Get started

Bitcoin / UST

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Markets

BTCUST trade ideas

June 12, 2025 Historical Comparison Analysis [Wave Analysis]No one knows tomorrow but what if??? Here, we have a historical comparison between December 07, 2020 to June 13, 2022, and January 22, 2024 to present day. December 07, 2020 to November 08, 2021: • Uptrend • Flag (retracement) • Uptrend continuation • Range • Downtrend • Range (W or Double bottom pattern) • Uptrend • Flag (retracement) • Uptrend continuation November 08, 2021 to June 13, 2022: • Downtrend • Flag (retracement) • Downtrend continuation January 22, 2024 to May 19, 2025: • Uptrend • Flag (retracement) • Uptrend continuation • Range • Downtrend • Range (W or Double bottom pattern) • Uptrend May 19, 2025 to present day: • ....... JUST WHAT IF HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF
Short
by MaestroPee
BTCUSD – Range Scalping Zones IdentifiedPrice tapped into a previous short zone near 108.6 and showed rejection. We’re watching for downside follow-through toward the 104.2 to 104.5 range where a potential long opportunity may form. This chart outlines clean range-based levels for scalping. These zones line up with prior liquidity sweeps and local structure shifts. Scalpers can look to react at these levels depending on how price behaves when we get there. Ideal for traders on lower timeframes like the 15m, but the concept applies across intraday setups. Always wait for confirmation before entering.
by RickyTSpanish
STOP LOSS LESSONI want to share my opinion about stop-losses. I don’t use them, because very often the stop gets triggered — and then the price moves in the right direction, but you're no longer in the trade. I do it differently: I set a take-profit, but no stop-loss. Let’s say I have $1000, and I enter a short with $100. The price would have to increase 10 times to get me liquidated. A 2–3% drawdown is acceptable, especially in an overbought market. So why would I use a stop? Trade with small amounts — and everything will be fine. You won’t lose money. If you're looking for excitement, go to a casino — the odds are better there. In trading, you need to be careful and stay calm. From my experience, technical analysis often doesn't work. Thanks for your attention. #stoploss
Long
by arztraderofficial
The FVG above isn’t the target. It’s the bait.This is a classic Smart Money sequence. Most are watching the imbalance at 106.5k–108.7k and expecting immediate delivery. But that’s not how this game works. The setup: Price broke down violently, then reversed with momentum — stopping right beneath the daily FVG block. That alone tells me it’s not ready. It’s gathering. Below? Multiple fib levels that haven’t been tested — 104.4k (0.236), 102.6k (0.0), and a volume-backed rejection wick that still holds weight. The market is likely to dip again — pull into deeper discount, reset the low timeframe narrative — and only then attack the FVG and upper sweep zones. What I expect: Sweep of 102.6k (final liquidity run) Reaction → reclaim 104.4k Push into the FVG toward 106.5k (0.5) and possibly 107.4k (0.618) No emotional reaction to the red candles — this is structure playing out, not weakness unfolding. Plan: Ideal Entry: 102.8k–103.2k range SL: Below 102.6k TP1: 105.6k TP2: 107.4k Final: 108.7k clean inefficiency fill Let it dip. Let it breathe. That’s where conviction is built. Final thought: “The real move starts when they convince you it’s done.”
by SmartFlowst
BTC 4H. $104K or Bust — Critical BTC Moment! 06/13/25BINANCE:BTCUSDT remains in a sideways range between $110,336 – $101,297. The main trading volume is concentrated around $103,907. Recently, the price reached the upper boundary of the range at $110,336 and sharply declined from there — confirming the strength of resistance. The drop was intensified by negative geopolitical news (Israel–Iran tensions). As a result, BTC retraced into the $104,185 – $101,297 demand zone — a potential area where buyers might step in again. Personally, I expect one more dip into the $104,185 – $101,297 range to test the strength of buyers. ⚠️ If negative news continues, a breakdown below $100,349 and a new local low is possible. DYOR.
Short
by trendbooster
BTCUSDT Re-Test Complete Bullish Continuation Back in PlayAs anticipated in the previous analysis, BTC has successfully completed the projected retest of the $100,000–$101,000 zone. The price action within this region confirmed strong demand and validated it as a key structural support. With the retest fulfilled and buyers stepping back in, the bullish continuation structure remains intact. We now shift focus toward the next upside targets around $123,420, $136,000, and $149,450, which form the anticipated confluence resistance zone for this current bullish cycle. So long as price continues to hold above the $100K structure, market sentiment remains constructive. Any decisive break below this zone would warrant a re-evaluation of the short-term bias. Stay sharp and manage risk accordingly. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
Long
by weslad
8
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #113👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indexes. As usual in this analysis, I’ll walk you through the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see in the one hour timeframe, Bitcoin has continued its upward movement and reached the 110256 level and is now undergoing a correction. ✔️ If the price continues correcting, the next support level will be 108777. In case of a deeper pullback, the next area to watch is 106586. 📈 For a long position, our first trigger level is 110256, with a target of 111747. 📊 Market volume is currently increasing, and if this inflow of buy volume continues, the probability of a bullish move increases. 💥 The RSI oscillator has dropped below the 70 level. If RSI reenters the overbought zone, we’ll also get a strong momentum confirmation. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s take a look at Bitcoin Dominance. Today, it finally closed below the 64.49 level and has dropped to 64.12. ⚡️ This drop has allowed capital to flow into altcoins, and many of them are moving upward today. If 64.12 breaks, the downtrend may continue. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to Total2, this index finally broke above the 1.21 level and is now heading toward 1.24. 💫 At the moment, there is no major resistance preventing the market from continuing its upward trend. But there’s an important point regarding USDT Dominance, which I’ll cover below. 📅 USDT.D Analysis During this bullish move in the market, the dominance of Tether hit the support at 4.56, while other indexes and most altcoins activated their triggers. 🔑 The key point here is that Tether Dominance has such a significant influence on the market that the inability to break this support has caused the entire market, including Bitcoin, to start correcting. 🔽 The 4.56 level in USDT Dominance is very important and will be the key to triggering the next bullish leg. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
6
Bitcoin’s Final Wave & Time Reversal Zone _ New ATH Loading?Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the weekly time frame and answer these questions : Can Bitcoin create a new All-time High(ATH) or not!? At what price range can Bitcoin's uptrend end!? When can we expect the uptrend to end!? Please stay with me. Bitcoin appears to have managed to break the Resistance lines , although we saw a fake break a few months ago , and it also appears to have a Hammer Candlestick Pattern in the previous weekly candle , which could signal the completion of Bitcoin's pullback to the Resistance lines(broken). In terms of time , if we want to analyze the Bitcoin chart and look at Bitcoin's past, in general, the months of June(Average=-0.13%/Median=+2.20%) and especially July(Average=+7.56%/Median=+8.90%) have been among the most productive months for Bitcoin , and the months of August(Average=+1.75%/Median=-8.04%) and September(Average=-3.77%/Median=-4.35%) were the months when Bitcoin had a correction . Technical analysis tools show the end of the upward trend and the beginning of Bitcoin's correction at the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing the main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was extended . I expect Bitcoin to trend higher(+10%) in the coming weeks and create a new ATH . New ATH could be created in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and TRZ , and then we can wait for the start of the main correction . What do you think about Bitcoin’s future movement? Can Bitcoin create a new ATH? When and at what price? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
33
BTCUSDT Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsToday's overall BTC market rebounded after hitting a low of 102,614 in the early trading session, with Bitcoin's price maintaining a slow upward trend throughout the day. The intraday high reached 105,912 but encountered resistance. As the weekend approaches, historical market data shows limited volatility during weekends, so range-bound fluctuations are expected for the weekend. From the current overall market rhythm, the price has rebounded slightly today after the previous decline. The hourly chart shows consecutive upward candles, though the price movement remains relatively slow. As time progresses, the price is expected to sustain an upward trend after pullbacks, and breaking through the short-term resistance level is only a matter of time. In terms of short-term structure and pattern, despite slight resistance and minor pullbacks, the downward momentum has weakened. We can still focus on long positions at lower levels, paying attention to the 106,000 resistance level. BTCUSD buy@104000-104500 tp:106000-107000 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Long
by EvanField
BTC – 15min Reversal Structure & Fibonacci ReclaimWe’re currently witnessing a potential short-term reversal on BTC’s lower timeframe after a volume-supported breakdown and sweep of local lows. 🔍 Key Observations: Price swept liquidity at local lows (~103,929.27) Entered into a clear reaccumulation box with responsive buyers Volume profile shows prior POC just above – room for fill Fibonacci retracement aligns with key structure: 0.5 = 104,372.94 0.618 = 104,268.23 1.0 = 104,816.60 (final high target for this impulse) 📈 Potential Play: Entry Zone: Just above the sweep candle (104,100–104,200) Target 1: 0.382 at 104,477 Target 2: 104,816.60 Invalidation: Close below 103,926 🧠 Mindset: This is a classic liquidity sweep → reaction → reclaim pattern. If BTC flips the 0.5 level with strong momentum, a short squeeze toward the 104.8K area becomes likely. Great opportunity for scalpers or day traders. Let me know if you want this turned into a long-form breakdown or sent in another format.
by SmartFlowsI
BTC H4 Range Play: Patience Until One Side Breaks✅ Price contracting within well-defined H4 range ✅ Clear lower highs and higher lows — coiled, ready to break either side ⚠️ FOMC incoming — possible volatility/surprise rate cut rumors 🎯 Trading Plan: Short Setup: If price spikes RH ($105,500) and H4 FVG (~$106,000), then re-accepts back inside the range Entry on confirmation back below RH/FVG Target: RL ($103,300) and $102,600 Stop: Above $106,300 Long Setup: If RL ($103,300) or $102,600 gets swept then reclaimed (M15/H1 SFP or strong reclaim) Entry on confirmation reclaim of RL/W Target: RH ($105,500) and beyond Stop: Below $102,200 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Only enter trades on confirmed sweeps/reclaims or acceptance back inside after spike No trade if price stays in chop between levels 📝 Order Placement & Management: Sell Limit: $105,500–$106,000 🛡️ Stop: $106,300 🎯 Target: $103,300 / $102,600 Buy Limit (on sweep/reclaim): $102,600 🛡️ Stop: $102,200 🎯 Target: $105,500 / $106,000 🚨 Risk Warning: Market coiled — can rinse either side FOMC could be a catalyst; manage risk, don’t overtrade
by Goldfinch_song
BTC Weekly BOX breakout or possible false breakoutWe have BTC setting up a nice weekly consolidation box, with candle closes consistently holding above the previous weekly ATH resistance. Multiple Doji closes indicate consolidation and compression. At the bottom of the box, we’ve seen strong reversals with high volume. The 4H chart is consistently defending the 200 EMA, supporting the idea that the daily trend remains strong — although direction is currently unclear. Is distribution happening? It’s not easy to short just yet. We might still see a false breakout, position filling, and then a return to the box range. I’d be interested in a swing short if that happens — especially if the weekly candle closes with high volume and signals a reversal, indicating a potential bearish shift on the daily chart. Let’s keep in mind that June is historically weak, especially during the last two weeks. On the long side, I’ll only be looking for entries after a daily break of structure (BOS). Does not need to goes to the highs, we could drop below 100K if we lose box range low with a MSB. Interesting days ahead — patience is key, as we currently don’t have many high-probability setups.
by sabinaGM
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
BTCUSDT Long-Term Roadmap: From Capitulation to a $310K BreakoutAfter a confirmed breakdown from both the ascending trendline and the horizontal support near $110,000, BTCUSDT has entered a bearish phase. However, the projected green candles in your forecast suggest a long-term recovery structure—a potential accumulation phase, followed by a breakout cycle toward a new all-time high at $310K. 📈 Long-Term Phases in the Projection: 1. Phase One: Capitulation & Accumulation (~$65K–$90K) BTC breaks down below $100K, potentially finding support between $65K and $90K. This becomes a classic accumulation zone, where smart money begins to position. Volatility decreases, and price action flattens while volume builds. 2. Phase Two: Recovery & Structure Break (~$105K–$110K reclaim) Price reclaims the broken support at $105K–$110K, now acting as resistance. A successful flip of this level into support signals the start of a new bullish cycle. Market sentiment starts to shift from fear to cautious optimism. 3. Phase Three: Expansion Phase ($110K → $180K) Once past $110K, BTC enters a momentum-driven rally. Important psychological levels like $120K, $150K, and $180K are reached. Institutions and retail FOMO begin re-entering the market. 4. Phase Four: Mid-Cycle Reaccumulation (~$180K–$210K) BTC consolidates in a wide range, forming a reaccumulation base. This becomes the launchpad for the final parabolic leg upward. Market disbelief turns into euphoria. 5. Phase Five: Parabolic Rally to $310K Once $230K–$250K resistance is cleared, BTC enters parabolic mode. Targeting the macro top at $310,000, aligning with a future cycle peak (likely post-halving cycle). Could happen within 12–24 months, depending on macro and cycle momentum. 🔍 Key Technical Conditions to Watch: Successful reclaim of $110K on high timeframe (weekly close) Formation of a higher low above $90K Volume confirmation during breakout of $150K and $180K Break and hold above $230K confirms macro breakout
Long
by NakamotoZzzz
HTF Consolidation: Key Alerts, Vital Supports, FOMC & Geopolitic__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Strong bullish signal across sector indicators (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator), especially on daily and 12H. Momentum remains robust within consolidation. Support/Resistance : Key zone at 104429–102600 (short- and long-term pivots); major resistance at 106000–109950. Volume : Normal to high, with peaks at major supports on 1H/2H (potential sign of absorption/defensive buying). Behavior across timeframes : ISPD neutral on most TFs, only 2H gives a buy signal (possible tactical bounce). All LTFs (≤1H) are down, HTFs (≥1D) are up → corrective structure, awaiting catalyst. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall bias : Underlying bullish, but market consolidates on key technical zones. Opportunities : Swing buy at 104429/102600, tight stop below 100k, take profit 109950+. Risk zones : Clear break below 100350/100000 invalidates the setup (risk-off or tactical short). Macro catalysts : FOMC, Iran–Israel tensions, economic calendar (monitor Jobless Claims, Crude, Fed statement). Action plan : Capital preservation before FOMC. Tactical entries only on key support; tight stops, prudent sizing. No breakout chasing without macro/fundamental validation. Hedge/volatility play via options possible (IV low, caution for post-event spike). __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D/12H/6H : Supports: 104429, 102626, 100353. Resistances: 106000–109952. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Strong Buy. No extreme volume, ISPD neutral; mature range. HTF consolidation, bullish underlying momentum. 4H/2H : Key zone at 104429–102600 (technical defense); 2H is the first true behavioral buy signal. Very high volume at support, favoring a "spike bounce" scenario. “Up” confluence on Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, volume, and ISPD for short-term bounce. MTFTI: 2H is one of the “Up” TFs; LTFs remain Down. 1H/30min/15min : Structurally bearish, elevated volume (absorption/protection) on 1H. No behavioral excesses. Intraday weakness but supports tested and defended. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro / Fundamental analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ Market in wait-and-see mode : FOMC upcoming, no hike expected but high impact from tone/forward guidance (increased volatility risk). Geopolitics : Iran–Israel escalation, risk-off climate, nervous risk assets. On-chain : Supports tested (STH ~97.6k). Persistent LTH accumulation. Low option IV → underpriced volatility risk. Risk/Reward swing : 2:1/3:1 buying 104429–102600, stop < 100k, take profit 109950+. __________________________________________________________________________________ Final synthesis: Bias, Opportunities, Risks __________________________________________________________________________________ Directional bias : Bullish on HTF, neutral/undecided on short-term. Wait-and-see until strong catalyst confirmed (FOMC, geopolitical de-escalation). Opportunities : Tactical buy on supports, profit-taking on resistance or confirmed breakout. Risks : Invalidation below 100k; sudden spike in FOMC/Israel–Iran escalation = risk-off or selloff. Recommended action : Protect capital before FOMC. Swing tactical entry only on confirmed support. No breakout chasing without macro validation. Leverage potential post-FOMC vol spike via options.
Long
by Ox_kali
Bitcoin to revisit $100k | Summer price target = $120kGeopolitical tension is causing fear in the markets. Today, Bitcoin fell from $107.7k to current price $105k with no sign of buyer support whatsoever, printing 11 consecutive H1 red candles intraday. Like a hot knife through butter. At $105k, there is very little support. Sell volume absolutely overshadowed the tiny buy volume. Bulls have yet to close a green candle. I believe in the next few hours Bitcoin will be trading at $104k, followed by the first stop $102k. $102k can serve as an entry point, depending on how price reacts. $100k is the optimal entry point for maximum profit, after mass liquidations. Retail traders are confident that the liquidity hunt is over after the initial tap, placing stops and liquidation levels at $100k. Invalidation level will be beyond the 200SMA. The 200SMA have historically proven itself time and time again as a safe zone during rallies after golden crosses.
Long
by gunhy
BTC: Daily Timeframe 14/06/25Spot buyer again ~ $93k aka 0.5 retrace of the weekly leg Higher timeframes swept (ATH) with confirmed deviation. Expecting a corrective to continue healthy trend before more bullish continuation If we set a lower high on the weekly, that’ll flip my bias and a far deeper corrective leg would be likely. Right now long term BTC is the only crypto coin I hold as long term conviction remains unchanged its direction is up and to the right for many years to come.
by Ryn8111