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BULLUSD trade ideas

Aggressive scalp BTC Long After a big dump, noticed a ms change on the 15 min timeframe, would like to trade VAL to POC and possibly VAH, but TP will be avwap, found some support on vwap, middle of new local channel. Consider the low an SFP of the monthly level, the wick touched the middle of prev month eq wick and hit a dnpoc, that's proper support. But more downside is still possible, on the htf ms is still bearish, so consider this an aggressive entry, with a tight SL, just below the monthly level. Trail SL up, allow 1k drawback
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by edbout
$BTC: Aftermath of That Earthquake – My Main Conclusions ...CRYPTOCAP:BTC : Aftermath of That Earthquake – My Main Conclusions and Strategy 1. Flash Crash Precision: The drop nailed the lower boundary of Bitcoin’s main range to the T. I’m kicking myself for not having any orders at $91K– GETTEX:92K , but it is what it is. Spot top-up at $99K → Triggered. Low leverage from GETTEX:97K → Triggered. Normal leverage from $95K → Triggered. Tough call ahead—hold or cut amid ongoing chaos? With macro still in flux, politicians are holding the dice. But I’m keeping these positions—here’s why. 2. DXY Rejection at 109.9: The Dollar Index (DXY) spiked to 109.9, got slapped down, and is now falling. My key pivot 109.4 is the level to watch—it’s currently below at 109.11. If it reclaims 109.4, I’ll reduce BTC leverage or take a defensive cut before losses snowball. Tight TA and instant reaction time are a must this week. 3. Liquidation Wipeout & Market Incentives: Huge liquidations swept the board on the way down. No major liquidity pools left until the mid-$80Ks. But Mr. Market Maker has every reason to squeeze the shorts—the logical move would be a push above $106K to annihilate them. 4. A Headline-Driven Market: Right now, breaking news dictates price action. Imagine China retaliating with tariffs—instant bloodbath. That liquidity sitting below $85K would become the market’s next chew toy. All in all: how I see it, in a nutshell: Mad times. Money can be made, but positioning and reaction speed are being tested like never before. 💙👽
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by ColdBloodedCharter
btc & gold LIVE TRADE Gold trading strategies surround a range of methodologies designed to profit from gold’s price movements, considering factors such as market trends, economic indicators, and geopolitical events. Strategies for gold trading vary widely, from short-term approaches like collapse and range trading to long-term investment perspectives centered on macroeconomic trends and hedging against market risks. Effective gold trading strategies require a blend of technical and fundamental market analysis, a clear understanding of the associated risks, and the incorporation of risk management practices. We show you an example of a gold trading strategy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Vishalatul097
BIT COIN - Support & Resistance BIT COIN - Support & Resistance Key Levels Support Level: $91,500 This level has proven to be a strong cushion in recent sessions, indicating buyer interest. If Bitcoin tests this area again, we could see a rebound as long positions are reinitiated. A sustained break below $91,500 might trigger further downside, so watching volume and price action near this support will be crucial. Resistance Level: $106,500 On the upside, $106,500 represents a significant hurdle where selling pressure has historically increased. A break above this resistance could signal a bullish momentum shift, inviting additional buyers and possibly setting the stage for further rallies. However, failure to clear this level might result in a consolidation phase or a pullback.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by sudtintin
Bitcoin - Bitcoin lost $100,000?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In the past trading week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow of $560 million, though this represents a significant decline compared to the previous two weeks. Meanwhile, as of January 31, 2025, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a minor outflow of $45 million, though this decline was not particularly drastic. At the same time, Standard Chartered Bank has advised investors in a new research note to view Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000 and the over 6% single-day decline in the crypto market as a buying opportunity. Jeff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated: “Hope is not a strategy.” He further explained: “When hope disappears, digital asset prices tend to fall by 10% to 20%.” Despite recent market volatility, Standard Chartered remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. The bank’s research suggests that growing institutional interest could accelerate Bitcoin’s potential surge to $200,000 by the end of the year. Last week, Donald Trump fulfilled two key promises to the crypto industry: 1. Granting clemency to Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, who is regarded as a symbolic figure among Bitcoin and libertarian communities. 2.Signing an executive order on cryptocurrencies, which aims to enhance regulatory transparency for digital assets, promote stablecoins, prevent the debanking of the crypto sector, and ban the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). In parallel, Jeff Kendrick of Standard Chartered also warned investors to pay close attention to altcoins, referring to cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin that are expected to experience significant growth in the coming year. He stated: “As soon as we enter the second phase, in my view, the altcoin season will begin.” Kendrick further noted that institutional flows will primarily drive Bitcoin and Ethereum investments, partially offsetting the rotation into altcoins. Responding to the growing interest in Bitcoin and Solana, MetaMask is planning to expand beyond Ethereum. The company is currently working on integrating Bitcoin functionality while simultaneously exploring decentralized finance (DeFi) opportunities across multiple blockchain ecosystems. Meanwhile, Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick has identified the establishment of a state Bitcoin reserve as a top priority for 2025. Texas, already a pioneer in adopting Bitcoin at the state level, continues on this path despite challenges at the national level. If the proposal is approved, Texas will become the first U.S. state to hold Bitcoin as a financial reserve on its balance sheet, a move that could accelerate Bitcoin adoption within the U.S. financial system.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BTCUSD: Correction or change of trend?By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The cryptocurrency market experienced a turbulent weekend with a significant drop in the price of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) initiated on Thursday, January 30. The world's leading cryptocurrency retreated sharply, losing -14.29% in four trading days, with a particularly aggressive plunge on Sunday, when it lost -10.05% in a single day. This move generated uncertainty among long-term investors and left open the question of whether this is a simple correction or the beginning of a trend change. Factors behind the drop Several factors may have contributed to this correction in the BTC price: 1. profit-taking: a fter a strong bull rally in recent weeks, many institutional and retail investors decided to lock in profits, leading to selling pressure. 2. Market liquidity: Weekend moves are often amplified by lower liquidity on exchanges, which can exacerbate declines when there is an increase in BTC supply. 3. Macroeconomic data and Fed expectations: uncertainty about future interest rate decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve has affected risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. 4. Movements in portfolios of large holders (“whales”): On-chain data shows that some large portfolios transferred significant volumes of BTC to exchanges, a signal that often precedes massive sales. Technical Outlook: What to expect? From a technical point of view, the fall led BTC/USD to test key support levels. Currently the price is trading at $93490, if the price manages to recover above $97000 during this week, we could see a technical rebound in the short term. However, if the selling pressure persists and support gives way, the next bearish target is at $90,800. Technical indicators reinforce the uncertainty: - RSI (Relative Strength Index): Over the weekend, BTC entered an oversold zone, although it has shown a slight recovery to 43.40%, suggesting a possible rebound in the coming sessions. - 50/100-day moving average: On Saturday, the price pierced the 50-day moving average to the downside, adding the 100-day moving average as a reinforcement of that trend, which casts doubt on the continuation of the uptrend of the past few weeks. Without a quick recovery, we could be looking at a deeper correction. - Control Point (POC): The current control point in the long term is located around $103,000, this is the bullish possibility we are talking about as a continuation of this trend. Conclusion Despite the fall, Bitcoin remains within a long-term bullish structure. However, the coming sessions will be decisive in defining whether the recent correction is just a breather within the rally or the beginning of a more prolonged trend reversal. The market reaction in the coming days and the evolution of macroeconomic factors will set the direction of BTC/USD in the short and medium term. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BTCUSDShort
by ActivTrades
BTC updateThe Illusion of Certainty in Markets & The science of Bias In trading, the desire for certainty is one of the most dangerous psychological pitfalls a trader can fall into. While BTC may be displaying bullish behavior, the fact remains that we cannot "know" what will happen next. This fundamental truth often clashes with human nature, as our brains are wired to seek patterns and predictability. However, markets are probabilistic, not deterministic. As price unfolds, the picture becomes clearer , not because the market is revealing some preordained script, but because each new piece of data refines our understanding of probabilities. The most successful traders accept this reality and remain fluid, adjusting their perspectives as new information becomes available. The science of Encoding Poor Information One of the greatest cognitive traps traders fall into is becoming married to their desires or biases. This happens because of the way our brain encodes information: 1. Dopaminergic Reinforcement - When we form an expectation (e.g., "BTC is bullish, so it must go higher"), and the market moves in our favour, our brain releases dopamine , reinforcing the belief that we were "right." - This creates a confirmation loop, we start filtering information to support our bias and dismiss evidence that contradicts it. 2. Cognitive Rigidity & Belief Encoding - The prefrontal cortex , responsible for rational thinking, is often overridden by the limbic system , which governs emotions and survival instincts. - If we've emotionally attached ourselves to an outcome, our brain literally rewires itself to treat contradicting information as a threat rather than a useful input. 3. Sunk Cost Fallacy & Commitment Bias - The more time and energy we invest into a particular belief, the harder it becomes to let go, even when new information suggests we should. - This is why traders hold onto losing trades , refusing to accept new probabilities because it would require admitting they were wrong. How to Stay Probabilistic & Avoid Mental Traps 1. Detach from Outcomes Focus on executing a well-defined process , not on proving your prediction was "right." 2. Constant Re-Evaluation Every new price movement should be treated as new information that either strengthens or weakens existing probabilities. 3. Active Neutrality Never assign a fixed narrative (e.g., "BTC is going to explode higher"). Instead, frame it probabilistically: - "BTC has an X% probability of continuing higher, but a Y% probability of reversal if conditions change." 4. Train Yourself to Embrace Opposing Views If you are bullish, seek out bearish arguments and assess their validity. 5. Use Mental Stop-Losses for Biases Just as we place stop-losses on trades, we must be willing to "cut" faulty narratives when price action disproves them. Final Thought The market is not a certainty machine—it is a probability engine . The sooner a trader embraces uncertainty, the sooner they free themselves from emotional bias. Traders don’t predict, they adapt. It’s not about being right. It’s about staying on the right side of probability.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SERVER_SEVEN
Strong correction for #bitcoin. What now?Bitcoin’s Weekend Correction: A Deep Dive into Fundamentals, Technicals & Market Sentiment Bitcoin experienced a significant correction over the weekend. This move was driven by a combination of fundamental factors, technical breakdowns, and broader market sentiment. Let’s break it down: --- 📌 Fundamental Analysis: What Triggered the Drop? 1️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions & Trade Policy Former U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on imports from China, Canada, and Mexico. These trade measures raised concerns over potential inflationary effects, which could delay any Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. With interest rates remaining high, risk assets like Bitcoin face selling pressure from institutional investors. --- 2️⃣ Institutional Selling & Market Liquidity Large institutions and whales may have taken profits near key resistance zones. Liquidity was relatively low over the weekend, meaning smaller sell-offs triggered larger downward moves. --- 📉 Technical Analysis: Breakdown of Key Levels Bitcoin’s price action followed classic technical breakdown patterns, accelerating the sell-off: ✅ Major Support Levels: GETTEX:92K → Held briefly before breaking lower. GETTEX:87K → Psychological level, but weak buying interest. $74K → A crucial demand zone where BTC could stabilize. ❌ Resistance to Watch for a Recovery: $106K → If BTC reclaims this level, bullish momentum could return. --- 🌍 Market Sentiment: Correlation With Traditional Markets 🔻 Stock Market Influence: The recent sell-off in the Nasdaq (due to uncertainty in AI stocks) contributed to Bitcoin’s correction. The crypto market remains highly correlated with broader financial trends, especially during times of market stress. --- 📅 Historical Trends: February Bullishness Historically, February is a strong month for Bitcoin, with an average price increase of 15.66%. While short-term volatility persists, past data suggests a potential recovery in the coming weeks. 🔗 Bitcoin’s February performance history --- 💡 What’s Next for Bitcoin? 🔸 Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above GETTEX:87K - GETTEX:92K , it could bounce back toward $100K+. A break above $106K would signal a renewed bullish trend. 🔹 Bearish Case: Failure to reclaim GETTEX:92K could lead to a retest of $74K. Increased selling pressure from institutions or worsening macroeconomic conditions could prolong the correction. --- 📣 Final Thoughts: Buy the Dip or More Downside? Bitcoin’s correction wasn’t unexpected, given macroeconomic uncertainty and technical resistance levels. However, with the halving approaching and historical February trends in mind, the market could be setting up for a strong recovery.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by RidgerR
Bitcoin big dump🔸 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Sideways: Bitcoin is consolidating within a clear sideways range of GETTEX:89K - $110K, Liquidity is being absorbed within this range, and market makers (MM) seem comfortable maintaining this structure for now. This suggests a deliberate effort to trap liquidity before a significant move. 🔸 Key Support Zone The GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K zone remains a strong accumulation area, providing an ideal entry point for long-term investors. This level has consistently acted as a solid support, making it a crucial zone for risk-managed trades. 🔸 Upside Target: A breakout above $110K would validate a bullish push toward $140K-$180K. 🔸 Risk: Macroeconomic and fundamental risks, such as Trump Coin and the Forbes report on Michael Saylor, add caution to the market. However, we are still far from a critical danger level—it would take at least 4-5 major warning signs before a significant market downturn becomes more likely. From an institutional perspective, BlackRock recently acquired 30K BTC in January, reinforcing a long-term bullish outlook. Their continued accumulation indicates confidence in Bitcoin's future price appreciation. However, short-term shakeouts remain possible as market makers attempt to remove weak hands. 🔸 Action Plan: No-Trade Zone: BTC’s current price action in the middle of the range is risky, as MM are manipulating liquidity on both sides. Buy at GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K , hold for breakout, and take short-term profits at $100K-$110K. BTC remains range-bound, requiring patience from traders and investors. While major institutions continue accumulating, the next few months will be crucial. If warning signs escalate (reaching 4-5 major risk events), it will be time to exit positions. Until then, traders should focus on trading within the range, managing risk carefully, and avoiding unnecessary euphoria.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal