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BULLUSD trade ideas

$BTC BITCOIN TRADERS EYE ‘HUGE’ US JOBS DATA AS BTC RISKS $95K BITCOIN TRADERS EYE ‘HUGE’ US JOBS DATA AS BTC RISKS $95K DIP 1/7 Bitcoin is hovering around GETTEX:97K , after dropping 3.5% yesterday. 🚀📉 Now, all eyes are on the upcoming US January jobs report—could it ignite the next major BTC move? 2/7 Prediction markets signal a 28% chance of a “huge beat” (300K+ jobs) vs. Wall Street’s 169K forecast. 📊 A stronger-than-expected jobs print might fuel more Fed hawkishness, pressuring risk assets like BTC. 3/7 Market Sentiment: If job numbers soar, the Fed could keep rates higher for longer. ⬆️🏦 CME’s FedWatch Tool shows a 14.5% chance for a 0.25% cut in March, meaning rate reductions are still unlikely. 4/7 Price & Liquidity: BTC sits in a narrow trading range. 💹 Traders see liquidity around $95K—we could dip there before another leg up. 5/7 BTC is “pinned” until a catalyst—like the jobs data—sparks real volatility. ⚡️ Will an oversized payroll number push BTC toward $95K or trigger a surprise bounce? 6/7 Where do you see BTC heading after the jobs data drop? 1️⃣ Dip to $95K 2️⃣ Sideways chop 3️⃣ Break above $100K 4️⃣ Something else? Vote below! 👇🗳️ 7/7 With strong job numbers, the Fed might keep its foot on the brake 🏁, challenging $BTC. But if the data disappoints, a relief rally could be on the table. Keep your risk management in check!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DCAChampion
1
BTC TRADEBitcoin (BTC/USD) Short Trade Analysis Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in a bullish trend, but a potential short-term pullback, is expected from the $96,556 level, with a downside target near $94,236. #Technical Analysis: 1. Trend & Price Action: - BTC is trading in an overall uptrend, but signs of exhaustion suggest a possible retracement. - The $96,556 level is acting as a potential **resistance zone**, where sellers may step in. 2. Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance:$96,556 – If BTC fails to break above this level, a downside move is likely. - Support:$94,236 – This level serves as the next key support where buyers might re-enter. 3. Technical Indicators: - RSI (Relative Strength Index):Approaching overbought levels, indicating a possible short-term correction. - MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):Shows signs of a bearish crossover, supporting a potential drop. - **Volume Analysis: A decrease in buying volume near $96,556 could signal weakness and a pullback. ###Fundamental Factors: - Market Sentiment: BTC remains bullish in the long term, but a healthy retracement is common before continuation. - Liquidity Zones: High liquidity around $94,236 could act as a magnet for price movement. - Macro Events: Any news related to interest rates, institutional buying, or crypto regulations could impact the trend. ###Trading Plan: - Entry: Look for a short position around $96,556, preferably with a rejection signal (e.g., bearish candlestick formation or increased selling volume). - **Target:First target at $94,236, with potential for further downside if selling pressure increases. - Stop Loss: Above $97,000 to manage risk. ##Conclusion: While BTC remains in a bullish trend, a temporary pullback from $96,556 to $94,236 is expected based on key resistance and technical indicators. Traders can look for short opportunities while managing risk with tight stop-loss placements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by areezsabir9999
Bitcoin showing some cracks - caution advised- follow up analysis on USDT D. chart I posted yesterday - the two have an inverse correlation so if USDT D. is making new all time lows, Bitcoin is making new ATHs and vice-versa - with USDT D. threatening a range breakout it therefore makes sense to watch for signs of weakness with Bitcoin itself - yesterday´s rejection happened right at the 0.618, making a lower high - furthermore a clean S/R flip (red) occured alongside a textbook rejection of the 50 level on the RSI - if range low is broken, the likely path for the king then is filling the CME gap that is roughly at the 78k area
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Mansasuma
Scalping Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trend: Bitcoin is currently showing a range-bound movement with local bearish pressure. Key Levels: Resistance: ~$99,700 - $100,000 Support: ~$96,500 - $97,000 Indicators: MACD: Weak momentum, approaching a potential crossover. EMA: Price is hovering near the 50 EMA, indicating indecisiveness. Volume: Decreasing, suggesting market participants are waiting for confirmation. 🔥 Scalping Strategy: 🩸 1. Range Scalping (Low Volatility Environment) Why? Price is trading between support and resistance without strong breakouts. How? Buy near $96,500 - $97,000 Sell near $99,500 - $100,000 Take quick profits, as price action is choppy. 🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Price Moves Aggressively) Trigger: Break above $100,000 or drop below $96,500. Execution: If price breaks $100,000 → Scalp long targeting $101,500 - $102,000. If price drops below $96,500 → Scalp short aiming for $95,000. 🩸 3. EMA Scalping Why? Price is near the 50 EMA, which can act as support or resistance. Execution: Buy when price bounces off EMA (confirmation via MACD crossover). Sell if price rejects EMA and continues downward. 🔥 News & Market Context: Neutral sentiment, with no significant macro news or FOMO/FUD at the moment. Liquidity levels suggest that a breakout may occur, but no clear trigger yet. 🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out? 🩸 Current Situation: Market is indecisive, making scalping viable but risky. 🩸 Recommendation: Low-risk range scalping is the best choice until momentum confirms a breakout. 🩸 Ideal Entry: Buy near $96,500 or sell near $99,500, keeping tight stop-losses. 👑 Final Verdict: Scalp with caution, but be ready for breakout confirmation. 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FinCaesar
BTCIn the monthly timeframe, to identify the final target of Bitcoin’s bullish rally, we observe that in previous rallies, Bitcoin has reached the 13.618 target and then the 3.618 target. In the current bullish wave: If Bitcoin reaches the 1.618 Fibonacci target, it will hit $122,423. The 2.618 Fibonacci target corresponds to $188,166. If it extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci target, it will reach $253,910. Bitcoin has already reacted to the 1.414 Fibonacci level at $109,414, and its previous reaction was at the 1.272 Fibonacci level at $99,676.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ozairal83
$BTC sneezes, putting your altcoins on Life Support.CRYPTOCAP:BTC sneezes, and altcoins immediately end up in intensive care. But in reality, it's all about that one chart the dumb money never pays attention to—the DXY. The Dollar Strength Index found support exactly at the Fair Value Gap and is currently testing the nearest key resistance at 108.05. Watch this chart or just check the value today—you’ll see how true my words are. Over 108.05, more bleeding. Any strong correction, and CRYPTOCAP:ETH will try to push through its resistances. Watching this unfold. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum seem fine, sitting at strong support levels. And it’s nice to see Nvidia rebounding this week as well. Stay safe, protect capital—we are near Capitulation, which means the bottom has either been in or is very close. 💙👽 PS. I publish my stuff regularly on Binance SQUARE, more images are allowed there, and no cap on a number of posts/updates, unlike here. With this post, I have included the TVC:DXY and CRYPTOCAP:ETH charts, as well. Check it out: app.binance.com
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by ColdBloodedCharter
Golden Cross up ....The 200-day moving average resides at 7786874, which is below the current market offering underlying technical support on a psychological basis. This market is moving into what is called the Golden Cross, when the 50 unit moving average crosses above the 200, warning that the market may technically turn sharply to the upside. which is below the market at 7786874 given the last Daily closing of 9781900 while the 50 Daily moving average resides at 9923052.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by dpopovici
Bitcoin Cycle Evolution: Angular Analysis of Peak FormationsAs the cryptocurrency market matures, we observe a fascinating phenomenon in Bitcoin's price dynamics: the gradual reduction in cycle volatility. This analysis presents a geometric approach to understanding and potentially forecasting this pattern through the lens of angular momentum in logarithmic price movements. P.S. TradingView has broken the candlestick ratio, you can still adjust the angle lines correctly using the chart scaling change. Methodology By examining the angular coefficients of price trajectories during Bitcoin's historical 4-year cycles, we can identify a distinct pattern of decreasing slope intensity. These angles, measured from cycle lows to peaks, demonstrate a logarithmic decay pattern that aligns with market maturation theory. Our analysis focuses on end-of-year movements, particularly November-December periods, which have historically served as critical pivot points in Bitcoin's price action. Current Findings The angular progression suggests two key trajectory angles for upcoming cycles: Current cycle (2021-2025): ~34° upward momentum Next cycle (2026-2029): ~29° upward momentum This decreasing angular pattern reflects growing market efficiency and institutional participation, leading to more moderate price appreciations in subsequent cycles. Price Projections Based on this geometric framework, we anticipate three key price levels: 2024 Cycle Peak: $150,000-200,000 Primary resistance: $150,000 Maximum extension potential: $170,000 (scam-wick) Characterized by reduced volatility compared to previous cycles 2024 Cycle Bottom: $44,000-50,000 Represents a higher structural low Optimal accumulation zone for long-term positions Enhanced market stability at support levels 2028 Cycle Peak: ~$300,000 Terminal point: November 2029 Reflects continued market maturation Demonstrates significantly dampened volatility Market Implications This geometric approach aligns with efficient market hypothesis principles, suggesting that as Bitcoin's market structure becomes more sophisticated, price movements naturally become more measured. The decreasing angular coefficients quantify this maturation process, providing a mathematical framework for what many market participants intuitively understand. Risk Assessment While this analysis provides a structured approach to understanding Bitcoin's cycle evolution, it should not be considered financial advice. The model is based on geometric patterns and historical behavior, which may not fully capture future market dynamics. Like the work? Hit the like button to support more analytical content. Note: This analysis employs logarithmic scaling to better visualize percentage-based price movements and cyclical patterns.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Paramonov95
BTC Fractal PredictionFacts: The orange oval shows the part of the chart I used to create the forecast. Yelllow green zones are demand FVGs and purple zones are supply. The green zone signifies the demand order block, and the zones are based on 9h TF. Fibs are based on long term levels (not drawn from renko values). *Note this is a Renko chart Opinion: If the prediction has any semblance to what will happen, it would be reasonable to suggest longs are accumulating down to maybe 88k without going too low where traders will then try to grab as much liquidity from 91-99k on the way up to sell after they push the price past ATH. A wick down to 88k, as low as even 84k could be expected here, and if the fear index continues dropping we might even see 80k being the target with a wick down to 76k. A bottom in the 70k range might result in an ATH target around 169k, while 141k would be what I think is the next top for a less extreme scenario, 123-125k being either the consolidation or retracement level for all cases. Next level after 141/169 would be the big 200k, where in most attempts at using this method of pattern prediction has shown it would very quickly retrace from. As time passes, confidence in the 73k level as final support is increasing quickly as VWAPS, ATR based supports and moving averages continue to meet and surpass that price level on longer and longer timeframes and lengths. It might require very specific circumstances along with a very coordinated selloff to cause the price to drop below 73. How the market reacts once we break our 91k support will be interesting to see as there are more new investors and crytpo derivatives this season than ever.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by sadture
BTC is setting up nicely for the weakend Btc is forming a descending triangle that i think will bounce here... but for how long... i see upside potential to just before 100k i think bears will front run 100k and 99,8xx is about the highest we see before we get a flush this weekend... i really believe we see 89k in the not too distant future.. but as i always say... you can only chart until the next move so i will wait for the rejection at 100k and reasses my thought and trade plan... Always stick to your trade plan and follow best trading practices(why did you get into this trade, is your idea still valid, where are you cutting losses, where are you taking profits) all of these factors should be know at least to you before you enter the trade. Capital preservation is always the #1 key to making money.... Stay Green
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JTess