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BULLUSD trade ideas

Questions Halving Promotors Never Want to Answer Many people here are eager to explain the bets people should make based on the halving but they're never willing to answer the obvious questions about the hypothesis. Here's a collection of questions I must have asked here 100 times in replies to my posts that I've still not gotten an answer to: Why the indices correlation? When you run an analysis on SPX price moves and BTC price moves post halving, they have a coefficient of 0.85. This means all the statistical evidence points towards BTC moving in tandem with risk on/off cycles in equities. ----- Why do people ignore this correlation when it is as reliable (or more) than the halving? Why does the exact same moves in indices and BTC get treated totally differently? When has the halving thesis ever deviated from simple SPX correlation? If there are no deviations, why isn't it best to assume it's related to SPX tracking? ----- Why would the entire market know an event to move price higher was coming and then wait an exact number of days to take action on that? If you've been in the market any length of time you'll have surely heard the saying "Buy the rumour, sell the news". You may have also heard, "Markets prefer to travel than suddenly arrive". This has been a guiding principle of all markets for all time. Why is the halving a "Sell the known coming event, then ignore the news for x days and then buy the event after the fact? ----- Given all halving dates are already known, why isn't this priced in now? Why in the biggest FOMO market there is would there be this organised "Waiting period"? Why has game theory and market dynamics not led to front running? How do these supply/demand dynamics reflect anything about S/D known in markets? ----- What are the failure conditions of the halving bet? I have some of the dumbest convos on this. People insist I MUST BE LONG NOW to not miss out on the halving and then when I ask them what level price can not go under inside of the halving theory ... it gets real fuzzy. And when you dig into it, the answer generally ends up being "Up to 70% drawdown".... Okay - so trying a short here is fine inside of that, right? ----- Why are people making all knowing statements about exactly what should happen and unable to give the most basic risk control? What happens to people who listen to you if you're wrong? Do you have plans to let them know if the theory fails? If not, why are you not telling them the risk if wrong is 70% (Inside of accepted risk). And I suppose the idea is to just entirely ignore the limitless risk if the whole thesis is wrong? ----- When has the BTC halving idea ever overcome a SPX drop? I've been told various times in 2020 there was a deviation from the halving cycle because there was a swan event. Fair enough ... but then this means that the halving forecast will only be right if nothing broadly bearish happens, right? In any instances where we've had halving theory vrs indices bear move - following the indices has won. ----- Why is this not considered evidence against the thesis and for the correlation? Why are you not caveating your forecasts with this known risk? Is it far to say the BTC cycles thesis can easily fail if there's outside events? ----- These things simply do not make sense. They're elephants in the room. People act like the cycles thing is some sort of esoteric knowledge that only a select few know. That's nonsense. I have a kid cousin who can't tie his shoelaces yet but can tell you what the halving forecast is. He does not really understand everything he's saying. He's just repeating things he's heard ... but, that's kinda true for most of you to be honest. Because it takes about 5 mins to understand the halving thesis. Takes about another 1 min to come up with the obvious tests and objections and then maybe takes 10 mins to test those and highlight the flaws. There are some people who've spent literally hours and hours on my posts berating me about why I should be blindly following the halving and in all of this time they've not answered the questions I think should be thought of in the first minute. And I do ask them. Directly and repeatedly. They change the topic or go quiet. To be honest, most of the time they start to drop insults. It's wild, when you think about it. "I am heralding in the future of finance and here to tell you about this halving cycle which I know everything about and expect to be infallible". "Okay. Could you answer a few questions I have about this?" "LMAO. Have fun staying poor". === Think about how disconnected the way BTC bulls act is relative to what they proport to be a part of. Why are you not eager to answer these common sense questions?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by holeyprofit
3
BTCUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 10158 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 10289 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 99100 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
BITCOIN Short PositionHere’s a detailed analysis based on the BTCUSD 30-minute chart: --- ### **Key Observations** 1. **Resistance Zone (Blue Area: $102,400 - $102,700)** - **Description**: The price reached this key resistance zone twice, marked with yellow circles, indicating strong selling pressure. - **First Rejection**: Price reached the resistance but failed to break above, causing a sharp drop. - **Second Rejection**: A similar behavior was observed, as shown with red arrows, confirming this area as a strong supply zone. 2. **Support Zone (Green Area: $98,950 - $99,350)** - **Description**: The price found support within this range after a sharp decline. It tested this area multiple times, marked by the yellow circle and green box, confirming it as a demand zone. - Buyers entered the market, pushing the price upwards. 3. **Bearish Setup** - **Critical Level (Black Line ~ $101,025)**: This level acts as a minor support. A note is written near this area: > *"When break this line by 1 bearish candle close below it, look for short position."* - **Short Position Signal**: If the price closes below this level with a bearish candle, it would signal a potential drop targeting the **green demand zone** or even lower. 4. **Risk/Reward Analysis** - **Stop Loss**: Placed above the resistance zone (~$102,700) in red. This protects the short position in case of a reversal. - **Take Profit**: The green demand zone (~$99,350) or potentially lower (~$96,200 red support area), depending on price movement. 5. **Trend Line (Bottom Support)** - A trendline emerges from lower lows, showing the market's bullish structure in the bigger picture. If the price breaks the critical $101,025 level, the short trade will aim for this trendline. --- ### **Trading Plan** 1. **Short Entry**: Enter a short position when a bearish candle closes below $101,025. 2. **Target Levels**: - First target: $99,350 (green support). - Second target: $98,950 - $96,200 (extended). 3. **Stop Loss**: Above $102,700 (key resistance). --- ### **Conclusion** This chart highlights a **potential short opportunity** if BTCUSD breaks the minor support level at $101,025. The resistance zone at $102,700 has been tested twice, confirming strong selling interest. However, if this level holds, a break of $101,025 will likely trigger a bearish move targeting the next major demand zone. Traders should monitor for a **bearish candle closure** to confirm entry.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by amerjaradat
BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bullish SideHi there! Dear Money Makers, Losers, and Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on Thief Trading style technical analysis, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "BITCOIN" cryptocurrency market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entrance. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy, cautious, and safe. Entry 📈: Acceptable anywhere; I advise placing buy limit orders within a 15-minute window. The entry for the Recent/Nearest Low Point should be in pullback. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent swing low Goal 🎯: 110,000 Scalpers, take note: only scalp on the long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style. I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
The Dangerous Fantasy That's Killing Your Trading CareerAre you still watching YouTube videos of traders showing off their luxury cars and million dollar properties? They make it look so easy to profit from the market. A few clicks here and there. Add some magical indicators. Suddenly you're making thousands of dollars a day. I fell for it hard. I was like you. I wanted something that could get me rich quick. The dream of leaving my 9-5 job to travel the world. I don’t want to worry about money again. Trading seemed like the perfect solution. This costs me $10,000 and five years of my life. The Seductive Lie of Quick Riches You've definitely seen those Instagram posts. Screenshots showing $5,000 profit from one trade, sports cars in the background, and the classic laptop-by-the-beach setup. They tell you they've discovered a "secret strategy" that wins 90% of the time. For just $99, they'll share it with you. It all sounded too good to be true. Right? Think about it. If someone really had a strategy that could turn $1,000 into $100,000 in a month, why would they sell it for $99? They could easily approach any hedge fund and make millions. But they don't. Instead, they're selling courses and signals to hopeful traders like you and me. They spend hours trying to market their products to you while they can just click a button and earn $10,000 in 30 minutes. My Expensive Journey to Reality When I started trading, I thought I'd be different. I was smart, hardworking, and determined. I studied technical analysis, learned about indicators, and even bought some "guaranteed" trading systems. My first few trades were winners. I turned $500 into $1,000 in just a week. I felt invincible. I do have a hand of midas. This was it. I found my holy grail! I could already picture myself quitting my job in a few months. I planned how much I could earn in a year and I could retire my parents.  I started taking bigger risks. Why make $100 per trade when I could make $1,000? Why risk 1% when I could risk 10%? After all, my strategy was "proven" to work. I have the holy grail on hand. I just needed to scale up faster to reach my destination. Then reality hit. Three months later, my account was blown. But I wasn't worried. I just needed to deposit more money and trade better. This cycle repeated until I had lost my entire savings. The Hidden Cost of the Get-Rich-Quick Mindset The real danger isn't just losing money. It's the mindset that trading is a shortcut to getting rich.  You begin to put on bigger risks because you want larger profits. You skip proper education, because you want results now. You ignore risk management, because your account size grows too slow. You chase losses, because you can't accept small setbacks. You jump from strategy to strategy, trying to look for the holy grail. I see traders doing exactly what I did. They risk 50% of their account on one trade, hoping to double their money quickly. When it works, they feel like geniuses. When it fails eventually, they lose everything. The Uncomfortable Truth About Trading Success Here's what successful traders won't show you on Instagram: Years of studying and practice before becoming profitable. Countless hours of backtesting and analyzing trades. Multiple blown accounts while learning. Small, consistent gains instead of massive wins. Strict risk management that seems "too conservative." The reality? Most successful traders make 2-5% per month consistently. That's it. No lamborghinis, no private jets, just steady, compound growth over time. Think about the math. If you start with $10,000 and make 3% per month consistently, you'll have $14,257 after one year. Not exactly Instagram-worthy, is it? But after five years of compounding, that becomes $43,891. After ten years? $192,577. The Real Path to Trading Success When I finally accepted that trading wasn't a get-rich-quick scheme, everything changed. I stopped looking for the holy grail and started focusing on the basics: Proper risk management, never risking more than 1% per trade. Consistent execution of one simple strategy. Patient position building as my account grew. Regular review and improvement of my process. The transformation wasn't exciting. No massive winning days. No Instagram-worthy screenshots. Just small, consistent profits that compound over time. What Real Trading Looks Like Let me share what my trading looks like now.  Here's the reality: I take 2-3 trades per week, not 20 trades per day. My average winning trade is 2R, not 100R. I spend more time managing risk than looking for entries. Most of my trading days are boring and uneventful. This approach isn't sexy. It won't make you rich by next month. But it works, consistently and reliably. Building a Sustainable Trading Career The secret to trading success isn't finding the perfect strategy or indicator. It’s never about the holy grail. It's about changing your mindset from getting rich quickly to building wealth slowly. This means that you need to do the following: Understand that trading is a business, not a lottery ticket.  Focusing on risk management before profit potential. The longer you stay in the game, the closer your results will converge to your expected value.  Building proper habits and routines.  Celebrating consistency over big wins. Let big winners come by executing the same trade over and over again. Thinking in terms of years, not days or weeks. You underestimate how much you can accomplish over a long period of time, The Choice Is Yours You're at a crossroads right now. You can continue chasing the fantasy of quick riches, jumping from strategy to strategy, hoping to find that magical solution that will make you rich overnight. Or you can accept that trading success comes from consistent execution, proper risk management, and time.  It's not exciting. But it works. I've walked both paths. The first one cost me $10,000 and years of frustration. The second one led me to managing six-figure funded accounts and to be consistent in my trading. The idea of getting rich quickly is appealing, but the reality of consistent profits is always better.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Keeleytwj
Ripple Receives Approval for StablecoinMarket Update - December 13, 2024 Amazon shareholders urge the company to allocate 5% of its reserves to bitcoin:  The proposal highlights bitcoin’s outperformance against traditional assets and echoes similar moves by companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla. Crypto liquidations hit $1.5 billion Monday as bitcoin dipped below $95K:  But the world’s largest cryptocurrency rallied past $101,000 on Wednesday after positive inflation data set the stage for a rate cut next week. Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin secures approval from New York’s financial regulator:  The launch will now proceed with exchange and market-maker partnerships already in place. Hong Kong accelerates crypto licensing as global competition heats up:  Plans include streamlined approvals for crypto trading platforms and new regulation for stablecoins. The Cardano Foundation's X account was hacked, leading to fake announcements about a token and an SEC lawsuit:  The breach triggered significant trading activity and community confusion before being addressed by the Foundation. 🫱 Read more here ➕ Topic of the Week: IPOs, ICOs, and STOs – What’s the Difference?
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
My expectations for BTCI think everything is clear in the picture; Two equal movement sizes and its intersection with the trend line is the next price target before a deep correction (probably!) My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ali_kasma
BTCUSD SELLBitcoin (BTC) ends the working week hovering around $98,000 after a very volatile Thursday when it surpassed the $100K milestone and underwent a sharp correction. Strong institutional demand, whale accumulation, and the choice of a pro-crypto figure to lead the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) fueled the rally this weekHowever, traders should be cautious about a possible correction ahead as on-chain data shows holders booking profits at the top. Moreover, any moves from Mt.Gox funds and US government transfers could add to the selling pressureBitcoin surged past the $100K milestone on Thursday, reaching a peak of $104,088 before experiencing a sharp drop to $90,500. It ultimately recovered to close above $96,900. As of Friday, it is trading slightly above $98,000
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by KingForex078
1
Is Bitcoin Losing Momentum? Correction to 85K LikelyYesterday, Bitcoin experienced another drop, falling from above 100K and reaching a low of just over 94K, briefly touching the ascending trendline that dates back to the time of Trump’s election. While the price action since November 5 has been characterized by higher highs and higher lows—usually a sign of bullish momentum—the broader structure appears to signal a potential reversal. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin is struggling to sustain its highs, raising doubts about its ability to maintain upward momentum, at least for now. Although a new all-time high remains a possibility, I believe it is unlikely that Bitcoin will hold gains above 100K for an extended period. Instead, the more probable scenario involves a correction toward the 85K level. A critical area to monitor lies between 92,500 and 93,000. A decisive break below this support zone would confirm my bearish outlook and could signal the beginning of a deeper correction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob