BITCOIN SELL TO $86,000 (UPDATE)We saw BTC further plummet down this morning, 5.36% in 1 4H candle. All you late buyers getting liquidated, while me, my Crypto Fund investors & everyone in this channel is profiting. Great end to the week🦾
BULLUSD trade ideas
BTC A Line of CodeBTC A line of code that costs $107,000 American dollars.
All I see is exuberance and the same jeering and laughing emojis
when I mentioned TSLA was too expensive in other forums.
The same mood. The same hubris. A line of code costs 107k.
It was going to change the world, my coder friends said to me.
It changed nothing, just a new "hype." And those come every 10 years or so.
Good luck everyone.
BITCOIN // primary expansionTrends are bullish on every major timeframe, and the countertrend may break, triggered above the H4 breakdown.
If triggered, my target is 106k.
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
BITCOIN Will the Channel Up hold or has the Fed condemned it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an impressive sustainable price action within the Channel Up pattern since November 12, which despite yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, is still holding. If it holds, it may follow the same pattern that it did exactly 1 year ago.
As you see, it was again in November 2023 that it traded within a Channel Up, which was supported by the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 11. After it broke out, the price reached the 7.0 Fibonacci extension level from the October low, before correcting again.
The situation is very similar today, the 4H MA200 is also holding since Oct 11, the price also formed a 4H Golden Cross on Sep 18, while both fractals started their impressive rallies around the same date (Sep 06 2023 and Sep 11 2024 respectively).
As a result, if the 4H MA200 holds, we can expect BTC to target the 7.0 Fib ext next at $135000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?if Bitcoin cannot hold the $130,000 range, the price could drop to around $100,000 or even lower. After that, it can continue its growth again.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin (BTC): Daily Liquidity Grab (New ATH Formed)On a daily timeframe, we had a quick liquidity grab at the beginning of the day, where price formed a new ATH near $106.5K.
We are not seeing some kind of weakness kicking in on even smaller timeframes where there is a possibility to form an MSB, which might shift the price back near $95K.
So our gameplan remains the same; we keep an eye out for more confirmations, and we are not rushing into the trading.
If we do not see the price to reach our entry zone for downward movement, then, as we mentioned on the weekly timeframe, we might see $140K earlier than we thought!!
Swallow Team
Come back in 2 years...Top is in or damn close here...people speculating now are asking for a spanking in markets...expecting a slow grind down to 40k levels over the next couple years...could be much worse though gl.
BTC\USD Ascending Broadening Wedge FALL ALERTIn this idea we have a ascending broadening wedge On Bitcoin that really matches the behavior we have witnessed recently. I did my best to project the targets we should see as we break out to the downside assuming that is how this moves. Maybe it will maybe it won't. Only time will tell. Good luck to everyone and much love- ND
Ps-If you look at the formation in smaller frames where we are now you will see the exact formation that is towards the end of the example.
BTC Analysis On H4 T.FBitcoin Price Analysis: A Selling Opportunity Amidst Market Volatility
The Bitcoin price has been moving within an upward parallel channel, characterized by inclined support and resistance lines. Notably, the trend has reversed three times from the support line and twice from the resistance line.
Currently, the trend is testing the resistance line, where we anticipate a reversal. Following this, we expect the price to move towards the support line.
(News Impact on Bitcoin Market)
The current market volatility, fueled by rising regulatory concerns, adoption rates, and global economic uncertainty, has created a favorable environment for a potential Bitcoin price drop. Recent news and events that may impact the Bitcoin market include:
1. Regulatory developments and their potential impact on Bitcoin's price.
2. Changes in adoption rates and their effect on market sentiment.
3. Global economic uncertainty and its influence on safe-haven assets.
Trade Setup:
Based on our technical analysis and news impact, we recommend opening sell positions in Bitcoin.
1. Entry: Sell Bitcoin at 106000-107500
2. Stop Loss: 109500 (above the resistance line)
3. Target Prices:
1. 104000 (T.P1)
2. 102000 (T.P2)
3. 100000 (T.P3)
4. 98000 (T.P4, final target near the support line)
This trade setup offers a potential profit of 8000 points, with a risk of 1500 points. We believe that the current market conditions and news impact make this an attractive selling opportunity for Bitcoin.
1.61 Break Starting to Look Likely. BTC recently hit the 1.61 extension of the previous drop.
When this 1.61 is met in a breakout, there are three main things that tend to happen.
One is a reversal. Exceptional spikes ending at 1.61s can be found at the end of many trends. That would be a rare thing in this context, but it's always worth trailing stops at 1.61s.
A more common reaction at the 1.61 here is a pullback to spike under 1.27 and then the continuation move.
This was my first ever trade. For a long time I'd trade only this setup in Forex markets. Did really well in trends.. Range came. Sad times. Had to learn more stuff.
And the third thing that tends to happen in the featured chart here. If there's no notable resistance at 1.61, a very strong trend move to 2.20 comes. Usually from here we end up retesting the 1.61 or even 1.27, both of which are great buy levels.
I have a simple way of thinking about trading. There are various things the market can do that fit nicely inside of my "Norms" with fibs and such. When we're at big levels, I plan all the things that can happen inside my "Norms". Moves the market can make that my straits profit in - or at least stop me out in the right place. No spike outs, or unnecessary running losses.
In this setup I am ready to trade those three reactions. If any of them happen exactly as I described, I make bank. Many multiples of what I risk in a trade. If something else happens, my best outcome will be I do not trade, or any trades I do take I get some sort of breakeven result on. If the market does something I understand I hit it hard, and otherwise I just get out.
Given that 2/3 of my known reactions from a 1.61 are bearish (one of them just a dip, but a sizable one), I'll generally tend to fade 1.61s. 2/3 times it works. Can make over 1:3 RR. A lot of the time you get reactions off 1.61 before breaks and can maybe get risk off on shorts that'd not work out. Makes sense, takes a lot to discourage me from fading a 1.61 first touch.
Here's the hit of the 1.61.
Really big reaction off this. But in the bear setups here typically this retest off the 1.61 would be the kiss of death for the bull move.
Now, we have to have some tolerance for spike outs whenever we trade, and more so on stop hunting things like BTC. For the last couple days we've inside the tolerance zone for that.
This is starting to look more threatening for a legit break .
If the 1.61 is a non-event as resistance, the follow pop is impressive. Usually directly up to the 2.20. Around $140K.
Bitcoin Market Update: Why I’m Still Not Buying the Hype🚀 Bitcoin’s Short-Lived Breakout? Bitcoin is showing upward momentum, but I believe this is a short squeeze and not a sustainable breakout.
📉 Caution Is Advised: I’m sticking to my guns—I don’t trust the current upward action and predict significant downward movement soon.
🛑 Wait Before Buying: No altcoin I’ve reviewed is displaying convincingly bullish signals, reinforcing my cautious stance.
🕵️♂️ Cross-Market Analysis: Charts across the crypto market, including Bitcoin and altcoins, suggest indecision and potential fakeouts.
💡 Key Levels to Watch: Downward action could present excellent buying opportunities—stay vigilant for potential entries.
⚠️ Not Investment Advice: This is my personal analysis—trade responsibly and be prepared for sudden market moves.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
COINBASE:NEONUSD
COINBASE:ARBUSD
COINBASE:SPELLUSD
COINBASE:SHPINGUSD
COINBASE:SUKUUSD
COINBASE:CTXUSD
COINBASE:HONEYUSD
COINBASE:RAREUSD
COINBASE:ALGOUSD
COINBASE:NEARUSD
BTC Bleeding - When Bottom?Bitcoin is in a corrective phase following a sharp rally, with the $92,000 50-day SMA acting as the first critical support zone. A break below this could lead to further downside toward $89,000 or $73,835. To regain bullish momentum, Bitcoin needs to reclaim $99,860, targeting $108,300 and higher. Keep an eye on the RSI and volume for confirmation of the next move.
Key Observations:
Recent Price Action:
Bitcoin recently reached a high of approximately $108,300, marking the peak of the current rally.
Following the high, BTC has experienced a sharp pullback, breaking below the $99,860 support level and currently trading near $93,569.
The pullback reflects a correction of approximately 14% from the peak.
Bearish Divergence on RSI:
RSI Divergence: While price made a higher high at $108,300, RSI formed a lower high, signaling a loss of bullish momentum.
RSI is now trending below 50, confirming bearish short-term momentum.
RSI will eventually make it to oversold, but that could be far down the road. Still worth noting that it is only at 40, so there could be a long way to go if the correction continues.
Key Support Levels:
$92,000: Immediate support around the 50-day SMA, which aligns with a consolidation zone during the earlier stages of the rally.
$89,000: A secondary potential support just below the 50-day SMA.
$73,835: Major breakout level from the prior range and a strong support zone if the correction deepens.
Key Resistance Levels:
$99,860: This level, previously a support, has flipped to resistance following the breakdown.
$108,300: Recent high and critical resistance, acting as the upper boundary for potential continuation.
Volume:
The recent sell-off has occurred on elevated volume, confirming active selling and validating the correction.
Moving Averages:
The 50-day SMA (blue line) is currently around $92,000, providing immediate dynamic support.
The 200-day SMA (red line) sits significantly lower, near $72,000, reinforcing long-term bullish structure.
Interpretation:
Bearish Signals:
The bearish divergence on RSI has played out, leading to the breakdown below $99,860.
Price is testing the 50-day SMA at $92,000, a key short-term support zone.
Support Zones to Watch:
$92,000 (50-day SMA): Critical for maintaining the short-term bullish trend. A strong bounce here would be encouraging.
$73,835: Long-term support level, aligning with the breakout zone from earlier in 2024. A breakdown to this level would still preserve the macro bullish structure.
Potential for Reversal:
To resume its uptrend, Bitcoin must reclaim $99,860 and hold above it. A strong bounce from the 50-day SMA would reinforce bullish sentiment.
Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
Bitcoin holds the 50-day SMA at $92,000, forms a higher low, and begins to climb back toward $99,860.
A reclaim of $99,860 with increasing volume would target a retest of the $108,300 high and potential continuation.
Bearish Case:
If Bitcoin fails to hold $92,000, the next logical support is around $89,000, followed by a deeper correction to $73,835, which would still align with the broader macro bullish structure.
Divergence - SHORT I am not perfect on explaining what is happening, but I am good in drawing my expectation.
in this expectation, I think there is a signal for Divergence from the tops which indicate price will revert to hard down, so keep in mind, Selling short period is about to happen.
and put in your mind, that the price sooner or later will come back to the main trend link ( the below white line)
so, BTC will go back again to the $60,000 again, and maybe less, you need to know the game, they drop the price with one click by selling a huge amount of BTC on their network, that's how they control the market, by selling and buying their exist BTC, they will never lose, this Satoshi Nakamato organization are like the CASINO, the house always wins. ;)
Bitcoin (BTC): Crypto Cycles / Are We In Bullish One?Well, the last time we took a bigger look at bitcoins cycles was exactly a year ago and so far almost everything has been playing out well; halving is done and we are in the beginning phase of the bullish market, as it seems.
But one thing concerns us: we did not have a proper reaccumulation phase on the coin, whereas we did have a proper expansion phase and a quick start of bullish market.
Now this seems a little bit off so we are keeping our curiosity at a possible quick liquidity movement to happen (due to lack of reaccumilation phase).
But keep in mind that every cycle is different and so is this one. Stay safe and don't be greedy!!
Swallow Team
My Best analysis Sell Setup:
Entry Point (Sell): 99,605
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 98,173
TP2: 96,038
Stop Loss (SL): 100,981
Buy Setup:
Entry Point (Buy): 96,038
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 98,173
TP2: 99,605
Stop Loss (SL): 94,000
Analysis:
1. The current market price is at 98,173, and there is a potential uptrend, with the price possibly reaching 102,293.
2. If the price breaks 99,605, a sell entry is expected.
3. A buy entry can be initiated near the strong support level of 96,038.
Bitcoin BEARISH 4 Hour Chart - Trend Line Support BrokeBitcoin has broke down through an important trend line support level on the 4 hour chart. It is currently in the process of re-testing the line before a continuation down again. It's possible that Bitcoin may gain short-term up to around $100000 before the re-testing is complete. Or it may just start falling like a rock before then.
The trend line was tested multiple times and is a reliable signal of what is to come. This also agrees with my analysis on the weekly chart too. Both charts indicate a potential drop for Bitcoin to around $75000.
Please note: this is a crazy world and anything could happen, but this is my analysis based solely on the chart. I would say the same if it were corn, copper, or whatever else. Be cautious buying Bitcoin anytime soon based solely on hype! As I said above, it could gain short term to re-test the line which is now resistance, but it will probably be short-lived.
BITCOIN This is why $250k is a Cycle Top candidateBitcoin (BTCUSD) is now cruising on the Bull Cycle's most aggressive phase, the Parabolic Rally. We got the final confirmation as it broke above and now established the 1st Standard Deviation from Above (grey trend-line) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) as the new Support.
Having already broken above the previous All Time High (ATH) Resistance, every time BTC flipped the 1st SD into Support while above the ATH, it hit at least the 2nd SD (orange trend-line) before the Cycle Top was priced. This level is currently at $181700 but rising along with the trend
What adds a more specific dynamic to the potential Cycle Top though, is that during Bitcoin's 11-year Higher Lows trend-line growth, it posted rallies of at least +1719% on each Cycle. As the Cycles progressed and due to the Law of Diminishing Returns, this rally started lower each time.
This shows the great significance of this rally and as a result, on the current Cycle with can estimate from its very bottom (November 2022). This suggests that we can reach at least $250k before or around the time the 2nd SD is tested. In addition, all Cycles have topped after the 1M RSI makes contact with its historic Lower Highs trend-line.
So what do you think? Is $250k a strong candidate for a Cycle Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC heads up at 97.8k: Genesis fib and Last Stop before 105kShown here is a single fib series in three different time frames.
The Genesis Sequence has caught every major turn since 2015.
This fib is a "minor" ratio but a big jump from Golden fib below.
$ 97,769.44 (Coinbase) is the exact level of concern.
It is PROBABLE that we see a pullback from it.
It is POSSIBLE that it marks 'a' top or even 'the' top.
It is PLAUSIBLE to orbit a few times and then continue.
======================================================
30% correction to 70k next for Bitcoin ?? — December 3rd, 2024** short term forecast, days and weeks ahead **
On the above weekly chart price action leaps up 40% since all of 30 days ago. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook. The include:
1) Price action and RSI support breakouts.
2) Regular bearish divergence. Multiple oscillators now print lower highs with higher highs in price action.
3) Price action is outside Bollinger Band on the weekly. Remember 95% of all price action trades around the mean, which is currently $70.2k
4) Hanging man candle print. A perfect example of buyer exhaustion.
What does this means for alt tokens? That depends. Overbought tokens (XRP, Dogecoin, XLM, etc… ) they will join the correction with Bitcoin. A select few will enjoy the liquidity that comes from them. Do you know which?
Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Has BITCOIN reached its maximum and is a bear market coming?To make a prediction about Bitcoin’s next rally based on historical patterns, we should first examine the overall trends and how these increases and decreases have evolved in percentage terms.
Data observations:
337,000% increase -> 93% decrease
Massive increase, followed by a steep correction.
61,000% increase -> 86% decrease
Significant increase, but smaller than the first, and the decline was still close in percentage terms.
11,000% increase -> 84% decrease
Smaller increase, the decline remains large, but slightly milder.
2,000% increase -> 77% decrease
Significantly smaller increase compared to previous cycles, and the decline continued to moderate.
Observing a descending pattern:
The increases seem to be getting smaller and smaller with each cycle, and the decreases also tend to be less severe. This shows diminishing returns on increases and a reduction in market volatility.
Estimate for the next increase:
Given this pattern, the next percentage increase could be significantly smaller than the last one (2,000%). If we apply a progressive reduction coefficient, as was the case in previous cycles, the increase could be around:
~300%-500%.
This would mean a maximum increase of 5x from the low of the last cycle, and currently we have an increase of over 600%, that is, 6x. Is this ATH in this bull market?
To estimate the duration of the next Bitcoin uptrend, we can analyze how the duration of these uptrend cycles has evolved over time:
Historical data:
240 days
730 days
850 days
1050 days
Notes:
The increase in duration between cycles is not uniform, but follows a general trend of extending duration.
The duration increase intervals were:
From 240 -> 730: +490 days
From 730 -> 850: +120 days
From 850 -> 1050: +200 days
Analysis:
The duration extension appears to be accelerating moderately, with an irregular but generally increasing trend.
If this pattern continues, the next cycle could add between 200 and 300 days to the previous duration (1050 days).
Estimate:
The duration of the next cycle could be:
~1250-1350 days.
This estimate corresponds to a natural extension of Bitcoin cycles, reflecting wider adoption and lower volatility as the market becomes more mature.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Move From Support Confirmed
Looks like Bitcoin is going to pullback from a key intraday/daily horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a tine cup & handle pattern on an hourly.
The price will go up and reach at least 105291 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Ash | 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTCHi traders! 👋 This is Ash, let’s dive straight into today’s analysis! 📊🚀
📌 Wave analysis and our near-term view on Bitcoin
We believe we are nearing the end of Wave 1 of Intermediate Wave (3) (in yellow). A dip could be on the horizon in the near future - potentially toward $60k.
~$60k = Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛
📌 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTC (even at $100k)!
1. Elliott Wave Analysis
We believe we are only on Wave 1 of the 3rd Intermediate Wave. This time could be different~! 😅
2. Halving Cycle Analysis
Historically, the upward trend lasted about 1 year 4 months after each Halving event. Since the last Halving was on April 19, 2024, this timeframe points to ~ August 2025. So, we’re still about 8 months away from a correction! 😌
3. Institutional Buying and Government Recognition
Major institutions are buying, and many governments (including the incoming Trump administration) are beginning to embrace BTC as a form of reserve asset. Bullish! 📈
4. Hyman Minsky Model
All financial systems progress through stages of increasing leverage and speculation (aka, a bubble). But… we don’t think we are there yet. Institutions have only just started buying, with limited participation from retail (i.e., public). BTC has plenty more room to run! 🚀
With this said, always remember to DYOR and protect your capital.
(Note: DYOR = Do Your Own Research)
📌 Alternative “sub” Scenario: Highly Unlikely
The following scenario is highly unlikely, but “if” BCT is nearing the end of Wave (1) (in yellow), the ensuing correction (Wave (2)) could be quite severe - potentially to ~ $40k or even lower..
For those looking to buy at the current level: be aware that, despite a very low probability, a drop to $40k is possible. Please ask yourself whether you can stomach this fall before going long.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit that boost button and follow me! 🚀🙌
See you soon with more updates! 🔥
