Get started

Bitcoin / UST

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Markets

BTCUST trade ideas

BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new. The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply). With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future. I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale. BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022 BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
Long
by SpartaBTC
BTC: Next Big Move is Brewing – $116K Target Locked!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋 If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥 Bitcoin has been following a highly consistent rally-consolidation-breakout pattern over the last few weeks — each time breaking out with nearly +10% upside moves after forming solid accumulation zones. 📈 📊 Observational Pattern: Let’s break it down: Phase 1 (April 19–21) Accumulation range: GETTEX:82K –$84K Breakout: ~11% gain to ~$93K Phase 2 (April 25–May 7) Range: ~$91K–$94K Breakout: ~10% rally to ~$103.5K Phase 3 (Current Zone: May 9–Now) Range: ~$101K–$104K Price is consolidating, showing signs of continuation. 🧠 What the Chart is Telling Us: Bitcoin is forming a bullish continuation structure (like a stepping staircase) — a pattern often seen in strong trending markets. Each green box (marked in chart) represents a clear demand zone followed by a breakout. If this pattern repeats, we can expect a move towards $114K–$116K. Invalidation Level: A daily close below $101K would break the rising support and flip sentiment short-term bearish. ✅ Summary: Target: $114K–$116K Invalidation: Daily close < $101K ⚠️ Trade with discipline. Let the chart confirm before aping in. We’ll keep updating as the setup evolves — pin this for reference. 🧠
Long
by CoreCrypto1
BTC/USDT 4H – Bull Flag Breakout SetupA symmetrical triangle has resolved to the upside, confirming a bull flag breakout in line with the prior uptrend. Current momentum is supported by: * RSI breakout above 60 * Price above mid-Bollinger Band and 55 SMA * Breakout candle closing above triangle resistance (Yet to confirm) **Targets:** TP1: 108,000 – nearest horizontal resistance TP2: 112,700 – flagpole projection from 104.5K breakout TP3: Trailing target with 1.0% callback from breakout zone **Stop Loss:** Below triangle apex (\~103,000) or 55 SMA (\~103,480), depending on which is closer **Volume:** Still below average but RSI confirms bullish momentum. Watching for volume follow-through to confirm strength. **Wyckoff context:** Potential Phase D in a re-accumulation range, with breakout as Sign of Strength (SOS) after a spring-like consolidation. This breakout is being monitored as part of a continuation setup toward 112.7K with proper risk management in place.
Long
by BitcoinMillio18
Bitcoin Perpetual Possible Next MoveWhile Bitcoin's recent performance has been strong, technical indicators and on-chain data suggest caution. A short-term correction to the $92,000 and then to $90,000 range is possible, especially if the $100,000 support fails to hold. However, long-term fundamentals remain robust, with institutional interest and network security at high levels. Traders should monitor the given key support levels and on-chain metrics closely to navigate potential volatility in the near term.
Short
by StoXobr
BTC/USD) Make some trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) against USDT on a 4-hour timeframe using key price action concepts. Here's a breakdown of the idea conveyed: Key Elements in the Chart: 1. Support and Resistance Zones: Support Level (Yellow Boxes): Indicate areas where buying interest is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Resistance Level: Zones where selling interest is strong enough to halt upward price movement. These zones have been respected multiple times and serve as potential trade entry or exit points. 2. Breakout Strategy: The chart highlights breakout points (black circles) above resistance zones, signaling strong bullish momentum. After breaking resistance, price typically retests the zone as new support before moving higher—this is a classic breakout and retest structure. 3. Target Projection: The vertical lines represent measured move projections, likely using the height of the prior consolidation range to estimate the next move. The target point is marked around $112,559.59, indicating a bullish target following the breakout. 4. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The 200 EMA at $96,827.38 acts as dynamic support, showing the overall bullish trend is intact. 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI values (54.97 and 52.87) suggest neither overbought nor oversold conditions, implying room for further upside. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion: The analysis suggests a bullish continuation setup: BTC has broken out from a consolidation range. Retesting previous resistance as support. The bullish target is $112,559.59 based on the breakout projection. The trend remains bullish as long as price stays above the support zone and 200 EMA. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
Trader’s Metabolism : “Dragon, Well Done… Please”Trading isn’t just skill. It’s survival. And survival isn’t a phase—it’s a permanent residency. It’s 90% of the job. The other 10%? We’ll get to that when you’ve stopped bleeding. Because when the market burns you down, it doesn’t just torch your wallet. It leaves a mark. Personal. Intimate. Like an ex who knew your passwords and your childhood traumas. You don’t just lose money—parts of you are marked with an invisible highlighter and then used against you. That is the feeling. No specific term for it—it’s different for everyone, but it’s there. A delayed punch. The shock hits first, then the sting. You thought you were unfazed? Cute. It always hits. Every loss leaves a signature. You’re basically a walking hall of fame. Who’s fame though? The market makers, the "manipulators" as some may say? Of course there are traders who rise. It’s not because they cracked the code. It’s because they paid the maintenance fee. Not in dollars—but in discipline. And the only way to pay that? You keep your trading metabolism in check—at all costs. That spark of momentum? Momentum doesn’t arrive in grand gestures. It sneaks in through the absurd: • Scrubbing your stove like it insulted your ancestors. • Folding socks with military precision. • Blending kale and chia like it’s alchemical fuel that could summon capital gains. It’s ridiculous. But it’s survival. These micro-wins? They’re dopamine. Pure. Primal. When the market denies you progress, you hunt that feeling down elsewhere. Anywhere. Invisible anchors. Here’s the con: You set a goal—“By this day, I’ll hit X and I’ll buy Y.” Sounds motivational. Feels empowering. It’s not. It’s a booby-trap with your name on it. You just promised your nervous system salvation through consumerism. And when the market delays the payout? That thing you prescribed? It becomes poisonous. You’re not chasing gains—you’re fleeing your own unmet expectations. It drags. It suffocates. It taunts. Euphoria’s Dark Side: Dopamine doesn’t care if you’re building an empire or torching it. You set a magic number. You dream about the condo. You think shiny gear will fix your edge. Sure. Until it doesn’t. Then what? You start resenting dreams you haven’t bought. Blaming the strategy that wasn’t the problem. Watching motivation rot into mockery. Your trading plan looked good—right up until your emotions co-signed the exit. That trade wasn’t bad. You were. And that’s the part we don’t backtest. The Metabolic Reset: How do you fight back? You stop begging the market for meaning. You stop trading for things. You start building systems for hardcore exposure and unkind weather. Discipline becomes your operating system—one that doesn’t crash, only upgrades. We tend to address and slay the exterior dragons first: Habits. Routines. Appearance. Our environment. Don’t get me wrong, they are an absolute must. The acrobatic part is to turn inward—face the lurking dragons hidden beneath layered gates of facade in your psyche: It’s typically titled, “This is how I am”. The market doesn’t see you, let alone your dreams. However it will mirror your chaos back to you, with laser precision. Like a funhouse reflection—only it costs real money and sanity. This 2D screen you look at was built on leveraging you against yourself. Whoever made it is a sick genius who carved a niche in demand. Props to them. Diabolical. Elegant. Honestly, deserves a Netflix origin story. Maybe call it: "The Algorithm: A Love Letter to Human Delusion. Starring you… as every character.” The Fuel. This is your metabolism. Messy. Brutal. Relentless. But it’s also the separator. Between those who stay the same—and those who evolve. So kill the fantasy. Drop the anchors. Burn the wishlist. And if you ever do buy that yacht? Do Keep the AC running. Because the second you slack on overhead maintenance cost—you’re not sailing, you’re renovating… again. So when you rebuild yourself for the ninth, twentieth, seventy-fifth time…thinking, “Surely this is it. I’m done now.” You’re not. It’s infinite. Like they say, “More money, more problems…” Well, more experience? More sophisticated problems. The only thing left to do…is see yourself clearly enough that the market can’t use you against you anymore. Keep slaying. The tides do turn. Just don’t forget: dragons respawn. Craft
Education
by LCraft
BITCOIN SHORT SETUP BTC SHORT TRADE ENTRY : 105489.9 PROFIT : 102602.5 STOP : 106355.4 ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level. hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below. Disclaimer
Short
by bullstraders7
#BTC/USDT#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 104090. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 104619 First target: 105128 Second target: 106128 Third target: 107091
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Bitcoin (BTC): First Signs of WeaknessAnother week is here and we are seeing the first signs of weakness in Bitcoin, where we still haven't retested the ATHs area, yet Monday started off with strong sell-side dominance. We are seeing the need for correction and we are looking more for correctional movement here rather than forming new ATH but before the movement to lower zones, we want to see a proper retest of ATH (last push by buyers). So that's what we are looking for before we are going in with a short position. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
Understanding Williams %R In TradingThe Williams %R is a fast, sensitive momentum oscillator ideal for short-term trading strategies. It provides early signals of overbought and oversold conditions by comparing the current close to the high-low range over a defined lookback period (typically 14 bars). By understanding where Williams %R fits among other oscillators, traders can better utilize it within a well-rounded, context-aware strategy. ✅ 1. What Are Momentum Indicators? Momentum indicators are technical analysis tools used to measure the speed and strength of a price movement over time. Rather than focusing on absolute price direction, momentum indicators assess how quickly prices are changing and help traders identify potential turning points, continuation patterns, or overbought/oversold conditions. They are particularly useful in sideways or ranging markets, where momentum shifts often precede breakouts or reversals. Key characteristics of momentum indicators: Often bounded within fixed ranges (e.g., 0–100 or -100 to 0) Typically leading indicators, aiming to provide early entry/exit signals Help spot divergence between price and momentum — a common sign of weakening trends ✅ 2. Understanding the Williams %R Indicator ≫ The Origin: Developed by Larry Williams The Williams %R indicator was developed by Larry Williams, a renowned trader and author, in the late 1970s. Williams introduced this tool to identify potential market turning points by measuring a security’s momentum relative to its recent high-low range. Originally intended for short-term futures trading, the indicator has since become a staple for both day traders and swing traders across various markets, including stocks, forex, and crypto. Larry Williams famously used this indicator in his trading system when he won the 1987 World Cup Trading Championship, turning $10,000 into over $1 million in a single year—demonstrating its real-world impact when used effectively. ≫ Formula Breakdown The Williams %R formula is as follows: Williams %R= = (HighestHigh − Close) / (HighestHigh - LowerLow) × −100 Highest High = The highest price over the lookback period (typically 14 periods) Lowest Low = The lowest price over the same lookback period Close = The current closing price This formula normalizes the current price within its recent trading range and expresses it as a negative percentage between 0 and -100. Example: If price is at the highest point in the range → %R = 0 (overbought) If price is at the lowest point in the range → %R = -100 (oversold) This inverted scale (compared to RSI) helps traders see how close the current price is to the top or bottom of the recent range, providing clues about potential reversal zones. Williams %R in Pinescript: //@version=5 indicator("Custom Williams %R", overlay=false) length = input.int(14, title="Period") highestHigh = ta.highest(high, length) lowestLow = ta.lowest(low, length) williamsR = (highestHigh - close) / (highestHigh - lowestLow) \* -100 plot(williamsR, title="%R", color=color.purple) hline(-20, "Overbought", color=color.red) hline(-80, "Oversold", color=color.green) ≫ Key Settings: 14-Period Default and Customizations The default setting for Williams %R is 14 periods, which Larry Williams originally recommended. However, this lookback period can be customized based on your trading style and timeframe. Here’s how different settings can be applied: ❖ Intraday Trading (5-minute to 15-minute charts): Use a 9 to 14-period setting for faster, more responsive signals. Ideal for scalpers or short-term traders seeking quick entries and exits. ❖ Swing Trading (1-hour to Daily charts): Stick with the standard 14 to 21-period range. Balances sensitivity and reliability; helps capture short- to mid-term reversals. ❖ Position/Long-Term Trading (Weekly charts or higher): Use 21-period or longer to smooth out signals and reduce noise. Best for spotting high-conviction turning points with less frequent trades. 🔁 Customization Tip: You can also use multiple %R settings (e.g., 14 and 50) together to analyze short-term momentum inside longer-term trend cycles, adding depth and context to your strategy. ≫ Interpretation: Overbought and Oversold Conditions The Williams %R scale ranges from 0 to -100 and is interpreted as follows: ❖ Overbought: %R above -20 Indicates that price is near the top of its recent range Suggests potential for a pullback or reversal downward ❖ Oversold: %R below -80 Indicates price is near the bottom of its recent range Suggests potential for a bounce or reversal upward ⚠️ Important: Overbought does not mean “time to sell” and oversold does not mean “time to buy.” These are conditions, not signals. Use them with confirmation tools like support/resistance zones, candlestick patterns, volume analysis, divergences and more. ✅ 3. Using Williams %R Effectively ≫ Entry Signals Williams %R can be used to time entries based on shifts in momentum, especially around key overbought and oversold zones. ❖ Overbought/Oversold Reversals This is the most common use of Williams %R - identifying turning points when price reaches extreme levels in its recent range: Overbought Zone (above -20): Signals potential bearish reversal Look for confluence with resistance levels or bearish candlestick patterns Confirmation often comes as %R drops back below -20 Oversold Zone (below -80): Indicates a possible bullish reversal Stronger when aligned with support or demand zones Confirmation often comes when %R climbs back above -80 ⚠️ Note: These are signals of potential exhaustion, not guaranteed reversals. Always pair with price action context or volume. ❖ Pullback Continuations Williams %R can also support trend-following strategies by identifying momentum retracements within an ongoing trend: In an uptrend, wait for Williams %R to dip below -80 (short-term oversold) and then re-enter above -80 as the trend resumes In a downtrend, look for a rally where %R rises above -20 (short-term overbought), then re-enters below -20 to confirm trend continuation This technique helps you buy the dip or sell the rally with better timing and risk control. ≫ Exit Signals Williams %R can also guide exit timing by showing when momentum is weakening, especially as price moves away from extremes. ❖ Returning to Neutral Zones When Williams %R moves back toward the -50 midpoint, it can signal that the current move is losing steam. In a long position, if %R returns from oversold to above -50 but then flattens or dips again, it may be time to take profit In a short position, if %R rises from overbought back below -50, it suggests selling pressure is decreasing Exiting before full reversals can help you lock in gains while reducing risk exposure. ❖ Crossovers at Extremes Some traders look for quick crossovers back through key thresholds (-80 and -20) as exit or reversal alerts: If %R drops from above -20 back below it, the overbought condition may be ending If %R rises from below -80 back above it, the oversold condition may be ending These sharp shifts often precede momentum flips, making them useful for both exit timing and new trade setups in the opposite direction. ❖ False Signal Filtering Techniques Williams %R can produce false signals, especially in trending or volatile markets. To improve signal quality, consider these filters: Use with Trend Filters: Apply moving averages (e.g., 50- or 200-period MA) to define trend direction and avoid counter-trend trades Only trade overbought signals in a downtrend and oversold signals in an uptrend Add Price Action Confirmation: Look for candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bars) or support/resistance reactions before acting on %R signals Volume Analysis: Confirm signals with volume spikes or divergences to validate strength or weakness in a move Multiple Timeframe Confluence: Use Williams %R on a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H or daily) to establish the broader context, then align trades on a lower timeframe Avoid during High Volatility Events: News releases and earnings reports can create erratic spikes that cause misleading %R readings ❖ Best Market Conditions: Ranging vs Trending Markets Williams %R performs best under specific market conditions. Understanding when to use it—and when to avoid it—is key to success. Ranging Markets: Ideal Conditions Williams %R excels in sideways or consolidating markets In ranges, price frequently oscillates between support and resistance, making overbought/oversold signals highly effective Reversals from the -20 or -80 zones often align with the top and bottom of a trading range Trending Markets: Use With Caution During strong trends, Williams %R can stay in the overbought or oversold zone for extended periods This makes reversal signals less reliable and more prone to false exits In trending conditions, it’s better to: Use Williams %R for pullback entries Combine it with a trend filter to stay on the dominant side of momentum ✅ 4. Optimizing the Period Setting (5, 9, 14, 21, etc.) The length of the lookback period in Williams %R significantly affects signal behavior: Shorter periods (5, 9): Produce faster, more frequent signals Best for scalping and intraday trading More sensitive but can result in higher noise and false signals Default period (14): Balanced responsiveness Suitable for swing trading and multi-hour charting Longer periods (21+): Generate fewer but more stable signals Best for position trading or slower-moving markets Reduced noise but may lag in volatile conditions 🔍 To optimize: Test various period values under consistent rules (e.g., entry/exit and risk management stay the same) Compare outcomes across different market environments (trending, ranging, volatile) ✅ 4. Key Takeaways Williams %R is a momentum oscillator that measures the close relative to the recent high-low range on a scale from 0 to -100. It was developed by Larry Williams to help identify short-term overbought and oversold market conditions. A reading above -20 suggests overbought conditions, while a reading below -80 indicates oversold conditions. The default 14-period setting balances signal responsiveness and stability for most traders. Shorter periods generate faster signals with more noise, while longer periods produce smoother signals with more lag. Williams %R works best in ranging or sideways markets rather than strongly trending environments. Traders can use %R for reversal signals or to confirm pullbacks within a broader trend. Filtering signals with price action, support/resistance, or volume improves accuracy. The indicator is not meant to be used in isolation and requires confirmation before acting on signals. Backtesting across different timeframes and period settings is essential for identifying optimal usage. Performance metrics such as win rate, R:R ratio, and drawdown help evaluate the indicator’s reliability. Williams %R is easy to code and automate in platforms like TradingView using Pine Script. The indicator adds value when used as part of a broader, disciplined trading system. Williams %R is a simple yet deeply insightful momentum oscillator. While often overlooked in favor of more complex indicators, it provides a unique lens into market sentiment and price extremes. Its greatest strength lies in its clarity — helping traders time entries and exits with greater confidence when paired with context.
Education
by CandelaCharts
BTC – Distribution Denied. Reaccumulation Confirmed? Timeframes: 1H (breakout retest) | 1D (macro continuation) ⸻ Updated Context BTC invalidated the LPSY scenario on 1H: • Price broke above the golden pocket (0.618–0.66) • Also cleared the symmetrical triangle range high • Now retesting the breakout with declining volume = classic reaccumulation behavior The earlier 1H structure mimicked distribution, but failed to follow through. There was no markdown — instead, price reclaimed the range. ⸻ Daily Chart Support • Second daily close above triangle apex • RSI > 70 (currently ~70.3) → sustained bullish momentum • Yesterday’s candle: long lower wick + above-average volume = demand stepping in • Structure is building above $100K, which had been a major psychological barrier since Dec 2024 ⸻ $100K – The New Base BTC has tested and reclaimed $100K multiple times (Dec, Jan, May). Now it’s acting as a macro accumulation floor, not resistance. The longer price holds above this zone, the higher the probability of explosive continuation. ⸻ Next Levels to Watch • Support (retest): 105.3–105.8K • Validation: Strong 1H or daily close above 107.1K • Targets: Upper BB (109.3K), then psychological round number → 110K ⸻ Conclusion The bearish 1H thesis is now invalid. BTC is above the range, retesting it, with macro structure and momentum on its side. This is how reaccumulations trap early shorts and fuel the next markup. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Reaccumulation #Wyckoff #Breakout #100K #TriangleBreakout #BTCUSDT #PriceAction
Long
by BitcoinMillio18
BTC Medium Term and Local Work for 2025 18 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Everything is shown extremely accurately, according to technical analysis, logic based on cyclical repetition, and liquidity consolidation zones as a result of price and trading movements. This trading idea, with precise reversal zones and targets, will last you for 31 weeks. That is, for 7 months. The previous trading idea BTC/USD Triangle. Medium-term and local work , published on 7 06 2024, it lasted me almost 1 year. It has 63 local work updates (I don't spam with new trading ideas on principle). So, nothing will get lost, you can follow everything, read, possibly use it as training material on a live chart, as a whole explanation of local work, what is really happening on the market, profit/loss potential, always before the price movement, and not after the fact. I show what is, that is, a chart and potential work from the position of a trader, not a crypto marketer. 🟣 Local and medium urgent now 1️⃣💸 The bullish triangle itself (which is not there yet, I have depicted it on the chart for you) acts as a stop and consolidation zone (zone “psychology 100”, reset in trend No. 1). This is the easiest to manipulate and the most probable scenario. This will just be the summer consolidation. Instead of it, there may be: 2️⃣💸 Rising wedge , but more in shape like a triangle (essentially a wedge, there is a meaning of a triangle, but it was formed on aggressive pump news), with a large short liquidity takeout, and not very good logic of the TA movement after that... But, this is a bullish scenario, although quite aggressive. 3️⃣ Working out the bearish targets of the triangle (non-corrective price movement within its canvas). Stopping the decline in the designated zone and reversal upward (continuation of the trend). I emphasize the importance of not fixing the price below the zone of targets of the local corrective decline, which will not break the trend. 4️⃣💸 Double top (or triple). Double top as in 2021 in the distribution zone. This is the least likely scenario, but the most negative, as it breaks the trend. But, this is the least likely scenario, primarily because of the altcoins. Altcoins in 2021 and now. 4️⃣In 2021, when Bitcoin formed a double top, they (altcoins) were in “space”, that is, in their distribution zones (+500-1000% of the average price of the set). 🔽Now everything is the other way around, they are in capitulation zones (most of them) or in their long-term accumulation channels : Liquid -90-93% Medium liquid -93-96% Low liquid -96-98% or some are already scams or on the verge of it... Some altcoins have pumped up earlier. That is, they left their long-term accumulation zones earlier. For example: SUN, XRP, DOGE, PEPE, SOL and so on... But there are very few of them, as distributing (raising the price, holding it and selling, inspiring to buy expensive when everything is cheap) in a bearish altcoin trend is very irrational, and you need a lot of money to go against the general market trend. Main trend (most of it, chart since Binance Exchange foundation) for clarity on a large time frame of this local zone for work. BTC Primary trend. Secondary — expanding triangle.
Long
by SpartaBTC