also hitting a top resistance level, and the RSI is at 63, signaling it's overbought and needs to reset. There’s also an RSI bearish divergence on the daily timeframe that needs to play out. All these factors point to a small pullback, reintegration into the rising channel at $65.5k, followed by a breakout and consolidation around $70k. However, another scenario could unfold. With Trump almost certain to win the election, investors may already be positioning for a pump. This could cause an anomaly, pushing CRYPTOCAP:BTC directly to $71k without consolidation, driven by FOMO. In this case, we’d see a pump to $71k and then consolidation between FWB:65K and $71k until the MACD and RSI reset lower. Let’s see how it plays out—Sunday afternoon should set the tone for the week ahead.
by CryptoNikkoid
10
Politics vs Profits | The US elections & Crypto Harris, Trump, or Crypto ? Only One Goes Brrrr ! 1/ The crypto market typically dips ahead of US elections In 2016, there was a 10% dip, in 2020, a 6% decline, and so far in 2024, a 6% decrease. However, these drops aren't unusual; they can happen without clear triggers on any given day or week. So attributing extra significance to the current dip due to election is overblown it’s just business as usual in crypto 2/ The election results will trigger either a market boom or bust Markets crave certainty over specific candidates. Once the election is over, investors can look ahead and allocate accordingly. In the grand scheme, Bitcoin and the wider crypto market don’t care who sits in the Oval Office. Whether it’s a red, blue, or mixed government, historically, crypto trends upward over time. 3/ Trump/Harris will be terrible for the economy While Republicans and Democrats have vast differences (more so now than ever), unity isn’t our forte. How can we bring the nation together? Maybe start with a common interest and go from there One thing’s certain, both parties have an affinity for money printing , While it’s a headache for the US’s debt situation, it benefits crypto.Why? Because a share of that newly minted money typically flows into crypto assets, which have limited or predictable inflation. In essence, money printing devalues the US dollar but bolsters the value of scarce assets (like crypto) over time.Regardless of who wins, the money printer is expected to stay active. While election may provide market clarity, it’s not a sure thing. Close elections can take days to finalize. So, if you feel like panicking, just remember this: Zoom out → stay calm → remember…In the long run, crypto tends to prevail. November is off to a roaring start with several significant market events – and that’s just in the first week! But before we look ahead, let’s review October to see where we stand: 1/ October Recap Expectations were high for ‘Moontober,’ and it delivered (though gains were modest). October saw: - $ BTC up 11%, with the broader crypto market up 10% - US Bitcoin ETFs purchased 5.83 times more CRYPTOCAP:BTC than was mined in October. This demand and limited supply helped push the total crypto market cap out of an 8 month descending trend, signaling a potential reversal. 2/ Macro Outlook Now, on to November. This week features two major macro events: - US Elections – Tuesday, Nov 5th - Rate Cuts – Thursday, Nov 7th Markets expect a 0.25% rate cut. Though smaller than September’s 0.50% cut, it could ease market pressure.Lower borrowing costs reduce debt servicing expenses, freeing up cash for spending and potentially boosting both the economy and crypto markets. The bonus? Historically, Bitcoin’s average return in November is +43% If this trend holds, we could see CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit $100k by month’s end! Cross your fingers, toes, and eyes! 3/ Token Unlocks October had $5.4B worth of token unlocks, creating potential sell pressure. Thankfully, November’s unlocks are lighter at $2.6B, which may limit that pressure. 4/ Earnings Reports This week brings earnings from: - Franklin Templeton (managers of the AMEX:EZBC Bitcoin ETF) - Arm (semiconductor architecture designers) - Qualcomm (wireless tech products) - Sony (self-explanatory) But November 20th is the main event, with Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) – the AI powerhouse – reporting earnings.That’s November in a nutshell. We’ll be here daily with updates as events unfold
Long
by moonypto
2
Bitcoin Breaking Higher Highs: What to Watch for NextBitcoin is currently breaking above a recent higher high, signaling potential for continued upward momentum. If it successfully surpasses this level with strong volume, it could indicate that buyers are in control and ready to push prices higher. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation—this means letting Bitcoin close above the high to avoid a potential false breakout. By waiting for a clean break, traders can enter with more confidence, aligning with the trend and reducing risk. If this higher high holds, it may serve as new support, creating a solid foundation for the next move upward.
Long
by Professor_Noah
1
BTC - Thesis Now- SHORT!Overview This report outlines an intraday scalping strategy for Bitcoin (BTC) over the next 4 hours, leveraging short-term price movements. The analysis is updated every 25 minutes to allow for dynamic adjustments, optimizing potential profits and minimizing losses. The strategy is neutral, exploring both long and short positions based on current market conditions. Data Analysis Open Interest: Monitoring open interest at intervals of 1m, 5m, and 8h to gauge market participation and potential liquidity traps. Weighted Funding Rate: Analyzing funding rates to understand trader sentiment and potential funding costs. Liquidation Data: Identifying potential liquidation points to anticipate abrupt price movements exploitable in scalping. 2. CoinMarketCap Data Volume Analysis: Assessing trading volumes over 1m, 5m, 8h, and 24h intervals to determine liquidity and market activity levels. Circulating Supply: Observing changes in circulating supply that may affect price dynamics. Liquidity Score: Evaluating the liquidity score to understand the ease of entering and exiting positions. Candlestick Patterns: Identifying significant patterns that may signal upcoming price movements. Market Capitalization: Considering market cap for broader market context. 3. Sentiment Market Sentiment Analysis: Utilizing sentiment analysis to gauge top crypto sentiments, aiding in anticipating potential market shifts. 4. Sentiment News and Social Media Sentiment: Monitoring the latest news and social media trends to understand broader market mood and potential impacts on BTC's price. 5. Binance Data via TradingView Volatility Index: Assessing to determine the market's suitability for scalping strategies. Order Book Dynamics: Analyzing depth to identify significant buy or sell walls. Price Action Signals: Observing price action and candlestick patterns for potential breakouts or reversals. Momentum Indicators: Using RSI, MACD, Stochastic Oscillator, and Momentum to gauge the strength and direction of price trends. Technical Analysis Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently below 40, indicating potential oversold conditions. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Showing a bearish crossover, suggesting downward momentum. Moving Averages: Price is below key moving averages, reinforcing bearish sentiment in the short term. Average True Range (ATR): Rising ATR indicates increasing market volatility, suitable for scalping but requires careful entry timing. Bollinger Bands: Price breaking below the lower band, signaling potential continuation of the downtrend or an oversold bounce. Stochastic Oscillator: Entering the oversold region, which may precede a short-term bounce but also confirm the current downtrend. Volatility Analysis Increased Volatility: Ideal for scalping but necessitates vigilant monitoring to avoid sudden adverse price movements. Bollinger Bands Expansion: Confirms heightened volatility. Order Book Dynamics Sell Walls: Significant sell walls detected, possibly indicating strong resistance levels and potential for price declines. Buy Walls: Less pronounced, suggesting weaker support levels in the current market context. Price Action Signals Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Observed patterns like bearish engulfing suggest potential further downside. Breakouts and Reversals: Monitoring for any signs of trend reversals to adjust strategy accordingly. Momentum Indicators Negative Momentum: Supports the bearish outlook, aligning with other technical indicators. Convergence of Indicators: Multiple indicators pointing toward a short position increase confidence in the trade setup. Market Sentiment Mixed Sentiments: News and social media show mixed feelings, but prevailing negative sentiments could exert additional downward pressure on BTC's price. Sentiment Shifts: Keeping an eye on any sudden changes that could impact price movements. Trade Recommendation Outcome: OPEN_SHORT Confidence Level: 85% Current Price: $69,400.61 Stop Loss: $70,500 Take Profit: $67,500 Exit Point: $68,000 Entry Signal Criteria Timeframe: 15-minute charts. RSI: Below 40. MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed. ATR: Rising, indicating increasing volatility. Bollinger Bands: Price breaking below the lower band. Stochastic Oscillator: Entering oversold region. Important Considerations Alignment of Indicators: Only enter OPEN_SHORT positions when all enhanced indicators align to signal a strong entry point. Risk Management: Avoid entries during high-risk periods, such as significant news releases or market anomalies. Continuous Monitoring: Vigilantly monitor the market for sudden changes and adjust the strategy to prevent losses due to unexpected price movements. Current Open Positions Open LONG Positions: 0 Open SHORT Positions: 0
Short
by titankarma
1
BTC/USDT LOCAL Short SignalI'm observing a bearish trend on BTC/USDT. Bitcoin has broken through a significant support level around $67,606, indicating potential further downside. The setup is clear, with an entry just below the support level, aiming for a substantial move lower. Bitcoin has shown continued selling pressure, with lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend. The breakdown of support aligns with this trend, suggesting a continuation of the bearish momentum. This trade follows the momentum, aiming to capitalize on the downward move. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and use appropriate risk management in trading.
Short
by HedonistTrade
2
BTC Swing LongPotential for a Strong Bullish Move 📈 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Based on current price action, I believe we may be heading into a significant bullish leg. Here’s why: Bullish Arguments: Previous Month Low (PML) is being disregarded. Previous Month High (PMH) is being disregarded. Previous Week Low (PWL) is being disregarded. Previous Day Low (PDL) is being disregarded. 4H swing high is being ignored. 4H swing low is being disregarded. The only bearish point to note: Previous Week High (PWH) is still respected. Trade Management: Once we hit the first Equal High (EQH) around 68K, I’ll move my Stop Loss to Break Even (BE) and manage the trade towards the final target.
Long
by Jaytradermb
2
BITCOIN| Smaller Timeframe | Deadcat bounce?BTC has recently broken through a key supply zone, making a strong push to reclaim its previous highs. On smaller timeframes, indicators show a pronounced bullish trend, but higher timeframes paint a more cautious picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 82%, signaling an overbought condition that may foreshadow a correction. Volatility, meanwhile, is holding at a moderate 50% on a smaller 5 MIN timeframe, suggesting that BTC isn’t facing extreme price fluctuations—for now. This combination of high RSI and moderate volatility reflects a moment of tension, where the current rally’s sustainability is in question. Will BTC hold its momentum and break back into its previous range, or is it time for investors to secure their gains from recent months? Adding to the uncertainty, global news flows could potentially influence BTC’s next move. With world events often impacting investor sentiment, it’s worth considering whether developments on the economic or regulatory fronts might shift the current bullish trend. As BTC continues to test its limits in this overbought zone, it remains to be seen if this is a breakout with staying power or a moment to capitalize on recent gains. For now, BTC stands on the edge, with time—and perhaps global factors—ultimately deciding its direction.
by ifro09
2
BTC Trend Shifting ? and ask about your altcoin analysisBTC / USDT Quick summary : 190 days have passed since the BTC topping in march 2024 at 73k Since that moment BTC was trading in downtrend with LH and LL What we can see in chart : finally we can start seeing serious bullish signals 1- First Higher low in 6 months 2- Triple bottom formation in RSI indicator What I wait and expect for next ? I think we can produce HH soon then a small final correction and after that UP ONLY Invalidation: Lose the current HL and continue again in LH and LL You can ask about your fav altcoin analysis in comment section below and I will try to reply all… Ask for 1 altcoin and write complete symbol (ex: BTCUSDT)
Long
by Babenski
80
#BTC Buy Zone Bounce Has Been Achieved📊#BTC Buy Zone Bounce Has Been Achieved✔️ 🧠From a structural point of view, the ideal target zone of the bearish structure has been achieved, and it has received good support near the neckline support zone. The rebound has now occurred as expected. ➡️ Unfortunately, the lowest point was $342 away from our second entry point, and it was not triggered. But it is satisfying to be able to make money. The main profit has been locked in, and the remaining positions will look forward to the realization of the resistance zone. Congratulations to friends who follow the wolf king to print money. 💰🍻 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖and share it💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
1