Check if it can rise along the rising channel
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is until April 30th.
The point to watch is whether it can rise along the newly created trend line (4) or whether it can rise along the rising channel consisting of trend lines (2) ~ (4).
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If it falls near Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28), it seems likely that a new HA-High indicator on the 1D chart will be created.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether there is support near it.
That is, we need to check whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 3 (92026.52) ~ 3.14 (93570.28).
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the trend line (2).
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The next volatility period is around May 19.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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BTCUST trade ideas
BTC is Still A Correction.BTC is in good rally these days, but my believe is that it is still in a correction.
I am not 100% confident in wavecount, but I am confident that BTC is not done correcting until it has gone down to somewhere between 62.500 - 52.500.
If the rally BTC is currently in, I believe we are seeing a flat, and I will correct my count accordingly.. But right now I'm seeing a W-X-Y-X-Z correction.
Be careful, and do not bet on BTC is rallying to a million just yet ;)
For now I believe there will be good odds for following the white line I've drawn on the chart.
BTC - BIG WEEK!Last week there was clear evidence of big purchases being made on the spot market, notably on coinbase.
The question we're forced to ask ourselves here is: was this the start of a longer duration trend, or is it a one-off and should we expect some level of mean reversion next?
Comparing it to other instances, there is only one in the last year where price really kept trending like this: The November post election rally.
If we map out what that price action would look like here (blue), we can expect the 91.5k low to hold and look for a HL somewhere in the H4 trend area. If trend is strong, I would not expect this to trade below the small range poc here for long, or even at all. That level is sitting at around 93.4k, which is also the previous weekly range VAL and yearly open. If we get a sweep of the highs and price is again failing to make a LL but consolidates in the 95k area, we can expect some expansion higher still.
That is not to say we can pull back deeper and still rally after, I'm just projecting November price action on the current chart.
If we do get a pullback, it means we lost H4 trend so we look at EMA 100 and 200 next. These line up with the lower range VAH and filling the higher imbalance. It is already a lot less bullish, but I would look for a reaction there anyway. 88.5-9k is probably the line in the sand there.
Any acceptance back below the 10-200 ema cluster, then we get back into lower range VA and expect rotation to at least poc. Honestly I'd think we rotate all the way to VAL and clean up all the imbalances, possibly correct the equal lows at 74k.
I have no real bias as to what we're about to get. Blue seems like an easily invalidated play, so I'm playing that one but at the same time try to fish for top shorts in case we do get a bigger rotation down. Either I get stopped on the long and play for a big move down, or I get stopped on the shorts and look for expansion towards 100k.
Bitcoin short from 102k regionPreparing for short at around that region.
102k-105k is a short region for me. I will most likely exit 50% from the markets.
I think summer will be just like any other summer season. Bleed and not much volatility . Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 will most likely be bullish.
Lets see what markets will offer this year.
BTCUSDT Analysis – Breakout and Key Zones!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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Let's analyse BTC on the daily timeframe:
Bitcoin has broken out from its falling wedge pattern, signaling a strong shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Key Observations:
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke above the wedge with solid bullish candles, showing buyer strength.
Support Reclaim: The zone around 86,500 – 88,000 has flipped from resistance to strong support.
Next Resistance: Currently trading below 94,000 – 95,900, which is a major resistance zone to watch. A break and close above this could push BTC toward 100K psychological level.
Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 86,500 – 87,000, 90,522
Immediate Resistance: 94,000 – 95,900
Breakout Target: 100,200+
Strategy Suggestion:
If price retests the 90,400 – 87,000 zone and holds, it could offer a strong risk-reward entry for continuation toward 100K. Watch for rejection or consolidation signs near the current resistance.
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
Can #BTC break through the heavy resistance zone?📊Can #BTC break through the heavy resistance zone?
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in an overlapping resistance zone. We are currently testing the upper edge of the heavy resistance zone again. If we cannot successfully break through, we should be wary of further pullbacks. If we fall below the low near 92,800 and establish a short structure, then we will look for short opportunities after the rebound.
➡️If we continue to break through the previous high, it means that the bullish power is still continuing. Be patient and wait for the pullback opportunity after breaking through the high to appear before looking for entry opportunities.
➡️My short position was reduced by 80% after reaching TP2, and the stop loss was moved down, so the long position hit the breakeven point and was closed. If you don’t move the SL down, you can try to use a small position to expect a scenario where you can’t break through.
Let’s see 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Flipped the Trend Line📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC keeps the $91 500 level.
● While it holds, the chart still points to $98 000 then $108 000.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US spot-ETFs took in $591 M on 28 Apr, extending a six-day inflow streak that topped $3 B for the week.
● MicroStrategy added 15 355 BTC at ~$92 737, lifting corporate demand.
● Network hashrate set a 1 ZH/s ATH, underscoring security.
● Exchange balances sit at a seven-year low as coins move to cold storage.
● DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down.
✨ Summary
Persistent ETF inflows, corporate accumulation, record hashrate, shrinking float and a weaker USD reinforce the bullish setup; staying above $91 500 supports a run to $98–100 k.
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$BTC - Weekend OutlookBitcoin just tapped into the major overhead supply zone 95k, which corresponds to the breakdown origin of the previous range.
Notably, we observed the highest Coinbase premium in recent sessions, signaling aggressive spot-driven demand. However, a sell wall is starting to build around 95k and 97k, suggesting that short-term sellers are positioning here.
Key support to watch : the 88k–86k range, which marks the recent breakout base and vwap.
Holding this zone would validate the breakout structure and set the stage for further continuation to the upside. Failure to hold likely triggers a deeper retest toward mid-range levels.
Expect volatility over the weekend as price oscillates between overhead supply and this critical breakout support.
BTC-----Sell around 92600 area, target 91800-91500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 24: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to rise, the price was at a high level, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. The general trend is still rising, but after yesterday's price surged, it did not continue this morning but began to retreat under pressure. This is a correction. The four-hour chart K-line continued to be negative, and the price was near the moving average pressure level. In this way, the decline should be seen first during the day. The short-cycle hourly chart started from yesterday's European session. The price continued to fluctuate at a high level. The price began to retreat under pressure in Asian time. The current K-line pattern is a single positive line with a continuous negative line, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, and the strength of the four-hour chart has not yet come out.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 92600, stop loss in the 93100 area, and target the 91800-91500 area;
Here is the analysis of your BTC/USDT 1D chart. BTC/USDT – 1D Chart Analysis
Golden Cross Replay?
Two important moving averages in play:
50-day MA (red): ~84,341
200-day MA (green): ~88,546
Earlier in the chart (circled on the left), BTC broke above both MAs, starting a strong bullish rally towards $120K.
We are potentially seeing a repeat of that pattern now
Breakout Confirmation
The price broke out of the descending triangle pattern (black trendline) — a bullish signal.
Strong breakout volume (green arrow) indicates conviction.
A retest of the breakout level (yellow area) at ~$92,000–$93,000 as support could confirm continuation.
Key Levels
Support: FWB:88K –$90K
Breakout Zone: ~ GETTEX:92K
Target Zone: $110K–$120K range if momentum continues
Golden Cross-like structure forming again
Downtrend resistance broken
Retest at horizontal resistance in progress
Look for confirmation of holding above the yellow zone to target higher levels
@CRYPTOSANDERS always provides crisp chart alpha.
NFA – DYOR
Share your thoughts or setups!
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle📈
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in an overlapping resistance zone. We failed to fall further yesterday to build a short structure, but continued to digest the selling pressure here in a sideways consolidation manner. Today, we attacked the heavy resistance area near 95,000 again. Only by breaking through this area can we start the surge mode.
➡️From the perspective of wave theory, there is another opportunity to form a bullish wolf wave here, which also represents a signal that the trend is about to end.
➡️From a morphological perspective, an ascending triangle has formed here, and it has now broken upward. We can expect more gains to appear.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin needs additional buying momentumBitcoin Technical Update
Bitcoin has broken above the descending trendline, entering a bullish phase 📈.
Currently, BTC is approaching a major supply zone between $95,600 and $96,800 🟥.
In order to fuel a powerful move above $100,000, Bitcoin needs additional buying momentum, which could come from the demand zone located between $67,700 and $69,300 🟩.
Thus, a gradual, step-by-step pullback toward the $88,000 level — and potentially lower prices — should not be ruled out before any strong bullish continuation
Bitcoin Overall: Significant RallyLast week I provided a less likely breakout up scenario--this is what occurred.
My personal emotional feeling is absolutely disbelief -- cue the various emotional cycle charts. The speed of the advance (after relatively vicious decline)...
The fact is, this is a rally with at least some staying power. If there is a significant retracement in the rally from the nearby resistances, we should at least expect a push to the large resistance. It the rally shoots relatively quickly to the big resistance, I would expect a significant retracement, but potentially thereafter new ATH.
The trend is up at the moment, carefully-selected long opportunities are more attractive. Shorts are dangerous in a market such as this except at strong resistance.
BTC/USDT Analysis. The scenario remains unchanged
Over the past day, not much has changed for Bitcoin. We reached a local high, followed by a pullback.
Today, we're still trading within a relatively narrow range. The cumulative delta continues to decline (indicating a large amount of market selling), but it's not leading to any significant results. Volatility is also decreasing — all of this resembles preparation for an impulse, most likely to the upside.
At the moment, an abnormal cluster of market sells has appeared around ~$94,300, which was immediately absorbed by buyers. If the price returns to this level and we see a reaction from buyers, it could be a good opportunity to open a long position with a minimal stop. The target for this move would be the next sell zone.
Sell zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy zones:
~$94,300 (abnormal cluster)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
BTC - NEW ATH on the HorizonBitcoin has surprised us with a sudden turnaround over the past two weeks.
✅ Technical indicators are bullish
✅ Candle stick patterns are bullish
✅ Trendlines are bullish
I can't help but come to any other conclusion - BTC is now BULLISH, likely making it's way to a new ATH.
This will bring about my much anticipated ALTSEASON:
_________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Market overview
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, we saw an upward breakout from the consolidation phase, leading to a strong, nearly pullback-free long movement. By the end of the week, Bitcoin reached a long-term resistance level, where the momentum stalled, followed by a slight correction.
Currently, we observe weakening buying pressure, with diminishing higher highs. At the same time, there is a significant amount of market sales visible in cumulative delta, which have not resulted in any major moves. The market is in equilibrium, possibly preparing for the next impulse.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
In the near term, we expect a retest of the current highs with potential false breakouts. After that, a resumption of selling pressure is possible. We will consider continuing long positions only after testing the nearest support levels.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events this week:
• April 29, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of the US Consumer Confidence Index for April;
• April 29, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of US JOLTS (Job Openings) data for March;
• April 30, Wednesday, 01:30 (UTC) — release of China’s Manufacturing PMI for April;
• April 30, Wednesday, 08:00 (UTC) — release of Germany’s GDP for Q1 2025;
• April 30, Wednesday, 12:00 (UTC) — release of Germany’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April;
• April 30, Wednesday, 12:15 (UTC) — release of US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change for April;
• April 30, Wednesday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of US GDP for Q1 2025;
• April 30, Wednesday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of US Core PCE Price Index for March, along with year-over-year comparison;
• May 1, Thursday, 03:00 (UTC) — release of Japan’s Interest Rate Decision;
• May 1, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of US Initial Jobless Claims;
• May 1, Thursday, 13:45 (UTC) — release of US Manufacturing PMI for April;
• May 1, Thursday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of US ISM Manufacturing PMI for April;
• May 2, Friday, 09:00 (UTC) — release of Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April;
• May 2, Friday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of US Average Hourly Earnings, Nonfarm Payrolls, and Unemployment Rate for April.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Here we have my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE on our beautiful Bitcoin — if you’re not quite sure what I mean or am doing drop me a follow here and check out a few post! Or come find me on X —
The beauty of this concept is the ability to trade with rules the potential retracement in price/time symmetry distinctively and without emotion, as the underlying trades to potential harmonic reversals.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Compression Before the Next Major Move?Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a critical range, trading between clearly defined support and resistance zones over the past week. Price action remains "trapped" within this structure, akin to a market equilibrium phase, with neither bulls nor bears taking decisive control.
Currently, BTC is testing a major historical resistance cluster — an area shaped by prior price memory and significant psychological levels. Over the weekend, price action into this resistance showed visible exhaustion, with momentum stalling and early signs of supply absorption emerging.
Simultaneously, Bitcoin is balancing on the daily anchored VWAP, a key dynamic indicator used by institutional participants to gauge fair value. A sustained breakdown below VWAP would significantly increase the probability of a broader corrective move toward key prior support levels.
Technical Scenarios to Monitor:
🔹 Bullish Resolution: Reclaiming resistance with strong volume expansion could open the door for continuation toward ATH zones and price discovery.
🔹 Bearish Resolution: Failure to hold the VWAP and daily structure support would likely trigger a deeper corrective leg, potentially retesting prior demand zones.
Market Context:
No clear trend reversal signals yet, but growing evidence of momentum loss at the highs.
Sideways price action is typical during key decision points; expect compression before expansion.
Macro structure remains bullish, but short-term caution is warranted.
🧠 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: Watching for acceptance or rejection above current highs.
Support Zone: Anchored VWAP and key daily structure (~confirm levels based on your chart).
⚡ Stay nimble — Bitcoin is at a critical juncture where the next few sessions could define medium-term direction.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarkets