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BTC AI Thesis TodayInvestment Thesis As a trader specializing in intraday scalping strategies, the current market conditions for Bitcoin (BTC) present a mix of bullish momentum and cautionary signals. Over the next 14 hours, we will dynamically adjust our positions to optimize profits and minimize losses based on the following detailed analysis. News Recent Developments SEC Review of Bitcoin ETFs The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is actively reviewing multiple applications for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Approval of a Bitcoin ETF could significantly enhance institutional investment and liquidity, potentially driving Bitcoin prices higher. Global Regulatory Updates Recent regulatory announcements in key markets, including the European Union and Japan, have introduced clearer guidelines for cryptocurrency trading and taxation. Enhanced regulatory clarity can boost investor confidence and participation. Macro-Economic Factors Concerns over inflation and potential interest rate hikes by central banks are influencing investor behavior towards cryptocurrencies as a hedge against traditional financial market volatility. Institutional Adoption Several large financial institutions have announced plans to integrate Bitcoin services into their offerings, including custody solutions and trading platforms, which may enhance Bitcoin's accessibility and appeal to a broader investor base. Technological Upgrades Ongoing upgrades to the Bitcoin network, such as the implementation of the Taproot upgrade, aim to improve scalability and privacy, potentially enhancing Bitcoin's utility and attractiveness to users and investors. Impact Analysis Positive Impact: Approval of Bitcoin ETFs and increased institutional adoption are likely to drive demand and liquidity, supporting upward price momentum. Negative Impact: Potential regulatory crackdowns or unfavorable macroeconomic developments could introduce volatility and downside risks. Data Analysis Open Interest: Increasing, indicating strong market participation. Weighted Funding Rate: Slightly positive, suggesting that long positions are favored. Liquidation Levels: Critical around the $68,000 mark, where significant liquidations could occur if the price reverses sharply. Analysis: The increasing open interest and positive funding rate support the bullish sentiment observed in the market, while monitoring liquidation levels is essential to mitigate risks associated with sudden price drops. Binance Data Trading Volume: Robust over the last 24 hours, with a notable increase in buy orders. Trader Sentiment: Cautiously optimistic, with many experts predicting a potential breakout above the $72,000 level if current trends continue. Expert Consultations: CryptoCred and Rekt Capital have highlighted the importance of monitoring key support levels and the potential for a continuation of the upward trend post-halving. Analysis: The consensus among experts emphasizes monitoring key resistance and support levels and considering long positions as BTC approaches these levels. CoinMarketCap Data 24-Hour Trading Volume: Approximately $1.5000 billion. Circulating Supply: 19 million BTC. Market Capitalization: Around $1.3600 trillion. Analysis: Strong liquidity and high trading volume indicate significant interest in BTC, supporting the bullish outlook. However, traders should remain vigilant for any sudden changes in volume that could indicate a reversal. Sentiment Analysis Sentiment Score: 75%, indicating a predominantly bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin. Top Crypto Sentiments: "Bullish" and "Buy". Implications: A favorable environment for long positions, as positive sentiment can drive further price appreciation. Technical Analysis Daily (1d) Analysis RSI: 68.7300, approaching overbought levels. Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band at $71,452.91, suggesting potential resistance. MACD: Remains bullish, but the trend is weak according to the ADX. 4-hour (4h) Analysis RSI: 72.6400, indicating overbought conditions. ADX: Indicates a strong trend, supporting the bullish sentiment. 1-hour (1h) Analysis RSI: 53.5900, suggesting a neutral position. MACD: Suggests potential bearish momentum, indicating indecision. 15-minute (15m) Analysis RSI: 49.7300, indicating potential oversold conditions, suggesting a possible short-term reversal. Moving Averages MA20: $71,500. Price Position: Above the MA20, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. Support/Resistance Levels Support: $70,100. Resistance: $72,931.8400. Trend Indicators ADX: Indicates a strong trend on shorter timeframes, supporting the bullish outlook. Bollinger Bands: Proximity to the upper band on the daily chart warns of a possible pullback if resistance is not breached. Summary of Technical Indicators RSI: Shows overbought conditions on the daily and 4-hour charts, while remaining neutral on the 1-hour and indicating potential oversold on the 15-minute chart. MACD: Bullish on longer timeframes but shows potential bearish momentum on the 1-hour chart. Moving Averages: Price above MA20 supports the bullish trend. Bollinger Bands: Approaching upper band suggests resistance and potential for consolidation or pullback. Top BTC Pairs Performance Strong Performance: BTC/ETH, BTC/USDT, BTC/BNB Weak Performance: BTC/XRP, BTC/ADA, BTC/DOT Analysis: Strong performance in major pairs like BTC/ETH, BTC/USDT, and BTC/BNB indicates robust liquidity and market interest, while weaker performance in smaller pairs like BTC/XRP, BTC/ADA, and BTC/DOT suggests limited momentum in those areas. Summary The current market conditions for Bitcoin (BTC) indicate a bullish trend supported by increasing open interest, positive funding rates, and optimistic market sentiment. Technical indicators across multiple timeframes suggest potential upward momentum, with key resistance levels at $72,931.8400 and $72,000. The significant trading volume and positive sentiment from both analysts and retail investors reinforce the potential for short-term gains through intraday scalping strategies. However, caution is advised as the RSI approaches overbought levels, which could lead to a pullback or consolidation. Trade Recommendation Outcome: HOLD_BUY Confidence Level: 78% Current Price: $72,273.7300 Stop Loss: $71,500 Take Profit: $73,500 Exit Point: $73,000 Entry Criteria RSI: Above 60 on the 15-minute chart indicates potential upward movement. MACD: Bullish crossover above the signal line. Price Position: Above MA20 suggests continuation of the trend. Current Indicators: RSI: 49.7300 MACD: Slightly below the signal line MA20: $71,500 Action Plan Monitor the Price Closely: Breakout Strategy: If Price Holds Above $71,500: Action: Consider maintaining or adding to the long position. Adjust Stop Loss: Tighten the STOP_LOSS to $70,700 as the price approaches resistance levels to minimize potential losses. Take Profit Strategy: As Price Approaches $73,500: Action: Consider taking profits. Adjust Exit Point: Move the EXIT_POINT to $73,000 to secure profits. Risk Management: Set Stop Loss at $71,500 to limit potential losses. Take Profit at $73,500 to capitalize on expected price movement. Exit Point at $73,000 as an intermediate target. Be Prepared to Act: If RSI Falls Below 50: Action: Indicate a potential reversal; consider taking profits or adjusting positions accordingly. Monitor Market Sentiment: Stay informed about any changes in market sentiment or technical signals that could impact the trade outcome. By @Titan_Karma
Long
by titankarma
2
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (November 05-06)Yesterday in Bitcoin, we completely filled the sell zone of $67,500–$66,800 (the highest volume of the range). We’ve already seen initial signs of a reversal. Each new update of the local low was accompanied by delta absorption from buyers. We prioritize a move to the next sell zone; however, in a reverse scenario, the decline could continue down to $63,000. Sell zones: $71,000 (lower boundary of a large volume zone, mirror zone), $72,000–$73,000 (zone of volume anomalies). Buy zones: $63,100–$62,500 (mirror volume zone), $60,000–$59,000 (buyer activity). Interesting altcoins. For TROY , we updated an important level and formed a volume zone below. For now, we consider a scenario of continued upward movement from current prices or upon a retest of the $0.00412–$0.00395 zone. If these levels do not show a response, we will revise the scenario to a bearish one, considering this zone as a mirror sell zone.
by Crypto_robotics
1
BTCSalaam It's a long time didn't share anything ;-) Finding this interesting. Knowing your idea will be good too. BTC is moving in the weekly channel, it gone for breaking but the last closed candle seems to be we expect more pullback first before break and move up. See what happens in ETH chart will this scenario be more probable. Surely how this weekly will close, will determine the next move clearly. Personally, I'm looking to some up move to sell and waiting for comeback to the channel for confirming false break. By the way, total picture is up in my opinion and this is just pullback for the next big moveup. Please help yourselves by trading with knowledge instead of emotions, always be aware of risk management. Good luck to all,
by Mohsen_Abbassi
1
24.11.04 Whale Index (up $2,400!! Was it accurate again??)Hello, we're Whale Signal First, let's review the previous analysis Previously, I uploaded a whale indicator to TradingView and informed you that if Bitcoin is located in a major supporting section, and this section is re-formed into a supporting section, we can expect further upside As a result, there has been a trend of exactly $2,400 rise since then, and those who have used whale indicators seem to have made a significant return Congratulations to those who made profits Since then, the price has fallen again, but a positive profit structure would have been possible if you had set up the anti-profit half-currency well (to secure some profits and stopros) In addition, we believe whale indicators showed good flow again this time, as the closing bar breakout and retest continued and the short position entry opportunity was provided in the fall breakaway structure Now I'm going to talk about the current point of view The current section is once again considered an important support section If time rod seating is confirmed in this section consistent with where previous whale indicators were formed, entry may be considered when retesting or pressing of the candle body section occurs (personal perspective) In addition, an upward break through the all-high point segment based on Dow theory is expected to increase the likelihood and reliability of it However, if you leave the purple whale index again, you should also consider short withdrawal However, as the U.S. presidential election is scheduled tomorrow, please respond briefly and thoroughly manage the risks *I don't share a point of view. It's a personal opinion, and the whale indicator simply points to support and resistance. I hope you guys take a RBI single through the whale indicator in your analysis* *For more detailed analysis and real-time updates, please check the real-time chart sharing guide link below* <> 1. The whale indicator simply points to support and resistance 2. Please refer to the whale index to find a trading RBI suitable for your analysis 3. The shape of the rod finish is important for whale indicators, so checking the closing rod helps with a stable trading strategy 4. Whale surface intensity is in the order of purple > orange > white, with purple surface indicating the strongest support and resistance
by Whale_signal
1
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up to $72500, exiting from wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once fell to support line, breaking $57900 level. Then price in a short time ros to this level, broke it again, and made retest, after which continued to move up. Later BTC rose to $65900 level, turned around, and declined lower support line, thereby exiting from rising channel. After this, price continued to move up inside wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $65900 level. Soon, price broke this level, and rose to resistance line, after which made a correction and now continues to grow. In my mind, BTC can bounce up from support line to $72500, exiting from wedge pattern. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
8
PREDICTING #BITCOIN'S NEXT MOVE ⟶ SUPPORT ZONES & TARGETSHey everyone! 👋 Did you see the previous post? Since October 23rd, I've consistently backed a #BITCOIN growth, and in this time, #BITCOIN has experienced over 10% growth! 📈 (I’ll pin previous analyses and predictions below, take a look 👇) Now, it seems like we’ve reached a critical point, or better yet, a decision point 🔍. Today’s bearish drop and the structure of this drop suggest that the probability of further growth remains strong. 🌱 There are two scenarios to confirm this growth: **Scenario 1:** If #BITCOIN grows from here, before dipping below 71,436, and breaks out of the bearish channel with a 1-hour candle closing above 72,470.00, this signals bullish growth 🚀. **Scenario 2 (more likely):** #BITCOIN might experience one more drop down to the bullish trend-line on the 1-hour time frame. This support zone between 69,940.81 - 70,458.15 is likely where a bottom could form before a bullish movement begins 📉➡️📈. **Next growth targets if either scenario 1 or 2 is confirmed:** - **Target 1:** 73,532.01 🎯 - **Target 2:** 74,316.41 - 74,742.20 🎯 - **Target 3:** 75,900.00 🎯 **Note:** Going beyond Target 3 carries more risk; if this target is achieved, we should reassess the conditions for continued bullish growth or a potential bearish reversal ⚠️. **Stop-Loss for this growth scenario:** If the bullish trend-line on the 1-hour time-frame breaks to the downside, the bullish growth scenario is canceled, and the trend shifts from bullish to bearish ❌. So, stay tuned! 👀
Long
by Eldorado_Land
Bitcoin's Big Move: Is a Bullish Breakout Brewing?Hello CryptoTalk-ET fams, it's such a long time since we posted in here. Hope you guys are all fine and that this message will find you. Today we are going to look on Bitcoin's higher timeframe movements by which it seems an appropriate time to drop a reminder on the bullishness of the giant of all cryptos. Let's dive into today's insight. As we look at the Bitcoin chart, it’s hard not to get excited about what might be unfolding. In the world of trading, sometimes a chart tells a story, and this one is whispering bullish potential. If you’re a long-term Bitcoin enthusiast, this might be the setup you’ve been waiting for. The Setup: Consolidation Ready to Explode? First, let’s talk about that long consolidation phase. Imagine a coiled spring being pressed tighter and tighter — eventually, it’s going to snap back with some serious force. That’s what Bitcoin’s price has been doing over the last several months. Trading within the confines of that blue channel, BTC has been building up potential energy, and now, it looks like it’s ready to let loose. This phase of sideways movement is what traders call “accumulation” — a period where the market is gathering strength, waiting for the right moment to break free. On the chart, it’s clear that Bitcoin has now broken out of this consolidation channel, a powerful bullish signal. The Bullish Blueprint: A Classic Chart Pattern If you zoom in, you’ll notice a pattern that any technical analysis enthusiast will recognize: a series of higher highs and higher lows, reminiscent of the classic Elliott Wave structure. In simpler terms, Bitcoin is moving in an uptrend, creating stepping stones higher and higher. But this isn’t just any ordinary uptrend. The breakout from the blue trendlines suggests that Bitcoin is poised for a larger, more sustained movement. This kind of setup often signals the beginning of a new bullish phase, particularly on higher time frames. The $100,000 Target: Just Dreaming? Now, let’s address the elephant in the room: that big, green box near the $100,000 mark labeled as the take-profit zone. Yes, you read that right — six figures. This isn’t some wild, unrealistic moonshot target. Based on this chart setup and Bitcoin’s historical price patterns, $100,000 could actually be within reach. The logic here is simple. With the breakout from consolidation, Bitcoin has cleared an important resistance zone. If the current momentum holds, we could be looking at a classic “breakout and run” scenario, where prices don’t just rise but do so with conviction. Risk Management: Keeping It Smart Of course, with any trade, it’s essential to have a solid plan. This chart doesn’t just suggest a potential entry point; it also highlights a stop-loss level around the $59,982 mark. For traders, this is crucial. You want to ride the waves, but you also need a life raft if things don’t go as planned. The beauty of this setup lies in its risk-to-reward ratio. With the stop-loss in place, you know exactly how much you’re putting on the line, while the potential reward — a run toward $100,000 — could be several times that risk. Volume: The Secret Ingredient Here’s something interesting: Take a look at the volume bars at the bottom, particularly the ones marked by the red circle. Volume often tells the real story in trading. Think of it as the heartbeat of the market — when volume spikes, it means more traders are getting involved, more energy is being pumped into the move. And during the consolidation phase, if those volume spikes comes in at any point of time it will confirm us that we are in an accumulation phase, where big players were quietly positioning themselves. This accumulation phase is often the precursor to a major breakout. So when the volume starts to increase in sync with a price breakout, it’s usually a bullish sign. It means that more and more traders are putting their chips on the table, betting on higher prices. By this our priority to make ourselves in a better position will be making sure those volume bars are gaining an increment in length. Final Thoughts: A Bullish Journey Ahead? If this setup unfolds as anticipated, Bitcoin could be on the verge of an impressive rally. The structure is solid, the breakout is clear, and when the volume confirms it — we can say all signs are pointing toward a bullish continuation in the higher time frames. Of course, as with any market, there are no guarantees. But for those who believe in Bitcoin’s long-term potential, this could be a rare opportunity to catch a trend that’s been building up for months. Keep an eye on that entry point, monitor the volume, and let’s see if Bitcoin’s bullish journey toward six figures finally begins. Remember even though this doesn't mean we are already in the bullish move it feels like Bitcoin is showing all the possible bullish sentiments towards the market. That being said though we are still in an immature market in which needs a really heavy inspection and risk management tricks we need to consider that we might be seeing a further lower correction if the bears persist their position. Besides that we need the total sentiment to change in real time since we need to see a tangible movement of the volume. Hope we will be watching that in the near future since we are in a US election year. Are we ready for the ride? Buckle up — this could be the start of something big. 🚀 Stay tuned. More updates will be coming in.
Long
by cryptotalk_et
1
ARE WE HEADED FOR ALL TIME HIGHS ? MY NEXT PLAYS Bitcoin has closed above a critical trendline. Why is this trendline significant? Because it has historically acted as strong support, repeatedly rebounding price. The question now is whether we'll see a retest before reaching all-time highs or if it will surge straight to new levels. Let’s watch how the price action unfolds. For my next move, I’m looking for a retracement followed by a continuation setup. For any of these plays, I want to see a flip in structure on the 10 - 15minute chart or higher before entering. Let’s be ready! Make sure to follow for regular updates and insights! 🔔💡 🔔Enquire for 121 lessons / academy #500FOLLOWERS 🎉 #500GIVEAWAY 🎁
by Trade-Journal
1
BTC: Potential Bullish Opportunity After RetestBTCUSDT (Day Chart) Technical Analysis update Recently, BTC price broke through the broadening wedge resistance line and reached the peak resistance level of the wedge. However, the price was rejected at this peak and is now retesting the broadening wedge resistance, which may now act as support. After some consolidation around this level, we could anticipate a strong bullish move, making this an attractive buying opportunity for BTC.
Long
by HexaTrades
1
NEW IDEA FOR BTC Uncertainty in the US presidential election causes Bitcoin to fall By examining the trend in the one-hour time frame, Bitcoin is fluctuating in a descending channel, and now there is a possibility of a price decrease due to the placement of the rate below the moving averages of the ALLIGATOR indicator. In general, this scenario is reinforced that Bitcoin can decline to the support of the bottom of the channel in the range of 68067, provided that it maintains and does not record any one-hour close candle time above the resistance range of 70,558-70,236.
Short
by arongroups
1
BITCOIN: A Possible Rejection!!!BTC didn't hit the ATH but did rally as high as $73,620, aligning with our weekly analysis. The BRR pattern played out well. On the weekly timeframe, BTC needs to break above the all-time high resistance to sustain its bullish momentum. A weekly close below this resistance could result in a possible rejection. Looking at the daily timeframe, BTC is likely to face a rejection around the $68.8k to $69k range. In my next update, I'll cover altcoins, so stay tuned and trade safely. Setup for SHORT entry: ~ Entry: $72,800 to CMP. ~ Stoploss: $74,500. ~ Leverage: 10x. ~ Target: $68.8k. Do your own research and analysis before investing.
Short
by Dexter_The_Trader
1
BTC MAJOR CYCLE TOP ALMOST IN?! After Bitcoin (BTC) finally broke key resistance after 228 days, there is an opportunity to achieve a new all-time high (ATH), which I estimate could reach between $86,000 and $91,000. The current structure of BTC indicates that we are in an ending diagonal, suggesting that we are approaching the end of the current bullish trend, which has lasted for 708 days and is expected to continue for another 70-90 days. Fibonacci Targets fpr major top! Assuming we are indeed in the final wave, Fibonacci targets between -0.236 and -0.382 (based on waves 2 to 3) may come into play, unless this wave becomes extended. Given the current structure, these levels appear achievable within the ongoing cycle. Expected Correction and reversal trend After reaching these targets, I anticipate a significant decline, with a final target between $30,000 and $40,000. My main target is the golden pocket(0.618 fib), but BTC often extends to the .786 fib level ($30,000), further supporting the possibility of larger corrections. Reasons for Trend End Ending Diagonal: BTC is currently in an ending diagonal formation, which typically signifies the end of the prevailing trend. Divergence: There is a substantial bearish divergence forming on both the daily and weekly timeframes, which is almost impossible to invalidate. This divergence serves as a critical indicator of weakening momentum in the current bullish trend. Conclusion In light of current developments, BTC appears to be nearing a key peak, and the outlook for growth remains positive. However, traders should remain cautious and monitor key resistance and support levels, considering potential corrections that may follow after reaching these important Fibonacci targets. Disclaimer: ⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital.
Short
by RhinoAkaBear
1
Bitcoin will fall to 40KBitcoin just touched the $70,000 resistance and it even moved above the 29-July peak price which sits at $70,050. Does this means that $100,000 is now guaranteed? What happens now? Moving above 70,000 is definitely a major milestone and a bullish development but we would need confirmation first. It can happen that Bitcoin pierces above this level today, moves up for a few days and comes crashing back down so we wait for confirmation. ➢ Today is a Monday and the week is just getting started. If Bitcoin can stay above $70,000 by the end of the week, we can say that this resistance level has been conquered and we have a higher high and the first one in three months. ➢ If Bitcoin moves a little while above $70,000 but then move back down, we would say we have a failed breakout or bull-trap and this would give further strength to the bearish case. We see a wick above 70,000 but trading volume is still low. Wait for confirmation... Since the month is ending this week, we can look for both a weekly and monthly close above 70,000/71,000 to get a bullish confirmation. If Bitcoin fails to stay above this level, it means that the current rise is part of the previous inverted correction. There is still resistance at $72,000 (7-June) and ~$74,000 (14-March).
by n7sqn7sq
1
Bitcoin (BTC): Major Rejection On Weekly Candle!! Bitcoin showed us a good dominance of sellers near major resistance zone (where buyers failed to secure price on upper zones, resulting in a long wick). As we are seeing first conformational signs here, we are now looking for yet another weekly candle (current one) to close in red with thicker body. Once we see this confident movement, we will most likely start the major move on Bitcoin, so keep your attentions at this one!!! Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowPremium
1