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BTC ANALYSIS BTC/USD Technical Outlook Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a significant resistance zone near $100,000, with bearish signals indicating a potential retracement. Key Observations: 1. Resistance Zone: BTC faces strong resistance around the $100,000 level, making it a critical area for potential reversals. 2. Short-Term Bearish Bias: Price action shows signs of consolidation below the resistance zone, suggesting a potential move downward. 3. Target Levels: Take Profit 1: $96,000 Take Profit 2: $94,000 Support Zone: The broader support zone lies near $92,000, where buyers may step in to defend. Note: This analysis is based on technical indicators and historical price patterns. Markets are subject to volatility, and this is not financial advice. Always practice proper risk management when trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AlphaSignalss
$BTC first wave correctionIf I look back and history will repeat itself, we experienced a reasonable bull wave in both the first week of January 2017 and the first week of January 2021, followed by a very rapid correction of around 50%. To be honest, I expected the correction, but not that the bull run would last so short. To the extent that this pattern repeats itself, we will consolidate next week. The positive thing about this is that around the time of the inauguration of Trump or any US president, a good bull run follows. Despite this ugly rejection of important zones and despite the fact that we really have a deep correction, it is exactly in line with the previous periods in January and we will see our deposit doubled quite a few times from January 20. So here I would say. Take advantage of the discount you get. Hang in there a little longer and as long as we continue to hang around this price next week, you will be rewarded afterwards. If you enjoy my charts and insights, you'll find even more exclusive content and analysis on X. By following me, you'll gain access to timely updates and can join a growing community of like-minded enthusiasts. Click the X logo below to explore and connect—we're building something amazing together, and I'd love for you to be a part of it! Be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RidgerR
Bitcoin Recession IncomingBitcoin is showing a clear pattern of long-term resistance at the ascending trendline, as depicted in the chart. Each time the price has approached this trendline—marked by significant peaks—it has faced strong rejection, leading to sharp and prolonged downturns. This consistent inability to break above the trendline signals that Bitcoin's price is heavily constrained by historical resistance levels. The most recent peak highlights a similar rejection pattern, coupled with a steep reversal. This suggests that market sentiment is weakening, and buyers are losing momentum. Given the history of substantial crashes following these rejections, it is highly probable that Bitcoin is on the verge of another significant decline. With the broader crypto markets often mirroring Bitcoin's movements, this impending drop could trigger a domino effect across all digital assets. To protect your capital, it would be prudent to exit crypto markets immediately, as the technical signals strongly point toward an imminent crash.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by WhaleWire
BTC Turns BearishBitcoin's daily chart is showing continued bearish momentum after rejecting from the $106,099 resistance level and losing the critical $99,860 support. The price has now dropped below the 50-day moving average, which sits around $97,700, flipping this level into potential resistance. This breakdown suggests that the short-term trend has shifted bearish. The increasing sell volume accompanying the breakdown underscores growing bearish pressure, while the RSI continues to slide downward, indicating weakening bullish strength. Despite this, the RSI has not yet reached oversold levels, leaving room for further downside. Key support now lies in the $88,800-$90,600 zone, which has acted as a demand area in the past. If Bitcoin fails to hold this range, further downside toward lower support levels could materialize. To regain bullish momentum, Bitcoin must reclaim both the $97,700 50-day moving average and the $99,860 resistance. Until then, the market remains tilted toward caution, with downside risks still in play.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
Crypto Alpha Report - January 7Happy Tuesday, friends! With the current AI Agent narrative likely leaving your heads spin as you scramble to deploy capital, let’s reflect on how to truly make money consistently in this market, regardless of what the meta is. Well, what’s the secret? Scrolling X all day and night? Buying whatever your favorite influencer shills? Listening to every Bankless podcast to keep up on the current alpha? While all of those things can sometimes get you into profitable positions, if you can’t define your strategy to me within 60 seconds, you are unlikely to achieve long-term success in this market. Countless cryptocurrencies will go up and come down. You do not, nor does anyone, have the capacity to be involved in every successful project. You only have so much time in the day. You must narrow your focus. You must narrow your entry and exit conditions. You need, in short, an actual strategy. Trading without a strategy is riding turbulent waves of emotions: utter joy when your portfolio goes up, utter terror and uncertainty when it goes down. Inevitably, you will make emotional, impulsive decisions on whether to buy or sell, often determined by others’ “alpha.” There is no single successful trader out there who outsources their decision like this. Every successful trader I’ve met and interviewed can define their strategy within 60 seconds. That doesn’t mean the strategy has to be simple, but it has to be definable and actionable. Example: “I monitor high-volume projects fitting the current meta-narrative. I then wait for a bullish MA cross on the 1H timeframe and go in with x profit target and x stop loss. My win rate is X. My average win per win is X. My average loss per loss is X.” There could have been a few more sentences to describe the entry and exit conditions; some traders don’t use hard stops or profit targets and instead rely on alerts or technical signals. There’s nothing wrong with this. But your strategy needs to, in essence, be quantifiable like this. Otherwise, you’re just randomly buying and selling. Your strategy is luck. Unfortunately, this market does not reward those who depend on luck; it rewards those who put in the hard work. If you know you’re just relying on luck, I challenge you. Spend one week trading a simple strategy. It can be on Bitcoin, on any timeframe, or Solana meme coins. I don’t care. Just sit down and define a strategy. If you can’t be bothered, I’ll supply you with one. 1H Timeframe: Bullish EMA Cross - 21/55. Your buy condition is active when the 21 EMA crosses over the 55 EMA. That’s your overall “we can buy” signal. Entry Signal: 5-Minute Timeframe: Buy when the 5-minute RSI is oversold (below 30%). Exit Signal: 5-Minute Timeframe: Buy when the 5-minute RSI is overbought (above 70%). Sell at a loss if the One-Hour 21 EMA crosses below the 55 EMA. It is a simple technical strategy that works very well in bull markets. I’m not promising you’ll make money, but you have a good chance to. But I want you to focus on your mental and emotional state over the week of this challenge. You will notice how in control you feel and how calculating you become. You will no longer be gripped by anxiety or a feeling of missing out. You will simply be waiting for your opportunities. Ultimately, you can reflect on what went well, what went wrong, and how you could improve. This is the mindset I want you to carry forward because once you start trading with a strategy, you’re unlikely to look back. Onwards and upwards, friends! Crypto Market Update Stablecoin Dominance There is a sizeable move up in this metric today, +4.80%. Daily Momentum returned to the upside after our momentum oscillator neared -2.00% conditions. This metric is still in a downtrend, and we need to see a significant market pivot to reverse that trend. Bitcoin + Stablecoin Dominance A movement up of 0.35%, so we know this movement is dominated mainly by the significant increase in Stablecoin Dominance. In other words, there is a big glut of profit taking on Bitcoin. It's still in a bearish trend. Altcoin Performance Relative to Bitcoin Altcoins are also taking a slight hit today, as this metric is down by -0.55%. Still in a bullish trend, so I still expect altcoins to perform favorably. Bitcoin Bitcoin is experiencing a lot of profit-taking today, as traders capitalize on the ‘Bull Trap’ zone above $100,000. Trends 5M: Bearish 30M: Neutral 1H: Bullish 4H: Bullish D: Bullish W: Bullish Significant selling pressure has caused Bitcoin to lose its lower timeframe bullish trends. Although the selling today was quite dramatic, there’s not too much concern for alarm technically. Daily and Weekly bullish trends remain intact, with trend support from $92,000 - $94,000. The 4H chart suggests ranging price action, oscillating around the 4H 200 SMA. A higher low above $94,000 would confirm a local bottom and a second push above $100,000 - likely beginning to form a bottom within the next few days. Key Levels POC: $93,637 VWAP: $99,514 Value Area High: $101,524 - $103,455 Value Area Low: $95,570 - $97,500 Next Liquidity Zone Above: $100,400 - $101,120 Next Liquidity Zone Below: $95,499 - $95,770 The bottom shelf of the Liquidity Zone Bitcoin currently trades in terminates at $96,331. There is a void in liquidity slightly below that at $95,900. The first group of buyers have stepped in on Bitcoin between $97-$98K. Strategy: Significant liquidity was just tapped, as stops below $97,500 support just got taken out. There is potential to see a short-term bounce to $99,000; however, that’s a much higher risk. Catching falling knives is dangerous, particularly with Bitcoin. Big picture: a higher low above $94,000 is necessary for continued price appreciation throughout the next week in January. This is a bit early cycle-wise to expect a reversal in Bitcoin’s price; we currently estimate that early January should be bullish for Bitcoin - however, rules exist to be broken. Regardless, our first limit fill at $97,000 was just filled, and we have an additional order at $96,000. Our target for BTC in January is $105-108,000.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by CrackingCryptocurrency
Will Bitcoin fall below 60K?Will Bitcoin fall below 60K? bitcoin dips below 60k, but we're unfazed. i see this playing out as we move into the depths of winter,,, this crypto winter ❄️ why would this happen, you ask? the answer is simple: a stop-loss raid. a sharp wave 4 designed to shake out weak hands. distribution may have already started, hypothetically speaking, but it'll take the rest of the year to unfold. think of it like the jan 2021 -> april 2021 vibe, only on a slightly higher degree and timeframe. --- take note of the highlighted wave 2's and wave 4's on my chart. what i'm illustrating is "the law of alternation," which states: if wave 2 is flat, wave 4 will be sharp, and vice versa. all the wave 2's in this cycle have been flats, so by design, all of our wave 4's are set to be sharps. this fits neatly into the larger cycle: sharp retracements triggered by over-leveraged positions, yet consistently bought up thanks to strong demand. with each sharp retracement, however, the upward moves become smaller, as momentum gradually fades. --- w4 target: below 60k w5 target: between 150k-200k (conservatively).
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Sarim-Trader
14
(Spicy) january 8 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the NASDAQ 30-minute chart. This is the movement after the analysis article was written. During the blue finger short->long switching strategy, it did not rise to the short entry point, but reached the green support line in the 2nd section in the 1st vertical decline section. After that, as I explained, watch the movement from the bottom to the 3rd section. This is the daily chart of Tether Dominance. If it is normal, It is impossible to break through the Bollinger Band resistance line, center line, and support line at once with one candle But since it is forcibly coupled to the Nasdaq movement, Please watch the detailed movement. If it is normal, Since only one daily candle is created per day, Until 9 AM tomorrow, Since Tether Dominance is attempting to break through the center line with one daily chart candle, There should be an adjustment at the current location or the next wave. Because, As explained above, In the case of ignoring the Bollinger Band center line with one daily chart candle, and reaching the resistance line at once, It is a movement that occurs only once or twice a year. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. During the analysis, the Nasdaq vertical decline is in progress, and it is breaking the major drawing section in real time, so we will proceed without changing the strategy. Currently, the daily chart MACD dead cross is in progress for 12 hours, and unlike Nasdaq, there is still some room until the weekly chart MACD dead cross. Instead, Bitcoin created a daily chart today, and touched the support line first, so the downside is open, so it can fall strongly if it breaks away. The Nasdaq indicator will be announced at 10:30 in a little while. *When the blue finger moves, it is a short position strategy short->long->short switching strategy. 1. $96,446 short position entry section / stop loss price when red resistance line is broken 2. $94,410.5 long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken or section 2 is touched 3. $96,935 short position switching / stop loss price when light blue resistance line is broken After that, while maintaining short position, the final long switching strategy was to check MACD main signals and support lines. As you can see, it is being adjusted without the most basic short position entry point due to forced coupling with Nasdaq. In order for a vertical decline to occur, at least section 1 at the top -> 15-minute resistance that has not been touched even once today + 30-minute central line should be touched, but it is just falling. The reason why section 1 and section 2 at the bottom are marked is because of the connection. If there is a miraculous rebound from the current position, The blue finger movement path is valid. Since it is falling without touching the first section from the current position, the second section may be dangerous, and the bottom is where the Bollinger Band 12-hour chart support line + daily support line meet, and the point indicated up to 91.4K is the mid-term upward trend line. If you can somehow hold this point, you can take a breather from the long position. If the MACD dead cross pressure on the weekly chart progresses, it may continue to shake up and down or repeat adjustments for several weeks rather than rebounding. Please use my analysis so far for reference and use only, and I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by BitCoinGuide
ON THE EDGE - HAEDS OR TAILS? Happy New Year to all of you! :) As illustrated, we can see BTC hanging on the edge of a cliff. Apparently , Black Rock and other financial institutions involved are manipulating price; however, that's only rumors until a major media source proves otherwise. Technically speaking , the key support area is the $90,000 - $91,000 price range where we've seen BTC bounce strongly to the upside once testing it. Don't be surprised if there's a strong selling inducement ( what retails call "fake breakout" ), where these bigger institutions bid the market just bellow $90,000 trapping sellers and shaking off buy-holders, and then buy back all of the liquidity at a discount price (potentially around $85,000 - $80,000). However, the sell-inducement maneuver could cause a panic sell-off, taking price lower toward its previous maximum highs of $73,000 ; being such price range a major potential buying area for a long term HODL toward what could be a short-term target of $115,500 - $118,000 price range. Patience is key since we are starting the year, and price "should" create the low of the year (somewhere), so it's natural and not strange for there to actually be a drop which, as a matter of fact, is fair and actually good so that everyone can get their hands on some BTC at a better price. -- GOOD LUCK! And I wish you all a year full of abundance and prosperity.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by PersaGold
Bitcoin to 166400 by 5/8/25 Fib 0.618Key Data Points: Current Price: 98,065 USD Predicted Prices: Predicted Price (Chart for 8/4/2025): 166,400 USD Predicted Price (Polynomial Model): 113,966.87 USD Predicted Max Price: 115,736.8 USD Predicted Min Price: 112,224.0 USD Market Indicators: Pearson Correlation: 0.93 R2: 0.86 RSI: 57.44 Bollinger Bands: Upper Band: 102,970.89 USD Middle Band: 96,873.84 USD Lower Band: 90,776.79 USD Prediction and Potential Correction Points: Short-Term Path: The price is expected to reach the Polynomial Model Prediction of 113,966.87 USD first, given the high accuracy of the model. There might be a brief consolidation around this level, considering it's close to the Max Price Prediction of 115,736.8 USD. Mid-Term Path: If the bullish momentum continues, the price will move towards the chart prediction of 166,400 USD. However, the market might experience corrections at key Fibonacci levels. Based on the significance of historical events (Covid and FTX) and recent events (ETF Top and Rate Hike), a notable correction might occur around the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Potential Correction Points: Around Polynomial Model Prediction (113,966.87 USD): Minor correction or consolidation likely. RSI near 60 may indicate overbought conditions. Approaching Chart Prediction (166,400 USD): Significant resistance expected, potentially causing a major correction. The Fibonacci level around this price will be critical in determining support. Post-Top Correction: After reaching the high (166,400 USD), the market might correct towards the 70,000 USD range. This level could act as a strong support based on previous trends and historical lows. Overall Guess: The price will likely move towards 113,966.87 USD with minor corrections. Major correction expected after reaching the chart prediction of 166,400 USD. Potential correction towards the 70,000 USD range, which would align with historical support levels. Summary: Short-Term: Minor correction around 113,966.87 USD. Mid-Term: Possible resistance and consolidation around 166,400 USD. Long-Term: Potential correction towards 70,000 USD after topping. This is a speculative prediction based on the provided data and historical trends. Market conditions can change, so it's important to keep an eye on new developments and technical indicators. Disclaimer: This is experimental output from a poly model i have been working on, not financial advice. cheers
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by aliensom
Bitcoin’s Prime is about to start!🚀 Bitcoin’s Prime really is about to start 🚀 It’s tough to predict the perfect top and exit before the inevitable pullback, but here's a strategy based on past patterns to help us ride the wave and exit before the bull run ends. Historically, Bitcoin (BTC) tends to reach its peak 16–17 months after the Halving event, usually toward the end of the year. If this cycle holds true again, we could see the next peak around the end of 2025, with a massive price surge. If this trend continues, our plan is to start selling off our bags in early Q4 2025 to lock in gains before the bull run fades. #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
12
BTC SHORT - Intermediate reversal TradeBTC has formed a shooting star close on the monthly chart, and also has a head and shoulders showing up on many time frames (1D, 2D,etc.) It is having a hard time breaking into the 99K + resistance area. I have an adaptive short trade here. Blue Box entry, blue box - 96,500 - 99K Stop loss just above 100K Red Box Entry, if price goes into the red box 99k-104,500K - stop loss above ATH price of 108,321ish Take Profit 1: 85K Take Profit 2: 81.3K Take profit 3: 78K Take Profit 4: 72K Take Profit 5: 66K I have a lot of take profit areas up because it is hard to tell how big of a correction BTC will have overall if it does have a correction. I do see the potential all the way down to 52K, though. Thanks and trade safe!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by LoneWolf1425
MY BTCUSD ANALYSIS #WEEKLYHello Everyone here is my #BTCUSD Analysis 🔥🔥 Today on 29th December #BTCUSD Running at $94349 My Analysis for #Btcusd is #Bullish & My Targets are 📈 1) $97000 📈 2) $99500 📈 3) $101500 📈 4) $102800 It might retest the support area before hitting the targets but is expected to remain #Bullish 📈Bullish Continuation: Stabilization above $93000 & $91500 will support our bullish targets till resistance zone $101500 to $102800 & crossing the resistance zone of $101500 & $102800 could lead to a demand zone around $106000 📉Bearish Trigger: If BTC drops below $91000 it may shift into a bearish trend targeting $79500 & $73000 📊Key Levels 📊Trend: Bullish 📈Buy Target $97000–$102800 ❌Stop Loss (SL) $89000 Best of luck Everyone 👍 Trade wisely and stay Connected Please Like Follow & Support Me If you Like My Analysis. thanks 🙏
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Global_Club
2