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AAPL trade ideas

APPLE Massive Short! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 213.58 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 208.03 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Compounders: 5 Simple Rules to Build Long-Term WealthImagine this: …it’s 18 years ago. The very first iPhone has just hit the market. Meanwhile, Nokia’s legendary “Snake” game, once the height of mobile fun, was starting to feel… dated. ⚡ And you can sense it: something big is coming. You don’t know exactly what, but something is about to shake the system. So, you invest €1,000 into Apple stock. No fancy moves, no day trading. You don’t check the price every morning, you don’t sell at the first dip. You just hold and go about your life, using their products as always. ---------------------------------- Fast forward to today: the iPhone has evolved quite a bit, and so has your bank account, “a bit”. That modest €1,000 investment would now be worth roughly €70,000. For context, if you had simply invested in the S&P 500 instead, your total profit would be €3,300. This is what happens when you hold a real compounder. Apple: +6,942%. S&P 500: +334%. Time doesn’t just pass, it compounds! Big difference, right? And the craziest part? You didn’t need a crystal ball. Looking back, everything makes perfect sense. The real question is: Can you spot the next one before it becomes obvious? --------------------------------------- 📈 Compounders: The slow, steady, and surprisingly effective path to wealth A compounder is a company that steadily grows your investment over time, powered by a strong business model and consistent value creation. These stocks don’t need to chase headlines. They don’t create drama, and they certainly don’t swing wildly every week on the stock exchange. They simply keep building value. Strong financials, good products, and a clear direction—like a snowball quietly rolling downhill, gathering momentum with every meter. As Warren Buffett once said: That’s exactly what compounders allow you to do. While you rest, they keep working. It’s definitely not a get-rich-quick strategy. It’s more like a slow, somewhat boring, and failry a “safer” route. But in return, it might just give you something far more valuable than fast gains: financial peace of mind, and perhaps even financial freedom. 🔍 So how do you spot one? Now, let’s be clear: compounders are not bulletproof. Market crashes, disruptive competitors, and economic shocks can still shake them.But when the foundation is solid, these companies tend to stand strong, even in a storm. Here are five key traits that define a true compounder. From consistent growth to an unshakable competitive edge. --------------------------------------- 📈 1. Steady Growth What you want to see is a steady upward trend in both revenue and earnings per share (EPS). Not a rollercoaster. A clean, reliable trend. A strong compounder doesn’t explode one year and crash the next. It grows year after year. It grows calmly, consistently, and predictably… Microsoft EPS Q Source: TradingView That’s usually a sign of solid management and sticky customer demand. Let’s look at a key metric here: EPS CAGR (5-year) – the compound annual growth rate of earnings per share. 5% = solid → reliable and steady progress 10% = good → suggests a strong business model and real market demand 15%+ = great → this is where the snowball effect really kicks in, fast and orderly 📌 The higher the CAGR, the faster your investment compounds. But it’s not just about speed, it’s about repeatability. If that growth is not random but repeatable and sustainable, you don’t just have a growth stock → you’ve got a true compounder. ⚠️ Always consider the sector: A 15% CAGR might be normal in tech, but in a consumer brand or industrial company, that’s an exceptionally strong result. --------------------------------------- 💡 2. Efficient Capital Allocation A good compounder doesn’t just grow a lot—it grows wisely. That means every dollar the company reinvests into its business generates more than a dollar in return. Think of it like a business where every $1 invested turns into $1.20 or more in profit. The more efficiently it can put capital to work, the faster it compounds over time. 🎯 ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) tells you how effectively a company is using all its invested capital—including both equity and debt. ROIC shows how much profit the company earns after taxes and costs for every dollar it has invested, regardless of where that money came from.It’s broader than ROE, which only considers shareholder equity. >10% = solid >15% = good >20% = great 🎯 ROE (Return on Equity) measures how well the company generates returns specifically on shareholder money: >15% = solid >20% = good >25% = great 📌 In most cases, ROIC is more important than ROE , since it doesn’t get distorted by how much debt the company is using. But when both numbers are high, you’ve got something that creates a lot of value - a true compounding engine. Just imagine you give a chef $10 to make a dish. If they can turn that into a $15 meal, their ROIC is 50%. That’s the kind of capital efficiency we want to see in companies too, where every dollar invested pulls serious weight. --------------------------------------- 💰 3. High Profit Margins Selling stuff isn’t hard. Any company can sell something, even at a loss. A true compounder doesn’t just generate revenue, it earns real profit from it. That’s where operating margins come into play. They show how much money is actually left over after covering everything: salaries, logistics, rent, office coffee, stolen toilet paper, and all the other lovely overhead costs. ⚙️ Operating Margin – the percentage of revenue that turns into operating profit: 10% = solid → stable profitability, usually driven by volume or efficiency 20%+ = great → often signals strong pricing power, lean cost structure, or a dominant brand 📌 Why does this matter? Because the more profit a company retains after expenses, the more it can: - reinvest in new products or markets - pay dividends to shareholders - or buy back shares (which automatically increases your ownership per share) All of these create real, recurring value for you as an investor—not just once, but year after year. ⚠️ One important note: What qualifies as a “high” margin depends on the industry. A software company might easily run at 30% margins, while a retail chain or car manufacturer might be thrilled with 5%. So don’t judge the number in isolation. Always consider the type of business—in some sectors, profits come from volume, not margin. --------------------------------------- 🧱 4. Debt Matters Even if a company is growing fast and making money, it still doesn’t qualify as a true compounder if it’s drowning in debt. A real compounder moves forward mostly(!) under its own power, not thanks to borrowed money. Financially strong companies have a healthy buffer, so they’re not in trouble the moment the economy slows down or credit tightens. 📉 Debt-to-Equity (D/E) – how much of the company is financed with debt versus equity: Under 1 = solid → reasonable leverage Under 0.5 = great → very strong and conservative balance sheet 📈 Interest Coverage Ratio – how easily the company can pay its interest expenses: 5× = solid 10×+ = great → very safe, meaning debt costs won’t threaten profitability 📌 The lower the debt and the higher the buffer, the lower the risk.A company with a strong balance sheet doesn’t need to refinance debt in a panic or rely on costly tricks to survive downturns. Think of it like the foundation of a house. Without it, even the most beautiful structure can collapse. ⚠️ Some industries (like real estate or utilities) naturally operate with higher debt levels. But even in those cases, you want to see a business that controls its debt, rather than living “one day at a time.” --------------------------------------- 🏰 5. Durable Competitive Advantage (a.k.a. Moat) Back in the Middle Ages, a moat was a water-filled trench that protected a castle.Today, in investing, a “moat” is what protects great businesses from competition. It’s a business that others can’t easily reach or replicate. 💪 When a company has a wide moat, it can: - Defend its market share even when others try to attack - Command higher prices—because customers stay loyal - And if a competitor starts gaining ground, it often has enough capital to... just buy them out Here are some classic moat types with examples: - Brand Loyalty – People pay more for something familiarExample: Coca-Cola. There are hundreds of alternatives, but the taste, logo, and brand feel... irreplaceable. - Network Effects – Every new user strengthens the product or platformExample: Visa, Mastercard. The more they’re used, the harder it is for any new player to break in. - Technological Edge – The company is simply too far aheadExample: Nvidia, ASML. You can throw money at the problem, but patents and experience aren’t things you copy overnight. - Ecosystem Lock-in / Habitual Consumption – Customers get “stuck,” and switching feels like a hassleExample: Apple. Once you have the iPhone, AirPods, and MacBook… switching to Android just sounds like a lot of work.Or take Procter & Gamble. If your baby’s used to Pampers, you’re not going back to cloth diapers anytime soon. (To be fair—Huggies might actually be better 😄 That’s Kimberly-Clark, ticker KMB.) 📌 A strong moat allows a company to maintain both profitability and growth for the next 10+ years—because no one else can get close enough to steal it.It’s not fighting tooth and nail for every dollar. It rules its niche quietly and efficiently. --------------------------------------- Now that we’ve covered what makes a business a compounder, the next question naturally follows: “Okay, but if it’s such a great company... is it still a great price?” That’s where valuation comes in.P/E ratio: how to know whether you’re paying a fair price or just a premium for the brand. --------------------------------------- 👉 In my April article, I clearly broke down P/E along with eight other key fundamental metrics: straightforward, real-world explanations designed to help you actually use them… --------------------------------------- 💵 P/E (Price-to-Earnings Ratio) The P/E ratio tells you how much you’re paying for every $1 of a company’s earnings. Think of it like this: are you buying solid value for $20… or paying $70 just because the brand sounds familiar? Now, for compounders, a high P/E (say, 25–40) can actually be fine, IF(!) the company is growing fast and has a strong moat. Here’s a quick cheat sheet: * Under 15 → generally cheap (might be a bargain… or a trap) * 15–25 → fair price for a traditional business * 25–35 → reasonable if the company is growing consistently * 35–45 → starting to look expensive, must be justified by fundamentals * 45+ → expensive, and the market expects big things. One slip-up and the stock could drop fast. ⚠️ A P/E over 40–45 means the market expects strong, sustainable growth.If that growth doesn’t show up, the stock won’t just stumble—it could crash. But here’s the key: P/E doesn’t work well in isolation. Context is everything. Before judging the number, always ask: - What sector is this company in? - What’s the sector average? - How fast is the company growing? - Are the profits stable and sustainable? --------------------------------------- Real-World Examples: ✅ Visa – P/E around 37The average for financial stocks? Usually 10–15.But Visa grows quickly, is highly profitable, and has an ironclad moat.Is it expensive? Yes. But in this case, justifiably so. ✅ Microsoft – P/E around 35Tech-sector average tends to sit between 25–35.Microsoft has consistent growth, high margins, and clear market leadership.A P/E of 35 is absolutely reasonable—as long as the growth story continues. 🤔 But what if Microsoft trades at P/E 50+? Then you have to ask:Is earnings growth truly supporting that price?Or are you just paying for the brand... and a bit of FOMO? ----------------- Leave a comment: What’s the highest P/E you’ve ever paid, and was it worth it? ----------------- 📘 Compounder Cheat Sheet Don’t just stare at absolute numbers. Always compare within the sector, consider the company’s growth pace and business model. Ask yourself: “How much am I paying today for what this company will earn tomorrow?” --------------------------------------- 🧩 Summary Compounders are like good wine, they get better with time. Find companies that grow steadily, generate profits, keep debt low, and dominate their niche. Hold tight. Stay patient. Let the snowball roll. Thanks for reading! If this article was helpful or resonated with you, feel free to like, comment, or share it with a friend! It motivates me more than you’d think. 🙏 And if you’re new here: 🍷 Like good wine, this channel only gets better with time. Follow and let the ideas compound slowly, steadily, and deliciously. Cheers Vaido
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by VaidoVeek
5
The #1 Breakout Pattern Above The Engulfing Am thinking about the girl that broke my ❤️ heart two days ago. We started arguing.She wanted me to do what she tells me.I didn't want that. She wanted me to not talk.But I wanted to talk.It was the most immature interaction but I held my breathing. It didnt go well she broke out in anger and told me "never come back here!" My feelings are hurt. The market has a break out moment.Right now the MACD Indicator on the weekly chart of 🍎 Apple stock Is showing you a strong momentum and breakout pattern. This chart has reached that moment of "anger". It will never come back to this price again. Even the bearish engulfing has been left behind. This is a real breakout above a very strong resistance represented by the candlestick pattern (BE). 🚀 Rocket Boost This Content To Learn More. Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn about Risk Management And Profit Taking Strategies. Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by lubosi
AAPL Gamma Says Buy the Dip! Smart Money Prepping a Move?🧠 GEX Options Insight Apple is sitting right above the highest positive GEX and gamma support zone at $208–210, backed by strong CALL walls and net positive gamma flows. * Call walls stacked at 208, 210, and 212.5 – strong signs of bullish pressure. * Positive NETGEX reinforces 208–210 as a potential bounce zone. * IVR low at 25.1 suggests cheap options – favoring long CALL entries here. 👉 Trade idea (option strategy):
Buy $210 CALLs for this week or next week, targeting a breakout above 212.5. Risk is minimal if price holds above 205. 📊 Intraday Trading Setup (1H Price Action) From the second image, we can see AAPL just completed a ChoCH (Change of Character) and is consolidating right above the last BOS (Break of Structure). * Holding a bullish order block (OB) just under 209. * Formed a tight consolidation under the 212.5 resistance. * Momentum still bullish, volume cooling off (healthy). 🧠 My Thoughts Price is respecting the 208.92–209 zone as a base, with a low-volume pullback. If the market holds, this is a textbook bullish continuation. Keep an eye on: * Break and hold above 210 → targets 212.5, 215.78 * Break below 208.5 with volume → invalidate, possible dip to 205 or 202.5 ✅ Action Plan * CALL Entry: 208.5–209 zone * Targets: 212.5, 215.8 * Stop: Below 205 * Confirmation: Break OB + candle close above 210 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
AAPL Inside a Coil – Big Move Loading from the $200 Zone 🧠 GEX-Based Options Sentiment: Apple (AAPL) is caught between tight gamma compression and heavy resistance. The $205–$207 zone is packed with GEX9 and multiple Call Walls. This is the key ceiling that has rejected price repeatedly over the past week. On the other side, the Highest Positive Net GEX / Gamma Wall is just below at $202, acting as the current pivot level. Support sits around $197.50, marked by the HVL zone and the lower end of GEX structure. Below that, $195 is protected by the 2nd PUT Wall — a critical gamma defense zone. Implied Volatility Rank is 20.7, so options are still relatively cheap. Notably, we’re seeing a 5% PUT flow dominance, a subtle bearish tilt — not extreme, but worth watching. 🔧 Options Setup for Monday–Wednesday: Bullish Scenario:
If AAPL clears $203.21 and holds, this opens up the play toward $204.98 (Gamma Ceiling), and potentially $207 if momentum builds.
You can consider a CALL debit spread, like 202.5c/205c or 205c/207c for July 3/5 expiry.
Stop out if price drops below $200. Bearish Scenario:
If AAPL fails to hold $199.50 and breaks through $197.50 HVL, we may see a sharper unwind toward $195 or even $190 PUT wall zone.
Consider 200p or 197.5p for July 3 expiry.
Cut if price reclaims $202 with strength. 📉 1-Hour Chart Breakdown: Price has been coiling in a symmetrical triangle just below the $203–$205 resistance supply zone. There’s a visible CHoCH just under structure, with multiple tap rejections from the overhead resistance. The recent CHoCH printed after a bounce from minor demand, suggesting that sellers are still defending the top channel. Volume has been flat, but tightening price range signals an imminent breakout or breakdown. As long as price remains pinned inside this triangle under the BOS and supply zone, this is a range-bound chop — not a trending setup yet. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: $204.98 – Gamma ceiling and top of supply
$203.21 – Structure pivot, minor resistance
$201.17 – Local midpoint and breakout base
$199.50 – Demand edge, current support
$197.50 – HVL and gamma support zone
$195.00 – 2nd PUT Wall
$190.00 – Final gamma support if breakdown accelerates ✅ Thoughts and Monday Game Plan: AAPL is one of the cleanest coil setups among the tech names heading into Monday. This type of structure doesn’t last long — expect expansion. Wait for direction at open:
If we break $203.21 with volume, we ride toward $205–207 for a short-term gamma pop.
If price fails to break and loses $199.50, the fade to $197.50 or lower is likely. This is not a time to anticipate — react to the move. Let the coil resolve and follow the breakout or breakdown. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence, trade with a plan, and manage your risk carefully.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
AAPL ShortWe can observe that price has recently rallied into a higher timeframe premium zone, which acts as a potential supply area where institutional traders may look to offload positions. The reaction from this zone aligns with the idea that aggressive buying into premium areas can attract counter-order flow. After this strong impulsive move upward, price tapped into the higher timeframe sell zone and appears to be rejecting it, forming a short-term shift in momentum. The marked arrow suggests a potential short scenario, targeting a reversion to the nearby inefficiency and resting liquidity just below the recent breakout structure. The green highlighted area shows a logical draw on liquidity where sell-side liquidity may be resting. This is where price is expected to seek out stop orders from late buyers who entered at the top. Liquidity Perspective: Notice how previous swing lows and highs provide clear liquidity pools for price to manipulate. Price behavior around these levels often indicates the intention of larger players to grab liquidity before moving in the opposite direction. Risk Management: As always, traders should manage risk appropriately by defining clear invalidation levels and never risking more than a small percentage of their capital per trade. Proper risk-to-reward planning ensures sustainability and discipline when executing this strategy.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by ProSignalai
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 25/6Apple has recently faced significant negative press, leading to fear and critical perceptions among investors. This situation highlights a common investment principle: buy in times of fear and sell in times of greed. As a result, I have taken a considerable long position on Apple, which I have since increased since my orginal post. The flag pattern on the stock chart is nearly complete, indicating that a price movement is imminent. I have set my stop loss at $191, while I anticipate that a positive breakout could push the stock price above $223, representing potential gains of over 10%. There is also further upside potential for the price to exceed >$230. My target sell price for a full exit from Apple is now 275 USD, which would yield a return of 35%, although I do not expect this target to be reached until September or later. For shorter-term returns, I am targeting prices above $223. I believe Apple is a strong long-term hold, regardless of current market fluctuations. The company has a mature and extensive ecosystem, making it a brand I would be reluctant to bet against. If you already own Apple products, you likely understand how unlikely it is that you would switch to another brand. A close above $201.12 today would confirm a positive breakout.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Discombobulate1
12
AAPL Significant Event NASDAQ:AAPL 1. Bullish Breakout : In the daily chart bullish breakout has been seen. If the bullish momentum is strong, the price may follow the upward. 2. Target Price : Potential target price 214 3. Risk Factors: A. Failure to breakout the resistance 206 B. Sideways trend may be started. C. Broader market weakness or correction D. False Breakouts --------------------- Note : If you’re interested in receiving detailed technical analysis reports on your selected stocks, feel free to reach out to me. I can provide you with customized reports covering trends, key levels, momentum, patterns, and price projections to support your trading or investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Abirstock
$AAPL In ConsolidationNASDAQ:AAPL is consolidating here in a wedging pattern. I do not know which way this will resolve. But, since I rarely if ever short, I am looking on the long side of a trade. The thing I like about a consolidation pattern like this is, you know when you are wrong very quickly. My plan is to take a ¼ size long position if / when it moves above the 50 DMA (red) with a stop just below the most recent low (which would also correspond to dropping below the lower wedging trendline. Then if it can break out over the upper downtrend line, I will look to build out my position. I thought this would be a good one to put on your watchlist. If you like the idea, please make it your own so that it fits within your trading plan.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by jaxdog
1
AAPL: The Rally Might Not Be OverWhile many tech giants have already reached new all-time highs, Apple is still lagging behind — NASDAQ:AAPL hasn’t yet broken out. This may represent both a risk and an opportunity for latecomers. Investor caution remains due to potential tariffs on Apple products from China, with the decision now postponed until August. This uncertainty may be holding the price back, but could also lead to a strong accumulation phase if no negative headlines emerge in the near term. Technicals: • A breakout above $215 could open the way toward $249 (previous high). • Support at $197 remains strong. • Stochastic is in overbought, but MACD confirms bullish momentum. NASDAQ:AAPL may start catching up with the broader market — especially if tariff fears subside. Watch closely for a confirmed breakout above $215.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ALVO13_official
Apple Stock in 10 years perspective: Stability or New Heights?The future of Apple stock remains a hot topic among investors and analysts. For today’s July, the company’s market capitalization has climbed to $3 trillion, up from $2.9 trillion (a year ago, on May 2024). But can this tech giant continue to deliver significant returns for shareholders over the next decade? Let’s take a quick look on it. AI’s Take on the Future Recently, ChatGPT highlighted Apple NASDAQ:AAPL as a top contender among stocks poised to generate substantial wealth by 2035, outranking peers like Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , and Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA . The prediction has sparked curiosity, but what do real-world experts think? Analyst Perspectives: Strengths and Challenges Opinions on Apple’s outlook vary. On one hand, the company boasts a robust financial foundation, steady revenue from subscriptions, and substantial cash reserves. On the other hand, some analysts argue that its current share price is overstretched. Apple’s forward P/E ratio—based on projected earnings for the next 12 months—stands at 27, compared to the S&P 500’s near 22, suggesting investors are paying a premium for future growth. Additionally, Apple faces mounting competition and regulatory pressures. The key question is whether it can maintain its edge in a fast-evolving tech industry. Services and Devices In recent years, Apple has leaned heavily into services like subscriptions and digital platforms, delivering high-margin and recurring revenue. Yet, its core business still hinges on device sales, particularly the well-known iPhone. Without groundbreaking new products, the company risks getting stuck in a cycle of incremental updates, potentially slowing its growth trajectory. Financial Resilience Despite these challenges, Apple’s financial metrics remain impressive. Its market cap has risen to $3 trillion, and it continues to generate significant free cash flow. The company also offers modest dividends, making it attractive for those people, who prefer and seek stable returns. What to Expect from Apple by 2035? Apple stands as one of the most dependable long-term investments, but we shouldn’t expect the explosive growth, just like it was at their early years. Of course iconic brand, loyal customer base, and adaptability— is a strong side and support its stability. But the high share price, competitive pressures, and reliance on certain hardware components may limit and slow down its upside. Can Apple make you wealthy by 2035? It depends on your goals, risk tolerance and the size of your investment. For those seeking stability and modest gains, Apple is a solid pick. But if you’re chasing rapid wealth, you might need to look elsewhere for higher-risk opportunities.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by juliakhandoshko
Apple: Next Week’s Long Trade Opportunity with Upside PotentialCurrent Price: $213.55 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $225 - T2 = $240 Stop Levels: - S1 = $210 - S2 = $200 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Apple. **Key Insights:** Apple continues to lead the technology sector with sustained bullish momentum. Strong seasonal trends averaging 13.4% gains during July and August further underscore its upside potential. AI-driven product developments and its role in mega-cap leadership positions it for ongoing strength, though near-term overextension risks persist. **Recent Performance:** Apple gained 6% last week, spotlighting its dominance among mega-cap stocks as a leader of the broader tech rally. While the "Magnificent 7" stocks, including Nvidia and Tesla, showed mixed signals, Apple has preserved relative strength and upward momentum. **Expert Analysis:** Portfolio managers have expressed confidence in Apple as part of the "big three" tech stocks, favoring its innovation and operational strategies despite valuation concerns. The mixed sentiment, with mentions of potential put activity, suggests cautious optimism, but its breakout above $213 highlights stronger short-term opportunities. **News Impact:** Apple’s AI initiatives, such as outsourcing Siri's development, contribute positively to market sentiment. Additionally, anticipation of earnings season strength in late July adds weight to bullish strategies. As mega-cap stocks maintain leadership, Apple’s pivot into AI-driven innovation reinforces its critical role in technological advancement. **Trading Recommendation:** Based on robust performance trends, seasonal advantages, and a supportive macro backdrop, a LONG position on Apple offers strong upside potential with defined risk parameters.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
AAPL - Weekly HV/IV PerspectiveGood evening — I wanted to do one more write up with that being on NASDAQ:AAPL as we enter the week with futures just opening. HV10 (16.58%) is trending -11.56% below IV (28.14%) showing a weekly price gap differential of -$2.89 on the stated implied move to what trending markets are doing. This current IV value entering the week sits 69% within the sliding year spectrum. Now, with Apple consolidating in range for almost eight weeks after selling off when it reached its 4T milestone in December of 2024, has now begun advancing back upwards in price. The strength here is obvious and the quality of company is well, Apple. My price targets on the week is first the upper band of stated IV ($220.58) then moving on towards the upper implied range of HV63 ($225.87). I believe the markets are going to push apple higher while balancing the indices out selling off in other areas. This would start to accelerate HV10, as it is now 91.23% coiled to its yearly lows and needs to unwind. Hopefully with a few short-term trending days increasing we find our regression. Please come back next week and see how our position and volatility progressed forward.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by splitmyIVandmelt
AAPL LONG 05/07/2025Price has been moving inside a multi-year bullish tunnel, price has also broken a minor resistance level of 207$ with a nice bullish engulfing candle with some increase in volume on the last few daily candles. Analysis HTF - Weekly execution LTF - Weekly Candle pattern - Bullish engulfing Acceleration - Check Volume - Check Structure - Check Moving average - X Base rate - 70%(to hit stop loss)/30% to succeed With the acceleration, volume pattern and strong multi year structure I suggest a base rate of 55%/45%(to succeed) Good luck
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Avirany