Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 94,119.93
1st Support: 88,510.65
1st Resistance: 99,362.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BULLUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin Bulls Eye $95K as Upside Momentum BuildsAfter a bullish wedge break and having cleared the key 50-day moving average earlier this week, bitcoin bulls will now be eyeing a break above $95,000, especially with indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD signalling strengthening topside momentum.
A break and close above $95,000 would generate a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above with a stop beneath for protection. While some resistance may be encountered around $100,000, a move beyond that psychologically important level may encourage bulls to look for a run towards the record high above $108,000.
In the interim, bids have been noted at $91,750 with sellers emerging on pushes above $94,000.
Good luck!
DS
BTC Potential Breakout, Daily DivergenceBTC on the daily has the opportunity to expand way upwards over the next month - a divergence on the daily evidently takes longer to play out but RSI could easily reach 80 off the back of the structure.
I have been shorting, confidently, for a good few weeks now, with longs in between, but I'm starting to feel like I should flip long.
Solana is also trying to reclaim the daily/weekly range - things to think about for sure.
Good luck out there!
Bitcoin's Next TargetBTC starts the week with a 4H doji, potentially signaling a reversal of the short term retracement from local Hs around $95.4k.
Reclaiming those Hs can easily lead to a retest of Feb's resistance around $98.7k - or even surprise us with a test of $102k.
A loss of momentum and close below GETTEX:92K could signal weakness.
Bitcoin - Successful Bullish Price ActionLovely bullish draw into discount but the question i am asking myself now is how long will we see conditions like this for?
From Wednesday, we have been rangebound with little to no movement inside of the balanced price range so the prices to keep an eye out on will be the breakout points @ $91,685 - $95,976 going forward this week.
The Journey of the Orange SunFrom whispers in the digital void in 2012
to the roaring crowd at $93,000 in 2025 —
Bitcoin’s arc bends not just toward price,
but toward a revolution written in blocks.
Each Fibonacci line is more than math —
it’s prophecy, patience, and power.
The chart doesn’t just show price;
it echoes belief.
Where others see candles,
I see constellations.
And we’re still charting the stars.
🚀📈
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoArt #ChartPoetry #FibLevels #BTCUSD
#202517 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoin
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Very bullish breakout on Tuesday, now bears last hope before 100000 is if maybe prior support has turned resistance. I marked the area with the red box. How likely is it? Very unlikely. Much more likely is a measured move up which could lead to 101000ish.
current market cycle: weekly chart says continuation of the bull trend but i highly doubt it. much more likely we are in a big trading range 73000 - 110000
key levels: 85k - 100k (if bears somehow manage to get below 85k again, we test 80k next)
bull case: Big breakout above 90000 and now 100000 is the obvious next target. The lowest measured move up I can see is 101000 but I want to see market reaction around 100000 first before I look for higher targets. Bulls are in full control of this but any pullback should stay above 88000.
Invalidation is below 88000.
bear case: Bears gave up on Tuesday and I think more will wait for 100000 and see if bulls take profits there before initiating new shorts. Until bears can get a daily close below 88000 again, they don’t have much.
Invalidation is above 101k.
short term: Neutral but bullish above 96k on good momentum for 100k. No shorts until bears show strength again.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-04-13: Bear targets for this year are met. Now we likely range before we get new impulse to either side. I wait for market reaction around 100000 before I write more here. For now my assumption is still that this will be a trading range 73000 - 100000 for longer than a retest or even new highs.
Bitcoin Macro View – Post-Halving StructureThis monthly chart outlines Bitcoin’s long-term ascending channel with key horizontal resistance levels. Following the April 2024 halving (highlighted), price action has continued respecting the macro uptrend with higher lows. Blue projection suggests potential for continued bullish momentum, testing upper channel boundaries into late 2025.
Key zones:
• Major support: GETTEX:23K (2022 low, Fibonacci zone)
• Resistance: $60K–$69K range (previous ATH supply zone)
• Current structure: Bullish continuation above trendline support
Watching for confirmation of a breakout above previous highs, with potential upside extension toward $90K–$100K by 2026 if momentum sustains. 📊🚀
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCUSD #HalvingCycle #CryptoTrading #MacroView
Bitcoin (BTC) $95K Target? ETF Inflows & Supply Shock Key Signal
Bitcoin Flashes Bullish Signals: Record ETF Flows and Supply Shock Fuel $95K Target Hopes
Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency, is demonstrating renewed vigor, capturing investor attention with a confluence of bullish indicators. After a period of consolidation and sideways movement following its all-time high earlier this year, recent data suggests underlying strength is building. Significant inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, a tightening supply on exchanges, strong relative performance against traditional markets, and key technical levels being tested are painting a picture that has analysts eyeing the next major psychological and technical hurdle: $95,000.
ETF Demand Roars Back: A Sign of Renewed Institutional Appetite
One of the most significant developments fueling recent optimism is the resurgence of demand for U.S.-based spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Launched in January 2024, these products marked a watershed moment, providing traditional investors with regulated and accessible exposure to Bitcoin. After an initial explosive launch, inflows moderated. However, recent weeks have seen a dramatic turnaround.
Reports indicate that these ETFs recently experienced their largest single-day net inflows since their early days in January, signaling a powerful return of institutional and potentially broader retail interest. This influx of capital into regulated vehicles is crucial. It represents sticky, long-term demand rather than just short-term speculative trading. Each dollar flowing into these ETFs effectively removes Bitcoin from the readily available market supply, contributing to a potential supply squeeze.
This sustained demand has also propelled Bitcoin's overall market capitalization significantly. While direct comparisons fluctuate daily and depend on methodology (e.g., including gold, different equity classes), Bitcoin's market cap has grown to rival that of major global corporations and even some traditional asset classes. Its ascent up the ranks of the world's largest assets underscores its growing acceptance and integration into the broader financial landscape. While claiming a specific rank like "5th largest" can be debated based on what's included, there's no denying Bitcoin is now a multi-trillion dollar asset class demanding attention.
The Supply Squeeze: Coins Vanish from Exchanges
Complementing the demand surge is a notable trend on the supply side: Bitcoin reserves held on cryptocurrency exchanges are dwindling rapidly. Data reveals that the amount of BTC available for immediate sale on major trading platforms has plummeted to levels not seen since November 2018. This marks a multi-year low, indicating a strong preference among holders to move their coins into self-custody or long-term storage solutions, rather than keeping them poised for sale.
What's driving this exodus from exchanges? Analysts point to several factors, including the aforementioned ETF accumulation, where authorized participants acquire Bitcoin on the open market to meet ETF share creation demand. Furthermore, there's growing anecdotal and on-chain evidence suggesting accumulation by long-term holders ("HODLers") and potentially public companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. While large-scale corporate buying sprees like MicroStrategy's haven't been widely replicated across the board, the cumulative effect of sustained institutional buying (via ETFs) and dedicated HODLers consistently pulling supply off exchanges creates a powerful dynamic.
Lower exchange reserves typically correlate with reduced selling pressure. When less Bitcoin is readily available to be sold, even moderate increases in demand can have an outsized impact on price. This scarcity factor is a core tenet of Bitcoin's value proposition, underpinned by its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, and the current trend highlights this dynamic in action.
Relative Strength: The "Cleanest Shirt in the Dirty Laundry"
Bitcoin's recent performance also stands out when compared to traditional financial markets. Over the past 30 days (as per the provided context), Bitcoin has posted significant gains (e.g., +7.68%), while major equity indices like the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq have experienced notable pullbacks (e.g., -6.79% and -8.14%, respectively).
This divergence has led some commentators to describe Bitcoin as the "cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry pile." In times of macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tension, or wavering confidence in traditional financial systems, Bitcoin can attract capital seeking alternatives or hedges. While its correlation with risk assets like tech stocks has often been high, periods of decoupling, like the one observed recently, suggest investors may increasingly view Bitcoin through a different lens – perhaps as a non-sovereign store of value or a bet on future technological disruption, rather than just another high-beta risk asset. This relative outperformance can attract momentum traders and further bolster positive sentiment.
Technical Hurdles: The Road to $95K
From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's price action is generating significant discussion. One key metric analysts watch is the "realized price," particularly for short-term holders (investors who acquired BTC relatively recently). When the market price surpasses the average acquisition cost of these recent buyers, it can signal a shift in market psychology. Those who bought recently are now in profit, potentially reducing sell pressure and encouraging further buying. Bitcoin recently surpassed this level, leading to speculation about whether this marks the beginning of a sustained rally or potentially sets up a "double top" scenario – a bearish pattern where an asset fails twice to break above a certain resistance level.
Analysts are closely watching specific price levels. There appears to be a consensus around a key resistance zone that, if decisively reclaimed and held, could signal that "all bets are off" for the bears, potentially opening the door for a significant upward move. Conversely, failure to break through these levels, or a strong rejection from them, could lead to a pullback, validating the warnings from more cautious analysts.
The $95,000 mark looms large as the next major psychological and potential technical resistance area should the current momentum continue and key lower resistance levels be overcome. Reaching this target would likely require a confluence of the factors already discussed: continued strong ETF inflows, further depletion of exchange supply, supportive macroeconomic conditions (or continued relative strength despite macro headwinds), and a decisive break through established technical resistance zones.
What Triggers the Breakout?
Achieving a breakout towards $95,000 isn't guaranteed and likely requires several catalysts:
1. Sustained ETF Demand: Continued, consistent net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are paramount to absorb supply and signal ongoing institutional conviction.
2. Supply Shock Intensification: If exchange reserves continue to fall sharply, the scarcity narrative strengthens, potentially triggering FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) buying.
3. Macroeconomic Shifts: A dovish pivot from central banks, renewed inflation fears driving demand for hard assets, or further instability in traditional markets could push more capital towards Bitcoin.
4. Technical Confirmation: A convincing break and hold above currently watched resistance levels would give technical traders confidence and potentially trigger algorithmic buying.
5. Positive Regulatory Developments: While the ETFs were a major step, further regulatory clarity or positive developments globally could reduce perceived risk.
Conclusion: Optimism Tempered with Caution
The current Bitcoin landscape presents a compelling bullish case. Resurgent ETF demand, dwindling exchange supply creating a scarcity effect, and strong relative performance against traditional assets paint an optimistic picture. Technical indicators, such as surpassing the realized price of recent buyers, add fuel to the fire, bringing targets like $95,000 into the conversation.
However, caution remains warranted. Bitcoin is notoriously volatile, and technical resistance levels often prove formidable. The risk of a "double top" or rejection at key levels is real, and regulatory headwinds or negative macroeconomic shifts could quickly alter sentiment. While the confluence of positive factors is undeniable and the path towards $95,000 seems plausible given the current dynamics, investors will be keenly watching whether ETF flows remain strong, supply continues to tighten, and crucial technical levels can be decisively overcome. The interplay between institutional adoption, HODLer conviction, and market technicals will ultimately determine if Bitcoin can conquer its next major milestone.
Bitcoin on 'Pause' for brief moment!Seems like Bitcoin is making its moves in bullish fashion and is now exiting from the pause phase . Let me break down those phases for you: Consolidation, Bull, Pause, Bull...
On the chart, I’ve highlighted these phases:
Consolidation Phase: This is represented by a channel pattern , where the price moves within a defined range.
Bull Phase: This is the parabolic movement , showing strong upward momentum.
Pause Phase: This takes the shape of a triangle , signaling a temporary slowdown before the next move.
What’s fascinating is that all these patterns — channel, parabolic, and triangle shapes —have unfolded during the 2023–2024 bull run . Together, they form a rising channel , reinforcing the broader bullish structure.
Let’s see where Bitcoin heads next! 🚀
BTCUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 94,137.25Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 94,804.43.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
btcusdAh, you're likely interested in liquidity in the context of this Bitcoin chart! Here's what we can infer about potential liquidity based on your setpoint:
* Above the Resistance Zone (around 95,878): The red resistance zone often coincides with areas where sellers are likely to have limit orders placed. If the price breaks above this zone, it could trigger those orders, leading to a burst of selling volume and potentially a sharp move downwards. This area could represent a pool of sell-side liquidity.
* Below the Support Level (around 93,919): Similarly, the black support line might attract buyers looking to enter the market or add to their positions. If the price breaks below this level, it could trigger stop-loss orders from buyers, resulting in significant selling pressure and a rapid price decline. This area could represent a pool of buy-side liquidity.
* Areas of Consolidation: The sideways price action within the range defined by your support and resistance levels suggests periods where buying and selling forces are relatively balanced. These periods can build up liquidity as more orders accumulate within that range. A breakout from this consolidation could then trigger a significant move as this built-up liquidity is absorbed.
* "BUY" Signals and Liquidity: Your "BUY" signals might be strategically placed to anticipate moves that could tap into existing liquidity. For example, a buy signal near the support level could be aiming to capitalize on a bounce driven by buy-side liquidity.
In essence, your support and resistance levels are key areas to watch for potential liquidity grabs. A break beyond these levels could indicate a significant influx of volume as resting orders are triggered.
Keep an eye on how the price interacts with these zones and any significant volume spikes that might confirm the triggering of liquidity.
Is there a specific type of liquidity you're interested in, or perhaps how to trade around these levels?
Bitcoin Following 2013-2017 Fractal UPDATE for APRIL- looks GOODInitially we can see we got the expected bounce in approximatly the are we expected it due tot he MACD reaching the bounce zone near Neutral.
Currently, PA is hoovering around the Marker near the Circle.
I did expect that to take longer and so the PA would be within the circle but I am not complaining
As it stands of today. we may still see PA reach that circle as the Daily chart shows.
Shoudl PA range across, it would take 1 whole month to reach the centre. I would be surprised if that happens as Weekly MACD is only just returning to BULLISH and the Daily still has plenty of Room to conintue its bullish climb.
BUT, and I do mean this seriously, We could see a reversal and return to Bearish still.
This has happened before
So, Lets remain cautious for now, even though we are near the Neutral line and sentiment predicts a further push higher, Caution is the better part of Valor.
But on the Longer Term, Which Path are we taking >?
We have begun rising right between the two options and, so for now, I am inclinded to Favour the Dashed Arrow that points to a 250K ATH.
And to many extents, this will still follow the Fractal, even if we are now below....
The amount of Money required to push Bitcoin up into the Bold Arrows Path and Get PA back ontop of the Fractal is truly Eye watering.
But I will Always say Never say Never.
Bitcoin is on a Cross roads. As I have mentioned in other posts, PA is under a VERY Long Term line Arc of resistance right now.
The chart for this is beow. this is a rough version but clearly shows the problem
To break over this, we need to Pass and remain above 118K USD
On the Fracta, this region os part of a Sustained push higher, as PA would normaly do in an area of High resistance...To Break through.
And we are sitting Just below this point right now....With the ability to push through
We have to wait and see which arrow we follow....My bet ois on the dashed for now....
Time will always tell us.....
Stay safe everyone.....
Altavics Group: Why Smart Investors Embrace CryptoVolatility Isn't the Enemy — It's the Opportunity
The crypto market is known for its fast and sharp moves. Yes, Bitcoin can drop 10% in a day. But it can also rise 40% in a month.
This is exactly why cryptocurrency remains one of the most profitable asset classes over the past decade.
At Altavics Group, we believe that fearing short-term price swings means missing out on long-term strategic opportunities.
Why Invest in Crypto?
1. Blockchain is not the future — it's already here
Web3, DeFi, and Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are shaping a new financial system, where cryptocurrencies are the backbone of innovation.
2. Limited supply = growing value
There will never be more than 21 million Bitcoins. That makes BTC a digital equivalent of gold. In a world of inflation and excessive debt, scarcity is strength.
3. Portfolio diversification
Crypto assets help reduce exposure to traditional markets. Especially in times of geopolitical or economic instability, decentralized currencies offer a non-political, borderless hedge.
What if the market crashes?
Crypto corrections are not the end — they’re accumulation phases. Some of the best opportunities are found when the market is fearful.
Bitcoin dropped to $3,000 in 2018. Today it trades above $90,000.
Ethereum was $80 in 2019. Today it’s over $1,600.
The history of crypto is one of crashes and recoveries. Those who stay in smartly — win big.
What Altavics Group Offers
A secure, advanced platform for buying, storing, and trading cryptocurrencies
Real-time analysis and expert trading signals
Custom investment strategies aligned with your goals and risk appetite
Education for beginners and seasoned investors
Altavics Group’s Final Word
Investing in crypto doesn't mean taking blind risks. It means thinking ahead.
Those afraid of volatility today may regret missing the upside tomorrow.
Strong investors don’t chase comfort — they seek potential. And crypto is exactly that: proven potential.
BTC/USD BUY zone H4 chart analysisChart Analysis Summary (BTC/USD - 4H)
Market Structure:
Downtrend channel broken to the upside.
Price action shows a bullish breakout with a potential rally ahead.
---
Entry Point:
Buy Entry: Around $87,449
---
Targets:
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $91,500 (First marked resistance level on chart)
Final Target (TP2): $95,000 (Second marked resistance level)
---
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
S1: $85,000 (recent breakout zone, now acting as support)
S2: $82,500 (previous price floor)
S3: $78,000 (deep retracement zone)
S4: $74,000 (major support base)
Resistance:
R1: $88,500 (minor resistance just above entry)
R2: $91,500 (TP1)
R3: $95,000 (Final Target)
R4: $99,500 (upper extended resistance zone)
R5: $102,000+ (top of the long-term range)
---
Suggested Post Caption (for client):
> BTC/USD 4H Analysis:
Entered a long position at $87,449 after breakout confirmation.
TP1: $91,500
Final Target: $95,000
Support Zones: 85,000 | 82,500 | 78,000 | 74,000
Resistance Levels: 88,500 | 91,500 | 95,000 | 99,500+
Watch for price reaction around $88.5K — bullish momentum expected to push towards $91