BTC Possible Top Is InThe combination of bearish divergence on the monthly RSI and MACD strengthens the argument that Bitcoin's current top could be in. These indicators suggest weakening momentum despite higher prices, a classic precursor to market tops. However, traders should keep an eye on confirmation signals, such as key monthly average at 77k, and consider broader market conditions to contextualize the technical signals.
My monthly upper deviation top remain at 108k.
BTC_ATHDRAWDOWN trade ideas
This Bitcoin Dump Is Normal - But For How Long?In this analysis I want to take a look at the BTC_ATHDRAWDOWN indicator, which tells us how much percent BTC is trading under the current all-time high. Every time that BTC makes a new all-time high this indicator reaches a value of 1.
As seen on the chart, BTC has seen a lot of big drops during bull-markets. Most of these drops have reached the yellow area (which reaches from -20% to -27%). This is "normal" and not something we have to worry about.
What we have to worry about is when BTC goes from 1 to something below 0.27. Historically, this as signaled that either the cycle is over or that we're in for a prolonged period of bearish price action.
Like I mentioned in my previous analyses, bulls have to start buying again in the very near future. If BTC continues bleeding like it does now there's a high probability of dropping even more.
🔥 Bitcoin On-Chain: Completely Normal Correction!In this analysis we talk more about yesterday's analysis where I discussed the completely normal correction that BTC has been seeing. Furthermore, chances are that we will see more of those correction in the coming months.
As seen on the chart, Bitcoin sees multiple deep corrections (>20%) during bull-cycles. Sometimes they are less excessive, but >20% is generally the bottom.
Currently, BTC is trading around 11% from the ATH. It's not great, but looking at previous bull-cycles it can certainly get much worse.
For now, there's not a real reason for the bulls to worry. Yes, BTC is not really doing great at the moment, but did we really expect a move from 40k > 100k without any corrections?
Patience will reward you.
Bitcoin All Time High Drawdown - Bottom has been in.This chart shows the amount price has dropped from all time high to all time low during each bitcoin market 'cycle'. Each cycle's price action obviously being fueled by Bitcoin's Proof of Work Halving.
As you can seek, the bottom trendline (market bottoms) shows a 4 degree slope upwards, with the top trendline (market tops) having a slight slope downwards.
Both signify a reduction of percentage dropped in price from cycle All Time High.
In short (heh), what I mean to say is: a decade of data points are showing that this is a great area to be loading up for the next crypto bull run. Don't let the market FUD cloud your vision.
Stay savvy.
As always, this is not financial advice.
