Optimistic BTC TargetThis is my completely bull impression for BTC
Reaching a trendline between two previous ATH's
230K as an optimist
Weekly chart
BULLUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin towards new highsWe have seen this PA before and it was last year when btc was ranging from 30k to 40k.
I think now it is the right time to send it to 115k.
#btc #btcusd #elliottwave short sell setup wave a of 2 9Dec24This count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.
Bitcoin/crypto as a whole about to crashBitcoin seeing new ATH every week and we are all wondering when this bull run will end.
My prediction is very soon.
New ATH in the global markets and not just crypto. The cycles must end and the markets pull back. I've seen a lot of predictions saying that this could be mid 2025, my predicition is very early 2025 if not sooner.
Of course this is just my opinion and what I am doing personally, please let me know your thoughts below.
"The Liquidity Heist"Alright, let’s break this down because what we’re seeing here is no ordinary chart—this is the battleground where smart money and retail traders collide, and the story it’s telling is absolutely fascinating.
First, look at the Pi Cycle Moving Average. This isn’t just any moving average—it’s a dynamic gauge of momentum, and right now, it’s sloping downward. Bears might think they’re in control, but here’s the catch: this MA has been tested repeatedly, and when it flips, it has the potential to spark a significant trend reversal. So, it’s not just a line—it’s the pulse of the market.
Now, the Smart Money True Value Line. This green line isn’t some random support. This is where the big players, the whales, the institutions—whatever you want to call them—step in. It’s their hunting ground. When price hovers near this zone, it’s not just a coincidence. It’s where the market pauses, recalibrates, and potentially rebounds. Smart money doesn’t play the same game as retail—they’re the architects of these moves.
And what about the VWAP? The 1-Day VWAP is sitting above the current price. What does that mean? It means the market is undervalued compared to where volume-weighted price action expects it to be. It’s like gravity pulling the price upward, creating the perfect setup for a mean reversion.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting—the squeeze. See those yellow "+" symbols at the bottom? That’s a volatility squeeze, my friend. The market’s tightening, pressure’s building, and this is where breakouts are born. It’s like a coiled spring just waiting to release its energy. And considering all the factors on this chart, that energy seems primed for an upward explosion.
But let’s talk about the manipulation, shall we? Look at that $95,631 level—the stop-loss zone for short positions. This is where retail traders were baited into a trap. Whales engineered this move to trigger stop losses, creating a cascade of selling below that level. And what did they do? They quietly scooped up liquidity, leaving retail traders scrambling while they prepared for the next big move. This isn’t speculation—it’s how the game is played.
And those ATR Shark Fins? These are the finishing touch. Every time you see these fins at the bottom of the trend, they’re screaming, ‘Pullback incoming!’ It’s like the market’s way of saying it’s overextended, exhausted, and ready for a reversal. And here they are again, flashing at us like a signal in the dark.
So, what’s the verdict? While the bullish arrow is gone, the pieces are still in place. The Smart Money True Value Line, the squeeze, and the manipulation beneath $95,631 all point to one thing: an upward move is brewing. But—and here’s the kicker—we need confirmation. The market loves to keep us guessing, so until we see price action reclaim critical levels, we stay sharp, we stay ready, and we don’t jump the gun.
This chart isn’t just data; it’s a story of psychology, manipulation, and opportunity. The question is—are you paying attention?
When going long, it's crucial to recognize that upward price movements are likely to face a reversal. This is due to USDT.D manipulation, as seen on the weekly timeframe. I've detailed this setup in my idea titled 'The Institutional Ambush,' which highlights how these patterns are orchestrated by institutional forces. Always trade with caution and awareness of the bigger picture.
BTCUSD Short after a Massive 2 MonthsBTCUSD Medium term short - It might be worth placing a small sized EA on this pair and try to make a little money while we wait for Trump's inauguration in late Jan 2025.
Consolidation is most likely.
Adam n Eve Double Bottom bounce off 90k - 92k areaBitcoin has failed to break the 90k area 3 times now. The buying pressure is increasing with every dump, every dump becomes an opportunity. It has been awhile since we seen an Adam n Eve double bottom and when the play out they can be explosive. A slow downtrend into Christmas before the rally.
Possible target : 2 equal lows in h4 at around $92kI think that the price of the bitcoin could go to GETTEX:92K because there are 2 equal lows that you can see on this chart at approximatively $92000.
"Equal lows refer to a situation in trading where two or more price lows are at the same level or very close to each other on a chart. This concept is significant because it indicates a potential area where liquidity is resting. In trading, liquidity refers to the availability of buy or sell orders at a particular price level. When equal lows are present, it suggests that there are likely many stop-loss orders from traders who are long (buying) positioned just below these lows. This creates a pool of liquidity that can be targeted by the market."
Bitcoin: Time To Remove The Party Hats?Bitcoin may be on the verge of compromising the 90K support which I will interpret as a sign that the next broader corrective cycle MAY be beginning (Wave (IV)). IF this is the case, you can remove your Bitcoin 200K party hats for at least a YEAR or two. Gold had a similar outcome a few years back and persisted in a consolidation for two years before it broke out. A corrective cycle does NOT mean Bitcoin is going back to 50K (anything is possible though). It just means a prolonged consolidation may be on the horizon which will provide swing trade and investment opportunities for those who know what to WAIT for.
The arrow on the chart points to the 92K support that is in play at the moment. At as long as 90K is not broken, I anticipate at least one more attempt to test the high. This short term up leg is likely to test the 100K area. IF the higher high (break of 108) does not culminate from the next price advance, then it would be wise to reduce risk, lock in profits and LOWER expectations until bullish short term price structure can rebuild itself.
IF 90K is broken, the next inflection point on this time frame is the 86K area. Great profit objective for those bold enough to short this thing. If 86K is cleared, then its the low 80K area. Again this is one scenario of countless, the key is confirming the price action that supports this possibility, NOT to expect it. This is NOT a forecasting game, it is a interpreting and adjusting game.
With the major holiday week on the horizon, it would be best NOT to expect a LOT of action. Volume typically declines, and movements become very muted or you can get slow grinds that just stubbornly persist to some key level. Either way, it is usually best to avoid such markets, ESPECIALLY if you look at smaller time frames.
As far the the highs at 108K, anyone that bought anywhere above 100K is NOW at the mercy of the market. This is why I always warn my followers about buying into highs. Chances are you won't take your profits when the peak unfolds because you won't know its the peak until WAY after the fact. When I hear about people who have NO idea what Bitcoin is, now interested in "investing" in it, that screams THE PARTY IS OVER, for now. The best times to get in are usually when no one is paying attention, and for Bitcoin and the alt coins, that seems to take about a year or two from the peak. If you can't take the heat, don't play with fire (or Bitcoin).
Thank for you considering y analysis and perspective.
possible move. will updateThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView
"In markets, gravity always wins."📉 Bitcoin Analysis (BTC/USD) 📉
Bitcoin's meteoric 100% rise since September screams overextension. The euphoria may be fading, and a correction looks imminent.
🔻 Key Levels to Watch:
$73,800: The first major support—breaking this could accelerate the drop.
$65,600: A likely target if bears take full control.
The chart suggests BTC is overdue for a pullback. Corrections after such rallies aren’t just likely—they’re inevitable. Bulls, buckle up. Bears, this might be your moment.
"In markets, gravity always wins."
BTC Back to $80k ????Points of support on BTC do se see $80k??
BTC PULLING BACK HERE - DOES IT FIND SUPPORT AT THE 50 DAY AND HEAD NORTH OR DOES IT NEED TO PULL BACK FURTHER ?
Crypto Market Update: Key Developments and Analysis.Crypto Market Update: Key Developments and Analysis
1. Trump Nominates Stephen Miran as Chairman of Economic Advisory Council
President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Stephen Miran as Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, a position that will play a crucial role in shaping economic policy for the incoming administration. Miran, who previously served as a senior advisor to the Treasury Department in 2021, is well-known for his advocacy of deregulation to promote innovation across various sectors in the United States.
In a statement on social media, Miran expressed his excitement about the nomination: "I am beyond honoured that President Trump has chosen me to lead his Council of Economic Advisers. I look forward to working to help implement the President's policy agenda to create a booming, noninflationary economy that brings prosperity to all Americans!"
The crypto community has responded positively to Miran's nomination, largely due to his pro-innovation stance and openness towards digital assets and cryptocurrencies. His appointment is seen as a potential catalyst for more favourable regulatory environments for the crypto industry.
2. Bitcoin Social Sentiment Drops to Yearly Low, Signalling BTC Breakout
Social sentiment around Bitcoin has reached its lowest point in 2024, suggesting a possible recovery above the $100,000 mark for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. As of December 22, Bitcoin's price is down over 10% from its all-time high of above $108,300 recorded on December 17, trading at around $97,150.
This 10% correction has led to a significant drop in social media sentiment, with an average ratio of four to five positive versus negative Bitcoin-related comments. Market intelligence platform Sentiment highlighted this shift in a recent post, noting: “Vocal traders are now showing severe FUD, and that's good news for contrarians who know markets move in the opposite direction of retail's expectations.”
Other crypto analysts are also predicting an end to Bitcoin’s current correction below $100,000. Notably, Bitcoin’s daily chart showed three consecutive red candles for the first time since early November, a period that coincided with Donald Trump's US election victory. This historical pattern has led some to speculate that Bitcoin may soon experience a bullish reversal.
3. Interpol Issues "Red Notice" for Hex Founder Richard Heart
The international law enforcement organization, Interpol, has issued a "Red Notice" for Richard Schueler, also known as Richard Heart, the founder of Hex. Schueler is wanted by Finnish authorities for allegedly committing tax fraud and assault.
A Red Notice is a global request for law enforcement to locate and provisionally arrest a person, but it is not an international arrest warrant. Schueler is also listed on Europe’s most wanted fugitives list, where detailed allegations include physically assaulting a 16-year-old victim and committing tax evasion between June 2, 2020, and April 2, 2024.
The issuance of the Red Notice comes just three months after a remand order was initially issued for Schueler on September 13, according to Finnish public broadcaster Yle. This development has sent shockwaves through the crypto community, as Schueler is a well-known figure in the space.
These key developments in the crypto world highlight the dynamic nature of the market and the importance of staying informed. As the week progresses, traders and investors should closely monitor these stories and their potential impact on the broader financial landscape..
BTC Down channel breakoutBTC come out from Trendline i believe it's going to retest 73k before make any new move
Major Crypto Shake-Up🚨 Major Crypto Shake-Up: EU to Delist Tether's USDT by Dec 30 – What This Means for You! 🚨
💰 CRYPTOCAP:BTC 💰
Big changes are coming to the crypto world in Europe! Under the new Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulations, all crypto exchanges operating in the European Union must delist Tether’s USDT by December 30, 2024. This decision has sparked intense debates about its impact on liquidity, trading, and the broader crypto market in Europe.
🔎 Key Points to Know:
⚡ Liquidity Could Drop
USDT accounts for a significant share of crypto trading volumes. Its absence may make it harder for traders to execute trades efficiently.
⚡ Market Challenges
Lower liquidity might lead to higher slippage and reduced accessibility, potentially affecting the price of assets traded against USDT.
⚡ Opportunities for Other Stablecoins
This could open the door for alternatives like USDC, BUSD, or emerging stablecoins to fill the gap and gain traction in the market.
📢 Why Is This Happening?
The MiCA regulations aim to standardize and regulate digital assets in Europe. While the framework brings clarity, some stablecoins like USDT may fail to meet strict compliance requirements.
📉 What’s at Stake?
Market analysts and crypto executives worry that delisting USDT might hinder liquidity, especially in markets where it is dominant. On the other hand, some believe the shift could boost innovation by encouraging the adoption of compliant stablecoins.
🌍 The Bigger Picture
For crypto users and investors in Europe, this move could be a challenge in the short term but an opportunity in the long run. A more diversified and resilient market might emerge, driven by innovation and compliance.
💬 Your Take Matters!
What do you think about this regulatory decision?
Will it disrupt the market or pave the way for new opportunities?
Let’s discuss below! 🚀
End of the Bitcoin JourneyAfter not posting for a long time, I finally returned to analyzing the market, namely the Bitcoin market. From the chart here we can see the end of Eliotte, namely stage 5 in the 1 week time frame, which means what? That's right, we are at the end of the Bitcoin bullrun.
OK, I will explain a little about the chart that I made;
First, Bitcoin at the end of this year will reach its highest point at $109k-$119k then will fall slowly but still in the $100k area.
Second, Bitcoin will experience a fairly large decline to $60k- FWB:65K , why is that happening? as Bitcoin has a CME Bitcoin GAP in the $80k-$78k area.
Third, Bitcoin will experience a very large decline in March-April 2025, namely it will touch a price of $43k-$45k, why is that happening? because Bitcoin is currently forming a pattern, namely Head and Shoulders, with a low position between $43k-$48k.
What is next? OK, in my opinion, Bitcoin will hit $100k again in 2027, If;
1. Bitcoin support is strong in the $43k area
2. There is no Global Crisis.
If either happens then Bitcoin will hit $10k again. How is that possible? Yep, we forgot something, namely the CME Bitcoin GAP which is in the $9.8k area.
Maybe this is all I can say, and maybe I'll come back a few months from now.
If you find my explanation useful, don't forget to leave a donation in my Binance account with ID: 36103837 to support my idea. I'll just end it here and say thank you.
The "Donald Trump Dump" and the 2025 Bitcoin Blunder"Kamala Klimax" has become synonymous with an extraordinary period in the annals of cryptocurrency, having primed Bitcoin for an amazing run towards the $100,000 mark. As Vice President Kamala Harris championed progressive policies that resonated through the realms of technology and finance, her influence catalyzed significant bullish momentum within the blockchain sector. This era saw Bitcoin not merely rise, but soar, as it was buoyed by a wave of optimism and innovation.
The ascent was powered by a robust combination of regulatory relaxation and technological advancements. Harris's administration facilitated a fertile environment for fintech innovations, which in turn attracted a surge of institutional investors and crypto enthusiasts, all eager to partake in the burgeoning Bitcoin bonanza. The market sentiment was overwhelmingly positive, with the digital currency's value climbing to new, dizzying heights, nearing the once-unthinkable $100,000 milestone.
However, as with all epic tales, the peak is often followed by a precipitous fall. Enter the looming specter of the "Donald Trump MAGA Dump." As political tides shift and the former President hints at a dramatic return to power, the crypto community braces for potential upheaval. The MAGA movement, known for its tumultuous impact on markets, could instigate a drastic downturn, with Bitcoin potentially plummeting to $80,000—if it's lucky.
This expected "Dump" is feared to be fueled by a cocktail of controversial policies, unpredictable tweets, and a general shift towards economic nationalism, which may scare off international investors and shake the very foundations of the crypto market. The blockchain, once a beacon of bullish trends under the "Kamala Klimax," might soon face the wrath of renewed MAGA forces, potentially erasing significant gains and setting the stage for a new era of market uncertainty.
In conclusion, while the "Kamala Klimax" prepared Bitcoin for an unprecedented ascent, reaching towards $100,000, we now stand on the cusp of the "Donald Trump MAGA Dump," where a crash to $80,000 seems not only possible but probable. The cryptocurrency community must now navigate these choppy political waters with caution, as the winds of change threaten to shift from a gale of gains to a storm of losses.
Macro setup on BTC (bullish)Zooming out from the four-hour to the weekly (my favorite timeframe). It is easy to note that the chart does not look quite as bearish. The BBWP and stochastic RSI needed this cool off zone for a few days/weeks, this allows for continuation. BTC did not quite hit my target before the expected downturn. This remains my PT1. I believe we will see around 140k my April 1st given the fib projection. Once I see BTC hit around 140k, I will wait approximately 10 days and start to take profits on my alts I have been holding and averaging into. I am not willing to wait to see how that ends up. I will leave a few select alts to run until the end of cycle top which should be around 200k. Remember, no one ever got hurt from taking profits.
BTC bearish next week (4-hour)BTC is pretty bearish right now as it cools off. I do not usually share 4 hour charts these days, look at the resetting BBWP and RSI. This is a much needed cool off. This correction will allow whales to get that final under 100k entry before the Q1 pump. I expect more capitulation, and a daily wick to my initial target. Volume has dropped off making this easier to flush out.
Targets:
Next week a leverage flush will cause the 87-89k target
This will allow people to stack up before the new year
update. weekend tradeThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView
